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Search Results (435)

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Keywords = airport management

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21 pages, 1187 KiB  
Article
Identification of Bottlenecks in Passenger Handling Processes Using Data-Driven Tools
by Edina Jenčová, Tatiana Gajdušková, Martin Jezný and Pavol Hudák
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8760; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158760 (registering DOI) - 7 Aug 2025
Abstract
The paper focuses on the identification of “bottlenecks” in the passenger handling process at the airports. In the current era of digital transformation and the emergence of Industry 4.0 and 5.0 concepts, optimizing passenger flows through data-driven tools is becoming an essential part [...] Read more.
The paper focuses on the identification of “bottlenecks” in the passenger handling process at the airports. In the current era of digital transformation and the emergence of Industry 4.0 and 5.0 concepts, optimizing passenger flows through data-driven tools is becoming an essential part of intelligent airport management. While many solutions focus on high-end software or AI-based systems, this study demonstrates the value of preparatory models built in widely accessible platforms such as Microsoft Excel. A simulation model was developed to analyze check-in and security screening, integrating discrete event simulation (DES), queueing theory, and elements of Monte Carlo simulation. The model enables the segmentation of the handling process into key events, including probabilistically generated arrivals and service durations. Although the model is built in a basic environment, it serves as a prototype platform for potential integration into broader digitalization strategies, offering a preparatory framework for future implementation in more sophisticated systems. Full article
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20 pages, 2054 KiB  
Article
Change Management in Aviation Organizations: A Multi-Method Theoretical Framework for External Environmental Uncertainty
by Ilona Skačkauskienė and Virginija Leonavičiūtė
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6994; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156994 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 188
Abstract
In today’s dynamic and highly uncertain environment, organizations, particularly in the aviation sector, face increasing challenges that demand resilient, flexible, and data-driven change management decisions. Responding to the growing need for structured approaches to managing complex uncertainties—geopolitical tensions, economic volatility, social shifts, rapid [...] Read more.
In today’s dynamic and highly uncertain environment, organizations, particularly in the aviation sector, face increasing challenges that demand resilient, flexible, and data-driven change management decisions. Responding to the growing need for structured approaches to managing complex uncertainties—geopolitical tensions, economic volatility, social shifts, rapid technological advancements, environmental pressures and regulatory changes—this research proposes a theoretical change management model for aviation service providers, such as airports. Integrating three analytical approaches, the model offers a robust, multi-method approach for supporting sustainable transformation under uncertainty. Normative analysis using Bayesian decision theory identifies influential external environmental factors, capturing probabilistic relationships, and revealing causal links under uncertainty. Prescriptive planning through scenario theory explores alternative future pathways and helps to identify possible predictions, offer descriptive evaluation employing fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and assess decision quality under vagueness and complexity. The proposed four-stage model—observation, analysis, evaluation, and response—offers a methodology for continuous external environment monitoring, scenario development, and data-driven, proactive change management decision-making, including the impact assessment of change and development. The proposed model contributes to the theoretical advancement of the change management research area under uncertainty and offers practical guidance for aviation organizations (airports) facing a volatile external environment. This framework strengthens aviation organizations’ ability to anticipate, evaluate, and adapt to multifaceted external changes, supporting operational flexibility and adaptability and contributing to the sustainable development of aviation services. Supporting aviation organizations with tools to proactively manage systemic uncertainty, this research directly supports the integration of sustainability principles, such as resilience and adaptability, for long-term value creation through change management decision-making. Full article
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18 pages, 1610 KiB  
Article
Patterns and Causes of Aviation Accidents in Slovakia: A 17-Year Analysis
by Matúš Materna, Lucia Duricova and Andrea Maternová
Aerospace 2025, 12(8), 694; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12080694 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 149
Abstract
Civil aviation safety remains a critical concern globally, with continuous efforts aimed at reducing accidents and fatalities. This paper focuses on the comprehensive evaluation of civil aviation safety in the Slovak Republic over the past several years, with the main objective of identifying [...] Read more.
Civil aviation safety remains a critical concern globally, with continuous efforts aimed at reducing accidents and fatalities. This paper focuses on the comprehensive evaluation of civil aviation safety in the Slovak Republic over the past several years, with the main objective of identifying prevailing trends and key risk factors. A comprehensive analysis of 155 accidents and incidents was conducted based on selected operational parameters. Logistic regression was applied to identify potential causal factors influencing various levels of injury severity in aviation accidents. Moreover, the prediction model can also be used to predict the probability of specific injury severity for accidents with given parameter values. The results indicate a clear declining trend in the annual number of aviation safety events; however, the fatality rate has stagnated or slightly increased in recent years. Human error, particularly mistakes and intentional violations of procedures, was identified as the dominant causal factor across all sectors of civil aviation, including flight operations, airport management, maintenance, and air navigation services. Despite technological advancements and regulatory improvements, human-related failures persist as a major safety challenge. The findings highlight the critical need for targeted strategies to mitigate human error and enhance overall aviation safety in the Slovak Republic. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Aviation Development 2024–2025)
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27 pages, 565 KiB  
Review
Review of the Use of Waste Materials in Rigid Airport Pavements: Opportunities, Benefits and Implementation
by Loretta Newton-Hoare, Sean Jamieson and Greg White
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6959; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156959 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 171
Abstract
The aviation industry is under increasing pressure to reduce its environmental impact while maintaining safety and performance standards. One promising area for improvement lies in the use of sustainable materials in airport infrastructure. One of the issues preventing uptake of emerging sustainable technologies [...] Read more.
The aviation industry is under increasing pressure to reduce its environmental impact while maintaining safety and performance standards. One promising area for improvement lies in the use of sustainable materials in airport infrastructure. One of the issues preventing uptake of emerging sustainable technologies is the lack of guidance relating to the opportunities, potential benefits, associated risks and an implementation plan specific to airport pavements. This research reviewed opportunities to incorporate waste materials into rigid airport pavements, focusing on concrete base slabs. Commonly used supplementary cementitious materials (SCMs), such as fly ash and ground granulated blast furnace slag (GGBFS) were considered, as well as recycled aggregates, including recycled concrete aggregate (RCA), recycled crushed glass (RCG), and blast furnace slag (BFS). Environmental Product Declarations (EPDs) were also used to quantify the potential for environmental benefit associated with various concrete mixtures, with findings showing 23% to 50% reductions in embodied carbon are possible for selected theoretical concrete mixtures that incorporate waste materials. With considered evaluation and structured implementation, the integration of waste materials into rigid airport pavements offers a practical and effective route to improve environmental outcomes in aviation infrastructure. It was concluded that a Triple Bottom Line (TBL) framework—assessing financial, environmental, and social factors—guides material selection and can support sustainable decision-making, as does performance-based specifications that enable sustainable technologies to be incorporated into airport pavement. The study also proposed a consequence-based implementation hierarchy to facilitate responsible adoption of waste materials in airside pavements. The outcomes of this review will assist airport managers and pavement designers to implement practical changes to achieve more sustainable rigid airport pavements in the future. Full article
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34 pages, 2947 KiB  
Article
Optimization and Empirical Study of Departure Scheduling Considering ATFM Slot Adherence
by Zheng Zhao, Siqi Zhao, Yahao Zhang and Jie Leng
Aerospace 2025, 12(8), 683; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12080683 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 147
Abstract
Departure punctuality (KPI01) and ATFM slot adherence (KPI03) have been emphasized by the International Civil Aviation Organization as key performance indicators (KPIs) in the Global Air Navigation Plan. To address the inherent conflict between these two objectives in departure scheduling, a multi-objective optimization [...] Read more.
Departure punctuality (KPI01) and ATFM slot adherence (KPI03) have been emphasized by the International Civil Aviation Organization as key performance indicators (KPIs) in the Global Air Navigation Plan. To address the inherent conflict between these two objectives in departure scheduling, a multi-objective optimization model is proposed that aims to simultaneously enhance departure punctuality, ATFM slot adherence, and taxiing efficiency. A simulated annealing algorithm based on a resource transmission mechanism was developed to solve the model effectively. Based on full-scale operational data from Nanjing Lukou International Airport in June 2023, the empirical results confirm the model’s effectiveness in two primary dimensions: (1) Significant improvement in taxiing efficiency: The average unimpeded taxi-out time was reduced by 6.4% (from 17.2 to 16.1 min). The number of flights with taxi-out times exceeding 30 min decreased by 58%. For representative taxi routes (e.g., stand 118 to runway 6), the excess taxi-out time was reduced by 82.3% (from 5.61 to 1.10 min). (2) Enhanced operational punctuality: Departure punctuality improved by 10.7% (from 67.9% to 78.7%), while ATFM slot adherence increased by 31.2% (from 64.6% to 95.8%). This study presents an innovative departure scheduling approach and offers a practical framework for improving collaborative operational efficiency among airports, air traffic management units, and airlines. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Traffic and Transportation)
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19 pages, 2103 KiB  
Article
Airport Field Path Optimization Method Based on Conflict Hotspot Avoidance Mechanism
by Wen Tian, Mingjian Yang, Xuefang Zhou, Jianan Yin and Xv Shi
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(15), 8204; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15158204 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 172
Abstract
The state path optimization model, alongside strategies like slowing down and waiting, aims to identify optimal aircraft routes that minimize the total taxi time and prevent conflicts. Optimization reduces taxiing times for aircraft YZR7537, CES2558, and CSZ9806, while slightly increasing the times for [...] Read more.
The state path optimization model, alongside strategies like slowing down and waiting, aims to identify optimal aircraft routes that minimize the total taxi time and prevent conflicts. Optimization reduces taxiing times for aircraft YZR7537, CES2558, and CSZ9806, while slightly increasing the times for CSN6310 and CSN3210 due to conflict hotspot avoidance measures. This approach also decreases the number of aircraft passing through key conflict hotspots, effectively reducing both conflicts and risk levels in these areas. Consequently, the total taxiing time for the optimized aircraft is cut by 53 s, enhancing airport operational efficiency. The proposed model serves as a theoretical foundation for developing an intelligent airport operation management system. Full article
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36 pages, 1680 KiB  
Article
Guarding Our Vital Systems: A Metric for Critical Infrastructure Cyber Resilience
by Muharman Lubis, Muhammad Fakhrul Safitra, Hanif Fakhrurroja and Alif Noorachmad Muttaqin
Sensors 2025, 25(15), 4545; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25154545 - 22 Jul 2025
Viewed by 467
Abstract
The increased occurrence and severity of cyber-attacks on critical infrastructure have underscored the need to embrace systematic and prospective approaches to resilience. The current research takes as its hypothesis that the InfraGuard Cybersecurity Framework—a capability model that measures the maturity of cyber resilience [...] Read more.
The increased occurrence and severity of cyber-attacks on critical infrastructure have underscored the need to embrace systematic and prospective approaches to resilience. The current research takes as its hypothesis that the InfraGuard Cybersecurity Framework—a capability model that measures the maturity of cyber resilience through three functional pillars, Cyber as a Shield, Cyber as a Space, and Cyber as a Sword—is an implementable and understandable means to proceed with. The model treats the significant aspects of situational awareness, active defense, risk management, and recovery from incidents and is measured using globally standardized maturity models like ISO/IEC 15504, NIST CSF, and COBIT. The contributions include multidimensional measurements of resilience, a scored scale of capability (0–5), and domain-based classification enabling organizations to assess and enhance their cybersecurity situation in a formalized manner. The framework’s applicability is illustrated in three exploratory settings of power grids, healthcare systems, and airports, each constituting various levels of maturity in resilience. This study provides down-to-earth recommendations to policymakers through the translation of the attributes of resilience into concrete assessment indicators, promoting policymaking, investment planning, and global cyber defense collaboration. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Internet of Things)
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16 pages, 568 KiB  
Review
A Review of Wildlife Strike Reporting in Aviation: Systems, Uses and Standards
by Dan Parsons, Steven Leib and Wayne L. Martin
Wild 2025, 2(3), 29; https://doi.org/10.3390/wild2030029 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 341
Abstract
Wildlife strikes in aviation are among the most reported safety incidents. As such, strikes have become the fundamental unit of understanding of the risk posed by wildlife. However, the management of wildlife risks to aviation has shifted to a hazard management philosophy. This [...] Read more.
Wildlife strikes in aviation are among the most reported safety incidents. As such, strikes have become the fundamental unit of understanding of the risk posed by wildlife. However, the management of wildlife risks to aviation has shifted to a hazard management philosophy. This literature review examines the argument that current wildlife strike reporting requirements are inadequate for modern wildlife hazard management techniques. This review utilised bibliometric analysis software to identify relevant academic research sourced from the Web of Science, as well as industry materials, to compile a final catalogue (n = 542). Further filtering revealed a limited set of relevant papers (n = 42) and even fewer papers that addressed the above question. Analysis of these papers and the wider catalogue noted limitations in current reporting requirements as they relate to hazard and risk management concepts. This analysis was supplemented with a review of international standards and relevant national requirements, concluding that while academics and industry have adopted systematic safety and hazard management techniques, and international guidance material has kept pace, international standards, the foundation for many national reporting systems, remain decades behind. This paper proposes the use of robust consensus-building methodologies, such as the Delphi technique, in the industry as a means of streamlining and supporting international standards development. Full article
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32 pages, 1444 KiB  
Article
Enhancing Airport Resource Efficiency Through Statistical Modeling of Heavy-Tailed Service Durations: A Case Study on Potable Water Trucks
by Changcheng Li, Minghua Hu, Yuxin Hu, Zheng Zhao and Yanjun Wang
Aerospace 2025, 12(7), 643; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12070643 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 276
Abstract
In airport operations management, accurately estimating the service durations of ground support equipment such as Potable Water Trucks (PWTs) is essential for improving resource allocation efficiency and ensuring timely aircraft turnaround. Traditional estimation methods often use fixed averages or assume normal distributions, failing [...] Read more.
In airport operations management, accurately estimating the service durations of ground support equipment such as Potable Water Trucks (PWTs) is essential for improving resource allocation efficiency and ensuring timely aircraft turnaround. Traditional estimation methods often use fixed averages or assume normal distributions, failing to capture real-world variability and extreme scenarios effectively. To address these limitations, this study performs a comprehensive statistical analysis of PWT service durations using operational data from Beijing Daxing International Airport (ZBAD) and Shanghai Pudong International Airport (ZSPD). Employing chi-square goodness-of-fit tests, twenty probability distributions—including several heavy-tailed candidates—were rigorously evaluated under segmented scenarios, such as peak versus non-peak periods, varying temperature conditions, and different aircraft sizes. Results reveal that heavy-tailed distributions offer context-dependent advantages: the stable distribution exhibits superior modeling performance during peak operational periods, whereas the Burr distribution excels under non-peak conditions. Interestingly, contrary to existing operational assumptions, service durations at extremely high and low temperatures showed no significant statistical differences, prompting a reconsideration of temperature-dependent planning practices. Additionally, analysis by aircraft category showed that the Burr distribution best described service durations for large aircraft, while stable and log-logistic distributions were optimal for medium-sized aircraft. Numerical simulations confirmed these findings, demonstrating that the proposed heavy-tailed probabilistic models significantly improved resource prediction accuracy, reducing estimation errors by 13% to 25% compared to conventional methods. This research uniquely demonstrates the practical effectiveness of employing context-sensitive heavy-tailed distributions, substantially enhancing resource efficiency and operational reliability in airport ground handling management. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Air Traffic and Transportation)
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22 pages, 2112 KiB  
Article
Cultural Diversity and the Operational Performance of Airport Security Checkpoints: An Analysis of Energy Consumption and Passenger Flow
by Jacek Ryczyński, Artur Kierzkowski, Marta Nowakowska and Piotr Uchroński
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3853; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143853 - 20 Jul 2025
Viewed by 321
Abstract
This paper examines the operational consequences and energy demands associated with the growing cultural diversity of air travellers at airport security checkpoints. The analysis focuses on how an increasing proportion of passengers requiring enhanced security screening, due to cultural, religious, or linguistic factors, [...] Read more.
This paper examines the operational consequences and energy demands associated with the growing cultural diversity of air travellers at airport security checkpoints. The analysis focuses on how an increasing proportion of passengers requiring enhanced security screening, due to cultural, religious, or linguistic factors, affects both system throughput and energy consumption. The methodology integrates synchronised measurement of passenger flow with real-time monitoring of electricity usage. Four operational scenarios, representing incremental shares (0–15%) of passengers subject to extended screening, were modelled. The findings indicate that a 15% increase in this passenger group leads to a statistically significant rise in average power consumption per device (3.5%), a total energy usage increase exceeding 4%, and an extension of average service time by 0.6%—the cumulative effect results in a substantial annual contribution to the airport’s carbon footprint. The results also reveal a higher frequency and intensity of power consumption peaks, emphasising the need for advanced infrastructure management. The study emphasises the significance of predictive analytics, dynamic resource allocation, and the implementation of energy-efficient technologies. Furthermore, systematic intercultural competency training is recommended for security staff. These insights provide a scientific basis for optimising airport security operations amid increasing passenger heterogeneity. Full article
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36 pages, 11687 KiB  
Article
Macroscopic-Level Collaborative Optimization Framework for IADS: Multiple-Route Terminal Maneuvering Area Scheduling Problem
by Chaoyu Xia, Minghua Hu, Xiuying Zhu, Yi Wen, Junqing Wu and Changbo Hou
Aerospace 2025, 12(7), 639; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12070639 - 18 Jul 2025
Viewed by 178
Abstract
The terminal maneuvering area (TMA) serves as a critical transition zone between upper enroute airways and airports, representing one of the most complex regions for managing high volumes of arrival and departure traffic. This paper presents the multi-route TMA scheduling problem as an [...] Read more.
The terminal maneuvering area (TMA) serves as a critical transition zone between upper enroute airways and airports, representing one of the most complex regions for managing high volumes of arrival and departure traffic. This paper presents the multi-route TMA scheduling problem as an optimization challenge aimed at optimizing TMA interventions, such as rerouting, speed control, time-based metering, dynamic minimum time separation, and holding procedures; the objective function minimizes schedule deviations and the accumulated holding time. Furthermore, the problem is formulated as a mixed-integer linear program (MILP) to facilitate finding solutions. A rolling horizon control (RHC) dynamic optimization framework is also introduced to decompose the large-scale problem into manageable subproblems for iterative resolution. To demonstrate the applicability and effectiveness of the proposed scheduling models, a hub airport—Chengdu Tianfu International Airport (ICAO code: ZUTF) in the Cheng-Yu Metroplex—is selected for validation. Numerical analyses confirm the superiority of the proposed models, which are expected to reduce aircraft delays, shorten airborne and holding times, and improve airspace resource utilization. This study provides intelligent decision support and engineering design ideas for the macroscopic-level collaborative optimization framework of the Integrated Arrival–Departure and Surface (IADS) system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Collection Air Transportation—Operations and Management)
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24 pages, 5889 KiB  
Article
A Radar-Based Fast Code for Rainfall Nowcasting over the Tuscany Region
by Alessandro Mazza, Andrea Antonini, Samantha Melani and Alberto Ortolani
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(14), 2467; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17142467 - 16 Jul 2025
Viewed by 285
Abstract
Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting (nowcasting) based on weather radar data is essential for managing weather-related risks, particularly in applications such as airport operations, urban flood prevention, and public safety during outdoor events. This study proposes a computationally efficient nowcasting method based on a [...] Read more.
Accurate short-term precipitation forecasting (nowcasting) based on weather radar data is essential for managing weather-related risks, particularly in applications such as airport operations, urban flood prevention, and public safety during outdoor events. This study proposes a computationally efficient nowcasting method based on a Lagrangian advection scheme, estimating both the translation and rotation of radar-observed precipitation fields without relying on machine learning or resource-intensive computation. The method was tested on a two-year dataset (2022–2023) over Tuscany, using data collected from the Italian Civil Protection Department’s radar network. Forecast performance was evaluated using the Critical Success Index (CSI) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) across varying spatial domains (1° × 1° to 2° × 2°) and precipitation regimes. The results show that, for high-intensity events (average rate > 1 mm/h), the method achieved CSI scores exceeding 0.5 for lead times up to 2 h. In the case of low-intensity rainfall (average rate < 0.3 mm/h), its forecasting skill dropped after 20–30 min. Forecast accuracy was shown to be highly sensitive to the temporal stability of precipitation intensity. The method performed well under quasi-stationary stratiform conditions, whereas its skill declined during rapidly evolving convective events. The method has low computational requirements, with forecasts generated in under one minute on standard hardware, and it is well suited for real-time application in regional meteorological centres. Overall, the findings highlight the method’s effective balance between simplicity and performance, making it a practical and scalable option for operational nowcasting in settings with limited computational capacity. Its deployment is currently being planned at the LaMMA Consortium, the official meteorological service of Tuscany. Full article
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22 pages, 2108 KiB  
Article
Deep Reinforcement Learning for Real-Time Airport Emergency Evacuation Using Asynchronous Advantage Actor–Critic (A3C) Algorithm
by Yujing Zhou, Yupeng Yang, Bill Deng Pan, Yongxin Liu, Sirish Namilae, Houbing Herbert Song and Dahai Liu
Mathematics 2025, 13(14), 2269; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13142269 - 15 Jul 2025
Viewed by 415
Abstract
Emergencies can occur unexpectedly and require immediate action, especially in aviation, where time pressure and uncertainty are high. This study focused on improving emergency evacuation in airport and aircraft scenarios using real-time decision-making support. A system based on the Asynchronous Advantage Actor–Critic (A3C) [...] Read more.
Emergencies can occur unexpectedly and require immediate action, especially in aviation, where time pressure and uncertainty are high. This study focused on improving emergency evacuation in airport and aircraft scenarios using real-time decision-making support. A system based on the Asynchronous Advantage Actor–Critic (A3C) algorithm, an advanced deep reinforcement learning method, was developed to generate faster and more efficient evacuation routes compared to traditional models. The A3C model was tested in various scenarios, including different environmental conditions and numbers of agents, and its performance was compared with the Deep Q-Network (DQN) algorithm. The results showed that A3C achieved evacuations 43.86% faster on average and converged in fewer episodes (100 vs. 250 for DQN). In dynamic environments with moving threats, A3C also outperformed DQN in maintaining agent safety and adapting routes in real time. As the number of agents increased, A3C maintained high levels of efficiency and robustness. These findings demonstrate A3C’s strong potential to enhance evacuation planning through improved speed, adaptability, and scalability. The study concludes by highlighting the practical benefits of applying such models in real-world emergency response systems, including significantly faster evacuation times, real-time adaptability to evolving threats, and enhanced scalability for managing large crowds in high-density environments including airport terminals. The A3C-based model offers a cost-effective alternative to full-scale evacuation drills by enabling virtual scenario testing, supports proactive safety planning through predictive modeling, and contributes to the development of intelligent decision-support tools that improve coordination and reduce response time during emergencies. Full article
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21 pages, 2533 KiB  
Article
Application of the Holt–Winters Model in the Forecasting of Passenger Traffic at Szczecin–Goleniów Airport (Poland)
by Natalia Drop and Adriana Bohdan
Sustainability 2025, 17(14), 6407; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17146407 - 13 Jul 2025
Viewed by 598
Abstract
Accurate short-term passenger forecasts help regional airports align capacity with demand and plan investments effectively. Drawing on quarterly traffic data for 2010–2024 supplied by the Polish Civil Aviation Authority, this study employs Holt–Winters exponential smoothing to predict passenger volumes at Szczecin–Goleniów Airport for [...] Read more.
Accurate short-term passenger forecasts help regional airports align capacity with demand and plan investments effectively. Drawing on quarterly traffic data for 2010–2024 supplied by the Polish Civil Aviation Authority, this study employs Holt–Winters exponential smoothing to predict passenger volumes at Szczecin–Goleniów Airport for 2025. Additive and multiplicative formulations were parameterized with Excel Solver, using the mean absolute percentage error to identify the better-fitting model. The additive version captured both the steady post-pandemic recovery and pronounced seasonal peaks, indicating that passenger throughput is likely to rise modestly year on year, with the highest loads expected in the summer quarter and the lowest in early spring. These findings suggest the airport should anticipate continued growth and consider adjustments to terminal capacity, apron allocation, and staffing schedules to maintain service quality. Because the Holt–Winters method extrapolates historical patterns and does not incorporate external shocks—such as economic downturns, policy changes, or public health crises—its projections are most reliable over the short horizon examined and should be complemented by scenario-based analyses in future work. This study contributes to sustainable airport management by providing a reproducible, data-driven forecasting framework that can optimize resource allocation with minimal environmental impact. Full article
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16 pages, 4138 KiB  
Article
Bridging NDT and Laboratory Testing in an Airfield Pavement Structural Evaluation
by Angeliki Armeni
NDT 2025, 3(3), 17; https://doi.org/10.3390/ndt3030017 - 10 Jul 2025
Viewed by 208
Abstract
The accurate assessment of the structural condition of airfield pavements is of paramount importance to airport authorities as it determines the planning of maintenance activities. On this basis, Non-Destructive Testing (NDT) techniques provide a powerful tool to assess the mechanical properties of the [...] Read more.
The accurate assessment of the structural condition of airfield pavements is of paramount importance to airport authorities as it determines the planning of maintenance activities. On this basis, Non-Destructive Testing (NDT) techniques provide a powerful tool to assess the mechanical properties of the individual layers of the pavement. However, information from laboratory testing of cores taken from the pavement is expected to provide a more accurate assessment of material properties. Against this background, the present research aims to investigate the accuracy of the mechanical properties of in-situ layers derived from NDT data and the associated back-calculation procedures for airfield pavements, where higher pavement thicknesses are usually required due to the high aircraft loads, while few similar studies have been conducted compared to road pavements. For this reason, the assessment of the structural condition of a flexible runway pavement is presented. The analysis shows that there is a strong correlation between the moduli estimated in the laboratory and the moduli estimated by back-calculation. Furthermore, the back-calculated moduli appear to lead to a conservative approach in assessing the structural condition of the pavement. This conservatism promotes a more proactive pavement management by airport authorities. Full article
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