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21 pages, 2476 KB  
Article
Energy-Model-Based Global Path Planning for Pure Electric Commercial Vehicles Toward 3D Environments
by Kexue Lai, Dongye Sun, Binhao Xu, Feiya Li, Yunfei Liu, Guangliang Liao and Junhang Jian
Machines 2025, 13(12), 1151; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13121151 - 17 Dec 2025
Viewed by 85
Abstract
Traditional path planning methods primarily optimize distance or time, without fully considering the impact of slope gradients in park road networks, variations in vehicle load capacity, and braking energy recovery characteristics on the energy consumption of pure electric commercial vehicles. To address these [...] Read more.
Traditional path planning methods primarily optimize distance or time, without fully considering the impact of slope gradients in park road networks, variations in vehicle load capacity, and braking energy recovery characteristics on the energy consumption of pure electric commercial vehicles. To address these issues, this paper proposes a globally optimized path planning method based on energy consumption minimization. The proposed method introduces a multi-factor coupled energy consumption model for pure electric commercial vehicles, integrating slope gradients, load capacity, motor efficiency, and energy recovery. Using this vehicle energy consumption model and the park road network topology map, an energy consumption topology map representing energy consumption between any two nodes is constructed. An energy-optimized improved ant colony optimization algorithm (E-IACO) is proposed. By introducing an exponential energy consumption heuristic factor and an enhanced pheromone update mechanism, it prioritizes energy-saving path exploration, thereby effectively identifying the optimal energy consumption path within the constructed energy consumption topology map. Simulation results demonstrate that in typical three-dimensional industrial park scenarios, the proposed energy-optimized path planning method achieves maximum reductions of 10.57% and 4.90% compared to the A* algorithm and ant colony optimization (ACO), respectively, with average reductions of 5.14% and 1.97%. It exhibits excellent stability and effectiveness across varying load capacities. This research provides a reliable theoretical framework and technical support for reducing logistics operational costs in industrial parks and enhancing the economic efficiency of pure electric commercial vehicles. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Vehicle Engineering)
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26 pages, 9232 KB  
Article
Integrating Remote Sensing, Machine Learning, and Degree-Day Models for Predicting Grasshopper Habitat Suitability in Temperate Grasslands
by Raza Ahmed, Wenjiang Huang, Yingying Dong, Zeenat Dildar, Hafiz Adnan Ashraf, Zahid Ur Rahman and Alua Rysbekova
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(24), 3955; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17243955 - 7 Dec 2025
Viewed by 194
Abstract
China’s extensive grasslands are ecologically and economically vital but are increasingly degraded by grasshopper outbreaks. Traditional monitoring approaches are too limited for large-scale management. This study developed an advanced monitoring framework for the Xilingol League by integrating multi-source remote sensing, a degree-day model, [...] Read more.
China’s extensive grasslands are ecologically and economically vital but are increasingly degraded by grasshopper outbreaks. Traditional monitoring approaches are too limited for large-scale management. This study developed an advanced monitoring framework for the Xilingol League by integrating multi-source remote sensing, a degree-day model, and machine learning (ML). Field survey data from 2018 to 2023 were combined with 29 environmental variables aligned to grasshopper life stages. Four ML algorithms—Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), and Logistic Regression (LR)—were evaluated for predictive performance. RF consistently outperformed other models, achieving the highest accuracy and robustness. Spatial autocorrelation analysis (Global Moran’s I) confirmed that grasshopper distributions were persistently clustered across all years, highlighting non-random outbreak patterns. Suitability mapping showed highly suitable habitats concentrated in East Ujumqin, West Ujumqin, and Xilinhot, with pronounced interannual variability, including a peak in 2022. Variable importance analysis identified soil type and vegetation type as dominant universal drivers, while precipitation, soil texture, and humidity exerted region-specific effects. These findings demonstrate that coupling biologically informed indicators with integrated learning provides ecologically interpretable and scalable predictions of outbreak risk. The framework offers a robust basis for early warning and targeted management, advancing sustainable pest control and grassland conservation. Full article
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23 pages, 5828 KB  
Article
Landslide Risk Assessment in the Xiluodu Reservoir Area Using an Integrated Certainty Factor–Logistic Regression Model
by Jing Fan, Yusufujiang Meiliya and Shunchuan Wu
Geomatics 2025, 5(4), 59; https://doi.org/10.3390/geomatics5040059 - 24 Oct 2025
Viewed by 430
Abstract
The southwestern region of China is highly susceptible to landslides due to steep terrain, fractured geology, and intense rainfall. This study focuses on the Xiluodu Reservoir area in Yunnan Province and applies Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques together with ten key spatial factors—such [...] Read more.
The southwestern region of China is highly susceptible to landslides due to steep terrain, fractured geology, and intense rainfall. This study focuses on the Xiluodu Reservoir area in Yunnan Province and applies Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques together with ten key spatial factors—such as slope, lithology, elevation, and distance to rivers—to perform a quantitative landslide risk assessment. In addition to the individual Certainty Factor (CF) and Logistic Regression (LR) models, we developed an integrated CF–LR coupled model to overcome their respective limitations: the CF model’s sensitivity to specific factor attributes but neglect of factor interactions, and the LR model’s robust weight estimation but weak representation of attribute heterogeneity. By combining these strengths, the CF–LR model achieved superior predictive performance (AUC = 0.804), successfully capturing 92.5% of historical landslide events within moderate-to-high risk zones. The results show that lithology, slope angle, and proximity to rivers and roads are dominant controls on susceptibility, with landslides concentrated on soft rock slopes of 30–40° and within 600–900 m of rivers. Compared with previous coupled approaches in similar mountainous reservoir settings, our CF–LR model provides a more balanced and interpretable framework, enhancing both classification accuracy and practical applicability. These findings demonstrate that GIS-based CF–LR integration is a novel and reliable tool for landslide susceptibility mapping, offering important technical support for disaster prevention and risk management in large reservoir regions. Full article
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18 pages, 3428 KB  
Article
Farming on the Edge: The 10-Fold Deficit in Lombardy’s Agricultural Land
by Stefano Salata, Andrea Arcidiacono, Stefano Corsi, Chiara Mazzocchi, Alberto Fedalto and Domenico Riccobene
Land 2025, 14(11), 2112; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14112112 - 23 Oct 2025
Viewed by 891
Abstract
Lombardy is Italy’s leading region in primary agricultural production, yet it faces a significant decline in agricultural soil, primarily due to urban expansion. This land consumption largely affects arable areas, as land is repurposed for low-density residential developments, roads, logistics, and commercial or [...] Read more.
Lombardy is Italy’s leading region in primary agricultural production, yet it faces a significant decline in agricultural soil, primarily due to urban expansion. This land consumption largely affects arable areas, as land is repurposed for low-density residential developments, roads, logistics, and commercial or industrial hubs. The reduction in agricultural land threatens regional food security and increases dependency on external markets. This study determines the long-term sustainability of this trend by estimating the actual quantity of agricultural land required to satisfy the food demand of the region’s citizens. The research employed a two-part georeferenced analysis. First, a cross-tabulation matrix quantified the land consumption over two decades. Second, the Planning Forecasts Map was analyzed, coupled with new road projects, to estimate future potential land consumption embedded in Land Use Plans (PGT). Finally, food consumption was converted into the required hectares of agricultural land per capita and compared to the current stock of agricultural land to quantify the deficit by municipality. The dramatic spatial deficit confirms that the current trajectory of land consumption is unsustainable, leaving Lombardy’s food security highly dependent on imports. While regional laws have reduced planned urbanization, the limitation of land take remains far from the goals. The results highlight the urgent need for effective compensatory measures and mitigation strategies that account for the true magnitude and spatial distribution of the agricultural land deficit, particularly in the most critical urban and peri-urban areas. Full article
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22 pages, 3513 KB  
Article
Tightly-Coupled Air-Ground Collaborative System for Autonomous UGV Navigation in GPS-Denied Environments
by Jiacheng Deng, Jierui Liu and Jiangping Hu
Drones 2025, 9(9), 614; https://doi.org/10.3390/drones9090614 - 31 Aug 2025
Viewed by 1482
Abstract
Autonomous navigation for unmanned vehicles in complex, unstructured environments remains challenging, especially in GPS-denied or obstacle-dense scenarios, limiting their practical deployment in logistics, inspection, and emergency response applications. To overcome these limitations, this paper presents a tightly integrated air-ground collaborative system comprising three [...] Read more.
Autonomous navigation for unmanned vehicles in complex, unstructured environments remains challenging, especially in GPS-denied or obstacle-dense scenarios, limiting their practical deployment in logistics, inspection, and emergency response applications. To overcome these limitations, this paper presents a tightly integrated air-ground collaborative system comprising three key components: (1) an aerial perception module employing a YOLOv8-based vision system onboard the UAV to generate real-time global obstacle maps; (2) a low-latency communication module utilizing FAST DDS middleware for reliable air-ground data transmission; and (3) a ground navigation module implementing an A* algorithm for optimal path planning coupled with closed-loop control for precise trajectory execution. The complete system was physically implemented using cost-effective hardware and experimentally validated in cluttered environments. Results demonstrated successful UGV autonomous navigation and obstacle avoidance relying exclusively on UAV-provided environmental data. The proposed framework offers a practical, economical solution for enabling robust UGV operations in challenging real-world conditions, with significant potential for diverse industrial applications. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Artificial Intelligence in Drones (AID))
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25 pages, 4047 KB  
Article
Vulnerability Analysis of the China Railway Express Network Under Emergency Scenarios
by Huiyong Li, Wenlu Zhou, Laijun Zhao, Lixin Zhou and Pingle Yang
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8205; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158205 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 781
Abstract
In the context of globalization and the Belt and Road Initiative, maintaining the stability and security of the China Railway Express network (CRN) is critical for international logistics operations. However, unexpected events can lead to node and edge failures within the CRN, potentially [...] Read more.
In the context of globalization and the Belt and Road Initiative, maintaining the stability and security of the China Railway Express network (CRN) is critical for international logistics operations. However, unexpected events can lead to node and edge failures within the CRN, potentially triggering cascading failures that critically compromise network performance. This study introduces a Coupled Map Lattice model that incorporates cargo flow dynamics, distributing cargo based on distance and the residual capacity of neighboring nodes. We analyze cascading failures in the CRN under three scenarios, isolated node failure, isolated edge disruption, and simultaneous node and edge failure, to assess the network’s vulnerability during emergencies. Our findings show that deliberate attacks targeting cities with high node strength result in more significant damage than attacks on cities with a high node degree or betweenness. Additionally, when edges are disrupted by unexpected events, the impact of edge removals on cascading failures depends on their strategic position and connections within the network, not just their betweenness and weight. The study further reveals that removing collinear edges can effectively slow the propagation of cascading failures in response to deliberate attacks. Furthermore, a single-factor cargo flow allocation method significantly enhances the network’s resilience against edge failures compared to node failures. These insights provide practical guidance and strategic support for the CR Express in mitigating the effects of both unforeseen events and intentional attacks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Transportation and Future Mobility)
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22 pages, 4034 KB  
Article
Dual-Layer Fusion Model Using Bayesian Optimization for Asphalt Pavement Condition Index Prediction
by Jun Hao, Zhaoyun Sun, Zhenzhen Xing, Lili Pei and Xin Feng
Sensors 2025, 25(8), 2616; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25082616 - 20 Apr 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 998
Abstract
To address the technical limitations of traditional pavement performance prediction models in capturing temporal features and analyzing multi-factor coupling, this study proposes a Bayesian Optimization Dual-Layer Feature Fusion Model (BO-DLFF). The framework integrates heterogeneous data streams from embedded strain sensors, temperature/humidity monitoring nodes, [...] Read more.
To address the technical limitations of traditional pavement performance prediction models in capturing temporal features and analyzing multi-factor coupling, this study proposes a Bayesian Optimization Dual-Layer Feature Fusion Model (BO-DLFF). The framework integrates heterogeneous data streams from embedded strain sensors, temperature/humidity monitoring nodes, and weigh-in-motion (WIM) systems, combined with pavement distress detection and historical maintenance records. A dual-stage feature selection mechanism (BP-MIV/RF-RFECV) is developed to identify 12 critical predictors from multi-modal sensor measurements, effectively resolving dimensional conflicts between static structural parameters and dynamic operational data. The model architecture adopts a dual-layer fusion design: the lower layer captures statistical patterns and temporal–spatial dependencies from asynchronous sensor time-series through Local Cascade Ensemble (LCE) ensemble learning and improved TCN-Transformer networks; the upper layer implements feature fusion using a Stacking framework with logistic regression as the meta-learner. BO is introduced to simultaneously optimize network hyperparameters and feature fusion coefficients. The experimental results demonstrate that the model achieves a prediction accuracy of R2 = 0.9292 on an 8-year observation dataset, effectively revealing the non-linear mapping relationship between the Pavement Condition Index (PCI) and multi-source heterogeneous features. The framework demonstrates particular efficacy in correlating high-frequency strain gauge responses with long-term performance degradation, providing mechanistic insights into pavement deterioration processes. This methodology advances infrastructure monitoring through the intelligent synthesis of IoT-enabled sensing systems and empirical inspection data. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Intelligent Sensors)
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27 pages, 5567 KB  
Article
Logistics Hub Surveillance: Optimizing YOLOv3 Training for AI-Powered Drone Systems
by Georgios Tepteris, Konstantinos Mamasis and Ioannis Minis
Logistics 2025, 9(2), 45; https://doi.org/10.3390/logistics9020045 - 24 Mar 2025
Viewed by 1239
Abstract
Background: Integrating artificial intelligence in unmanned aerial vehicle systems may enhance the surveillance process of outdoor expansive areas, which are typical in logistics facilities. In this work, we propose methods to optimize the training of such high-performing systems. Methods: Specifically, we [...] Read more.
Background: Integrating artificial intelligence in unmanned aerial vehicle systems may enhance the surveillance process of outdoor expansive areas, which are typical in logistics facilities. In this work, we propose methods to optimize the training of such high-performing systems. Methods: Specifically, we propose a novel approach to tune the training hyperparameters of the YOLOv3 model to improve high-altitude object detection. Typically, the tuning process requires significant computational effort to train the model under numerous combinations of hyperparameters. To address this challenge, the proposed approach systematically searches the hyperparameter space while reducing computational requirements. The latter is achieved by estimating model performance from early terminating training sessions. Results: The results reveal the value of systematic hyperparameter tuning; indicatively, model performance varied more than 13% in terms of mean average precision (mAP), depending on the hyperparameter setting. Also, the early training termination method saved over 90% of training time. Conclusions: The proposed method for searching the hyperparameter space, coupled with early estimation of model performance, supports the development of highly efficient models for UAV-based surveillance of logistics facilities. The proposed approach also identifies the effects of hyperparameters and their interactions on model performance. Full article
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33 pages, 24705 KB  
Review
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles for Real-Time Vegetation Monitoring in Antarctica: A Review
by Kaelan Lockhart, Juan Sandino, Narmilan Amarasingam, Richard Hann, Barbara Bollard and Felipe Gonzalez
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(2), 304; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17020304 - 16 Jan 2025
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 4020
Abstract
The unique challenges of polar ecosystems, coupled with the necessity for high-precision data, make Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) an ideal tool for vegetation monitoring and conservation studies in Antarctica. This review draws on existing studies on Antarctic UAV vegetation mapping, focusing on their [...] Read more.
The unique challenges of polar ecosystems, coupled with the necessity for high-precision data, make Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) an ideal tool for vegetation monitoring and conservation studies in Antarctica. This review draws on existing studies on Antarctic UAV vegetation mapping, focusing on their methodologies, including surveyed locations, flight guidelines, UAV specifications, sensor technologies, data processing techniques, and the use of vegetation indices. Despite the potential of established Machine-Learning (ML) classifiers such as Random Forest, K Nearest Neighbour, and Support Vector Machine, and gradient boosting in the semantic segmentation of UAV-captured images, there is a notable scarcity of research employing Deep Learning (DL) models in these extreme environments. While initial studies suggest that DL models could match or surpass the performance of established classifiers, even on small datasets, the integration of these advanced models into real-time navigation systems on UAVs remains underexplored. This paper evaluates the feasibility of deploying UAVs equipped with adaptive path-planning and real-time semantic segmentation capabilities, which could significantly enhance the efficiency and safety of mapping missions in Antarctica. This review discusses the technological and logistical constraints observed in previous studies and proposes directions for future research to optimise autonomous drone operations in harsh polar conditions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Antarctic Remote Sensing Applications (Second Edition))
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17 pages, 20963 KB  
Article
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Based on Ensemble Learning in the Jiuzhaigou Region, Sichuan, China
by Bangsheng An, Zhijie Zhang, Shenqing Xiong, Wanchang Zhang, Yaning Yi, Zhixin Liu and Chuanqi Liu
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(22), 4218; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16224218 - 12 Nov 2024
Cited by 5 | Viewed by 2803
Abstract
Accurate landslide susceptibility mapping is vital for disaster forecasting and risk management. To address the problem of limited accuracy of individual classifiers and lack of model interpretability in machine learning-based models, a coupled multi-model framework for landslide susceptibility mapping is proposed. Using Jiuzhaigou [...] Read more.
Accurate landslide susceptibility mapping is vital for disaster forecasting and risk management. To address the problem of limited accuracy of individual classifiers and lack of model interpretability in machine learning-based models, a coupled multi-model framework for landslide susceptibility mapping is proposed. Using Jiuzhaigou County, Sichuan Province, as a case study, we developed an evaluation index system incorporating 14 factors. We employed three base models—logistic regression, support vector machine, and Gaussian Naive Bayes—assessed through four ensemble methods: Stacking, Voting, Bagging, and Boosting. The decision mechanisms of these models were explained via a SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis. Results demonstrate that integrating machine learning with ensemble learning and SHAP yields more reliable landslide susceptibility mapping and enhances model interpretability. This approach effectively addresses the challenges of unreliable landslide susceptibility mapping in complex environments. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing Data for Modeling and Managing Natural Disasters)
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12 pages, 1405 KB  
Article
Analytical Solutions of the Fractional Hirota–Satsuma Coupled KdV Equation along with Analysis of Bifurcation, Sensitivity and Chaotic Behaviors
by Yongyi Gu, Chunling Jiang and Yongkang Lai
Fractal Fract. 2024, 8(10), 585; https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract8100585 - 3 Oct 2024
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 1509
Abstract
This paper explores the exact solutions of the fractional Hirota–Satsuma coupled KdV (fHScKdV) equation in the Beta fractional derivative. The logistic method is first proposed to construct analytical solutions for the fHScKdV equation. In order to better comprehend the physical structure of the [...] Read more.
This paper explores the exact solutions of the fractional Hirota–Satsuma coupled KdV (fHScKdV) equation in the Beta fractional derivative. The logistic method is first proposed to construct analytical solutions for the fHScKdV equation. In order to better comprehend the physical structure of the solutions, three-dimensional visualizations and line graphs of the exponent function solutions are depicted with the aid of Matlab. Furthermore, the phase portraits and bifurcation behaviors of the fHScKdV model under transformation are studied. Sensitivity and chaotic behaviors are analyzed in specific conditions. The phase plots and time series map are exhibited through sensitivity analysis and perturbation factors. These investigations enhance our understanding of practical phenomena governed by the fHScKdV model, and are crucial for examining the dynamic behaviors and phase portraits of the fHScKdV system. The strategies utilized here are more direct and effective, and can be applied effortlessly to other fractional order differential equations. Full article
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22 pages, 8715 KB  
Article
Study on Landslide Susceptibility Based on Multi-Model Coupling: A Case Study of Sichuan Province, China
by Jinming Zhang, Jianxi Qian, Yuefeng Lu, Xueyuan Li and Zhenqi Song
Sustainability 2024, 16(16), 6803; https://doi.org/10.3390/su16166803 - 8 Aug 2024
Cited by 22 | Viewed by 2716
Abstract
Landslides are among the most prevalent geological hazards and are characterized by their high frequency, significant destructive potential, and considerable incident rate. Annually, these events lead to substantial casualties and property losses. Thus, conducting landslide susceptibility assessments in the regions vulnerable to such [...] Read more.
Landslides are among the most prevalent geological hazards and are characterized by their high frequency, significant destructive potential, and considerable incident rate. Annually, these events lead to substantial casualties and property losses. Thus, conducting landslide susceptibility assessments in the regions vulnerable to such hazards has become crucial. In recent years, the coupling of traditional statistical methods with machine learning techniques has shown significant advantages in assessing landslide risk. This study focused on Sichuan Province, China, a region characterized by its vast area and diverse climatic and geological conditions. We selected 13 influencing factors for the analysis: elevation, slope, aspect, plan curve, profile curve, valley depth, precipitation, the stream power index (SPI), the topographic wetness index (TWI), the topographic position index (TPI), surface roughness, fractional vegetation cover (FVC), and slope height. This study incorporated the certainty factor method (CF), the information value method (IV), and their coupling with the decision tree C5.0 model (DT) and a logistic regression model (LR) as follows: IV-LR, IV-DT, CF-LR, and CF-DT. The results, validated by an ROC curve analysis, demonstrate that the evaluation accuracy of all six models exceeded 0.750 (AUC > 0.750). The IV-LR model exhibited the highest accuracy, with an AUC of 0.848. When comparing the accuracy among the models, it is evident that the coupling models outperformed the individual statistical models. Based on the results of the six models, a landslide susceptibility map was generated, categorized into five levels. High and very high landslide risk zones are mainly concentrated in the eastern and southeastern regions, covering nearly half of Sichuan Province. Medium-risk areas form linear distributions from northeast to southwest, occupying a smaller proportion of the area. Extremely low- and low-risk zones are predominantly located in the western and northwestern regions. The density of the landslide points increases with higher risk levels across the regions. This further validates the suitability of this research methodology for landslide susceptibility studies on a large scale. Consequently, this methodology can provide crucial insights for landslide prevention and mitigation efforts in this region. Full article
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20 pages, 18214 KB  
Article
Optimized Landslide Susceptibility Mapping and Modelling Using the SBAS-InSAR Coupling Model
by Xueling Wu, Xiaoshuai Qi, Bo Peng and Junyang Wang
Remote Sens. 2024, 16(16), 2873; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16162873 - 6 Aug 2024
Cited by 13 | Viewed by 5570
Abstract
Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) can accurately estimate the location and probability of landslides. An effective approach for precise LSM is crucial for minimizing casualties and damage. The existing LSM methods primarily rely on static indicators, such as geomorphology and hydrology, which are closely [...] Read more.
Landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) can accurately estimate the location and probability of landslides. An effective approach for precise LSM is crucial for minimizing casualties and damage. The existing LSM methods primarily rely on static indicators, such as geomorphology and hydrology, which are closely associated with geo-environmental conditions. However, landslide hazards are often characterized by significant surface deformation. The Small Baseline Subset-Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology plays a pivotal role in detecting and characterizing surface deformation. This work endeavors to assess the accuracy of SBAS-InSAR coupled with ensemble learning for LSM. Within this research, the study area was Shiyan City, and 12 static evaluation factors were selected as input variables for the ensemble learning models to compute landslide susceptibility. The Random Forest (RF) model demonstrates superior accuracy compared to other ensemble learning models, including eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Logistic Regression, Gradient Boosting Decision Tree, and K-Nearest Neighbor. Furthermore, SBAS-InSAR was utilized to obtain surface deformation rates both in the vertical direction and along the line of sight of the satellite. The former is used as a dynamic characteristic factor, while the latter is combined with the evaluation results of the RF model to create a landslide susceptibility optimization matrix. Comparing the precision of two methods for refining LSM results, it was found that the method integrating static and dynamic factors produced a more rational and accurate landslide susceptibility map. Full article
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23 pages, 16272 KB  
Article
A Comparative Study of Susceptibility and Hazard for Mass Movements Applying Quantitative Machine Learning Techniques—Case Study: Northern Lima Commonwealth, Peru
by Edwin Badillo-Rivera, Manuel Olcese, Ramiro Santiago, Teófilo Poma, Neftalí Muñoz, Carlos Rojas-León, Teodosio Chávez, Luz Eyzaguirre, César Rodríguez and Fernando Oyanguren
Geosciences 2024, 14(6), 168; https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences14060168 - 14 Jun 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 2840
Abstract
This study addresses the importance of conducting mass movement susceptibility mapping and hazard assessment using quantitative techniques, including machine learning, in the Northern Lima Commonwealth (NLC). A previous exploration of the topographic variables revealed a high correlation and multicollinearity among some of them, [...] Read more.
This study addresses the importance of conducting mass movement susceptibility mapping and hazard assessment using quantitative techniques, including machine learning, in the Northern Lima Commonwealth (NLC). A previous exploration of the topographic variables revealed a high correlation and multicollinearity among some of them, which led to dimensionality reduction through a principal component analysis (PCA). Six susceptibility models were generated using weights of evidence, logistic regression, multilayer perceptron, support vector machine, random forest, and naive Bayes methods to produce quantitative susceptibility maps and assess the hazard associated with two scenarios: the first being El Niño phenomenon and the second being an earthquake exceeding 8.8 Mw. The main findings indicate that machine learning models exhibit excellent predictive performance for the presence and absence of mass movement events, as all models surpassed an AUC value of >0.9, with the random forest model standing out. In terms of hazard levels, in the event of an El Niño phenomenon or an earthquake exceeding 8.8 Mw, approximately 40% and 35% respectively, of the NLC area would be exposed to the highest hazard levels. The importance of integrating methodologies in mass movement susceptibility models is also emphasized; these methodologies include the correlation analysis, multicollinearity assessment, dimensionality reduction of variables, and coupling statistical models with machine learning models to improve the predictive accuracy of machine learning models. The findings of this research are expected to serve as a supportive tool for land managers in formulating effective disaster prevention and risk reduction strategies. Full article
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43 pages, 14404 KB  
Article
Multi-Scale Analysis of Lyme Disease Ecology
by Rebecca Michelle Bingham-Byrne and Esra Ozdenerol
Rheumato 2024, 4(2), 88-119; https://doi.org/10.3390/rheumato4020008 - 6 May 2024
Viewed by 2322
Abstract
Lyme disease is a zoonotic infectious disease. Increased public interest in Lyme disease has caused increased efforts by researchers for its surveillance and control. The main concept for this paper is to determine the mammalian species composition of areas at high risk for [...] Read more.
Lyme disease is a zoonotic infectious disease. Increased public interest in Lyme disease has caused increased efforts by researchers for its surveillance and control. The main concept for this paper is to determine the mammalian species composition of areas at high risk for Lyme disease utilizing GIS-based (Geographic Information Systems) techniques coupled with k-means clustering, random forest, and multinomial logistic regression. Cluster analysis results were similar to previous work involving maps that display areas where people are at high risk for developing Lyme disease. There were differences in which mammal species presence had associations with Lyme disease risk observed at the two different scales within this analysis, with some overlap observed between the national scale and the smaller regions, as well as some overlap between the Rocky Mountain and Southeast regions that was not found at the national scale. This is an investigative analysis to determine which species are needed for habitat suitability analyses in efforts to prioritize vaccine deployment locations. There has been limited research on vaccine deployment for Lyme disease. Increasing our understanding of not only the vaccine but also the interactions between the components of disease transmission is necessary to control this infectious disease successfully. Full article
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