Search Results (816)

Balancing ecological conservation with agricultural production in protected areas remains a critical challenge, particularly regarding the nexus of food, water, land, and ecosystems (FWLE). Yet, the spatiotemporal trade-offs, synergies, and underlying drivers within the FWLE remain poorly understood. Focusing on the Henan Funiu Mountain National Nature Reserve (HFMNNR), we quantified water yield (WY), habitat quality (HQ), and food production (FP) using the InVEST model and statistical yearbook data. The XGBoost-SHAP framework was applied to dissect the key drivers and mechanisms governing the FWLE system. Results indicate a significant increasing trend in FP (2000–2020), contrasting with the unimodal (increase-then-decline) trajectories of HQ and WY. Pronounced trade-offs were identified between HQ and WY, and between HQ and FP. Topographic and vegetative factors predominated in shaping the spatial patterns of HQ and FP, whereas climatic factors dictated WY distribution. Specifically, HQ declined when NDVI fell below 0.87, population density surpassed 0.01, or slope was gentler than 7°. WY was constrained when precipitation dropped below 947 mm, actual evapotranspiration exceeded 752 mm, or temperature ranged between 12.5–16.2 °C. FP was suppressed under conditions of slopes > 7°, NDVI within 0–0.61 or 0.61–0.86, or DEM > 373 m. These findings underscore the necessity of spatially explicit management strategies grounded in spatial heterogeneity. We advocate for a multi-objective governance framework centered on HQ to harmonize production and ecological functions. Our findings provide critical insights for formulating policies aimed at sustainably managing protected areas facing similar ecological-production conflicts. Full article

This work develops a zero-trust, physics-constrained mathematical framework for detecting stealthy drift perturbations in power system dynamical models. Such perturbations constitute adversarial, statistical deviations that preserve first-order operating trends, making them difficult to identify using classical residual-based estimators or unconstrained data-driven models. We introduce ZETWIN, a spatio-temporal learning architecture formulated as a constrained optimization problem in which the nodal admittance matrix $Y_{bus}$ acts as a graph-structured linear operator embedded directly into the loss functional. This construction enforces Kirchhoff-consistent latent representations and yields a mathematically grounded zero-trust decision rule that flags any trajectory violating physical feasibility, independent of prior attack signatures. The proposed framework is evaluated using a PyPSA-based AC–DC meshed network, demonstrating an AUROC = 0.994, and F1 = 0.969. The formulation highlights how physics-informed constraints, graph operators, and spatio-temporal approximation theory can be combined to construct mathematically interpretable zero-trust detectors for complex dynamical systems. Full article

Understanding vegetation-mediated mitigation of urban heat islands (UHI) is essential for sustainable urban adaptation strategies. Although vegetation responses to extreme heat events have been widely explored using satellite remote sensing and statistical methods, evidence remains limited regarding how these responses vary along urban–rural gradients, particularly in terms of resistance and recovery dynamics. This study focuses on the North Tianshan Slope Urban Agglomeration (TNSUA) in Xinjiang, China. Based on Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) data from 2000 to 2022, an urban–rural gradient was delineated using impervious surface fraction. Vegetation resistance and recovery during extreme heat events were quantified to reveal spatiotemporal response patterns. Generalized additive models (GAMs) and Random Forest (RF) models were applied to identify key driving factors and to evaluate their relative importance across multiple spatial scales. The results indicate that rural land cover along the gradient provides a strong cooling effect, particularly in areas with an urban development intensity (UDI) of 70–85%. Vegetation responses show pronounced seasonal differences, with urban vegetation generally exhibiting lower resistance and recovery than rural vegetation. At the county scale, local UHI intensity is the dominant driver of vegetation responses, whereas at the pixel scale, precipitation and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) play the most critical roles. Overall, this study improves the understanding of vegetation responses to extreme heat events in arid regions and provides scientific support for nature-based urban heat adaptation strategies. Full article

Objectives: While the previous literature has established that meteorological conditions are associated with COVID-19 mortality fluctuations, the relative effect of each of these highly correlated factors remains unclear. This study aims to conduct a comparative analysis to determine which of three main meteorological variables—Ambient Temperature, Ultraviolet (UV) Index, and Sunlight Duration—have the strongest negative association with COVID-19 mortality. The objective is to quantify and rank their impact over a 7-to-21-day biological exposure window. Methods: We conducted retrospective spatiotemporal analyses in the form of panel Poisson Distributed Lag Models (PDLMs) regression using daily data from 21 January 2020 to 10 January 2023, spanning 129 distinct geographical regions worldwide. To ensure a direct and fair comparison of effect sizes, all meteorological and environmental variables were Z-score standardized. We estimated three independent PDLMs—each focusing separately on UV Index, Ambient Temperature, and Sunlight Duration—with lags ranging from 7 to 21 days. These models controlled for overarching time trends and utilized a categorical variable to account for Region Fixed Effects modeling time-invariant regional health and socioeconomic determinants (e.g., obesity, age demographics, healthcare capacity). Furthermore, distributed lags of daily PM2.5 (air pollution) and relative humidity were explicitly included in each model as dynamic confounders. Results: The comparison of PDLM results reveals that the UV Index has the strongest negative association with COVID-19 mortality. A one standard deviation increase in the UV Index corresponds to a massive, highly significant cumulative reduction in deaths observed 1 to 3 weeks later (p < 0.001). Sunlight Duration is the second-strongest protective meteorological factor, whereas Ambient Temperature has the weakest effect. The distributed lags of particulate matter (PM2.5) and relative humidity were found to be statistically insignificant when modeled alongside the meteorological variables. Conclusions: After standardizing variables and controlling for dynamic environmental confounders like air pollution and humidity, the study findings provide robust empirical evidence that meteorological conditions have a strong significant association with COVID-19 mortality fluctuation with a temporal delay, overcoming the confounding effects of merely dry or clear-air conditions. Full article

Wind erosion is a multidimensional, dynamic process driven by natural and anthropogenic factors, but existing statistical methods struggle to capture its complex nonlinear relationships, resulting in incomplete quantification of drivers and their spatial variability. To address this, we integrate the Revised Wind Erosion Equation (RWEQ)model with explainable artificial intelligence to disentangle the spatiotemporal positive and negative effects of dominant drivers and their synergistic interactions in Inner Mongolia. Results show that, from 2000–2022, wind erosion has been decreasing on average by 1.1 t·ha⁻¹·yr⁻¹, mainly in the western deserts and locally in Hulunbuir sandy land. Severe erosion is mostly due to nature (78.7%) rather than anthropogenic (21.3%). Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), clay content (CL), windy days (WD), precipitation (PRE), temperature (TEM), and sand content (SA) were found to be the most important drivers of wind erosion. Critical threshold conditions for severe wind erosion are NDVI < 0.14, CL < 12%, GD > 26, PRE < 73.15 mm, and SA > 66%. When there is a certain combination of variables, wind erosion risk is greatly increased, which mainly happens in the western part of Alxa, Bayannur, and the area near the desert edge. Wind erosion control should shift toward region-specific precision management, including engineering protection, optimized grazing management, and vegetation restoration. Full article

High-spatiotemporal-resolution land surface temperature (LST) data are crucial for analyzing surface energy balance, modeling temperature-related processes, and monitoring thermal environments. However, despite advancements in multi-source fusion and reconstruction techniques, high-frequency LST data remain susceptible to anomalies such as abrupt changes and outliers due to retrieval uncertainties and varying observation conditions. Conventional statistical outlier detection methods risk misidentifying physically plausible rapid weather changes as data errors, introducing systematic biases. To address this, we propose a two-stage anomaly detection framework that follows a “temporal physical pre-screening first, spatial statistical verification later” logic. First, a piecewise empirical model, based on typical diurnal LST variation characteristics, is constructed to identify points violating physical patterns. Subsequently, a spatial consistency test using median absolute deviation (MAD) is introduced to distinguish real weather-driven fluctuations from genuine data anomalies from a spatial synergy perspective. This sequential design effectively reduces the risk of mis-correcting physically reasonable temperature variations. Validated using hourly seamless LST data (2016–2021) and ground observations in the Heihe River Basin, our method outperformed Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Loess (STL), double standardization methods, and robust Holt–Winters. For over 87% of the detected anomalies, the proposed method demonstrated positive improvement rates in RMSE, MAE, R, and R². The overall average improvement rates reached 23.61%, 18.79%, 16.46%, and 61.33%, respectively, indicating robust performance. The results underscore that explicitly incorporating physical constraints enhances the reliability and interpretability of quality control for high-temporal-resolution remote sensing LST data. Full article

With the growing penetration of photovoltaic (PV) generation, robust uncertainty characterization is essential for secure operation, economic dispatch, and flexibility planning. This review surveys PV scenario generation from three perspectives: (i) explicit probabilistic approaches (distribution fitting, Copula-based dependence modeling, autoregressive moving average (ARMA)-type time-series methods, and clustering/dimensionality reduction), (ii) deep generative models (GANs, VAEs, and diffusion models), and (iii) hybrid Statistical Relational AI (SRAI) frameworks. We discuss the strengths of explicit models in interpretability and tractability, and their limitations in representing high-dimensional nonlinear, multimodal, and multiscale spatiotemporal dependencies. We also examine the ability of deep generative methods to synthesize diverse scenarios across meteorological regimes and multiple sites, while noting persistent challenges in interpretability, physical consistency, and deployment. To bridge these gaps, we outline an SRAI-oriented integration pathway that embeds statistical structure, meteorology–power relations, spatiotemporal coupling, and operational constraints into generative architectures. Finally, we highlight directions for future research, including unified evaluation protocols, cross-regional data collaboration, controllable extreme-scenario generation, and computationally efficient generative designs. Full article

Cassiopea andromeda is an invasive alien jellyfish that is increasingly reported across the Mediterranean Sea, yet its invasion dynamics and ecological implications remain poorly understood. This study provides an updated assessment of its spatial and temporal distribution, evaluates its potential impacts on ecosystem services and biodiversity, and explores management options through the 8Rs framework. An aggregated dataset of georeferenced records (1886–2025) was compiled from scientific literature and citizen-science platforms. Spatio–temporal analyses—including kernel density, key spatial distribution characteristics, spatial autocorrelation, and local hotspot detection—were applied to identify invasion phases, aggregation patterns, and directional dispersion. Results reveal two distinct invasion stages: a century-long arrival phase confined to the Levantine Basin, followed by an accelerated expansion since 2008, with a persistent hotspot in the eastern Mediterranean Sea and a westward dispersal trajectory. Evidence of ecological impacts within the Mediterranean Sea remains limited, however studies from other regions indicate both potential benefits and localized negative interactions with marine organisms. Application of the 8Rs model highlights implemented, feasible and challenging coordinated basin-wide strategies to support adaptive management of this alien resource. Full article

Tightly coupled GNSS/INS is a widely adopted architecture for UAVs and ground vehicles. In this study, a Kalman-filter-based fusion framework integrates inertial data with satellite observables, including pseudorange and Doppler-derived range rate, to sustain precise navigation when GNSS quality degrades. A key bottleneck is that many pipelines rely on fixed or overly simplified measurement-noise covariance models, which cannot track the nonstationary statistics of real observations. To address this issue, we develop an adaptive covariance estimator built on a Transformer enhanced with three modules: a Linear-Attention layer, a Residual Sparse Denoising Autoencoder (R-SDAE), and a lightweight residual channel-attention block (LRCAM). The estimator predicts the measurement-noise covariance online. R-SDAE distills sparse, outlier-resistant features from noisy ephemeris; LRCAM reweights informative channels via residual gating; and Linear Attention preserves long-range spatiotemporal dependencies while reducing attention cost from O(N²) to O(N). A predictive factor further modulates the covariance for improved efficiency and adaptability. Experimental results on real road-test data show that the proposed method achieves sub-meter positioning accuracy in open-sky conditions and preserves meter-level accuracy with improved robustness under GNSS-degraded urban scenarios, outperforming the compared adaptive-filtering baselines and neural covariance estimators and thereby demonstrating superior positioning accuracy and stability. Full article

The Aksu River Basin, the main headwater of the Tarim River, contributes more than 70% of the main stream’s runoff and is therefore critical in maintaining hydrological stability in this arid river system. In recent decades, rapid oasis expansion and growing agricultural water withdrawals have intensified competition for surface and groundwater, posing increasing ecological risks to the downstream Tarim River Basin. To quantitatively characterize river–groundwater hydrological responses under intensive water use, we combined statistical analysis, field observations, and distributed hydrological modeling within a basin-scale conceptual framework. Multiple lines of evidence—water level monitoring, hydrochemical tracers, stable isotopes, and the integrated surface–groundwater model MIKE SHE—were used to identify river–groundwater interaction mechanisms in the Aksu alluvial plain. Results reveal a typical three-stage spatial exchange pattern: river recharge to groundwater in the upstream reach, groundwater discharge to the river in the midstream, and renewed river infiltration to groundwater downstream. The patterns inferred from water levels, hydrochemistry, and isotopes are broadly consistent, while water-level data better resolve left–right bank asymmetry. The MIKE SHE model supports the seasonal bidirectional exchange dynamics and reproduces runoff behavior with acceptable performance (RMSE and residual standard deviation within 20% of observed means and R² > 0.7 during both calibration (2010–2017) and validation (2018–2021)). The proposed multi-evidence framework captures the spatio-temporal variability of river–groundwater interactions in arid regions and provides spatially differentiated guidance for conjunctive surface–groundwater regulation and integrated water resources management in the Tarim River Basin. Full article

Rapid urban densification has intensified the scarcity of urban green space and challenged residents’ health and well-being. Pocket parks, as micro-scale infill green spaces embedded in the urban fabric, are increasingly adopted to expand everyday access to nature. Using three representative pocket parks in Nanjing, China, this study draws on self-reported data from questionnaire surveys and semi-structured interviews to characterize spatiotemporal use patterns and examine their links to perceived psychological, physiological, and social benefits through quantitative statistical analysis and modeling. Results show that pocket park use is highly routinized. Temporal patterns were evident, with weekend and autumn visits associated with improvements in emotional well-being, pain relief, and parent–child interaction. Perceived benefits were generally positive across psychological, physiological, and social domains, with psychological benefits—especially emotional relief and reduced loneliness—reported most strongly. Benefit levels varied across parks and user groups. Mechanism analysis reveals that the park supply factor, reflecting accessibility and basic facility provision, showed the most consistent direct paths to perceived benefits, whereas facility use and length of stay had no significant direct effects. These findings suggest that pocket park planning should prioritize accessibility and adequate basic provision, while strengthening activity support in ways that align with local use rhythms to enhance health-oriented performance in high-density cities. Full article

Land resources constitute the fundamental basis for human survival and a core element of social development. The quantity, quality, and ecological condition of land resources are crucial for human well-being and sustainable development, and they make significant contributions to achieving the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, the influence of land ecological quality on the implementation of the SDGs has not yet been fully clarified. This study utilizes 1 km spatial resolution geospatial data and statistical data to construct a land ecological environment quality evaluation index system based on the Pressure–State–Response (PSR) model, analyzing the spatiotemporal dynamics of land ecological environment quality in China from 2010 to 2020 (with five-year intervals). In addition, the Spearman correlation coefficient was employed to examine the relationships between the land ecological environment quality index (LEEQI), pressure index (PI), state index (SI), response index (RI), and the implementation of SDGs 6, 11, 12, and 15, and to further explore how geographical economic zones influence the effects of these indices on the achievement of the SDGs. The results indicate that land ecological quality in China shows a strong north–south gradient, while the east–west differentiation is relatively weak, and the overall trend is increasing. The LEEQI values ranged from 0.16 to 0.48; the PI values ranged from 0.00 to 0.24; the SI values ranged from 0.03 to 0.29; and the RI values ranged from 0.01 to 0.26. The LEEQI gap between the western and northeastern regions narrowed significantly, from 0.10 to 0.07. LEEQI and RI promote the achievement of all four SDGs, whereas PI and SI mainly promote the realization of SDGs 6, 11, and 12. The synergistic effects of the four indices on the SDGs are observed in the central, eastern, and western regions, with the most significant effects occurring in western China. Specifically, LEEQI shows the strongest correlation with SDG 6; both PI and SI exhibit synergistic effects with SDGs 12 and 15; and RI demonstrates synergistic effects with all four SDGs. These findings suggest that improving land ecological quality is crucial for advancing the achievement of the SDGs. Furthermore, given that land ecological environment quality and its dimensions exert different influences on the implementation of the SDGs across geographical economic regions, it is necessary to develop tailored and region-specific strategies, particularly in western China, where maximizing improvements in land ecological quality is crucial for promoting sustainable development. Full article

Wearable systems based on inertial measurement units (IMUs) have attracted considerable interest in recent years in the field of gait analysis. However, most gait studies using such devices have been conducted in laboratory rather than clinical settings. This study evaluated a commercially available IMU-based insole system in two cohorts: a clinical group (59 ± 18, years) recruited from podiatry clinics and a non-clinical group (28 ± 7, years) recruited from a university with no reported complaints. Participants wore the IMU-based device and performed treadmill walking (clinical group) and overground walking (non-clinical group). Spatiotemporal parameters were compared between groups using statistical analyses included the Shapiro–Wilk test, Mann–Whitney test, and Welch’s t-tests for non-bilateral data, and a two-factor linear mixed-effects model estimated by restricted maximum likelihood (REML) for bilateral spatiotemporal parameters to evaluate group, foot-side, and interaction effects. Ten of the twenty-two spatiotemporal parameters showed significant group differences, with statistical significance observed in at least one foot for parameters measured bilaterally. The observed differences may reflect a combination of clinical characteristics, age-related effects, and walking environment influences. Findings are discussed in relation to potential biomechanical mechanisms, factors influencing results and the clinical utility of IMU systems. Future research should investigate specific foot conditions under standardized walking conditions with age-matched cohorts. Full article

Understanding the complex drivers of water yield is essential for ensuring basin water resource security, yet existing linear approaches often overlook the critical nonlinear effects arising from factor interactions. Previous studies combining the InVEST model with attribution methods have typically treated climate and land use as independent factors, failing to quantify their interactive effects beyond additive assumptions. This study addresses this gap by introducing a coupled framework that explicitly isolates and quantifies nonlinear climate–land interactions through scenario-based residual decomposition and spatial interaction detection. Focusing on the Minjiang River Basin, this study first applies a locally calibrated InVEST model to analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of water yield from 2000 to 2023. Through scenario analysis and the Geographical Detector method, we decoupled the contributions of climatic factors, land use, and their interactions. The results show significant spatiotemporal heterogeneity in water yield, averaging 1053.59 mm, with a spatial pattern aligned closely with precipitation. Climatic factors dominated the changes (average contribution 93.43%), while the direct contribution of land use was minimal (−1.56%). Importantly, a significant nonlinear interaction effect was identified (average 8.13%), with the interplay between precipitation and forest land proportion showing the strongest explanatory power for spatial differentiation (q-statistic up to 96.4%). These findings highlight the necessity of an integrated climate-land regulatory strategy that enhances climate resilience and optimizes key land uses to promote sustainable water management, providing a methodological framework for analyzing complex hydrological drivers. Full article

While climate change shifts plant phenology, conventional satellite-based studies often overlook intra-individual variations due to spatial averaging. This study utilized high-resolution UAV imagery and Digital Surface Models (DSMs) to investigate how intra-crown microclimatic heterogeneity affects the spatiotemporal patterns of flowering and autumn leaf senescence. Rhododendron yedoense f. poukhanense (H.Lév.) M. Sugim (RY) and Acer triflorum Kom. (AT) were monitored at the Korea National Arboretum, with 23 time-series images acquired between April and November 2025. Cumulative solar duration was calculated for 0.5 m intra-crown grids, and phenological events were detected using derivative analysis of vegetation indices (Red Chromatic Coordinate [RCC] and Green Chromatic Coordinate [GCC]). The results confirmed asynchrony in phenological events within single individuals depending on crown sectors. However, the linear relationship between intra-crown microclimatic heterogeneity and phenological duration was statistically weak ($\rho$ > 0.05), suggesting that strong physiological buffering mitigates the direct impact of spatial light variation. Despite this buffering, species-specific response patterns were observed: RY exhibited spatially independent flowering responses, whereas AT maintained relatively higher synchrony. Furthermore, AT showed a “Phenological Velocity” gap, where sunlit sectors tended to experience senescence approximately 1.12 days later than shaded areas**, while RY showed no significant directional lag.** This research demonstrates that phenological responses can be spatially dispersed even within an individual, and the buffering mechanisms against environmental variability differ by crown structure and growth form. These findings highlight the necessity of individual-level spatial resolution in understanding plant responses to climate change. Full article