Regionalized Life Cycle Analysis of Ecosystem External Cost Associated with Land-Use Change in Photovoltaic Systems
Abstract
1. Introduction
1.1. Aim of the Article
1.2. Definitions and Conceptual Framework
1.3. Literature Review
- To develop a regionalized methodology for analyzing ecosystem-related external costs associated with land-use changes induced by renewable energy plants. The methodology is designed to be applicable across the main life cycle phases of a PV system: production, construction, operation, and end of life.
- To apply the proposed methodology to a utility-scale PV system, considering three alternative configurations: a 56 MW ground-mounted plant, an elevated agrivoltaic plant of the same capacity, and a ‘spaced’ agrivoltaic plant with a capacity of 39 MW, occupying the same total area as the other two. The goal is to identify the configurations that minimize the ecosystem external costs in relation to the kWh produced, calculated with a life cycle approach. The technical details of the three configurations were developed based on a project for a new ground-mounted photovoltaic plant in a rural area of central Italy. The exact geographical location of the facility has been anonymized as the project is currently undergoing authorization.
2. Materials and Methods
- It focuses exclusively on ES associated with land-use-change data resulting from the main phases of the PV system life cycle, with information obtained through direct spatial mapping or LCA inventories. Due to the investigative assumptions and the pioneering nature of the methodology, it does not use environmental footprint categories and related impact indicators such as climate change, ecotoxicity, or acidification [79].
- It applies an economic valuation approach to environmental externalities (commonly referred to as ‘monetary LCA’ [11], and sometimes described in the literature as ‘socio-environmental externalities LCA’ [80], to estimate changes in economic well-being associated with specific environmental impact categories. We quantify the negative or positive variation in the economic value of ES resulting from land-use changes across the life cycle phases of PV systems. A reduction in value is classified as an ‘ecosystem external cost,’ while an increase is considered an ‘ecosystem external benefit’. The economic approach is characterized by the aggregation (sum) of the annual value of specific ES (e.g., CO2 removal, erosion mitigation, agricultural pollination) per hectare of ecosystem type, using a monetary unit of measure (e.g., EUR2022/ha-y) that reflects environmental economics methods to elicit people preferences for ES [23,24]. A summary of the main sources of data and economic valuation methods used for each ecosystem service in Italy is provided in Table S22. To obtain differentiated values on a regional scale we used ‘benefit transfer’ techniques, elaborating results of literature studies that applied economic valuation techniques to the benefits provided by different categories of ecosystems to humans in a specific geographical and socio-economic context (e.g., national territory, a region, a rural area, a natural park).
- It refers to the so-called regionalised LCA approach [75], which models the main life cycle phases based on their actual geographic location. In this framework, different ES values are applied to the same amount of land-use change depending on where it occurs, in contrast to traditional LCA methods that use uniform characterization factors globally.
- Definition of the goal of the study and preliminary delimitation of the scope of the life cycle investigation of land-use change with reference to components, processes, useful life, and energy producibility of the PV plant (Step 1 in Figure 1).
- Geographical localisation of life cycle components and processes (Step 2).
- Modelling of the plant, its components, and processes (Step 3).
- Identification of land-use-change classes, estimation of the affected areas by land-use class in each region, and duration of land occupation (Step 4).
- Application of correspondence tables between land-use classes and biome/ecosystem types for calculating the areas of the biome/ecosystem type affected by land-use changes (Step 5).
- Calculation of ecosystem service monetary values per hectare-year using benefit transfer method, differentiated by biome/ecosystem and geographical region (Step 6).
- Use of ecosystem service unit values for the monetary valuation of ES net losses or benefits associated with areas affected by biome/ecosystem changes (by phase, component/process, and geographical area, Step 7).
- Summation of results in EUR/GWh across components/processes and life cycle phases of the photovoltaic plant (Step 8).
- Modules (56 MW for the reference plant and the elevated agrivoltaics plant, 39.2 MW for the spaced agrivoltaics plant): production and transport.
- Support structure—solar trackers (a total weight of 623 kg is required to support 26 modules in both the reference and spaced agrivoltaic systems, whereas the elevated agrivoltaic system requires 886 kg for every 26 modules): production and transport.
- Inverters (13 inverters of 3437 kW each for the reference plant and the elevated agrivoltaics plant, 9 inverters for the spaced agrivoltaics plant): production and transport.
- Materials for the PV plant’s roads (11,844 m of dirt roads, of which 8568 m for perimeter roads—4 m wide). The modelling of road materials includes the extraction processes and any necessary processing to obtain the final material.
- China, for module production.
- The entire world, for maritime transport services from China to Italy (the route involves three continents and international cargo ships are built in many different world areas).
- The EU for all other components (trackers, inverters, gravel roads) and processes (transport, disposal, and incineration of the PV system components).
- The reports developed by the JRC [25,26,27] with the aim of establishing a system of experimental ecosystem economic accounts at the European Union level, consistent with the United Nations SEEA-EEA methodological standard, which have led to a biophysical and monetary mapping for various types of ES in many member states of the EU (including Italy).
- The methodology developed by ISPRA/SNPA for the monetary evaluation of ecosystem service losses due to land consumption, illustrated in a specific methodological annex of the 2018 report [89].
- is the differential value (net monetary loss or net benefit) of ES associated with land-use changes in the production, transport, and end-of-life phases of the reference PV system.
- is the average land occupation duration, expressed in years, of the production, transport, and end-of-life phases.
- is the value, expressed in EUR/ha-year, of the ES annually provided by land-use class in a given geographical area j.
- is the net balance, for a given land-use class i and a given geographical area j, between the summed area of ‘Transformation to [land-use class i]’ and ‘Transformation from [land-use class i]’ across all processes related to a given geographical area j.
- (a)
- Goal and Scope Definition.
- (b)
- Life Cycle Inventory (LCI).
- (c)
- Life Cycle Impact Assessment (LCIA).
- (d)
- Interpretation.
3. Description of the Case Study
The Reference Plant and Alternative Configurations
4. Results
4.1. Monetary Results
4.1.1. Results for Production, Transport, and End-of-Life Phases
4.1.2. Results for the Building and Operation Phase
4.1.3. Aggregation of Life Cycle Phases
4.2. Inside the Box: Intermediate Results on Land Use and Ecosystem Changes Due to PV Plants
4.2.1. Intermediate Results on Land Use and Ecosystem Changes for Production, Transport, and End-of-Life Phases
4.2.2. Intermediate Results on Land-Use and Ecosystem Changes—Construction and Operation Phase
5. Discussion
6. Conclusions
- Not all cropland has equal ES value and well-designed ground-mounted PV on intensive arable land can deliver a net ecosystem service benefit. Our results for the ground-mounted conventional PV plant confirm the current approach of the EU Taxonomy (no quantitative DNSH criteria for ecosystem services) while at the same time refuting the ecosystem-based justifications for the recent Italian restrictions on ground-mounted PV in agricultural areas.
- Supply chain ES impacts are comparatively smaller than those related to construction-site land-cover changes; therefore, siting, PV plant design, and Operation and Maintenance (O&M) are decisive for achieving a net positive outcome.
- During the siting process, low ES value areas should be prioritized (e.g., arable land with intensive cereal cropping in non-protected zones or already urbanized/industrial land) to avoid high-value ecosystems (forests, wetlands, natural grasslands).
- Design and vegetation management matter: where trackers are mounted on posts without concrete slabs and spontaneous herbaceous cover is maintained during operation (no herbicides), ES value related to habitat quality, erosion mitigation, and water provisioning increases compared to the ex-ante agricultural situation.
- For policymakers, regulators, and regional planners:Land mapping of ES benefits by land-use class can be used during EIA to prioritize PV plant siting; ES externalities can be integrated into CBA as a decision-making tool; low-impact construction standards can be developed in line with ES (pile-driven posts, minimal road footprints, permeable surfaces, and vegetated inter-row areas); good environmental practices should be encouraged (prohibition of herbicide, managed grazing, and pollinator habitat). Given that ES value for nature-based recreation (ES11) decreases due to fencing, perimeter trails or guided access to preserve some recreational value is recommended. If elevated agrivoltaics is supported to maintain agricultural income, ecological management requirements (e.g., crop rotations, low-input practices, water-saving irrigation, pollinator strips) can be linked to incentives so that regulation and maintenance ES also improve in portions of land where agricultural activities are maintained.
- For developers and engineering companies:They can choose and design configurations to fit the ES context: on low-value arable land, conventional ground-mounted PV with vegetation-positive O&M tends to maximize ES net benefits; where arable crops must be partially maintained, spaced agrivoltaics can balance energy production with ES value better than elevated agrivoltaic; if crop type can be changed to higher-value crops more suitable for the shading features of elevated agrivoltaic, the expected increase in crop provisioning value (ESV1) must compensate for possible negative variations in other ES to maintain a net positive result compared to previous agricultural context.
- For farmers:In ground-mounted PV plants, farmers can explore side revenues (grazing services, honey/pollination partnerships) enabled by PV vegetation management plans. Farmers play an essential role in agrivoltaics. Even though our methodology does not model agricultural practices (as they are outside the scope of the article), other sources have demonstrated that improved crop rotations, reduced use of fertilizers and pesticide (Weißhuhn et al., 2017 [98]), integration of cover crops during fallow periods (Huang et al., 2025 [99]), and precision irrigation (De Francesco et al., 2025 [100]) can positively contribute to —respectively— regulation ES, erosion mitigation, and water provisioning. However, these benefits should be still evaluated in economic terms.
Supplementary Materials
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| CBA | Cost–Benefit Analysis |
| CHN | China |
| CICES | Common International Classification of Ecosystem Services |
| CLC | Corine Land Cover |
| DNSH | Do No Significant Harm |
| EC | European Commission |
| EEA | European Environment Agency |
| EIA | Environmental Impact Assessment |
| EoL | End of Life |
| ES | Ecosystem Services |
| ESV | Ecosystem Service Value |
| ESVD | Ecosystem Services Valuation Database |
| EU | European Union |
| KIP-INCA | Knowledge Innovation Project on an Integrated System for Natural Capital Accounting |
| LCA | Life Cycle Assessment |
| LCCA | Life Cycle Cost Analysis |
| LCIA | Life Cycle Impact Assessment |
| MAES | Mapping European Ecosystem and their Services (EC project) |
| PUN | Average National Wholesale Reference Price of Electricity |
| PV | Photovoltaic |
| RSNC | Report on the State of Natural Capital |
| SM | Supplementary Material |
| TEEB | The Economics of Ecosystem and Biodiversity |
| VOLY | Value Of a Life-expectancy Year Lost |
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| Construction and Operation Phase | Production, Transport, and End of Life of PV Plant Components |
|---|---|
| Ecosystem services (TEEB [45]) | Ecosystem services (CICES macrocategories [21]) |
| ES1 Agricultural supply | Provisioning |
| ES2 Timber supply | |
| ES3 Water supply | |
| ES4 Net carbon removal | Regulation and maintenance |
| ES5 Habitat quality (biodiversity) | |
| ES6 Agricultural pollination | |
| ES7 Air pollution mitigation | |
| ES8 Freshwater purification | |
| ES9 Erosion mitigation | |
| ES10 Flood mitigation | |
| ES11 Nature-based recreation | Cultural |
| Parameter | Reference Plant (Conventional Ground-Mounted) | Alternative Configuration 1 (Elevated Agrivoltaics) | Alternative Configuration 2 (Spaced Agrivoltaics) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenced Area Hosting the Plant | 79.2 ha | 79.2 ha | 79.2 ha |
| Total Power | 56.02 MWp | 56.02 MWp | 39.21 MWp |
| Power Density (on fenced area) | 0.71 MWp/ha | 0.71 MWp/ha | 0.52 MWp/ha |
| Number of Modules | 98,280 | 98,280 | 68,796 |
| Module Area | 2.73 m2 | 2.73 m2 | 2.73 m2 |
| Power/Module | 570 Wp | 570 Wp | 570 Wp |
| Modules per Tracker | 78 | 78 | 78 |
| Tracker Length (39 modules) | 45 m | 45 m | 45 m |
| Tracker Width (2 modules) | 4.82 m | 4.82 m | 4.82 m |
| Number of Trackers | 1260 | 1260 | 882 |
| Height of the Tracker Support Structure | 2.59 m | 4.59 m | 2.59 m |
| Distance Between Parallel Rows (between support structure posts) | 9.5 m | 9.5 m | 13.5 m |
| Minimum Distance Between Parallel Rows (between edges of horizontal/zenith panels) | 4.7 m | 4.7 m | 8.7 m |
| Estimated Annual Production | 94.96 GWh/year | 94.96 GWh/year | 66.47 GWh/year |
| Components | Materials | Reference Plant | Alternative Configuration 1 | Alternative Configuration 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Module | Number of modules | 98,280 | 98,280 | 68,796 |
| Tab ribbon (kg) | 1.37 × 104 | 1.37 × 104 | 9.56 × 103 | |
| Glass-fibre-reinforced plastic (kg) | 1.43 × 104 | 1.43 × 104 | 1.00 × 104 | |
| Photovoltaic cell, HJT (kg) | 1.97 × 105 | 1.97 × 105 | 1.38 × 105 | |
| Solar glass (kg) | 2.58 × 106 | 2.58 × 106 | 1.81 × 106 | |
| Bus bar + ribbon (kg) | 1.67 × 103 | 1.67 × 103 | 1.17 × 103 | |
| N-olefins (kg) | 7.18 × 104 | 7.18 × 104 | 5.3 × 104 | |
| Anti-reflex coating (kg) | 1.34 × 102 | 1.34 × 102 | 9.4 × 101 | |
| Aluminum alloy (kg) | 3.22 × 105 | 3.22 × 105 | 2.26 × 105 | |
| Tracker | Number of trackers | 1260 | 1260 | 882 |
| Steel, low-alloyed (kg) | 7.75 × 105 | 1.11 × 106 | 5.42 × 105 | |
| Electric motor (kg) | 9.83 × 103 | 9.83 × 103 | 6.88 × 103 | |
| Printed wiring board for tracker (kg) | 7.6 × 101 | 7.6 × 101 | 4.94 × 101 | |
| Cables (kg) | 2.52 × 103 | 2.52 × 103 | 1.76 × 103 | |
| Inverter | Number of inverters | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| Aluminum, cast alloy (kg) | 8.32 × 103 | 8.32 × 103 | 5.76 × 103 | |
| Epoxy resin (kg) | 3.33 × 103 | 3.33 × 103 | 2.30 × 103 | |
| Heat sink in aluminum (kg) | 6.24 × 103 | 6.24 × 103 | 4.32 × 103 | |
| Printed wiring board (kg) | 3.74 × 103 | 3.74 × 103 | 2.59 × 103 | |
| Inductors (kg) | 1.66 × 104 | 1.66 × 104 | 1.15 × 104 | |
| Switches (kg) | 8.32 × 102 | 8.32 × 102 | 5.76 × 102 | |
| Electric connector, peripheral-type buses (kg) | 8.32 × 102 | 8.32 × 102 | 5.76 × 102 | |
| Cables (kg) | 1.66 × 103 | 1.66 × 103 | 1.15 × 103 | |
| TOTAL | (kg) | 4.3 × 106 | 4.36 × 106 | 2.82 × 106 |
| Total | Tracker | Module | Inverter | Tracker Transport | Module Transport | Inverter Transport | Gravel | Module End of Life | Inverter End of Life | Tracker End of Life | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Components/Region (Columns) Biome Types (Rows) | EU | China | EU | EU | China- Italy | EU | EU | EU | UE | EU | |
| (Aquatic) anthropogenic systems | 4.79 × 10−11 | 4.90 × 10−12 | 3.28 × 10−11 | 9.02 × 10−12 | 1.20 × 10−13 | 2.49 × 10−13 | 4.25 × 10−15 | 5.87 × 10−13 | 2.00 × 10−13 | 5.69 × 10−15 | 2.47 × 10−14 |
| Forests | −3.65 × 10−11 | −4.27 × 10−12 | −1.99 × 10−11 | −8.00 × 10−12 | −5.00 × 10−13 | −3.05 × 10−12 | −1.77 × 10−14 | 7.87 × 10−14 | −5.82 × 10−13 | 1.26 × 10−15 | −2.59 × 10−13 |
| Inland wetlands | −3.25 × 10−12 | −7.15 × 10−14 | −3.08 × 10−12 | −7.26 × 10−14 | −7.60 × 10−15 | −1.26 × 10−14 | −2.69 × 10−16 | −4.23 × 10−16 | −6.58 × 10−15 | −1.11 × 10−16 | −6.17 × 10−16 |
| Intensive land use (cropland) | −2.50 × 10−12 | −4.70 × 10−12 | −3.73 × 10−12 | 6.87 × 10−12 | −2.34 × 10−13 | −1.82 × 10−13 | −8.28 × 10−15 | −1.64 × 10−14 | −3.25 × 10−13 | −8.33 × 10−15 | −1.59 × 10−13 |
| Marine | −1.45 × 10−10 | −2.01 × 10−11 | −8.99 × 10−11 | −1.51 × 10−11 | −2.68 × 10−12 | −1.15 × 10−11 | −9.46 × 10−14 | −1.64 × 10−13 | −3.66 × 10−12 | −1.32 × 10−14 | −1.37 × 10−12 |
| Rangelands and natural grasslands | −1.77 × 10−12 | −4.30 × 10−13 | −1.04 × 10−12 | −2.51 × 10−13 | −8.20 × 10−15 | −2.08 × 10−14 | −2.90 × 10−16 | −4.70 × 10−16 | −1.16 × 10−14 | −1.78 × 10−16 | −8.69 × 10−16 |
| Rivers and lakes | −1.60 × 10−12 | −3.28 × 10−14 | −1.51 × 10−12 | −2.93 × 10−14 | −5.55 × 10−15 | −1.32 × 10−14 | −1.96 × 10−16 | −2.68 × 10−16 | −5.99 × 10−15 | −8.99 × 10−17 | −1.77 × 10−16 |
| Shrubland and shrubby woodland | −5.55 × 10−12 | −6.91 × 10−13 | −4.22 × 10−12 | −5.88 × 10−13 | −8.52 × 10−15 | −1.30 × 10−14 | −3.01 × 10−16 | −5.19 × 10−15 | −2.87 × 10−14 | −4.27 × 10−16 | −1.47 × 10−15 |
| Urban areas with artificial cover | 3.77 × 10−12 | 5.30 × 10−12 | 1.20 × 10−12 | −6.95 × 10−12 | 6.45 × 10−13 | 3.04 × 10−12 | 2.28 × 10−14 | −6.45 × 10−13 | 7.61 × 10−13 | 2.19 × 10−15 | 3.96 × 10−13 |
| Land Cover (Ecosystem Type) | Base Case Ground-Mounted Conventional | Alternative 1 Elevated Agrivoltaics | Alternative 2 Spaced Agrivoltaics | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ha | ha/kWh | ha | ha/kWh | ha | ha/kWh | |
| Cropland | −79.6 | −2.79 × 10−8 | −10.6 | −3.72 × 10−9 | −24.0 | −1.20 × 10−8 |
| Grassland | 74.4 | 2.61 × 10−8 | 5.4 | 1.89 × 10−9 | 18.8 | 9.43 × 10−9 |
| Urban cover | 5.2 | 1.83 × 10−9 | 5.2 | 1.83 × 10−9 | 5.2 | 2.61 × 10−9 |
| Total variations | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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Molocchi, A.; Mela, G.; Brivio, E.; Girardi, P. Regionalized Life Cycle Analysis of Ecosystem External Cost Associated with Land-Use Change in Photovoltaic Systems. Land 2026, 15, 160. https://doi.org/10.3390/land15010160
Molocchi A, Mela G, Brivio E, Girardi P. Regionalized Life Cycle Analysis of Ecosystem External Cost Associated with Land-Use Change in Photovoltaic Systems. Land. 2026; 15(1):160. https://doi.org/10.3390/land15010160
Chicago/Turabian StyleMolocchi, Andrea, Giulio Mela, Elisabetta Brivio, and Pierpaolo Girardi. 2026. "Regionalized Life Cycle Analysis of Ecosystem External Cost Associated with Land-Use Change in Photovoltaic Systems" Land 15, no. 1: 160. https://doi.org/10.3390/land15010160
APA StyleMolocchi, A., Mela, G., Brivio, E., & Girardi, P. (2026). Regionalized Life Cycle Analysis of Ecosystem External Cost Associated with Land-Use Change in Photovoltaic Systems. Land, 15(1), 160. https://doi.org/10.3390/land15010160

