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24 pages, 2957 KB  
Article
Development of a PM2.5 Emission Factor Prediction Model for Shrubs in the Xiao Xing’an Mountains Based on Coupling Effects of Physical Factors
by Tianbao Zhang, Xiaoying Han, Haifeng Gao, Hui Huang, Zhiyuan Wu, Yu Gu, Bingbing Lu and Zhan Shu
Forests 2026, 17(2), 199; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020199 - 2 Feb 2026
Viewed by 40
Abstract
Over recent years, the intensity of forest fires has escalated, with wildfire-emitted pollutants exerting substantial impacts on the environment, ecosystems, and human well-being. This study developed a robust predictive framework to quantify wildfire-induced PM2.5 emission factors (EFs) using seven shrub species—Corylus [...] Read more.
Over recent years, the intensity of forest fires has escalated, with wildfire-emitted pollutants exerting substantial impacts on the environment, ecosystems, and human well-being. This study developed a robust predictive framework to quantify wildfire-induced PM2.5 emission factors (EFs) using seven shrub species—Corylus mandshurica, Eleutherococcus senticosus, Philadelphus schrenkii, Sorbaria sorbifolia, Syringa reticulata, Spiraea salicifolia, and Lonicera maackii. These species represent ecological cornerstones of Northeast Asian forests and hold global relevance as widely introduced or invasive taxa in North America and Europe. The novelty of this research lies in the integration of traditional statistical inference with machine learning to resolve the complex coupling between fuel traits and emissions. We conducted 1134 laboratory-controlled burns in the Liangshui National Nature Reserve, evaluating two continuous and three categorical variables. Initial screening via Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and stepwise linear regression (Step-AIC) identified the primary drivers of emissions and revealed that interspecific differences among the seven shrubs did not significantly affect the EF (p = 0.0635). To ensure statistical rigor, a log-transformation was applied to the EF data to correct for right-skewness and heteroscedasticity inherent in raw observations. Linear Mixed-effects Models (LMMs) and Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) were subsequently employed to quantify factor effects and capture potential nonlinearities. The LMM results consistently identified burning type and plant part as the dominant determinants: smoldering combustion and leaf components exerted strong positive effects on PM2.5 emissions compared to flaming and branch components. Fuel load was positively correlated with emissions, while moisture content showed a significant negative effect. Notably, the model identified a significant negative quadratic effect for moisture content, indicating a non-linear inhibitory trend as moisture increases. While interspecific differences among the seven shrubs did not significantly affect EFs suggesting that physical fuel traits exert a more consistent influence than species-specific genetic backgrounds, complex interactions were captured. These include a negative synergistic effect between leaves and smoldering, and a positive interaction between moisture content and leaves that significantly amplified emissions. This research bridges the gap between physical fuel traits and chemical smoke production, providing a high-resolution tool for refining global biomass burning emission inventories and assisting international forest management in similar temperate biomes. Full article
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28 pages, 32119 KB  
Article
NOAH: A Multi-Modal and Sensor Fusion Dataset for Generative Modeling in Remote Sensing
by Abdul Mutakabbir, Chung-Horng Lung, Marzia Zaman, Darshana Upadhyay, Kshirasagar Naik, Koreen Millard, Thambirajah Ravichandran and Richard Purcell
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 466; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030466 - 1 Feb 2026
Viewed by 215
Abstract
Earth Observation (EO) and Remote Sensing (RS) data are widely used in various fields, including weather, environment, and natural disaster modeling and prediction. EO and RS done through geostationary satellite constellations in fields such as these are limited to a smaller region, while [...] Read more.
Earth Observation (EO) and Remote Sensing (RS) data are widely used in various fields, including weather, environment, and natural disaster modeling and prediction. EO and RS done through geostationary satellite constellations in fields such as these are limited to a smaller region, while sun synchronous satellite constellations have discontinuous spatial and temporal coverage. This limits the ability of EO and RS data for near-real-time weather, environment, and natural disaster applications. To address these limitations, we introduce Now Observation Assemble Horizon (NOAH), a multi-modal, sensor fusion dataset that combines Ground-Based Sensors (GBS) of weather stations with topography, vegetation (land cover, biomass, and crown cover), and fuel types data from RS data sources. NOAH is collated using publicly available data from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Spatialized CAnadian National Forest Inventory (SCANFI) and United States Geological Survey (USGS), which are well-maintained, documented, and reliable. Applications of the NOAH dataset include, but are not limited to, expanding RS data tiles, filling in missing data, and super-resolution of existing data sources. Additionally, Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) or Generative Modeling (GM) can be applied for near-real-time model-generated or synthetic estimate data for disaster modeling in remote locations. This can complement the use of existing observations by field instruments, rather than replacing them. UNet backbone with Feature-wise Linear Modulation (FiLM) injection of GBS data was used to demonstrate the initial proof-of-concept modeling in this research. This research also lists ideal characteristics for GM or GenAI datasets for RS. The code and a subset of the NOAH dataset (NOAH mini) are made open-sourced. Full article
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21 pages, 5455 KB  
Article
Quantitative Assessment of Forest Ecosystem Integrity and Authenticity Based on Vegetation in Hanma and Huzhong Reserves
by Xinjing Wu, Jiashuo Cao, Kun Yang, Mingliang Gao and Yongzhi Liu
Plants 2026, 15(3), 435; https://doi.org/10.3390/plants15030435 - 30 Jan 2026
Viewed by 142
Abstract
Forest ecosystems provide essential ecological functions in the context of accelerating climate change. However, evaluating their conservation values and conditions remains challenging due to conceptual and methodological ambiguities. In particular, ecosystem integrity and ecosystem authenticity are often conflated in vegetation-based assessments, despite representing [...] Read more.
Forest ecosystems provide essential ecological functions in the context of accelerating climate change. However, evaluating their conservation values and conditions remains challenging due to conceptual and methodological ambiguities. In particular, ecosystem integrity and ecosystem authenticity are often conflated in vegetation-based assessments, despite representing distinct dimensions of ecosystem condition. This study advances vegetation-based assessments by explicitly decoupling ecosystem integrity from ecosystem authenticity, while integrating spatial completeness, vegetation patterns and quality, and successional–disturbance attributes into a unified operational framework for reserve-level diagnosis and comparison. The resulting indices enable managers to distinguish boundary-driven limitations of landscape integrity from internal vegetation conditions that persist in near-natural states, thus enhancing interpretability for conservation planning in the context of climate change. Using standardized forest resource survey data and spatial analysis, we constructed two composite indices: Forest Ecosystem Integrity (FEI) and Forest Ecosystem Authenticity (FEA). These indices were applied to two adjacent cold-temperate forest nature reserves, Hanma and Huzhong, in the Greater Khingan Mountains of northeastern China, as well as to a merged spatial scenario. The results demonstrate consistently high ecosystem authenticity (>90%) across all study areas, indicating strong naturalness and successional maturity. In contrast, ecosystem integrity remains moderate (63–69%), primarily constrained by the low spatial completeness of conservation units. The spatial integration of the two reserves significantly improved ecosystem integrity without compromising authenticity, highlighting the role of boundary configuration in conservation effectiveness. By operationalizing integrity and authenticity as complementary yet distinct dimensions, this study provides a reproducible framework for evaluating forest ecosystem conditions and offers practical insights for the design of protected area networks and adaptive management in cold-temperate forest regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Plant Ecology)
17 pages, 3057 KB  
Article
Assessing the Utility of Satellite Embedding Features for Biomass Prediction in Subtropical Forests with Machine Learning
by Chao Jin, Xiaodong Jiang, Lina Wen, Chuping Wu, Xia Xu and Jiejie Jiao
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(3), 436; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18030436 - 30 Jan 2026
Viewed by 178
Abstract
Spatial predictions of forest biomass at regional scale in forests are critical to evaluate the effects of management practices across environmental gradients. Although multi-source remote sensing combined with machine learning has been widely applied to estimate forest biomass, these approaches often rely on [...] Read more.
Spatial predictions of forest biomass at regional scale in forests are critical to evaluate the effects of management practices across environmental gradients. Although multi-source remote sensing combined with machine learning has been widely applied to estimate forest biomass, these approaches often rely on complex data acquisition and processing workflows that limit their scalability for large-area assessments. To improve the efficiency, this study evaluates the potential of annual multi-sensor satellite embeddings derived from the AlphaEarth Foundations model for forest biomass prediction. Using field inventory data from 89 forest plots at the Yunhe Forestry Station in Zhejiang Province, China, we assessed and compared the performance of four machine learning algorithms: Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Networks (MLPNN), and Gaussian Process Regression (GPR). Model evaluation was conducted using repeated 5-fold cross-validation. The results show that SVR achieved the highest predictive accuracy in broad-leaved and mixed forests, whereas RF performed best in coniferous forests. When all forest types were modeled together, predictive performance was consistently limited across algorithms, indicating substantial heterogeneity (e.g., structure, environment, and topography) among forest types. Spatial prediction maps across Yunhe Forestry Station revealed ecologically coherent patterns, with higher biomass values concentrated in intact forests with less human disturbance and lower biomass primarily occurring in fragmented forests and near urban regions. Overall, this study highlights the potential of embedding-based remote sensing for regional forest biomass estimation and suggests its utility for large-scale forest monitoring and management. Full article
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36 pages, 5209 KB  
Article
AI-Enabled System-of-Systems Decision Support: BIM-Integrated AI-LCA for Resilient and Sustainable Fiber-Reinforced Façade Design
by Mohammad Q. Al-Jamal, Ayoub Alsarhan, Qasim Aljamal, Mahmoud AlJamal, Bashar S. Khassawneh, Ahmed Al Nuaim and Abdullah Al Nuaim
Information 2026, 17(2), 126; https://doi.org/10.3390/info17020126 - 29 Jan 2026
Viewed by 216
Abstract
Sustainable and resilient communities increasingly rely on interdependent, data-driven building systems where material choices, energy performance, and lifecycle impacts must be optimized jointly. This study presents a digital-twin-ready, system-of-systems (SoS) decision-support framework that integrates BIM-enabled building energy simulation with an AI-enhanced lifecycle assessment [...] Read more.
Sustainable and resilient communities increasingly rely on interdependent, data-driven building systems where material choices, energy performance, and lifecycle impacts must be optimized jointly. This study presents a digital-twin-ready, system-of-systems (SoS) decision-support framework that integrates BIM-enabled building energy simulation with an AI-enhanced lifecycle assessment (AI-LCA) pipeline to optimize fiber-reinforced concrete (FRC) façade systems for smart buildings. Conventional LCA is often inventory-driven and static, limiting its usefulness for SoS decision making under operational variability. To address this gap, we develop machine learning surrogate models (Random Forests, Gradient Boosting, and Artificial Neural Networks) to perform a dual prediction of façade mechanical performance and lifecycle indicators (CO2 emissions, embodied energy, and water use), enabling a rapid exploration of design alternatives. We fuse experimental FRC measurements, open environmental inventories, and BIM-linked energy simulations into a unified dataset that captures coupled material–building behavior. The models achieve high predictive performance (up to 99.2% accuracy), and feature attribution identifies the fiber type, volume fraction, and curing regime as key drivers of lifecycle outcomes. Scenario analyses show that optimized configurations reduce embodied carbon while improving energy-efficiency trajectories when propagated through BIM workflows, supporting carbon-aware and resilient façade selection. Overall, the framework enables scalable SoS optimization by providing fast, coupled predictions for façade design decisions in smart built environments. Full article
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29 pages, 1843 KB  
Systematic Review
Deep Learning for Tree Crown Detection and Delineation Using UAV and High-Resolution Imagery for Biometric Parameter Extraction: A Systematic Review
by Abdulrahman Sufyan Taha Mohammed Aldaeri, Chan Yee Kit, Lim Sin Ting and Mohamad Razmil Bin Abdul Rahman
Forests 2026, 17(2), 179; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020179 - 29 Jan 2026
Viewed by 189
Abstract
Mapping individual-tree crowns (ITCs) along with extracting tree morphological attributes provides the core parameters required for estimating thermal stress and carbon emission functions. However, calculating morphological attributes relies on the prior delineation of ITCs. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and [...] Read more.
Mapping individual-tree crowns (ITCs) along with extracting tree morphological attributes provides the core parameters required for estimating thermal stress and carbon emission functions. However, calculating morphological attributes relies on the prior delineation of ITCs. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) framework, this review synthesizes how deep-learning (DL)-based methods enable the conversion of crown geometry into reliable biometric parameter extraction (BPE) from high-resolution imagery. This addresses a gap often overlooked in studies focused solely on detection by providing a direct link to forest inventory metrics. Our review showed that instance segmentation dominates (approximately 46% of studies), producing the most accurate pixel-level masks for BPE, while RGB imagery is most common (73%), often integrated with canopy-height models (CHM) to enhance accuracy. New architectural approaches, such as StarDist, outperform Mask R-CNN by 6% in dense canopies. However, performance differs with crown overlap, occlusion, species diversity, and the poor transferability of allometric equations. Future work could prioritize multisensor data fusion, develop end-to-end biomass modeling to minimize allometric dependence, develop open datasets to address model generalizability, and enhance and test models like StarDist for higher accuracy in dense forests. Full article
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17 pages, 2105 KB  
Article
Net Carbon Fluxes in Peninsular Spain Forests Combining the Biome-BGC Model and Machine Learning
by Sergio Sánchez-Ruiz, Manuel Campos-Taberner, Luca Fibbi, Marta Chiesi, Fabio Maselli and María A. Gilabert
Forests 2026, 17(2), 160; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17020160 - 26 Jan 2026
Viewed by 97
Abstract
In the current context of global warming, quantifying carbon fluxes between biosphere and atmosphere and identifying ecosystems as carbon sources or sinks is essential. The goal of this study is to quantify net carbon fluxes for the main forest types in peninsular Spain [...] Read more.
In the current context of global warming, quantifying carbon fluxes between biosphere and atmosphere and identifying ecosystems as carbon sources or sinks is essential. The goal of this study is to quantify net carbon fluxes for the main forest types in peninsular Spain and characterize them as carbon sources or sinks. A hybrid methodology is proposed. First, net primary production (NPP) is obtained through machine learning using site properties, time metrics of meteorological series, and forest inventory data as inputs. The most accurate NPP estimates (R2 ≥ 0.8 and relative RMSE ≤ 30%) were obtained by kernel ridge regression and gaussian process regression using latitude, elevation, time metrics of air temperature, precipitation and incoming solar radiation, and growing stock volume as inputs. Secondly, net ecosystem production (NEP) is obtained by subtracting heterotrophic respiration simulated by Biome-BGC from the previous NPP. All considered forest types presented small and mostly positive NPP and NEP values (greater for deciduous than for evergreen forests), thus generally acting as carbon sinks during the 2004–2018 period. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Forestry: 2nd Edition)
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40 pages, 9833 KB  
Article
Decision-Level Fusion of PS-InSAR and Optical Data for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Wavelet Transform and MAMBA
by Hongyi Guo, Antonio M. Martínez-Graña, Leticia Merchán, Agustina Fernández and Manuel Casado
Land 2026, 15(2), 211; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15020211 - 26 Jan 2026
Viewed by 149
Abstract
Landslides remain a critical geohazard in mountainous regions, where intensified extreme rainfall and rapid land-use changes exacerbate slope instability, challenging the reliability of traditional single-sensor susceptibility assessments. To overcome the limitations of data heterogeneity and noise, this study presents a decision-level fusion strategy [...] Read more.
Landslides remain a critical geohazard in mountainous regions, where intensified extreme rainfall and rapid land-use changes exacerbate slope instability, challenging the reliability of traditional single-sensor susceptibility assessments. To overcome the limitations of data heterogeneity and noise, this study presents a decision-level fusion strategy integrating Permanent Scatterer InSAR (PS-InSAR) deformation dynamics with multi-source optical remote sensing indicators via a Wavelet Transform (WT) enhanced Multi-source Additive Model Based on Bayesian Analysis (MAMBA). San Martín del Castañar (Spain), a region characterized by rugged terrain and active deformation, served as the study area. We utilized Sentinel-1A C-band datasets (January 2020–February 2025) as the primary source for continuous monitoring, complemented by L-band ALOS-2 observations to ensure coherence in vegetated zones, yielding 24,102 high-quality persistent scatterers. The WT-based multi-scale enhancement improved the signal-to-noise ratio by 23.5% and increased deformation anomaly detection by 18.7% across 24,102 validated persistent scatterers. Bayesian fusion within MAMBA produced high-resolution susceptibility maps, indicating that very-high and high susceptibility zones occupy 24.0% of the study area while capturing 84.5% of the inventoried landslides. Quantitative validation against 1247 landslide events (2020–2025) achieved an AUC of 0.912, an overall accuracy of 87.3%, and a recall of 84.5%, outperforming Random Forest, Logistic Regression, and Frequency Ratio models by 6.8%, 10.8%, and 14.3%, respectively (p < 0.001). Statistical analysis further demonstrates a strong geo-ecological coupling, with landslide susceptibility significantly correlated with ecological vulnerability (r = 0.72, p < 0.01), while SHapley Additive exPlanations identify land-use type, rainfall, and slope as the dominant controlling factors. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Ground Deformation Monitoring via Remote Sensing Time Series Data)
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23 pages, 1546 KB  
Article
Remote Sensing-Based Mapping of Forest Above-Ground Biomass and Its Relationship with Bioclimatic Factors in the Atacora Mountain Chain (Togo) Using Google Earth Engine
by Demirel Maza-esso Bawa, Fousséni Folega, Kueshi Semanou Dahan, Cristian Constantin Stoleriu, Bilouktime Badjaré, Jasmina Šinžar-Sekulić, Huaguo Huang, Wala Kperkouma and Batawila Komlan
Geomatics 2026, 6(1), 8; https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics6010008 - 22 Jan 2026
Viewed by 185
Abstract
Accurate estimation of above-ground biomass (AGB) is vital for carbon accounting, biodiversity conservation, and sustainable forest management, especially in tropical regions under strong anthropogenic pressure. This study estimated and mapped AGB in the Atacora Mountain Chain, Togo, using a multi-source remote sensing approach [...] Read more.
Accurate estimation of above-ground biomass (AGB) is vital for carbon accounting, biodiversity conservation, and sustainable forest management, especially in tropical regions under strong anthropogenic pressure. This study estimated and mapped AGB in the Atacora Mountain Chain, Togo, using a multi-source remote sensing approach within Google Earth Engine (GEE). Field data from 421 plots of the 2021 National Forest Inventory were combined with Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar, Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery, bioclimatic variables from WorldClim, and topographic data. A Random Forest regression model evaluated the predictive capacity of different variable combinations. The best model, integrating SAR, optical, and climatic variables (S1S2allBio), achieved R2 = 0.90, MAE = 13.42 Mg/ha, and RMSE = 22.54 Mg/ha, outperforming models without climate data. Dense forests stored the highest biomass (124.2 Mg/ha), while tree/shrub savannas had the lowest (25.38 Mg/ha). Spatially, ~60% of the area had biomass ≤ 50 Mg/ha. Precipitation correlated positively with AGB (r = 0.55), whereas temperature showed negative correlations. This work demonstrates the effectiveness of integrating multi-sensor satellite data with climatic predictors for accurate biomass mapping in complex tropical landscapes. The approach supports national forest monitoring, REDD+ programs, and ecosystem restoration, contributing to SDGs 13, 15, and 12 and offering a scalable method for other tropical regions. Full article
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36 pages, 2213 KB  
Review
Sustainable Estimation of Tree Biomass and Volume Using UAV Imagery: A Comprehensive Review
by Dan Munteanu, Simona Moldovanu, Gabriel Murariu and Lucian Dinca
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 1095; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18021095 - 21 Jan 2026
Viewed by 143
Abstract
Accurate estimation of tree biomass and volume is essential for sustainable forest management, climate change mitigation, and ecosystem service assessment. Recent advances in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) technology enable the acquisition of ultra-high-resolution optical and three-dimensional data, providing a resource-efficient alternative to traditional [...] Read more.
Accurate estimation of tree biomass and volume is essential for sustainable forest management, climate change mitigation, and ecosystem service assessment. Recent advances in unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) technology enable the acquisition of ultra-high-resolution optical and three-dimensional data, providing a resource-efficient alternative to traditional field-based inventories. This review synthesizes 181 peer-reviewed studies on UAV-based estimation of tree biomass and volume across forestry, agricultural, and urban ecosystems, integrating bibliometric analysis with qualitative literature review. The results reveal a clear methodological shift from early structure-from-motion photogrammetry toward integrated frameworks combining three-dimensional canopy metrics, multispectral or LiDAR data, and machine learning or deep learning models. Across applications, tree height, crown geometry, and canopy volume consistently emerge as the most robust predictors of biomass and volume, enabling accurate individual-tree and plot-level estimates while substantially reducing field effort and ecological disturbance. UAV-based approaches demonstrate particularly strong performance in orchards, plantation forests, and urban environments, and increasing applicability in complex systems such as mangroves and mixed forests. Despite significant progress, key challenges remain, including limited methodological standardization, insufficient uncertainty quantification, scaling constraints beyond local extents, and the underrepresentation of biodiversity-rich and structurally complex ecosystems. Addressing these gaps is critical for the operational integration of UAV-derived biomass and volume estimates into sustainable land management, carbon accounting, and climate-resilient monitoring frameworks. Full article
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20 pages, 11103 KB  
Article
Climate-Informed Afforestation Planning in Portugal: Balancing Wood and Non-Wood Production
by Natália Roque, Alice Maria Almeida, Paulo Fernandez, Maria Margarida Ribeiro and Cristina Alegria
Forests 2026, 17(1), 139; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17010139 - 21 Jan 2026
Viewed by 298
Abstract
This study explores the potential for afforestation in Portugal that could balance wood and non-wood forest production under future climate change scenarios. The Climate Envelope Models (CEM) approach was employed with three main objectives: (1) to model the current distribution of key Portuguese [...] Read more.
This study explores the potential for afforestation in Portugal that could balance wood and non-wood forest production under future climate change scenarios. The Climate Envelope Models (CEM) approach was employed with three main objectives: (1) to model the current distribution of key Portuguese forest species—eucalypts, maritime pine, umbrella pine, chestnut, and cork oak—based on their suitability for wood and non-wood production; (2) to project their potential distribution for the years 2070 and 2090 under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios: SSP2–4.5 (moderate) and SSP5–8.5 (high emissions); and (3) to generate integrated species distribution maps identifying both current and future high-suitability zones to support afforestation planning, reflecting climatic compatibility under fixed thresholds. Species’ current CMEs were produced using an additive Boolean model with a set of environmental variables (e.g., temperature-related and precipitation-related, elevation, and soil) specific to each species. Species’ current CEMs were validated using forest inventory data and the official Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) map of Portugal, and a good agreement was obtained (>99%). By the end of the 21st century, marked reductions in species suitability are projected, especially for chestnut (36%–44%) and maritime pine (25%–35%). Incorporating future suitability projections and preventive silvicultural practices into afforestation planning is therefore essential to ensure climate-resilient and ecologically friendly forest management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Forest Ecology and Management)
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13 pages, 1868 KB  
Article
Stand Properties Relate to the Accuracy of Remote Sensing of Ips typographus L. Damage in Heterogeneous Managed Hemiboreal Forest Landscapes: A Case Study
by Agnis Šmits, Jordane Champion, Ilze Bargā, Linda Gulbe-Viļuma, Līva Legzdiņa, Elza Gricjus and Roberts Matisons
Forests 2026, 17(1), 121; https://doi.org/10.3390/f17010121 - 15 Jan 2026
Viewed by 136
Abstract
Under the intensifying water shortages in the vegetation season, early identification of Ips typographus L. damage is crucial for preventing wide outbreaks, which undermine the economic potential of commercial stands of Norway spruce (Picea abies Karst.) across Europe. For this purpose, remote [...] Read more.
Under the intensifying water shortages in the vegetation season, early identification of Ips typographus L. damage is crucial for preventing wide outbreaks, which undermine the economic potential of commercial stands of Norway spruce (Picea abies Karst.) across Europe. For this purpose, remote sensing based on satellite images is considered one of the most efficient methods, particularly in homogenous and wide forested landscapes. However, under highly heterogeneous seminatural managed forest landscapes in lowland Central and Northern Europe, as illustrated by the eastern Baltic region and Latvia in particular, the efficiency of such an approach can lack the desired accuracy. Hence, the identification of smaller damage patches by I. typographus, which can act as a source of wider outbreaks, can be overlooked, and situational awareness can be further aggravated by infrastructure artefacts. In this study, the accuracy of satellite imaging for the identification of I. typographus damage was evaluated, focusing on the occurrence of false positives and particularly false negatives obtained from the comparison with UAV imaging. Across the studied landscapes, correct or partially correct identification of damage patches larger than 30 m2 occurred in 73% of cases. Still, the satellite image analysis of the highly heterogeneous landscape resulted in quite a common occurrence of false negatives (up to one-third of cases), which were related to stand and patch properties. The high rate of false negatives, however, is crucial for the prevention of outbreaks, as the sources of outbreaks can be underestimated, burdening prompt and hence effective implication of countermeasures. Accordingly, elaborating an analysis of satellite images by incorporating stand inventory data could improve the efficiency of early detection systems, especially when coupled with UAV reconnaissance of heterogeneous landscapes, as in the eastern Baltic region. Full article
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30 pages, 6190 KB  
Article
A Multi-Temporal Sentinel-2 and Machine Learning Approach for Precision Burned Area Mapping: The Sardinia Case Study
by Claudia Collu, Dario Simonetti, Francesco Dessì, Marco Casu, Costantino Pala and Maria Teresa Melis
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(2), 267; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18020267 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 224
Abstract
The escalating threat of wildfires under global climate change necessitates rigorous monitoring to mitigate environmental and socio-economic risks. Burned area (BA) mapping is crucial for understanding fire dynamics, assessing ecosystem impacts, and supporting sustainable land management under increasing fire frequency. This study aims [...] Read more.
The escalating threat of wildfires under global climate change necessitates rigorous monitoring to mitigate environmental and socio-economic risks. Burned area (BA) mapping is crucial for understanding fire dynamics, assessing ecosystem impacts, and supporting sustainable land management under increasing fire frequency. This study aims to develop a high-resolution detection framework specifically calibrated for Mediterranean environmental conditions, ensuring the production of consistent and accurate annual BA maps. Using Sentinel-2 MSI time series over Sardinia (Italy), the research objectives were to: (i) integrate field surveys with high-resolution photointerpretation to build a robust, locally tuned training dataset; (ii) evaluate the discriminative power of multi-temporal spectral indices; and (iii) implement a Random Forest classifier capable of providing higher spatial precision than current operational products. Validation results show a Dice Coefficient (DC) of 91.8%, significantly outperforming the EFFIS Burnt Area product (DC = 79.9%). The approach proved particularly effective in detecting small and rapidly recovering fires, often underrepresented in existing datasets. While inaccuracies persist due to cloud cover and landscape heterogeneity, this study demonstrates the effectiveness of a machine learning approach for long-term monitoring, for generating multi-year wildfire inventories, offering a vital tool for data-driven forest policy, vegetation recovery assessment and land-use change analysis in fire-prone regions. Full article
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26 pages, 17406 KB  
Article
Mapping the Spatial Distribution of Photovoltaic Power Plants in Northwest China Using Remote Sensing and Machine Learning
by Xiaoliang Shi, Wenyu Lyu, Weiqi Ding, Yizhen Wang, Yuchen Yang and Li Wang
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 820; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18020820 - 14 Jan 2026
Viewed by 216
Abstract
Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is essential for achieving carbon neutrality and advancing renewable energy development. In Northwest China, the rapid expansion of PV installations requires accurate and timely spatial data to support effective monitoring and planning. Addressing the limitations of existing datasets in [...] Read more.
Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is essential for achieving carbon neutrality and advancing renewable energy development. In Northwest China, the rapid expansion of PV installations requires accurate and timely spatial data to support effective monitoring and planning. Addressing the limitations of existing datasets in spatiotemporal resolution and driver analysis, this study develops a scalable solar facility inventory framework on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. The framework integrates Sentinel-1 SAR, Sentinel-2 multispectral imagery, and interpretable machine learning. Feature redundancy is first assessed using correlation-based metrics, after which a Random Forest classifier is applied to generate a 10 m resolution distribution map of utility-scale photovoltaic power plants as of December 2023. To elucidate model behavior, SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) is used to identify key predictors, and MaxEnt is incorporated to provide a preliminary quantitative assessment of spatial drivers of PV deployment. The RFECV-optimized model, retaining 44 key features, achieves an overall accuracy of 98.4% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.96. The study region contains approximately 2560 km2 of PV installations, with pronounced clusters in northern Ningxia, central Shaanxi, and parts of Xinjiang and Gansu. SHAP analysis highlights the Enhanced Photovoltaic Index (EPVI), the Normalized Difference Built-up Index (NDBI), Sentinel-2 Band 8A, and related texture metrics as primary contributors to model predictions. High EPVI, NDBI, and Sentinel-2 Band 8A values contribute positively to PV classification, whereas vegetation-related indices (e.g., NDVI) exhibit predominantly negative contributions; these results indicate that PV mapping relies on the integrated discrimination of multiple spectral and texture features rather than on a single dominant variable. MaxEnt results indicate that grid accessibility and land-use constraints (e.g., nighttime light intensity reflecting human activity) are dominant drivers of PV clustering, often exerting more influence than solar irradiance alone. This framework provides robust technical support for PV monitoring and offers high-resolution spatial distribution data and driver insights to inform sustainable energy management and regional renewable-energy planning. Full article
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26 pages, 10873 KB  
Article
Prediction of Coseismic Landslides by Explainable Machine Learning Methods
by Tulasi Ram Bhattarai, Netra Prakash Bhandary and Kalpana Pandit
GeoHazards 2026, 7(1), 7; https://doi.org/10.3390/geohazards7010007 - 2 Jan 2026
Viewed by 511
Abstract
The MJMA 7.6 (Mw 7.5) Noto Peninsula Earthquake of 1 January 2024 in Japan triggered widespread slope failures across northern Noto region, but their spatial controls and susceptibility patterns remain poorly quantified. Most previous studies have focused mainly on fault rupture, ground [...] Read more.
The MJMA 7.6 (Mw 7.5) Noto Peninsula Earthquake of 1 January 2024 in Japan triggered widespread slope failures across northern Noto region, but their spatial controls and susceptibility patterns remain poorly quantified. Most previous studies have focused mainly on fault rupture, ground deformation, and tsunami impacts, leaving a clear gap in machine learning based assessment of earthquake-induced slope failures. This study integrates 2323 mapped landslides with eleven conditioning factors to develop the first data-driven susceptibility framework for the 2024 event. Spatial analysis shows that 75% of the landslides are smaller than 3220 m2 and nearly half occurred within about 23 km of the epicenter, reflecting concentrated ground shaking beyond the rupture zone. Terrain variables such as slope (mean 31.8°), southwest-facing aspects, and elevations of 100–300 m influenced the failure patterns, along with peak ground acceleration values of 0.8–1.1 g and proximity to roads and rivers. Six supervised machine learning models were trained, with Random Forest and Gradient Boosting achieving the highest accuracies (AUC = 0.95 and 0.94, respectively). Explainable AI using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) identified slope, epicentral distance, and peak ground acceleration as the dominant predictors. The resulting susceptibility maps align well with observed failures and provide an interpretable foundation for post-earthquake hazard assessment and regional risk reduction. Further work should integrate post-seismic rainfall, multi-temporal inventories, and InSAR deformation to support dynamic hazard assessment and improved early warning. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Landslide Research: State of the Art and Innovations)
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