Price and Trade Dynamics in Agricultural Commodity Markets

A special issue of Agriculture (ISSN 2077-0472). This special issue belongs to the section "Agricultural Economics, Policies and Rural Management".

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 30 September 2025 | Viewed by 1063

Special Issue Editors


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Guest Editor
Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Sciences (SGGW), 02-787 Warsaw, Poland
Interests: agricultural economics; market integration; vertical and horizontal price transmission; agricultural policy; international trade; commodity markets

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Guest Editor
Department of Economics and Economic Policy in Agribusiness, Faculty of Economics, Poznan University of Life Sciences, Wojska Polskiego 28, 60-637 Poznan, Poland
Interests: agricultural economics; international economics; international trade and trade policy; foreign direct investment; international competitiveness; regional integration; agricultural policy; agricultural markets; food industry; food security; general and partial equilibrium modeling
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

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Guest Editor
Department of Econometrics and Statistics, Institute of Economics and Finance, Warsaw University of Life Sciences-SGGW, Nowoursynowska 166, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland
Interests: time series analysis; commodity prices; commodity markets financialization; Dutch disease; price volatility and risk management
Special Issues, Collections and Topics in MDPI journals

Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

Well-functioning, integrated, and competitive agri-food commodity markets are key to promoting the efficient allocation and distribution of resources and goods. The level of prices and trade opportunities conditions the decisions of producers and consumers. High volatility in agricultural trade and prices is observed in the era of globalisation, climate change, and political turmoil, hindering rational decisions. Therefore, the dynamics of these phenomena and the economic effects of ongoing changes require continuous observations and research.

This Special Issue will promote a deeper understanding of price changes, trade dynamics in agri-food products, and their causes and effects. The recent events that we have witnessed require deep analyses from different perspectives. We believe that the research conducted and published here will not only be of great importance from a cognitive point of view but will also help experts to formulate practical recommendations for economic policy.

Original research papers, including theoretical elaborations, methodology studies, and empirical analyses concerning the price and trade dynamics, are welcome. In particular, studies employing various quantitative methods are desired. Literature review papers are also encouraged in these areas. In this Special Issue, original research articles and reviews are welcome. Agricultural commodity markets research areas may include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Vertical and horizontal price transmission;
  • Price volatility and price risk;
  • Price discovery in futures and spot markets;
  • The dynamics of international trade;
  • Drivers of prices and trade over time;
  • Impact of policies and/or external shocks/events on price and trade fluctuations;
  • Novel methods for and methodology studies on price and trade dynamics.

Dr. Mariusz Hamulczuk
Prof. Dr. Karolina Pawlak
Dr. Katarzyna Czech
Guest Editors

Manuscript Submission Information

Manuscripts should be submitted online at www.mdpi.com by registering and logging in to this website. Once you are registered, click here to go to the submission form. Manuscripts can be submitted until the deadline. All submissions that pass pre-check are peer-reviewed. Accepted papers will be published continuously in the journal (as soon as accepted) and will be listed together on the special issue website. Research articles, review articles as well as short communications are invited. For planned papers, a title and short abstract (about 100 words) can be sent to the Editorial Office for announcement on this website.

Submitted manuscripts should not have been published previously, nor be under consideration for publication elsewhere (except conference proceedings papers). All manuscripts are thoroughly refereed through a single-blind peer-review process. A guide for authors and other relevant information for submission of manuscripts is available on the Instructions for Authors page. Agriculture is an international peer-reviewed open access semimonthly journal published by MDPI.

Please visit the Instructions for Authors page before submitting a manuscript. The Article Processing Charge (APC) for publication in this open access journal is 2600 CHF (Swiss Francs). Submitted papers should be well formatted and use good English. Authors may use MDPI's English editing service prior to publication or during author revisions.

Keywords

  • commodity market
  • agri-food sector
  • agri-food prices
  • price forecasting
  • price volatility
  • futures markets
  • market integration
  • price transmission
  • price and trade modelling
  • impact assessment
  • international trade
  • trade policy

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Published Papers (1 paper)

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Research

17 pages, 671 KB  
Article
Price Integration of the Ukrainian and EU Corn Markets in the Context of the Russian—Ukrainian War
by Mariusz Hamulczuk and Denys Cherevyk
Agriculture 2025, 15(16), 1777; https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture15161777 - 19 Aug 2025
Viewed by 460
Abstract
Russia’s full-scale aggression against Ukraine has led to profound disruptions in local and global agri-food markets. Since Ukraine is one of the world’s largest maize exporters, the war also contributed to considerable changes in trade reallocation, as well as an increase in the [...] Read more.
Russia’s full-scale aggression against Ukraine has led to profound disruptions in local and global agri-food markets. Since Ukraine is one of the world’s largest maize exporters, the war also contributed to considerable changes in trade reallocation, as well as an increase in the significance of the European Union in Ukrainian exports. This study analyses the effects of the Russian–Ukrainian war on horizontal maize price transmission between Ukraine and the EU countries. The panel autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) was applied to investigate the impact of the war on the price pass-through between those countries. The econometric analysis was performed on a weekly feed maize export price series for Ukraine and 14 selected EU countries. The time frame of research, January 2019 to December 2024, was split into pre-war and war periods. The study indicates that with the outbreak of the war, the long-term relationship between Ukraine and the EU’s maize prices has weakened. At the same time, there was an increase in the short-run maize price transmission between Ukraine and the Eastern EU countries. This proves that in the face of the conflict, market participants in these countries are increasingly guided by the market situation in Ukraine when making economic decisions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Price and Trade Dynamics in Agricultural Commodity Markets)
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