Search Results (38)

Efficient power grid operations and effective business strategies require accurate prediction of power outages. However, predicting outages is a difficult task due to the large amount of heterogeneous, random, intermittent, and non-linear power grid data characterised by highly complex variable relationships. Attempting to simultaneously quantify these characteristics using a conventional single (linear or nonlinear) model may lead to inaccurate and costly results. To address this, we propose a hybrid RVM-WT-AdaBoostRT-RF framework using power grid data from the Electricity Supply Commission (Eskom) of South Africa. To achieve model interpretability, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) is first applied to remedy the adverse effects of multicollinearity through regularisation and variable selection. Secondly, a random forest (RF) is used to select the top 10 most influential variables for each season for further analysis. A relevance vector machine (RVM) captures complex nonlinear relationships separately for each season, while the wavelet transform (WT) decomposes residuals generated from RVM into different frequency subseries (with reduced noise). These subseries are predicted with minimal bias using AdaBoost with regression and threshold (AdaBoostRT). Finally, we stack RVM, AdaBoostRT, RF, and residual individual predictions using RF as a meta-model to produce the final forecast with minimal error accumulation and efficiency. The comparative study, based on point forecast metrics, the Diebold-Mariano test, and prediction interval widths, shows that the proposed model outperforms vector autoregressive (VAR), RF, AdaBoostRT, RVM, and Naïve models. The study results can be utilised for optimising resource allocation, effective power grid management, and customer alerts. Full article

This paper presents an Industrial–Ecological Symbiosis Framework that enables industrial operations to achieve quantifiable ecological gains without compromising operational efficiency. The model integrates Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) with AI-optimised forecasting to allow real-time adjustments to production and resource use. It was tested across the apparel manufacturing, metalworking, and mining sectors using publicly available benchmark datasets. The framework delivered consistent improvements: fabric waste was reduced by 10.8%, energy efficiency increased by 15%, and carbon emissions decreased by 14%. These gains were statistically validated and quantified using ecological equivalence metrics, including forest carbon sequestration rates and wetland restoration values. Outputs align with national carbon accounting systems, SDG reporting, and policy frameworks—specifically contributing to SDGs 6, 9, and 11–13. By linking industrial decisions directly to verified environmental outcomes, this study demonstrates how adaptive optimisation can support climate goals while maintaining productivity. The framework offers a reproducible, cross-sectoral solution for sustainable industrial development. Full article

This paper presents an advanced time-series forecasting methodology that integrates multiple machine learning models to improve data prediction in enhanced long-range navigation (eLoran) systems. The analysis evaluates five forecasting approaches: multivariate linear regression, long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, random forest (RF), a fusion model combining LSTM and RF, and a dynamic weighting (DW) model. The results demonstrate that the DW model achieves the highest prediction accuracy while maintaining strong computational efficiency, making it particularly suitable for real-time applications with stringent performance requirements. Although the LSTM model effectively captures temporal dependencies, it demands considerable computational resources. The hybrid model utilises the strengths of LSTM and RF to enhance the accuracy but involves extended training times. By contrast, the DW model dynamically adjusts the relative contributions of LSTM and RF on the basis of the data characteristics, thereby enhancing the accuracy while significantly reducing the computational demands. Demonstrating exceptional performance on the ASF2 dataset, the DW model provides a well-balanced solution that combines precision with operational efficiency. This research offers valuable insights into optimising additional secondary phase factor (ASF) prediction in eLoran systems and highlights the broader applicability of real-time forecasting models. Full article

As the number of IoT (Internet of Things) devices continues to grow at an exceptional rate, so does the variety of use cases and operating environments. IoT now plays a crucial role in areas including smart cities, medicine and smart agriculture, where environments vary to include built environments, forest, paddocks and many more. This research examines how Wi-Fi HaLow can be optimised to support the varying environments and a wide variety of applications. Through examining data from performance evaluation testing conducted in varying environments, a framework has been developed. The framework takes inputs relating to the operating environment and application to produce configuration recommendations relating to ideal channel width, MCS (Modulation and Coding Scheme), GI (Guard Interval), antenna selection and distance between communicating devices to provide the optimal performance to support the given use case. The application of the framework is then demonstrated when applied to three various scenarios. This research demonstrates that through the configuration of a number of parameters, Wi-Fi HaLow is a versatile network technology able to support a broad range of IoT use cases. Full article

In this study, we model a solution surface, with each point having nine components using artificial intelligence (AI), to optimise the effects of ground vibration during blasting operations in an open-pit diamond mine. This model has eight input parameters that can be adjusted by blasting engineers to arrive at a desired output value of ground vibration. It is built using the best performing artificial neural network architecture that best fits the blasting data from 100 blasting events provided by the Debswana diamond mine. Other AI algorithms used to compare the model’s performance were the k-nearest neighbour, support vector machine, and random forest—together with more traditional statistical approaches, i.e., multivariate and regression analyses. The input parameters were burden, spacing, stemming length, hole depth, hole diameter, distance from the blast face to the monitoring point, maximum charge per delay, and powder factor. The optimised model allows for variations in the input values, given the constraints, such that the output ground vibration will be within the minimum acceptable value. Through unconstrained optimisation, the minimum value of ground vibration is around 0.1 mm/s, which is within the vibration range caused by a passing vehicle. Full article

Smart buildings’ role is crucial for advancing smart cities’ performance in achieving environmental sustainability, resiliency, and efficiency. The integration barriers continue due to technology, infrastructure, and operations misalignments and are escalated due to inadequate assessment frameworks and classification systems. The existing literature on assessment methodologies reveals diverging evaluation frameworks for smart buildings and smart cities, non-uniform metrics and taxonomies that hinder scalability, and the low use of machine learning in predictive integration modelling. To fill these gaps, this paper introduces a novel machine learning model to predict smart building integration into smart city levels and assess their impact on smart city performance by leveraging data from 147 smart buildings in 13 regions. Six optimised machine learning algorithms (K-Nearest Neighbours (KNNs), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest, Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Decision Tree (DT), and Extra Tree (ET)) were employed to train the model and perform feature engineering and permutation importance analysis. The SVR-trained model substantially outperformed other models, achieving an R-squared of 0.81, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.33 and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.27, enabling precise integration prediction. Case studies revealed that low-integration buildings gain significant benefits from progressive target upgrades, whilst those buildings that have already implemented some integrated systems tend to experience diminishing marginal benefits with further, potentially disruptive upgrades. The conclusion of this study states that by utilising the developed machine learning model, owners and policymakers are capable of significantly improving the integration of smart buildings to build better, more sustainable, and resilient urban environments. Full article

The transformation of traditional energy systems into smart energy systems has ushered in an era of efficiency, sustainability and technological growth. In this paper, we propose a new definition for “Quality of Energy Service” that focuses on ensuring optimal power-supply quality, encompassing factors such as availability, speed (i.e., the time to restore or adjust supply following interruptions or load changes) and reliability of supply. We explore the integration of advanced algorithms specifically tailored to enhance the Quality of Energy Services. By concentrating on key aspects—reliability, availability and operational efficiency—the study reviews how various algorithmic approaches, from machine learning models to classical optimisation techniques, can significantly improve power grid management. These algorithms are evaluated for their potential to optimise load distribution, predict system failures and manage real-time adjustments in power supply, thereby ensuring higher service quality and grid stability. The findings aim to provide actionable insights for policymakers, engineers and industry stakeholders seeking to advance smart grid technologies and meet global energy standards. Furthermore, we present a case study to demonstrate how these models can be integrated to optimise grid management, forecast energy demand and enhance operational efficiency. We employ multiple machine learning models—including Random Forest, XGBoost version 1.6.1 and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks—to predict future energy demand. These models are then combined within an ensemble learning framework to improve both the accuracy and robustness of the forecasts. Our ensemble framework not only predicts energy consumption but also optimises battery storage utilisation, ensuring continuous energy availability and reducing reliance on external energy sources. The proposed stacking ensemble achieved a forecasting accuracy of 99.06%, with a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 0.9364% and a Coefficient of Determination (R²) of 0.998345, highlighting its superior performance compared to each individual base model. Full article

This study investigates the effectiveness of the Lagos Recycle Initiative (LRI) on landfill diversion (LFD) in Lagos, Nigeria, where evidence-based assessments of such initiatives are lacking. It evaluates the recycling diversion rate (RDR) of household recyclables (HSRs) across local government areas using field surveys and population data. Machine learning algorithms (logistic regression, random forest, XGBoost, and CatBoost) refined with Bayesian optimisation were employed to predict household recycling motivation. The findings reveal a low RDR of 0.37%, indicating that only approximately 2.47% (31,554.25 metric tonnes) of recyclables are recovered annually compared to a targeted 50% (638,750 metric tonnes). The optimised CatBoost model (accuracy and F1 score of 0.79) identified collection time and the absence of overflowing HSR bins as key motivators for household recycling via the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework. This study concludes that current LRI efforts are insufficient to meet recycling targets. It recommends expanding recovery efforts and addressing operational challenges faced by registered recyclers to improve recycling outcomes. The policy implications of this study suggest the need for stricter enforcement of recycling regulations, coupled with targeted financial incentives for both recyclers and households to boost recycling participation, thereby enhancing the overall effectiveness of waste diversion efforts under the LRI. This research provides a benchmark for assessing urban recycling initiatives (RIs) in rapidly growing African cities. Full article

The main objective of energy balance analysis is to guide farmers in making informed decisions that promote the efficient management of natural resources, optimise the use of agricultural inputs, and improve the overall economic performance of their farms. In addition, it supports the adoption of sustainable agricultural practices, such as crop diversification, the use of renewable energy sources, and the recycling of agricultural by-products and residues into natural energy sources or fertilisers. This paper analyses the variation in energy efficiency between 2019 and 2022 of the main crops in Angola: maize, soybean, and rice, and the forest production of eucalyptus biomass in agroforestry farms. The research was based on the responses to interviews conducted with the managers of the farms regarding the machinery used, fuels and lubricants, labour, seeds, phytopharmaceuticals, and fertilisers. The quantities are gathered by converting data into Megajoules (MJ). The results show variations in efficiency and energy balance. In corn, efficiency fluctuated between 1.32 MJ in 2019 and 1.41 MJ in 2020, falling to 0.94 MJ in 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic before rising to 1.31 MJ in 2022. For soybeans, the energy balance went from a deficit of −8223.48 MJ in 2019 to a positive 11,974.62 MJ in 2022, indicating better use of resources. Rice stood out for its high efficiency, reaching 81,541.33 MJ in 2021, while wood production showed negative balances, evidencing the need for more effective strategies. This research concludes that understanding the energy balance of agricultural operations in Angola is essential not only to achieve greater sustainability and profitability but also to strengthen the resilience of agricultural systems against external factors such as climate change, fluctuations in input prices, and economic crises. A comprehensive understanding of the energy balance allows farmers to assess the true cost-effectiveness of their operations, identify energy inefficiencies, and implement more effective strategies to maximise productivity while minimising environmental impacts. Full article

The operational complexity of wastewater treatment systems mainly stems from the diversity of influent characteristics and the nonlinear nature of the treatment process. Together, these factors make the control of effluent quality in wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) difficult to manage effectively. To address this challenge, constructing accurate effluent quality models for WWTPs can not only mitigate these complexities, but also provide critical decision support for operational management. In this research, we introduce a deep learning method that fuses multi-source data. This method utilises various indicators to comprehensively analyse and predict the quality of effluent water: water quantity data, process data, energy consumption data, and water quality data. To assess the efficacy of this method, a case study was carried out at an industrial effluent treatment plant (IETP) in Anhui Province, China. Deep learning algorithms including long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) were found to have a favourable prediction performance by comparing with traditional machine learning algorithms (random forest, RF) and multi-layer perceptron (MLP). The results show that the R² of LSTM and GRU is 1.36%~31.82% higher than that of MLP and 9.10%~47.75% higher than that of traditional machine learning algorithms. Finally, the RReliefF approach was used to identify the key parameters affecting the water quality behaviour of IETP effluent, and it was found that, by optimising the multi-source feature structure, not only the monitoring and management strategies can be optimised, but also the modelling efficiency of the model can be further improved. Full article

We applied UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle) and ALS (Airborne Laser Scanning) remote sensing methods to identify terrain obstacles encountered during timber extraction in the skidding process with the aim of proposing accessibility solutions to the inner parts of forest stands using skidding trails. At the Vítovický žleb site, located east of Brno in the South Moravian Region of the Czech Republic, we analysed the accuracy of digital terrain models (DTMs) created from UAV LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging), RGB (Red–Green–Blue) UAV, ALS data taken on site and publicly available LiDAR data DMR 5G (Digital Model of Relief of the Czech Republic, 5th Generation, based on airborne laser scanning, providing pre-classified ground points with an average density of 1 point/m²). UAV data were obtained using two types of drones: a DJI Mavic 2 mounted with an RGB photogrammetric camera and a GeoSLAM Horizon laser scanner on a DJI M600 Pro hexacopter. We achieved the best accuracy with UAV technologies, with an average deviation of 0.06 m, compared to 0.20 m and 0.71 m for ALS and DMR 5G, respectively. The RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) values further confirm the differences in accuracy, with UAV-based models reaching as low as 0.71 m compared to over 1.0 m for ALS and DMR 5G. The results demonstrated that UAVs are well-suited for detailed analysis of rugged terrain morphology and obstacle identification during timber extraction, potentially replacing physical terrain surveys for timber extraction planning. Meanwhile, ALS and DMR 5G data showed significant potential for use in planning the placement of skidding trails and determining the direction and length of timber extraction from logging sites to forest roads, primarily due to their ability to cover large areas effectively. Differences in the analysis results obtained using GIS (Geographic Information System) cost surface solutions applied to ALS and DMR 5G data DTMs were evident on logging sites with terrain obstacles, where the site-specific ALS data proved to be more precise. While DMR 5G is based on ALS data, its generalised nature results in lower accuracy, making site-specific ALS data preferable for analysing rugged terrain and planning timber extractions. However, DMR 5G remains suitable for use in more uniform terrain without obstacles. Thus, we recommend combining UAV and ALS technologies for terrain with obstacles, as we found this approach optimal for efficiently planning the logging-transport process. Full article

The Internet of Things (IoT) is a revolutionary advancement that automates daily tasks by interacting between digital and physical realms through a network of mostly Low-Power IoT (LP-IoT) devices. For an IoT ecosystem, reliable wireless connectivity is essential to ensure the optimal operation of LP-IoT devices, especially considering their limited resource capacity. This reliability is often achieved through channel estimation, an essential aspect for optimising signal transmission. Considering the importance of reliable channel estimation for constrained IoT devices, we developed two lightweight yet effective channel estimation models based on Random Forest Regressor (RFR). These two models are namely classified as Feature-based RFR(F) and Sequence-based RFR(S) methods and utilise Received Signal Strength Indicator (RSSI) as a fundamental channel metric to enhance efficiency for the reliability of channel estimation in constrained LP-IoT devices. The models’ performance was assessed by comparing them with the state-of-the-art and our previously developed Artificial Neural Network (ANN)-based method. The experimental results show that the RFR(F) method shows approximately 39.62% improvement in Mean Squared Error (MSE) over the Feature-based ANN(F) model and 37.86% advancement over the state-of-the-art. Similarly, the RFR(S) model shows an improvement in MSE of 24.9% compared to the Sequence-based ANN(S) model and an 80.59% improvement compared to the leading existing methods. We also evaluated the lightweight characteristics of our RFR(F) and RFR(S) methods by deploying them on Raspberry Pi 4 Model B to demonstrate their practicality for LP-IoT devices. Full article

Building energy systems (BESs) are essential for modern infrastructure but face significant challenges in equipment diagnosis, energy consumption prediction, and operational control. The complexity of BESs, coupled with the increasing integration of renewable energy sources, presents difficulties in fault detection, accurate energy forecasting, and dynamic system optimisation. Traditional control strategies struggle with low efficiency, slow response times, and limited adaptability, making it difficult to ensure reliable operation and optimal energy management. To address these issues, researchers have increasingly turned to machine learning (ML) techniques, which offer promising solutions for improving fault diagnosis, energy scheduling, and real-time control in BESs. This review provides a comprehensive analysis of ML techniques applied to fault diagnosis, energy consumption prediction, energy scheduling, and operational control. According to the results of analysis and literature review, supervised learning methods, such as support vector machines and random forest, demonstrate high classification accuracy for fault detection but require extensive labelled datasets. Unsupervised learning approaches, including principal component analysis and clustering algorithms, offer robust fault identification capabilities without labelled data but may struggle with complex nonlinear patterns. Deep learning techniques, particularly convolutional neural networks and long short-term memory models, exhibit superior accuracy in energy consumption forecasting and real-time system optimisation. Reinforcement learning further enhances energy management by dynamically adjusting system parameters to maximise efficiency and cost savings. Despite these advancements, challenges remain in terms of data availability, computational costs, and model interpretability. Future research should focus on improving hybrid ML models, integrating explainable AI techniques, and enhancing real-time adaptability to evolving energy demands. This review also highlights the transformative potential of ML in BESs and outlines future directions for sustainable and intelligent building energy management. Full article

This paper presents a study on the addition of liquefied biomass of different lignocellulosic forest residues as a means to enhance the co-electrolysis process leading to the production of synthesis gas, composed of H₂, CO, CO_2, and O₂, also known as syngas_, with the aim of a subsequent conversion into methane and methanol. Tests were made on a 1 kW prototype unit and showed that the use of liquefied biomass clearly enhances the reaction leading to syngas production. The optimisation study performed showed that the best results are obtained with an addition of 2.5% mass of liquefied biomass obtained from Acacia melanoxylon and operating conditions of a pressure of 4 bar gauge and a temperature of 110 °C. Full article

This study presents a multi-drone proof of concept for efficient forest mapping and autonomous operation, framed within the context of the OPENSWARM EU Project. The approach leverages state-of-the-art open-source simultaneous localisation and mapping (SLAM) frameworks, like LiDAR (Light Detection And Ranging) Inertial Odometry via Smoothing and Mapping (LIO-SAM), and Distributed Collaborative LiDAR SLAM Framework for a Robotic Swarm (DCL-SLAM), seamlessly integrated within the MRS UAV System and Swarm Formation packages. This integration is achieved through a series of procedures compliant with Robot Operating System middleware (ROS), including an auto-tuning particle swarm optimisation method for enhanced flight control and stabilisation, which is crucial for autonomous operation in challenging environments. Field experiments conducted in a forest with multiple drones demonstrate the system’s ability to navigate complex terrains as a coordinated swarm, accurately and collaboratively mapping forest areas. Results highlight the potential of this proof of concept, contributing to the development of scalable autonomous solutions for forestry management. The findings emphasise the significance of integrating multiple open-source technologies to advance sustainable forestry practices using swarms of drones. Full article