Search Results (264)

The ornamental industry encompasses a wide range of species cultivated for their aesthetic value, including floriculture crops, ornamental and turf grasses, trees, and shrubs. In Italy, in particular, this sector represents a significant component of the agricultural economy, with an annual wholesale production value of approximately EUR 2.6 billion. Despite its economic importance, the industry has recently faced challenges related to the COVID-19 pandemic and increasing international competition. Moreover, ornamental production is highly water-demanding, making water availability a critical concern under climate change scenarios. The future competitiveness of ornamental sector depends on its ability to adapt to environmental and market pressures through sustainable cultivation practices, diversification with value-added crops, and improved post-production management. This study investigates the potential introduction of non-endemic wild or underutilized species as innovative ornamental crops for EU markets. While economic evaluation will be essential prior to commercialization, the current focus is on identifying promising species and outlining strategies to optimize the production chain. These approaches aim to enhance the sector’s resilience, align with sustainability goals, and foster innovation within the Italian and Mediterranean ornamental industry. Full article

Licorice is an important specialty crop that links agricultural production, processing and trade, and rural livelihoods in the arid and semi-arid regions of China. Using UN Comtrade data for HS 130212 from 1990 to 2024, this study evaluates the international Trade Competitiveness of China’s licorice exports and identifies the sources of export growth. A multi-indicator static framework is constructed, combining International Market Share (IMS), the Trade Competitiveness Index (TC), the Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage index (RSCA) and the Revealed Competitive Advantage index (CA). The results show that China maintains a relatively large and stable global market share and a persistent net export position, but its comparative and net Competitive Advantages are weaker than those of high-end suppliers such as France and Israel, revealing a pattern of “large scale but weak competitiveness”. To capture dynamic drivers, an extended Constant Market Share (CMS) model is applied to decompose China’s licorice exports into world demand, structural and competitiveness effects. The decomposition indicates that export growth has gradually shifted from being mainly driven by global demand expansion to relying more on improvements in product competitiveness and market reconfiguration, particularly in emerging markets. These findings suggest that upgrading product quality and processing, strengthening standards and branding, and promoting more inclusive value-chain development are essential for transforming China’s licorice exports from scale expansion to high-quality growth and for enhancing rural incomes in producing regions. Full article

China boasts abundant cultivated resources of pitahaya, with Guizhou Province being one of its core producing areas. Quality differences in red-fleshed pitahaya among local producing areas have not been fully clarified, and a standardized quantitative evaluation system for these differences remains lacking. This study seeks to identify the key factors influencing regional variations in quality and establish a comprehensive evaluation standard. In this study, 15 samples of red-fleshed pitahaya were collected from four major producing areas in Guizhou and used as research materials. Based on 15 quality characteristic indicators of the fruits, an analysis of quality differences and establishment of an evaluation system were carried out using multivariate statistical analysis. The results showed that 14 of the 15 quality indicators exhibited significant differences among pitahaya samples from different producing areas (p < 0.05), with the a* value being the sole exception. Cluster analysis classified the 15 samples into four groups. Principal component analysis (PCA) extracted four principal components, with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 81.07%, which clearly identified betacyanin, betaxanthin, 1,1-diphenyl-2-picrylhydrazyl (DPPH) free-radical scavenging rate, vitamin C, fruit shape index, and transverse diameter as the core evaluation indicators. This study systematically clarifies the differences in quality characteristics and the internal correlations among quality indicators of red-fleshed pitahaya from different major producing areas in Guizhou. It further provides an important scientific basis for pitahaya variety breeding, cultivation regulation, and market positioning in this region and fills the research gap existing in the field of comprehensive quality evaluation of pitahaya. This is of significant practical importance for promoting the standardized upgrading of local specialty fruit industries, enhancing the market competitiveness of products, and facilitating the high-quality development of the agricultural economy. Full article

This study analyzes the competitive asymmetries and trade effects of the proposed EU–Mercosur Trade Agreement on the European Union’s (EU) and Polish agri-food sectors. The comparative analysis reveals that Mercosur holds a significant structural advantage driven by substantially lower labor costs, cheaper agricultural land, and a climate permitting multiple harvests. This cost advantage is further compounded by weaker regulatory standards (e.g., on pesticides and antibiotics). This structural edge is most pronounced in high-volume commodities, leading to Mercosur trade surpluses in products such as soybeans, sugar cane, and wheat, which pose the primary competitive threats to the EU market. Conversely, the EU maintains an intensive advantage through superior yields in intensive farming (e.g., maize) and specialization in high-value, processed products. This creates quantifiable export opportunities for EU/Polish producers in sectors where Mercosur is a consistent net importer, notably other frozen vegetables, preserved tomatoes, and apples. The findings confirm an asymmetric effect of liberalization, which necessitates a dual strategy of internal structural reform (e.g., the EU Protein Strategy) and the implementation of external protective mechanisms, including strategic Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) adaptations and safeguard clauses, to maintain the long-term competitiveness and Supply Chain Resilience of European agriculture. Full article

High-quality agricultural products from the Lambayeque region have contributed to the growth of Peru’s agro-export sector and increased international trade. However, the need for agricultural exports to be more resilient and sustainable is demonstrated by the fact that markets are still concentrated, logistical costs are high, and global demand is constantly shifting. The purpose of this study is to use a gravity-based trade model and market intelligence techniques to analyse the agricultural exports from the Lambayeque region between 2015 and 2024. Using official data from the World Bank, AZATRADE, CEPII, and MINCETUR, we employed a quantitative explanatory approach. The results show that the concentration of businesses has significantly decreased while the value of exports has increased steadily. The Herfindahl–Hirschman Index increased from 6209 in 2015 to 1349 in 2024, and export destinations have become slightly more diverse. Exports are negatively impacted by geographic distance, but free trade agreements greatly benefit them. There is a lot of export potential in markets like Finland, Indonesia, Austria, Bolivia, and Vietnam. However, Israel and Hong Kong appear to be full. Overall, the findings indicate that Lambayeque’s export performance has improved, but it still runs the risk of becoming overly focused on a single sector. Long-term sustainability of the region’s agricultural exports depends on enhancing logistical infrastructure, bolstering market intelligence, and promoting regional diversity. Full article

The contemporary agricultural market is profoundly volatile, where agricultural prices are based on a complex supply chain, climatic irregularity or unscheduled market demand. Prices of crops need to be predicted in a reliable and timely manner for farmers, policy-makers and other stakeholders to take evidence-based decisions ultimately for the benefit towards sustainable agriculture and economic sustainability. Objective: The objective of this study is to develop and evaluate a comprehensive machine learning model for predicting agricultural prices incorporating logistic, economic and environmental considerations. It is the desire to make agriculture more profitable by building simple and accurate forecasting models. Methods: An assorted dataset was collected, which covers major factors to constitute the dataset of temperature, rainfall, fertiliser use, pest and disease attack level, cost of transportation, market demand-supply ratio and regional competitiveness. The data was subjected to pre-processing and feature extraction for quality control/quality assurance. Several machine learning models (Linear Regression, Support Vector Machines, AdaBoost, Random Forest, and XGBoost) were trained and evaluated using performance metrics such as R2 score, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Results: Out of the model approaches that were analysed, predictive performance was superior for XGBoost (with an R2 Score of 0.94, RMSE of 12.8 and MAE of 8.6). To generate accurate predictions, the ability to account for complex non-linear relationships between market and environmental information was necessary. Conclusions: The forecast model of the XGBoost-based prediction system is reliable, of low complexity and widely applicable to large-scale real-time forecasting of agricultural monitoring. The model substantially reduces the uncertainty of price forecasting, and does so by including multivariate environmental and economic aspects that permit more profitable management practices in a schedule for future sustainable agriculture. Full article

This study examines the potential implications of the EU–Mercosur free trade agreement for the Polish horticultural sector, with particular emphasis on sustainability, trade competitiveness, and structural complementarities between the regions. Drawing on production, trade, and demographic data for the EU, Poland, and Mercosur countries, the analysis evaluates the alignment of horticultural supply and demand structures, the degree of intra-industry exchange, and the economic conditions shaping bilateral trade. The research applies the Grubel–Lloyd index and a Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PPML) gravity model to assess the determinants of Poland’s horticultural exports to Mercosur. The results indicate that trade remains predominantly inter-industry, reflecting substantial differences in agricultural specialisation and regulatory frameworks. At the same time, rising income levels in Mercosur, together with selected product-level complementarities, indicate emerging export opportunities for Poland. Poland’s trade with the Southern Common Market remains mainly as inter-industry, with the greatest export potential concentrated in high-value-added processed goods. Divergent sustainability standards, particularly in pesticide use, environmental regulation, and carbon-intensive transport, pose structural challenges that may affect the competitiveness and environmental footprint of expanded trade. Overall, the findings provide evidence that closer integration with Mercosur may support export diversification, but requires careful alignment with the EU’s sustainability objectives to ensure resilient and environmentally responsible development of the horticultural sector. Full article

Agricultural listed companies are key nodes in the agricultural industry chain, providing capital, technology and market access to upstream producers and downstream processors. When these firms face delisting risk, the resilience and sustainability of the industry chain are threatened. Using data from 897 observations of Chinese A-share listed companies in the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector over 2010–2021, this study links multidimensional firm vulnerability to subsequent delisting risk. We construct 30 internal and external indicators covering financial performance, innovation input, supply chain concentration, government support and market competitiveness. Clustering method is applied to capture heterogeneity in firms’ multidimensional structural, gradient boosting models are used to predict ST (Special Treatment) status within three years, and SHAP analysis is used to identify the main risk. The results show that a small subset of firms with high leverage, tight liquidity, weak profitability, insufficient innovation, and highly concentrated key customers and suppliers accounts for most ST cases. Strengthening capital buffers, diversifying critical supply-chain relationships, and maintaining stable innovation investment are thus crucial for reducing delisting risk and enhancing the resilience of agricultural listed companies. Full article

The worldwide population is anticipated to reach 10.12 billion by the year 2100, thereby amplifying the necessity for sustainable agricultural methodologies to secure food availability while reducing ecological consequences. Conventional synthetic pesticides, while capable of increasing crop yields by as much as 50%, present considerable hazards such as toxicity, the emergence of resistance, and environmental pollution. This review examines biopesticides, originating from microbial (e.g., Bacillus thuringiensis, Trichoderma spp.), plant, or animal sources, as environmentally sustainable alternatives which address pest control through mechanisms including antibiosis, hyperparasitism, and competition. Biopesticides provide advantages such as biodegradability, minimal toxicity to non-target organisms, and a lower likelihood of resistance development. The global market for biopesticides is projected to be valued between USD 8 and 10 billion by 2025, accounting for 3–4% of the overall pesticide sector, and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12–16%. To mitigate production costs, agro-industrial byproducts such as rice husk and starch wastewater can be utilized as economical substrates in both solid-state and submerged fermentation processes, which may lead to a reduction in expenses ranging from 35% to 59%. Strategies for process intensification, such as the implementation of intensified bioreactors, continuous cultivation methods, and artificial intelligence (AI)-driven monitoring systems, significantly improve the upstream stages (including strain development and fermentation), downstream processes (such as purification and drying), and formulation phases. These advancements result in enhanced productivity, reduced energy consumption, and greater product stability. Patent activity, exemplified by 2371 documents from 1982 to 2021, highlights advancements in formulations and microbial strains. The integration of circular economy principles in biopesticide production through process intensification enhances the safety, quality, and sustainability of food systems. Projections suggest that by the 2040s to 2050s, biopesticides may achieve market parity with synthetic alternatives. Obstacles encompass the alignment of regulations and the ability to scale in order to completely achieve these benefits. Full article

The transfer price of land management rights, as a key component of deepening rural reform at the 20th National Congress, profoundly influences the direction of agricultural production. Analyzing the land transfer management rights price differences can provide a deep understanding of regional transfer patterns and promote efficient land transfer. This study employs the SES framework to investigate factors of land transfer price differences by integrating correlation regression with the Boosted Regression Tree model. The results showed that (1) resource units determine land transfer management rights prices, with agricultural output value and net arable land income serving as core determinants. (2) City W is in the nascent land market, where the resource systems (RS) exert stronger influence. Key drivers include the transportation accessibility index and the proportion of flexible land. Compared to County K, where the land market exhibits full competition, the primary drivers of price shift from the resource systems to the governance systems and actors. Land transfer participants and the number of rural economic organizations become the main factors. Within the same Eastern black soil region, the transfer price differed by several thousand yuan per hectare. This disparity stems from differences in the two driving structures, necessitating the precise implementation of land transfer policies. Full article

The agricultural economic policy in Mexico has inadequately addressed the integrated sustainability needs of the rural sector. This study adopts a sustainability perspective to examine economic policy distortions and market failures in the export-oriented rose cultivation sector, and evaluates their effects on the economic and social sustainability of producers in Tenancingo and Villa Guerrero, Mexico. A Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) and CONEVAL poverty line metrics were used to evaluate private and social profitability as indicators of financial viability and resource use efficiency. Findings indicate that, despite being supported by distortionary policies, the rose export sector remains competitive and financially viable, constituting a key pillar of economic sustainability. Moreover, the social profitability of rose production exceeded its private profitability, suggesting a net positive socioeconomic benefit and a sustainable allocation of resources from a societal perspective. Furthermore, per capita income in the rose production unit (RPU) exceeded the poverty line established by CONEVAL, directly supporting social sustainability and strengthening livelihood resilience. The study concludes that current resource allocation mechanisms are inefficient for sustainability over the long term. It emphasizes the need for policy shifts toward greater innovation, more effective technology transfer, improved market access, and stronger human capital to strengthen the sustainability of the sector as a whole. Rose cultivation exhibited a significant positive multiplier effect on the regional economy, reinforcing its contribution to sustainable rural development. Full article

The Mercosur countries (also known as the Southern Common Market countries) and the European Union (EU) Member States are two major global agri-food exporters whose production structures, patterns of specialisation and sustainability standards differ significantly. The upcoming entry into force of the EU–Mercosur Partnership Agreement (EMPA) may alter competitive conditions in the EU agri-food markets, as its most important component—the EU–Mercosur Interim Trade Agreement—provides for tariff liberalisation. The aim of this article is therefore to compare the agricultural production potential of Mercosur and the EU countries using a set of indicators grouped into production factors (land, labour and capital), productivity, production structure, and qualitative sustainability-related factors. The analysis employs comparative and dynamic statistical methods (including compound annual growth rates and measures of variability). The study is based on FAOSTAT data for 2018–2023, complemented by information on regulatory frameworks and EMPA provisions. The results show that agriculture in Mercosur is land-abundant, cost-efficient, and oriented toward export-driven livestock and commodity production, while the EU is characterised by higher capital intensity and significantly higher land and labour productivity. These structural asymmetries, reinforced by lower input costs and less stringent production standards in Mercosur, suggest increased competitive pressure in the EU market after EMPA implementation, particularly in beef, poultry, sugar and ethanol. The findings highlight the need for continuous monitoring of market dynamics and, where necessary, the activation of safeguard mechanisms. The study provides also an updated evidence base to support policymakers in assessing the implications of the EMPA. Full article

Organic vanilla production in Mexico holds significant promise but faces substantial challenges that impact its sustainability and market competitiveness. As the native region of Vanilla planifolia, Mexico is endowed with rich biodiversity and a deep cultural heritage surrounding vanilla cultivation. Organic production systems in the country predominantly rely on traditional agroforestry practices, manual pollination, and artisanal curing methods, all of which enhance the quality and distinctiveness of Mexican vanilla. However, production is hindered by critical factors, including low genetic diversity and susceptibility to phytopathogenic diseases, particularly stem and root rot caused by Fusarium oxysporum. In recent years, the application of in vitro micropropagation techniques has shown great potential for obtaining pathogen-free plants and conserving germplasm, offering a sustainable alternative to strengthen organic systems and reduce pressure on wild populations. The labor-intensive processes, yield variability, and the complexity of adhering to organic certification standards are additional challenges to overcome. Shifts in consumer preferences toward natural and sustainably produced goods have increased demand for organic vanilla, offering Mexican producers an opportunity to gain a more prominent position in the global market. Advancing research into disease management, fostering genetic conservation, and integrating scientific advances with traditional know-how are vital strategies for overcoming current limitations. In this context, organic vanilla production represents not only an economic opportunity but also a means to conserve biodiversity, support rural communities, and maintain the legacy of one of Mexico’s most emblematic agricultural products. This review was conducted using a qualitative, narrative analysis of recent scientific literature, technical reports, and case studies related to organic vanilla production in Mexico. Full article

Field crop cultivation in the Republic of Moldova faces significant challenges due to climate variability, market volatility, and rising input costs. Under these conditions, transitioning from conventional to conservation agriculture (CA) represents a strategic solution for improving farm resilience and competitiveness. This study evaluates the economic efficiency of the main field crops—wheat, barley, maize, rapeseed, and sunflower—by comparing income and expenditure budgets for conventional and conservation systems. The results highlight significant advantages for conservation agriculture, both in terms of profitability and the sustainable use of natural resources (water, soil, and biodiversity). The analysis, based on data from 25 representative farms collected between 2020 and 2024, shows that CA improves profitability by 15–35%, reduces fuel use by 35–40%, and decreases mechanized operations by 30–45%. These benefits result in lower production costs and greater yield stability in drought conditions. The research conclusions confirm that the implementation of conservation agriculture can contribute to the efficient adaptation of farmers to climate risks and to the consolidation of the sustainable development of the agricultural sector in the Republic of Moldova. Full article

Agricultural product branding promotes regional economic development by enhancing brand value and market competitiveness, serving as a vital pathway for increasing farmers’ incomes and advancing the transformation of modern agriculture. This paper transcends one-dimensional analysis by examining the dual perspectives of urban-rural income disparities and regional income gaps, thereby revealing the impact of regional agricultural product branding on income inequality. This study employs panel data from 82 counties in Guangdong Province spanning the years 2010 to 2023, comprising a total of 1148 observations, and treats the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs’ designation of “famous, special, excellent, and new” agricultural products as a policy hit. Employing a multi-period difference-in-differences model, it empirically examines the impact of regional agricultural product branding (RAPB) on income inequality. The study found the following: (1) RAPB narrowed the urban-rural income gap by 0.92% and Theil decreased significantly by about 15.3% on average. (2) Mechanism analysis indicates that RAPB mitigates income inequality through resource allocation effects, technological progress effects, and human capital accumulation effects. (3) Heterogeneity tests reveal that the inequality-alleviating effect of RAPB is most robust in regions focused on crop cultivation and areas with lower levels of agribusiness vitality, while its effect is weakened in dynamic entrepreneurial and high-yield regions. This study provides a new value metric for evaluating regional brand policies that balance efficiency and equity, revealing their core potential in promoting social fairness and coordinating urban-rural and regional development. Full article