Search Results (1,077)

Earthquake-triggered landslides pose significant hazards to lives and infrastructure. While existing seismic landslide models primarily focus on seismic and terrain variables, they often overlook the dynamic nature of hydrologic conditions, such as seasonal soil moisture variability. This study addresses this gap by incorporating satellite-based soil moisture data from NASA’s Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission into the assessment of seismic landslide occurrence. Using landslide inventories from five major earthquakes (Nepal 2015, New Zealand 2016, Papua New Guinea 2018, Indonesia 2018, and Haiti 2021), a balanced global dataset of landslide and non-landslide cases was compiled. Exploratory analysis revealed a strong association between elevated pre-event soil moisture and increased landslide occurrence, supporting its relevance in seismic slope failure. Moreover, a Random Forest model was trained and tested on the dataset and demonstrated excellent predictive performance. To assess the generalizability of the model, a leave-one-earthquake-out cross-validation approach was also implemented, in which the model trained on four events was tested on the fifth. This approach outperformed comparable models that did not consider soil moisture, such as the United States Geological Survey (USGS) seismic landslide model, confirming the added value of satellite-based soil moisture data in improving seismic landslide susceptibility assessments. Full article

In recent years, large-scale linear infrastructure developments have been developed across hundreds of kilometers of permafrost regions on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau. The implementation of major engineering projects, including the Qinghai–Tibet Highway, oil pipelines, communication cables, and the Qinghai–Tibet Railway, has spurred intensified research into permafrost dynamics. Climate warming has accelerated permafrost degradation, leading to a range of geological hazards, most notably widespread thermokarst landslides. This study investigates the spatiotemporal distribution patterns and influencing factors of thermokarst landslides in Qinghai Province through an integrated approach combining field surveys, remote sensing interpretation, and statistical analysis. The study utilized multi-source datasets, including Landsat-8 imagery, Google Earth, GF-1, and ZY-3 satellite data, supplemented by meteorological records and geospatial information. The remote sensing interpretation identified 1208 cryogenic hazards in Qinghai’s permafrost regions, comprising 273 coarse-grained soil landslides, 346 fine-grained soil landslides, 146 thermokarst slope failures, 440 gelifluction flows, and 3 frost mounds. Spatial analysis revealed clusters of hazards in Zhiduo, Qilian, and Qumalai counties, with the Yangtze River Basin and Qilian Mountains showing the highest hazard density. Most hazards occur in seasonally frozen ground areas (3500–3900 m and 4300–4900 m elevation ranges), predominantly on north and northwest-facing slopes with gradients of 10–20°. Notably, hazard frequency decreases with increasing permafrost stability. These findings provide critical insights for the sustainable development of cold-region infrastructure, environmental protection, and hazard mitigation strategies in alpine engineering projects. Full article

Addressing the technical demands for the rapid, precise detection of earthquake-triggered landslides in loess tablelands, this study proposes and validates an innovative methodology integrating enhanced deep learning architectures with large-tile processing strategies, featuring two core advances: (1) a critical enhancement of YOLOv8’s shallow layers via a higher-resolution P2 detection head to boost small-target capture capabilities, and (2) the development of a large-tile segmentation–tile mosaicking workflow to overcome the technical bottlenecks in large-scale high-resolution image processing, ensuring both timeliness and accuracy in loess landslide detection. This study utilized 20 km² of high-precision UAV imagery acquired after the 2023 Gansu Jishishan Ms 6.2 earthquake as foundational data, applying our methodology to achieve the rapid detection and precise segmentation of landslides in the study area. Validation was conducted through a comparative analysis of high-accuracy 3D models and field investigations. (1) The model achieved simultaneous convergence of all four loss functions within a 500-epoch progressive training strategy, with mAP50(M) = 0.747 and mAP50-95(M) = 0.46, thus validating the superior detection and segmentation capabilities for the Jishishan earthquake-triggered loess landslides. (2) The enhanced algorithm detected 417 landslides with 94.1% recognition accuracy. Landslide areas ranged from 7 × 10⁻⁴ km² to 0.217 km² (aggregate area: 1.3 km²), indicating small-scale landslide dominance. (3) Morphological characterization and the spatial distribution analysis revealed near-vertical scarps, diverse morphological configurations, and high spatial density clustering in loess tableland landslides. Full article

Xi’an, China, has a complex geological environment, with geological hazards seriously hindering urban development and safety. This study analyzed the conditions leading to disaster formation and screened 12 evaluation factors (e.g., slope and slope direction) using Spearman’s correlation. Furthermore, it also introduced an innovative combined weighting method, integrating subjective weights from the hierarchical analysis method and objective weights from the entropy method, as well as an information value model for susceptibility assessment. The main results are as follows: (1) There are 787 hazard points—landslides/collapses are concentrated in loess areas and Qinling foothills, while subsidence/fissures are concentrated in plains. (2) The combined weighting method effectively overcame the limitations of single methods. (3) Validation using hazard density and ROC curves showed that the combined weighting information value model achieved the highest accuracy (AUC = 0.872). (4) The model was applied to classify the disaster susceptibility of Xi’an into high (12.31%), medium (18.68%), low (7.88%), and non-susceptible (61.14%) zones. The results are consistent with the actual distribution of disasters, thus providing a scientific basis for disaster prevention. Full article

Landslides are among the most hazardous natural phenomena affecting Greater Abidjan, causing significant economic and social damage. Strategic planning supported by geographic information systems (GIS) can help mitigate potential losses and enhance disaster resilience. This study evaluates landslide susceptibility using logistic regression and frequency ratio models. The analysis is based on a dataset comprising 54 mapped landslide scarps collected from June 2015 to July 2023, along with 16 thematic predictor variables, including altitude, slope, aspect, profile curvature, plan curvature, drainage area, distance to the drainage network, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and an urban-related layer. A high-resolution (5-m) digital elevation model (DEM), derived from multiple data sources, supports the spatial analysis. The landslide inventory was randomly divided into two subsets: 80% for model calibration and 20% for validation. After optimization and statistical testing, the selected thematic layers were integrated to produce a susceptibility map. The results indicate that 6.3% (0.7 km²) of the study area is classified as very highly susceptible. The proportion of the sample (61.2%) in this class had a frequency ratio estimated to be 20.2. Among the predictive indicators, altitude, slope, SE, S, NW, and NDVI were found to have a positive impact on landslide occurrence. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), demonstrating strong predictive capability. These findings can support informed land-use planning and risk reduction strategies in urban areas. Furthermore, the prediction model should be communicated to and understood by local authorities to facilitate disaster management. The cost function was adopted as a novel approach to delineate hazardous zones. Considering the landslide inventory period, the increasing hazard due to climate change, and the intensification of human activities, a reasoned choice of sample size was made. This informed decision enabled the production of an updated prediction map. Optimal thresholds were then derived to classify areas into high- and low-susceptibility categories. The prediction map will be useful to planners in helping them make decisions and implement protective measures. Full article

The Mw 7.8 Gorkha Earthquake of 25 April 2015 triggered over 25,000 landslides across central Nepal, with 4775 events concentrated in Gorkha District alone. Despite substantial advances in landslide susceptibility mapping, existing studies often overlook the compound role of post-seismic rainfall and lack robust spatial validation. To address this gap, we validated an ensemble machine learning framework for co-seismic landslide susceptibility modeling by integrating seismic, geomorphological, hydrological, and anthropogenic variables, including cumulative post-seismic rainfall. Using a balanced dataset of 4775 landslide and non-landslide instances, we evaluated the performance of Logistic Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models through spatial cross-validation, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) explainability, and ablation analysis. The RF model outperformed all others, achieving an accuracy of 87.9% and a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.94, while XGBoost closely followed (AUC = 0.93). Ensemble models collectively classified over 95% of observed landslides into High and Very High susceptibility zones, demonstrating strong spatial reliability. SHAP analysis identified elevation, proximity to fault, peak ground acceleration (PGA), slope, and rainfall as dominant predictors. Notably, the inclusion of post-seismic rainfall substantially improved recall and F1 scores in ablation experiments. Spatial cross-validation revealed the superior generalizability of ensemble models under heterogeneous terrain conditions. The findings underscore the value of integrating post-seismic hydrometeorological factors and spatial validation into susceptibility assessments. We recommend adopting ensemble models, particularly RF, for operational hazard mapping in earthquake-prone mountainous regions. Future research should explore the integration of dynamic rainfall thresholds and physics-informed frameworks to enhance early warning systems and climate resilience. Full article

Accurate prediction of landslide-induced displacement is essential for the structural integrity and operational safety of buildings and infrastructure situated in geologically unstable regions. This study introduces a novel hybrid predictive framework that synergistically integrates Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) with Temporal Convolutional Neural Networks (TCNs), herein referred to as the GTCN model, to forecast displacement at building monitoring points subject to landslide activity. The proposed methodology is validated using time-series monitoring data collected from the slope adjacent to the Zhongliang Reservoir in Wuxi County, Chongqing, an area where slope instability poses a significant threat to nearby structural assets. Experimental results demonstrate the GTCN model’s superior predictive performance, particularly under challenging conditions of incomplete or sparsely sampled data. The model proves highly effective in accurately characterizing both abrupt fluctuations within the displacement time series and capturing long-term deformation trends. Furthermore, the GTCN framework outperforms comparative hybrid models based on Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and GPR, with its advantage being especially pronounced in data-limited scenarios. It also exhibits enhanced capability for temporal feature extraction relative to conventional imputation-based forecasting strategies like forward-filling. By effectively modeling both nonlinear trends and uncertainty within displacement sequences, the GTCN framework offers a robust and scalable solution for landslide-related risk assessment and early warning applications. Its applicability to building safety monitoring underscores its potential contribution to geotechnical hazard mitigation and resilient infrastructure management. Full article

Landslide susceptibility assessment is critical for hazard mitigation and land-use planning. This study evaluates the impact of two different non-landslide sampling methods—random sampling and sampling constrained by the Global Landslide Hazard Map (GLHM)—on the performance of various machine learning and deep learning models, including Naïve Bayes (NB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), SVM-Random Forest hybrid (SVM-RF), and XGBoost. The study area is a 2 km buffer zone along the Duku Highway in Xinjiang, China, with 102 landslide and 102 non-landslide points extracted by aforementioned sampling methods. Models were tested using ROC curves and non-parametric significance tests based on 20 repetitions of 5-fold spatial cross-validation data. GLHM sampling consistently improved AUROC and accuracy across all models (e.g., AUROC gains: NB +8.44, SVM +7.11, SVM–RF +3.45, XGBoost +3.04; accuracy gains: NB +11.30%, SVM +8.33%, SVM–RF +7.40%, XGBoost +8.31%). XGBoost delivered the best performance under both sampling strategies, reaching 94.61% AUROC and 84.30% accuracy with GLHM sampling. SHAP analysis showed that GLHM sampling stabilized feature importance rankings, highlighting STI, TWI, and NDVI as the main controlling factors for landslides in the study area. These results highlight the importance of hazard-informed sampling to enhance landslide susceptibility modeling accuracy and interpretability. Full article

Landslides are a common geological hazard in mountainous areas, causing significant damage to ecosystems and production activities. Near-natural ecological restoration is considered an effective strategy for post-landslide recovery. To investigate the impact of near-natural restoration strategies on the recovery of plant communities and soil in landslide-affected areas, we selected landslide plots in Lantian County at 1, 6, and 11 years post-landslide as study sites, surveyed plots undergoing near-natural restoration and adjacent undisturbed control plots (CK), and collected and analyzed data on plant communities and soil properties. The results indicate that vegetation succession followed a path from “human intervention to natural competition”: species richness peaked at 1 year post-landslide (D_m = 4.2). By 11 years, dominant species prevailed, with tree species decreasing to 4.1 ± 0.3, while herbaceous diversity increased by 200% (from 4 to 12 species). Soil recovery showed significant temporal effects: total nitrogen (TN) and dehydrogenase activity (DHA) exhibited the greatest increases after 1 year post-landslide (132% and 232%, respectively), and by 11 years, the available nitrogen (AN) in restored plots recovered to 98% of the CK levels. Correlations between plant and soil characteristics strengthened over time: at 1 year, only 6–9 pairs showed significant correlations (p < 0.05), increasing to 21–23 pairs at 11 years. Near-natural restoration drives system recovery through the “selection of native species via competition and activation of microbial functional groups”. The 6–11-year period post-landslide is a critical window for structural optimization, and we recommend phased dynamic regulation to balance biodiversity and ecological functions. Full article

Loess deposits in China, covering extensive regions, exhibit distinctive physical and mechanical characteristics, including collapsibility and reduced mechanical strength. These properties contribute to heightened susceptibility to slope-related geological hazards, such as landslides and collapses, in these areas. The widespread distribution and challenging prevention of these geological disasters have emerged as significant impediments to both public safety and economic development in China. Moreover, geological disaster data originates from diverse sources and exists in substantial fragmented, decentralized, and unstructured formats, including textual records and graphical representations. These datasets exhibit complex structures and heterogeneous formats yet suffer from inadequate organization and storage due to the absence of unified descriptive standards. The lack of systematic categorization and standardized representation significantly hinders effective data integration and knowledge extraction across different sources. To address these challenges, this study proposes a novel loess slope stability assessment method employing a dendrogram neural network (GNN-TreeNet) integrated with knowledge graph technology. The methodology progresses through three phases: (1) construction of a multi-domain knowledge graph integrating a large number of loess slopes with historical disaster records, instability factor relationships, and empirical parameter correlations; (2) generation of expressive node embeddings capturing inherent connections via graph neural networks; (3) development and training of the GNN-TreeNet architecture that leverages the graph’s enhanced representation capacity for stability evaluation. This structured framework enables cross-disciplinary data synthesis and interpretable slope stability analysis through a systematic integration of geological, geographical, and empirical knowledge components. Full article

In the landslide chain from pre-disaster conditions to landslide mitigation and recovery, time is an important factor in understanding the geological hazards process and managing landsides. Static knowledge graphs are unable to capture the temporal dynamics of landslide events. To address this limitation, we propose a systematic framework for constructing a multi-temporal knowledge graph of landslides that integrates multi-source temporal data, enabling the dynamic tracking of landslide processes. Our approach comprises three key steps. First, we summarize domain knowledge and develop a temporal ontology model based on the disaster chain management system. Second, we map heterogeneous datasets (both tabular and textual data) into triples/quadruples and represent them based on the RDF (Resource Description Framework) and quadruple approaches. Finally, we validate the utility of multi-temporal knowledge graphs through multidimensional queries and develop a web interface that allows users to input landslide names to retrieve location and time-axis information. A case study of the Zhangjiawan landslide in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area demonstrates the multi-temporal knowledge graph’s capability to track temporal updates effectively. The query results show that multi-temporal knowledge graphs effectively support multi-temporal queries. This study advances landslide research by combining static knowledge representation with the dynamic evolution of landslides, laying the foundation for hazard forecasting and intelligent early-warning systems. Full article

Landslide risk assessment (LRA) is an important basis for disaster risk management. The widespread phenomenon of landslide spatial aggregation brings uncertainty to landslide hazard assessment (LHA) in LRA studies, but it is often overlooked. Based on the frequency ratio (FR) method, we proposed the dual-frequency ratio (DFR) method, which can quantitatively analyze the degree of landslide spatial aggregation. Using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and random forest (RF) models, we applied the DFR method to the LRA study of the Karakoram Highway section in China. According to the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the distribution characteristics of landslide hazard indices (LHIs), we evaluated the application effect of the DFR method. The results showed that the LHA models using the DFR method performed with higher accuracy and predicted more landslides in the zones with a high LHI. Moreover, the DFR-RF model had the best prediction performance, and its predictions were adopted together with vulnerability values to calculate the landslide risk. The zones with very high and high landslide risks were predominantly concentrated along highways in southern Aoyitake Town. Full article

We inspected a sector of the Apennines (central–southern Italy) in geographic and structural continuity with the Quaternary-active extensional belt but where clear geomorphic and seismological signatures of normal faulting are unexpectedly missing. The evidence of active tectonics in this area, between Abruzzo and Molise, does not align with geodetic deformation data and the seismotectonic setting of the central Apennines. To investigate the apparent disconnection between active deformation and the absence of surface faulting in a sector where high lithologic erodibility and landslide susceptibility may hide its structural evidence, we combined multi-scale and multi-source data analyses encompassing morphometric analysis and remote sensing techniques. We utilised high-resolution topographic data to analyse the topographic pattern and investigate potential imbalances between tectonics and erosion. Additionally, we employed aerial-photo interpretation to examine the spatial distribution of morphological features and slope instabilities which are often linked to active faulting. To discern potential biases arising from non-tectonic (slope-related) signals, we analysed InSAR data in key sectors across the study area, including carbonate ridges and foredeep-derived Molise Units for comparison. The topographic analysis highlighted topographic disequilibrium conditions across the study area, and aerial-image interpretation revealed morphologic features offset by structural lineaments. The interferometric analysis confirmed a significant role of gravitational movements in denudating some fault planes while highlighting a clustered spatial pattern of hillslope instabilities. In this context, these instabilities can be considered a proxy for the control exerted by tectonic structures. All findings converge on the identification of an ~20 km long corridor, the Castel di Sangro–Rionero Sannitico alignment (CaS-RS), which exhibits varied evidence of deformation attributable to active normal faulting. The latter manifests through subtle and diffuse deformation controlled by a thick tectonic nappe made up of poorly cohesive lithologies. Overall, our findings suggest that the CaS-RS bridges the structural gap between the Mt Porrara–Mt Pizzalto–Mt Rotella and North Matese fault systems, potentially accounting for some of the deformation recorded in the sector. Our approach contributes to bridging the information gap in this complex sector of the Apennines, offering original insights for future investigations and seismic hazard assessment in the region. Full article

The Alpine Periglacial Weathering Zone (APWZ) is a critical transitional belt between alpine vegetation and glaciers, and a highly sensitive region to climate change. Its dynamic variations profoundly reflect the surface environment’s response to climatic shifts. Taking Gongga Mountain as the study area, this study utilizes summer Landsat imagery from 1986 to 2024 and constructs a remote sensing method based on NDVI and NDSI indices using the Otsu thresholding algorithm on the Google Earth Engine platform to automatically extract the positions of the upper limit of vegetation and the snowline. Results show that over the past four decades, the APWZ in Gongga Mountain has exhibited a continuous upward shift, with the mean elevation rising from 4101 m to 4575 m. The upper limit of vegetation advanced at an average rate of 17.43 m/a, significantly faster than the snowline shift (3.9 m/a). The APWZ also experienced substantial areal shrinkage, with an average annual reduction of approximately 13.84 km², highlighting the differential responses of various surface cover types to warming. Spatially, the most pronounced changes occurred in high-elevation zones (4200–4700 m), moderate slopes (25–33°), and sun-facing aspects (east, southeast, and south slopes), reflecting a typical climate–topography coupled driving mechanism. In the upper APWZ, glacier retreat has intensified weathering and increased debris accumulation, while the newly formed vegetation zone in the lower APWZ remains structurally fragile and unstable. Under extreme climatic disturbances, this setting is prone to triggering chain-type hazards such as landslides and debris flows. These findings enhance our capacity to monitor alpine ecological boundary changes and identify associated disaster risks, providing scientific support for managing climate-sensitive mountainous regions. Full article

This research paper presents an assessment of geohazards on Lefkas Island, Greece, using Geographic Information System (GIS) technology to map risk and enhance public awareness through an interactive web application. Natural hazards such as landslides, floods, wildfires, and desertification threaten both the safety of residents and the island’s tourism-dependent economy, particularly due to its seismic activity and Mediterranean climate. By combining the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction with GIS capabilities, we created detailed hazard maps that visually represent areas of susceptibility and provide critical insights for local authorities and the public. The web application developed serves as a user-friendly platform for disseminating hazard information and educational resources, thus promoting community preparedness and resilience. The findings highlight the necessity for proactive land management strategies and community engagement in disaster risk reduction efforts. This study underscores GIS’s pivotal role in fostering informed decision making and enhancing the safety of Lefkas Island’s inhabitants and visitors in the face of environmental challenges. Full article