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21 pages, 2149 KiB  
Article
An Improved Optimal Cloud Entropy Extension Cloud Model for the Risk Assessment of Soft Rock Tunnels in Fault Fracture Zones
by Shuangqing Ma, Yongli Xie, Junling Qiu, Jinxing Lai and Hao Sun
Buildings 2025, 15(15), 2700; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15152700 (registering DOI) - 31 Jul 2025
Abstract
Existing risk assessment approaches for soft rock tunnels in fault-fractured zones typically employ single weighting schemes, inadequately integrate subjective and objective weights, and fail to define clear risk. This study proposes a risk-grading methodology that integrates an enhanced game theoretic weight-balancing algorithm with [...] Read more.
Existing risk assessment approaches for soft rock tunnels in fault-fractured zones typically employ single weighting schemes, inadequately integrate subjective and objective weights, and fail to define clear risk. This study proposes a risk-grading methodology that integrates an enhanced game theoretic weight-balancing algorithm with an optimized cloud entropy extension cloud model. Initially, a comprehensive indicator system encompassing geological (surrounding rock grade, groundwater conditions, fault thickness, dip, and strike), design (excavation cross-section shape, excavation span, and tunnel cross-sectional area), and support (initial support stiffness, support installation timing, and construction step length) parameters is established. Subjective weights obtained via the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) are combined with objective weights calculated using the entropy, coefficient of variation, and CRITIC methods and subsequently balanced through a game theoretic approach to mitigate bias and reconcile expert judgment with data objectivity. Subsequently, the optimized cloud entropy extension cloud algorithm quantifies the fuzzy relationships between indicators and risk levels, yielding a cloud association evaluation matrix for precise classification. A case study of a representative soft rock tunnel in a fault-fractured zone validates this method’s enhanced accuracy, stability, and rationality, offering a robust tool for risk management and design decision making in complex geological settings. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Construction Management, and Computers & Digitization)
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20 pages, 331 KiB  
Article
Antipredator Response in Domestic Japanese Quail and Game-Farmed Quail
by Pedro González-Redondo, Natalia Diego-Fuentes and Carlos Romero
Animals 2025, 15(15), 2237; https://doi.org/10.3390/ani15152237 - 30 Jul 2025
Abstract
Game-farmed quails that are currently raised in captivity and released in hunting preserves are not attractive for many hunters because of their low antipredator instinct, which is due to the fact that in most cases, these farm-reared quails are hybrids between European common [...] Read more.
Game-farmed quails that are currently raised in captivity and released in hunting preserves are not attractive for many hunters because of their low antipredator instinct, which is due to the fact that in most cases, these farm-reared quails are hybrids between European common (Coturnix coturnix) and Japanese (Coturnix japonica) quails, with the latter having been selectively bred for docility. This study aimed at assessing the antipredator response of game-farmed and Japanese quails by performing three tests: human approach test, simulated aerial predator approach test and tonic immobility test. Thirty game-farmed quails (average body weight: 133 g) and thirty Japanese quails (323 g) were subjected to the tests. For each genotype of quail, fifteen males and fifteen females were used. In the human approach test, the distance at which quails moved was greater for game-farmed quails than for Japanese ones (37.4 vs. 19.6 m, p < 0.001). In the simulated aerial predator approach test, female quails of the Japanese species crouched down at the longest distance with respect to the predator (9.83 m), whereas no significant difference existed for this trait among the other three groups (6.84 m, on average). The percentage of quails flying when the predator got closer was higher for the Japanese species than for the game-farmed quails (23.3 vs. 3.33%, p = 0.023). Fewer inductions were needed to cause tonic immobility in the game-farmed quails than in the Japanese ones (3.10 vs. 4.10, p = 0.009), but then, the duration of the tonic immobility response did not differ significantly between the two genotypes. No effect of sex was detected in the human approach and tonic immobility tests. In conclusion, as compared with Japanese quails, game-farmed quails showed more fearful behaviour when confronted with a human being. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Poultry)
19 pages, 1167 KiB  
Article
A Reservoir Group Flood Control Operation Decision-Making Risk Analysis Model Considering Indicator and Weight Uncertainties
by Tangsong Luo, Xiaofeng Sun, Hailong Zhou, Yueping Xu and Yu Zhang
Water 2025, 17(14), 2145; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17142145 - 18 Jul 2025
Viewed by 238
Abstract
Reservoir group flood control scheduling decision-making faces multiple uncertainties, such as dynamic fluctuations of evaluation indicators and conflicts in weight assignment. This study proposes a risk analysis model for the decision-making process: capturing the temporal uncertainties of flood control indicators (such as reservoir [...] Read more.
Reservoir group flood control scheduling decision-making faces multiple uncertainties, such as dynamic fluctuations of evaluation indicators and conflicts in weight assignment. This study proposes a risk analysis model for the decision-making process: capturing the temporal uncertainties of flood control indicators (such as reservoir maximum water level and downstream control section flow) through the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, constructing a feasible weight space including four scenarios (unique fixed value, uniform distribution, etc.), resolving conflicts among the weight results from four methods (Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), Entropy Weight, Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC), Principal Component Analysis (PCA)) using game theory, defining decision-making risk as the probability that the actual safety level fails to reach the evaluation threshold, and quantifying risks based on the First-Order Second-Moment (FOSM) method. Case verification in the cascade reservoirs of the Qiantang River Basin of China shows that the model provides a risk assessment framework integrating multi-source uncertainties for flood control scheduling decisions through probabilistic description of indicator uncertainties (e.g., Zmax1 with μ = 65.3 and σ = 8.5) and definition of weight feasible regions (99% weight distribution covered by the 3σ criterion), filling the methodological gap in risk quantification during the decision-making process in existing research. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Flood Risk Identification and Management, 2nd Edition)
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20 pages, 1606 KiB  
Article
Brain Tumour Segmentation Using Choquet Integrals and Coalition Game
by Makhlouf Derdour, Mohammed El Bachir Yahiaoui, Moustafa Sadek Kahil, Mohamed Gasmi and Mohamed Chahine Ghanem
Information 2025, 16(7), 615; https://doi.org/10.3390/info16070615 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 234
Abstract
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) have revolutionised various aspects of modern life, particularly in the medical domain. These technologies enable efficient solutions for complex challenges, such as accurately segmenting brain tumour regions, which significantly aid medical professionals in monitoring and treating [...] Read more.
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and computer-aided diagnosis (CAD) have revolutionised various aspects of modern life, particularly in the medical domain. These technologies enable efficient solutions for complex challenges, such as accurately segmenting brain tumour regions, which significantly aid medical professionals in monitoring and treating patients. This research focuses on segmenting glioma brain tumour lesions in MRI images by analysing them at the pixel level. The aim is to develop a deep learning-based approach that enables ensemble learning to achieve precise and consistent segmentation of brain tumours. While many studies have explored ensemble learning techniques in this area, most rely on aggregation functions like the Weighted Arithmetic Mean (WAM) without accounting for the interdependencies between classifier subsets. To address this limitation, the Choquet integral is employed for ensemble learning, along with a novel evaluation framework for fuzzy measures. This framework integrates coalition game theory, information theory, and Lambda fuzzy approximation. Three distinct fuzzy measure sets are computed using different weighting strategies informed by these theories. Based on these measures, three Choquet integrals are calculated for segmenting different components of brain lesions, and their outputs are subsequently combined. The BraTS-2020 online validation dataset is used to validate the proposed approach. Results demonstrate superior performance compared with several recent methods, achieving Dice Similarity Coefficients of 0.896, 0.851, and 0.792 and 95% Hausdorff distances of 5.96 mm, 6.65 mm, and 20.74 mm for the whole tumour, tumour core, and enhancing tumour core, respectively. Full article
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29 pages, 3413 KiB  
Article
An Integrated Design Method for Elderly-Friendly Game Products Based on Online Review Mining and the BTM–AHP–AD–TOPSIS Framework
by Hongjiao Wang, Yulin Zhao, Delai Men and Dingbang Luh
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(14), 7930; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15147930 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 246
Abstract
With the increase in the global aging population, the demand for elderly-friendly game products is growing rapidly. To address existing limitations, particularly in user demand extraction and design parameter setting, this study proposed a design framework integrating the BTM–AHP–AD–TOPSIS methods. The goal was [...] Read more.
With the increase in the global aging population, the demand for elderly-friendly game products is growing rapidly. To address existing limitations, particularly in user demand extraction and design parameter setting, this study proposed a design framework integrating the BTM–AHP–AD–TOPSIS methods. The goal was to accurately identify the core needs of elderly users and translate them into effective design solutions. User reviews of elderly-friendly game products were collected from e-commerce platforms using Python 3.8-based web scraping. The Biterm Topic Model (BTM) was employed to extract user needs from review texts. These needs were prioritized using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and translated into specific design parameters through Axiomatic Design (AD). Finally, the Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) was applied to comprehensively evaluate multiple design schemes and select the optimal solution. The results demonstrate that the proposed design path offers a holistic method for progressing from need extraction to design evaluation. It effectively overcomes previous limitations, including inefficient need extraction, limited scope, unclear need weighting, and unreasonable design parameters. This method enhances user acceptance and satisfaction while establishing rigorous design processes and scientific evaluation standards, making it well suited for developing elderly-friendly products. Full article
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21 pages, 1678 KiB  
Article
Addressing the Sustainability Challenges: Digital Economy Information Security Risk Assessment
by Fanke Li and Zhongqingyang Zhang
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6428; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146428 - 14 Jul 2025
Viewed by 326
Abstract
In the digital economy, sustainable development is based on digital technologies. However, information security issues arising from its use pose significant challenges to sustainable development. Assessing information security risks in the digital economy is crucial for sustainable development. This paper constructs an information [...] Read more.
In the digital economy, sustainable development is based on digital technologies. However, information security issues arising from its use pose significant challenges to sustainable development. Assessing information security risks in the digital economy is crucial for sustainable development. This paper constructs an information security risk assessment indicator system for the digital economy based on information ecology theory. Using game theory to combine CRITIC weights and entropy weights, the information security risk values for the digital economy in 29 provinces of China from 2019 to 2021 are calculated. Quantitative analysis is conducted using Ward’s method and the obstacle degree model. The combined weighting results indicate that the information security risks of the digital economy are mostly influenced by information infrastructure. Additionally, the spatio–temporal evolution pattern shows that the risk values of provinces vary to different degrees over time, with a distribution pattern of southern regions > northern regions > northwestern regions. Furthermore, the clustering results indicate that information technology is the primary cause of risk gaps. Finally, the obstacle degree model indicates that digital criminal behavior is the greatest obstacle to information security in the digital economy. The research findings hold significant implications for addressing information security challenges in the global digital economy’s sustainable development process, particularly in terms of the replicability of the research methodology and the valuable case study of China. Full article
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30 pages, 435 KiB  
Review
Vaccination as a Game: Behavioural Dynamics, Network Effects, and Policy Levers—A Comprehensive Review
by Pedro H. T. Schimit, Abimael R. Sergio and Marco A. R. Fontoura
Mathematics 2025, 13(14), 2242; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13142242 - 10 Jul 2025
Viewed by 418
Abstract
Classical epidemic models treat vaccine uptake as an exogenous parameter, yet real-world coverage emerges from strategic choices made by individuals facing uncertain risks. During the last two decades, vaccination games, which combine epidemic dynamics with game theory, behavioural economics, and network science, have [...] Read more.
Classical epidemic models treat vaccine uptake as an exogenous parameter, yet real-world coverage emerges from strategic choices made by individuals facing uncertain risks. During the last two decades, vaccination games, which combine epidemic dynamics with game theory, behavioural economics, and network science, have become a very important tool for analysing this problem. Here, we synthesise more than 80 theoretical, computational, and empirical studies to clarify how population structure, psychological perception, pathogen complexity, and policy incentives interact to determine vaccination equilibria and epidemic outcomes. Papers are organised along five methodological axes: (i) population topology (well-mixed, static and evolving networks, multilayer systems); (ii) decision heuristics (risk assessment, imitation, prospect theory, memory); (iii) additional processes (information diffusion, non-pharmacological interventions, treatment, quarantine); (iv) policy levers (subsidies, penalties, mandates, communication); and (v) pathogen complexity (multi-strain, zoonotic reservoirs). Common findings across these studies are that voluntary vaccination is almost always sub-optimal; feedback between incidence and behaviour can generate oscillatory outbreaks; local network correlations amplify free-riding but enable cost-effective targeted mandates; psychological distortions such as probability weighting and omission bias materially shift equilibria; and mixed interventions (e.g., quarantine + vaccination) create dual dilemmas that may offset one another. Moreover, empirical work surveys, laboratory games, and field data confirm peer influence and prosocial motives, yet comprehensive model validation remains rare. Bridging the gap between stylised theory and operational policy will require data-driven calibration, scalable multilayer solvers, and explicit modelling of economic and psychological heterogeneity. This review offers a structured roadmap for future research on adaptive vaccination strategies in an increasingly connected and information-rich world. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematical Epidemiology and Evolutionary Games)
21 pages, 2243 KiB  
Article
An Adaptive Weight Collaborative Driving Strategy Based on Stackelberg Game Theory
by Zhongjin Zhou, Jingbo Zhao, Jianfeng Zheng and Haimei Liu
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(7), 386; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16070386 - 9 Jul 2025
Viewed by 183
Abstract
In response to the problem of cooperative steering control between drivers and intelligent driving systems, a master–slave Game-Based human–machine cooperative steering control framework with adaptive weight fuzzy decision-making is constructed. Firstly, within this framework, a dynamic weight approach is established. This approach takes [...] Read more.
In response to the problem of cooperative steering control between drivers and intelligent driving systems, a master–slave Game-Based human–machine cooperative steering control framework with adaptive weight fuzzy decision-making is constructed. Firstly, within this framework, a dynamic weight approach is established. This approach takes into account the driver’s state, traffic environment risks, and the vehicle’s global control deviation to adjust the driving weights between humans and machines. Secondly, the human–machine cooperative relationship with unconscious competition is characterized as a master–slave game interaction. The cooperative steering control under the master–slave game scenario is then transformed into an optimization problem of model predictive control. Through theoretical derivation, the optimal control strategies for both parties at equilibrium in the human–machine master–slave game are obtained. Coordination of the manipulation actions of the driver and the intelligent driving system is achieved by balancing the master–slave game. Finally, different types of drivers are simulated by varying the parameters of the driver models. The effectiveness of the proposed driving weight allocation scheme was validated on the constructed simulation test platform. The results indicate that the human–machine collaborative control strategy can effectively mitigate conflicts between humans and machines. By giving due consideration to the driver’s operational intentions, this strategy reduces the driver’s workload. Under high-risk scenarios, while ensuring driving safety and providing the driver with a satisfactory experience, this strategy significantly enhances the stability of vehicle motion. Full article
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22 pages, 2953 KiB  
Article
Risk Assessment Model for Railway Track Maintenance Operations Based on Combined Weights and Nonlinear FCE
by Rui Luan and Rengkui Liu
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(13), 7614; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15137614 - 7 Jul 2025
Viewed by 336
Abstract
Current risk assessment in railway track maintenance operations faces challenges (low spatiotemporal accuracy, limited adaptability to various scenarios, and tendency of linear fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) methods to underestimate high-risk factors). To address these, this study proposes a novel risk assessment model that [...] Read more.
Current risk assessment in railway track maintenance operations faces challenges (low spatiotemporal accuracy, limited adaptability to various scenarios, and tendency of linear fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (FCE) methods to underestimate high-risk factors). To address these, this study proposes a novel risk assessment model that integrates subjective–objective weighting techniques with a nonlinear FCE approach. By incorporating spatiotemporal information, the model enables precise localization of risk occurrence in individual maintenance operations. A comprehensive risk index system is constructed across four dimensions: human, equipment, environment, and management. The game theory combined weighting method, integrating the G1 method and entropy weight method, is employed; it balances expert judgment with data-driven analysis. A cloud model is introduced to generate risk membership matrices, accounting for the fuzziness and randomness of risk data. The nonlinear FCE framework enhances the influence of high-risk factors. Risk levels are determined using the combined weights, membership matrices, and the maximum membership principle. A case study on the Lanzhou–Xinjiang Railway demonstrates that the proposed model achieves higher consistency with actual risk conditions than conventional methods, improving assessment accuracy and reliability. This model offers a practical and effective tool for risk prevention and control in railway maintenance operations. Full article
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23 pages, 8766 KiB  
Article
Robust Tracking Control of Underactuated UAVs Based on Zero-Sum Differential Games
by Yaning Guo, Qi Sun and Quan Pan
Drones 2025, 9(7), 477; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones9070477 - 5 Jul 2025
Viewed by 287
Abstract
This paper investigates the robust tracking control of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) against external time-varying disturbances. First, by introducing a virtual position controller, we innovatively decouple the UAV dynamics into independent position and attitude error subsystems, transforming the robust tracking problem into two [...] Read more.
This paper investigates the robust tracking control of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) against external time-varying disturbances. First, by introducing a virtual position controller, we innovatively decouple the UAV dynamics into independent position and attitude error subsystems, transforming the robust tracking problem into two zero-sum differential games. This approach contrasts with conventional methods by treating disturbances as strategic “players”, enabling a systematic framework to address both external disturbances and model uncertainties. Second, we develop an integral reinforcement learning (IRL) framework that approximates the optimal solution to the Hamilton–Jacobi–Isaacs (HJI) equations without relying on precise system models. This model-free strategy overcomes the limitation of traditional robust control methods that require known disturbance bounds or accurate dynamics, offering superior adaptability to complex environments. Third, the proposed recursive Ridge regression with a forgetting factor (R3F2 ) algorithm updates actor-critic-disturbance neural network (NN) weights in real time, ensuring both computational efficiency and convergence stability. Theoretical analyses rigorously prove the closed-loop system stability and algorithm convergence, which fills a gap in existing data-driven control studies lacking rigorous stability guarantees. Finally, numerical results validate that the method outperforms state-of-the-art model-based and model-free approaches in tracking accuracy and disturbance rejection, demonstrating its practical utility for engineering applications. Full article
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26 pages, 15354 KiB  
Article
Adaptive Neuro-Affective Engagement via Bayesian Feedback Learning in Serious Games for Neurodivergent Children
by Diego Resende Faria and Pedro Paulo da Silva Ayrosa
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(13), 7532; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15137532 - 4 Jul 2025
Viewed by 396
Abstract
Neuro-Affective Intelligence (NAI) integrates neuroscience, psychology, and artificial intelligence to support neurodivergent children through personalized Child–Machine Interaction (CMI). This paper presents an adaptive neuro-affective system designed to enhance engagement in children with neurodevelopmental disorders through serious games. The proposed framework incorporates real-time biophysical [...] Read more.
Neuro-Affective Intelligence (NAI) integrates neuroscience, psychology, and artificial intelligence to support neurodivergent children through personalized Child–Machine Interaction (CMI). This paper presents an adaptive neuro-affective system designed to enhance engagement in children with neurodevelopmental disorders through serious games. The proposed framework incorporates real-time biophysical signals—including EEG-based concentration, facial expressions, and in-game performance—to compute a personalized engagement score. We introduce a novel mechanism, Bayesian Immediate Feedback Learning (BIFL), which dynamically selects visual, auditory, or textual stimuli based on real-time neuro-affective feedback. A multimodal CNN-based classifier detects mental states, while a probabilistic ensemble merges affective state classifications derived from facial expressions. A multimodal weighted engagement function continuously updates stimulus–response expectations. The system adapts in real time by selecting the most appropriate cue to support the child’s cognitive and emotional state. Experimental validation with 40 children (ages 6–10) diagnosed with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) and Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) demonstrates the system’s effectiveness in sustaining attention, improving emotional regulation, and increasing overall game engagement. The proposed framework—combining neuro-affective state recognition, multimodal engagement scoring, and BIFL—significantly improved cognitive and emotional outcomes: concentration increased by 22.4%, emotional engagement by 24.8%, and game performance by 32.1%. Statistical analysis confirmed the significance of these improvements (p<0.001, Cohen’s d>1.4). These findings demonstrate the feasibility and impact of probabilistic, multimodal, and neuro-adaptive AI systems in therapeutic and educational applications. Full article
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20 pages, 430 KiB  
Article
Resource Allocation in Multi-Objective Epidemic Management: An Axiomatic Analysis
by Jong-Chin Huang, Kelvin H.-C. Chen and Yu-Hsien Liao
Mathematics 2025, 13(13), 2182; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13132182 - 3 Jul 2025
Viewed by 200
Abstract
This study presents a novel game-theoretical framework designed to support epidemic management, with a specific focus on the allocation of limited resources across competing public health objectives and intervention strategies. Recognizing the varied roles and capacities of participatory agents, we model their involvement [...] Read more.
This study presents a novel game-theoretical framework designed to support epidemic management, with a specific focus on the allocation of limited resources across competing public health objectives and intervention strategies. Recognizing the varied roles and capacities of participatory agents, we model their involvement as occurring at multiple levels, reflecting the complex decision-making processes encountered in real-world situations. To account for the unequal influence or priority of different agents and strategies, we further propose a suite of weighted allocation measures grounded in well-established theoretical principles. In response to ongoing concerns over the arbitrariness of externally assigned weights, we also construct a refined metric based on endogenous marginal intervention effects, offering a more organically derived representation of participator impact. A series of illustrative examples demonstrates the practical relevance of these models, revealing how they can capture key dynamics such as behavioral diversity, the coexistence of overlapping policies, and logical independence under distinct weighting perspectives. Collectively, these contributions aim to provide epidemic response teams with a set of interpretable and adaptable tools tailored to the complexity of real-world public health crises. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Mathematical Epidemiology and Evolutionary Games)
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27 pages, 1502 KiB  
Article
A Strategic Hydrogen Supplier Assessment Using a Hybrid MCDA Framework with a Game Theory-Driven Criteria Analysis
by Jettarat Janmontree, Aditya Shinde, Hartmut Zadek, Sebastian Trojahn and Kasin Ransikarbum
Energies 2025, 18(13), 3508; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18133508 - 3 Jul 2025
Viewed by 231
Abstract
Effective management of the hydrogen supply chain (HSC), starting with supplier selection, is crucial for advancing the hydrogen industry and economy. Supplier selection, a complex Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) problem in an inherently uncertain environment, requires careful consideration. This study proposes a novel [...] Read more.
Effective management of the hydrogen supply chain (HSC), starting with supplier selection, is crucial for advancing the hydrogen industry and economy. Supplier selection, a complex Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) problem in an inherently uncertain environment, requires careful consideration. This study proposes a novel hybrid MCDA framework that integrates the Bayesian Best–Worst Method (BWM), Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), and Entropy Weight Method (EWM) for robust criteria weighting, which is aggregated using a game theory-based model to resolve inconsistencies and capture the complementary strengths of each technique. Next, the globally weighted criteria, emphasizing sustainability performance and techno-risk considerations, are used in the TODIM method grounded in prospect theory to rank hydrogen suppliers. Numerical experiments demonstrate the approach’s ability to enhance decision robustness compared to standalone MCDA methods. The comparative evaluation and sensitivity analysis confirm the stability and reliability of the proposed method, offering valuable insights for strategic supplier selection in the evolving hydrogen landscape in the HSC. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Renewable Energy and Hydrogen Energy Technologies)
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8 pages, 203 KiB  
Article
Decisive Techniques for Ippon in Elite Women’s Judo: A Tactical Analysis from the Rio 2016 and Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games
by Alex Ojeda-Aravena, David Moronta, Bibi Calvo-Rico, Jairo Azócar-Gallardo and José Manuel García-García
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(13), 7455; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15137455 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 337
Abstract
Olympic women’s judo has increased in complexity and competitiveness, demanding detailed tactical analysis. This observational study aimed to examine the relationship between the results of combats (Wazari [half point] vs. Ippon [full point]) and the techniques used in women’s judo combats in [...] Read more.
Olympic women’s judo has increased in complexity and competitiveness, demanding detailed tactical analysis. This observational study aimed to examine the relationship between the results of combats (Wazari [half point] vs. Ippon [full point]) and the techniques used in women’s judo combats in the Rio 2016 and Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games. A significant association was found between technique type and contest outcome (χ2 = 40.004, df = 6, p < 0.001): Nage Waza (throwing techniques) produced 92.3% of Wazari, whereas Katame Waza (groundwork techniques) accounted for 61.1% of Ippon. Subgroup analysis confirmed these relationships (χ2 = 17.217, df = 6, p = 0.009; Cramer’s V = 0.745), with Ashiwaza (foot/leg techniques) dominating Wazari. Uchimata was the most frequently used technique in the repechage (20%), bronze medal (22.6%), and final (23.1%) matches. In lightweights, Katame Waza dominated Ippon in finals (53.8%, χ2 = 4.000, p = 0.046), while Nage Waza secured all Wazari. Middleweights also showed strong associations (χ2 = 14.745, df = 1, p < 0.001; 93.9% of Wazari by Nage Waza). Although no significant association was found for heavyweights (χ2 = 7.535, df = 1, p = 0.095), Katame Waza prevailed in Ippon (69.2%). These findings provide a tactical framework for tailoring technique-specific training by weight category and tournament phase to optimize outcomes in elite female judo. Full article
17 pages, 10129 KiB  
Article
Tennis Game Dynamic Prediction Model Based on Players’ Momentum
by Lechuan Wang, Puning Chen and Qurat Ul An Sabir
AppliedMath 2025, 5(3), 77; https://doi.org/10.3390/appliedmath5030077 - 26 Jun 2025
Viewed by 785
Abstract
Psychological momentum dynamics in tennis have triggered interest for a long time, but measuring their impact presents substantial obstacles. In this paper, we present an approach to quantify momentum that combines real-time winning probabilities, leverage, and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA). We [...] Read more.
Psychological momentum dynamics in tennis have triggered interest for a long time, but measuring their impact presents substantial obstacles. In this paper, we present an approach to quantify momentum that combines real-time winning probabilities, leverage, and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA). We test the method on a high-profile match between Carlos Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic, demonstrating how changes in leverage affect momentum. Furthermore, we use feature extraction methods from time series analysis to derive momentum-related characteristics, which are critical inputs for creating an eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) binary classification model to predict game winners. The algorithm has an average accuracy of 84% and provides real-time predictions of each player’s chances of winning the match. Our findings indicate that momentum is a somewhat relevant element in forecasting match outcomes, highlighting its potential value in improving match prediction systems. Full article
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