Search Results (61)

Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have emerged as a promising sustainable urban mobility solution, expected to lead to enhanced road safety, smoother traffic flows, less traffic congestion, improved accessibility, better energy utilization and environmental performance, as well as more efficient passenger and freight transportation, in terms of time and cost, due to better fleet management and platooning. However, challenges also arise, mostly related to data privacy, security and cyber-security, high acquisition and infrastructure costs, accident liability, even possible increased traffic congestion and air pollution due to induced travel demand. This paper presents the results of a survey conducted among 654 residents who experienced an autonomous bus (AB) service in the city of Trikala, Greece, in order to assess their willingness to use (WTU) and willingness to pay (WTP) for ABs, through testing a range of factors based on a literature review. Results useful to policy-makers were extracted, such as that the intention to use ABs was mostly shaped by psychological factors (e.g., users’ perceptions of usefulness and safety, and trust in the service provider), while WTU seemed to be positively affected by previous experience in using ABs. In contrast, sociodemographic factors were found to have very little effect on the intention to use ABs, while apart from personal utility, users’ perceptions of how autonomous driving will improve the overall life standards in the study area also mattered. Full article

Security checks (SCs) at metro stations are regarded as an effective measure to address the heightened security risks associated with high ridership. Introducing SCs without exacerbating congestion requires a thorough understanding of their impact on passenger flow. Most existing studies were conducted where SCs are mandatory and fixed at certain locations. This study presents a method for advising the scale and placement for SCs under a more relaxed security setting. Using agent-based simulation with heterogeneous profiles for both inbound and outbound passenger flow, existing bottlenecks are first identified. By varying different percentages of passengers for SCs and locations to deploy SCs, we observe the influence on existing bottlenecks and suggest a suitable configuration. In our experiments, key bottlenecks are identified before tap-in fare gantries. When deploying SCs near tap-in fare gantries as seen in current practices, a screening percentage of beyond 10% could exacerbate existing bottlenecks and also create new bottlenecks at SC waiting areas. Relocating the SC to a point beyond the fare gantries helps alleviate congestion. This method provides a reference for station managers and transport authorities for balancing security and congestion. Full article

The long-standing need for a modern public transportation system in Lebanon, a developing country of the Middle East with an almost exclusive dependence on costly and polluting passenger cars, has become more pressing in recent years due to the worsening economic crisis and the onset of hyperinflation. This study investigates the potential reductions in energy use, emissions, and costs from the possible introduction of natural gas, hybrid, and battery-electric buses compared to traditional diesel buses in local real driving conditions. Four operating conditions were considered including severe congestion, peak, off-peak, and bus rapid transit (BRT) operation. Battery-electric buses are found to be the best performers in any traffic operation, conditional on having clean energy supply at the power plant and significant subsidy of bus purchase cost. Natural gas buses do not provide significant greenhouse gas emission savings compared to diesel buses but offer substantial reductions in the emission of all major pollutants harmful to human health. Results also show that accounting for additional energy consumption from the use of climate-control auxiliaries in hot and cold weather can significantly impact the performance of all bus technologies by up to 44.7% for electric buses on average. Performance of all considered bus technologies improves considerably in free-flowing traffic conditions, making BRT operation the most beneficial. A vehicle mix of diesel, natural gas, and hybrid bus technologies is found most feasible for the case of Lebanon and similar developing countries lacking necessary infrastructure for a near-term transition to battery-electric technology. Full article

The rapid expansion of urban rail networks has resulted in increasingly complex passenger flow patterns, presenting significant challenges for operational management, especially during incidents and emergencies. Disruptions such as power equipment failures, trackside faults, and train malfunctions can severely impact transit efficiency and reliability, leading to congestion and cascading network effects. Existing models for predicting passenger origin–destination (OD) matrices struggle to provide accurate and timely predictions under these disrupted conditions. This study proposes a deep counterfactual inference model that improves both the prediction accuracy and interpretability of OD matrices during incidents. The model uses a dual-channel framework based on multi-task learning, where the factual channel predicts OD matrices under normal conditions and the counterfactual channel estimates OD matrices during incidents, enabling the quantification of the spatiotemporal impacts of disruptions. Our approach which incorporates KL divergence-based propensity matching enhances prediction accuracy by 4.761% to 12.982% compared to baseline models, while also providing interpretable insights into disruption mechanisms. The model reveals that incident types vary in delay magnitude, with power equipment incidents causing the largest delays, and shows that incidents have time-lag effects on OD flows, with immediate impacts on origin stations and progressively delayed effects on destination and neighboring stations. This research offers practical tools for urban rail transit operators to estimate incident-affected passenger volumes and implement more efficient emergency response strategies, advancing emergency response capabilities in smart transit systems. Full article

This study proposes a methodology that integrates real-time data and predictive modeling to identify the passenger flow and occupancy levels within a multimodal transport hub. This tool enables the implementation of control and planning strategies to ensure a high Level of Service (LOS). The tool is based on a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and heterogeneous data sources, including an Automatic Passenger Counting (APC) system, which are utilized to estimate the real-time passenger flow and area occupancy. The Module A of the Moncloa Interchange in Madrid is the case study, and the results reveal that transport-dedicated zones have higher occupancy levels. Methodologically, time series data were standardized to a uniform frequency to ensure consistency, and the training set consisted of seven months of available data. The model performs better in high-occupancy zones. Despite maintaining a LOS A, some periods experience temporary congestion. These findings indicate that the variations in occupancy levels influence the service quality and highlight the essential role of dynamic interchange management. Tailored operational strategies can optimize the service levels and improve the user experience by anticipating congestion through predictive modeling. This can help enhance public transport’s attractiveness, minimize the perceived transfer penalties, make transfers more efficient, and reinforce transport hubs’ role in sustainable urban mobility. Full article

Passenger flow forecasting is crucial for optimizing urban transit operations, especially in developing countries such as India, where congestion, infrastructure constraints, and diverse commuter behaviors pose significant challenges. Despite its importance, limited research explored forecasting models for Indian urban transit systems, particularly incorporating the effects of holidays and disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. To address this gap, we propose TBATS Boosting, a novel hybrid forecasting model that integrates the statistical strengths of trigonometric, Box–Cox, ARMA, trend, and seasonal (TBATS) with the predictive power of LightGBM. The model is trained on a five-year real-world dataset from e-ticketing machines (ETM) in Thane Municipal Transport (TMT), incorporating holiday and pandemic-related variations. While Route 12 serves as a primary evaluation route, different station pairs are analyzed to validate their scalability across varying passenger demand levels. To comprehensively evaluate the proposed framework, a rigorous performance assessment was conducted using MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and WMAPE across station pairs characterized by heterogeneous passenger flow patterns. Empirical results demonstrate that the TBATS Boosting approach consistently outperforms benchmark models, including standalone SARIMA, TBATS, XGBoost, and LightGBM. By effectively capturing complex temporal dependencies, multiple seasonalities, and nonlinear relationships, the proposed framework significantly enhances forecasting accuracy. These advancements provide transit authorities with a robust tool for optimizing resource allocation, improving service reliability, and enabling data-driven decision making across varied and dynamic urban transit environments. Full article

There are several accidents in China’s high-speed railways where passengers fall off the platform every year. In response to the risks of falling off high-speed railway platforms associated with passenger overcrowding, this study explores the platform exit width range in determining how to reduce the risk. In order to quantify the risk, we first define the risk probability to measure the likelihood of passengers falling off the platform. Then, we propose an integrated model that combines the passenger flow assignment with a dynamic calculation of passenger flow. This methodology addresses the passenger flow assignment through modeling passenger choices based on path utilities and determines an interpretable exit width range that ensures safe, non-congested evacuation within the designated timeframe. Empirical analysis reveals that the ranges of exit width and achieving different aims of risk probabilities are negatively correlated. The current exit width of 6 m on high-speed railway platforms is insufficient. Our results recommend expanding this width to between 6.43 and 7.01 m to facilitate more efficient passenger exits under normal operating conditions (risk probability of 10%). This adjustment potentially reduces the required investment in surveillance equipment by 77.7% and halves the monetary costs, thereby encouraging railway managers to implement these recommendations. Due to being restricted by a fixed platform width of 10 m, the limitation of optimizing the exit width aims to allow about 2770 passengers at most to leave the platform within the specified travel time. Full article

In the context of big data and intelligent connectivity, optimizing scheduled bus dispatch can enhance urban transit efficiency and passenger experience, which is vital for the sustainable development of urban transportation. This paper, based on existing fixed bus stops, integrates traditional demand-responsive transit and travel booking models, considering the spatiotemporal variations in scheduled travel demands and passenger flows and addressing the combined scheduling issues of fixed-capacity bus models and skip-stop strategies. By leveraging intelligent connected technologies, it introduces a dynamic grouping method, proposes an intelligent connected bus dispatching model, and optimizes bus timetables and dispatch control strategies. Firstly, the inherent travel characteristics of potential reservation users are analyzed based on actual transit data, subsequently extracting demand data from reserved passengers. Secondly, a two-stage optimization program is proposed, detailing passenger boarding and alighting at each stop and section passenger flow conditions. The first stage introduces a precise bus–traveler matching dispatch model within a spatial–temporal–state framework, incorporating ride matching to minimize parking frequency in scheduled travel scenarios. The second stage addresses spatiotemporal variations in passenger demand and station congestion by employing a skip-stop and bus operation control strategy. This strategy enables the creation of an adaptable bus operation optimization model for temporal dynamics and station capacity. Finally, a dual-layer optimization model using an adaptive parameter grid particle swarm optimization algorithm is proposed. Based on Beijing’s Route 300 operational data, the simulation-driven study implements contrasting scenarios of different bus service patterns. The results demonstrate that this networked dispatching system with dynamic vehicle grouping reduces operational costs by 29.7% and decreases passenger waiting time by 44.15% compared to baseline scenarios. Full article

Crowd management at turnstiles in metro stations is a critical task for ensuring safety, efficiency, and comfort for passengers. A methodology based on observation and microsimulation provides an advanced understanding and optimization of crowd flow through these turnstiles. The aim is to optimize crowd management and prevent overcrowding and delays at metro turnstiles through innovative solutions. The methodology is based on simulating passenger movements through turnstiles to observe and optimize crowd behavior. The results show that passenger decisions (e.g., choosing which turnstile to use, adjusting pace) are based on perceived crowd density, level of service, and usage of space. For instance, the number of turnstiles, their location, and the layout are important variables to be considered in the decision-making sequence. These decisions can be influenced by parameters like turnstile availability, walking paths, and real-time data (e.g., density of passengers). The methodology can help metro operators decide where to place additional turnstiles or adjust operational schedules. By simulating crowd behavior, operators can make informed decisions to reduce congestion and improve the efficiency of turnstile usage. This methodology could be implemented in various metro systems to optimize operations during different crowd conditions and peak times, ensuring smooth, safe, and efficient passenger flow. Full article

Metro stations are essential for daily commuting, but overcrowding due to increased demand can severely impact infrastructure quality and passenger experience. The Level of Service (LOS), a key indicator of congestion, is influenced by factors such as density, flow, and speed, and poor LOS leads to issues like longer boarding times, overcrowded platforms, and reduced accessibility, especially for vulnerable populations. To address these challenges, the study explores innovative solutions to improve platform design infrastructure for better accessibility and LOS, aligning sustainable development goals to create safer, more inclusive transport systems. This study presents two strategies designed to reduce passenger congestion at Francia station on the Valparaíso metro platform infrastructures. The strategies, tested in experimental scenarios, showed minimal differences in boarding and alighting times, with less than a one-second average variation between the two. However, survey results revealed that passengers preferred the strategy “let passengers alight before boarding the train”, as it provided greater comfort and accessibility, reducing the number of passengers per door and improving the LOS from level C to B. Despite the minimal intervention in the experiments, the results suggest potential operational improvements. Future research will focus on measuring passengers’ emotional responses using psychophysiological data to further evaluate the suitability of the proposed strategies. Full article

Urban transportation efficiency is critical in densely populated cities, such as Seoul, South Korea, where subway transfer stations are vital. This study investigates the spatial efficiency and passenger flow dynamics of multilayered transfer stations, using triangular Fourier transform as the primary analytical method. The research incorporates principal component analysis (PCA) and K-means clustering to classify stations based on structural characteristics and congestion patterns. Data derived from transportation card usage during peak hours and architectural layouts were analysed to identify critical bottlenecks. The results highlighted notable inefficiencies in transfer times and congestion. For example, the analysis revealed that optimising transfer corridors at Seoul Station could reduce average transfer times by over 10 min. Dongdaemun History & Culture Park Station would benefit from ground-level pathways to address inefficiencies caused by its extensive underground network. Sindorim Station’s reorganisation of above-ground and underground connectivity was found to enhance passenger flow. By introducing the concept of the ‘entry baseline for passenger flow in public buildings’, this study offers a novel framework for evaluating and improving urban transit infrastructure. The findings provide actionable insights into transfer station design, supporting strategies for addressing the challenges of urban mobility in megacities while contributing to transit-oriented development. Full article

The rapid growth of cities and their populations in recent years has resulted in significant tidal passenger flow characteristics, primarily manifested in the imbalance of passenger numbers in both directions. This imbalance often leads to a shortage of train capacity in one direction and an inefficient use of capacity in the other. To accommodate the tidal passenger flow demand of urban rail transit, this paper proposes a timetable optimization method that combines multiple strategies, aimed at reducing operating costs and enhancing the quality of passenger service. The multi-strategy optimization method primarily involves two key strategies: the unpaired operation strategy and the express/local train operation strategy, both of which can flexibly adapt to time-varying passenger demand. Based on the decision variables of headway, running time between stations, and dwell time, a mixed integer linear programming model (MILP) is established. Taking the Shanghai Suburban Railway airport link line as an example, simulations under different passenger demands are realized to illustrate the effectiveness and correctness of the proposed multi-strategy method and model. The results demonstrate that the multi-strategy optimization method achieves a 38.59% reduction in total costs for both the operator and the passengers, and effectively alleviates train congestion. Full article

Background: In recent decades, the size and passenger capacity of cruise/passenger ships has been associated with noticeable growth; in turn, this has created significant concerns regarding the adequacy of existing evacuation protocols during an “abandon the ship” situation (life threatening emergency). This study provides a systematic overview of related weaknesses and challenges, identifying critical factors that influence evacuation efficiency, and also proposes innovative/interdisciplinary solutions to address those challenges. It further emphasizes the growing complexity of cruise/passenger ship evacuations due to increased vessel size/heavy density of human population, as well as identifying the necessity of addressing both technical and human-centered elements to enhance safety and efficiency of those specific operations. Methods: Guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach, a comprehensive systematic literature search was conducted across academic databases, including Scopus, Science Direct, Google Scholar, and a limited number of academic journals that are heavily maritime-focused in their mission. Emphasis was placed on peer-reviewed articles and certain gray studies exploring the impacts of ship design, human behavior, group dynamics, and environmental conditions on evacuation outcomes. This review prioritized research incorporating advanced simulation models, crowd management solutions (applied in various disciplines, such as stadiums, airports, malls, and ships), real-world case studies, and established practices aligned with contemporary maritime safety standards. Results: The key findings identify several critical factors influencing the overall evacuation efficiency, including ship heeling angles, staircase configurations, and passenger (physical) characteristics (with their mobility capabilities and related demographics clearly standing out, among others). This effort underscores the pivotal role of group dynamics, including the influence of group size, familiarity among the group, and leader-following behaviors, in shaping evacuation outcomes. Advanced technological solutions, such as dynamic wayfinding systems, real-time monitoring, and behavior-based simulation models, emerged as essential tools for optimizing an evacuation process. Innovative strategies to mitigate identified challenges, such as phased evacuations, optimized muster station placements, and tailor made/strategic passenger cabin allocations to reduce congestion during an evacuation and enhance the overall evacuation flow, are also highlighted. Conclusions: Protecting people facing a life-threatening situation requires timely preparations. The need for a holistic evacuation strategy that effectively integrates specific ship design considerations and human factors management, along with inputs related to advanced information technology-related solutions, is the best way forward. At the same time, the importance of real-time adaptive management systems and interdisciplinary approaches to address the challenges of modern cruise/passenger ship evacuations clearly stands out. These findings provide a robust foundation for future research and practical applications, contributing to advancements in maritime safety and the development of efficient evacuation protocols for large-in-size cruise/passenger vessels. Full article

This paper addresses the design of bus bridging services in response to urban rail disruption, which plays a critical role in enhancing the resilience and sustainability of urban transportation systems. Specifically, it focuses on unplanned urban rail disruptions that result in temporary closure of line sections, including transfer stations. Under this “transfer scenario”, a heuristic-rule based method is firstly presented to generate candidate bus bridging routes. Non-parallel bridging routes are introduced to facilitate transfer passengers affected by the disruption. Meanwhile, the bridging stops visited by parallel routes are extended beyond the disrupted section, mitigating passenger congestion and bus bunching at turnover stations. Then, we propose an integrated optimization model that collaboratively addresses bus route selection and vehicle deployment issues. Capturing passenger reneging behavior, the model aims to maximize the number of served passengers with tolerable waiting times and minimize total passenger waiting times. A two-stage genetic algorithm is developed to solve the model, which incorporates a multi-agent simulation method to demonstrate dynamic passenger and bus flow within a time–space network. Finally, a case study is conducted to validate the effectiveness of the proposed methods. Sensitivity analyses are performed to explore the impacts of fleet size and route diversity on the overall bridging performance. The results offer valuable insights for transit agencies in designing bus bridging services under transfer scenarios, supporting sustainable urban mobility by promoting efficient public transit solutions that mitigate the social impacts of sudden service disruptions. Full article

Quantum game theory merges principles from quantum mechanics with game theory, exploring how quantum phenomena such as superposition and entanglement can influence strategic decision making. It offers a novel approach to analyzing and optimizing complex systems where traditional game theory may fall short. Congestion of passengers, if considered as a network, may fall into the categories of optimization cases of quantum games. This paper explores the application of quantum potential games to minimize congestion in common areas at airports. The players/passengers of the airport have identical interests and they share the same utility function. A metric is introduced that considers a passenger’s visit to a common area by setting their preferences, in order to avoid congestion. Passengers can decide whether to visit a specific common area or choose an alternative. This study demonstrates that the proposed game is a quantum potential game for tackling congestion, with identical interests, ensuring the existence of a Nash equilibrium. We consider passengers to be players that want to ensure their interests. Quantum entanglement is utilized to validate the concept, and the results highlight the effectiveness of this approach. The objective is to ensure that not all passengers select the same common place of the airport to reduce getting crowded; hence, the airborne disease infection probability increases due to overcrowding. Our findings provide a promising framework for optimizing passenger flow and reducing congestion in airport common areas through quantum game theory. We showed that the proposed system is stable by encapsulating the Lyapunov stability. We compared it to a simulated annealing approach to show the efficacy of the quantum game approach. We acknowledge that this framework can be utilized in other disciplines as well. For our future work, we will research different strategies than binary ones to investigate the efficacy of the approach. Full article