Search Results (32)

This study assesses the risks of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) from moraine sediment dams around Gurudongmar Lake in the Northern Sikkim Himalayas at an elevation of 17,800 feet. It focuses on three moraine sediment dams, analysing the implications of slope failure on the upstream side and the downstream stability under steady seepage conditions, as well as the risks posed by permafrost thawing. Using a comprehensive methodology that includes geotechnical evaluations, remote sensing, and digital elevation models (DEMs), the research employs finite element analysis via PLAXIS2D for the stability assessment. The main findings indicate a stratification of sediment types: the upper layers are loose silty sand, while the lower layers are dense silty sand, with significant variations in shear strength, permeability, and other geotechnical properties. Observations of solifluctions suggest that current permafrost conditions enhance the dams’ stability and reduce seepage. However, temperature trends show a warming climate, with the average days below 0 °C decreasing from 314 (2004–2013) to 305 (2014–2023), indicating potential permafrost thawing. This thawing could increase seepage and destabilise the dams, raising the risk of GLOFs. Numerical simulations reveal that scenarios involving water level rises of 5 and 10 m could lead to significant deformation and reduced safety factors on both the upstream lateral dams and downstream front dams. The study emphasises the urgent need for ongoing monitoring and risk assessment to address the potential hazards associated with GLOFs. Full article

While the recession of glaciers in the Antarctic is of global concern under climate change, the impact of deglaciation on soil microbiomes is still limited. Here, soil samples were collected from permafrost (P), moraine (M) and Deschampsia antarctica rhizosphere (R) soils near Ecology Glacier (Antarctic), and their soil physicochemical properties and microbial communities (bacteria, archaea and fungi) were characterized. Our analyses showed that there were significant differences in the soil properties and microbial communities between the R samples and the P and M samples. Specifically, amplicon sequencing of 16S rDNA revealed high bacterial richness and diversity in the studied soils, which were dominated mainly by the phyla Proteobacteria, Actinobacteriota and Bacteroidota. In contrast, lower richness and diversity were observed in the archaeal communities, which were dominated by the phyla Chenarchaeota (M and R) and Thermoplasmadota (M). In addition, fungal community analysis revealed a lower richness and diversity (M and R), dominated by the phylum Ascomycota. Our observations are consistent with previous reports describing the relevant changes in soil microbial communities during glacial recession, including fewer microbial groups studied in soils (archaea and fungi). However, further studies are still needed to elucidate the contributions of microbial communities to soil formation and plant colonization in ice-free soils in Antarctica under global climate change. Full article

Sediment transport in alluvial channels has a long history of intensive research. River ice could affect sediment transport and channel morphology through the impact of various dynamic and thermal ice processes. However, studies on sediment transport under the influence of ice have been minimal until recent years. This phenomenon was partially due to the complicated interactions between ice, flow, and sediment dynamics, which require a good understanding of the river ice process, in addition to the difficult field data collection conditions. This paper reviews the progress and needs of river ice-related research on sediment transport and channel morphology, including the influence of ice cover and surface ice runs on sediment transport, the effects of frazil ice, anchor ice, and bank stability with freeze-thaw effects. Full article

West Siberian mires covering more than 50% of area in the subarctic are still poorly investigated despite their thick peat sediments suitable for paleogeographic research of past long-term landscape and climatic changes. In this research, a combination of paleoecological methods were used, including the analysis of pollen, spores, diatoms, NPPs, and macrofossils, the measurement of peat humification, and quantitative paleoclimate reconstruction. This multi-proxy approach was applied to study a palsa bog (frost peat heave mound) located in the north of western Siberia on the border of the northern taiga and forest–tundra (65°18′56″ N, 72°52′27″ E). Chronology is based on 21 radiocarbon dates, which were calibrated in CLAM. Studies have shown that sediments of palsa bog Nadym of a 1050 cm thickness were formed both in the Holocene and earlier periods of the Quaternary. Radiocarbon dating worked well for peat sequences (610 cm thick), but failed for underlying lacustrine and mineral sediments (440 cm thick). Numerous remains of salt-water diatoms and exotic Neogene pollen were found in the lacustrine sediments (650–850 cm). The oldest sediments (850–1050 cm) have signs of secondary epicryogenic diagenesis in the form of cryogenic iron-enriched granules. Both lacustrine and bottom sediments contain abundant coniferous pollen. At the same time, spore–pollen complexes dated to the Last Glacial Age were not found in low sediments because of failed dates. To explain this, the authors turn to the hypothesis of glyacioisostatic compensation, according to which the study area was uplifted during the Last Glacial Age and the ancient deposits underwent secondary diagenesis in subaerial conditions. Holocene lacustrine sedimentation began to form about 9800 cal. a BP. These lacustrine sediments turned out to be enriched in redeposited Neogene pollen and diatoms. It was interpreted as an influence of excess humid climate in combination with geological subsidence of landscape in the study area during the Early Holocene. This caused lake formation and introduction of exotic microfossils via surface run-off from higher-relief areas in the catchment. Syngenetic sedimentation in the Nadym section is associated only with peat-mire deposits covering the last 8400 cal. a BP. For this time, the dynamic of vegetation cover and quantitative changes in paleoclimate were reconstructed using spore–pollen, macrofossil, humus, and NPP data as well as the information–statistical method of V.A. Klimanov. The spore–pollen analysis revealed four main phases in the development of vegetation cover: 1. Spruce–birch forests with open meadows and lakes (8400–7600 cal. a BP); 2. Dominance of spruce forests and thawed eutrophic (minerotrophic) mires (7600 to 6500 cal. a BP); 3. Coniferous–birch forests and thawed mesotrophic mires (6500 to 4500 cal. a BP); 4. Birch–pine forests and oligotrophic (ombrotrophic) bogs with permafrost mounds—palsa bogs (approx. the last 4500 years). Quantitative reconstructions of paleoclimate based on pollen data show that in most cases the periods of a sharp decrease in mean January and mean July temperatures coincided with episodes of low solar activity. The assumption was made about the determining influence of solar activity on the formation of permafrost in the soils and mires of the study area. Sun minima caused permafrost formation in the mire periodically since 8400 cal. a BP in study peatland, but complete freezing of the peat mire and formation of the palsa bog occurred at c. 2800 cal. a BP. Full article

The glacial and torrential basin of Taconnaz (Mont-Blanc massif, France) dominates the Chamonix valley. It is one of the major paths for snow avalanches in the Alps, often triggered by serac falls from the Taconnaz glacier. On 24 November 2018, the basin’s multi-risk nature was further accentuated by a new type of hazard with a rockfall triggered at c. 2700 m a.s.l. It travelled down over a distance of 1.85 km and stopped 165 m away from the construction site of a micro-hydroelectric power station. We studied the triggering conditions at the permafrost lower limit, the effects of the supra-glacial path on the flow patterns, and the fate of the scar and the deposit on torrential activity. By comparing a pre-event Structure from Motion model with a post-event LiDAR model, we estimated the volume of the scar to be 42,900 m³ (±5%). A numerical model was employed to simulate the rapid runout. It revealed the complexity of the flow, attributed to the sequestration of a part of the deposit in crevasses, the incorporation of a significant volume of ice resulting in a transition from a dry granular flow to a mud-like flow, and the presence of numerous deposit zones. Subsequent monitoring of the area after the event allowed for the documentation of the scar’s evolution, including a landslide, as well as the progressive degradation and evacuation of the deposit by the torrent without producing debris flow. The study of the triggering factors indicated glacial retreat as the probable main cause, assisted by the melting of ice lenses left by the permafrost disappearance. Finally, we present replicable methods for managing risks at the site following the event. This event improves the understanding of cascading processes that increasingly impact Alpine areas in the context of climate change. Full article

Deglaciation in high mountain areas signifies the transition from glacial to periglacial conditioned landscapes. Due to the reduced melt rate of debris-covered glacier ice, these areas of the glacier may persist long after the surrounding glacier has melted, resulting in the formation of distinct post-glacial landforms. In this study, we examine the geomorphological evolution and potential future development of a 19,267 m³ ± 204 m³ rockfall from the permafrost-affected headwall on the low-elevated Zwieselbachferner in the Horlachtal, Stubai Alps, Austria. The analysis uses multi-epochal remote sensing data, including photogrammetrically and airborne laser scanning-derived digital elevation models, orthophotos, and satellite data, covering a period from the initial rockfall in 2003/2004 to 2022. The data reveals that the rockfall event resulted in the formation of a supraglacial debris layer of varying thickness, spanning an area of 15,920 m². Subsequently, 13 further rockfalls ranging from 67 m³ ± 6 m³ to 4250 m³ ± 121 m³ were detected. The mean ice thickness of the debris-covered area only slightly decreased between 2006 and 2022, in contrast to the surrounding glacier, whose thickness and length have strongly decreased. This results in the formation of a steep front and flanks that become increasingly covered by debris redistribution. The study suggests that the glacier ice covered by rockfall-derived debris will remain as a periglacial landform of glacial origin after the complete melting of the surrounding glacier. Full article

We present a timeseries of flood and slumping phases in central Europe for the past 65,000 years from event layers in sediment cores from infilled Eifel maar basins (Germany). Palynological, petrographic and organic carbon (chlorins) records are used to understand the precise timing of these events. Periods of increased flood activity seem to coincide with Heinrich stadials in marine sediment records, which are associated with cold and more arid climate conditions, indicating a vegetation response within the maars’ catchment areas. This multi-proxy correlation reveals prominent slumps at different maar sites during Greenland Stadial (GS) 12. The stratigraphy is based on sediment records from the Auel infilled maar and we thus call this event Auel Cold Event (ACE). Frozen and fractured sediment packages within the slump suggest deep frost or permafrost conditions for the region during the stadial. The results agree well with sediment archives and archeological sites across Europe that report severely cold and arid conditions for the stadial. This supports the assumption that GS12 was indeed one of the coldest periods of the last glacial cycle rather than the Heinrich stadials. Based on our age model, the ACE occurred at 43,500 yr b2k (years before the year 2000), which coincides with the initial weakening of Earth’s magnetic field strength prior to the Laschamp geomagnetic excursion. Full article

The goal of this study is to evaluate annual and seasonal inflow from the Volga catchment area to the Caspian Sea during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM ~21,000 years ago) using paleoclimate modeling data. The first approach is based on the LGM simulation by the general circulation models (GCMs) in the framework of the Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project (PMIP4) and the Coupled Modelling Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). We used four GCMs: INM-CM4-8, MIROC-ES2L, AWI-ESM1-1-LR, and MPI-ESM1-2-LR. The second approach is based on the spatially distributed process-based runoff generation model using PMIP4-CMIP6 model data as boundary conditions. The use of the hydrological ECOMAG model allows us to refine estimates of the Volga runoff in comparison to GCM calculations by considering seasonal features of runoff generation related to periglacial vegetation distribution, permafrost, and streamflow transformation along the channel network. The LGM is characterized by a high uncertainty in meteorological values calculated for the Volga basin using various GCMs. The share of runoff from the three most flooded months from the annual calculated in the LGM was 95%, according to INM-CM4-8, while other GCMs ranged from 69–78%. Three GCMs (MIROC-ES2L, AWI-ESM1-1-LR, and MPI-ESM1-2-LR) showed 83–88% of the present-day value of precipitation in the Volga basin during cooling for more than 10 °C, while INM-CM4-8 showed a two-fold decrease. According to hydrological modeling results using data from three models, the annual Volga runoff was significantly higher than the present-day value, and, when using data from INM-CM4-8, it was lower. Full article

Based on the analysis of Landsat satellite images over the period of 2013–2019, the number (6683) and total area (4529 km²) of giant aufeis fields (area ≥ 0.1 km²) were estimated for the territory of North-Eastern Eurasia. The contribution of aufeis runoff to river streamflow in different seasons was calculated for 58 hydrological gauges (area 523–526,000 km²). The contribution of aufeis and glaciers to water balance is compared. The aufeis resources vary from 0.4 to 4.25 km³ (or 3.7–11 mm) for individual basins of large rivers. They are at least 10.6 km³ in total or 5 mm of water depth on average for the study area. Aufeis annual runoff varies from 0.3 to 29 mm (0.1–22%, average 3.8%), with the share in winter runoff amount about 6–712% (average 112%) and the spring freshet 0.2–43% (average 7.1%). In general, the aufeis runoff exceeds the glacial runoff. The dynamics of aufeis formation are directly related to winter runoff, whose changes are observed in different parts of the cryosphere. The presented results are relevant for studying the impact of climate change on the hydrological cycle and its components in the permafrost regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Full article

The significant recession of Arctic glaciers caused by climate warming is expanding their proglacial zones. Thus, their importance for the hydrology of glacierised basins is growing. In contrast to the surface waters in such areas, the role of groundwater in the hydrological balance of Svalbard catchments is poorly known. This paper presents the hydrogeological conditions and groundwater flow within the permafrost active layer in the forefield of the Werenskioldbreen glacier basin (44.1 km²), 61% of which is glacierised. Based on field studies of groundwater in the 2017 ablation season and laboratory analyses of the hydrogeological properties of proglacial sediments, a three-dimensional groundwater flow model (FEFLOW) for part of the glacier forefield (4.8 km²) was developed. The main results show the components and characteristics of the groundwater balance and indicate the preferential groundwater flow paths. The volume of water retained in the sediments of the marginal zone is 1.0073 mln m³. The maximum potential free pore space that could be filled by water is 2.0689 mln m³. The calculated groundwater discharge for average conditions is 6076.9 m³ d⁻¹, which is about 2% of the total seasonal catchment runoff from the main glacial river. The results of the spatial analysis for the groundwater depth and the groundwater flow directions are also presented. There need to be further detailed studies of hydrogeological processes in glacial basins in Svalbard in order to develop existing knowledge. Full article

During the Little Ice Age (LIA), Corral del Veleta (Sierra Nevada) housed a small glacier of which relict glacial ice and permafrost still remain under packets of ice blocks. Currently, it is considered the southernmost rock glacier in Europe. The analysis and results of monitoring carried out on this rock glacier reveal it to be in an accelerated process of immobilization and that the relict glacial ice blocks and permafrost on which it lies are in a continual process of degradation. The rock glacier was monitored from 2001 to 2019 using diverse geomatic techniques, to which geophysical and thermal techniques were added. The results obtained during the observation period shed light on the dynamic of the rock glacier (morpho-topographic movements and deformations) as well as the physical state of the underlying frozen bodies (volumetric reduction and spatial distribution). The changes observed are related to variations in the dominant high-mountain climate of Sierra Nevada, particularly since the end of the 20th century, the general tendencies of which are increasing temperatures, decreasing annual snowfall, and a shorter duration of snow on the ground. Full article

Meltwater from the cryosphere contributes a significant fraction of the freshwater resources in the countries receiving water from the Third Pole. Within the ESA-MOST Dragon 4 project, we addressed in particular changes of glaciers and proglacial lakes and their interaction. In addition, we investigated rock glaciers in permafrost environments. Here, we focus on the detailed investigations which have been performed in the Poiqu River Basin, central Himalaya. We used in particular multi-temporal stereo satellite imagery, including high-resolution 1960/70s Corona and Hexagon spy images and contemporary Pleiades data. Sentinel-2 data was applied to assess the glacier flow. The results reveal that glacier mass loss continuously increased with a mass budget of −0.42 ± 0.11 m w.e.a⁻¹ for the period 2004–2018. The mass loss has been primarily driven by an increase in summer temperature and is further accelerated by proglacial lakes, which have become abundant. The glacial lake area more than doubled between 1964 and 2017. The termini of glaciers that flow into lakes moved on average twice as fast as glaciers terminating on land, indicating that dynamical thinning plays an important role. Rock glaciers are abundant, covering approximately 21 km², which was more than 10% of the glacier area (approximately 190 km²) in 2015. With ongoing glacier wastage, rock glaciers can become an increasingly important water resource. Full article

With global warming, permafrost is undergoing degradation, which may cause thawing subsidence, collapse, and emission of greenhouse gases preserved in previously frozen permafrost, change the local hydrology and ecology system, and threaten infrastructure and indigenous communities. The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is the world’s largest permafrost region in the middle and low latitudes. Permafrost status monitoring in the QTP is of great significance to global change and local economic development. In this study, we used 66 scenes of ALOS data (2007–2009), 73 scenes of ALOS-2 data (2015–2020) and 284 scenes of Sentinel-1 data (2017–2021) to evaluate the spatial and temporal permafrost deformation over the 83,000 km² in the northern QTP, passing through the Tuotuohe, Beiluhe, Wudaoliang and Xidatan regions. We use the SBAS-InSAR method and present a coherence weighted least squares estimator without any hypothetical model to calculate long-term deformation velocity (LTDV) and maximum seasonal deformation (MSD) without any prior knowledge. Analysis of the ALOS results shows that the LTDV ranged from −20 to +20 mm/year during 2007–2009. For the ALOS-2 and Sentinel-1 results, the LTDV ranged from −30 to 30 mm/year during 2015–2021. Further study shows that the expansion areas of permafrost subsidence are concentrated on braided stream plains and thermokarst lakes. In these areas, due to glacial erosion, surface runoff and river alluvium, the contents of water and ground ice are sufficient, which could accelerate permafrost subsidence. In addition, by analyzing LTDV and MSD for the different periods, we found that the L-band ALOS-2 is more sensitive to the thermal collapse of permafrost than the C-band sensor and the detected collapse areas (LTDV < −10 mm/year) are consistent with the GF-1/2 thermal collapse dataset. This research indicates that the InSAR technique could be crucial for monitoring the evolution of permafrost and freeze-thaw disasters. Full article

Observations and predictions show that consequences of climate warming such as declining summer sea ice cover, melting glaciers, thawing permafrost, and increased river runoff to the Arctic Ocean will likely modify processes relevant to the freshwater and carbon budget, which in turn affect high-latitude marine ecosystems. There is a knowledge gap in terms of understanding the seasonal variability of biogeochemical characteristics in coastal environments, first of all due to a lack of winter data. More data are also needed on the biogeochemical composition of different environmental media, i.e., sediments, snow, and ice. The aim of this work was to assess the current biogeochemical regime of a fjord system exposed to coastal runoff and glacial melting and discuss the possible consequences connected with climate warming. We used data from five expeditions to the Templefjord, West Spitsbergen, obtained in different seasons (February 2011, September 2011, March 2014, June 2015, and June 2017). In all the expeditions, the distributions of dissolved oxygen, nutrients, and carbonate system parameters in the water column were studied. The principal environmental media, i.e., seawater, bottom sediments, river water, sea ice, river ice, glacier ice, and snow, were sampled. The collected data allowed us to describe seasonal dynamics in the water column and to estimate the concentrations of the parameters under study in different environmental media. Our observations revealed the glacial and river footprints in the water column biogeochemistry; the glacial influence can be traced both in summer and in winter season. The results demonstrated the significant influence of coastal runoff and melted glacier water on the carbonate system and nutrient regime in the Templefjord, and can be extrapolated to other Arctic fjord systems. Full article

In order to foresee possible changes in the elementary composition of Arctic river waters, complex studies with extensive spatial coverage, including gradients in climate and landscape parameters, are needed. Here, we used the unique position of the Ob River, draining through the vast partially frozen peatlands of the western Siberia Lowland and encompassing a sizable gradient of climate, permafrost, vegetation, soils and Quaternary deposits, to assess a snap-shot (8–23 July 2016) concentration of all major and trace elements in the main stem (~3000 km transect from the Tom River confluence in the south to Salekhard in the north) and its 11 tributaries. During the studied period, corresponding to the end of the spring flood-summer baseflow, there was a systematic decrease, from the south to the north, of Dissolved Inorganic Carbon (DIC), Specific Conductivity, Ca and some labile trace elements (Mo, W and U). In contrast, Dissolved Organic Carbon (DOC), Fe, P, divalent metals (Mn, Ni, Cu, Co and Pb) and low mobile trace elements (Y, Nb, REEs, Ti, Zr, Hf and Th) sizably increased their concentration northward. The observed latitudinal pattern in element concentrations can be explained by progressive disconnection of groundwaters from the main river and its tributaries due to a northward increase in the permafrost coverage. A northward increase in bog versus forest coverage and an increase in DOC and Fe export enhanced the mobilization of insoluble, low mobile elements which were present in organo-ferric colloids (1 kDa—0.45 µm), as confirmed by an in-situ dialysis size fractionation procedure. The chemical composition of the sampled mainstream and tributaries demonstrated significant (p < 0.01) control of latitude of the sampling point; permafrost coverage; proportion of bogs, lakes and floodplain coverage and lacustrine and fluvio-glacial Quaternary deposits of the watershed. This impact was mostly pronounced on DOC, Fe, P, divalent metals (Mn, Co, Ni, Cu and Pb), Rb and low mobile lithogenic trace elements (Al, Ti, Cr, Y, Zr, Nb, REEs, Hf and Th). The pH and concentrations of soluble, highly mobile elements (DIC, SO₄, Ca, Sr, Ba, Mo, Sb, W and U) positively correlated with the proportion of forest, loesses, eluvial, eolian, and fluvial Quaternary deposits on the watershed. Consistent with these correlations, a Principal Component Analysis demonstrated two main factors explaining the variability of major and trace element concentration in the Ob River main stem and tributaries. The DOC, Fe, divalent metals and trivalent and tetravalent trace elements were presumably controlled by a northward increase in permafrost, floodplain, bogs, lakes and lacustrine deposits on the watersheds. The DIC and labile alkaline-earth metals, oxyanions (Mo, Sb and W) and U were impacted by southward-dominating forest coverage, loesses and eluvial and fertile soils. Assuming that climate warming in the WSL will lead to a northward shift of the forest and permafrost boundaries, a “substituting space for time” approach predicts a future increase in the concentration of DIC and labile major and trace elements and a decrease of the transport of DOC and low soluble trace metals in the form of colloids in the main stem of the Ob River. Overall, seasonally-resolved transect studies of large riverine systems of western Siberia are needed to assess the hydrochemical response of this environmentally-important territory to on-going climate change. Full article