Search Results (225)

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the microphysical structures of Meiyu heavy rainfall (near-surface rainfall intensity > 8 mm/h) across different life stages in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley (YHRV). We classified the heavy rainfall events into three life stages of developing, mature, and dissipating using ERA5 reanalysis and IMERG precipitation estimates, and examined vertical microphysical structures using Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) data from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) satellite during the Meiyu period from 2014 to 2023. The results showed that convective heavy rainfall during the mature stage exhibits peak radar reflectivity and surface rainfall rates, with the largest near-surface mass weighted diameter (D_m ≈ 1.8 mm) and the smallest droplet concentration (dBN_w ≈ 38). Downdrafts in the dissipating stage preferentially remove large ice particles, whereas sustained moisture influx stabilizes droplet concentrations. Stratiform heavy rainfall, characterized by weak updrafts, displays narrower particle size distributions. During dissipation, particle breakups dominate, reducing D_m while increasing dBN_w. The analysis of the relationship between microphysical parameters and rainfall rate revealed that convective heavy rainfall shows synchronized growth of D_m and dBN_w during the developing stage, with D_m peaking at about 2.1 mm near 70 mm/h before stabilizing in the mature stage, followed by small-particle dominance in the dissipating stage. In contrast, stratiform rainfall exhibits a “small size, high concentration” regime, where the rainfall rate correlates primarily with increasing dBN_w. Additionally, convective heavy rainfall demonstrates about 22% higher precipitation efficiency than stratiform systems, while stratiform rainfall shows a 25% efficiency surge during the dissipation stage compared to other stages. Full article

A novel classification algorithm for precipitation types (CP) was developed to address frequent misclassification issues between shallow convection and intense stratiform precipitation using existing methods and to enhance an understanding of their physical characteristics. Based on three-dimensional radar data and temperature fields, CP integrates three approaches: Storm Labeling in Three Dimensions (SLTD), a feature parameter-based algorithm (FP), and an advanced subcategorization method. The algorithm classifies precipitation into ten types: four non-precipitating, three stratiform, and three convective categories. CP was evaluated against traditional methods (SHY and FP) through both qualitative and quantitative analyses for mid-latitude warm-season systems. The CP method demonstrated improved performance, with higher skill scores (e.g., POD: 0.567–0.571) compared to SHY (0.349–0.364) and FP (0.455–0.470). Additionally, comparative analyses of vertical mean profiles of radar reflectivity, dynamical, and microphysical variables confirmed the enhanced capability of CP in distinguishing detailed precipitation structures. Full article

High-resolution numerical weather prediction requires accurate cloud microphysical initial conditions to enhance forecasting capabilities for high-impact severe weather events such as convective storms. This study integrated Fengyun-2 (FY-2) geostationary satellite data (equivalent blackbody temperature and total cloud cover) and next-generation 3D weather radar reflectivity from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) to construct cloud microphysical initial fields and evaluate their impact on the CMA-MESO 3 km regional model. An analysis of the catastrophic rainfall event in Henan on 20 July 2021, and a 92-day continuous experiment (May–July 2024) revealed that assimilating cloud microphysical variables significantly improved precipitation forecasting: the equitable threat scores (ETSs) for 1 h forecasts of light, moderate, and heavy rain increased from 0.083, 0.043, and 0.007 to 0.41, 0.36, and 0.217, respectively, with average hourly ETS improvements of 21–71% for 2–6 h forecasts and increases in ETSs for light, moderate, and heavy rain of 7.5%, 9.8%, and 24.9% at 7–12 h, with limited improvement beyond 12 h. Furthermore, the root mean square error (RMSE) of the 2 m temperature forecasts decreased across all 1–72 h lead times, with a 4.2% reduction during the 1–9 h period, while the geopotential height RMSE reductions reached 5.8%, 3.3%, and 2.0% at 24, 48, and 72 h, respectively. Additionally, synchronized enhancements were observed in 10 m wind prediction accuracy. These findings underscore the critical role of cloud microphysical initialization in advancing mesoscale numerical weather prediction systems. Full article

This study investigates the linkage between the radar reflectivity slope and raindrop size distribution (DSD) in precipitation with bright bands through coordinated C-band/Ka-band radar and disdrometer observations in southern China. Precipitation is classified into three types based on the reflectivity slope (K-value) below the freezing level, revealing distinct microphysical regimes: Type 1 (K = 0 to −0.9) shows coalescence-dominated growth; Type 2 (|K| > 0.9) shows the balance between coalescence and evaporation/size sorting; and Type 3 (K = 0.9 to 0) demonstrates evaporation/size-sorting effects. Surface DSD analysis demonstrates distinct precipitation characteristics across classification types. Type 3 has the highest frequency of occurrence. A gradual decrease in the mean rain rates is observed from Type 1 to Type 3, with Type 3 exhibiting significantly lower rainfall intensities compared to Type 1. At equivalent rainfall rates, Type 2 exhibits unique microphysical signatures with larger mass-weighted mean diameters (D_m) compared to other types. These differences are due to Type 2 maintaining a high relative humidity above the freezing level (influencing initial D_m at bottom of melting layer) but experiencing limited D_m growth due to a dry warm rain layer and downdrafts. Type 1 shows opposite characteristics—a low initial D_m from the dry upper layers but maximum growth through the moist warm rain layer and updrafts. Type 3 features intermediate humidity throughout the column with updrafts and downdrafts coexisting in the warm rain layer, producing moderate growth. Full article

Accurate projection of future climate trends in arid regions critically depends on reliable precipitation simulations. However, most Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models exhibit systematic overestimations of precipitation in Northwest China, a bias that undermines the credibility of climate projections for this vulnerable region. This persistent bias likely stems from the omission of key physical processes in traditional models. In this study, we incorporate a dust–ice-cloud interaction scheme into the Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5) model to investigate its role in regulating precipitation over dust-rich arid regions. This physical mechanism, which is rarely included in conventional models, is particularly relevant for Northwest China where dust aerosols are abundant. Our results show that accounting for dust-induced ice nucleation leads to a significant reduction in total precipitation, especially in the convective component, thereby alleviating the longstanding wet bias in the region. These findings underscore the critical importance of dust–ice-cloud interactions in simulating precipitation in arid environments. To improve the accuracy of future climate projections in Northwest China, climate models must incorporate realistic representations of dust-related microphysical processes. Full article

This study investigates the impact of desert dust on precipitation patterns using multi-model simulations. Dust-based processes of formation/removal of ice nuclei (IN) and cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) are investigated by using both the online access model WRF-CHIMERE and the online integrated model WRF-Chem. Comparisons of model predictions with rainfall measurements (GRISO: Spatial Interpolation Generator from Rainfall Observations) over the Italian peninsula show the models’ ability to reproduce heavy orographic precipitation in alpine regions. To quantify the impact of the mineral dust transport concomitant to the atmospheric river (AR) on cloud formation, a sensitivity study is performed by using the WRF-CHIMERE model (i) by setting dust concentrations to zero and (ii) by modifying the settings of the Thompson Aerosol-Aware microphysics scheme. Statistical comparisons revealed that WRF-CHIMERE outperformed WRF-Chem. It achieved a correlation coefficient of up to 0.77, mean bias (MB) between +3.56 and +5.01 mm/day, and lower RMSE and MAE values (~32 mm and ~22 mm, respectively). Conversely, WRF-Chem displayed a substantial underestimation, with an MB of −25.22 mm/day and higher RMSE and MAE values. Our findings show that, despite general agreement in spatial precipitation patterns, both models significantly underestimated the peak daily rainfall in pre-alpine regions (e.g., 216 mm observed at Malga Valine vs. 130–140 mm simulated, corresponding to a 35–40% underestimation). Although important instantaneous changes in precipitation and temperature were modeled at a local scale, no significant total changes in precipitation or air temperature averaged over the entire domain were observed. These results underline the complexity of aerosol–cloud interactions and the need for improved parameterizations in coupled meteorological models. Full article

Multilayer clouds, comprising vertically stacked cloud layers with distinct microphysical characteristics, constitute a critical yet complex atmospheric phenomenon influencing regional to global climate patterns. Advances in observational techniques, particularly the application of high-resolution humidity vertical profiling via radiosondes, have significantly enhanced multilayer cloud detection capabilities. Multilayer clouds are widely distributed around the world, showing significant regional differences. Many studies have been carried out on the formation mechanism of multilayer clouds, and observational evidence indicates a close relationship between multilayer cloud development and water vapor supply, updraft, atmospheric circulation, as well as wind shear; however, a unified and comprehensive theoretical framework has not yet been constructed to fully explain the underlying mechanism. In addition, the unique vertical structure of multilayer clouds exhibits different climate effects when compared with single-layer clouds, affecting global climate patterns by regulating precipitation processes and radiative energy budgets. This article reviews the research progress related to multilayer cloud observations and their climate effects and looks forward to the research that needs to be carried out in the future. Full article

On 27 February 2023, the municipality of Itajubá in southeastern Brazil experienced a short-duration yet high-intensity rainfall event, causing significant socio-economic impacts. Hence, this study evaluates the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in simulating this extreme event through a set of sensitivity numerical experiments. The control simulation followed the operational configuration used daily by the Center for Weather and Climate Forecasting Studies of Minas Gerais (CEPreMG). Additional experiments tested the use of different microphysics schemes (WSM3, WSM6, WDM6), initial and boundary conditions (GFS, GDAS, ERA5), and surface datasets (sea surface temperature and soil moisture from ERA5 and GDAS). The model’s performance was evaluated by comparing the simulated variables with those from various datasets. We primarily focused on the representation of the spatial precipitation pattern, statistical metrics (bias, Pearson correlation, and Kling–Gupta Efficiency), and atmospheric instability indices (CAPE, K, and TT). The results showed that none of the simulations accurately captured the amount and spatial distribution of precipitation over the region, likely due to the complex topography and convective nature of the studied event. However, the WSM3 microphysics scheme and the use of ERA5 SST data provided slightly better representation of instability indices, although these configurations still underperformed in simulating the rainfall intensity. All simulations overestimated the instability indices compared to ERA5, although ERA5 itself may underestimate the convective environments. Despite some performance limitations, the sensitivity experiments provided valuable insights into the model’s behavior under different configurations for southeastern Brazil—particularly in a convective environment within mountainous terrain. However, further evaluation across multiple events is recommended. Full article

This study uses GPM DPR and Himawari-8 cloud-top infrared data to classify the precipitating cloud (PC) into three life stages: developing, mature, and dissipating. Based on GPM DPR data from April to June 2018–2022, this research investigates the microphysical features of convective and stratiform precipitation over South China. The precipitation generated by the developing stage of the PC contains the largest proportion of convective precipitation, the largest precipitation area in the mature stage of PC, and the smallest precipitation area with the lowest convective precipitation proportion in the dissipating stage of the PC. For stratiform precipitation generated by the developing PC, the height of 0 °C level is marginally above the top height of Bright Band (BB), with both heights aligning in altitude during the mature and dissipating stages of the PC. The mass-weighted mean diameter (D_m) peaks at 1.2 mm below the BB, and near-surface D_m is positively correlated with the storm top height. For convective precipitation, raindrops with D_m of 1.9 mm and those exceeding 3.0 mm predominate. Notably, the near-surface D_m shows a positive correlation with storm top height, with the correlation coefficient for convective precipitation being greater than that for stratiform precipitation. Significantly, the average liquid and non-liquid water paths are larger in the dissipating stage as compared to the developing stage for both precipitation types. These findings suggest enhanced precipitation efficiency in South China and underscore the critical importance of stage-specific analyses in comprehending precipitating cloud microphysics. Full article

This study investigates the formation and triggering mechanisms of precipitation processes. Given the substantial effort required to construct a 3D model, we developed an idealized 2D precipitation scenario, using a simplified dynamical framework with vortex wind fields as the background atmospheric flow field. By modeling the transport, uplift, and subsidence of water vapor and liquid water, a condensation model was developed to simulate air parcel uplift and high-altitude water vapor condensation. Further, a cloud microphysics precipitation scheme was incorporated to simulate precipitation triggering and falling processes following water vapor condensation. Model results demonstrate that the approach accurately reproduces key processes of water vapor transport, condensation, and precipitation formation. With a time step of 15 s and a total of 120 steps, the simulation of a 30-min scenario was completed in just 158.5 s, indicating the high computational efficiency of the model. This paper introduces an innovative research scheme for a diagnostic model. Upon technological maturity, the model will utilize radar wind field data as its input to evaluate and enhance the performance of precipitation diagnostic models in real weather processes. This research lays a solid foundation for the further refinement and optimization of precipitation forecasting models, thereby advancing the accuracy of weather prediction. Full article

Precipitation events have been occurring more frequently in the hyper-arid region of the Taklamakan Desert (TD) under recent climate change. However, in this water-limited environment, the microphysical characteristics of precipitation, as well as their link to rainfall intensity, remain unclear. To address this, this study utilizes dual-frequency precipitation radar (DPR) data of the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) satellite from 2014 to 2023 to analyze the microphysical characteristics of different precipitation types (stratiform and convective) in the TD during the summer. The results show that liquid water path (LWP) is a key factor influencing precipitation type: when LWP is insufficient, stratiform precipitation is more likely to occur (84.1%), while convective precipitation is difficult to occur (15.9%). Microphysical process analysis indicates that in convective precipitation, abundant low-level moisture leads to the growth of liquid particles primarily through the collision–coalescence process (59.7%), resulting in larger raindrop diameters (1.7 mm) and lower concentrations (31.9 mm⁻¹ m⁻³). In contrast, stratiform precipitation, with limited LWP, primarily involves the melting and breaking-up of high-level ice-phase particles, leading to smaller raindrop diameters (1.2 mm) and higher concentrations (34.3 mm⁻¹ m⁻³). The warm rain process plays a significant role in raindrop formation in both types of precipitation. The greater (lesser) the amount of LWP, the larger (smaller) the contribution of collision–coalescence (break-up) processes, and the larger (smaller) the raindrop diameter and precipitation intensity. Full article

Winter mixed-phase precipitation (P) impacts transportation, electric power grids, and homes. Forecasting winter precipitation such as freezing precipitation (ZP), freezing rain (ZR), freezing drizzle (ZL), ice pellets (IPs), and the snow (S) and rain (R) boundary remains challenging due to the complex cloud microphysical and dynamical processes involved, which are difficult to predict with the current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. Understanding these processes based on observations is crucial for improving NWP models. To aid this effort, Environment and Climate Change Canada deployed specialized instruments such as the Vaisala FD71P and OTT PARSIVEL disdrometers, which measure P type (PT), particle size distributions, and fall velocity (V). The liquid water content (LWC) and mean mass-weighted diameter (${\mathrm{D}}_{\mathrm{m}}$) were derived based on the PARSIVEL data during ZP events. Additionally, a Micro Rain Radar (MRR) and an OTT Pluvio2 P gauge were used as part of the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-Scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX) field campaign at Sorel, Quebec. The dataset included manual measurements of the snow water equivalent (SWE), PT, and radiosonde profiles. The analysis revealed that the FD71P and PARSIVEL instruments generally agreed in detecting P and snow events. However, FD71P tended to overestimate ZR and underestimate IPs, while PARSIVEL showed superior detection of R, ZR, and S. Conversely, the FD71P performed better in identifying ZL. These discrepancies may stem from uncertainties in the velocity–diameter (V-D) relationship used to diagnose ZR and IPs. Observations from the MRR, radiosondes, and surface data linked ZR and IP events to melting layers (MLs). IP events were associated with colder surface temperatures (Ts) compared to ZP events. Most ZR and ZL occurrences were characterized by light P with low LWC and specific intensity and ${\mathrm{D}}_{\mathrm{m}}$ thresholds. Additionally, snow events were more common at warmer T compared to liquid P under low surface relative humidity conditions. The Pluvio2 gauge significantly underestimated snowfall compared to the optical probes and manual measurements. However, snowfall estimates derived from PARSIVEL data, adjusted for snow density to account for riming effects, closely matched measurements from the FD71P and manual observations. Full article

The microphysics and visibility (Vis) of a sea fog event with precipitation were measured at the Baguan Hill Meteorological Station (BGMS) (36.07° N, 120.33° E; 86 m above sea level) from 27 June to 28 June 2022. The duration of the fog process was 880 min. The mean value of the number concentration (N_d) was 190.62 cm⁻³, and the mean value of the liquid water content (LWC) was 0.026 g m⁻³. Small droplets contributed 81% to N_d and had a greater impact on visibility attenuation, while larger droplets accounted for 58% of the total LWC. The observed droplet size distribution (DSD) was better represented by the G-exponential distribution than by the Gamma distribution. Incorporating both N_d and LWC in Vis parameterization resulted in the best prediction performance. This work enhances understanding of sea fog microphysics in the west coast of Yellow Sea in summer and highlights the need for long-term observations. Full article

Between 11 and 14 August 2017, the southern belt of the central Himalaya experienced extreme precipitation, with some stations recording more than 500 mm of accumulated rainfall, which resulted in widespread, devastating flooding. Precipitation was concentrated over the sub-Himalaya, and the established forecasting systems failed to predict the event. In this study, we evaluate the performance of six cloud microphysics schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model forced with the advanced ERA5 dataset. We also examine the importance of the cumulus scheme in WRF at 3 km horizontal grid spacing in highly convective events like this. Six WRF simulations, each with one of the six different microphysics schemes with the Kain–Fritsch cumulus scheme turned off, all fail to reproduce the spatial variability of accumulated precipitation during this devastating flood-producing precipitation event. In contrast, the simulations exhibit greatly improved performance with the cumulus scheme turned on. In this study, the cumulus scheme helps to initiate convection, after which grid-scale precipitation becomes dominant. Amongst the different simulations, the WRF simulation using the Morrison microphysics scheme with the cumulus turned on displayed the best performance, with the smallest normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of 0.25 and percentage bias (PBIAS) of −6.99%. The analysis of cloud microphysics using the two best-performing simulations reveals that the event is strongly convective, and it is essential to keep the cumulus scheme on for such convective events and capture all the precipitation characteristics showing that in regions of extreme topography, the cumulus scheme is still necessary even down to the grid spacing of at least 3 km. Full article

The habits of cloud particles are a significant factor impacting microphysical processes in clouds. The accurate identification of cloud particle shapes within clouds is a fundamental requirement for calculating various cloud microphysical parameters. In this study, we established a cloud particle image dataset encompassing nine distinct habit categories, totaling 8100 images. These images were captured using three probes with varying resolutions: the Cloud Particle Imager (CPI), the Two-Dimensional Stereo Probe (2D-S), and the High-Volume Precipitation Spectrometer (HVPS). Furthermore, this study performs a comparative analysis of ten different transfer learning (TL) models based on this dataset. It was found that the VGG-16 model exhibits the highest classification accuracy, reaching 97.90%. This model also demonstrates the highest recall, precision, and F1 measure. The results indicate that the VGG-16 model can reliably classify the shapes of ice crystal particles measured by both line scan imagers (2D-S, HVPS) and an area scan imager (CPI). Full article