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25 pages, 3834 KB  
Article
Analysis of Variance in Runway Friction Measurements and Surface Life-Cycle: A Case Study of Four Australian Airports
by Gadel Baimukhametov and Greg White
Infrastructures 2026, 11(1), 20; https://doi.org/10.3390/infrastructures11010020 - 9 Jan 2026
Abstract
Runway friction is a critical factor in aircraft safety, affecting braking performance during landing and take-off. This study evaluates friction measurement variability and runway life-cycle dynamics at four typical Australian airports, using GripTester data from calibration strips and operational runways. The results show [...] Read more.
Runway friction is a critical factor in aircraft safety, affecting braking performance during landing and take-off. This study evaluates friction measurement variability and runway life-cycle dynamics at four typical Australian airports, using GripTester data from calibration strips and operational runways. The results show that friction measurements are influenced by seasonal effects, random errors, and testing equipment tire wear, with greater variability at lower speed (65 km/h) than at higher speed (95 km/h). Analysis of runway friction decay indicates that friction reduction rates are higher in touchdown zones and decelerating rate gradually decrease as friction declines, while regular rubber removal significantly restores friction, sometimes exceeding post-construction levels. Current internationally recommended friction testing intervals may not adequately ensure safety, with a sufficient probability of friction dropping below maintenance planning levels between tests. Based on observed reduction rates, updated intervals of approximately 3000 to 4000 landings are proposed to achieve 90% confidence in maintaining safe friction levels. The findings provide practical guidance for friction management and maintenance scheduling as part of an optimized airport pavement management system. Full article
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20 pages, 3603 KB  
Article
Dynamic Modeling and Performance Assessment of Khorshed Wastewater Treatment Plant Using GPS-X: A Case Study, Alexandria, Egypt
by Ahmed H. El Hawary, Nadia Badr ElSayed, Chérifa Abdelbaki, Mohamed Youssef Omar, Mohamed A. Awad, Bernhard Tischbein, Navneet Kumar and Maram El-Nadry
Water 2026, 18(2), 174; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020174 - 8 Jan 2026
Abstract
Water scarcity continues to challenge arid regions such as Egypt, where growing population demands, climate change impacts, and increasing agricultural pressures intensify the need for sustainable water management. Treated wastewater has emerged as a viable alternative resource, provided that the effluent meets stringent [...] Read more.
Water scarcity continues to challenge arid regions such as Egypt, where growing population demands, climate change impacts, and increasing agricultural pressures intensify the need for sustainable water management. Treated wastewater has emerged as a viable alternative resource, provided that the effluent meets stringent quality standards for safe reuse. The purpose of this study was to develop a comprehensive model of the Khorshed Wastewater Treatment Plant (KWWTP) to depict the processes used for biological nutrient removal. Operational data was gathered and examined over a period of 18 months to describe the quality of wastewater discharged by the Advanced Sequencing Batch Reactor (ASBR) of the plant, using specific physicochemical parameters like TSS, COD, BOD5, and N-NO3. A process flow diagram integrating the Activated Sludge Model No. 1 (ASM1) for biological nutrient removal was created using the GPS-X. The study determined the parameters influencing the nutrient removal efficiency by analyzing the responsiveness of kinetic and stoichiometric parameters. Variables related to denitrification, autotrophic growth, and yield for heterotrophic biomass were the main focus of the calibration modifications. The results showed that the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for the dynamic-state was COD (0.02), BOD5 (0.07), N-NO3 (0.75), and TSS (0.82), and for the steady state was COD (0.04), BOD5 (0.11), N-NO3 (0.67), and TSS (0.10). Since the model’s accuracy was deemed acceptable, it provides a validated foundation for future scenario analysis and operational decision support that produces a trustworthy model for predicting effluent data for the concentrations of TSS, COD, BOD5, and N-NO3 in steady state conditions. Dynamic validation further confirmed model reliability, despite modest discrepancies in TSS and nitrate predictions; addressing this issue necessitates further research. Full article
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23 pages, 3876 KB  
Article
Optimizing Drainage Design to Reduce Nitrogen Losses in Rice Field Under Extreme Rainfall: Coupling Log-Pearson Type III and DRAINMOD-N II
by Anis Ur Rehman Khalil, Fazli Hameed, Junzeng Xu, Muhammad Mannan Afzal, Khalil Ahmad, Shah Fahad Rahim, Raheel Osman, Peng Chen and Zhenyang Liu
Water 2026, 18(2), 175; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020175 - 8 Jan 2026
Abstract
The intensification of extreme rainfall events under changing climate regimes has heightened concerns over nutrient losses from paddy agriculture, particularly nitrogen (N), a primary contributor to non-point source pollution. Despite advances in drainage management, limited studies have integrated probabilistic rainfall modeling with N [...] Read more.
The intensification of extreme rainfall events under changing climate regimes has heightened concerns over nutrient losses from paddy agriculture, particularly nitrogen (N), a primary contributor to non-point source pollution. Despite advances in drainage management, limited studies have integrated probabilistic rainfall modeling with N transport simulation to evaluate mitigation strategies in rice-based systems. This study addresses this critical gap by coupling the Log-Pearson Type III (LP-III) distribution with the DRAINMOD-N II model to simulate N dynamics under varying rainfall exceedance probabilities and drainage design configurations in the Kunshan region of eastern China. The DRAINMOD-N II showed good performance, with R2 values of 0.70 and 0.69, AAD of 0.05 and 0.39 mg L−1, and RMSE of 0.14 and 0.91 mg L−1 for NO3-N and NH4+-N during calibration, and R2 values of 0.88 and 0.72, AAD of 0.06 and 0.21 mg L−1, and RMSE of 0.10 and 0.34 mg L−1 during validation. Using around 50 years of historical precipitation data, we developed intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves via LP-III to derive return-period rainfall scenarios (2%, 5%, 10%, and 20%). These scenarios were then input into a validated DRAINMOD-N II model to assess nitrate-nitrogen (NO3-N) and ammonium-nitrogen (NH4+-N) losses across multiple drain spacing (1000–2000 cm) and depth (80–120 cm) treatments. Results demonstrated that NO3-N and NH4+-N losses increase with rainfall intensity, with up to 57.9% and 45.1% greater leaching, respectively, under 2% exceedance events compared to 20%. However, wider drain spacing substantially mitigated N losses, reducing NO3-N and NH4+-N loads by up to 18% and 12%, respectively, across extreme rainfall scenarios. The integrated framework developed in this study highlights the efficacy of drainage design optimization in reducing nutrient losses while maintaining hydrological resilience under extreme weather conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water, Agriculture and Aquaculture)
20 pages, 3259 KB  
Article
Green Transportation Planning for Smart Cities: Digital Twins and Real-Time Traffic Optimization in Urban Mobility Networks
by Marek Lis and Maksymilian Mądziel
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(2), 678; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16020678 - 8 Jan 2026
Abstract
This paper proposes a comprehensive framework for integrating Digital Twins (DT) with real-time traffic optimization systems to enhance urban mobility management in Smart Cities. Using the Pobitno Roundabout in Rzeszów as a case study, we established a calibrated microsimulation model (validated via the [...] Read more.
This paper proposes a comprehensive framework for integrating Digital Twins (DT) with real-time traffic optimization systems to enhance urban mobility management in Smart Cities. Using the Pobitno Roundabout in Rzeszów as a case study, we established a calibrated microsimulation model (validated via the GEH statistic) that serves as the core of the proposed Digital Twin. The study goes beyond static scenario analysis by introducing an Adaptive Inflow Metering (AIM) logic designed to interact with IoT sensor data. While traditional geometrical upgrades (e.g., turbo-roundabouts) were analyzed, simulation results revealed that geometrical changes alone—without dynamic control—may fail under peak load conditions (resulting in LOS F). Consequently, the research demonstrates how the DT framework allows for the testing of “Software-in-the-Loop” (SiL) solutions where Python-based algorithms dynamically adjust inflow parameters to prevent gridlock. The findings confirm that combining physical infrastructure changes with digital, real-time optimization algorithms is essential for achieving sustainable “green transport” goals and reducing emissions in congested urban nodes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Green Transportation and Pollution Control)
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43 pages, 10782 KB  
Article
Nested Learning in Higher Education: Integrating Generative AI, Neuroimaging, and Multimodal Deep Learning for a Sustainable and Innovative Ecosystem
by Rubén Juárez, Antonio Hernández-Fernández, Claudia Barros Camargo and David Molero
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 656; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18020656 - 8 Jan 2026
Abstract
Industry 5.0 challenges higher education to adopt human-centred and sustainable uses of artificial intelligence, yet many current deployments still treat generative AI as a stand-alone tool, neurophysiological sensing as largely laboratory-bound, and governance as an external add-on rather than a design constraint. This [...] Read more.
Industry 5.0 challenges higher education to adopt human-centred and sustainable uses of artificial intelligence, yet many current deployments still treat generative AI as a stand-alone tool, neurophysiological sensing as largely laboratory-bound, and governance as an external add-on rather than a design constraint. This article introduces Nested Learning as a neuro-adaptive ecosystem design in which generative-AI agents, IoT infrastructures and multimodal deep learning orchestrate instructional support while preserving student agency and a “pedagogy of hope”. We report an exploratory two-phase mixed-methods study as an initial empirical illustration. First, a neuro-experimental calibration with 18 undergraduate students used mobile EEG while they interacted with ChatGPT in problem-solving tasks structured as challenge–support–reflection micro-cycles. Second, a field implementation at a university in Madrid involved 380 participants (300 students and 80 lecturers), embedding the Nested Learning ecosystem into regular courses. Data sources included EEG (P300) signals, interaction logs, self-report measures of engagement, self-regulated learning and cognitive safety (with strong internal consistency; α/ω0.82), and open-ended responses capturing emotional experience and ethical concerns. In Phase 1, P300 dynamics aligned with key instructional micro-events, providing feasibility evidence that low-cost neuro-adaptive pipelines can be sensitive to pedagogical flow in ecologically relevant tasks. In Phase 2, participants reported high levels of perceived nested support and cognitive safety, and observed associations between perceived Nested Learning, perceived neuro-adaptive adjustments, engagement and self-regulation were moderate to strong (r=0.410.63, p<0.001). Qualitative data converged on themes of clarity, adaptive support and non-punitive error culture, alongside recurring concerns about privacy and cognitive sovereignty. We argue that, under robust ethical, data-protection and sustainability-by-design constraints, Nested Learning can strengthen academic resilience, learner autonomy and human-centred uses of AI in higher education. Full article
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27 pages, 3479 KB  
Article
The Water Lifting Performance of a Photovoltaic Sprinkler Irrigation System Regulated by Solar-Coupled Compressed-Air Energy Storage
by Xiaoqing Zhong, Maosheng Ge, Zhengwen Tang, Pute Wu, Xin Hui, Qianwen Zhang, Qingyan Zhang and Khusen Sh. Gafforov
Agriculture 2026, 16(2), 154; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture16020154 - 8 Jan 2026
Abstract
Solar-driven irrigation, a promising clean technology for agricultural water conservation, is constrained by mismatched photovoltaic (PV) pump outflow and irrigation demand, alongside unstable PV output. While compressed-air energy storage (CAES) shows mitigation potential, existing studies lack systematic explorations of pump water-lifting characteristics and [...] Read more.
Solar-driven irrigation, a promising clean technology for agricultural water conservation, is constrained by mismatched photovoltaic (PV) pump outflow and irrigation demand, alongside unstable PV output. While compressed-air energy storage (CAES) shows mitigation potential, existing studies lack systematic explorations of pump water-lifting characteristics and supply capacity under coupled meteorological and air pressure effects, limiting its practical promotion. This study focuses on a solar-coupled compressed-air energy storage regulated sprinkler irrigation system (CAES-SPSI). Integrating experimental and theoretical methods, it establishes dynamic flow models for three DC diaphragm pumps considering combined PV output and outlet back pressure, introduces pressure loss and drop coefficients to construct a nozzle pressure dynamic model via calibration and iteration, and conducts a 1-hectare corn field case study. The results indicate the following: pump flow increases with PV power and decreases with outlet pressure (model deviation < 9.24%); nozzle pressure in pulse spraying shows logarithmic decline; CAES-SPSI operates 10 h/d, with hourly water-lifting capacity of 0.317–1.01 m3/h and daily cumulation of 6.71 m3; and the low-intensity and long-duration mode extends irrigation time, maintaining total volume and optimal soil moisture. This study innovatively incorporates dynamic air pressure potential energy into meteorological-PV coupling analysis, providing a universal method for quantifying pump flow changes, clarifying CAES-SPSI’s water–energy coupling mechanism, and offering a design basis for its agricultural application feasibility. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Agricultural Water Management)
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28 pages, 5656 KB  
Article
Dynamic Visibility Recognition and Driving Risk Assessment Under Rain–Fog Conditions Using Monocular Surveillance Imagery
by Zilong Xie, Chi Zhang, Dibin Wei, Xiaomin Yan and Yijing Zhao
Sustainability 2026, 18(2), 625; https://doi.org/10.3390/su18020625 - 7 Jan 2026
Abstract
This study addresses the limitations of conventional highway visibility monitoring under rain–fog conditions, where fixed stations and visibility sensors provide limited spatial coverage and unstable accuracy. Considering that drivers’ visual fields are jointly affected by global fog and local spray-induced mist, a dynamic [...] Read more.
This study addresses the limitations of conventional highway visibility monitoring under rain–fog conditions, where fixed stations and visibility sensors provide limited spatial coverage and unstable accuracy. Considering that drivers’ visual fields are jointly affected by global fog and local spray-induced mist, a dynamic visibility recognition and risk assessment framework is proposed using roadside monocular CCTV (Closed-Circuit Television) imagery. The method integrates the Koschmieder scattering model with the dark channel prior to estimate atmospheric transmittance and derives visibility through lane-line calibration. A Monte Carlo-based coupling model simulates local visibility degradation caused by tire spray, while a safety potential field defines the low-visibility risk field force (LVRFF) combining dynamic visibility, relative speed, and collision distance. Results show that this approach achieves over 86% accuracy under heavy rain, effectively captures real-time visibility variations, and that LVRFF exhibits strong sensitivity to visibility degradation, outperforming traditional safety indicators in identifying high-risk zones. By enabling scalable, infrastructure-based visibility monitoring without additional sensing devices, the proposed framework reduces deployment cost and energy consumption while enhancing the long-term operational resilience of highway systems under adverse weather. From a sustainability perspective, the method supports safer, more reliable, and resource-efficient traffic management, contributing to the development of intelligent and sustainable transportation infrastructure. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Traffic Safety, Traffic Management, and Sustainable Mobility)
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35 pages, 1515 KB  
Article
Bio-RegNet: A Meta-Homeostatic Bayesian Neural Network Framework Integrating Treg-Inspired Immunoregulation and Autophagic Optimization for Adaptive Community Detection and Stable Intelligence
by Yanfei Ma, Daozheng Qu and Mykhailo Pyrozhenko
Biomimetics 2026, 11(1), 48; https://doi.org/10.3390/biomimetics11010048 - 7 Jan 2026
Abstract
Contemporary neural and generative architectures are deficient in self-preservation mechanisms and sustainable stability. In uncertain or noisy situations, they frequently demonstrate oscillatory learning, overconfidence, and structural deterioration, indicating a lack of biological regulatory principles in artificial systems. We present Bio-RegNet, a meta-homeostatic Bayesian [...] Read more.
Contemporary neural and generative architectures are deficient in self-preservation mechanisms and sustainable stability. In uncertain or noisy situations, they frequently demonstrate oscillatory learning, overconfidence, and structural deterioration, indicating a lack of biological regulatory principles in artificial systems. We present Bio-RegNet, a meta-homeostatic Bayesian neural network architecture that integrates T-regulatory-cell-inspired immunoregulation with autophagic structural optimization. The model integrates three synergistic subsystems: the Bayesian Effector Network (BEN) for uncertainty-aware inference, the Regulatory Immune Network (RIN) for Lyapunov-based inhibitory control, and the Autophagic Optimization Engine (AOE) for energy-efficient regeneration, thereby establishing a closed energy–entropy loop that attains adaptive equilibrium among cognition, regulation, and metabolism. This triadic feedback achieves meta-homeostasis, transforming learning into a process of ongoing self-stabilization instead of static optimization. Bio-RegNet routinely outperforms state-of-the-art dynamic GNNs across twelve neuronal, molecular, and macro-scale benchmarks, enhancing calibration and energy efficiency by over 20% and expediting recovery from perturbations by 14%. Its domain-invariant equilibrium facilitates seamless transfer between biological and manufactured systems, exemplifying a fundamental notion of bio-inspired, self-sustaining intelligence—connecting generative AI and biomimetic design for sustainable, living computation. Bio-RegNet consistently outperforms the strongest baseline HGNN-ODE, improving ARI from 0.77 to 0.81 and NMI from 0.84 to 0.87, while increasing equilibrium coherence κ from 0.86 to 0.93. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Bio-Inspired AI: When Generative AI and Biomimicry Overlap)
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22 pages, 4530 KB  
Article
Ray Tracing Calibration Based on Local Phase Error Estimates for Rail Transit Wireless Channel Modeling
by Meng Lan, Jianfeng Liu, Meng Mei and Zhongwei Xu
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(2), 606; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16020606 - 7 Jan 2026
Abstract
Ray tracing (RT) has become an important method for train-to-ground (T2G) wireless channel modeling due to its physical interpretability. In rail transit scenarios, RT suffers from modeling errors that arise due to environmental reconstruction and uncertainties in electromagnetic parameters, as well as dynamic [...] Read more.
Ray tracing (RT) has become an important method for train-to-ground (T2G) wireless channel modeling due to its physical interpretability. In rail transit scenarios, RT suffers from modeling errors that arise due to environmental reconstruction and uncertainties in electromagnetic parameters, as well as dynamic phase errors caused by coherent multi-path superposition that is further triggered by such modeling errors. Phase errors significantly affect both the calibration accuracy and prediction precision of RT. Therefore, this paper proposes an intelligent RT calibration method based on local phase errors. The method builds a phase error distribution model and uses constraints from limited measurements to explicitly estimate and correct phase errors in RT-generated channel responses. Firstly, the method applies the Variational Expectation–Maximization (VEM) algorithm to optimize the phase error model, where the expectation step derives an approximate posterior distribution and the maximization step updates parameters conditioned on this posterior. Secondly, experiments are conducted using differentiable RT implemented in the Sionna library, which explicitly provides gradients of environmental and link parameters with respect to channel frequency responses, enabling end-to-end calibration. Finally, experimental results show that in railway scenarios, compared with calibration methods based on phase error-oblivious and uniform phase error, the proposed approach achieves average gains of about 10 dB at SNR = 0 dB and 20 dB at SNR = 30 dB. Full article
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20 pages, 2092 KB  
Article
Calibration of Snow Particle Contact Parameters for Simulation Analysis of Membrane Structure Snow Removal Robot
by Jiangtao Dong, Fuxiang Zhang, Fengshan Huang and Xiaofei Man
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(2), 610; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16020610 - 7 Jan 2026
Viewed by 10
Abstract
To enhance the accuracy of discrete element method (DEM) simulation for the snow removal process performed by autonomous robots on membrane structures, this study calibrated the key contact parameters of snow particles used in the simulation. Through literature research, the intrinsic parameters and [...] Read more.
To enhance the accuracy of discrete element method (DEM) simulation for the snow removal process performed by autonomous robots on membrane structures, this study calibrated the key contact parameters of snow particles used in the simulation. Through literature research, the intrinsic parameters and contact parameter ranges for snow particles and membrane structures were determined. A discrete element model of snow particles was established, and the Hertz–Mindlin with Johnson–Kendall–Robert contact model was selected to simulate the formation process of the repose angle. Using the actual repose angle of snow particles as the target, four significant factors were identified through the P-B experiment, and other factors were set at the intermediate level. Through the steepest slope climbing experiment and response surface design, second-order response equations of the four significant factors were obtained. The optimal parameter combination was calculated as follows: the surface energy of snow particles was 0.23 J/m2; the restitution coefficient, static friction coefficient, and rolling friction coefficient of snow–snow were 0.141, 0.05, and 0.03; and the restitution coefficient, static friction coefficient, and rolling friction coefficient of snow–membrane were 0.2, 0.18, and 0.03. The simulated repose angle was 40.62°, and the relative error with the actual repose angle was 0.32%. These calibration results are reliable and can provide a reliable simulation basis and essential data support for the optimal design of a snow removal robot and the dynamic simulation of the operation process. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Advances in Robotics and Autonomous Systems)
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34 pages, 575 KB  
Article
Spatial Stress Testing and Climate Value-at-Risk: A Quantitative Framework for ICAAP and Pillar 2
by Francesco Rania
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2026, 19(1), 48; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm19010048 - 7 Jan 2026
Viewed by 22
Abstract
This paper develops a quantitative framework for climate–financial risk measurement that combines a spatially explicit jump–diffusion asset–loss model with prudentially aligned risk metrics. The approach connects regional physical hazards and transition variables derived from climate-consistent pathways to asset returns and credit parameters through [...] Read more.
This paper develops a quantitative framework for climate–financial risk measurement that combines a spatially explicit jump–diffusion asset–loss model with prudentially aligned risk metrics. The approach connects regional physical hazards and transition variables derived from climate-consistent pathways to asset returns and credit parameters through the use of climate-adjusted volatilities and jump intensities. Fat tails and geographic heterogeneity are captured by it, which conventional diffusion-based or purely narrative stress tests fail to reflect. The framework delivers portfolio-level Spatial Climate Value-at-Risk (SCVaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) across scenario–horizon matrices and incorporates an explicit robustness layer (block bootstrap confidence intervals, unconditional/conditional coverage backtests, and structural-stability tests). All ES measures are understood as Conditional Expected Shortfall (CES), i.e., tail expectations evaluated conditional on climate stress scenarios. Applications to bank loan books, pension portfolios, and sovereign exposures show how climate shocks reprice assets, alter default and recovery dynamics, and amplify tail losses in a region- and sector-dependent manner. The resulting, statistically validated outputs are designed to be decision-useful for Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process (ICAAP) and Pillar 2: climate-adjusted capital buffers, scenario-based stress calibration, and disclosure bridges that complement alignment metrics such as the Green Asset Ratio (GAR). Overall, the framework operationalises a move from exposure tallies to forward-looking, risk-sensitive, and auditable measures suitable for supervisory dialogue and internal risk appetite. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Climate and Financial Markets)
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22 pages, 394 KB  
Article
A Fractional Calculus Approach to Energy Balance Modeling: Incorporating Memory for Responsible Forecasting
by Muath Awadalla and Abulrahman A. Sharif
Mathematics 2026, 14(2), 223; https://doi.org/10.3390/math14020223 - 7 Jan 2026
Viewed by 22
Abstract
Global climate change demands modeling approaches that are both computationally efficient and physically faithful to the system’s long-term dynamics. Classical Energy Balance Models (EBMs), while valuable, are fundamentally limited by their memoryless exponential response, which fails to represent the prolonged thermal inertia of [...] Read more.
Global climate change demands modeling approaches that are both computationally efficient and physically faithful to the system’s long-term dynamics. Classical Energy Balance Models (EBMs), while valuable, are fundamentally limited by their memoryless exponential response, which fails to represent the prolonged thermal inertia of the climate system—particularly that associated with deep-ocean heat uptake. In this study, we introduce a fractional Energy Balance Model (fEBM) by replacing the classical integer-order time derivative with a Caputo fractional derivative of order α(0<α1), thereby embedding long-range memory directly into the model structure. We establish a rigorous mathematical foundation for the fEBM, including proofs of existence, uniqueness, and asymptotic stability, ensuring theoretical well-posedness and numerical reliability. The model is calibrated and validated against historical global mean surface temperature data from NASA GISTEMP and radiative forcing estimates from IPCC AR6. Relative to the classical EBM, the fEBM achieves a substantially improved representation of observed temperatures, reducing the root mean square error by approximately 29% during calibration (1880–2010) and by 47% in out-of-sample forecasting (2011–2023). The optimized fractional order α=0.75±0.03 emerges as a physically interpretable measure of aggregate climate memory, consistent with multi-decadal ocean heat uptake and observed persistence in temperature anomalies. Residual diagnostics and robustness analyses further demonstrate that the fractional formulation captures dominant temporal dependencies without overfitting. By integrating mathematical rigor, uncertainty quantification, and physical interpretability, this work positions fractional calculus as a powerful and responsible framework for reduced-order climate modeling and long-term projection analysis. Full article
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23 pages, 2473 KB  
Article
Multi-Model Comparison of Hydrologic Simulation Performance Using DWAT, PRMS, and TANK Models
by Deokhwan Kim, Wonjin Jang, Heechan Han, Hyoung-Sub Shin, Hyeonjun Kim and Cheolhee Jang
Water 2026, 18(2), 145; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18020145 - 6 Jan 2026
Viewed by 150
Abstract
This study compares the streamflow simulation performance of a semi-distributed hydrological model, DWAT (Dynamic Water Resources Assessment Tool), and two conceptual models, PRMS and TANK, across three watersheds in the Republic of Korea representing mountainous (Okdong-gyo), mixed-use (Wonbu-gyo), and urbanized (Daegok-gyo) conditions. All [...] Read more.
This study compares the streamflow simulation performance of a semi-distributed hydrological model, DWAT (Dynamic Water Resources Assessment Tool), and two conceptual models, PRMS and TANK, across three watersheds in the Republic of Korea representing mountainous (Okdong-gyo), mixed-use (Wonbu-gyo), and urbanized (Daegok-gyo) conditions. All models were calibrated and validated using identical hydroclimatic datasets and evaluation periods to ensure a fair comparison. Model performance was evaluated using nine statistical metrics (R2, NSE, LogNSE, KGE, RMSE, MAE, RE, VE, and RSR), supplemented by low-flow analysis based on a Q90 threshold and non-parametric statistical tests. DWAT exhibited the most stable and highest overall performance across all watersheds, with particularly strong results in the urbanized Daegok-gyo basin (NSE = 0.85, R2 = 0.88). The TANK model performed best in the mixed-use Wonbu-gyo basin (NSE = 0.82, R2 = 0.83), whereas PRMS showed a systematic tendency to underestimate streamflow, especially under high-flow and low-flow conditions. Statistical comparisons using Friedman and post hoc Dunn tests confirmed that performance differences among models were statistically significant (p < 0.001). Overall, the results demonstrate that hydrological model performance strongly depends on watershed characteristics and provide a quantitative and statistically supported basis for selecting appropriate runoff simulation models according to basin type. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Application of Hydrological Modelling to Water Resources Management)
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25 pages, 6277 KB  
Article
Enhancing Hydrological Model Calibration for Flood Prediction in Dam-Regulated Basins with Satellite-Derived Reservoir Dynamics
by Chaoqun Li, Huan Wu, Lorenzo Alfieri, Yiwen Mei, Nergui Nanding, Zhijun Huang, Ying Hu and Lei Qu
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(2), 193; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18020193 - 6 Jan 2026
Viewed by 96
Abstract
The construction and operation of reservoirs have made hydrological processes complex, posing challenges to flood modeling. While many hydrological models have incorporated reservoir operation schemes to improve discharge estimation, the influence of reservoir representation on model calibration has not been sufficiently evaluated—an issue [...] Read more.
The construction and operation of reservoirs have made hydrological processes complex, posing challenges to flood modeling. While many hydrological models have incorporated reservoir operation schemes to improve discharge estimation, the influence of reservoir representation on model calibration has not been sufficiently evaluated—an issue that fundamentally affects the spatial reliability of distributed modeling. Additionally, the limited availability of reservoir regulation data impedes dam-inclusive flood simulation. To overcome these limitations, this study proposes a synergistic modeling framework for data-scarce dammed basins. It integrates a satellite-based reservoir operation scheme into a distributed hydrological model and incorporates reservoir processes into the model calibration procedure. The framework was tested using the coupled version of the DRIVE flood model (DRIVE-Dam) in the Nandu River Basin, southern China. Two calibration configurations, with and without dam operation (CWD vs. CWOD), were compared. Results show that reservoir dynamics were effectively reconstructed by combining satellite altimetry with FABDEM topography, successfully supporting the development of the reservoir scheme. Multi-site comparisons indicate that, while CWD slightly improved streamflow estimation (NSE and KGE > 0.75, similar to CWOD) on the calibrated outlet gauge, it enhanced basin-internal process representation, as evidenced by the superior peak discharge and flood event capture with reduced bias, boosting flood detection probability from 0.54 to 0.60 and reducing false alarms from 0.28 to 0.15. The improvements stem from refined parameterization enabled by a physically complete model structure. In contrast, CWOD leads to subdued flood impulses and prolonged recession due to spurious parameters that distort baseflow and runoff response. The proposed methodology provides a practical reference for flood forecasting in dam-regulated basins, demonstrating that reservoir representation enhances model parameterization and underscoring the strong potential of satellite observations for hydrological modeling in data-limited regions. Full article
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23 pages, 1761 KB  
Article
Developmental Change in Associations Between Mental Health and Academic Ability Across Grades in Adolescence: Evidence from IRT-Based Vertical Scaling
by Yuanqiu Ma, Youyou Duan, Yunxiao Qi, Ying Hu and Tour Liu
Behav. Sci. 2026, 16(1), 78; https://doi.org/10.3390/bs16010078 - 6 Jan 2026
Viewed by 65
Abstract
Adolescence is a critical period when rapid cognitive maturation coincides with heightened emotional vulnerability. This study examined the dynamic association between academic ability and mental health across early adolescence, focusing on vocabulary ability as a core indicator of academic ability. Using large-scale data [...] Read more.
Adolescence is a critical period when rapid cognitive maturation coincides with heightened emotional vulnerability. This study examined the dynamic association between academic ability and mental health across early adolescence, focusing on vocabulary ability as a core indicator of academic ability. Using large-scale data from Grades 1–12 (N = 13,412), a vertically scaled vocabulary ability scale was constructed based on Item Response Theory (IRT) and the Non-Equivalent Anchor Test (NEAT) design to achieve cross-grade comparability. Fixed-parameter calibration was then applied to an independent cross-sectional sample of middle school students (Grades 7–9, N = 401) in Tianjin, combined with the DASS-21 to assess internalizing symptoms (depression, anxiety, stress). Hierarchical multiple regression analyses revealed that higher vocabulary ability was significantly associated with lower levels of depression, anxiety, and stress, with the negative association strongest in Grade 8. The present study provides new empirical evidence for understanding the interactive mechanisms between academic and psychological development during adolescence. Methodologically, the study demonstrates the value of IRT-based vertical scaling in establishing developmentally interpretable metrics for educational and psychological assessment. Full article
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