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Search Results (1,165)

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27 pages, 1516 KB  
Review
Teacher Empowerment and Governance Pathways for Climate-Resilient Education Systems
by Mengru Li, Min Wu, Xuepeng Shan and Xiyue Chen
Sustainability 2026, 18(6), 3057; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18063057 - 20 Mar 2026
Abstract
Climate hazards increasingly disrupt schooling, revealing the limits of preparedness models that treat teachers only as implementers. This study reframes teacher empowerment as a climate-resilience capability and examines how governance arrangements enable (or constrain) hazard-ready education systems. Guided by the Preferred Reporting Items [...] Read more.
Climate hazards increasingly disrupt schooling, revealing the limits of preparedness models that treat teachers only as implementers. This study reframes teacher empowerment as a climate-resilience capability and examines how governance arrangements enable (or constrain) hazard-ready education systems. Guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR), searches of Web of Science, Scopus, and Google Scholar (2000–2025) identified 53 eligible studies. Across diverse hazards and settings, the evidence converges on a governance-to-capability pathway: empowerment becomes resilient performance only when the delegated decision space is matched with financed capacity (time, training, contingency resources), timely risk information and functional communication/digital infrastructure, institutionalized cross-sector coordination (education–DRR–health–protection–local government), and learning-oriented accountability (after-action review and adaptive revision rather than punitive compliance). Reported outcomes include higher preparedness quality, earlier protective action, improved learning continuity and safeguarding, and more sustainable teacher well-being/retention. Predictable failure modes include mandate–resource mismatch, accountability overload, unstable centralization–autonomy dynamics, and inequitable empowerment distribution affecting rural schools, women, and contract teachers, and disability inclusion. The evidence gaps remain pronounced for chronic hazards (especially heat and wildfire smoke), high-vulnerability contexts (fragile/conflict settings and informal settlements), and standardized measures of equity, burden distribution, governance performance, and cost-effectiveness. Policies should prioritize integrated governance packages with explicit protection and equity safeguards. Full article
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29 pages, 13398 KB  
Article
Initial Responses of Riparian Vegetation and Wetland Functions to Stage 0 Restoration of Whychus Creek, Oregon
by Vladimir Krivtsov, Karen Allen, Tom Goss, Lauren Mork and Colin R. Thorne
Land 2026, 15(3), 500; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15030500 - 19 Mar 2026
Abstract
Floodplain disconnection caused by channel incision and/or levee construction has led to widespread loss of riparian habitats and ecosystem functions globally. Restoring full stream–floodplain connectivity is increasingly promoted, yet evidence of ecological outcomes remains limited. This study evaluates the initial performance of two [...] Read more.
Floodplain disconnection caused by channel incision and/or levee construction has led to widespread loss of riparian habitats and ecosystem functions globally. Restoring full stream–floodplain connectivity is increasingly promoted, yet evidence of ecological outcomes remains limited. This study evaluates the initial performance of two Stage 0 restoration projects on Whychus Creek, Oregon, which reconnected incised channels to their historical floodplains in 2012 and 2016. We combined pre- and post-restoration vegetation surveys along fixed transects with hydrogeomorphic-based riparian and wetland function assessments and applied quantitative analyses, including Kruskal–Wallis tests, Jaccard correlations, Sorensen similarity indices, and factor analysis, to compare changes in plant assemblages and ecosystem functions across restored, transitional, and unrestored reaches. Our research results indicate that two years post-restoration, the active riparian area expanded 2.5-fold, species richness and structural diversity increased significantly, and riparian and wetland functions such as water storage, sediment retention, and habitat support for fish and amphibians improved markedly. Numbers of anadromous salmonids also increased markedly. This is important as salmon recovery is a regional stream restoration goal. Comparisons with a reach restored six years earlier suggest a positive trajectory toward mature, resilient ecosystems. These findings demonstrate that Stage 0 restoration can rapidly reestablish complex habitat mosaics and enhance ecosystem services critical for biodiversity, water quality, and flood resilience. Practically, this evidence supports process-based restoration strategies that prioritize full floodplain reconnection as a cost-effective approach to reversing long-term ecological degradation. Continued monitoring is essential to guide adaptive management and strengthen the evidence base for the wide-scale implementation of valley-floor wide stream restoration. Full article
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26 pages, 10653 KB  
Review
AI/ML-Enhanced Wind Forecasts for Reducing Uncertainty in Prescribed Fire Planning
by Sara Brambilla, Shane Xavier Coffing, Jesse Edward Slaten, Diego Rojas, David Joseph Robinson and Arvind Thanam Mohan
Atmosphere 2026, 17(3), 312; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17030312 - 18 Mar 2026
Viewed by 52
Abstract
Prescribed fire is a vital tool for ecosystem management and wildfire risk reduction but its escalation is constrained by overly conservative burn windows because of uncertainties, for instance, in wind forecasts. This review describes the state of the art in weather product use [...] Read more.
Prescribed fire is a vital tool for ecosystem management and wildfire risk reduction but its escalation is constrained by overly conservative burn windows because of uncertainties, for instance, in wind forecasts. This review describes the state of the art in weather product use by fire/smoke models and identifies three priority research gaps that artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) is well positioned to address: (1) spatial and temporal downscaling to meter-scale, sub-hourly wind fields; (2) bias correction for systematic model errors in complex terrain; and (3) robust uncertainty quantification to inform ensemble-based simulations. Emerging AI/ML techniques offer promising frameworks to address all three challenges. By providing high-resolution, bias-corrected, and probabilistic wind fields, AI/ML-enhanced forecasts will allow for expanded burn windows, improved ignition strategy design and a reduced reliance on expert intuition, especially when a prescribed fire is introduced into new areas. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Atmospheric Techniques, Instruments, and Modeling)
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20 pages, 2270 KB  
Article
Predicting Anthropogenic Wildfire Occurrence Using Explainable Machine Learning Models: A Nationwide Case Study of South Korea
by Mingyun Cho and Chan Park
Fire 2026, 9(3), 126; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030126 - 16 Mar 2026
Viewed by 118
Abstract
Anthropogenic wildfires account for the majority of wildfire ignitions in human-dominated landscapes, yet their spatial drivers remain insufficiently understood at national scales. This study aims to identify key factors influencing anthropogenic wildfire occurrence and to develop a robust and interpretable prediction framework using [...] Read more.
Anthropogenic wildfires account for the majority of wildfire ignitions in human-dominated landscapes, yet their spatial drivers remain insufficiently understood at national scales. This study aims to identify key factors influencing anthropogenic wildfire occurrence and to develop a robust and interpretable prediction framework using nationwide data from South Korea. Wildfire occurrence records from 2011–2021 were integrated with daily meteorological, environmental, and socio-economic variables at a 1 km grid resolution. A stacking ensemble model combining Random Forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, Extra Trees, and logistic regression was implemented to improve predictive robustness under rare-event conditions. Model performance was evaluated using ROC–AUC, PR–AUC, and threshold-optimized F1-scores, and variable contributions were interpreted using feature importance and SHAP analyses. The ensemble model achieved a PR–AUC of 0.934 and an ROC–AUC of 0.941. Relative humidity and maximum temperature were identified as influential meteorological variables, while human-accessibility-related variables, particularly distance to roads and agricultural land, showed consistently high contributions to spatial ignition probability. These findings indicate that anthropogenic wildfire occurrence is shaped by interactions between fire-weather conditions and spatial patterns of human accessibility. The proposed framework provides a scalable approach for understanding anthropogenic wildfire mechanisms and supporting prevention strategies in forested landscapes. Full article
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20 pages, 3980 KB  
Article
Influence of Input Data Uncertainty on Cellular Automata-Based Wildfire Spread Simulation
by Ioannis Karakonstantis and George Xylomenos
Information 2026, 17(3), 289; https://doi.org/10.3390/info17030289 - 15 Mar 2026
Viewed by 95
Abstract
Cellular automata-based wildfire simulation models are widely used to support fire management, risk assessment, and operational decision-making, due to their efficiency and computational advantages. However, the accuracy of these models heavily depends on the quality of input data provided by the user, including [...] Read more.
Cellular automata-based wildfire simulation models are widely used to support fire management, risk assessment, and operational decision-making, due to their efficiency and computational advantages. However, the accuracy of these models heavily depends on the quality of input data provided by the user, including the composition and geospatial extend of forest fuels, current meteorological conditions and terrain information. This publication examines how quantitative and spatial input data uncertainties affect the estimates of the impacted areas. Using a series of simulation experiments, inaccurate data are introduced to specific input variables (such as the vegetation type and the fuel moisture content) to reflect realistic levels of uncertainty commonly observed in operational scenarios, where users with different cognitive backgrounds fail to properly identify key characteristics of a fire. Model outputs are then compared using spatial and temporal performance metrics, including the rate of spread and burned area extent. The results demonstrate that uncertainties in fuel models and meteorological inputs exert a dominant influence on simulated fire behavior. Our findings highlight the sensitivity of wildfire simulations to compounded input uncertainties and stress the need for improved in-field data acquisition strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Information Applications)
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27 pages, 2550 KB  
Review
A Systems Engineering Framework for Resilient, Sustainable, and Healthy School Classroom Indoor Climate for Young Children: A Narrative Review
by Asit Kumar Mishra
Architecture 2026, 6(1), 45; https://doi.org/10.3390/architecture6010045 - 11 Mar 2026
Viewed by 239
Abstract
School classrooms represent complex, interconnected systems where indoor environmental quality critically influences student health, cognitive performance, and educational equity. Yet traditional approaches operate in disciplinary silos, creating systemic failures in design, operation, and maintenance. This narrative review adopts a systems engineering framework to [...] Read more.
School classrooms represent complex, interconnected systems where indoor environmental quality critically influences student health, cognitive performance, and educational equity. Yet traditional approaches operate in disciplinary silos, creating systemic failures in design, operation, and maintenance. This narrative review adopts a systems engineering framework to demonstrate how integrated interventions—spanning policy, design, technology, and operations—create resilient, sustainable, and healthy classroom climates. Amid escalating climate change impacts (rising temperatures, heatwaves, wildfires) and emerging threats (airborne pathogens, urban pollution), reactive measures like school closures prove pedagogically counterproductive. This review synthesizes evidence on natural, mechanical, and mixed-mode ventilation systems optimized through advanced control strategies, smart technologies, and health-centred policies. Key findings reveal that synergistic integration of Policy, Management, Construction, Operation, and Smart Technologies, in a systems engineering framework, outperforms singular strategies. Critical interventions include hybrid ventilation coupled with layered defences (HEPA filtration, UVGI), AI-driven adaptive controls using IoT sensors and Model Predictive Control to optimize energy while managing pollutant concentrations, and mandatory IAQ standards rooted in stakeholder education. By framing classrooms as interconnected engineering systems, this work provides actionable insights for architects, engineers, policymakers, and administrators, positioning future school design toward resilience, sustainability, and human-centred health outcomes. Full article
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22 pages, 5127 KB  
Article
Wind-Driven Structure-to-Structure Fire Spread: Validating a Physics-Based Model for Outdoor Built Environments
by Mahmoud S. Waly, Guan Heng Yeoh and Maryam Ghodrat
Fire 2026, 9(3), 119; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030119 - 6 Mar 2026
Viewed by 390
Abstract
Recently, numerous countries have experienced devastating wildfires, leading to significant destruction and loss of life. These catastrophic events highlight the shortcomings in current building regulations and testing methods. There is a pressing need for a more profound understanding of the characteristics and behaviour [...] Read more.
Recently, numerous countries have experienced devastating wildfires, leading to significant destruction and loss of life. These catastrophic events highlight the shortcomings in current building regulations and testing methods. There is a pressing need for a more profound understanding of the characteristics and behaviour of large outdoor fires to address these inadequacies effectively. Wildfires can spread to structures located at the wildland–urban interface, leading to further fire propagation from one building to another. In this study, the Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS) model was validated using experimental data from the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). The experiment consisted of a target wall and a small wooden shed containing six wooden cribs as fuel, with a separation distance of 3 m. Both FDS and the experiment proved that 3 m is the safe separation distance. Different shed materials, such as steel, were used, which reduced the total heat release rate by 40% and the flame height by 20%. The effects of wind speed and direction were investigated using two wooden sheds in FDS to observe fire spread between them. The safe separation distance was 3 m for both wind speeds (2 and 5 m/s) in all directions, where the critical temperature was not reached to cause self-ignition of the second shed, except in the north direction (inward) at a speed of 5 m/s. When the separation distance increased to 3.5 m, the average heat flux at the other shed reduced to 3.18 kW/m2, which did not cause self-ignition. Therefore, the safe separation distance between two structures for a wind speed of 5 m/s should be 3.5 m to mitigate the spread of fire based on the shed dimensions and the fire source load. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Fire Safety in the Built Environment)
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26 pages, 14884 KB  
Review
A Review on Forest Fire Detection Techniques: Past, Present, and Sustainable Future
by Alimul Haque Khan, Ali Newaz Bahar and Khan Wahid
Sensors 2026, 26(5), 1609; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26051609 - 4 Mar 2026
Viewed by 493
Abstract
Forest fires are a major concern due to their significant impact on the environment, economy, and wildlife habitats. Efficient early detection systems can significantly mitigate their devastating effects. This paper provides a comprehensive review of forest fire detection (FFD) techniques and traces their [...] Read more.
Forest fires are a major concern due to their significant impact on the environment, economy, and wildlife habitats. Efficient early detection systems can significantly mitigate their devastating effects. This paper provides a comprehensive review of forest fire detection (FFD) techniques and traces their evolution from basic lookout-based methods to sophisticated remote sensing technologies, including recent Internet of Things (IoT)- and Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV)-based sensor network systems. Historical methods, characterized primarily by human surveillance and basic electronic sensors, laid the foundation for modern techniques. Recently, there has been a noticeable shift toward ground-based sensors, automated camera systems, aerial surveillance using drones and aircraft, and satellite imaging. Moreover, the rise of Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML), and the IoT introduces a new era of advanced detection capabilities. These detection systems are being actively deployed in wildfire-prone regions, where early alerts have proven critical in minimizing damage and aiding rapid response. All FFD techniques follow a common path of data collection, pre-processing, data compression, transmission, and post-processing. Providing sufficient power to complete these tasks is also an important area of research. Recent research focuses on image compression techniques, data transmission, the application of ML and AI at edge nodes and servers, and the minimization of energy consumption, among other emerging directions. However, to build a sustainable FFD model, proper sensor deployment is essential. Sensors can be either fixed at specific geographic locations or attached to UAVs. In some cases, a combination of fixed and UAV-mounted sensors may be used. Careful planning of sensor deployment is essential for the success of the model. Moreover, ensuring adequate energy supply for both ground-based and UAV-based sensors is important. Replacing sensor batteries or recharging UAVs in remote areas is highly challenging, particularly in the absence of an operator. Hence, future FFD systems must prioritize not only detection accuracy but also long-term energy autonomy and strategic sensor placement. Integrating renewable energy sources, optimizing data processing, and ensuring minimal human intervention will be key to developing truly sustainable and scalable solutions. This review aims to guide researchers and developers in designing next-generation FFD systems aligned with practical field demands and environmental resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Environmental Sensing)
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20 pages, 1103 KB  
Article
Who Does What? Shared Responsibility for Wildfire Management and the Imperative of Public Engagement: Evidence from Whistler, Western Canada
by Adeniyi P. Asiyanbi
Fire 2026, 9(3), 114; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030114 - 3 Mar 2026
Viewed by 400
Abstract
In Canada and elsewhere, there is an ascendancy of a whole-of-society approach that centres shared responsibility for wildfire management. This article engages the debates on the rise of shared responsibility for wildfire management to argue that this context demands a renewed research focus [...] Read more.
In Canada and elsewhere, there is an ascendancy of a whole-of-society approach that centres shared responsibility for wildfire management. This article engages the debates on the rise of shared responsibility for wildfire management to argue that this context demands a renewed research focus on understanding how the public allocates responsibility for wildfire management. We illustrate this argument through a case study of public engagement with wildfire risk and shared responsibility in Whistler, British Columbia, western Canada. Our case study draws on evidence from a quantitative survey administered to 1311 participants in the spring and summer of 2024. The study reveals a near-universal concern about wildfires among the participants and a high level of risk perception. This is consistent with community climate and wildfire reports and plans. This level of concern is driving a high level of mitigation activity completion among participants, even though the level of preparedness is mixed. Our study found a marked pattern of responsibility allocation across the phases of wildfire management. Participants put the municipal government at the forefront of mitigation, preparedness, and response. The provincial government was ranked as most responsible for recovery. Homeowner responsibility declined as one moves from mitigation and preparedness through to response and recovery. Private actors, such as insurance, have greater responsibility in the recovery phase. Multivariate General Linear Models (GLMs) show that how respondents allocate responsibility for various aspects of wildfire management is influenced by home ownership, prior wildfire experience, perceived preparedness, and commitment to bearing the costs of FireSmart assessment. We conclude that a sustained research commitment is needed to further elucidate the dynamics of public expectations and attitudes in the context of shared responsibility for wildfire management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Fire Social Science)
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14 pages, 305 KB  
Article
Early Gestational Wildfire-Related PM2.5 Exposure Is Associated with Lung Function in Offspring of Mothers with Asthma
by Gabriela Martins Costa Gomes, Adam M. Collison, Vanessa E. Murphy, Bronwyn K. Brew, Paul D. Robinson, Geoffrey G. Morgan, Karthik Gopi, Peter G. Gibson, Wilfried Karmaus and Joerg Mattes
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2026, 23(3), 314; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph23030314 - 3 Mar 2026
Viewed by 383
Abstract
Background: Prenatal exposure to air pollutants may increase the risk of adverse respiratory outcomes, particularly in offspring of asthmatic mothers. Evidence on wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure during pregnancy remains limited. This study investigated associations between early gestational wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure, infant lung [...] Read more.
Background: Prenatal exposure to air pollutants may increase the risk of adverse respiratory outcomes, particularly in offspring of asthmatic mothers. Evidence on wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure during pregnancy remains limited. This study investigated associations between early gestational wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure, infant lung function, and respiratory outcomes at 6 years. Methods: Gestational wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure patterns were characterised using group-based trajectory modelling and linked to infant lung function outcomes. Infant respiratory measurements were obtained at six weeks of age during behaviourally defined quiet sleep using tidal-breathing flow–volume loops (TBFVL). Airway mechanics at six years were assessed by impulse oscillometry (IOS) following international guideline standards. Trajectory modelling of PM2.5 during gestation was conducted in SAS (PROC TRAJ); all additional statistical analyses were performed in Stata IC 16.1. Results: Increased mean tidal inspiratory flow (MTIF, beta coefficient [β]: 10.51 mL/s, 95% CI: 3.66 to 17.36, p = 0.003) and peak tidal inspiratory flow (PTIF, β: 12.49 mL/s, 95% CI: 2.48 to 22.51, p = 0.014) were observed in infants born to mothers with higher wildfire-related PM2.5 exposure during early gestation (n = 420; n = 411 not exposed, n = 9 exposed). β-coefficients from infant mixed models were then used as proxy indicators and applied in linear regression models and associated with higher reactance at 5 Hz frequency (n = 73) at 6 years of age (PTIF: β: 9.88 mL/s, 95% CI: 0.10 to 19.67, p = 0.048 and MTIF: β: 13.43 mL/s, 95% CI: 1.43 to 25.44, p = 0.029). PTIF was further associated with asthma diagnoses at 6 years (aOR: 1.36, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.73, p = 0.012; n = 259; n = 116 asthma). Conclusion: Early gestational exposure to wildfire-related PM2.5 may be linked with altered respiratory patterns in infancy and differences in airway reactance during childhood. Findings also suggest a relationship with asthma risk, although mechanisms remain uncertain. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Maternal and Fetal Exposure to Air Pollution)
20 pages, 2393 KB  
Article
Prediction Model for Lightning-Ignited Fire Occurrence Across Different Vegetation Types
by Yuxin Zhao, Liqing Si, Jianhua Du, Ye Tian, Change Zheng and Fengjun Zhao
Forests 2026, 17(3), 315; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17030315 - 2 Mar 2026
Viewed by 242
Abstract
Lightning is a major natural ignition source of wildfires across forest, grassland, and cropland ecosystems. Accurate prediction of lightning-ignited fire occurrence remains challenging due to uncertainties in spatiotemporal alignment caused by vegetation-dependent smoldering delays and the difficulty of representing heterogeneous fuel conditions in [...] Read more.
Lightning is a major natural ignition source of wildfires across forest, grassland, and cropland ecosystems. Accurate prediction of lightning-ignited fire occurrence remains challenging due to uncertainties in spatiotemporal alignment caused by vegetation-dependent smoldering delays and the difficulty of representing heterogeneous fuel conditions in mixed-vegetation regions. This study proposes a semi-automated lightning–fire alignment framework that integrates land cover information and historical fire records to improve spatiotemporal matching across different vegetation types and to reduce misclassification from human-induced fires in agricultural areas. To better characterize fuel conditions, two feature-level vegetation fusion parameters—total vegetation cover and leaf area index weight—are introduced and combined with hourly meteorological variables and lightning characteristics to develop a tuned random forest prediction model. The framework is applied at a regional scale in the Greater Khingan Mountains and southwestern forest regions of China, with predictions conducted at an event-based temporal scale using hourly inputs. The vegetation-fused model achieves an AUC of 0.93, outperforming models without vegetation fusion. Analysis of model outputs indicates that hourly maximum temperature, leaf area index weight, precipitation, and wind speed are key factors influencing lightning-ignited fire occurrence. This study demonstrates the value of semi-automated alignment and vegetation feature fusion for improving lightning-ignited fire prediction in heterogeneous landscapes, supporting regional wildfire risk assessment and potential early-warning applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advanced Technologies for Forest Fire Detection and Monitoring)
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25 pages, 8877 KB  
Article
Numerical Investigation of Surface–Atmosphere Interaction and Fire Danger in Northern Portugal: Insights into the Wildfires on July 29, 2025
by Flavio Tiago Couto, Cátia Campos, Federico Javier Beron de la Puente, Paulo Vítor de Albuquerque Mendes, Hugo Nunes Andrade, Katyelle Ferreira da Silva Bezerra, Nuno Andrade, Filippe Lemos Maia Santos, Natalia Verónica Revollo, André Becker Nunes and Rui Salgado
Fire 2026, 9(3), 111; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030111 - 2 Mar 2026
Viewed by 486
Abstract
The 2025 fire season in Portugal was marked by large fires, underscoring the vulnerability of the forested areas to fire. The study analyzes the main meteorological conditions during a critical period of fire activity and addresses the following question: Why can the northeast [...] Read more.
The 2025 fire season in Portugal was marked by large fires, underscoring the vulnerability of the forested areas to fire. The study analyzes the main meteorological conditions during a critical period of fire activity and addresses the following question: Why can the northeast (NE) weather pattern be so critical for fire danger in Portugal? Fire severity in the Arouca wildfire, the largest fire of the period, was estimated using a methodology that integrates foundation vision models with computer vision algorithms. ECMWF analyses and convection-permitting Meso-NH simulations are used to examine large-scale circulation and the mesoscale environment, respectively. Synoptic-scale analysis revealed the Azores anticyclone centered slightly northwest of the Iberian Peninsula (IP), with its eastern sector directly affecting the northern IP under north/northeast winds. The hectometric-scale simulation demonstrated that orographically enhanced wind gusts over the northern Portuguese mountains substantially intensified near-surface fire-weather conditions when the winds were nearly easterly. Furthermore, strong low-level winds and atmospheric stability constrained vertical plume growth, favoring horizontal smoke transport. In addition, the study highlights that Arouca’s fire had 88% of its area affected with moderate to high severity. Overall, the results demonstrate that the interaction between large-scale NE circulation and local orography plays a decisive role in amplifying fire danger in northern Portugal, emphasizing the need for high-resolution atmospheric modeling to identify fire-prone regions under specific synoptic patterns. Full article
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24 pages, 18698 KB  
Article
Wind Speed Prediction Based on AM-BiLSTM Improved by PSO-VMD for Forest Fire Spread
by Haining Zhu, Shuwen Liu, Huimin Jia, Sanping Li, Liangkuan Zhu and Xingdong Li
Fire 2026, 9(3), 110; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030110 - 2 Mar 2026
Viewed by 345
Abstract
This study focuses on enhancing wind speed prediction for wildfire spread simulation by proposing an integrated forecasting approach. The original wind speed series is first processed via variational mode decomposition (VMD), with its parameters [K, α] optimized via particle swarm optimization (PSO). [...] Read more.
This study focuses on enhancing wind speed prediction for wildfire spread simulation by proposing an integrated forecasting approach. The original wind speed series is first processed via variational mode decomposition (VMD), with its parameters [K, α] optimized via particle swarm optimization (PSO). Every intrinsic mode function (IMF) resulting from this decomposition is predicted using a bidirectional long short-term memory model incorporating an attention mechanism (AM-BiLSTM), and the final wind series is reconstructed from these predictions. Model training and validation were conducted using data from controlled burning experiments in the Mao’er Mountain area of Heilongjiang Province, China. Predictive performance is evaluated through multiple statistical metrics, error distribution analysis, and Taylor diagrams. To assess practical utility, the predicted wind field is further applied in FARSITE to drive wildfire spread simulations. Results demonstrate that the PSO-VMD-AM-BiLSTM model provides reliable wind forecasts and contributes to improved fire spread prediction accuracy, indicating its potential for decision support in wildfire management. To achieve accurate forest fire spread prediction, we construct the MCNN model, which is based on early perception of understory wind fields using predicted wind speed data and adopts a multi-branch convolutional neural network architecture to extract fire spread features. FARSITE is employed to simulate forest fire spread in the Mao’er Mountain region, generating a dataset for model training and testing. After 50 training epochs, the loss value of the MCNN model converges, achieving optimal prediction performance when the combustion threshold is set to 0.7. Compared to models such as CNN, DCIGN, and DNN, MCNN shows improvements in evaluation metrics including precision, recall, Sørensen coefficient, and Kappa coefficient. To validate the model’s predictive performance in real fire scenarios, four field ignition experiments were conducted at the Liutiao Village test site: homogeneous fuel combustion, long fire line combustion, alternating fuel combustion, and multiple ignition source merging combustion. Comprehensive evaluation across the four experiments indicates that the model achieves precision, recall, Sørensen coefficient, and Kappa coefficient values of 0.940, 0.965, 0.953, and 0.940, respectively, with stable prediction errors below 6%. These results represent improvements over the comparative models DCIGN and DNN. The proposed MCNN model can adapt to forest fire spread prediction under different scenarios, offering a novel approach for accurate forest fire prediction and prevention. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Smart Firefighting Technologies and Advanced Materials)
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27 pages, 1491 KB  
Review
A Review of Two-Dimensional Cellular Automata Models for Wildfire Simulation: Methods, Capabilities, and Limitations
by Ioannis Karakonstantis and George Xylomenos
Fire 2026, 9(3), 108; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9030108 - 2 Mar 2026
Viewed by 415
Abstract
Two-dimensional cellular automata (CA) models are widely used for wildfire simulation due to their clean representation of environment and fire mechanics and their computational efficiency. In this review we describe the mechanisms through which forestry fuel characteristics, topographic features, firefighting suppression strategies, fire [...] Read more.
Two-dimensional cellular automata (CA) models are widely used for wildfire simulation due to their clean representation of environment and fire mechanics and their computational efficiency. In this review we describe the mechanisms through which forestry fuel characteristics, topographic features, firefighting suppression strategies, fire spotting behavior and meteorological conditions are represented and integrated within these models. While these models are effective for large scale simulations, in which high precision is not critical, their reliance on discrete representations of space and time, along with simplified local state transition rules, introduces additional challenges and limitations. This review presents key methodologies, hybrid implementations, and model extensions of CA-based wildfire simulation models, highlighting their inherent strengths, limitations, and practical challenges. In addition, it provides a classification of the computational and simulation techniques applied to wildfire spread and behavior. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Firebreak Optimization in Fire Prevention)
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19 pages, 3928 KB  
Article
Particle Size Characteristics at the Top of Biomass Burning Plumes Based on Two Case Studies
by Makiko Nakata, Sonoyo Mukai and Souichiro Hioki
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(5), 747; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18050747 - 1 Mar 2026
Viewed by 207
Abstract
Biomass burning aerosols (BBA) released from large-scale wildfires pose a serious threat worldwide, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of their plume characteristics. To address this challenge, this study used satellite data provided by the Second-generation Global Imager (SGLI) aboard the Global Change Observation Mission-C [...] Read more.
Biomass burning aerosols (BBA) released from large-scale wildfires pose a serious threat worldwide, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of their plume characteristics. To address this challenge, this study used satellite data provided by the Second-generation Global Imager (SGLI) aboard the Global Change Observation Mission-C and regional-scale numerical chemical transport model (CTM) simulations to characterize BBA plumes. The SGLI data and CTM simulations were compared and verified, and the 3D characteristics of BBA plumes, including concentration, diffusion range, spatial variation in optical properties, plume top height, and vertical profile, were subsequently derived. In this study, we focused on large-scale forest fires that occurred in western North America in September 2020 and Indonesia in September 2019. In both cases, Aerosol optical thickness (AOT) and Ångström Exponent (AE) values show a positive correlation with the height of the BBA plume top. The results showed that the higher the BBA plume top, the thicker the plume and the smaller the aerosol size. This point is what we particularly wish to highlight in this study. The SGLI polarization data proved useful for characterizing the upper layers of the BBA plumes. By understanding the detailed characteristics at the top of the plume, it is possible to predict the BBA plume’s advection and lifetime. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Aerosol Remote Sensing from Space, Ground or Computers)
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