Search Results (127)

The interconnections among water, energy, and food (WEF) systems are growing increasingly complex, making it essential to understand their evolutionary mechanisms and coordination barriers to enhance regional resilience and sustainability. In this study, we investigated the WEF system in Northeast China by constructing a comprehensive indicator system encompassing resource endowment and utilization efficiency. The coupling coordination degree (CCD) of the WEF system was quantitatively assessed from 2001 to 2022. An obstacle degree model was employed to identify key constraints, while grey relational analysis was used to evaluate the driving influence of individual indicators. Furthermore, a co-evolution model based on logistic growth and competition–cooperation dynamics was developed to simulate system interactions. The results reveal the following: (1) the regional WEF-CCD increased from 0.627 in 2001 to 0.769 in 2022, reaching the intermediate coordination level, with the CCDs of the food, water, and energy subsystems rising from 0.39 to 0.62, 0.38 to 0.60, and 0.40 to 0.55, respectively, highlighting that the food subsystem had the most stable and significant improvement; (2) Jilin Province attained the highest WEF-CCD, 0.850, in 2022, while that for Heilongjiang remained the lowest, at 0.715, indicating substantial interprovincial disparities; (3) key indicators, such as food self-sufficiency rate, electricity generation, and ecological water use, functioned as both core constraints and major drivers of system performance; (4) co-evolution modeling revealed that the food subsystem exhibited the fastest growth, followed by water and energy (${\alpha }_3$ >${ \alpha }_1$ > ${ \alpha }_2$ > 0), with mutual promotion between water and energy subsystems and inhibitory effects from the food subsystem, ultimately converging toward a stable equilibrium state; and (5) interprovincial co-evolution modeling indicated that Jilin leads in WEF system development, followed by Liaoning and Heilongjiang, with predominantly cooperative interactions among provinces driving convergence toward a stable and coordinated equilibrium despite structural asymmetries. This study proposes a transferable, multi-method analytical framework for evaluating WEF coordination, offering practical insights into bottlenecks, key drivers, and co-evolutionary dynamics for sustainable resource governance. Full article

The South-to-North Water Diversion Project constitutes a fundamental initiative designed to enhance water resource distribution and foster regional coordinated development. To investigate the coupling coordination and its spatiotemporal evolution between high-quality development and ecological security (HQD-ES) within the project’s water source areas, this research established a dedicated evaluation index system. Employing coupling coordination, spatial autocorrelation, and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) models, the study analyzed the coupled coordination state and its spatiotemporal characteristics across these water source areas for the period 2010–2023. The findings demonstrated that (1) the high-quality development trend remained generally positive, rising from 0.253 to 0.377; ecological safety level showed sustained improvement, increasing from 0.365 to 0.731. (2) The coupling degree (CD) was in a high coupling stage on the whole; the coupling coordination degree (CCD) increased significantly, from imminent imbalance to good coordination state, and the space pattern showed “prominent in the middle and stable in the north and south”. (3) There was no obvious spatial correlation existing between the CCD of HQD-ES in Nanyang City. Tongba, Fangcheng, and Xinye displayed spatial correlation characteristics of low-high aggregation and high-low aggregation. GWR results showed that industrial structure, urbanization, and greening level promoted CCD, while economic level, population density, and environmental regulation inhibited it. Full article

Rapid urbanization and climate extremes expose cities to multi-dimensional risks, necessitating the coordinated development of new urbanization and urban resilience for achieving urban sustainability. While existing studies focus on core economic zones like the Yangtze River Delta, secondary economic cooperation regions remain understudied. This study examined the Huaihai Economic Zone (HEZ)—a quadri-provincial border area—by constructing the evaluation systems for new urbanization and urban resilience. The development indices of the two systems were measured using the entropy weight-CRITIC method. The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of their coupling coordination degree (CCD) were analyzed through a CCD model, while key driving factors influencing the CCD were investigated using a grey relational analysis model. The results indicated that both the new urbanization construction and urban resilience development indices in the HEZ exhibited a steady upward trend during the study period, with the urban resilience development index surpassing the new urbanization construction index. The new urbanization index increased from 0.3026 (2013) to 0.4702 (2023), and the urban resilience index increased from 0.3520 (2013) to 0.6366 (2023). The CCD between new urbanization and urban resilience reached 0.7368 by 2023, with 80% of cities in the HEZ achieving good coordination types. The variation of the CCD among cities was minimal, revealing a spatially clustered coordinated development pattern. In terms of driving factors, economic development level, public service capacity, and municipal resilience level were identified as core drivers for enhancing coupling coordination. Infrastructure construction, digital capabilities, and spatial intensification served as important supports, while ecological governance capacity remained a weakness. This study establishes a transferable framework for the coordinated development of secondary economic cooperation region, though future research should integrate diverse data sources and expand indicator coverage for higher precision. Moreover, the use of linear models to analyze the key driving factors of the CCD has limitations. The incorporation of non-linear techniques can better elucidate the complex interactions among factors. Full article

Rapid urbanization worldwide has led to ecological challenges, undermining eco-environmental resilience (EER). Understanding the coupling coordination between new-type urbanization (NTU) and EER is critical for achieving sustainable urban development. This study investigates the Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Circle using the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model to evaluate NTU-EER coordination levels and their spatiotemporal evolution. A random forest (RF) model, interpreted with Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Partial Dependence Plot (PDP) algorithms, explores nonlinear driving mechanisms, while Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) assesses drivers’ spatiotemporal heterogeneity. The results reveal the following: (1) NTU and EER levels steadily improved from 2004 to 2022, although coordination between cities still requires enhancement; (2) CCD exhibited a temporal pattern of “progressive escalation and continuous optimization,” and a spatial pattern of “dual-core leadership and regional diffusion,” with most cities shifting from NTU-lagged to synchronized development; (3) environmental regulations (MAR) and fixed asset investment (FIX) emerged as the most influential CCD drivers, and significant nonlinear interactions were observed, particularly those involving population size (HUM); (4) CCD drivers exhibited complex spatiotemporal heterogeneity, characterized by “stage dominance—marginal variation—spatial mismatch.” These findings enrich existing research and offer policy insights to enhance coordinated development in the Chengdu–Chongqing Economic Circle. Full article

The evolutionary patterns and influencing factors of the coupling coordination among multiple functions of cultivated land serve as an important basis for emphasizing the value of cultivated land utilization and promoting coordinated regional development. The entropy weight TOPSIS model, coupling coordination degree (CCD) model, spatial autocorrelation analysis, and Geodetector were employed in this study along with panel data from 125 cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) for 2010, 2015, 2020, and 2022. Three key aspects in the region were investigated: the spatiotemporal evolution of cultivated land functions, characteristics of coupling coordination, and their underlying influencing factors. The results show the following: (1) The functions of cultivated land for food production, social support, and ecological maintenance are within the ranges of [0.023, 0.460], [0.071, 0.451], and [0.134, 0.836], respectively. The grain production function (GPF) shows a continuous increase, the social carrying function (SCF) first decreases and then increases, and the ecological maintenance function (EMF) first increases and then decreases. Spatially, these functions exhibit non-equilibrium characteristics: the grain production function is higher in the central and eastern regions and lower in the western region; the social support function is higher in the eastern and western regions and lower in the central region; and the ecological maintenance function is higher in the central and eastern regions and lower in the western region. (2) The coupling coordination degree of multiple functions of cultivated land is within the range of [0.158, 0.907], forming a spatial pattern where the eastern region takes the lead, the central region is rising, and the western region is catching up. (3) Moran’s I index increased from 0.376 in 2010 to 0.437 in 2022, indicating that the spatial agglomeration of the cultivated land multifunctionality coupling coordination degree has been continuously strengthening over time. (4) The spatial evolution of the coupling coordination of cultivated land multifunctionality is mainly influenced by the average elevation and average slope. However, the explanatory power of socioeconomic factors is continuously increasing. Interaction detection reveals characteristics of nonlinear enhancement or double-factor enhancement. The research results enrich the study of cultivated land multifunctionality and provide a decision-making basis for implementing the differentiated management of cultivated land resources and promoting mutual enhancement among different functions of cultivated land. Full article

The resilience of urban agglomerations (UAs) is recognized because of their ability to withstand, adapt to, and recover from natural disasters and social threats. However, limited information on the resilience of specific urban agglomerations may hinder their sustainable development. The emerging concept of Social–Ecological–Technological system (SETS) resilience presents a novel framework for understanding and evaluating the resilience of UAs. Taking the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei urban agglomeration (BTHUA) as a case study, we constructed a comprehensive resilience assessment framework. By incorporating the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model, modified gravity model, standard deviation ellipse, and obstacle degree model, we systematically evaluated the BTHUA’s SETS resilience. The results show that from 2010 to 2022, both the SETS resilience and its CCD in the BTHUA improved significantly. All the cities reached the coordination stage, with CCD values exceeding 0.6. The key cities enhanced their influence on the surrounding cities, resulting in a more robust and interconnected intercity resilience network. However, the BTHUA still confronts challenges in resource endowment, technological innovation, and public services, which warrant a more integrated and systematic approach to enhance regional SETS resilience. Full article

As human activities increasingly encroach on ecologically sensitive lake zones, China’s lake-ring urban agglomerations struggle to balance the intensifying human footprint (HF) and declining habitat quality (EQ). Addressing the spatiotemporal interactions between HF and EQ is essential for achieving human–environment coordination. This study examined five major freshwater lake-ring urban agglomerations in China during the period from 2000 to 2020 and developed an HF–EQ assessment framework. First, the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model quantified the spatiotemporal coupling between HF and EQ. Second, GeoDetector identified how HF and EQ interact to influence CCD. Finally, the four-quadrant static model and CCD change rate index formed a dual-dimensional management framework. The results indicate that the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of HF and EQ are highly complementary, exhibiting a significant coupling interaction. High-CCD zones expanded from lakeside urban areas and transport corridors, while low-CCD zones remained in remote, forested areas. HF factors such as GDP, land use intensity, and nighttime lights dominated CCD dynamics, while EQ-related factors showed increasing interaction effects. Five human–environment coordination zones were identified based on the static and dynamic characteristics of HF and EQ. Synergy efficiency zones had the highest coordination with diverse land use. Ecological conservation potential zones were found in low-disturbance hilly regions. Synergy restoration zones were concentrated in croplands and urban–rural fringe areas. Imbalance regulation zones were in forest areas under development pressure. Conflict alert zones were concentrated in urban cores, transport corridors, and lakeshore belts. These findings offer insights for global human–environment coordination in lake regions. Full article

As China’s economy shifts from rapid development to high-quality development, exploring the harmony between human activities and the ecological environment has become the focus of many scholars. As the center of human activities, urbanized areas have complex and diverse impacts on the ecological environment. Previous studies have mainly focused on highly urbanized areas of importance in China, and there are fewer studies covering all prefecture-level cities across the country. Therefore, this study measured the spatial and temporal characteristics of urbanization and eco-environment quality (EEQ) in all prefecture-level cities in China from 2000 to 2020 and explored the coupling coordination degree (CCD) relationship between urbanization and EEQ through the CCD model. The results showed that the average EEQ showed a fluctuating upward trend, with the southern and northeastern regions scoring significantly higher than the western and northern regions. In terms of spatial evolution, most prefecture-level cities had small changes in EEQ, with changes ranging from −0.05 to 0.05 per decade. The average urbanization showed a rapid increasing trend, spatially distributed with high values in the east and low values in the west. In the North China Plain and along the southeast coast, urbanization was concentrated in high-value areas, showing a trend of rapid growth. From 2000 to 2020, the average CCD between urbanization and EEQ showed a continuous increasing trend, from 0.32 to 0.37, indicating a medium imbalance. However, the proportion of low-coordination and moderate-coordination prefecture-level cities increased continuously, from 31.5% and 1.0% in 2000 to 35.3% and 1.9% in 2020, respectively. This indicates that Chinese urbanization efforts are constantly being optimized and moving toward the goal of sustainable development. The results of the study provide a scientific reference basis for coordinating the relationship between urbanization development and EEQ, and they support the formulation of policies for urbanization planning and high-quality economic development in China. Full article

This study investigates the coupling coordination between carbon emission efficiency (CEE) and carbon balance (CB) in the Yellow River Basin (YRB), aiming to support high-quality regional development and the realization of China’s “dual carbon” goals. Based on panel data from 74 cities in the YRB between 2006 and 2022, the Super-SBM model, Ecological Support Coefficient (ESC), and coupling coordination degree (CCD) model are applied to evaluate the synergy between CEE and CB. Spatiotemporal patterns and driving mechanisms are analyzed using kernel density estimation, Moran’s I index, the Dagum Gini coefficient, Markov chains, and the XGBoost algorithm. The results reveal a generally low and declining level of CCD, with the upstream and midstream regions performing better than the downstream. Spatial clustering is evident, characterized by significant positive autocorrelation and high-high or low-low clusters. Although regional disparities in CCD have narrowed slightly over time, interregional differences remain the primary source of variation. The likelihood of leapfrog development in CCD is limited, and high-CCD regions exhibit weak spillover effects. Forest coverage is identified as the most critical driver, significantly promoting CCD. Conversely, population density, urbanization, energy structure, and energy intensity negatively affect coordination. Economic development demonstrates a U-shaped relationship with CCD. Moreover, nonlinear interactions among forest coverage, population density, energy structure, and industrial enterprise scale further intensify the complexity of CCD. These findings provide important implications for enhancing regional carbon governance and achieving balanced ecological-economic development in the YRB. Full article

As a flagship city of China’s reform and opening-up policy and the core engine of the Guangdong–Hong Kong–Macao Greater Bay Area, Shenzhen faces dual challenges of economic development and ecological conservation during its rapid urbanization. This study systematically investigates the relationship between urbanization and ecological quality in this high-density megacity over the past three decades (1990–2020) using multi-temporal Landsat imagery, incorporating an enhanced Remote Sensing Ecological Index (RSEI), impervious surface extraction techniques, and a Coupling Coordination Degree (CCD) model. Key findings include: (1) Impervious surfaces expanded from 458.15 km² to 709.23 km², showing a tri-phase pattern of rapid expansion, steady infill, and slight contraction, with an annual growth rate of 1.47%; (2) Ecological quality exhibited a “decline-recovery” trajectory, with RSEI values decreasing from 0.477 (1990) to 0.429 (2000) before rebounding to 0.491 (2020), demonstrating phased ecological fluctuations and restoration; (3) The CCD between urbanization and ecological environment improved significantly from “marginal coordination” (0.548) to “primary coordination” (0.636), forming a distinct “west-high-east-low” spatial pattern with significant clustering effects. This study reveals a novel three-dimensional synergistic pathway (“industrial upgrading-spatial optimization-ecological restoration”) for sustainable development in megacities, establishing the “Shenzhen Paradigm” for ecological governance in rapidly urbanizing regions worldwide. Full article

Within China’s “Central China Rising” strategy, urban tourismification operates as a production mode that reconfigures spatial, economic, and ecological systems—mirroring global overtourism challenges seen in Barcelona and Venice, where rapid infrastructure development often prioritizes economic gains over ecological resilience (cf. Lines 43–46). This study examines 80 central Chinese cities (2010–2021), proposing the Urban Tourismification–Transportation Quality–Ecological Resilience System (UTTES) framework. Using entropy weighting, improved coupling coordination degree (CCD), GM (1,1) forecasting, and spatial Durbin models, we analyze coordination relationships, driving factors, and mechanisms. Key findings reveal the following: (1) UTTES coordination peaked in 2019 (pre-COVID), showing a spatial “center-periphery” gradient with provincial capitals leading. (2) Projections indicate transportation efficiency as a critical bottleneck—most cities will achieve good coordination post-2026. (3) Economic activity, social restructuring, and policy support drive the system, with spatial spillovers creating dual-path mechanisms (economic growth vs. manufacturing/environmental barriers). The UTTES framework advances a replicable methodology for diagnosing Tourism–Transportation–Ecology synergies in rapidly developing regions, integrating multidimensional indicators to balance environmental governance and tourism dynamics. Full article

During the advancement of modern rural construction, traditional villages in the Xinjiang Oasis face the problem that uncoordinated system development affects scientific development and protection. Therefore, this study derives and constructs a coupling framework for the “Ecology–Humanities–Technology” system. Taking 53 traditional villages in Xinjiang as research objects, it uses the comprehensive evaluation model, the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model, and the geographic detector model to reveal the coupling coordination relationships and driving factors of the “Ecology–Humanities–Technology” system. The research results provide reference for evaluation methods and theoretical guidance for the balanced development of traditional villages in arid regions such as the Xinjiang Oasis. The results show the following: (1) The majority of the traditional villages in the Xinjiang Oasis are in the mild imbalance stage (71.7%). (2) The CCD rankings in various regions of Xinjiang are as follows: eastern Xinjiang > southern Xinjiang > northern Xinjiang. Humanities and technology have significantly different impacts on the traditional villages in different regions. (3) The inheritance level of the technology dimension and other factors are the main internal driving factors. The density of village road networks, the number of conservation and development projects, Baidu Index, and other factors are the main external driving factors. Nonlinear enhancement interaction effects are significant. Full article

Historic cities face a dual challenge of preserving cultural authenticity and adapting to modern urbanization, yet existing studies often overlook the multidimensional coupling mechanisms critical for sustainable urban renewal. This research has proposed a replicable framework to balance heritage conservation, ecological restoration, and pedestrian mobility. Focusing on the historic city of Shenyang, this study evaluated spatial dynamics via the Walkability Index (WI), Green View Index (GVI), and Cultural Heritage Index (CHI), and quantified their coupling coordination patterns. Multisource datasets including OpenStreetMap road networks, POIs, and Baidu street-view imagery were integrated. A Coupling Coordination Degree (CCD) model was developed to assess system interactions. Results revealed moderate overall walkability (WI = 42.66) with stark regional disparities, critically low greening (GVI = 10.14%), and polarized heritage distribution (CHI = 18.73) in Shenyang historic city. Tri-system coupling was moderate (CCD = 0.409–0.608), constrained by green-heritage disconnects in key districts. This work could contribute to interdisciplinary discourse by bridging computational modeling with human-centric urban design, providing scalable insights for global historic cities. Full article

Under China’s “dual-carbon” goal, it is necessary to coordinate the relationship between economic growth and emission reduction. Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2021, this paper explores the coordination level among carbon cutting (CC), pollution reduction (PR), and economic growth (EG) by using the coupling coordination degree (CCD) model, a cold and hot spot analysis, and the Dagum Gini coefficient. Furthermore, we analyze the influencing factors of CCD from a spatial perspective using the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model. The results show that the coordination level of CC, PR, and EG in China has continued to improve and entered a moderately coordinated stage. Meanwhile, regional differences are also evident. The eastern region is a high-CCD concentration area, while the northwest and northeast regions are low-CCD concentration areas. However, inter-regional differences in CCD are decreasing. Urbanization, foreign direct investment, and new quality productive forces contribute significantly to achieving synergies among CC, PR, and EG. However, the effect of industry digitization on CCD fails the significance test in most provinces. The effects of the factors on CCD exhibit obvious spatial heterogeneity characteristics. These findings can provide an important basis for the formulation of regionally differentiated green and low-carbon development policies. Full article

The coupling coordination relationship between cultivated land and water resources in arid regions is crucial for ecological security and sustainable food production. This study explores the interaction between these resources to optimize the allocation of water–land resources, ecological resources, and agricultural resources and promote synergistic development. Taking the Turpan–Hami Basin as a case study, this research analyzed the utilization efficiency of cultivated land and agricultural water resources from 2000 to 2023 using a super-efficiency SBM-DEA model. A coupling coordination degree model was constructed to evaluate their coordinated development level, with spatial autocorrelation and other methods used to examine spatiotemporal patterns. Key findings include: (1) The overall utilization efficiency of both resources was relatively low, with mean values of 0.516 and 0.596, showing a fluctuating upward trend and significant spatial heterogeneity; (2) The mean coupling coordination degree (CCD) ranked as follows: Barkol Kazakh Autonomous County (0.587) > Yiwu County (0.563) > Gaochang District (0.494) > Shanshan County (0.437) > Tuokexun County (0.417) > Yizhou District (0.342), with an annual growth rate of 4.6%; (3) Regional disparities were dominated by intra-regional differences (42.0%), followed by transvariation density (30.64%). This study provides scientific evidence for optimizing resource allocation in arid regions. Full article