Search Results (1,657)

Floodplains are key components of inland river systems of Australia with floodplain vegetation playing important roles in habitat provision, nutrient cycling, and supporting strong cultural values. These vegetation communities are highly dynamic, particularly in response to flooding. However, decades of water development and highly managed water resources are linked to wetland habitat decline in this region. We explored patterns of vegetation response to flooding over twenty years at the Narran Lakes Ramsar site, a terminal floodplain wetland system in the northern Murray–Darling Basin, Australia. We collated data from previous monitoring efforts and resampled permanent plots for understorey vegetation structure and composition. Three flood events were surveyed over a 20-year period, with each event surveyed on two occasions first, following initial drawdown (minimal standing water) and a second survey under dry or drier conditions (~6 months after the recession of floodwaters). Overall, we observed a high diversity of native plant species (~110 species) in understorey communities across the wetland and high compositional turnover both between flood events and within years (i.e., paired surveys). Notably, vegetation cover, but not species richness, was greatest in the 2023 survey following the largest of the three flood events investigated. Understorey composition was strongly driven by inundation regimes, particularly the duration of recent inundation, and the number of wet and dry years prior. Large flood events are critical for supporting vegetation resilience in these systems, increasingly so under a drier climate and with stretched water resources. Continued long-term monitoring of vegetation through flood cycles at the Narran Lakes will be critical to understanding ecological responses to longer-term changes in climate and hydrology to inform adaptive water management and maintain the values of this Ramsar site. Full article

Southern New Jersey faces increasing flood risk due to several factors including rapid development, climate change, and aging infrastructure. This study evaluated the flood vulnerability of two municipal solid waste landfills located in Gloucester and Cumberland Counties. These sites are located near rural communities that rely on shallow groundwater for drinking water, which may be contaminated by floods. To assess these challenges, this research applies a hydrologic–hydraulic model to evaluate future flood vulnerability at the Cumberland County Improvement Authority (CCIA) landfill and the Gloucester County Solid Waste Complex (GCSWC) landfill. The method uses HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS 2D model simulations with climate-adjusted precipitation data derived from global climate models. Model performance was evaluated using Hurricane Ida (31 August–2 September 2021) by comparing HEC-RAS-simulated inundation extents with independently derived Sentinel-1 SAR flood maps generated in Google Earth Engine. Climate forcing was developed by deriving climate-adjusted 24 h precipitation–frequency (PF) design depths for 50-year and 100-year design storms under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) emissions pathways SSP2-4.5 (moderate) and SSP5-8.5 (high) for mid-century (2025–2050) and late-century (2070–2100) periods. These PF storm totals were converted to rainfall hyetographs using a fixed alternating variability method (AVM) temporal pattern within the coupled HEC-HMS/HEC-RAS modeling chain. Hazard amplification was primarily expressed through lateral inundation expansion and longer persistence of shallow flooding in low-relief operational zones, rather than uniform increases in peak depth across landfill interiors. Across both facilities, the landfill toe and adjacent access corridors were consistently identified as the most sensitive operational areas. Full article

The Korean Peninsula is critically exposed to impacts associated with current and projected rising mean sea-levels (MSLs) associated with climate change. Rising MSL will continue to exacerbate existing coastal hazards (e.g., typhoon-driven storm surges, tidal inundation, beach erosion, etc.). This study updates the previous 2019 national sea-level rise assessment with an additional 7 years of tidal and satellite altimetry data. Having corrected the rate of “relative” MSL rise for vertical land motion, only Busan and Ulsan tide gauge records have not experienced an increase in the rate of “geocentric” MSL rise since the 2019 Assessment. At the 95% CL, the current rate of “geocentric” MSL rise at all stations accord with recent published estimates of the rate of global MSL rise. From satellite altimetry of the sea margins around the Korean Peninsula, there has been a small (≈1%) increase in the average regional trend of sea-level anomalies (SLAs) compared to the previous assessment. The most significant trend estimates in SLAs continue to increase in margins of the East Sea (Sea of Japan) between 35° N and 40° N with increases of around 11% in the average rate of trend above the 2019 Assessment. Full article

Urbanization, together with shifts in rainfall patterns, has become an increasingly important driver of hydrological extremes in many rapidly developing tropical regions. In the Cimanceuri River Basin, Tangerang Regency, Indonesia, these processes have intensified over the last decade, raising concerns regarding flood risk. This study examines the combined influence of urban expansion and rainfall variability on flood dynamics over 2013–2025. Multi temporal land use classification based on Landsat imagery indicates a pronounced growth of impervious surfaces, primarily driven by rapid urban development and the conversion of agricultural land. To assess the hydrological consequences of these changes, rainfall–runoff processes and flood inundation were simulated using the Soil Conservation Service Curve Number (SCS–CN) method within a coupled HEC-HMS and HEC-RAS 2D modelling framework. Simulations were performed for multiple temporal conditions and design rainfall scenarios. Model calibration relied on observed flood events recorded in March 2025 in the Mustika Residential Area, Tangerang. The results suggest that urbanization has contributed to measurable increases in both peak discharge and inundation extent. Between 2013 and 2025, impervious surface coverage expanded by approximately 67%, accompanied by a rise in the composite Curve Number from 85.86 to 86.63 and an estimated 5.2% increase in flood extent. Also, the design rainfall increased from 85.01 to 90.95 with an average increase of 7.34%. Comparison between simulated inundation patterns and aerial imagery shows satisfactory agreement, with an average deviation of less than 10%, indicating acceptable model performance. Hydrologic analyses generated two discharge scenarios, consisting of event-based flow from the 5 March 2025 rainfall data and return-period flows derived from design rainfall under different rainfall-shift periods. The rainfall-shift analysis quantified changes in design rainfall and corresponding discharge using progressively updated rainfall records. Together, the results emphasize the combined effects of urban expansion and shifting rainfall patterns on flood dynamics, underscoring the need for adaptive land-use planning and climate-responsive water management in rapidly urbanizing catchments. Full article

Accurate flood simulation in regulated, low-lying river basins is crucial for forecasting and risk mitigation, but performance depends strongly on whether models represent floodplain hydrodynamics and human regulation. This study evaluates three coupled hydrological–hydrodynamic schemes in the Huai River Basin upstream of Bengbu Station using identical meteorological forcing and VIC-generated runoff: (I) a linear routing scheme (VIC–Routing), (II) a natural hydrodynamic scheme (VIC–CaMa-Flood), and (III) an extended hydrodynamic scheme that incorporates reservoir regulation and levee effects (VIC–CaMa-Flood with Dam). Results reveal clear spatial differences in scheme suitability. The linear routing scheme performs best in upstream reaches, with NSE and KGE generally exceeding 0.81, but tends to overestimate peak discharge in downstream lowland sections. Incorporating hydrodynamic processes and regulation representation further reduces peak flow bias. Scheme III achieves the most consistent downstream improvement, particularly for high flows (>2000 m³/s), with NSE exceeding 0.80 in long-term simulations and improved agreement with satellite-driven inundation patterns. However, simplified reservoir operating rules can increase uncertainty in water level dynamics. During the 2020 plum rain flood, Scheme II yielded more accurate water levels in some reaches, suggesting that generalized operation rules may introduce compensating errors even when discharge accuracy improves. Overall, reliable flood simulation in well-managed basins requires an explicit representation of both floodplain hydrodynamics and regulation, and scheme selection should be guided by the dominant controls along the river network. Full article

The Ganges–Brahmaputra–Meghna (GBM) delta is one of the most densely populated and flood-prone regions in the world. Identifying the exposure patterns of settlement expansion under different flood hazard levels in the GBM delta is of significant importance for enhancing the delta’s regional resilience. This research regionally screens settlement flood exposure by overlaying the Global Urban Expansion Simulation Dataset and the Aqueduct Floods Hazard Map at a 1 km spatial resolution. To account for inter-model variability, this study utilized the ensemble mean of five global climate models for future projections in 2030 and 2050 under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Flood hazards were categorized into four specific levels based on inundation depth, namely low-hazard (0–0.15 m), medium-hazard (0.15–0.5 m), high-hazard (0.5–1.5 m), and highest-hazard (≥1.5 m). The study employed spatial overlay analysis and excluded missing pixels to avoid statistical bias from incomplete data. The findings indicate that under historical and future socioeconomic scenarios, both high- and highest-hazard zones exhibit significant settlement expansion, and the expansion rate within highest-hazard zones (270.9–357.1%) is expected to increase substantially compared to the historical baseline, reaching 1.57–1.85 times the expansion rate of flood-safe zones. Within the high- and highest-hazard categories, the contribution rate of fluvial and coastal flood coincidence zones reaches 21% to 22%. Furthermore, approximately 87% of the settlements within these fluvial–coastal coincidence zones are exposed to high-hazard levels or above. This study characterizes the variation characteristics of settlement exposure within fluvial–coastal flood coincidence zones under future socioeconomic scenarios. These results provide a first-order regional screening and macro-scale support for identifying broad exposure trends and establishing a baseline for future high-resolution assessments in the GBM delta. Full article

Hurricane Florence (2018) proved to be a damaging tropical cyclone that formed off the coast of the Cabo Verde Islands. On 12 UTC 14 September 2018, Florence made landfall as a weakened category 1 Hurricane in Wrightsville Beach, NC. In the midst of landfall, Florence’s ground speed stalled considerably to near zero. Because of this stall, Florence continued to accumulate feet of rain along the coastline, and the inundation of seawater became extreme. Due to the impacts of Florence, the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF-ARW) was used to simulate the tropical cyclone and provide insight into the thermodynamics and dynamics that played a significant role at the time of landfall. After the control case, several sensitivity experiments were conducted. The historical sensitivity experiments utilize the thermodynamic and moisture fields of ERA5 reanalysis data from 1968 and 1998, respectively, to modify the thermodynamic and moisture fields in the initial conditions of the WRF–ARW control case. In addition, to study the potential future climate impacts of Florence, the NCAR CESM Global Bias-Corrected CMIP5 Output to Support WRF/MPAS Research dataset was utilized. The same approach was taken as the historical versions of Florence for sensitivity experiments for future climate, i.e., thermodynamic and moisture fields for both 2038 and 2068 under the RCP6.0 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios, respectively. Results suggest a corresponding intensity shift with minor track deflections. Based on these modifications, synoptic and mesoscale dynamics will be studied to provide insight into how Florence-like hurricanes may change based on certain climate scenarios. Full article

While check dams are crucial for debris flow mitigation, they face increasing failure risks under extreme weather and seismic activities. Their collapse can severely amplify debris flow magnitude, yet quantitative understanding of this amplification mechanism remains limited. Based on field investigations in southern Gansu, China, and a total of 12 flume experiments (comprising 11 distinct scenarios and 1 representative repeatability test), this study quantitatively assesses the amplification effect of dam breaches under varying channel slopes, check dam types, and bed conditions. Results indicate that dam-breach debris flow evolution comprises three stages: material initiation and deposition, breaching and material release, and recession. Crucially, dam breaching shifts the initiation mode from progressive retrogressive erosion to a near-instantaneous release of mass and potential energy. Compared to no-dam scenarios, breaches amplified peak discharge, erosion rate, and downstream inundated area by factors of 1.65–3.04, 1.44–1.55, and 2.14–2.77, respectively. This amplification is driven by the rapid initial release of material and energy, compounded by erosional entrainment during the transport phase. Furthermore, check dam type and channel slope act as key controlling factors. By revealing how check dams transition from protective structures to hazard sources, this study provides quantitative experimental evidence for optimizing dam design and advancing resilient disaster risk reduction strategies in mountainous regions. Full article

The Zhuanghe coast in the northern part of the Yellow Sea is one of China’s important fishing and ocean engineering areas. Frequent storm surge events pose a significant threat to residents’ safety and properties. This study used the coupled Finite Volume Coastal Ocean Model (FVCOM) and the Surface Wave Model (FVCOM-SWAVE) to investigate storm surges and wave heights during Typhoons Muifa (1109) and Lekima (1909) in the northern parts of the Yellow Sea and analyze the impact of the typhoon parameters on flood inundation on the Zhuanghe coast. The wind stress comparison in the coupled wave–current model uses synthetic wind field data formed by superimposing ERA5 wind fields with a parameterized typhoon model. The results showed that the simulated and measured tide levels, wave heights, and storm surges were in good agreement, indicating that the coupled model accurately reproduced the dynamics of the storm surges and wave heights during the two typhoons. The maximum significant wave height (H_s) exhibited a right-skewed distribution in the two typhoons’ paths, with extreme values consistently located to the right of the typhoon’s center. The decrease in atmospheric pressure at the center of Typhoon Muifa was significantly, nonlinearly, and positively correlated with the severity of storm surge disasters. A significant correlation was observed between the path of Typhoon Muifa and the disaster intensity. Full article

Conserved lands play a central role in sustaining ecological functions within working agricultural regions, yet their capacity to maintain wetland conditions varies widely depending on hydrologic persistence and seasonal dynamics. This study assesses the hydrologic performance of Nebraska’s major conservation programs using multi-year Sentinel-2 satellite observations spanning from 2018 to 2024. Five land-protection categories were evaluated: the Wetlands Reserve Program (WRP), Wildlife Management Areas (WMAs), Waterfowl Production Areas (WPAs), the Conservation Reserve Program (CRP), and additional protected lands mapped in the Protected Areas Database of the United States (PAD-US). To capture hydrologic dynamics across scales, we quantified parcel-level inundation percentages alongside program-level wetness metrics that represent cumulative surface-water extent. Lands enrolled in WRP and WPA generally exhibited higher inundation levels at the 0% threshold across annual and seasonal periods, with variability across programs, reflecting their role in wetland restoration and habitat provision. WMAs showed greater seasonal variability but retained water under higher persistence thresholds (≥25% and ≥50%), underscoring their importance in maintaining semi-permanent wetland conditions during drier periods. Wetland-associated CRP lands provide essential short-duration wetness that supports regional hydrologic connectivity across working agricultural landscapes. Similar seasonal patterns were observed across other protected lands, which generally contributed to episodic surface water rather than long-term hydrologic storage. Seasonal analyses highlighted strong intra-annual variability driven by snowmelt, precipitation regimes, and evapotranspiration. Collectively, the results demonstrate substantial differences in hydrologic function among conservation programs and provide an empirical basis for prioritizing investments toward lands that most effectively sustain wetland habitats and water-quality benefits. Full article

Due to climate change, the frequency and intensity of extreme rainfall events have increased in South Korea, resulting in recurrent urban flooding that exceeds the design capacity of conventional drainage systems. In the Dangjin Traditional Market area, comparable rainfall conditions in 2024 and 2025 caused repeated flooding, suggesting that structural improvements implemented without quantitative verification do not necessarily guarantee effective flood prevention. This study aims to support sustainable urban flood management by assessing the pre-implementation effectiveness of structural flood mitigation measures using a spatially explicit simulation approach. An ArcGIS-based rainfall–inundation simulation was conducted by integrating a 1 m LiDAR-derived digital elevation model, land cover data classified using a pixel-based Support Vector Machine, detailed building and channel datasets, and observed hourly rainfall from the July 2025 extreme event. Scenarios with and without the application of levee heightening and drainage capacity expansion were compared under identical rainfall conditions. The results indicate that the application of structural measures leads to a clear reduction in inundation extent and water depth. The proposed framework provides a practical simulation-based decision-support tool for verifying flood mitigation measures in advance and for promoting sustainable flood risk management in urban areas prone to recurrent flooding. Full article

The Burullus–Baltim coastal zone of Egypt’s Nile Delta represents a critical geoheritage sand-dune system functioning as the primary natural defense line against inundation of the central Nile Delta. This ecosystem is increasingly threatened by intensive black sand mining, raising concerns regarding long-term coastal sustainability. Black sand extraction disrupts dune integrity by reducing sediment density and heavy mineral content, thereby lowering resistance to wind forcing and accelerating aeolian transport. This study assesses historical dune migration and extraction-driven changes in aeolian dynamics using high-resolution satellite imagery, ERA5 wind reanalysis (1975–2024), and integrated analytical–numerical modeling, with implications for sustainable coastal management. A dominant northwesterly wind regime drives eastward and southward dune migration of 3.22 m/yr and 1.7 m/yr, respectively (2010–2025). Black sand mining since 2022 has measurably reduced heavy mineral content and bulk density, altering grain-size distribution and making dunes significantly more susceptible to wind entrainment. Coupled Bagnold and AeoLiS modeling predicts an 8.21% rise in mass transport rates and a corresponding acceleration in dune migration following extraction. These findings demonstrate that black sand mining amplifies aeolian transport and increases sand encroachment risks to nearby settlements, infrastructure, and agricultural lands. The results highlight the trade-offs between resource extraction and coastal dune ecosystem services, particularly flood protection and land stability, emphasizing the need for regulated mining, bioengineered dune stabilization, and predictive modeling to enhance the Nile Delta’s long-term resilience. Full article

Floodplain forests in central Amazonia are structured along a marked flooding gradient that influences species distribution, performance, and survival. This study evaluated the demographic structure, survival, and growth responses of two co-occurring tree species across contrasting várzea environments differing in inundation regimes. Field surveys quantified seedlings, juveniles, and adults in low- and high-floodplain forests, while a field experiment assessed survival and growth under conditions with and without interspecific interaction. Repeated-measures ANOVA revealed that temporal variation and forest type significantly affected growth parameters, with species-specific responses to flooding intensity. In the field experiment, mortality of Crateva tapia L. differed significantly among treatments (χ² = 24.96, p < 0.001), with the highest mortality observed in high-várzea (up to 75% under interspecific interaction), while Hura crepitans L. showed 100% survival across all treatments. Non-parametric analyses detected no significant treatment effects on selected morphological traits. The results support the stress-gradient hypothesis, suggesting that plant–plant interactions may shift along the flooding gradient, with facilitative processes becoming more relevant under higher stress conditions. Overall, differential flood tolerance appears to be a key driver of habitat preference and population structure in these Amazonian wetlands. Full article

Phosphorus release from sediments significantly influences eutrophication in shallow lakes; however, its dynamics in drawdown zones under alternating inundation and drying cycles remain understudied. This study investigates the mechanisms of phosphorus release from sediments in the drawdown zone of Nansi Lake, a key reservoir along the eastern route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project. Through field sampling and laboratory simulations, we analyzed the impact of inundation duration, physicochemical properties, and organic matter decomposition on phosphorus release. In Container a (first inundation period), phosphorus was rapidly released at the beginning of inundation, with total phosphorus (TP) in the overlying water increasing from 1.92 mg/L to 2.68 mg/L, and in the interstitial water from 8.45 mg/L to 15.24 mg/L. The second inundation period showed the highest phosphorus release, with TP reaching 3.61 mg/L in the overlying water and 21.51 mg/L in the interstitial water. Inorganic phosphorus dominated the release, with dissolved inorganic phosphorus (DIP) accounting for a higher proportion of TP than dissolved organic phosphorus (DOP). Changes in pH, oxidation-reduction potential (ORP), dissolved oxygen (DO), and total organic carbon (TOC) significantly influenced phosphorus distribution. The decomposition of organic matter during inundation increased dissolved organic matter levels, thereby affecting phosphorus release. These findings provide valuable insights into phosphorus dynamics and highlight the need for integrated management strategies to mitigate internal phosphorus loading and prevent eutrophication in Nansi Lake, offering guidance for water quality management and ecological protection in similar shallow lake systems. Full article

Tidal inundation dynamics are a principal driver of hydrological and biogeochemical processes in coastal ecosystems, controlling the exchange of carbon, nutrients, and sediments between wetlands and estuaries. In this study, we assessed the utility of L-band radar imagery in deriving tidal wetland inundated volume estimates (pixel-wise water depths), which provide a more robust characterization of wetland–estuary exchange processes than the lateral inundation state estimates. Inundation state products derived using L-band radar were combined with digital elevation models (DEMs) and synthetic tide gauging to estimate the volume of inundation. Synthetic tide gauges, models of water level produced from combined short-term field measurements and long-term monitoring stations were employed to provide calibration and validation for satellite observations for times outside of the water level sensor monitoring period (August–December 2018). Ten synthetic gauges were established across the Charles H. Wheeler Wildlife Management Area (Connecticut, USA) in a regular grid and were used to validate the radar-based inundation state and inundated volume products. To generate volumetric inundation estimates from inundation state products, we employed two bathymetric fill approaches using a DEM to constrain water surface elevations. The first approach assumed a constant water elevation fill for all inundated pixels, while the second introduced a maximum water depth constraint. While both approaches showed strong correlations with synthetic gauges, the depth constraint approach was more accurate, increasing R² from 0.87 to 0.98 and lowering RMSE from 0.79 m to 0.02 m. In this study, PALSAR-1/2 served as a proxy for the recently launched NISAR mission. Future research is planned to leverage the improved temporal sampling of the NISAR data record, combined with in-marsh water level observations (May 2025–present) and synthetic gauge estimates to improve wetland–estuary volumetric exchange characterization, which we demonstrate can be accurately estimated when paired with high-quality DEMs. Full article