Search Results (257)

Abnormally warm winters in recent years have accelerated flowering in fruit trees, increasing their vulnerability to late frost damage. To address this challenge, this study aimed to evaluate and compare the performance of three phenology models—the development rate (DVR), modified DVR (mDVR), and Chill Days (CD) models—for predicting full bloom dates of ‘Niitaka’ pear, using image-derived phenological observations. The goal was to identify the most reliable and regionally transferable model for nationwide application in South Korea. A key strength of this study lies in the integration of real-time orchard imagery with automated weather station (AWS) data, enabling standardized and objective phenological monitoring across multiple regions. Using five years of temperature data from seven orchard sites, chill and heat unit accumulations were calculated and compared with observed full bloom dates obtained from orchard imagery and field records. Correlation analysis revealed a strong negative relationship between cumulative heat units and bloom timing, with correlation coefficients ranging from –0.88 (DVR) to –0.94 (mDVR). Among the models, the mDVR model demonstrated the highest stability in chill unit estimation (CV = 6.3%), the lowest root-mean-square error (RMSE = 2.9 days), and the highest model efficiency (EF = 0.74), indicating superior predictive performance across diverse climatic conditions. In contrast, the DVR model showed limited generalizability beyond its original calibration zone. These findings suggest that the mDVR model, when supported by image-based phenological data, provides a robust and scalable tool for forecasting full bloom dates of temperate fruit trees and enhancing grower preparedness against late frost risks under changing climate conditions. Full article

As an important ecological barrier and animal husbandry resource base in arid and semi-arid areas, grassland degradation directly affects regional ecological security and sustainable development. Ili Prefecture is located in the western part of Xinjiang, China, and is a typical grassland resource-rich area. However, in recent years, driven by climate change and human activities, grassland degradation has become increasingly serious. In view of the lack of comprehensive evaluation indicators and the inconsistency of grassland evaluation grade standards in remote sensing monitoring of grassland resource degradation, this study takes the current situation of grassland degradation in Ili Prefecture in the past 20 years as the research object and constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system covering three criteria layers of vegetation characteristics, environmental characteristics, and utilization characteristics. Net primary productivity (NPP), vegetation coverage, temperature, precipitation, soil erosion modulus, and grazing intensity were selected as multi-source indicators. Combined with data sources such as remote sensing inversion, sample survey, meteorological data, and farmer survey, the factor weight coefficient was determined by analytic hierarchy process. The Grassland Degeneration Comprehensive Index (GDCI) model was constructed to carry out remote sensing monitoring and evaluation of grassland degradation in Yili Prefecture. With reference to the classification threshold of the national standard for grassland degradation, the GDCI grassland degradation evaluation grade threshold (GDCI reduction rate) was determined by the method of weighted average of coefficients: non-degradation (0–10%), mild degradation (10–20%), moderate degradation (20–37.66%) and severe degradation (more than 37.66%). According to the results, between 2000 and 2022, non-degraded grasslands in Ili Prefecture covered an area of 27,200 km², representing 90.19% of the total grassland area. Slight, moderate, and severe degradation accounted for 4.34%, 3.33%, and 2.15%, respectively. Moderately and severely degraded areas are primarily distributed in agro-pastoral transition zones and economically developed urban regions, respectively. The results revealed the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of grassland degradation in Yili Prefecture and provided data basis and technical support for regional grassland resource management, degradation prevention and control and ecological restoration. Full article

The need for systems that forecast and respond proactively to meteorological disasters is growing amid climate variability. Although the early warning system in South Korea includes countermeasure information, it remains limited in terms of data recency, granularity, and regional adaptability. Additionally, its closed architecture hinders interoperability with external systems. This study aims to redesign the countermeasure function as an independent cloud-based platform grounded in the common standard terminology framework in South Korea. A multi-dimensional data model was developed using attributes such as crop type, cultivation characteristics, growth stage, disaster type, and risk level. The platform incorporates user-specific customization features and history tracking capabilities, and it is structured using a microservices architecture to ensure modularity and scalability. The proposed system enables real-time management and dissemination of localized countermeasure suggestions tailored to various user types, including central and local governments and farmers. This study offers a practical model for enhancing the precision and applicability of agrometeorological response information. It is expected to serve as a scalable reference platform for future integration with external agricultural information systems. Full article

Cotton (Gossypium spp.) is an important industrial crop, but it is vulnerable to waterlogging stress. The relationship between cotton yields and waterlogging indicators (CY-WI) is fundamental for waterlogging disaster reduction. This review systematically summarized and analyzed literature containing CY-WI relations across 1970s–2020s. China conducted the most CY-WI experiments (67%), followed by Australia (17%). Recent decades (2010s, 2000s) contributed the highest proportion of CY-WI works (49%, 15%). Surface waterlogging form is mostly employed (74%) much more than sub-surface waterlogging. The flowering and boll-forming stage, followed by the budding stage, performed the most CY-WI experiments (55%), and they showed stronger negative relations of CY-WI than other stages. Some compound stresses enhance negative relations of CY-WI, such as accompanying high temperatures, low temperatures, and shade conditions, whereas some others weaken the negative CY-WI relations, such as prior/post drought and waterlogging. Anti-waterlogging applications significantly weaken negative CY-WI relations. Regional-scale CY-WI research is increasing now, and they verified the influence of compound stresses. In future CI-WI works, we should emphasize the influence of compound stresses, establish regional CY-WI relations regarding cotton growth features, examine more updated cotton cultivars, focus on initial and late cotton stages, and explore the consequence of high-deep submergence. Full article

Precision irrigation plays a crucial role in managing crop production in a sustainable and environmentally friendly manner. This study builds on the results of the GreenWaterDrone project, aiming to estimate, in real time, the actual water requirements of crop fields using the crop water stress index, integrating infrared canopy temperature, air temperature, relative humidity, and thermal and near-infrared imagery. To achieve this, a state-of-the-art aerial micrometeorological station (AMMS), equipped with an infrared thermal sensor, temperature–humidity sensor, and advanced multispectral and thermal cameras is mounted on an unmanned aerial system (UAS), thus minimizing crop field intervention and permanently installed equipment maintenance. Additionally, data from satellite systems and ground micrometeorological stations (GMMS) are integrated to enhance and upscale system results from the local field to the regional level. The research was conducted over two years of pilot testing in the municipality of Trifilia (Peloponnese, Greece) on pilot potato and watermelon crops, which are primary cultivations in the region. Results revealed that empirical irrigation applied to the rhizosphere significantly exceeded crop water needs, with over-irrigation exceeding by 390% the maximum requirement in the case of potato. Furthermore, correlations between high-resolution remote and proximal sensors were strong, while associations with coarser Landsat 8 satellite data, to upscale the local pilot field experimental results, were moderate. By applying a comprehensive model for upscaling pilot field results, to the overall Trifilia region, project findings proved adequate for supporting sustainable irrigation planning through simulation scenarios. The results of this study, in the context of the overall services introduced by the project, provide valuable insights for farmers, agricultural scientists, and local/regional authorities and stakeholders, facilitating improved regional water management and sustainable agricultural policies. Full article

Understanding the impacts of the spatial non-stationarity of environmental factors on surface soil moisture (SSM) in different seasons is crucial for effective environmental management. Yet, our knowledge of this phenomenon remains limited. This study introduces an interpretable machine learning framework that combines the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method with two-step clustering to unravel the spatial drivers of SSM across Iran. Due to the limited availability of in situ SSM data, the performance of three global SSM datasets—SMAP, MERRA-2, and CFSv2—from 2015 to 2023 was evaluated using agrometeorological stations. SMAP outperformed the others, showing the highest median correlation and the lowest Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). Using SMAP, we estimated SSM across 609 catchments employing the Random Forest (RF) algorithm. The RF model yielded R² values of 0.89, 0.83, 0.70, and 0.75 for winter, spring, summer, and autumn, respectively, with corresponding RMSE values of 0.076, 0.081, 0.098, and 0.061 m³/m³. SHAP analysis revealed that climatic factors primarily drive SSM in winter and autumn, while vegetation and soil characteristics are more influential in spring and summer. The clustering results showed that Iran’s catchments can be grouped into five categories based on the SHAP method coefficients, highlighting regional differences in SSM controls. Full article

Drought indices are important resources for monitoring and warning of drought impacts. However, regions like New Mexico, which are highly vulnerable to drought, as identified by the United States Drought Monitor (USDM), lack a comprehensive drought monitoring system that integrates multiple agrometeorological variables into a single indicator. The purpose of this study is to create a Combined Drought Indicator for New Mexico (CDI-NM) as an indicator tool for use in monitoring historical drought events and measuring its extent across the New Mexico. The CDI-NM was constructed using four key variables: the Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), temperature, Smoothed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (SMN), and gridded rainfall data. A quantitative approach was used to assign weights to these variables employing Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to produce the CDI-NM. Unlike conventional indices, CDI-NM assigns weights to each variable based on their statistical contributions, allowing the index to adapt to local spatial and temporal drought dynamics. The performance of CDI-NM was evaluated against gridded rainfall data using the 3-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI3) over a 17-year period (2003–2019). The results revealed that CDI-NM reliably detected moderate and severe droughts with a strong correlation (R² > 0.8 and RMSE = 0.10) between both indices for the entire period of analysis. CDI-NM showed negative correlation (r < 0) with crop yield. While promising, the method assumes linear relationships among variables and consistent spatial resolution in the input datasets, which may affect its accuracy under certain local conditions. Based on the results, the CDI-NM stands out as a promising instrument that brings us closer to improved decision-making by stakeholders in the fight against agricultural droughts throughout New Mexico. Full article

This study analyzes the evolution of hydrometeorological risks and severe weather events in Catalonia through an extensive review of 21,312 news reports aired by Televisió de Catalunya (TVC) between 1984 and 2019, 10,686 (50.1%) of which focused on events within Catalonia. The reports are categorized by the type of phenomenon, geographic location, and reported impact, enabling the identification of temporal trends. The results indicate a general increase in the frequency of news coverage of hydrometeorological and severe weather events—particularly floods and heavy rainfall—both in Catalonia and the broader Mediterranean region. This rise is attributed not only to a potential increase in such events, but also to the expansion and evolution of media coverage over time. In the Catalan context, the most frequently reported hazards are snowfalls and cold waves (3203 reports), followed by rainfall and flooding (3065), agrometeorological risks (2589), and wind or sea storms (1456). The study highlights that rainfall and flooding pose the most significant risks in Catalonia, as they account for the majority of the reports involving serious impacts—1273 cases of material damage and 150 involving fatalities. The normalized data reveal a growing proportion of reports on violent weather and floods, and a relative decline in snow-related events. Full article

The seasonal and interannual irregularity of temperature and precipitation is a feature of the Mediterranean climate that is intensified by climate change and constitutes a relevant driver of water and soil degradation. This study was developed during three years in a hydro-agricultural area of the Alqueva irrigation system (Portugal) with Mediterranean climate conditions. The sampling campaigns included collecting water samples from eight irrigation hydrants, analyzed four times yearly. The analysis incorporated meteorological data and indices (precipitation, temperature, and drought conditions) alongside chemical parameters, using multivariate statistics (factor analysis and cluster analysis) to identify key water quality drivers. Additionally, machine learning models (Random Forest regression and Gradient Boosting machine) were employed to predict electrical conductivity (ECw), sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), and pH based on chemical and climatic variables. Water quality evaluation showed a prevalence of a slight to moderate soil sodification risk. The factor analysis outcome was a three-factor model related to salinity, sodicity, and climate. The cluster analysis revealed a grouping pattern led by year and followed by stage, pointing to the influence of inter-annual climate irregularity. Variations in water quality from the reservoirs to the distribution network were not substantial. The Random Forest algorithm showed superior predictive accuracy, particularly for ECw and SAR, confirming its potential for the reliable forecasting of irrigation water quality. This research emphasizes the importance of integrating time-sensitive monitoring with data-driven predictions of water quality to support sustainable water resources management in agriculture. This integrated approach offers a promising framework for early warning and informed decision-making in the context of increasing drought vulnerability across Mediterranean agro-environments. Full article

This study introduces a comprehensive framework for assessing and enhancing the quality of hourly temperature data collected from a six-station agrometeorological network in the Arta plain, Epirus, Greece, spanning the period 2015–2023. By combining traditional quality control (QC) techniques with advanced methods—Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), Fuzzy Logic, and XGBoost machine learning—the framework effectively identifies anomalies and reconstructs missing or erroneous temperature values. The DTW–Fuzzy Logic approach reliably detected spatial inconsistencies, while the machine learning reconstruction achieved low root mean squared error (RMSE) values (0.40–0.66 °C), ensuring the high fidelity of the corrected dataset. A Data Quality Index (DQI) was developed to quantify improvements in both completeness and accuracy, providing a transparent and standardized metric for end users. The enhanced temperature data significantly improve the reliability of inputs for applications such as evapotranspiration (ET) estimation and agricultural decision support systems (DSS). Designed to be scalable and automated, the proposed framework ensures robust Internal Consistency across the network—even when stations are intermittently offline—yielding direct benefits for irrigation water management, as well as broader agrometeorological applications. Full article

This paper presents a new model for low-cost solar-powered Automatic Weather Stations based on the ESP-32 microcontroller, modern sensors, and intelligent forecasts for Brasilia. The proposed system relies on compact, multifunctional sensors and features an open-source firmware project and open-circuit board design. It includes a BME688, AS7331, VEML7700, AS3935 for thermo-hygro-barometry (plus air quality), ultraviolet irradiance, luximetry, and fulminology, besides having a rainfall gauge and an anemometer. Powered by photovoltaic panels and batteries, it operates uninterruptedly under variable weather conditions, with data collected being sent via WiFi to a Web API that adapts the MZDN-HF (Meteorological Zone Delimited Neural Network–Hourly Forecaster) model compilation for Brasilia to produce accurate 24 h multivariate forecasts, which were evaluated through MAE, RMSE, and R² metrics. Installed at the University of Brasilia, it demonstrates robust hardware performance and strong correlation with INMET’s A001 data, suitable for climate monitoring, precision agriculture, and environmental research. Full article

German chamomile (Matricaria chamomilla L.) is a suitable medicinal and aromatic crop to cultivate in diverse regions, but its relationship with weather is a major concern in evaluating the development and crop production in the Western Himalayan region. Thus, a field experiment was executed for two years (2018–2019 and 2019–2020) at CSIR-Institute of Himalayan Bioresource Technology, Palampur, India, to evaluate the crop weather relationship studies and different phenological phases of German chamomile under acidic soil conditions of mid hills of Western Himalaya. Agrometeorological indices were worked out for four different sowing times from 20 November to 20 January with foliar application of elicitor, i.e., salicylic acid at three levels (viz., SA0: 0 mg/L, SA1: 25 mg/L, SA2: 50 mg/L). The results revealed that the number of days required for attaining each phenological stage decreased with a delay in sowing time. Higher growing degree days (GDDs), photothermal units (PTUs) and heliothermal units (HTUs) were accumulated for early sowing of 20 November and showed a gradual decrease with delayed sowing. Salicylic acid application produced a significant effect on the accumulation of agrometeorological indices, irrespective of the applied doses, and showed irregularity. Higher accumulation of GDDs, PTUs, and HTUs is associated with higher flower and essential oil yield; thus, the results showed that agrometeorological indices are associated with the production of German chamomile. Full article

While highland barley on the Tibetan Plateau is adversely affected by water stress during its growth period, precipitation enhancement could potentially mitigate this issue. Accurate assessment of the benefits obtained through precipitation enhancement is crucial for local governments to develop policies for sustainable agriculture. To quantify these benefits, the WOFOST model was employed to evaluate the effects under four different precipitation enhancement scenarios. The model demonstrated strong performance, with a Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) of 0.93 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.66. Using the calibrated WOFOST model, yield increases were simulated under three meteorological drought conditions classified by the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). The results showed that yield increases were minimal during years with less rainfall, primarily due to a lower leaf area index under extreme meteorological drought conditions. Additionally, the impact of precipitation enhancement on yield increases was nonlinear. An enhancement of 5% had negligible effects, while enhancements greater than 10% led to significant increases. Specifically, precipitation enhancement during the reproductive stage resulted in regional yield increases of 170.7, 325.5, 465.9, and 580.5 kg/ha for enhancements of 5%, 10%, 15%, and 20%, respectively, surpassing yield increases from enhancements during the vegetative stage. This greater yield increase is attributed to highland barley’s sensitivity to water stress at critical growth stages and the unique climate conditions of the Tibetan Plateau. For Longzi—the largest base for highland barley production, with a planting area of 3440 ha in 2024—a 10% enhancement at the reproductive stage could yield an economic benefit of CNY 9.8 million. Under climate change scenarios, the decreasing trends in highland barley yields could be effectively offset by precipitation enhancement, highlighting the applicability of precipitation enhancement as an effective tool for mitigating climate change in Tibet. Future studies should integrate crop models with weather numerical models to better address uncertainties. Full article

This study presents a comprehensive framework for agro-meteorological prediction, combining stochastic modeling, machine learning techniques, and environmental feature engineering to address challenges in yield prediction and wind behavior modeling. Focused on mango cultivation in the Mediterranean region, the workflow integrates diverse datasets, including satellite-derived variables such as NDVI, soil moisture, and land surface temperature (LST), along with meteorological features like wind speed and direction. Stochastic modeling was employed to capture environmental variability, while a proxy yield was defined using key environmental factors in the absence of direct field yield measurements. Machine learning models, including random forest and multi-layer perceptron (MLP), were hybridized to improve the prediction accuracy for both proxy yield and wind components (U and V that represent the east–west and north–south wind movement). The hybrid model achieved mean squared error (MSE) values of 0.333 for U and 0.181 for V, with corresponding R² values of 0.8939 and 0.9339, respectively, outperforming the individual models and demonstrating reliable generalization in the 2022 test set. Additionally, although NDVI is traditionally important in crop monitoring, its low temporal variability across the observation period resulted in minimal contribution to the final prediction, as confirmed by feature importance analysis. Furthermore, the analysis revealed the significant influence of environmental factors such as LST, precipitable water, and soil moisture on yield dynamics, while wind visualization over digital elevation models (DEMs) highlighted the impact of terrain features on the wind patterns. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of combining stochastic and machine learning approaches in agricultural modeling, offering valuable insights for crop management and climate adaptation strategies. Full article

Drought raises significant challenges and consequences in the socioeconomic environment in Dobrogea, Romania. This research aimed to assess the spatiotemporal dynamics of agrometeorological droughts from 2001 to 2021 using a multi-index approach that includes the Vegetation Health Index (VHI) and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Severe-to-extreme drought events were detected in 2001, 2007, 2012, 2015, 2016, 2019, and 2020, when temperatures in the area reached as high as 40.91 °C. Regarding area coverage, 2012 and 2020 were the worst drought years, with 66% and 71% of the region affected. Mild and moderate droughts were consistently identified across almost the entire period, while normal wet conditions were indicated in 2004–2006. The spatial analysis and the drought frequency maps revealed that the central, southern, and northwestern areas were particularly vulnerable, underlining the need for targeted drought mitigation measures. The trend analysis results indicated a nonuniform spatial feature of the negative (drying)/positive (wetting) trends at the regional level, with statistically significant trends identified only over small areas. Further results showed a robust relationship among the VHI and SPEI, particularly on 1-month and seasonal timescales. The extended correlation analysis results showed very strong positive relationships among all the vegetation indices, positive relations with rainfall, and strong negative ties with land surface temperature. Moreover, the seasonal VHI proved to be effective for drought monitoring across areas with diverse crop types. The results we obtained are consistent with previous studies on the incidence of drought in the area and hold practical significance for decision-makers responsible for drought management planning within Dobrogea, including setting up an early warning system using the VHI. Full article