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Search Results (205)

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Keywords = water security and economy

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23 pages, 819 KiB  
Article
The Nexus Between Economic Growth and Water Stress in Morocco: Empirical Evidence Based on ARDL Model
by Mariam El Haddadi, Hamida Lahjouji and Mohamed Tabaa
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6990; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156990 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 262
Abstract
Morocco is facing a situation of alarming water stress, aggravated by climate change, overexploitation of resources, and unequal distribution of water, placing the country among the most vulnerable to water scarcity in the MENA region. This study aims to investigate the dynamic relationship [...] Read more.
Morocco is facing a situation of alarming water stress, aggravated by climate change, overexploitation of resources, and unequal distribution of water, placing the country among the most vulnerable to water scarcity in the MENA region. This study aims to investigate the dynamic relationship between economic growth and water stress in Morocco while highlighting the importance of integrated water management and adaptive economic policies to enhance resilience to water scarcity. A mixed methodology, integrating both qualitative and quantitative methods, was adopted to overview the economic–environmental Moroccan context, and to empirically analyze the GDP (gross domestic product) and water stress in Morocco over the period 1975–2021 using an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach. The empirical analysis is based on annual data sourced from the World Bank and FAO databases for GDP, agricultural value added, renewable internal freshwater resources, and water productivity. The results suggest that water productivity has a significant positive effect on economic growth, while the impacts of agricultural value added and renewable water resources are less significant and vary depending on the model specification. Diagnostic tests confirm the reliability of the ARDL model; however, the presence of outliers in certain years reflects the influence of exogenous shocks, such as severe droughts or policy changes, on the Moroccan economy. The key contribution of this study lies in the fact that it is the first to analyze the intrinsic link between economic growth and the environmental aspect of water in Morocco. According to our findings, it is imperative to continuously improve water productivity and adopt adaptive management, rooted in science and innovation, in order to ensure water security and support the sustainable economic development of Morocco. Full article
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22 pages, 13221 KiB  
Article
Multi-Scenario Simulation of Ecosystem Service Value in Xiangjiang River Basin, China, Based on the PLUS Model
by Lisha Tang, Jingzhi Li, Chenmei Xie and Miao Wang
Land 2025, 14(7), 1482; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14071482 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 278
Abstract
With rapid socio-economic development, excessive anthropogenic consumption and the exploitation of natural resources have impaired the self-healing, supply, and carrying capacities of ecosystems. The assessment and prediction of ecosystem service values (ESVs) are crucial for the coordinated development of ecology and economy. This [...] Read more.
With rapid socio-economic development, excessive anthropogenic consumption and the exploitation of natural resources have impaired the self-healing, supply, and carrying capacities of ecosystems. The assessment and prediction of ecosystem service values (ESVs) are crucial for the coordinated development of ecology and economy. This research examines the Xiangjiang River Basin and combines land use data from 1995 to 2020, Landsat images, meteorological data, and socio-economic data. These data are incorporated into the PLUS model to simulate land use patterns in 2035 under the following five scenarios: natural development, economic development, farmland protection, ecological protection, and coordinated development. Additionally, this research analyzes the dynamics of land use and changes in ESVs in the Xiangjiang River Basin. The results show that between 1995 and 2020 in the Xiangjiang River Basin, urbanization accelerated, human activities intensified, and the construction land area expanded significantly, while the areas of forest, farmland, and grassland decreased continuously. Based on multi-scenario simulations, the ESV showed the largest and smallest declines under economic development and ecological protection scenarios, respectively. This results from the economic development scenario inducing a rapid expansion in construction land. In contrast, construction land expansion was restricted under the ecological protection scenario, because the ecological functions of forests and water bodies were prioritized. This research proposes land use strategies to coordinate ecological protection and economic development to provide a basis for sustainable development in the Xiangjiang River Basin and constructing a national ecological security barrier, as well as offer Chinese experience and local cases for global ecological environment governance. Full article
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15 pages, 1006 KiB  
Review
Multifunctional Applications of Biofloc Technology (BFT) in Sustainable Aquaculture: A Review
by Changwei Li and Limin Dai
Fishes 2025, 10(7), 353; https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes10070353 - 17 Jul 2025
Viewed by 403
Abstract
Biofloc technology (BFT), traditionally centered on feed supplementation and water purification in aquaculture, harbors untapped multifunctional potential as a sustainable resource management platform. This review systematically explores beyond conventional applications. BFT leverages microbial consortia to drive resource recovery, yielding bioactive compounds with antibacterial/antioxidant [...] Read more.
Biofloc technology (BFT), traditionally centered on feed supplementation and water purification in aquaculture, harbors untapped multifunctional potential as a sustainable resource management platform. This review systematically explores beyond conventional applications. BFT leverages microbial consortia to drive resource recovery, yielding bioactive compounds with antibacterial/antioxidant properties, microbial proteins for efficient feed production, and algae biomass for nutrient recycling and bioenergy. In environmental remediation, its porous microbial aggregates remove microplastics and heavy metals through integrated physical, chemical, and biological mechanisms, addressing critical aquatic pollution challenges. Agri-aquatic integration systems create symbiotic loops where nutrient-rich aquaculture effluents fertilize plant cultures, while plants act as natural filters to stabilize water quality, reducing freshwater dependence and enhancing resource efficiency. Emerging applications, including pigment extraction for ornamental fish and the anaerobic fermentation of biofloc waste into organic amendments, further demonstrate its alignment with circular economy principles. While technical advancements highlight its capacity to balance productivity and ecological stewardship, challenges in large-scale optimization, long-term system stability, and economic viability necessitate interdisciplinary research. By shifting focus to its underexplored functionalities, this review positions BFT as a transformative technology capable of addressing interconnected global challenges in food security, pollution mitigation, and sustainable resource use, offering a scalable framework for the future of aquaculture and beyond. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Sustainable Aquaculture)
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32 pages, 3854 KiB  
Review
Danube River: Hydrological Features and Risk Assessment with a Focus on Navigation and Monitoring Frameworks
by Victor-Ionut Popa, Eugen Rusu, Ana-Maria Chirosca and Maxim Arseni
Earth 2025, 6(3), 70; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6030070 - 2 Jul 2025
Viewed by 993
Abstract
Danube River represents a critical axis of ecological and economic importance for the countries along its course. From this perspective, this paper aims to assess the most significant characteristics of the river and of its main tributaries, as well as its impact on [...] Read more.
Danube River represents a critical axis of ecological and economic importance for the countries along its course. From this perspective, this paper aims to assess the most significant characteristics of the river and of its main tributaries, as well as its impact on the environmental sustainability and socio-economic development. Navigation and the economic contribution of the Danube River are the key issues of this work, emphasizing its importance as an international transport artery that facilitates trade and tourism, and develops the energy industry through hydropower plants. The study includes an analysis of the volume of goods transported from 2019 to 2023, as well as an analysis of the goods traffic in the busiest port on the Danube. Furthermore, climate change affects the hydrological regime of the Danube, as well as the ecosystems, economy, and energy security of the riparian countries. Main impacts include changes in the hydrological regime, increased frequency of droughts and floods, reduced water quality, deterioration of biodiversity, and disruption of the economic activities dependent on the river, such as navigation, agriculture, and hydropower production. Thus, hydrological risks and challenges are investigated, focusing on the extreme events of the last two decades and the awareness of their repercussions. In this context, the national and international institutions responsible for monitoring and managing the Danube are presented, and their role in promoting a sustainable river policy is explored. Methods and technologies are shown to be essential tools for monitoring and prediction studies. The Danube includes an extensive network of hydrometric stations that help to prevent and manage the most significant risks. Finally, a SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats) analysis of the development of the hydrological studies was conducted, highlighting the potential of the river. Full article
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28 pages, 3513 KiB  
Article
AI-Driven Anomaly Detection in Smart Water Metering Systems Using Ensemble Learning
by Maria Nelago Kanyama, Fungai Bhunu Shava, Attlee Munyaradzi Gamundani and Andreas Hartmann
Water 2025, 17(13), 1933; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17131933 - 27 Jun 2025
Viewed by 460
Abstract
Water, the lifeblood of our planet, sustains ecosystems, economies, and communities. However, climate change and increasing hydrological variability have exacerbated global water scarcity, threatening livelihoods and economic stability. According to the United Nations, over 2 billion people currently live in water-stressed regions, a [...] Read more.
Water, the lifeblood of our planet, sustains ecosystems, economies, and communities. However, climate change and increasing hydrological variability have exacerbated global water scarcity, threatening livelihoods and economic stability. According to the United Nations, over 2 billion people currently live in water-stressed regions, a figure expected to rise significantly by 2030. To address this urgent challenge, this study proposes an AI-driven anomaly detection framework for smart water metering networks (SWMNs) using machine learning (ML) techniques and data resampling methods to enhance water conservation efforts. This research utilizes 6 years of monthly water consumption data from 1375 households from Location A, Windhoek, Namibia, and applies support vector machine (SVM), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), and k-nearest neighbors (kNN) models within ensemble learning strategies. A significant challenge in real-world datasets is class imbalance, which can reduce model reliability in detecting abnormal patterns. To address this, we employed data resampling techniques including random undersampling (RUS), SMOTE, and SMOTEENN. Among these, SMOTEENN achieved the best overall performance for individual models, with the RF classifier reaching an accuracy of 99.5% and an AUC score of 0.998. Ensemble learning approaches also yielded strong results, with the stacking ensemble achieving 99.6% accuracy, followed by soft voting at 99.2% and hard voting at 98.1%. These results highlight the effectiveness of ensemble methods and advanced sampling techniques in improving anomaly detection under class-imbalanced conditions. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to explore and evaluate the combined use of ensemble learning and resampling techniques for ML-based anomaly detection in SWMNs. By integrating artificial intelligence into water systems, this work lays the foundation for scalable, secure, and efficient smart water management solutions, contributing to global efforts in sustainable water governance. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI, Machine Learning and Digital Twin Applications in Water)
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27 pages, 3053 KiB  
Article
A Coupled Model of System Dynamics and Environmental Models for the Development Process Deduction of the Yangtze River Basin: Model Construction Method
by Chong Li, Tao Yu, Ning Jia, Pei Yang and Qing Xia
Water 2025, 17(13), 1874; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17131874 - 24 Jun 2025
Viewed by 826
Abstract
The Yangtze River Basin, the largest river basin in China, faces complex challenges in population, economy and water issues. This study builds a Systemic Deduction Model of the Development of Yangtze River Basin (SDMY), which is based on system dynamics coupled with the [...] Read more.
The Yangtze River Basin, the largest river basin in China, faces complex challenges in population, economy and water issues. This study builds a Systemic Deduction Model of the Development of Yangtze River Basin (SDMY), which is based on system dynamics coupled with the water environmental model. It generalizes the Yangtze River Basin into five subsystems at the province level as well as two subsystems at the river basin level, quantifying the interaction and feedback relationships within and among each subsystem through functions. SDMY has passed the feasibility verification and the sensitivity analysis. The application results from 2000 to 2100 of SDMY show the positive development trend of gross domestic product (GDP), grain production, energy consumption, and forest coverage, as well as the significant risk of population decline. The water pollutants chemical oxygen demand (COD) and total phosphorus (TP), the water security level, and the river longitudinal connectivity of the Yangtze River Basin show reasonable and meaningful development trends, as the results indicate. This paper proves that SDMY could be a quantitative simulation tool for analyzing the long-term mutual feedback and evolution of the human–water relationship and society–economy–environment system in a large river basin. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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22 pages, 3808 KiB  
Article
Sustainable Crop Irrigation with Renewable Energy: A Case Study of Lethbridge County, Alberta
by Mohammad Adnan Aftab, James Byrne, Paul Hazendonk, Dan Johnson and Locke Spencer
Energies 2025, 18(12), 3102; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18123102 - 12 Jun 2025
Viewed by 392
Abstract
The agriculture sector is a major contributor to the economy of Alberta, Canada, accounting for almost 2.8% of the total GDP. Considering its importance, implementing efficient and cost-effective irrigation systems is vital for promoting sustainable agriculture in semi-arid regions like Lethbridge County, Alberta, [...] Read more.
The agriculture sector is a major contributor to the economy of Alberta, Canada, accounting for almost 2.8% of the total GDP. Considering its importance, implementing efficient and cost-effective irrigation systems is vital for promoting sustainable agriculture in semi-arid regions like Lethbridge County, Alberta, Canada. Although irrigation is primarily carried out using the Oldman River and its allied reservoirs, groundwater pumping becomes a supplementary necessity during periods of limited surface water availability or droughts. This research investigates the potential of renewable energy resources, such as wind and solar energy, to meet the energy requirements for crop irrigation. The study begins by identifying and calculating the water requirements for major crops in Lethbridge County, such as wheat and barley, using the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization’s CROPWAT 8.0 software. Subsequently, energy calculations were conducted to meet the specific crop water demand through the design of a hybrid energy system using Homer Pro 3.16.2. A technoeconomic analysis of the renewable hybrid system has been carried out to demonstrate the efficiency and novelty of the proposed work. Outcomes revealed that the proposed system is both efficient and economical in fulfilling the crop water requirement through groundwater pumping, promoting sustainable agriculture, and helping to ensure food security in the region. Full article
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32 pages, 2113 KiB  
Review
Agricultural Waste: Challenges and Solutions, a Review
by Maximilian Lackner and Maghsoud Besharati
Waste 2025, 3(2), 18; https://doi.org/10.3390/waste3020018 - 3 Jun 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2662
Abstract
Agricultural waste poses significant environmental, economic, and social challenges globally, with estimates indicating that 10–50% of agricultural products are discarded annually as waste. This review explores strategies for managing agricultural waste to mitigate its adverse impacts and promote sustainable development. Agricultural residues, such [...] Read more.
Agricultural waste poses significant environmental, economic, and social challenges globally, with estimates indicating that 10–50% of agricultural products are discarded annually as waste. This review explores strategies for managing agricultural waste to mitigate its adverse impacts and promote sustainable development. Agricultural residues, such as those from sugarcane, rice, and wheat, contribute to pollution when improperly disposed of through burning or burying, contaminating soil, water, and air. However, these residues also represent untapped resources for bioenergy production, composting, mulching, and the creation of value-added products like biochar, bioplastics, single-cell protein and biobased building blocks. The paper highlights various solutions, including integrating agricultural waste into livestock feed formulations to reduce competition for human food crops, producing biofuels like ethanol and biodiesel from lignocellulosic materials, and adopting circular economy practices to upcycle waste into high-value products. Technologies such as anaerobic digestion for biogas production and gasification for synthesis gas offer renewable energy alternatives and ample feedstocks for gas fermentation while addressing waste management issues. Composting and vermicomposting enhance soil fertility, while mulching improves moisture retention and reduces erosion. Moreover, the review emphasizes the importance of policy frameworks, public-private partnerships, and farmer education in promoting effective waste management practices. By implementing these strategies, agricultural waste can be transformed into a resource, contributing to food security, environmental conservation, and economic growth. Full article
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14 pages, 1966 KiB  
Article
Evaluation of Water Security in a Water Source Area from the Perspective of Nonpoint Source Pollution
by Jun Yang, Ruijun Su, Yanbo Wang and Yongzhong Feng
Sustainability 2025, 17(11), 4998; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114998 - 29 May 2025
Viewed by 545
Abstract
Water security is a basic requirement of a region’s residents and also an important point of discussion worldwide. The middle route of the south-to-north water diversion project (MR-SNWDP) represents the most extensive inter-basin water allocation scheme globally. It is the major water resource [...] Read more.
Water security is a basic requirement of a region’s residents and also an important point of discussion worldwide. The middle route of the south-to-north water diversion project (MR-SNWDP) represents the most extensive inter-basin water allocation scheme globally. It is the major water resource for the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei region, and its security is of great significance. In this study, 28 indicators including society, nature, and economy were selected from the water sources of the MR-SNWDP from 2000 to 2017. According to the Drivers-Pressures-States-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework principle, the entropy weight method was used for weight calculation, and the comprehensive evaluation method was used for evaluating the water security of the water sources of the MR-SNWDP. This study showed that the total loss of nonpoint source pollution (NPSP) in the water source showed a trend of slow growth, except in 2007. Over the past 18 years, the proportion of pollution from three NPSP sources, livestock, and poultry (LP) breeding industry, planting industry, and living sources, were 44.56%, 40.33%, and 15.11%, respectively. The main driving force of water security in all the areas of the water source was the total net income per capita of farmers. The main pressure was the amount of LP breeding and the amount of fertilizer application. The largest impact indicators were NPSP gray water footprint and soil erosion area, and water conservancy investment was the most effective response measure. Overall, the state of the water source safety was relatively stable, showing an overall upward trend, and it had remained at Grade III except for in 2005, 2006, and 2011. The state of water safety in all areas except Shiyan City was relatively stable, where the state of water safety had fluctuated greatly. Based on the assessment findings, implications for policy and decision-making suggestions for sustainable management of the water sources of the MR-SNWDP resources are put forward. Agricultural cultivation in water source areas should reduce the application of chemical fertilizers and accelerate the promotion of agricultural intensification. Water source areas should minimize retail livestock and poultry farming and promote ecological agriculture. The government should increase investment in water conservancy and return farmland to forests and grasslands, and at the same time strengthen the education of farmers’ awareness of environmental protection. The evaluation system of this study combined indicators such as the impact of agricultural nonpoint source pollution on water bodies, which is innovative and provides a reference for the water safety evaluation system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Hydrosystems Engineering and Water Resource Management)
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46 pages, 676 KiB  
Review
From Ocean to Market: Technical Applications of Fish Protein Hydrolysates in Human Functional Food, Pet Wellness, Aquaculture and Agricultural Bio-Stimulant Product Sectors
by Dolly Bhati and Maria Hayes
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(10), 5769; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15105769 - 21 May 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 970
Abstract
Sustainability in food production is a pressing priority due to environmental and political crises, the need for long-term food security, and feeding the populace. Food producers need to increasingly adopt sustainable practices to reduce negative environmental impacts and food waste. The ocean is [...] Read more.
Sustainability in food production is a pressing priority due to environmental and political crises, the need for long-term food security, and feeding the populace. Food producers need to increasingly adopt sustainable practices to reduce negative environmental impacts and food waste. The ocean is a source for sustainable food systems; deforestation, water scarcity, and greenhouse gas emissions burden traditional, terrestrial resources. Our oceans contain the largest unexploited resource in the world in the form of mesopelagic fish species, with an estimated biomass of 10 billion metric tons. This resource is largely untapped due in part to the difficulties in harvesting these species. To ensure sustainability of this resource, management of fish stocks and fish processing practices must be optimised. Generation of fish protein hydrolysates from by-catch/underutilised species creates high-value, functional ingredients while also reducing waste. Marine hydrolysates offer a renewable source of nutrition and align with the principles of the circular economy, where waste is minimised and resources are reused efficiently. Ocean-derived solutions demand fewer inputs, generate less pollution, and have a smaller carbon footprint compared to traditional agriculture. This review collates clearly and succinctly the current and potential uses of FPHs for different market sectors and highlights the advantages of their use in terms of the scientifically validated health benefits for humans and animals and fish, and the protection and crop yield benefits that are documented to date from scientific studies. Full article
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20 pages, 2727 KiB  
Systematic Review
Maritime Pilotage and Sustainable Seaport: A Systematic Review
by Seyed Behbood Issa-Zadeh and Claudia Lizette Garay-Rondero
J. Mar. Sci. Eng. 2025, 13(5), 945; https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse13050945 - 13 May 2025
Viewed by 695
Abstract
The long-term sustainability of seaports depends on various operational factors, including infrastructure efficiency, digital innovation, environmental management, and regulatory compliance, among which maritime pilotage plays a crucial role in ensuring safe navigation and minimizing environmental, economic, and social risks. This research employed the [...] Read more.
The long-term sustainability of seaports depends on various operational factors, including infrastructure efficiency, digital innovation, environmental management, and regulatory compliance, among which maritime pilotage plays a crucial role in ensuring safe navigation and minimizing environmental, economic, and social risks. This research employed the PRISMA-ScR framework to evaluate the environmental, economic, and social impacts of pilotage on the sustainability of seaports. The findings demonstrate efficient navigation and spill avoidance, which reduce emissions, safeguard marine biodiversity, and maintain water quality. Economically, it reduces delays, optimizes operational expenses, and increases port competitiveness by increasing maritime traffic. Moreover, pilotage improves navigational safety, local professional skill development, and community interactions via ecological conservation and operational efficiency. It also indicates how environmental initiatives benefit the economy, increase port competitiveness, and promote job security and community happiness. The results also emphasize the significance of pilotage in sustainable seaport operations by quantifying pollution reductions, cost savings, and safety. The result also suggests that successful pilotage enhances ports’ viability and responsibility in global shipping networks while addressing environmental, economic, and social concerns. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Ocean Engineering)
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20 pages, 6419 KiB  
Article
Ecological Health Evaluation of Yellow River Irrigation Districts in Henan Province: A Case Study of the Zhaokou Irrigation District
by Yong Wu, Yubo Jia, Ling Li, Chi Sun, Jiwei Li and Jie Lu
Water 2025, 17(8), 1184; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081184 - 15 Apr 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 440
Abstract
Irrigation districts play a crucial role in guaranteeing agricultural production, and their ecological health and sustainable development are of great importance for regional economic and environmental security. Taking the Zhaokou irrigation district in Henan Province as the research object, this paper firstly constructs [...] Read more.
Irrigation districts play a crucial role in guaranteeing agricultural production, and their ecological health and sustainable development are of great importance for regional economic and environmental security. Taking the Zhaokou irrigation district in Henan Province as the research object, this paper firstly constructs a health evaluation system consisting of 26 indicators from the perspective of a “nature–economy–society–ecology” composite system. Then, the fuzzy hierarchical comprehensive evaluation method and the ArcGIS spatial analysis technique are combined to systematically evaluate the ecological health status of the irrigation district and the spatial differentiation characteristics of its functional zoning. According to the findings of this paper, the overall health level of the Zhaokou irrigation district has a membership score of 0.495, which is at a “good” grade. However, some regions are inadequate in terms of environmental quality and water resources utilization. Zonal health evaluation shows that Shangqiu and Xuchang areas have the highest comprehensive health level (grade I), that the health level of Zhengzhou area is grade II, and that Kaifeng and Zhoukou areas, due to insufficient water-saving benefits and significant ecological constraints, have relatively low health levels (grades III–IV). Under the framework of functional zoning, the irrigation district is divided into three types, namely, ecological–water-saving–social composite areas, ecological–water-saving composite areas, and water-saving–social composite areas. Among them, the ecological–water-saving–social composite areas only account for 3.7%, so optimized transformation is pressing. The findings can provide references for the sustainable development and management of Yellow River irrigation districts in Henan Province, boosting the high-quality development of irrigation districts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water, Agriculture and Aquaculture)
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18 pages, 7321 KiB  
Article
Geothermal Genesis Mechanism of the Yinchuan Basin Based on Thermal Parameter Inversion
by Baizhou An, Lige Bai, Jianwei Zhao and Zhaofa Zeng
Sustainability 2025, 17(8), 3424; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17083424 - 11 Apr 2025
Viewed by 343
Abstract
The Yinchuan Basin harbors significant geothermal resource potential and could be a clean energy source critical for transitioning to a low-carbon economy. However, the current research primarily focuses on the exploration and development of geothermal water in the sedimentary basins, with limited studies [...] Read more.
The Yinchuan Basin harbors significant geothermal resource potential and could be a clean energy source critical for transitioning to a low-carbon economy. However, the current research primarily focuses on the exploration and development of geothermal water in the sedimentary basins, with limited studies on the deep geothermal formation mechanisms and regional geothermal types. Although geophysical methods provide insights into the types and formation mechanisms of deep geothermal resources in the basin, there is still a lack of a connection between quantitative understanding and direct evidence. A series of algorithms based on thermal parameter characteristics can directly extract underground thermal features from raw geophysical signal data, offering a powerful tool for characterizing the structure and aggregation patterns of deep thermal sources. Therefore, this study employed a Bayesian thermal parameter inversion method based on interface information to obtain the spatial distribution of thermal conductivity, surface heat flow, and mantle heat parameters in the Ningxia Basin study area. Additionally, correlation analysis and global sensitivity analysis were conducted to further interpret the predicted results. A comprehensive analysis of the geophysical inversion results showed that the deep thermal anomalies in the basin are primarily controlled by fault activities and the lithospheres’ thermal structure, while shallow high-heat flow anomalies are closely related to convective circulation within faults and heat transfer from deep thermal sources. The established geothermal genesis mechanism and model of the Yinchuan Basin provide crucial support for sustainable regional geothermal development planning and the utilization of deep geothermal resources, contributing to energy security and emission reduction goals. Full article
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25 pages, 22855 KiB  
Article
Optimizing Ecological Management in China: Insights from Chongqing’s Service Projections
by Yang Duan, Wenjun Wu, Rufeng Xiao, Hongqiang Jiang and Bo Wang
Land 2025, 14(4), 788; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14040788 - 6 Apr 2025
Viewed by 635
Abstract
The assessment of ecosystem service (ES) supply–demand relationships is critical for addressing regional sustainable development challenges, yet systematic studies integrating spatial drivers analysis and multiscenario forecasting in rapidly urbanizing mountainous regions remain scarce. This study focuses on Chongqing as a representative case to [...] Read more.
The assessment of ecosystem service (ES) supply–demand relationships is critical for addressing regional sustainable development challenges, yet systematic studies integrating spatial drivers analysis and multiscenario forecasting in rapidly urbanizing mountainous regions remain scarce. This study focuses on Chongqing as a representative case to investigate spatial patterns, driving mechanisms, and future trajectories of ES supply–demand dynamics. Through spatial quantification of four key ES (food provision, water retention, soil conservation, carbon fixation) and statistical analysis of socioeconomic datasets from 2010 to 2020, geographical weighted regression modeling was employed to identify spatially heterogeneous drivers. Long-term projections (2030–2060) were developed using climate–economy integrated scenarios reflecting different global development pathways. The results demonstrate three principal findings: First, while regional ecosystem quality maintains stable with an improved supply–demand ratio (0.260 to 0.320), persistent deficits in carbon fixation capacity require urgent attention. Second, spatial mismatches exhibit intensifying polarization, with expanding deficit zones concentrated in metropolitan cores and their periurban peripheries. Third, thermal-hydrological factors (aridity index, temperature) coupled with land intensification pressures emerge as dominant constraints on ES supply capacity. Scenario projections suggest coordinated climate mitigation and sustainable development strategies could maintain the supply–demand ratio at 0.189 by 2060, outperforming conventional development pathways by 23.5–41.2%. These findings provide spatial decision support frameworks for balancing ecological security and economic growth in mountainous megacities, with methodological implications for cross-scale ES governance in developing regions. Full article
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24 pages, 31552 KiB  
Article
Using Multi-Scenario Analyses to Determine the Driving Factors of Land Use in Inland River Basins in Arid Northwest China
by Yang You, Pingan Jiang, Yakun Wang, Wen’e Wang, Dianyu Chen and Xiaotao Hu
Land 2025, 14(4), 787; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14040787 - 6 Apr 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 501
Abstract
Global challenges such as climate change, ecological imbalance, and resource scarcity are closely related with land-use change. Arid land, which is 41% of the global land area, has fragile ecology and limited water resources. To ensure food security, ecological resilience, and sustainable use [...] Read more.
Global challenges such as climate change, ecological imbalance, and resource scarcity are closely related with land-use change. Arid land, which is 41% of the global land area, has fragile ecology and limited water resources. To ensure food security, ecological resilience, and sustainable use of land resources, there is a need for multi-scenario analysis of land-use change in arid regions. To carry this out, multiple spatial analysis techniques and land change indicators were used to analyze spatial land-use change in a typical inland river basin in arid Northwest China—the Tailan River Basin (TRB). Then, the PLUS model was used to analyze, in a certain time period (1980–2060), land-use change in the same basin. The scenarios used included the Natural Increase Scenario (NIS), Food Security Scenario (FSS), Economic Development Scenario (EDS), Water Protection Scenario (WPS), Ecological Protection Scenario (EPS), and Balanced Eco-economy Scenario (BES). The results show that for the period of 1980–2020, land-use change in the TRB was mainly driven by changes in cultivated land, grassland, forest land, and built-up land. For this period, there was a substantial increase in cultivated land (865.56 km2) and a significant decrease in forest land (197.44 km2) and grassland (773.55 km2) in the study area. There was a notable spatial shift in land use in the period of 1990–2010. The overall accuracy (OA) of the PLUS model was more than 90%, with a Kappa value of 85% and a Figure of Merit (FOM) of 0.18. The most pronounced expansion in cultivated land area in the 2020–2060 period was for the FSS (661.49 km2). This led to an increase in grain production and agricultural productivity in the region. The most significant increase in built-up area was under the EDS (61.7 km2), contributing to economic development and population growth. While the conversion of grassland area into other forms of land use was the smallest under the BES (606.08 km2), built-up area increased by 55.82 km2. This presented an ideal scenario under which ecological conservation was in balance with economic development. This was the most sustainable land management strategy with a harmonized balance across humans and the ecology in the TRB study area. This strategy may provide policymakers with a realistic land-use option with the potential to offer an acceptable policy solution to land use. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Land Use, Impact Assessment and Sustainability)
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