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18 pages, 4370 KiB  
Article
The Multi-Objective Optimization of a Dual C-Type Gold Ribbon Interconnect Structure Considering Its Geometrical Parameter Fluctuation
by Guangmi Li, Song Xue, Jinyang Mu, Shaoyi Liu, Qiongfang Zhang, Wenzhi Wu, Zhihai Wang, Zhen Ma, Dongchao Diwu and Congsi Wang
Micromachines 2025, 16(8), 914; https://doi.org/10.3390/mi16080914 - 7 Aug 2025
Abstract
With the increasing demand for high integration, low cost, and large capacities in satellite systems, integrating the antenna and microwave component into the same system has become appealing to the satellite engineer. The dual C-type gold ribbon, performing as the key electromagnetic signal [...] Read more.
With the increasing demand for high integration, low cost, and large capacities in satellite systems, integrating the antenna and microwave component into the same system has become appealing to the satellite engineer. The dual C-type gold ribbon, performing as the key electromagnetic signal bridge between the microwave component and the antenna, has a significant impact on the electrical performance of satellite antennas. However, during its manufacturing and operating, the interconnection geometry undergoes deformation due to mounting errors and environmental loads. Consequently, these parasitic geometry parameters can significantly increase energy loss during the signal transmission. To address this issue, this paper has proposed a method for determining the design range of the geometrical parameters of the dual C-type gold ribbon, and applied it to the performance prediction of the microstrip antennas and the parameter optimization of the gold ribbon. In this study, a mechanical response analysis of the antennas in the operating environment has been carried out and the manufacturing disturbance has been considered to calculate the geometry fluctuation range. Then, the significance ranking of the geometry parameters has been determined and the key parameters have been selected. Finally, the chaos feedback adaptive whale optimization algorithm–back propagation neural network has been used as a surrogate model to establish the relationship between the geometry parameters and the antenna electromagnetic performance, and the multi-objective red-billed blue magpie optimization algorithm has been combined with the surrogate model to optimize the configuration parameters. This paper provides theoretical guidance for the interconnection geometry design and the optimization of the integration module of the antennas and microwave components. Full article
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23 pages, 12563 KiB  
Article
Optimization of Grouser–Track Structural Parameters for Enhanced Tractive Performance in Unmanned Amphibious Tracked Vehicles
by Yaoyao Chen, Xiaojun Xu, Wenhao Wang, Xue Gao and Congnan Yang
Actuators 2025, 14(8), 390; https://doi.org/10.3390/act14080390 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study focuses on optimizing track and grouser structural parameters to enhance UATV drawbar pull, particularly under soft soil conditions. A numerical soil thrust model for single-track shoes was developed based on track–soil interaction mechanics, revealing distinct mechanistic roles: track structural parameters (length/width) [...] Read more.
This study focuses on optimizing track and grouser structural parameters to enhance UATV drawbar pull, particularly under soft soil conditions. A numerical soil thrust model for single-track shoes was developed based on track–soil interaction mechanics, revealing distinct mechanistic roles: track structural parameters (length/width) govern pressure–sinkage relationships at the track base, while grouser structural parameters (height, spacing, V-shaped angle) dominate shear stress–displacement dynamics on grouser shear planes. A novel DEM-MBD coupling simulation framework was established through soil parameter calibration and multi-body dynamics modeling, demonstrating that soil thrust increases with grouser height and V-shaped angle, but decreases with spacing, with grouser height exhibiting the highest sensitivity. A soil bin test validated the numerical model’s accuracy and the coupling method’s efficacy. Parametric optimization via the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) achieved a 55.86% increase in drawbar pull, 40.38% reduction in ground contact pressure and 57.33% improvement in maximum gradability. These advancements substantially improve the tractive performance of UATVs in soft beach terrains. The proposed methodology provides a systematic framework for amphibious vehicle design, integrating numerical modeling, high-fidelity simulation, and experimental validation. Full article
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17 pages, 3074 KiB  
Article
Finite Element Model Updating for a Continuous Beam-Arch Composite Bridge Based on the RSM and a Nutcracker Optimization Algorithm
by Weihua Zhou, Hongyin Yang, Jing Hao, Mengxiang Zhai, Hongyou Cao, Zhangjun Liu and Kang Wang
Sensors 2025, 25(15), 4831; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25154831 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
Accurate finite element (FE) models are essential for the safety assessment of civil engineering structures. However, obtaining reliable model parameters for existing bridges remains challenging due to the inability to conduct static load tests without disrupting traffic flow. To address this, this study [...] Read more.
Accurate finite element (FE) models are essential for the safety assessment of civil engineering structures. However, obtaining reliable model parameters for existing bridges remains challenging due to the inability to conduct static load tests without disrupting traffic flow. To address this, this study proposes an FE model updating framework that integrates the response surface method and the nutcracker optimization algorithm (NOA). This framework is characterized by the incorporation of ambient vibration data into parameter optimization, thereby enhancing model accuracy. The stochastic subspace identification method is first adopted to extract the bridge’s natural frequencies from vibration data. The response surface method is then employed to construct a response surface function that approximates the FE model. The NOA is subsequently applied to iteratively optimize this response surface function, ensuring rapid convergence and the precise adjustment of the FE model parameter. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed framework, a continuous beam–arch composite bridge with a span of 204.783 m was selected as a case study. The results indicate that the proposed method reduced the average frequency error from 5.58% to 2.75% by updating the model parameters. While the whale optimization algorithm required 21 iterations and the grey wolf optimizer needed 41 iterations to converge near the minimum, the NOA achieved this in merely 13 iterations, demonstrating the NOA’s superior convergence speed. Furthermore, the NOA significantly outperformed both the whale optimization algorithm and the grey wolf optimizer in reducing the error of the first transverse vibration frequency. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Fault Diagnosis & Sensors)
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21 pages, 21837 KiB  
Article
Decoding China’s Transport Decarbonization Pathways: An Interpretable Spatio-Temporal Neural Network Approach with Scenario-Driven Policy Implications
by Yanming Sun, Kaixin Liu and Qingli Li
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7102; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157102 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The transportation sector, as a major source of carbon emissions, plays a crucial role in the realization of dual carbon goals worldwide. In this study, an improved least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) is used to identify six key factors affecting transportation [...] Read more.
The transportation sector, as a major source of carbon emissions, plays a crucial role in the realization of dual carbon goals worldwide. In this study, an improved least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) is used to identify six key factors affecting transportation carbon emissions (TCEs) in China. Aiming at the spatio-temporal characteristics of transportation carbon emissions, a CNN-BiLSTM neural network model is constructed for the first time for prediction, and an improved whale optimization algorithm (EWOA) is introduced for hyperparameter optimization, finding that the prediction model combining spatio-temporal characteristics has a more significant prediction accuracy, and scenario forecasting was carried out using the prediction model. Research indicates that over the past three decades, TCEs have demonstrated a rapid growth trend. Under the baseline, green, low-carbon, and high-carbon scenarios, peak carbon emissions are expected in 2035, 2031, 2030, and 2040. The adoption of a low-carbon scenario represents the most advantageous pathway for the sustainable progression of China’s transportation sector. Consequently, it is imperative for China to accelerate the formulation and implementation of low-carbon policies, promote the application of clean energy and facilitate the green transformation of the transportation sector. These efforts will contribute to the early realization of dual-carbon goals with a positive impact on global sustainable development. Full article
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35 pages, 4098 KiB  
Article
Prediction of Earthquake Death Toll Based on Principal Component Analysis, Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm, and Extreme Gradient Boosting
by Chenhui Wang, Xiaotao Zhang, Xiaoshan Wang and Guoping Chang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8660; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158660 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Earthquakes, as one of the most destructive natural disasters, often cause significant casualties and severe economic losses. Accurate prediction of earthquake fatalities is of great importance for pre-disaster prevention and mitigation planning, as well as post-disaster emergency response deployment. To address the challenges [...] Read more.
Earthquakes, as one of the most destructive natural disasters, often cause significant casualties and severe economic losses. Accurate prediction of earthquake fatalities is of great importance for pre-disaster prevention and mitigation planning, as well as post-disaster emergency response deployment. To address the challenges of small sample sizes, high dimensionality, and strong nonlinearity in earthquake fatality prediction, this paper proposes an integrated modeling approach (PCA-IWOA-XGBoost) combining Principal Component Analysis (PCA), the Improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). The method first employs PCA to reduce the dimensionality of the influencing factor data, eliminating redundant information and improving modeling efficiency. Subsequently, the IWOA is used to intelligently optimize key hyperparameters of the XGBoost model, enhancing the prediction accuracy and stability. Using 42 major earthquake events in China from 1970 to 2025 as a case study, covering regions including the west (e.g., Tonghai in Yunnan, Wenchuan, Jiuzhaigou), central (e.g., Lushan in Sichuan, Ya’an), east (e.g., Tangshan, Yingkou), north (e.g., Baotou in Inner Mongolia, Helinger), northwest (e.g., Jiashi in Xinjiang, Wushi, Yongdeng in Gansu), and southwest (e.g., Lancang in Yunnan, Lijiang, Ludian), the empirical results showed that the PCA-IWOA-XGBoost model achieved an average test set accuracy of 97.0%, a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.996, a root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE) reduced to 4.410 and 3.430, respectively, and a residual prediction deviation (RPD) of 21.090. These results significantly outperformed the baseline XGBoost, PCA-XGBoost, and IWOA-XGBoost models, providing improved technical support for earthquake disaster risk assessment and emergency response. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Earth Sciences)
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29 pages, 5242 KiB  
Article
Low Carbon Economic Dispatch of Power System Based on Multi-Region Distributed Multi-Gradient Whale Optimization Algorithm
by Linfei Yin, Yongzi Ye, Xiaoping Xiong, Jiajia Chai, Hanzhong Cui and Haoyuan Li
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4143; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154143 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 73
Abstract
The rapid development of the modern power system puts forward high requirements for economic dispatch, and the defects of the traditional centralized economic dispatch method with low security and poor optimization effect have been difficult to adapt to the development of power system. [...] Read more.
The rapid development of the modern power system puts forward high requirements for economic dispatch, and the defects of the traditional centralized economic dispatch method with low security and poor optimization effect have been difficult to adapt to the development of power system. Therefore, finding an economic dispatch method that reduces electricity generation costs and CO2 emissions is important. This study establishes a multi-region distributed optimization model and combines the multi-region distributed optimization model with a multi-gradient optimization algorithm to propose a multi-region distributed multi-gradient whale optimization algorithm (MRDMGWOA). In this study, MRDMGWOA is simulated on the IEEE 39 system and 118 system, and its performance is compared with other heuristic algorithms. The results show that: (1) in the IEEE 39 system, MRDMGWOA reduces the power generation cost and CO2 emission by 17% and 22%, respectively, and reduces the computation time by 16.14 s compared with the centralized optimization; (2) in the IEEE 118 system, the two metrics are further optimized, with a 20% and 17% reduction in the cost and emission, respectively, and an improvement in the computational efficiency by 45.46 s; (3) in the spacing, hypervolume, and Euclidian metrics evaluation, MRDMGWOA outperforms other algorithms; (4) compared with the existing DMOGWO and DMOMFO, the computation time of MRDMGWOA is reduced by 177.49 s and 124.15 s, respectively, and the scheduling scheme obtained by MRDMGWOA is more optimal than DMOGWO and DMOMFO. Full article
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17 pages, 5658 KiB  
Communication
When DNA Tells the Tale: High-Resolution Melting as a Forensic Tool for Mediterranean Cetacean Identification
by Mariangela Norcia, Alessia Illiano, Barbara Mussi, Fabio Di Nocera, Emanuele Esposito, Anna Di Cosmo, Domenico Fulgione and Valeria Maselli
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26(15), 7517; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26157517 - 4 Aug 2025
Viewed by 230
Abstract
Effective species identification is crucial for the conservation and management of marine mammals, particularly in regions such as the Mediterranean Sea, where several cetacean populations are endangered or vulnerable. In this study, we developed and validated a High-Resolution Melting (HRM) analysis protocol for [...] Read more.
Effective species identification is crucial for the conservation and management of marine mammals, particularly in regions such as the Mediterranean Sea, where several cetacean populations are endangered or vulnerable. In this study, we developed and validated a High-Resolution Melting (HRM) analysis protocol for the rapid, cost-effective, and reliable identification of the four representative marine cetacean species that occur in the Mediterranean Sea: the bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus), the striped dolphin (Stenella coeruleoalba), the sperm whale (Physeter macrocephalus), and the fin whale (Balaenoptera physalus). Species-specific primers targeting mitochondrial DNA regions (cytochrome b and D-loop) were designed to generate distinct melting profiles. The protocol was tested on both tissue and fecal samples, demonstrating high sensitivity, reproducibility, and discrimination power. The results confirmed the robustness of the method, with melting curve profiles clearly distinguishing the target species and achieving a success rate > 95% in identifying unknown samples. The use of HRM offers several advantages over traditional sequencing methods, including reduced cost, speed, portability, and suitability for degraded samples, such as those from the stranded individuals. This approach provides a valuable tool for non-invasive genetic surveys and real-time species monitoring, contributing to more effective conservation strategies for cetaceans and enforcement of regulations against illegal trade. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Molecular Insights into Zoology)
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27 pages, 4163 KiB  
Article
Rainfall Forecasting Using a BiLSTM Model Optimized by an Improved Whale Migration Algorithm and Variational Mode Decomposition
by Yueqiao Yang, Shichuang Li, Ting Zhou, Liang Zhao, Xiao Shi and Boni Du
Mathematics 2025, 13(15), 2483; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13152483 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 278
Abstract
The highly stochastic nature of rainfall presents significant challenges for the accurate prediction of its time series. To enhance the prediction performance of non-stationary rainfall time series, this study proposes a hybrid deep learning forecasting framework—VMD-IWMA-BiLSTM—that integrates Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), Improved Whale [...] Read more.
The highly stochastic nature of rainfall presents significant challenges for the accurate prediction of its time series. To enhance the prediction performance of non-stationary rainfall time series, this study proposes a hybrid deep learning forecasting framework—VMD-IWMA-BiLSTM—that integrates Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), Improved Whale Migration Algorithm (IWMA), and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory network (BiLSTM). Firstly, VMD is employed to decompose the original rainfall series into multiple modes, extracting Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) with more stable frequency characteristics. Secondly, IWMA is utilized to globally optimize multiple hyperparameters of the BiLSTM model, enhancing its ability to capture complex nonlinear relationships and long-term dependencies. Finally, experimental validation is conducted using daily rainfall data from 2020 to 2024 at the Xinzheng National Meteorological Observatory. The results demonstrate that the proposed framework outperforms traditional models such as LSTM, ARIMA, SVM, and LSSVM in terms of prediction accuracy. This research provides new insights and effective technical pathways for improving rainfall time series prediction accuracy and addressing the challenges posed by high randomness. Full article
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18 pages, 6130 KiB  
Article
Multi-Objective Optimization Design of Bearingless Interior Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motor Based on MOWOA
by Jianan Wang, Yizhou Hua, Boyan Xu and Yuchen Zhu
Electronics 2025, 14(15), 3080; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14153080 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 217
Abstract
Bearingless interior permanent magnet synchronous motors (BIPMSMs) have received considerable attention in recent research due to their advantages of high speed, high power density, and absence of mechanical wear. In order to improve the torque and suspension performance of the BIPMSM, an optimization [...] Read more.
Bearingless interior permanent magnet synchronous motors (BIPMSMs) have received considerable attention in recent research due to their advantages of high speed, high power density, and absence of mechanical wear. In order to improve the torque and suspension performance of the BIPMSM, an optimization design method of BIPMSM is proposed in this paper based on sensitivity analysis, response surface fitting, and the multi-objective whale optimization algorithm (MOWOA). Firstly, the structure and operation principle of the BIPMSM are introduced. Secondly, significant variables are extracted based on sensitivity analysis. Then, regression equations of the significant variables and optimization objectives are fitted by the response surface method, and global optimization is performed with MOWOA. Finally, the motor performance before and after optimization is compared. The results demonstrate that the proposed multi-objective optimization design scheme can significantly improve the performance of the BIPMSM and effectively shorten the design cycle. Full article
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23 pages, 783 KiB  
Article
An Effective QoS-Aware Hybrid Optimization Approach for Workflow Scheduling in Cloud Computing
by Min Cui and Yipeng Wang
Sensors 2025, 25(15), 4705; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25154705 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 198
Abstract
Workflow scheduling in cloud computing is attracting increasing attention. Cloud computing can assign tasks to available virtual machine resources in cloud data centers according to scheduling strategies, providing a powerful computing platform for the execution of workflow tasks. However, developing effective workflow scheduling [...] Read more.
Workflow scheduling in cloud computing is attracting increasing attention. Cloud computing can assign tasks to available virtual machine resources in cloud data centers according to scheduling strategies, providing a powerful computing platform for the execution of workflow tasks. However, developing effective workflow scheduling algorithms to find optimal or near-optimal task-to-VM allocation solutions that meet users’ specific QoS requirements still remains an open area of research. In this paper, we propose a hybrid QoS-aware workflow scheduling algorithm named HLWOA to address the problem of simultaneously minimizing the completion time and execution cost of workflow scheduling in cloud computing. First, the workflow scheduling problem in cloud computing is modeled as a multi-objective optimization problem. Then, based on the heterogeneous earliest finish time (HEFT) heuristic optimization algorithm, tasks are reverse topologically sorted and assigned to virtual machines with the earliest finish time to construct an initial workflow task scheduling sequence. Furthermore, an improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) based on Lévy flight is proposed. The output solution of HEFT is used as one of the initial population solutions in WOA to accelerate the convergence speed of the algorithm. Subsequently, a Lévy flight search strategy is introduced in the iterative optimization phase to avoid the algorithm falling into local optimal solutions. The proposed HLWOA is evaluated on the WorkflowSim platform using real-world scientific workflows (Cybershake and Montage) with different task scales (100 and 1000). Experimental results demonstrate that HLWOA outperforms HEFT, HEPGA, and standard WOA in both makespan and cost, with normalized fitness values consistently ranking first. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Internet of Things)
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24 pages, 6378 KiB  
Article
Comparative Analysis of Ensemble Machine Learning Methods for Alumina Concentration Prediction
by Xiang Xia, Xiangquan Li, Yanhong Wang and Jianheng Li
Processes 2025, 13(8), 2365; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13082365 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 332
Abstract
In the aluminum electrolysis production process, the traditional cell control method based on cell voltage and series current can no longer meet the goals of energy conservation, consumption reduction, and digital-intelligent transformation. Therefore, a new digital cell control technology that is centrally dependent [...] Read more.
In the aluminum electrolysis production process, the traditional cell control method based on cell voltage and series current can no longer meet the goals of energy conservation, consumption reduction, and digital-intelligent transformation. Therefore, a new digital cell control technology that is centrally dependent on various process parameters has become an urgent demand in the aluminum electrolysis industry. Among them, the real-time online measurement of alumina concentration is one of the key data points for implementing such technology. However, due to the harsh production environment and limitations of current sensor technologies, hardware-based detection of alumina concentration is difficult to achieve. To address this issue, this study proposes a soft-sensing model for alumina concentration based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network optimized by a weighted average algorithm (WAA). The proposed method outperforms BiLSTM, CNN-LSTM, CNN-BiLSTM, CNN-LSTM-Attention, and CNN-BiLSTM-Attention models in terms of predictive accuracy. In comparison to LSTM models optimized using the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Harris Hawks Optimization (HHO), Optuna, Tornado Optimization Algorithm (TOC), and Whale Migration Algorithm (WMA), the WAA-enhanced LSTM model consistently achieves significantly better performance. This superiority is evidenced by lower MAE and RMSE values, along with higher R2 and accuracy scores. The WAA-LSTM model remains stable throughout the training process and achieves the lowest final loss, further confirming the accuracy and superiority of the proposed approach. Full article
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32 pages, 9845 KiB  
Article
Real-Time Analysis of Millidecade Spectra for Ocean Sound Identification and Wind Speed Quantification
by Mojgan Mirzaei Hotkani, Bruce Martin, Jean Francois Bousquet and Julien Delarue
Acoustics 2025, 7(3), 44; https://doi.org/10.3390/acoustics7030044 - 24 Jul 2025
Viewed by 328
Abstract
This study introduces an algorithm for quantifying oceanic wind speed and identifying sound sources in the local underwater soundscape. Utilizing low-complexity metrics like one-minute spectral kurtosis and power spectral density levels, the algorithm categorizes different soundscapes and estimates wind speed. It detects rain, [...] Read more.
This study introduces an algorithm for quantifying oceanic wind speed and identifying sound sources in the local underwater soundscape. Utilizing low-complexity metrics like one-minute spectral kurtosis and power spectral density levels, the algorithm categorizes different soundscapes and estimates wind speed. It detects rain, vessels, fin and blue whales, as well as clicks and whistles from dolphins. Positioned as a foundational tool for implementing the Ocean Sound Essential Ocean Variable (EOV), it contributes to understanding long-term trends in climate change for sustainable ocean health and predicting threats through forecasts. The proposed soundscape classification algorithm, validated using extensive acoustic recordings (≥32 kHz) collected at various depths and latitudes, demonstrates high performance, achieving an average precision of 89% and an average recall of 86.59% through optimized parameter tuning via a genetic algorithm. Here, wind speed is determined using a cubic function with power spectral density (PSD) at 6 kHz and the MASLUW method, exhibiting strong agreement with satellite data below 15 m/s. Designed for compatibility with low-power electronics, the algorithm can be applied to both archival datasets and real-time data streams. It provides a straightforward metric for ocean monitoring and sound source identification. Full article
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20 pages, 13715 KiB  
Article
Dynamic Reconfiguration for Energy Management in EV and RES-Based Grids Using IWOA
by Hossein Lotfi, Mohammad Hassan Nikkhah and Mohammad Ebrahim Hajiabadi
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 412; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080412 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 211
Abstract
Effective energy management is vital for enhancing reliability, reducing operational costs, and supporting the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy sources (RESs) in distribution networks. This study presents a dynamic reconfiguration strategy for distribution feeders that integrates EV charging stations [...] Read more.
Effective energy management is vital for enhancing reliability, reducing operational costs, and supporting the increasing penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy sources (RESs) in distribution networks. This study presents a dynamic reconfiguration strategy for distribution feeders that integrates EV charging stations (EVCSs), RESs, and capacitors. The goal is to minimize both Energy Not Supplied (ENS) and operational costs, particularly under varying demand conditions caused by EV charging in grid-to-vehicle (G2V) and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) modes. To improve optimization accuracy and avoid local optima, an improved Whale Optimization Algorithm (IWOA) is employed, featuring a mutation mechanism based on Lévy flight. The model also incorporates uncertainties in electricity prices and consumer demand, as well as a demand response (DR) program, to enhance practical applicability. Simulation studies on a 95-bus test system show that the proposed approach reduces ENS by 16% and 20% in the absence and presence of distributed generation (DG) and EVCSs, respectively. Additionally, the operational cost is significantly reduced compared to existing methods. Overall, the proposed framework offers a scalable and intelligent solution for smart grid integration and distribution network modernization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Power and Energy Systems for E-Mobility, 2nd Edition)
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38 pages, 6893 KiB  
Article
A New Eco-Physical, Individual-Based Model of Humpback Whale (Megaptera novaeangliae, Borowski, 1781) Swimming and Diving
by Marisa González Félix, Jennifer Coston-Guarini, Pascal Rivière and Jean-Marc Guarini
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(8), 1388; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13081388 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 335
Abstract
Among marine organisms, baleen whale species like the humpback whale (Megaptera novaeangliae) are a case for which individual-based models are necessary to study population changes because individual trait variabilities predominate over average demographic rates to govern population dynamics. These models require [...] Read more.
Among marine organisms, baleen whale species like the humpback whale (Megaptera novaeangliae) are a case for which individual-based models are necessary to study population changes because individual trait variabilities predominate over average demographic rates to govern population dynamics. These models require quantification of individual organisms’ dynamics with respect to local conditions, which implies optimal strategy frameworks cannot be used. Instead, to quantify how individuals perform according to the environmental conditions they encounter, we formulated a model linking individual mechanical characteristics of swimming and diving with their aerobic metabolism and behavior. The model simulates the dynamics of swimming and diving for the reported range of whale sizes (1000 to 50,000 kg). Additional processes simulate foraging events including rapid accelerations and water engulfment, which modifies whale shape, weight and drag. Simulations show how the energy cost of swimming at equilibrium increases geometrically with velocity and linearly with mass. The duration and distance covered under apnea vary monotonically with mass but not with velocity; hence, there is a positive mass-dependent optimal velocity that maximizes the distance and duration of apnea. The dive limit was explored with a combination of the physiological state, mechanical force produced and distance to return to surface. This combination is imposed as an inequality constraint on the whale individual. The inequality constraint, transformed as a multi-layer perceptron, which continuously processes information about oxygen, depth and relative velocity, provides the whale individual with autonomous decision-making about whether or not to continue the dive. The results also highlight where missing metabolic information is needed to simulate the dynamics of a population of autonomous individuals at the scale of the Global Ocean. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Marine Biology)
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24 pages, 17460 KiB  
Article
Improved Pacific Decadal Oscillation Prediction by an Optimizing Model Combined Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory and Multiple Modal Decomposition
by Hang Yu, Junbo Lei, Pengfei Lin, Tao Zhang, Hailong Liu, Huilin Lai, Lindong Lai, Bowen Zhao and Bo Wu
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2537; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152537 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 355
Abstract
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), as the dominant mode of decadal sea surface temperature variability in the North Pacific, exhibits both interannual and decadal fluctuations that significantly influence global climate. The complexity associated with PDO changes poses challenges for accurate predictions. This study [...] Read more.
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), as the dominant mode of decadal sea surface temperature variability in the North Pacific, exhibits both interannual and decadal fluctuations that significantly influence global climate. The complexity associated with PDO changes poses challenges for accurate predictions. This study develops a BiLSTM-WOA-MMD (BWM) model, which integrates a bidirectional long short-term memory network with a whale optimization algorithm (WOA) and multiple modal decomposition (MMD), to forecast PDO at both interannual and decadal time scales. The model successfully predicts monthly/annual average PDO index of up to 15 months/5 years in advance, achieving a correlation coefficient of 0.56/0.55. By utilizing the WOA to effectively optimize hyperparameters, the model enhances the PDO prediction skill compared to existing deep learning PDO prediction models, improving the correlation coefficient from 0.47 to 0.68 at a 6-month lead time. The combination of MMD and WOA further minimizes prediction errors and extends the forecasting effective time to 15 months by capturing essential modes. The BWM model can be employed for future PDO prediction and the predicted PDO will remain in its cool phase in the next year both using the PDO index from NECI and derived from near-time satellite data. This proposed model offers an effective way to advance the prediction skill of climate variability on multiple time scales by utilizing all kinds of data available including satellite data, and provides a large-scale background to monitor marine heatwaves. Full article
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