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Search Results (189)

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Keywords = anthropogenic opportunities

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17 pages, 3160 KiB  
Article
Impacts of COVID-19-Induced Human Mobility Changes on Global Wildfire Activity
by Liqing Si, Wei Li, Mingyu Wang, Lifu Shu, Feng Chen, Fengjun Zhao, Pengle Cheng and Weike Li
Fire 2025, 8(7), 276; https://doi.org/10.3390/fire8070276 - 12 Jul 2025
Viewed by 572
Abstract
Wildfires critically affect ecosystems, carbon cycles, and public health. COVID-19 restrictions provided a unique opportunity to study human activity’s role in wildfire regimes. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of pandemic-induced wildfire regime changes across global fire-prone regions. Using MODIS data (2010–2022), we [...] Read more.
Wildfires critically affect ecosystems, carbon cycles, and public health. COVID-19 restrictions provided a unique opportunity to study human activity’s role in wildfire regimes. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of pandemic-induced wildfire regime changes across global fire-prone regions. Using MODIS data (2010–2022), we analyzed fire patterns during the pandemic (2020–2022) against pre-pandemic baselines. Key findings include: (a) A 22% global decline in wildfire hotspots during 2020–2022 compared to 2015–2019, with the most pronounced reduction occurring in 2022; (b) Contrasting regional trends: reduced fire activity in tropical zones versus intensified burning in boreal regions; (c) Stark national disparities, exemplified by Russia’s net increase of 59,990 hotspots versus Australia’s decrease of 60,380 in 2020; (d) Seasonal shifts characterized by December declines linked to mobility restrictions, while northern summer fires persisted due to climate-driven factors. Notably, although climatic factors predominantly govern fire regimes in northern latitudes, anthropogenic ignition sources such as agricultural burning and accidental fires substantially contribute to both fire incidence and associated emissions. The pandemic period demonstrated that while human activity restrictions reduced ignition sources in tropical regions, fire activity in boreal ecosystems during these years exhibited persistent correlations with climatic variables, reinforcing climate’s pivotal—though not exclusive—role in shaping fire regimes. This underscores the need for integrated wildfire management strategies that address both human and climatic factors through regionally tailored approaches. Future research should explore long-term shifts and adaptive management frameworks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Intelligent Forest Fire Prediction and Detection)
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12 pages, 5993 KiB  
Article
Quantifying Threats to Fish Biodiversity of the South Caspian Basin in Iran
by Gohar Aghaie, Asghar Abdoli and Thomas H. White
Diversity 2025, 17(7), 480; https://doi.org/10.3390/d17070480 - 11 Jul 2025
Viewed by 245
Abstract
The South Caspian Basin of Iran (SCBI), a vital ecosystem for unique and valuable fish species, is under severe threats due to anthropogenic activities that are rapidly deteriorating its fish biodiversity. The initial step to effectively combat or mitigate threats to biodiversity is [...] Read more.
The South Caspian Basin of Iran (SCBI), a vital ecosystem for unique and valuable fish species, is under severe threats due to anthropogenic activities that are rapidly deteriorating its fish biodiversity. The initial step to effectively combat or mitigate threats to biodiversity is to precisely identify these threats. While such threats are often categorized qualitatively, there is a lack of a comparative quantitative assessment of their severity. This means that although we may have a general understanding of the threats, we do not have a clear picture of how serious they are relative to one another. This study aimed to quantify and prioritize these threats using a modified quantitative “SWOT” (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis. Twenty multidisciplinary experts identified and evaluated 26 threats, and we used multivariate cluster analysis to categorize them as “High”, “Medium”, and “Low” based on their quantitative contributions to overall threat. Invasive non-native species and global warming emerged as the most significant threats, followed by resource exploitation, habitat destruction, and pollution. We then used this information to develop a “Situation Model” and “Results Chains” to guide responses to the threats. According to the Situation Model, these threats are interconnected, driven by factors such as population growth, unsustainable resource use, and climate change. To address these challenges, we propose the Results Chains, including two strategies focused on scientific research, land-use planning, public awareness, and community engagement. Prioritizing these actions is crucial for conserving the Caspian Sea’s unique fish fauna and ensuring the region’s ecological and economic sustainability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Animal Diversity)
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20 pages, 539 KiB  
Review
Positive Energy Districts Enabling Smart Energy Communities
by Dimitrios Siakas, Harjinder Rahanu, Elli Georgiadou, Kerstin Siakas and Georgios Lampropoulos
Energies 2025, 18(12), 3131; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18123131 - 14 Jun 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 517
Abstract
Energy transitions concentrated on a neighborhood or district scale represent a fairly new area of focus at the European (EU) level, aiming to combat future global warming and to reduce anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In the EU energy transition policy agenda, positive [...] Read more.
Energy transitions concentrated on a neighborhood or district scale represent a fairly new area of focus at the European (EU) level, aiming to combat future global warming and to reduce anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. In the EU energy transition policy agenda, positive energy districts (PEDs) refer to urban areas where more renewable/zero-emissions energy is produced annually than is consumed. PEDs have increasingly grown in recognition and significance, as a societal solution geared towards a low-carbon future. The relevant aims include the utilization of 100 PEDs by 2025 and alignment with the EU, which seeks to become a climate-neutral continent by 2050. However, this target raises questions regarding the means of achieving fast and consistent adoption across various socio-technical contexts. Defining the opportunities, challenges, and key issues to address short-term project timelines is vital to implementing fit-for-purpose solutions and bringing PEDs into the mainstream. Proactive knowledge sharing, adaptive learning, and collaboration across disciplines and sectors will bring know-how for understanding the requirements in different contexts. The need for practical approaches to facilitate PED implementation is crucial. This study aims to elucidate the opportunities for and barriers to successful PED design and implementation by compiling and synthesizing experiences from 61 PED projects, identifying key drivers, challenges, enablers, and ethical considerations. In addition, the authors present a framework, consisting of moral principles, which can help present the issues concerning the development and deployment of PED in an ethical context. Full article
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39 pages, 7808 KiB  
Review
Sustainable Solutions for Plastic Waste Mitigation in Sub-Saharan Africa: Challenges and Future Perspectives Review
by Comfort Yeboaa, Emmanuel Kweinor Tetteh, Martha Noro Chollom and Sudesh Rathilal
Polymers 2025, 17(11), 1521; https://doi.org/10.3390/polym17111521 - 29 May 2025
Viewed by 1113
Abstract
The anthropogenic deployment of plastic waste, especially petroleum-based plastics with toxic hydrocarbons, presents a significant environmental and health threat in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Herein, the high demand and rapid plastic production, coupled with improper disposal and inadequate waste management, have led to widespread [...] Read more.
The anthropogenic deployment of plastic waste, especially petroleum-based plastics with toxic hydrocarbons, presents a significant environmental and health threat in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Herein, the high demand and rapid plastic production, coupled with improper disposal and inadequate waste management, have led to widespread contamination of air, water, and soil. Conventionally, plastic waste management, such as incineration and recycling, provides limited long-term solutions to this growing crisis. This necessitates urgent, sustainable, and eco-friendly remediation techniques to mitigate its far-reaching environmental implications. This comprehensive review focused on sustainable and eco-friendly techniques by exploring strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats (SWOT) analysis of plastic waste management. Bioremediation techniques were found as potential solutions for addressing plastic waste in SSA. This paper examines advancements in physiochemical methods, the challenges in managing various plastic types, and the role of enzymatic and microbial consortia in enhancing biodegradation. It also explores the potential of genomic technologies and engineered microbial systems to convert plastic waste into valuable products, including bioenergy via bio-upcycling. These bioremediation strategies align with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs), offering a promising path to reduce the environmental and health impacts of plastic pollution in the region. This paper also considers future directions of integrating AI-powered recycling systems to facilitate the development of a circular economy in SSA. Additionally, this paper provides progress and future perspectives on bioremediation as a sustainable solution for plastic waste management in SSA. Full article
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19 pages, 1078 KiB  
Article
Ecological Assessment and SWOT–AHP Integration for Sustainable Management of a Mediterranean Freshwater Lake
by Olga Petriki and Dimitra C. Bobori
Sustainability 2025, 17(11), 4950; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17114950 - 28 May 2025
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 480
Abstract
The Mediterranean region is highly vulnerable to environmental and anthropogenic pressures, including climate change, which significantly affect its aquatic ecosystems, especially shallow lakes. This study examines the fish community and ecological quality of Lake Paralimni, a shallow mesotrophic lake in Central Greece that [...] Read more.
The Mediterranean region is highly vulnerable to environmental and anthropogenic pressures, including climate change, which significantly affect its aquatic ecosystems, especially shallow lakes. This study examines the fish community and ecological quality of Lake Paralimni, a shallow mesotrophic lake in Central Greece that experienced complete desiccation between 1991 and 1996. Using field surveys, fish species composition, abundance, and biomass were assessed, and the lake’s ecological quality was evaluated through the Greek Lake Fish Index (GLFI) alongside an integrated SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats) and AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) analysis. Six fish species from three families were recorded, predominantly native and endemic, with introduced species representing a minor fraction. While GLFI rated the lake’s quality as “Good,” other multi-metric indicators downgraded it to “Moderate”, highlighting the importance of comprehensive assessments. SWOT analysis revealed strengths such as high native biodiversity and legal protection under Natura 2000, but also weaknesses like fluctuating water levels and limited monitoring. Opportunities include sustainable fisheries and conservation efforts, while threats involve climate change, eutrophication, and illegal species introductions. AHP emphasized threats and weaknesses as top priorities. The study recommends hydrological regulation, invasive species control, and long-term monitoring for sustainable lake management and biodiversity conservation. Full article
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20 pages, 1644 KiB  
Review
Statistical Process Control in the Environmental Monitoring of Water Quality and Wastewaters: A Review
by Greicelene Jesus da Silva and Alisson Carraro Borges
Water 2025, 17(9), 1281; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17091281 - 25 Apr 2025
Viewed by 847
Abstract
Water and wastewater monitoring plays a fundamental role in understanding the impact of anthropogenic activities on natural systems. Statistical process control (SPC) is a technique, among other statistical methods, for controlling systems and improving quality, with early applications in water quality and wastewater [...] Read more.
Water and wastewater monitoring plays a fundamental role in understanding the impact of anthropogenic activities on natural systems. Statistical process control (SPC) is a technique, among other statistical methods, for controlling systems and improving quality, with early applications in water quality and wastewater monitoring. This study aims to clarify the basic concepts of the tool, study how it has been used in water and wastewater monitoring, and highlight the limitations and opportunities for research. SPC still needs necessary adaptations and considerations to deal with the limitations of environmental data, especially in open systems such as water bodies. Future research should explore suitable statistical parameters and chart options, which could represent financial savings and effectiveness in monitoring, as, to date, the choice of these parameters has been based on monitoring studies conducted at the industrial level, where the variability in the monitoring variables is easily controlled. Finally, the tool shows promise for potential use in extreme events, such as droughts, major floods, storms (cyclones), and catastrophic environmental incidents (such as dam bursts), as long as the analysis is supported by a base period. Full article
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98 pages, 22689 KiB  
Review
Gaps in Water Quality Modeling of Hydrologic Systems
by Lisa V. Lucas, Craig J. Brown, Dale M. Robertson, Nancy T. Baker, Zachary C. Johnson, Christopher T. Green, Se Jong Cho, Melinda L. Erickson, Allen C. Gellis, Jeramy R. Jasmann, Noah Knowles, Andreas F. Prein and Paul E. Stackelberg
Water 2025, 17(8), 1200; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17081200 - 16 Apr 2025
Viewed by 3329
Abstract
This review assesses gaps in water quality modeling, emphasizing opportunities to improve next-generation models that are essential for managing water quality and are integral to meeting goals of scientific and management agencies. In particular, this paper identifies gaps in water quality modeling capabilities [...] Read more.
This review assesses gaps in water quality modeling, emphasizing opportunities to improve next-generation models that are essential for managing water quality and are integral to meeting goals of scientific and management agencies. In particular, this paper identifies gaps in water quality modeling capabilities that, if addressed, could support assessments, projections, and evaluations of management alternatives to support ecosystem health and human beneficial use of water resources. It covers surface water and groundwater quality modeling, dealing with a broad suite of physical, biogeochemical, and anthropogenic drivers. Modeling capabilities for six constituents (or constituent categories) are explored: water temperature, salinity, nutrients, sediment, geogenic constituents, and contaminants of emerging concern. Each constituent was followed through the coupled atmospheric-hydrologic-human system, with prominent modeling gaps described for a diverse array of relevant inputs, processes, and human activities. Commonly identified modeling gaps primarily fall under three types: (1) model gaps, (2) data gaps, and (3) process understanding gaps. In addition to potential solutions for addressing specific individual modeling limitations, some broad approaches (e.g., enhanced data collection and compilation, machine learning, reduced-complexity modeling) are discussed as ways forward for tackling multiple gaps. This gap analysis establishes a framework of diverse approaches that may support improved process representation, scale, and accuracy of models for a wide range of water quality issues. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrology)
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29 pages, 1628 KiB  
Review
Carbon Sequestration Potential in Rubber Plantations: A Complementary Approach to Tropical Forest Conservation Strategies, a Review
by Joël Mobunda Tiko, Serge Shakanye Ndjadi, Jémima Lydie Obandza-Ayessa, Jean Pierre Mate Mweru, Baudouin Michel, Hans Beeckman, Olivia Lovanirina Rakotondrasoa and Jean Pierre Meniko To Hulu
Earth 2025, 6(2), 21; https://doi.org/10.3390/earth6020021 - 31 Mar 2025
Cited by 4 | Viewed by 2171
Abstract
The adverse effects of climate change, which are associated with the rise in greenhouse gases, impact all nations worldwide. In this context, tropical forests play a critical role in carbon sequestration. However, the significant anthropogenic pressure on these forests contributes to accelerated deforestation [...] Read more.
The adverse effects of climate change, which are associated with the rise in greenhouse gases, impact all nations worldwide. In this context, tropical forests play a critical role in carbon sequestration. However, the significant anthropogenic pressure on these forests contributes to accelerated deforestation and a decrease in their capacity to regulate the climate. This study uses a comprehensive review of 176 published scientific articles and reports to assess the carbon sequestration capacity of rubber plantations, comparing their effectiveness with that of natural tropical forests. The findings are largely consistent and indicate that agricultural systems, such as rubber plantations, which were not traditionally associated with carbon sequestration, play a significant role in this area. Rubber plantations present a complementary alternative to the rapid deforestation of tropical forests, with the capacity to sequester substantial amounts of carbon. The range of carbon storage potential for rubber plantations, spanning from 30 to over 100 tons per hectare, rivals that of natural tropical forests, which can store over 300 tons per hectare. Furthermore, rubber plantations are notable for their indirect carbon sequestration potential. By providing a sustainable source of latex and wood, and thus income, they can reduce the pressure on natural tropical forests. However, challenges remain, particularly concerning sustainable management and the integration of rubber plantations into sustainable tropical forest management strategies. This analysis focuses on the opportunities and challenges of rubber plantations as an offset solution for carbon sequestration. It highlights the prospects for effectively integrating these plantations into sustainable tropical forest management policies. Full article
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22 pages, 17883 KiB  
Article
Integrating Ecological Footprint into Regional Ecological Well-Being Evaluation: A Case Study of the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration, China
by Xiaozheng Zheng, Shuo Yang and Jianjun Huai
Land 2025, 14(4), 688; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14040688 - 25 Mar 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 456
Abstract
This study incorporated ecological footprint (EF) consumption into a framework to assess ecological well-being. A model and implementation framework for characterizing regional net ecological well-being were then developed. Using the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration (GPUA) as a case study, land use data from [...] Read more.
This study incorporated ecological footprint (EF) consumption into a framework to assess ecological well-being. A model and implementation framework for characterizing regional net ecological well-being were then developed. Using the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration (GPUA) as a case study, land use data from 2000 to 2020 were utilized to calculate the ecosystem service value (ESV), representing the supply side of regional ecological functions. Simultaneously, the regional EF consumption was assessed as the demand side. Taking into account the level of regional economic development and the characteristics of people’s living, a regional net ecological well-being evaluation model was constructed to arrive at a deficit or surplus ecological situation. The results indicated that: (1) The overall ESV of the GPUA follows a trend of initial growth followed by a decline. Woodland, grassland, and farmland are the main contributors to the total ESV, with regulating and supporting services accounting for more than 80% of the total ecosystem value. (2) EF consumption in the GPUA shows a significant upward trend, increasing by over 70% on average. The level of ecological carrying capacity has slightly increased, with the biologically productive area that can support human activities expanding to 1909.49 million hectares. Additionally, the carrying capacity of the urban agglomeration cities has tended to stabilize since 2015. (3) Since 2010, anthropogenic consumption in the GPUA has continued to exceed the regional ecological capacity, resulting in an ecological well-being deficit. The average ecological well-being compensation per hectare in the urban agglomeration increased from 35.588 CNY to 187.110 CNY. This study offers a theoretical foundation for expanding the definition and research framework of regional ecological well-being by providing a more accurate assessment of regional ecological service supply and consumption at multiple scales. It is expected that this approach will help reduce the opportunity costs associated with ecological protection, while promoting a balanced approach to economic development and ecological preservation. Full article
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19 pages, 3211 KiB  
Review
Adaptation of High-Altitude Plants to Plateau Abiotic Stresses: A Case Study of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
by Pengcheng Sun, Ruirui Hao, Fangjing Fan, Yan Wang and Fuyuan Zhu
Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2025, 26(5), 2292; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms26052292 - 4 Mar 2025
Cited by 3 | Viewed by 1275
Abstract
High-altitude regions offer outstanding opportunities for investigating the impacts of combined abiotic stresses on plant physiological processes given their significant differences in terms of the ecological environment in high-elevation areas, low anthropogenic disturbance, and obvious distribution characteristics of plants along altitudinal gradients. Therefore, [...] Read more.
High-altitude regions offer outstanding opportunities for investigating the impacts of combined abiotic stresses on plant physiological processes given their significant differences in terms of the ecological environment in high-elevation areas, low anthropogenic disturbance, and obvious distribution characteristics of plants along altitudinal gradients. Therefore, plants in high-altitude areas can be used as good targets for exploring plant adaptations to abiotic stress under extreme conditions. Plants that thrive in high-altitude environments such as the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau endure extreme abiotic stresses, including low temperatures, high UV radiation, and nutrient-poor soils. This study explores their adaptation mechanisms via phenotypic variation analyses and multiomics approaches. Key findings highlight traits such as increased photosynthetic efficiency, robust antioxidant systems, and morphological modifications tailored to high-altitude conditions. These insights advance our understanding of plant evolution in harsh environments and inform strategies to increase stress resistance in crops. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Genetic Engineering of Plants for Stress Tolerance, Second Edition)
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25 pages, 6946 KiB  
Article
Avian Diversity and Habitat Preferences in Scrubland Ecosystems of the Eastern Ghats of Southern Odisha, India
by Gayatri Mahanta, Rajendra Mohan Panda and Sharat Kumar Palita
Land 2025, 14(3), 511; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14030511 - 28 Feb 2025
Viewed by 978
Abstract
Birds, potential pollinators and bio-indicators of ecosystem health, are important components of the global ecosystems. Habitat degradation and anthropogenic disturbance have influenced their survival. Here, we highlight the bird diversity and habitat preferences in scrublands in the Eastern Ghats by considering nine scrub [...] Read more.
Birds, potential pollinators and bio-indicators of ecosystem health, are important components of the global ecosystems. Habitat degradation and anthropogenic disturbance have influenced their survival. Here, we highlight the bird diversity and habitat preferences in scrublands in the Eastern Ghats by considering nine scrub sites. We documented 128 bird species, where Passeriformes were most abundant with 77 species. Shrub cover, herbaceous vegetation, exposed rock surfaces, bryophytes vegetation, and soil characteristics were studied to assess habitat preferences using analysis of variance, cluster analysis, and redundancy analysis. The studies on nine selected sites revealed reduced bird diversity in places of high anthropogenic disturbances and interrupted foraging. Argya strita, Cinnyris asiaticus, Merops orientalis, Picnonotus cafer, and Saxicola caprata showed close association with shrubs with ample foraging opportunities and nesting sites; Gracopica contra and Picnonotus jocosus showed preferences for herbs. C. asiaticus was not found to be associated with any vegetation. While herbs and shrubs have a strong and positive correlation, bryophytes and rocks exhibited strong but negative relationships. Scrubland sites with greater vegetation diversity and structural complexity supported more birds, indicating the significance of habitat characteristics in bird′s distribution. The present study at Koraput provides a basis for site-specific conservation to preserve the avian biodiversity in the Eastern Ghats of India. It also highlights the need for long-term monitoring and adaptive management to address environmental changes and ensure the preservation of these ecosystems. Full article
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16 pages, 1250 KiB  
Article
Bird Collisions with an Unmarked Extra-High Voltage Transmission Line in an Average Riverine Landscape: An Appeal to Take a Closer Look
by Arno Reinhardt, Moritz Mercker, Maike Sabel, Kristina Henningsen and Frank Bernshausen
Birds 2025, 6(1), 13; https://doi.org/10.3390/birds6010013 - 19 Feb 2025
Viewed by 1047
Abstract
Anthropogenic structures such as overhead powerlines pose potentially high collision risks to flying animals, particularly birds, leading to millions of fatalities each year. Studies of bird collisions with powerlines to date, however, have estimated different numbers of collision per year and per kilometer [...] Read more.
Anthropogenic structures such as overhead powerlines pose potentially high collision risks to flying animals, particularly birds, leading to millions of fatalities each year. Studies of bird collisions with powerlines to date, however, have estimated different numbers of collision per year and per kilometer in highly variable landscapes. This study aimed to clarify the risk of bird collisions with powerlines in an average landscape, to overcome the bias towards studies in collision hotspots. We conducted experiments to determine searcher efficiency, removal, and decomposition rates of collided birds as well as searching for collision victims and recording flight movements and flight reactions towards the powerlines. Annual bird-strike rates and flight phenology were analyzed using generalized additive models (GAMs). We estimated 50.1 collision victims per powerline kilometer per year and demonstrated that pigeons (especially Wood Pigeon, Columba palumbus) accounted for the largest proportion of collision victims (approximately 65%). Our study thus offers the opportunity to estimate the number of bird collisions (and the range of species) that can be expected in areas that are not particularly rich in bird life or sensitive, especially in view of the planned intensive expansion of energy structures in the context of the green energy transition. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Bird Mortality Caused by Power Lines)
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32 pages, 16485 KiB  
Article
Quantifying Uncertainty in Projections of Desertification in Central Asia Using Bayesian Networks
by Jinping Liu, Yanqun Ren, Panxing He and Jianhua Xiao
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(4), 665; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17040665 - 15 Feb 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1316
Abstract
Desertification presents major environmental challenges in Central Asia, driven by climatic and anthropogenic factors. The present study quantifies desertification risk through an integrated approach using Bayesian networks and the ESAS model, offering a holistic perspective on desertification dynamics. Four key variables—vegetation cover, precipitation, [...] Read more.
Desertification presents major environmental challenges in Central Asia, driven by climatic and anthropogenic factors. The present study quantifies desertification risk through an integrated approach using Bayesian networks and the ESAS model, offering a holistic perspective on desertification dynamics. Four key variables—vegetation cover, precipitation, land-use intensity, and soil quality—were incorporated into a Bayesian model to evaluate their influence on desertification. A probabilistic model was developed to gauge desertification intensity, with simulations conducted at 200 geospatial points. Hazard maps for 2030–2050 were produced under climate scenarios SSP245 and SSP585, incorporating projected land-use changes. All procedures for desertification risk assessment, land-use mapping, and climate downscaling were performed using the Google Earth Engine platform. The findings suggest a 4% increase in desertification risk under SSP245 and an 11% increase under SSP585 by 2050, with the greatest threats observed in western regions such as Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Turkmenistan. Sensitivity analysis indicated that vegetation quality exerts the strongest influence on desertification, reflected by a Vegetation Quality Index (VQI) ranging from 1.582 (low in Turkmenistan) to 1.692 (very low in Kazakhstan). A comparison of the Bayesian and ESAS models revealed robust alignment, evidenced by an R2 value of 0.82, a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.76, and an RMSE of 0.18. These results highlight the utility of Bayesian networks as an effective tool for desertification assessment and scenario analysis, underscoring the urgency of targeted land management and proactive climate adaptation. Although reclaimed land presents opportunities for afforestation and sustainable agriculture, carefully considering potential trade-offs with biodiversity and ecosystem services remains essential. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Remote Sensing Application in the Carbon Flux Modelling)
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15 pages, 3264 KiB  
Article
Assessing the Effects of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Contributions in Parishan Wetland, Iran
by Mohammad Kazemi Garajeh, Khalil Valizadeh Kamran, Bakhtiar Feizizadeh, Omid Ghaffari Aliabad, Mousa Saei and Amin Sadeqi
Land 2025, 14(2), 313; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14020313 - 3 Feb 2025
Viewed by 1415
Abstract
Wetlands provide essential benefits, including flood control, water quality enhancement, shoreline erosion prevention, natural resource conservation, recreational opportunities, and esthetic value. However, climate change and human activities have recently posed significant threats to these ecosystems. To address this issue, we employed an integrated [...] Read more.
Wetlands provide essential benefits, including flood control, water quality enhancement, shoreline erosion prevention, natural resource conservation, recreational opportunities, and esthetic value. However, climate change and human activities have recently posed significant threats to these ecosystems. To address this issue, we employed an integrated approach combining remote sensing and the cloud-free Google Earth Engine (GEE) to monitor the impacts of climate change and human activities on Parishan Wetland in Iran. In this study, various climatic and anthropogenic factors, including air temperature (AT), precipitation, built-up area, croplands, and groundwater storage, were analyzed over the period from 2001 to 2010 to explore their potential effects on wetland conditions. The Pearson correlation test was used to assess the relationships between these variables and wetland health. Also, non-parametric Mann–Kendall (MK) and Pettitt tests were employed to identify monotonic trends and shifts in the time series. The findings suggest a complex interplay of climatic and anthropogenic factors impacting the wetland’s ecosystem. Groundwater availability emerged as the most influential factor, with a very strong positive correlation of 0.92, highlighting the critical role of groundwater in sustaining wetland ecosystems. Air temperature values in recent years have shown a significant increasing trend, while precipitation exhibits a statistically significant decreasing trend. These factors, along with the slightly increasing built-up area, which negatively impacts the natural ecosystem, indicate an urgent need to restore the wetland. Full article
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24 pages, 350 KiB  
Review
Toward an International Grundnorm for Climate Change: Ensuring Sustainability Away from the Traditional Notion of Security
by Sarkawt Jalil
Sustainability 2025, 17(3), 1034; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17031034 - 27 Jan 2025
Cited by 1 | Viewed by 1551
Abstract
Climate change has been considered a critical challenge that transcends traditional notions of security, demanding a shift in perspective toward environmental sustainability. Historically, security has been viewed as an inviolable boundary, shaped significantly by the aftermath of World War II, when the international [...] Read more.
Climate change has been considered a critical challenge that transcends traditional notions of security, demanding a shift in perspective toward environmental sustainability. Historically, security has been viewed as an inviolable boundary, shaped significantly by the aftermath of World War II, when the international community prioritized peace, territorial integrity, and political independence. However, humanity now faces unprecedented threats that cannot be addressed through rigid or outdated definitions of security. Climate change impacts the entire planet, affecting both living and non-living organisms, and has arisen primarily from anthropogenic activities over the past two centuries. Consequently, solutions must originate from within human societies, emphasizing sustainability alongside action. Despite extensive discourse, meaningful progress remains limited. This paper, drawing on scientific data about climate change’s far-reaching consequences, aims to highlight that climate change, despite theoretical and practical challenges, has the potential to supplant traditional State-centered security as the Grundnorm of international law, serving as the critical threshold that demands a comprehensive reform and reimagining of the international legal framework. It concludes that climate change’s new normativity represents opportunities to reform law and order to ensure life and sustainability. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air, Climate Change and Sustainability)
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