Search Results (48)

This study explores the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on stock market efficiency in nine Asian emerging markets—China, India, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Thailand—between 2019 and 2021. We use daily index data to apply the wild bootstrap automatic variance ratio (WBAVR) and automatic portmanteau (AQ) tests within a rolling-window framework to measure the extent and duration of efficiency changes during the crisis. We document heterogeneous departures from efficiency, with severe and persistent inefficiency in the Philippines, Korea, Malaysia, and Thailand, episodic deterioration in Indonesia, mixed evidence in China, and negligible or reversed disruption in India, Pakistan, and Taiwan. Panel regressions reveal that efficiency deterioration is associated with containment policy stringency and exchange rate depreciation, while rising cumulative case counts are associated with higher efficiency, consistent with adaptive investor behavior as the pandemic progressed. We conclude that weak-form efficiency is a time-varying and a policy-sensitive property in emerging markets, and our findings offer practical insights for investors and policymakers operating in these environments during systemic crises. Full article

The current study explores how corporate governance affects firm performance. It also examines the link between corporate governance and firm performance within capital structure, focusing on how financing decisions may moderate this relationship.—This analysis covers 215 non-financially registered firms listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange from 2010 to 2022. To assess the quality of governance in these sample firms, a governance index incorporating 29 provisions is utilized. In addition, the book value of the debt-to-equity ratio determines the capital structure, whereas ROA and ROE serve as indicators of business performance. The methodology relies on panel data techniques, specifically the Fixed Effects Model and Random Effects Model, as determined by the Hausman test. Furthermore, multiple additional tests are conducted to verify the robustness of the analysis. Regression analysis shows that corporate governance significantly increases profitability (i.e., ROA and ROE), while capital structure significantly decreases it. Furthermore, when examining the capital structure’s moderating effect, the results indicate that the interaction variable significantly enhances firm performance. Still, it is more significant in terms of ROA than ROE, suggesting that market participants consider leverage not a good disciplinary mechanism, as high leverage introduces financial risk and obligations (such as interest payments) that can reduce firms’ ability to translate good governance practices into performance. Interactive variables have a weaker effect on profitability, as measured by ROE. Furthermore, these findings are more prevalent in larger, higher-level, and better-governed firms. The study’s findings could help lenders assess a company’s governance structure before making financial decisions. Similarly, investors should examine the quality of corporate governance and the company’s capital structure decisions. Managers should be extremely cautious when deciding how much long-term debt to include in their capital structure. The study indicates that capital structure plays an additional role in how corporate governance affects a company’s performance. This role is not often explored in research, especially in emerging markets. Full article

The latest research on tax avoidance indicates that the number of female directors on a board increases the accounting accuracy and company performance by decreasing tax avoidance. The empirical research illustrates that women’s higher risk aversion and more conservative characteristics are key for company decision-making, especially when considering a tax strategy. We posit that the risk avoidance of women and other board attributes that enhance diversity influence the company’s sustainability through their effects on the company’s taxpaying activities. To verify this relationship, an empirical analysis was conducted using data for the period from 2009 to 2025 for the non-financial enterprises listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange. The results showed that enhancing diversity on the board by attributes such as gender inclusion paves the way for firms to achieve firm performance. The results showed that tax avoidance partially mediates the relationship between corporate board attributes and firm performance. Effective board diversity encourages firms to engage in more tax-paying activities, which leads to positive firm performance. The research outcomes strengthen the existing proof of the link between board diversity and company financial performance, with tax avoidance behavior serving as an intervening factor. This also provides insights for policy-making authorities, encouraging them to make tax-related regulations that better promote long-term growth and prosperity. This study fills a gap in the research by highlighting the influence of board diversity on tax avoidance behavior and corporate financial performance. Full article

The study documents the impact of the external sector on movements of the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), covering conventional and Islamic indices. Selected variables include international trade, foreign investment, remittances, oil, gold, and currency markets, as well as the KSE-100 and KMI-30 indices. The sample period covers the latest 130 months, from 2015/01 to 2025/10. Results are documented through descriptive statistics, pairwise correlations, and OLS regression. Stability of coefficients during the review period is checked by calculating BTC-Var and switching Var. Outstanding momentum is evident in market indices (in the final phase), accompanied by growth in remittances, while the national currency has experienced an alarming depreciation. The combined impact of the external sector is not in the higher range for either index (adjusted R-square values are low). A group of four variables (remittances, oil, gold, and currency markets) was significant for the conventional index, while a group of three variables (oil, gold, and currency markets) was significant for the Islamic index. All significant variables contribute positively to stock index movements, except the exchange rate. BTC-Var and switching var suggest instability of relationships and regime-dependent var dynamics. The findings are beneficial for managers and investors in predicting index movements and portfolio diversification, as well as for relevant authorities in making policy decisions that promote prudent exchange-rate management and facilitate remittances. To the best of the author’s knowledge, this study is among the few that jointly examine the impact of external-sector variables on stock market movements. Full article

The effect of corporate social responsibility (CSR) disclosure on zero-leverage policies is examined for listed firms at the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) from 2010 to 2021. Binary logistic regression models show a statistically significant positive relationship between CSR disclosure and zero leverage. Increased CSR disclosure raises the propensity of firms to have zero leverage. Moreover, the negative effect of CSR disclosure on debt ratios further confirms these findings. Results show that highly disclosed CSR firms face less information asymmetry and prefer equity financing over bank debt. Regulators should develop incentive programs to increase their CSR disclosure and strengthen stakeholders’ relationships. Full article

Corporate social responsibility (CSR) plays a growing role in fostering transparency, stakeholder trust, and long-term firm sustainability, particularly in emerging markets. Firms that actively engage in CSR are more likely to disclose credible financial information, which can reduce the incentive to withhold adverse news and thereby limit stock price crash risk (SPCR). This study investigates the impact of CSR on SPCR, while also examining whether this relationship varies across different stages of the firm life cycle (FLC). The analysis is based on an unbalanced panel of listed non-financial firms from the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), covering the period from 2009 to 2023. Financial data were obtained from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) and Securities and Exchange Commission of Pakistan (SECP), while market data were collected from the PSX. Employing fixed-effects robust regression models and two crash risk proxies, negative conditional skewness (NCSKEW) and down-to-up volatility (DUVOL), the results reveal a consistent and significant negative association between CSR and SPCR. This suggests that firms with stronger CSR engagement are less prone to extreme negative stock returns. However, the moderating effect of FLC is only evident at the introduction and decline stages, indicating that the effectiveness of CSR in reducing crash risk depends on a firm’s position in its organizational life cycle. These findings contribute to the literature on CSR and financial stability in emerging markets and offer practical implications for investors, managers, and policymakers seeking to promote risk-aware, socially responsible corporate strategies. Full article

Economic stability in emerging market economies is increasingly shaped by the interplay between global financial integration, domestic monetary dynamics, and asset price fluctuations. Yet, early detection of financial market disruptions remains a persistent challenge. This study constructs a Financial Stress Index (FSI) for Pakistan, utilizing monthly data from 2005 to 2024, to capture systemic stress in a globalized context. Using Principal Component Analysis (PCA), the FSI consolidates diverse indicators, including banking sector fragility, exchange market pressure, stock market volatility, money market spread, external debt exposure, and trade finance conditions, into a single, interpretable measure of financial instability. The index is externally validated through comparisons with the U.S. STLFSI4, the Global Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) Index, the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) Index, and the OECD Composite Leading Indicator (CLI). The results confirm that Pakistan’s FSI responds meaningfully to both global and domestic shocks. It successfully captures major stress episodes, including the 2008 global financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and politically driven local disruptions. A key understanding is the index’s ability to distinguish between sudden global contagion and gradually emerging domestic vulnerabilities. Empirical results show that banking sector risk, followed by trade finance constraints and exchange rate volatility, are the leading contributors to systemic stress. Granger causality analysis reveals that financial stress has a significant impact on macroeconomic performance, particularly in terms of GDP growth and trade flows. These findings emphasize the importance of monitoring sector-specific vulnerabilities in an open economy like Pakistan. The FSI offers strong potential as an early warning system to support policy design and strengthen economic resilience. Future modifications may include incorporating real-time market-based metrics indicators to better align the index with global stress patterns. Full article

This study investigates the moderating role of independent directors on corporate boards in raising the ESG reporting for non-financial listed firms in Pakistan to strive for a greener revolution around the economy. A sample of 369 firms listed and operated on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) for a period covering 2012–2023 (both inclusive) have been taken out of a target population of 456 non-financial listed firms. The results are investigated using bivariate, multiple, and hierarchical regression analyses. This study has significant findings in the context of Pakistan and can be generalized to struggling economies around the globe. The interventional role of independent directors has significant findings for the full model. Findings from the Corporate Social Responsibility Strategy Score (CSRSS) are inconclusive irrespective of the measurement method used, i.e., environmental innovation score (EIS) or environmental pillar score (EPS). Environmental, Social, Governance Score (ESGS) has revealed a positive and significant impact when EIS is used as a performance variable, whereas when EPS is taken as a performance measure, the results are significant and negative. Under the lens of stakeholders’ theory, upper echelon theory, and agency theory, this study contributes to the corporate governance domain and the literature on environmental improvisation and ESG reporting. Researchers, statutory authorities, and academicians can benefit from it. The vital role of independent directors is the key to developing economies to strive for a sustained greener environment. This study is the first in the Asian and, specifically, Pakistani context to take on the interventional role of independent directors in promoting ESG reporting requirements for corporate greener revolution efforts. Full article

The rapid advancement of digital technology has transformed how investors gather financial information, with platforms like Google Trends providing valuable insights into investor behavior through the Google Search Volume Index (GSVI). While the relationship between the GSVI and market behavior has been explored in developed markets, its application in emerging markets like Pakistan remains underexplored. This study investigates how investor attention, measured by the GSVI, influences market volatility, liquidity, and stock price movements in the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX), using weekly data from the KSE-100 Index between 2019 and 2024. The findings reveal that the GSVI significantly impacts market volatility and liquidity, particularly in retail-driven markets with high information asymmetry. Additionally, this research shows that the GSVI is a reliable predictor for stock price fluctuations, with heightened investor attention correlating with increased market activity. Despite the limitations of the GSVI in fully capturing investor sentiment, this study contributes to behavioral finance literature by demonstrating the role of digital information flows in shaping market behavior in emerging markets. It offers actionable insights for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers in Pakistan while suggesting areas for future research in applying the GSVI to global contexts and exploring alternative proxies for investor sentiment in emerging economies. Full article

This study advances the understanding of the Preferred Habitat Model’s capacity to shed light on the inter-market transfer of mean returns and the diffusion of price volatility in Pakistani investment markets. It examines the extent to which returns in one market exert a systematic influence on returns across others under the potential sway of interest rate policy shifts, USD exchange rate volatility, and domestic inflation trends. Employing a methodological arsenal that includes the GARCH process, enhanced by Dynamic Conditional Correlations (DCC), as well as the Markov Switching Model, this research assesses the propagation of mean returns and volatility across markets. The analysis uncovers significant linkages between monetary policy and stock market indices, underscoring the profound impact of monetary policy on cross-market performance transmission. These insights are pivotal for regulators overseeing the nuanced interaction between monetary policy and market performance. They are crucial for local and international investors interested in developing economies, especially in Pakistan’s markets. Full article

Using a hand-collected sample of non-financial firms listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) over the period of 2011–2021, we examine the joint effect of intellectual capital and innovation on the financial vulnerability of a firm, which is an important risk factor that a firm may face in its operation. We first use the static fixed-effect panel model as our baseline regression model and find that the level of intellectual capital of a firm strengthens the positive effect of the adoption of product and market innovation on reducing the financial vulnerability of the firm. We also conduct additional analyses using alternative measures of financial vulnerability, as well as various regression models, and confirm that the results are robust under different scenarios. Overall, the results highlight the positive role of the intellectual capital, as well as the joint effect of intellectual capital and innovation, in mitigating the financial vulnerability faced by a firm and thus have academic and practical implications to academic researchers and practitioners. Full article

Earlier research has shown that the makeup of the corporate board is a crucial predictor in meeting stakeholder accountability expectations through voluntary Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) disclosure. Though scholars have identified substantial relationships between board composition and CSR disclosure, the majority of their focus has been on the ‘quantity’ of CSR disclosure rather than the ‘quality’. Therefore, the present study considers the association of board characteristics (such as gender diversity, independence, female chairperson or/and female CEO, and board size) and the quality of CSR disclosure of the top 100 Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX)-listed companies. We conducted content analysis of secondary Corporate Governance (CG) and CSR data extracted from the annual reports of PSX-listed companies across ten industrial sectors from the period 2017 to 2018. Our empirical investigation through univariate and multiple regression analysis with ordinary least squares (OLS) techniques revealed that all the board characteristics potentially had a significant association to lower CSR disclosure quality. Using the 2SLS regression model, we addressed the endogeneity issue of board characteristics and found robust results. One of the important implications of our findings is that policymakers and regulators in developing countries like Pakistan should review the value of board qualities as outlined in CG principles and develop stronger mechanisms to improve numbers of female directors and nonexecutive directors’ independence. We acknowledge several research limitations, including the study time period and selected board characteristics. While our study has provided some understanding of the association of board characteristics with CSR disclosure quality of PSX-listed companies, several research gaps still need to be addressed. Future investigators should examine this association through the pre-COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 contexts and the inclusion of a systems theory perspective. Full article

This study examines the impact of the flight-to-liquidity (FTL) phenomenon on the excess stock return by applying the previously developed generalised method of moments (GMM) framework. For this purpose, we use the data covering the period from 2004 to 2018 for 122 public companies listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). This study uses six proxies to measure the expected and unexpected illiquidity. The empirical investigation reveals that expected and unexpected illiquidities greatly influence smaller firms more notably than larger ones, which induces FTL phenomena into the market. Moreover, a FTL phenomenon triggered the Pakistani equity market during the financial crisis, when a significant decline appeared and the less liquid stocks were strongly affected. The results reveal that FTL risk is priced in the Pakistan equity market, making large stocks relatively more attractive in times of dire liquidity. These findings further suggest that the market participants in the Pakistan equity market, including policymakers, regulators and investors, should not ignore FTL phenomena while designing their portfolios. Full article

The present study investigates the decision-making process of investors on the Pakistan Stock Exchange with regard to portfolio construction, explicitly focusing on the incorporation of ESG concerns. A quantitative research approach has been implemented for this paper. The hypotheses have been developed and tested through the adapted questionnaires. The data were collected from individual Pakistani investors. The present study employed SmartPLS-SEM to quantitatively assess data received from a sample of 421 out of 500 respondents. Based on the available data, investors participating in the Pakistan Stock Exchange are notably impacted by ESG aspects. The findings of this study hold significance for emerging economy firms, regulators, and investors, in terms of both theoretical and practical ramifications. The study’s findings demonstrate a clear indication of investors’ significant emphasis on ESG matters. This research made a significant contribution to the field of behavioural finance with a focus on ESG-related issues. This work contributes to the literature on ESG elements by using the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) to adapt the ESG components from the United Nations Global Compact (UNGC) and Thomson Reuters Corporate Responsibility Index (TRCRI). Furthermore, it provides valuable insights for stakeholders who are involved in the ever-evolving realm of sustainable finance within developing countries. Full article

The stock markets in developing countries are highly responsive to breaking news and events. Our research explores the impact of economic conditions, financial policies, and politics on the KSE-100 index through daily market news signals. Utilizing simple OLS regression and ARCH/GARCH regression methods, we determine the best model for analysis. The results reveal that political and global news has a significant impact on KSE-100 index. Blue chip stocks are considered safer investments, while short-term panic responses often overshadow rational decision-making in the stock market. Investors tend to quickly react to negative news, making them risk-averse. Our findings suggest that the ARCH/GARCH models are better at predicting stock market fluctuations compared to the simple OLS method. Full article