Search Results (42)

To facilitate power system decarbonization, optimizing clean energy integration has emerged as a critical pathway for establishing sustainable power infrastructure. This study addresses the multi-timescale operational challenges inherent in power networks with high renewable penetration, proposing a novel stochastic dynamic programming framework that synergizes intraday microgrid dispatch with a multi-phase carbon cost calculation mechanism. A probabilistic carbon flux quantification model is developed, incorporating source–load carbon flow tracing and nonconvex carbon pricing dynamics to enhance environmental–economic co-optimization constraints. The spatiotemporally coupled multi-microgrid (MMG) coordination paradigm is reformulated as a continuous state-action Markov game process governed by stochastic differential Stackelberg game principles. A communication mechanism-enabled multi-agent twin-delayed deep deterministic policy gradient (CMMA-TD3) algorithm is implemented to achieve Pareto-optimal solutions through cyber–physical collaboration. Results of the measurements in the MMG containing three microgrids show that the proposed approach reduces operation costs by 61.59% and carbon emissions by 27.95% compared to the least effective benchmark solution. Full article

This paper investigates Mean Field Game methods to solve missile interception strategies in three-dimensional space, with a focus on analyzing the pursuit–evasion problem in many-to-many scenarios. By extending traditional missile interception models, an efficient solution is proposed to avoid dimensional explosion and communication burdens, particularly for large-scale, multi-missile systems. The paper presents a system of stochastic differential equations with control constraints, describing the motion dynamics between the missile (pursuer) and the target (evader), and defines the associated cost function, considering proximity group distributions with other missiles and targets. Next, Hamilton–Jacobi–Bellman equations for the pursuers and evaders are derived, and the uniqueness of the distributional solution is proved. Furthermore, using the $ϵ$-Nash equilibrium framework, it is demonstrated that, under the MFG model, participants can deviate from the optimal strategy within a certain tolerance, while still minimizing the cost. Finally, the paper summarizes the derivation process of the optimal strategy and proves that, under reasonable assumptions, the system can achieve a uniquely stable equilibrium, ensuring the stability of the strategies and distributions of both the pursuers and evaders. The research provides a scalable solution to high-risk, multi-agent control problems, with significant practical applications, particularly in fields such as missile defense systems. Full article

We have built and investigated analytically and numerically a differential game model of Cournot oligopoly with consideration of pollution, network structure, and continuous updating. Up to this time, games with network structure and continuous updating were considered separately. We analyzed time consistency for a cooperative solution of the game. For a specific example, we built a non-empty subgame perfect subcore. We considered stochastic versions of the proposed model and received results similar to the deterministic case. Full article

This paper defines stubbornness as an optimal feedback Nash equilibrium within a dynamic setting. Stubbornness is treated as a player-specific parameter, with the team’s coach initially selecting players based on their stubbornness and making substitutions during the game according to this trait. The payoff function of a soccer player is evaluated based on factors such as injury risk, assist rate, pass accuracy, and dribbling ability. Each player aims to maximize their payoff by selecting an optimal level of stubbornness that ensures their selection by the coach. The goal dynamics are modeled using a backward parabolic partial stochastic differential equation (BPPSDE), leveraging its theoretical connection to the Feynman–Kac formula, which links stochastic differential equations (SDEs) to partial differential equations (PDEs). A stochastic Lagrangian framework is developed, and a path integral control method is employed to derive the optimal measure of stubbornness. The paper further applies a variant of the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck BPPSDE to obtain an explicit solution for the player’s optimal stubbornness. Full article

This paper investigates three-dimensional pursuit problems in noncooperative stochastic differential games. By introducing a novel polynomial value function capable of addressing high-dimensional dynamic systems, the forward–backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) for optimal strategies are derived. The uniqueness of the value function under bounded control inputs is rigorously established as a theoretical foundation. The proposed methodology constructs optimal closed-loop feedback strategies for both pursuers and evaders, ensuring state convergence and solution uniqueness. Furthermore, the Lebesgue measure of the barrier surface is computed, enabling the design of strategies for scenarios involving multiple pursuers and evaders. To validate its applicability, the method is applied to missile interception games. Simulations confirm that the optimal strategies enable pursuers to consistently intercept evaders under stochastic dynamics, demonstrating the robustness and practical relevance of the approach in pursuit–evasion problems. Full article

In this paper, a two-player nonzero-sum stochastic differential game problem is studied with both players using switching controls. A verification theorem associated with a set of variational inequalities is established as a sufficient criterion for Nash equilibrium, in which the equilibrium switching strategies for the two players, indicating when and where it is optimal to switch, are characterized in terms of the so-called switching regions and continuation regions. The verification theorem is proved in a piecewise way along the sequence of total decision times of the two players. Then, some detailed explanations are also provided to illustrate the idea why the conditions are imposed in the verification theorem. Full article

This review paper examines the current landscape of electricity market modelling, specifically focusing on stochastic approaches, transitioning from Mean Field Games (MFGs) to Neural Network (NN) modelling. The central objective is to scrutinize and synthesize evolving modelling strategies within power systems, facilitating technological advancements in the contemporary electricity market. This paper emphasizes the assessment of model efficacy, particularly in the context of MFG and NN applications. Our findings shed light on the diversity of models, offering practical insights into their strengths and limitations, thereby providing a valuable resource for researchers, policy makers, and industry practitioners. The review guides navigating and leveraging the latest stochastic modelling techniques for enhanced decision making and improved market operations. Full article

This study aims to explore allocation strategies for idle emergency supplies in a “demander–platform–supplier” supply chain system along with government regulation during the post-disaster recovery period. Allocation of emergency supplies is a complex task that encompasses resource allocation before and after disasters. It is essential to reduce losses in disaster-stricken areas and support development during post-disaster recovery. However, there is often an excessive supply of emergency materials and a mismatch between supply and demand sides in downstream supply chains, which may lead to severe waste and difficulties in recovering surplus materials. This paper takes idle emergency resource sharing level and corporate social responsibility goodwill as endogenous variables. The allocation approaches are dynamically evaluated by incorporating random elements that influence the endogenous variables. Three stochastic differential games are introduced to examine the interactions between the players. The centralized decision-making satisfies the consistency of overall and individual rationalities at any time in the emergency material allocation process, promoting the optimal sharing levels of emergency materials and overall profits. The decentralized decision-making with cost-sharing contracts achieves local optima and increases the dual marginal effect of the emergency industry chain. This paper incorporates the sharing economy into emergency management, showing how technology-driven sharing platforms can optimize resource utilization. The results suggest introducing cost-sharing contracts between demanders and suppliers can enhance collaboration and effort, leading to better resource allocation and increased efficiency. It contributes to sustainability by promoting efficient resource utilization through idle emergency resource sharing. By optimizing allocation strategies and enhancing corporate social responsibility, the study fosters the long-term viability and resilience of the supply chain system in post-disaster management. Full article

This paper takes corporate social responsibility goodwill and consumers’ reference low-carbon level as endogenous variables of joint carbon emission reduction in the “supplier–manufacturer–retailer–consumer” supply chain system. The joint carbon emission reduction strategies of this four-tier system are analyzed from a dynamic perspective by considering random factors that affect the endogenous variables. Three stochastic differential games are proposed to examine the mechanism between each player, namely the cooperative model, Nash non-cooperative model, and Stackelberg master–slave model. Compared to the Nash non-cooperative game, the manufacturer/supplier-led Stackelberg master–slave game leads to Pareto improvement in the profits of the entire supply chain system and each player. The cooperative game demonstrates the highest expected emission reduction and corporate social responsibility goodwill, but also the highest variance. More importantly, the reference low-carbon level embraces consumers’ subjective initiative in the dynamic of carbon emission reduction. This level is an internal benchmark used to compare against the observed low-carbon level. This paper provides a theoretical foundation for strategic decision-making in emission reduction, contributing to sustainable development. By addressing environmental, economic, and social sustainability, it promotes climate action through carbon reduction strategies and offers policy recommendations aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. Full article

We develop a measure-theoretic framework for dynamic Shapley values in Banach spaces, extending classical cooperative game theory to continuous-time, infinite-dimensional settings. We prove the existence and uniqueness of strong solutions to stochastic differential equations modeling competence evolution in Banach spaces, establishing sample path continuity and moment estimates. The dynamic Shapley value is rigorously defined as a càdlàg stochastic process with an axiomatic characterization. We derive a martingale representation for this process and establish its asymptotic properties, including a strong law of large numbers and a functional central limit theorem under α-mixing conditions. This framework provides a rigorous basis for analyzing dynamic value attribution in abstract spaces, with potential applications to economic and game-theoretic models. Full article

We establish a relationship between stochastic differential games (SDGs) and a unified forward–backward coupled stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) with discontinuous Lévy Jumps. The SDGs have q players and are driven by a general-dimensional vector Lévy process. By establishing a vector-form Ito-Ventzell formula and a 4-tuple vector-field solution to the unified SPDE, we obtain a Pareto optimal Nash equilibrium policy process or a saddle point policy process to the SDG in a non-zero-sum or zero-sum sense. The unified SPDE is in both a general-dimensional vector form and forward–backward coupling manner. The partial differential operators in its drift, diffusion, and jump coefficients are in time-variable and position parameters over a domain. Since the unified SPDE is of general nonlinearity and a general high order, we extend our recent study from the existing Brownian motion (BM)-driven backward case to a general Lévy-driven forward–backward coupled case. In doing so, we construct a new topological space to support the proof of the existence and uniqueness of an adapted solution of the unified SPDE, which is in a 4-tuple strong sense. The construction of the topological space is through constructing a set of topological spaces associated with a set of exponents $\{{\gamma }_1,{\gamma }_2,\dots \}$ under a set of general localized conditions, which is significantly different from the construction of the single exponent case. Furthermore, due to the coupling from the forward SPDE and the involvement of the discontinuous Lévy jumps, our study is also significantly different from the BM-driven backward case. The coupling between forward and backward SPDEs essentially corresponds to the interaction between noise encoding and noise decoding in the current hot diffusion transformer model for generative AI. Full article

This paper presents a novel approach to identify an optimal coefficient for evaluating a player’s batting average, strike rate, and bowling average, aimed at achieving an optimal team score through dynamic modeling using a path integral method. Additionally, it introduces a new model for run dynamics, represented as a stochastic differential equation, which factors in the average weather conditions at the cricket ground, the specific weather conditions on the match day (including abrupt changes that may halt the game), total attendance, and home field advantage. An analysis of real data is been performed to validate the theoretical results. Full article

This paper is concerned with the mathematical modeling of complex living systems whose element microscopic state contains variables which can attain discrete values. Specifically, the main mathematical frameworks of the discrete thermostatted kinetic theory for active particles are reviewed and generalized. In the generalized thermostatted frameworks, which are based on nonlinear ordinary or partial differential equations, the elements of the system are viewed as active particles that are able to perform certain strategies modeled by introducing a functional-state variable called activity. Interactions, which are responsible of the evolution of the system, are modeled using the fundamentals of stochastic game theory and may be influenced by the action of an external force field coupled to a Gaussian-type thermostat. In particular, the interaction domain is modeled by introducing a weighted function and different non-homogeneous discrete frameworks are proposed and coupled with a specific thermostat. Two recent models derived within this approach are reviewed and refer to vehicular and pedestrian dynamics. Future research perspectives are discussed in the whole paper from theoretical and modeling viewpoints. Full article

Supply chain green technology collaborative innovation is an important means for enterprises to improve the greenness of their products. This paper takes supply chain green technology innovation collaboration as the research object and constructs a stochastic differential game model, which not only provides reference for enterprises to choose the optimal type of technology innovation by combining with their own characteristics, but also provides a reference for their innovation decision-making in different market competition environments. The study shows the following: (1) in green product innovation, the formation of the cost-sharing contract is less affected by the intensity of competition in the green market when the market preference for greenness is relatively low. Therefore, government subsidies become an important tool to effectively guide the market mechanism to achieve the desired goal. As market competition intensifies, manufacturers’ incentives to suppliers will shift from reducing costs to increasing demand. (2) In green process innovation, when the intensity of green competition is low and suppliers’ process innovation efficiency is high, manufacturers should bear more costs; when the market preference for greenness is low, the market competition is intense, and the suppliers’ process innovation efficiency is low, the suppliers should bear more costs to help the manufacturers gain more market shares. (3) When retailers’ preference for greenness is relatively low, the government subsidy becomes an important tool to effectively guide the market mechanism to achieve the desired goal. (4) When the retailer’s green promotion performance is higher than the manufacturer’s, the manufacturer should bear more green promotion costs; conversely, the retailer should bear more green promotion costs. (5) Over time, the marginal increase in price over the marginal increase in greenness helps stabilise price volatility, considering consumer preferences. Conversely, it helps to increase the average value of prices. Full article

This paper describes a kind of linear quadratic uncertain stochastic hybrid differential game system grounded in the framework of subadditive measures, in which the system dynamics are described by a hybrid differential equation with Wiener–Liu noise and the performance index function is quadratic. Firstly, we introduce the concept of hybrid differential games and establish the Max–Min Lemma for the two-player zero-sum game scenario. Next, we discuss the analysis of saddle-point equilibrium strategies for linear quadratic hybrid differential games, addressing both finite and infinite time horizons. Through the incorporation of a generalized Riccati differential equation (GRDE) and guided by the principles of the Itô–Liu formula, we prove that that solving the GRDE is crucial and serves as both a sufficient and necessary precondition for identifying equilibrium strategies within a finite horizon. In addition, we also acquire the explicit formulations of equilibrium strategies in closed forms, alongside determining the optimal values of the cost function. Through the adoption of a generalized Riccati equation (GRE) and applying a similar approach to that used for the finite horizon case, we establish that the ability to solve the GRE constitutes a sufficient criterion for the emergence of equilibrium strategies in scenarios extending over an infinite horizon. Moreover, we explore the dynamics of a resource extraction problem within a finite horizon and separately delve into an $H_{\infty }$ control problem applicable to an infinite horizon. Finally, we present the conclusions. Full article