Search Results (414)

The pepper weevil Anthonomus eugenii is a devastating pest native to Central America that can cause severe damage to over 35 pepper varieties. Global trade in peppers has significantly increased the risk of its spread and expansion. Moreover, future climate change may add more uncertainty to its distribution, resulting in considerable ecological and economic damage globally. Therefore, we employed an ensemble model combining Random Forests and CLIMEX to predict the potential global distribution of A. eugenii in historical and future climate scenarios. The results indicated that the maximum temperature of the warmest month is an important variable affecting global A. eugenii distribution. Under the historical climate scenario, the potential global distribution of A. eugenii is concentrated in the Midwestern and Southern United States, Central America, the La Plata Plain, parts of the Brazilian Plateau, the Mediterranean and Black Sea coasts, sub-Saharan Africa, Northern and Southern China, Southern India, Indochina Peninsula, and coastal area in Eastern Australia. Under future climate scenarios, suitable areas in the Northern Hemisphere, including North America, Europe, and China, are projected to expand toward higher latitudes. In China, the number of highly suitable areas is expected to increase significantly, mainly in the south and north. Contrastingly, suitable areas in Central America, northern South America, the Brazilian Plateau, India, and the Indochina Peninsula will become less suitable. The total land area suitable for A. eugenii under historical and future low- and high-emission climate scenarios accounted for 73.12, 66.82, and 75.97% of the global land area (except for Antarctica), respectively. The high-suitability areas identified by both models decreased by 19.05 and 35.02% under low- and high-emission scenarios, respectively. Building on these findings, we inferred the future expansion trends of A. eugenii globally. Furthermore, we provide early warning of A. eugenii invasion and a scientific basis for its spread and outbreak, facilitating the development of effective quarantine and control measures. Full article

Atmospheric warming results in increase in temperatures for the mean, the coldest, and the hottest day of the year, season, or month. Global warming leads to a large increase in the atmospheric water vapor content and to changes in the hydrological cycle, which include an intensification of precipitation extremes. Using the GISS-E2.1 climate model, we present the future changes in the coldest and hottest daily temperatures as well as in extreme precipitation indices (under four main Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs)). The increase in the wet-day precipitation ranges between 6% and 15% per 1 °C global surface temperature warming. Scaling of the 95th percentile versus the total precipitation showed that the sensitivity for the extreme precipitation to the warming is about 10 times stronger than that for the mean total precipitation. For six precipitation extreme indices (Total Precipitation, R95p, RX5day, R10mm, SDII, and CDD), the histograms of probability density functions become flatter, with reduced peaks and increased spread for the global mean compared to the historical period of 1850–2014. The mean values shift to the right end (toward larger precipitation and intensity). The higher the GHG emission of the SSP scenario, the more significant the increase in the index change. We found an intensification of precipitation over the globe but large uncertainties remained regionally and at different scales, especially for extremes. Over land, there is a strong increase in precipitation for the wettest day in all seasons over the mid and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere. There is an enlargement of the drying patterns in the subtropics including over large regions around Mediterranean, southern Africa, and western Eurasia. For the continental averages, the reduction in total precipitation was found for South America, Europe, Africa, and Australia, and there is an increase in total precipitation over North America, Asia, and the continental Russian Arctic. Over the continental Russian Arctic, there is an increase in all precipitation extremes and a consistent decrease in CDD for all SSP scenarios, with the maximum increase of more than 90% for R95p and R10 mm observed under SSP5–8.5. Full article

Common ragweed, Ambrosia artemisiifolia (Asteraceae), is an invasive weed that causes problems in cropping systems and to human health both in its native range in North and Central America and the introduced range in Europe, Asia, Africa, and Australia. Ophraella communa, an herbivorous chrysomelid beetle from North America, was accidentally introduced into East Asia and Europe, where it significantly reduces weed populations and pollen production. Despite extensive research on its host specificity and risk assessment, the potential environmental risk of this biological control agent in southeastern Central Europe, one of the most heavily invaded areas by A. artemisiifolia, remains to be determined. This literature review attempts to summarize the results of host-range testing conducted so far and identifies plant taxa native to southeastern Central Europe that have not been tested yet. The results suggest that the host range of O. communa is not yet entirely clear, but may include some plant species from the tribes Heliantheae, Inuleae, Anthemideae, Cardueae, Astereae, and/or Coreopsideae. So far, only some of the 21 genera from those tribes with species in southeastern Central Europe have been tested. We therefore suggest further host specificity studies with representatives of these plant genera to fully assess the potential non-target risks by O. communa in agricultural and natural habitats. Full article

The intensifying global competition for cobalt resources and the increasing likelihood of trade decoupling and disruption are profoundly impacting the global energy transition. In a globalized trade environment, a decline in cobalt supply from exporting countries can spread through the trade network, negatively affecting demand countries. Quantitative analysis of the negative impacts of export supply declines in various countries can help identify early risks in the global supply chain, providing a scientific basis for energy security, industrial development, and policy responses. This study constructs a trade network using trade data on metal cobalt, cobalt powder, cobalt concentrate, and ore sand from the upstream (mining, selection, and smelting) stages of the cobalt industry chain across 155 countries and regions from 2000 to 2023. Based on this, an impact diffusion model is established, incorporating the trade volumes and production levels of cobalt resources in each country to measure their resilience to shocks and determine their direct or indirect dependencies. The study then simulates the impact on countries (regions) when each country’s supply is completely interrupted or reduced by 50%. The results show that: (1) The global cobalt trade network exhibits a ‘one superpower, multiple strong players’ characteristic. Congo (DRC) has a far greater destructive power than other countries, while South Africa, Zambia, Australia, Russia, and other countries have higher destructive power due to their strong storage and production capabilities, strong smelting capabilities, or as important trade transit countries. (2) The global cobalt trade network primarily consists of three major risk areas. The African continent, the Philippines and Indonesia in Southeast Asia, Australia in Oceania, and Russia, the United States, China, and the United Kingdom in Eurasia and North America form the primary risk zones for global cobalt trade. (3) When there is a complete disruption or a 50% reduction in export supply, China will suffer the greatest average demand loss, far exceeding the second-tier countries such as the United States, South Africa, and Zambia. In contrast, European countries and other regions worldwide will experience the smallest average demand loss. Full article

Renewable energy stands as a pivotal solution to environmental concerns, prompting substantial research and development endeavors to promote its adoption and enhance energy efficiency. Despite the recognized environmental superiority of renewable energy systems, there is a lack of globally standardized indicators specifically focused on renewable energy efficiency. This study aims to develop and apply a non-parametric data envelopment analysis (DEA) indicator, termed the Renewable Energy Indicator (REI), to measure environmental performance at the national level and to identify differences in renewable energy efficiency across countries grouped by development status and income level. The REI incorporates new factors such as agricultural methane emissions (thousand metric tons of ${\mathrm{CO}}_2$ equivalent), PM2.5 air pollution exposure (µg/m³), and aspects related to electricity, including consumption (as % of total final energy consumption), production from renewable sources, excluding hydroelectric (kWh), and accessibility in rural and urban areas (% of population with access), aligning with the emerging paradigm outlined by the United Nations. By segmenting the REI into global, developmental, and income group classifications, this study conducts the Mann–Whitney U test and the Kruskal–Wallis H tests to identify variations in renewable energy efficiency among different country groups. Our findings reveal top-performing countries globally, highlighting both developed (e.g., Sweden) and developing nations (e.g., Costa Rica, Sri Lanka). Central and North European countries demonstrate high efficiency, while those facing political and economic instability perform poorly. Agricultural-dependent nations like Australia and Argentina exhibit lower REI due to significant methane emissions. Disparities between developed and developing markets underscore the importance of understanding distinct socio-economic dynamics for effective policy formulation. Comparative analysis across income groups informs specific strategies tailored to each category. Full article

The case-fatality rate of severe leptospirosis can exceed 50%. This retrospective cohort study examined 111 individuals with laboratory-confirmed leptospirosis admitted to Cairns Hospital, a referral hospital in tropical Australia, between January 2015 and June 2024. We examined the patients’ demographic, clinical, laboratory and imaging findings at presentation and then correlated them with the patients’ subsequent clinical course. Severe disease was defined as the presence of pulmonary haemorrhage or a requirement for intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The patients’ median (interquartile range) age was 38 (24–55) years; 85/111 (77%) were transferred from another health facility. Only 13/111 (12%) had any comorbidities. There were 63/111 (57%) with severe disease, including 56/111 (50%) requiring ICU admission. Overall, 56/111 (50%) required vasopressor support, 18/111 (16%) needed renal replacement therapy, 14/111 (13%) required mechanical ventilation and 2/111 (2%) needed extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Older age—but not comorbidity—was associated with the presence of severe disease. Hypotension, respiratory involvement, renal involvement and myocardial injury—but not liver involvement—frequently heralded a requirement for ICU care. Every patient in the cohort survived to hospital discharge. Leptospirosis can cause multi-organ failure in otherwise well young people in tropical Australia; however, patient outcomes are usually excellent in the country’s well-resourced health system. Full article

Climate change has intensified scrutiny of the building sector, a major source of global greenhouse gas emissions. Modular construction, recognized for its environmental, economic, and social benefits, is increasingly regarded as a key strategy to achieve sustainability goals. This study systematically reviews literature from 2005 to 2025 on life cycle carbon emissions (CEs) during the operational phase of modular buildings, using the PRISMA model. A comprehensive search of Scopus, ScienceDirect, Web of Science (WoS), and relevant institutional databases yielded 1131 records, from which 34 studies were selected based on defined inclusion criteria. These studies span residential, commercial, and public buildings across Asia, North America, Europe, and Australia. Findings reveal that while carbon impacts during the construction phase of modular buildings are well documented, research on the operational phase remains limited due to data scarcity and methodological complexity. Since operational emissions typically exceed 60% of total life cycle emissions, and modular buildings offer advantages in airtightness, precision, and passive design integration, they hold significant potential for reducing emissions. This study calls for enhanced integration of technological innovation and policy incentives to support operational decarbonization and contribute to global carbon neutrality efforts. Full article

This research study deals with the analysis of climate catastrophes that have occurred worldwide and in what measure they have affected communities, in an economic and social point of view, and energy markets in general over time. A chronological sweep across Europe has been carried out in order to evaluate the different consequences that phenomena such as hurricanes, winter storms, and floods have had, especially on the energy prices. Moreover, the effects of the variability of renewable generation during climate disasters not only in Europe but also in North America, Australia, and Latin America have been discussed. Furthermore, best practices and novel strategies for climate adaptations have been identified in different countries, and the results show how energy planning integrated within a systematic diversification of energy sources and investment in infrastructure and advanced technologies such as distributed generation and digital twins can be crucial to enhance the reliability of energy systems. Full article

Sterculia foetida L., commonly known as the Java olive, is a tropical tree species native to regions of East Africa, tropical Asia, and northern Australia. This study employs species distribution modeling (SDM) to predict the potential geographic distribution of S. foetida under current and future climate scenarios. Using 1425 occurrence data and 19 environmental variables, we applied an ensemble modelling approach of three algorithms: Boosting Regression Trees (BRT), Generalized Linear Model (GLM), and Random Forests (RF), to generate distribution maps. Our models showed high accuracy (mean AUC = 0.98) to indicate that S. foetida has a broad ecological niche, with high suitability in tropical and subtropical regions of north Australia (New Guinea and Papua), Southeast Asia (India, Thailand, Myanmar, Taiwan, Philippines, Malaysia, Sri Lanka), Oman and Yemen in the southwest of Asia, Central Africa (Guinea, Ghana, Nigeria, Congo, Kenya and Tanzania), the Greater and Lesser Antilles, Mesoamerica, and the north of South America (Colombia, Panama, Venezuela, Ecuador and Brazil). Indeed, the probability of occurrence of S. foetida positively correlates with the Maximum temperature of warmest month (bio5), Mean temperature of wettest quarter (bio8) and Precipitation of wettest month (bio13). The model results showed a suitability area of 4,744,653 km², representing 37.86% of the total study area, classified into Low (14.12%), Moderate (8.71%), and High suitability (15.02%). Furthermore, the study found that habitat suitability for S. foetida showed similar trends under both near future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 for 2041–2060), with a slight loss in potential distribution (0.24% and 0.25%, respectively) and moderate gains (1.98% and 2.12%). In the far future (2061–2080), the low scenario (SSP1-2.6) indicated a 0.29% loss and a 2.52% gain, while the high scenario (SSP5-8.5) showed a more dramatic increase in both loss (0.6%) and gain areas (3.79%). These findings are crucial for conservation planning and management, particularly in regions where S. foetida is considered invasive and could become problematic. The study underscores the importance of incorporating climate change projections in SDM to better understand species invasiveness dynamics and inform biodiversity conservation strategies. Full article

This study investigates the aurora australis event of 19 March 1950, which was reported across multiple locations in Australia, including Hobart, Sydney, and as far north as Goondiwindi. Despite its significance as a historical space weather event, this aurora has received little attention in the scientific literature. Using contemporary news reports from The Sydney Morning Herald and Mercury, we reconstruct the characteristics of the event. Observers described vivid red and green auroral displays with streamers, indicative of intense geomagnetic activity. The associated geomagnetic storm reached a Kp index of 7+. We have estimated the magnetic disturbance peak of −278 nT (±15 nT) from measurements made in the Kakioka Magnetic Observatory. This would place it among the top 50 most intense storms recorded since 1957, according to the Dst index, though still significantly below the most extreme events. Notably, this aurora is absent from modern auroral catalogs, and no documented observations from the Northern Hemisphere have been identified. These findings underscore the critical role of historical records in advancing our understanding of auroral phenomena and their relationship with solar activity. Given the provisional nature of this study, further historical documents may yet emerge, providing additional insights into this event and its broader space weather context. Full article

We used the Queensland acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD) register to describe the clinical phenotype and the characteristics of individuals diagnosed with ARF in Far North Queensland, Australia, between January 2012 and December 2023. There were 830 episodes of ARF in 740 individuals during the study period; 785/830 (95%) episodes occurred in First Nations Australians and 696/824 occurred in areas of socioeconomic disadvantage. There was no significant change in the overall incidence of ARF during the study period (Spearman’s rho = 0.51, p = 0.09). The median (interquartile range) age of the cohort was 15 (10–23) years, although 276/830 (33%) episodes of ARF occurred in individuals ≥ 20 years. Individuals with carditis, polyarthritis, an abnormal electrocardiogram, fever and elevated inflammatory markers were more likely to have confirmed ARF. The presence of polyarthralgia, monoarthritis or skin manifestations was not associated with a diagnosis of confirmed ARF. Individuals with monoarthralgia were less likely to have confirmed ARF. At the end of the study period, 264/706 (37%) individuals who had access to echocardiography had confirmed RHD. Individuals who did not have echocardiography documented as a component of their initial episode of care were more likely to have severe RHD at the end of the study (25/339 (7%) versus 7/401 (2%), p < 0.0001). ARF and RHD continue to be diagnosed in First Nations Australians in tropical Australia. It seems unlikely that Australia will achieve its stated aim of eliminating RHD by 2031. Full article

The recognition and treatment of scabies has been incorporated into Australian guidelines for the prevention of acute rheumatic fever (ARF) and rheumatic heart disease (RHD). The incidence of both diagnosed ARF and RHD is increasing in Far North Queensland (FNQ) in northeast tropical Australia, but the local burden of scabies is incompletely defined. We reviewed the results of every skin scraping collected in FNQ’s public health system between 2000 and 2023; 121/4345 (2.8%) scrapings were positive, including 19/1071 (1.8%) in the last 5 years of the study; the proportion of scrapings that were positive for scabies declined over the study period. Individuals who tested positive for scabies were no more likely to have had a prior diagnosis of ARF or RHD compared to the matched controls (1/101 (1%) versus 3/101 (3%), p = 1.0). During a median of 14.7 years of follow-up, individuals who tested positive for scabies were also no more likely to have a diagnosis of ARF or RHD than matched controls (2/100 (2%) versus 6/98 (6%); hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 0.30 (0.06–1.50) p = 0.14). Microbiologically confirmed scabies is uncommon in FNQ and appears to make a limited contribution to the local incidence of ARF and RHD. Full article

The article considers the practice and praxis of graffiti and street art from the perspectives of law enforcement, local government and placemaking, and between the production and consumption of this ambivalent form of cultural expression. The work is based on primary, site-based research and visualisation undertaken in Europe, North America and Australia. Full article

Background: Herpes zoster (HZ) is a painful neurocutaneous disease caused by the varicella-zoster virus. The recombinant zoster vaccine (RZV) is becoming increasingly incorporated into national vaccination schedules. We aimed to evaluate RZV from a global public health policy perspective. Methods: We performed a rapid review of studies evaluating the immunogenicity, efficacy, and effectiveness of RZV for protection against HZ and associated complications. We searched PubMed for English-language studies published between 7 August 2012 and 30 September 2023. Included studies reported vaccine efficacy or effectiveness against HZ and HZ-associated complications. Immunogenicity studies were included if they contributed to the understanding of RZV protection over time and/or co-administration with other vaccines. HZ outcomes were stratified by socio-demographic and clinical variables. Results: From 405 identified publications, 33 were eligible for the study. Most studies were conducted in the US (N = 12), across North America (N = 10), and Europe (N = 5), or across multiple locations across North America, Latin America, and Asia–Australia (N = 6). Vaccine efficacy against HZ in immunocompetent populations ranged between 90% and 97%, while effectiveness ranged between 71% and 86%. Protection stayed above 70% for at least 10 years, with no significant differences by age or ethnicity. Conclusions: RZV is effective in reducing the risk of HZ and its associated complications. Protection is long-lasting and the vaccine is suitable for older and immunocompromised populations. However, the decision to incorporate the vaccine into national policies depends on additional factors (e.g., cost-effectiveness), which may be difficult to characterize without an understanding of the global disease burden. Full article

This study examined the grazing pressure and interactions between four species of wild kangaroos (Red Kangaroo Osphranter rufus, Common Wallaroo O. robustus, Eastern Grey Kangaroo Macropus giganteus, Western Grey Kangaroo M. fuliginosus), free-ranging feral goats (Capra hircus) and European rabbits (Oryctolagus cuniculus), and stocked Merino sheep (Ovis aries). The study site comprised two contiguous pairs of stocked and unstocked paddocks, one a sloping run-off zone, the other a flat run-on zone, covering a total area of 2158 ha. These paddocks on Fowlers Gap Station in far north-western New South Wales, Australia, are representative of the arid chenopod (Family: Chenopodiaceae) shrublands stocked with sheep. Sheep and red kangaroos dominate the mammalian herbivores by biomass. The study examined the relative grazing pressure exerted by the seven species of mammalian herbivores in stocked and unstocked conditions, where only sheep were confined, across a three-year period that included rain-deficient (drought) months. The effects of climate (especially rainfall and temperature) and herbivore density on the standing biomass of pasture were teased out at a macro-scale. Herbivory at a micro-scale was examined using open and exclosed plots with detection of herbivore species by fecal deposition and time-lapse videography. Sheep exerted the highest grazing pressure and there was no compensatory increase in grazing pressure by other herbivores in unstocked paddocks. Rainfall was a key driver of pasture biomass and condition and loss by senescence typically outweighed grazing pressure. Grazing effects at a micro-scale were plot-specific and complex. The results are discussed in relation to the sustainable management of rangelands for production and wildlife. Full article