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Search Results (332)

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Keywords = Improved grey prediction model

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13 pages, 3048 KB  
Article
Modeling Dress-Out Traits Based on Morphological Traits in the Siberian Prawn, Exopalaemon modestus (Heller, 1862)
by Liangjie Zhao, Zhiguo Hu, Congying Duan, Ru Zhang, Jiahui Liu and Xusheng Guo
Fishes 2025, 10(10), 534; https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes10100534 - 21 Oct 2025
Abstract
Dress-out traits, such as abdominal meat weight and abdominal meat percentage, are difficult to improve through direct selection in aquatic species due to the lack of reliable measurement methods. To facilitate the prediction of these traits from morphological characteristics in live prawn, Exopalaemon [...] Read more.
Dress-out traits, such as abdominal meat weight and abdominal meat percentage, are difficult to improve through direct selection in aquatic species due to the lack of reliable measurement methods. To facilitate the prediction of these traits from morphological characteristics in live prawn, Exopalaemon modestus, a total of 518 individuals were collected in 2025 from Suyahu Reservoir in the upper Huaihe River, China. After excluding individuals with incomplete appendages and egg-bearing females, 301 prawns were randomly selected for model development, and the remaining 60 were used for validation. Based on integrated grey relational analysis and path analysis, body mass was identified as the most effective predictor of abdominal meat weight (p < 0.01), explaining 92.1% of the variation when used as the sole variable in the model. Residual analysis and cross-validation confirmed the adequacy and applicability of the abdominal meat weight model. In contrast, morphological traits exhibited low explanatory power for abdominal meat percentage, with all traits together explaining only 19.2% of the variance, indicating their inability to effectively predict this trait. Therefore, in breeding programs for E. modestus, indirect improvement in abdominal meat weight can be achieved via direct selection for increased body mass. However, abdominal meat percentage is not recommended as a target trait for genetic improvement. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Aquatic Invertebrates)
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25 pages, 4152 KB  
Systematic Review
Mapping the AI Landscape in Project Management Context: A Systematic Literature Review
by Masoom Khalil, Alencar Bravo, Darli Vieira and Marly Monteiro de Carvalho
Systems 2025, 13(10), 913; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13100913 - 17 Oct 2025
Viewed by 261
Abstract
The purpose of this research is to systematically map and analyze the use of AI technologies in project management, identifying themes, research gaps, and practical implications. This study conducts a systematic literature review (SLR) that combines bibliometric analysis with qualitative content evaluation to [...] Read more.
The purpose of this research is to systematically map and analyze the use of AI technologies in project management, identifying themes, research gaps, and practical implications. This study conducts a systematic literature review (SLR) that combines bibliometric analysis with qualitative content evaluation to explore the present landscape of AI in project management. The search covered literature published until November 2024, ensuring inclusion of the most recent developments. Studies were included if they examined AI methods applied to project management contexts and were published in peer-reviewed English journals as articles, review articles, or early access publications; studies unrelated to project management or lacking methodological clarity were excluded. It follows a structured coding protocol informed by inductive and deductive reasoning, using NVivo (version 12) and Biblioshiny (version 4.3.0) software. From the entire set of 1064 records retrieved from Scopus and Web of Science, 27 publications met the final inclusion criteria for qualitative synthesis. Bibliometric clusters were derived from the entire set of 885 screened records, while thematic coding was applied to the 27 included studies. This review highlights the use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), Case-Based Reasoning (CBR), Digital Twins (DTs), and Large Language Models (LLMs) as central to recent progress. Bibliometric mapping identified several major thematic clusters. For this study, we chose those that show a clear link between artificial intelligence (AI) and project management (PM), such as expert systems, intelligent systems, and optimization algorithms. These clusters highlight the increasing influence of AI in improving project planning, decision-making, and resource management. Further studies investigate generative AI and the convergence of AI with blockchain and Internet of Things (IoT) systems, suggesting changes in project delivery approaches. Although adoption is increasing, key implementation issues persist. These include limited empirical evidence, inadequate attention to later project stages, and concerns about data quality, transparency, and workforce adaptation. This review improves understanding of AI’s role in project contexts and outlines areas for further research. For practitioners, the findings emphasize AI’s ability in cost prediction, scheduling, and risk assessment, while also emphasizing the importance of strong data governance and workforce training. This review is limited to English-language, peer-reviewed research indexed in Scopus and Web of Science, potentially excluding relevant grey literature or non-English contributions. This review was not registered and received no external funding. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Project Management of Complex Systems (Manufacturing and Services))
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24 pages, 2652 KB  
Article
Diabetes Prediction Using Feature Selection Algorithms and Boosting-Based Machine Learning Classifiers
by Fatima Rahman, Sheyum Hossain, Jun-Jiat Tiang and Abdullah-Al Nahid
Diagnostics 2025, 15(20), 2622; https://doi.org/10.3390/diagnostics15202622 - 17 Oct 2025
Viewed by 433
Abstract
Background: Diabetes mellitus is a significant primary global health concern that requires accurate diagnosis at an early stage to prevent severe complications. However, accurate prediction remains challenging due to limited, noisy, and imbalanced datasets. This study proposes a novel machine learning framework [...] Read more.
Background: Diabetes mellitus is a significant primary global health concern that requires accurate diagnosis at an early stage to prevent severe complications. However, accurate prediction remains challenging due to limited, noisy, and imbalanced datasets. This study proposes a novel machine learning framework for improved diabetes prediction, addressing key challenges such as inadequate feature selection, class imbalance, and data preprocessing. Methods: This proposed work systematically evaluates five feature selection algorithms—Recursive Feature Elimination, Grey Wolf Optimizer, Particle Swarm Optimizer, Genetic Algorithm, and Boruta—using cross-validation and SHAP analysis to enhance feature interpretability. Classification is performed using two boosting algorithms: the light gradient boosting machine algorithm (LGBM) and the extreme gradient boosting algorithm (XGBoost). Results: The proposed framework, using the five most important features selected by the Boruta feature selection algorithm, outperformed other configurations with the LightGBM classifier, achieving an accuracy of 85.16%, an F1-score of 85.41%, and a 54.96% reduction in training time. Conclusions: Additionally, we have benchmarked our approach against recent studies and validated its effectiveness on both the Pima Indian Diabetes Dataset and the newly released DiaHealth dataset, demonstrating robust and accurate early diabetes detection across diverse clinical datasets. This approach offers a cost-effective, interpretable, and clinically relevant solution for early diabetes detection by reducing the number of input features, providing transparent feature importance, and achieving high predictive accuracy with efficient model training. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence in Diagnostics)
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22 pages, 1358 KB  
Article
Research on Load Forecasting of County Power Grid Planning Based on Dual-Period Evaluation Function
by Jingyan Chen, Jingchun Feng, Xu Chen and Song Xue
Sustainability 2025, 17(20), 9141; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17209141 - 15 Oct 2025
Viewed by 153
Abstract
Load forecasting is a key component of power network planning and an essential approach to achieving the efficient cooperative optimization of integrated economic energy services. To improve the accuracy of the power load prediction and ensure the stable dispatch of power grid, this [...] Read more.
Load forecasting is a key component of power network planning and an essential approach to achieving the efficient cooperative optimization of integrated economic energy services. To improve the accuracy of the power load prediction and ensure the stable dispatch of power grid, this paper takes County A as a case study. The fish bone diagram method is applied to analyze the influence of four categories of factors on the county’s power load, and stepwise regression, the unit energy consumption method, and an optimized grey model are adopted to forecast and analyze the planned load of the county over the past 5 years. In addition, the spatial load density method, the optimized grey prediction model, and the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) are used to predict and analyze the county’s planned power grid load based on data from the past ten years. The Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operator is then applied to integrate the results, and the predictive performance of different methods is assessed with an evaluation function. The results show that this combined multi-method approach achieves a higher accuracy. It also accounts for the evolving political, economic, and social conditions of the country, making the predictions more useful for power grid planning. Based on these findings, corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are proposed to support the improvement of spatial planning for electric power facilities in County A. Full article
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21 pages, 5240 KB  
Article
Intelligent Settlement Forecasting of Surrounding Buildings During Deep Foundation Pit Excavation Using GWO-VMD-LSTM
by Huan Yin, Chuang He and Huafeng Shan
Buildings 2025, 15(20), 3688; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15203688 - 13 Oct 2025
Viewed by 193
Abstract
In the context of deep foundation pit excavation, the settlement of surrounding buildings is a critical indicator for safety assessment and early warning. Due to the non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics of settlement data, traditional prediction approaches often fail to achieve satisfactory accuracy. To [...] Read more.
In the context of deep foundation pit excavation, the settlement of surrounding buildings is a critical indicator for safety assessment and early warning. Due to the non-stationary and nonlinear characteristics of settlement data, traditional prediction approaches often fail to achieve satisfactory accuracy. To address this challenge, this study proposes a hybrid prediction model integrating the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, referred to as the GWO-VMD-LSTM model. In the proposed framework, GWO is employed to optimize the key hyperparameters of VMD as well as LSTM, thereby ensuring robust decomposition and prediction performance. Experimental results based on settlement monitoring data from four typical points around the Yongning Hospital foundation pit in Taizhou, China, demonstrate that the proposed model achieves superior predictive accuracy compared with five benchmark models. Specifically, the GWO-VMD-LSTM model attained an average coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.951, mean squared error (MSE) of 0.002, root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.033 mm, mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.031 mm, and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 1.324%, outperforming all alternatives. For instance, compared with the VMD-LSTM model, the proposed method improved R2 by 26.56% and reduced MAPE by 45.87%. These findings confirm that the GWO-VMD-LSTM model not only enhances the accuracy and generalization of settlement prediction but also provides a reliable and practical tool for real-time monitoring and risk assessment of buildings adjacent to deep foundation pits in soft soil regions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Building Structures)
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20 pages, 2412 KB  
Article
Prediction and Analysis of Abalone Aquaculture Production in China Based on an Improved Grey System Model
by Qing Yu, Jinling Ye, Xinlei Xu, Zhiqiang Lu and Li Ma
Sustainability 2025, 17(19), 8862; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198862 - 3 Oct 2025
Viewed by 517
Abstract
This study employs an improved fractional-order grey multivariable convolution model (FGMC(1,N,2r)) to predict abalone aquaculture output in Fujian, Shandong, and Guangdong. By integrating fractional-order accumulation (r1, r2) with a particle-swarm-optimization (PSO) algorithm, the model addresses limitations of handling [...] Read more.
This study employs an improved fractional-order grey multivariable convolution model (FGMC(1,N,2r)) to predict abalone aquaculture output in Fujian, Shandong, and Guangdong. By integrating fractional-order accumulation (r1, r2) with a particle-swarm-optimization (PSO) algorithm, the model addresses limitations of handling multivariable interactions and sequence heterogeneity within small-sample regional datasets. Grey relational analysis (GRA) first identified key factors exhibiting the strongest associations with production: abalone production in Fujian and Shandong is predominantly influenced by funding for aquatic-technology extension (GRA degrees of 0.9156 and 0.8357, respectively), while in Guangdong, production was most strongly associated with import volume (GRA degree of 0.9312). Validation confirms that FGMC(1,N,2r) achieves superior predictive accuracy, with mean absolute percentage errors (MAPE) of 0.51% in Fujian, 3.51% in Shandong, and 2.12% in Guangdong, significantly outperforming benchmark models. Prediction of abalone production for 2024–2028 project sustained growth across Fujian, Shandong, and Guangdong. However, risks associated with typhoon disasters (X6 and import dependency (X5) require attention. The study demonstrates that the FGMC(1,N,2r) model achieves high predictive accuracy for regional aquaculture output. It identifies the primary drivers of abalone production: technology-extension funding in Fujian and Shandong, and import volume in Guangdong. These findings support the formulation of region-specific strategies, such as enhancing technological investment in Fujian and Shandong, and strengthening seed supply chains while reducing import dependency in Guangdong. Furthermore, by identifying vulnerabilities such as typhoon disasters and import reliance, the study underscores the need for resilient infrastructure and diversified seed sources, thereby providing a robust scientific basis for production optimization and policy guidance towards sustainable and environmentally sound aquaculture development. Full article
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29 pages, 4278 KB  
Article
Coupling Coordination Relationship and Evolution Prediction of Water-Energy-Food-Wetland Systems: A Case Study of Jiangxi Province
by Zhiyu Mao, Ligang Xu, Junxiang Cheng, Mingliang Jiang and Jianghao Wang
Land 2025, 14(10), 1960; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14101960 - 28 Sep 2025
Viewed by 417
Abstract
Against the backdrop of global population growth and intensified resource competition, the sustainable development of the water-energy-food system (WEF) is facing challenges. Wetlands, as key ecological hubs, play a crucial role in regulating water cycles, energy metabolism, and food production, thus serving as [...] Read more.
Against the backdrop of global population growth and intensified resource competition, the sustainable development of the water-energy-food system (WEF) is facing challenges. Wetlands, as key ecological hubs, play a crucial role in regulating water cycles, energy metabolism, and food production, thus serving as a breakthrough point for resolving the bottleneck of resource synergy. Incorporating wetlands into the WEF framework helps us comprehensively understand and optimize the interrelationships among water, energy, and food. This paper proposes an indicator system based on WEFW to study the coupling of water-energy-food-wetland systems and analyzes the evolution of the comprehensive development index of WEFW and its coupling relationship in Jiangxi Province from 2001 to 2022. It uses the grey correlation model to explore the sustainable development capacity of wetland resources, water resources, energy resources, and food resources in Jiangxi Province, and employs a geographical detector model to quantify the contribution of wetlands to WEFW. The research results show that (1) the comprehensive evaluation of WEFW systems in various cities in Jiangxi Province has generally improved, but there is imbalance in regional development. Cities such as Nanchang and Jiujiang have performed well, while cities like Jingdezhen and Xinyu need to enhance resource integration and sustainable development. (2) The coupling coordination degree (CCD) has experienced a process of “stability-fluctuation-recovery”, with a significant increase after 2014, and the spatial differentiation characteristics are obvious. (3) Wetlands play a dominant role in the spatial differentiation of CCD, and their interaction with water, energy, and food resources significantly enhance the explanatory power of their impact on CCD. (4) The grey model indicates that the CCDs of WEFW systems in most cities of Jiangxi Province have a projected annual growth rate of 1.8% (2022–2032), reaching 0.71–0.73 in leading cities. These results emphasize the importance of wetland protection and sustainable resource management in promoting regional coordinated development. The research and prediction of the coupling coordination relationship of water-energy-food-wetland systems can provide a scientific basis for the sustainable development of Jiangxi Province and also offer important scientific references for other regions to achieve a balance between ecological protection and resource utilization. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Carbon Cycling and Carbon Sequestration in Wetlands)
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34 pages, 4877 KB  
Article
Climate-Adaptive Residential Demand Response Integration with Power Quality-Aware Distributed Generation Systems: A Comprehensive Multi-Objective Optimization Framework for Smart Home Energy Management
by Mahmoud Kiasari and Hamed Aly
Electronics 2025, 14(19), 3846; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14193846 - 28 Sep 2025
Viewed by 197
Abstract
Climate change is transforming energy use at the residential level by increasing temperature fluctuations and sustaining extreme weather events. This study proposes a climate-reactive, multi-objective approach to integrate the demand response (DR) with distributed generation (DG) and power quality improvement under a multi-objective [...] Read more.
Climate change is transforming energy use at the residential level by increasing temperature fluctuations and sustaining extreme weather events. This study proposes a climate-reactive, multi-objective approach to integrate the demand response (DR) with distributed generation (DG) and power quality improvement under a multi-objective framework of an integrated climate-adaptive approach to residential energy management. A cognitive neural network combination model with bidirectional long short-term memory networks (bidirectional) and a self-attention mechanism was used to successfully predict temperature-sensitive loads. The hybrid deep learning solution, which applies convolutional and bidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM) networks with attention, predicted the temperature-dependent load profiles optimized with an enhanced modified grey wolf optimizer (MGWO). The results of the experimental studies indicated significant gains in performance: in energy expenditure, the studies reduced it by 32.7%; in peak demand, they were able to reduce it by 45.2%; and in self-generated renewable energy, the results were 28.9% higher. The solution reliability rate provided by the MGWO was 94.5%, and it converged more quickly, thus providing better diversity in the Pareto-optimal frontier than that of traditional metaheuristic algorithms. Sensitivity tests with climate conditions of +2 °C and +4 °C showed strategy changes as high as 18.3%, thus establishing the flexibility of the system. Empirical evidence indicates that the energy and peak demand are to be cut, renewable integration is enhanced, and performance is strong in fluctuating climate conditions, highlighting the adaptability of the system to future resilient smart homes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Energy Technologies in Electronics and Electrical Engineering)
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20 pages, 1896 KB  
Review
Research Progress on Optimization Method of Magnetic Grinding Process for Inner Surface of Aircraft Engine Bend Pipe
by Chunfang Xiao, Junjie Xiao, Bing Han and Cheng Wen
Processes 2025, 13(10), 3062; https://doi.org/10.3390/pr13103062 - 25 Sep 2025
Viewed by 347
Abstract
The level of magnetic grinding technology determines the accuracy and efficiency of magnetic grinding on the inner surface of aircraft engine bend pipes. This article analyzes the optimization methods of magnetic grinding process parameters for the inner surface of aircraft engine bent pipes, [...] Read more.
The level of magnetic grinding technology determines the accuracy and efficiency of magnetic grinding on the inner surface of aircraft engine bend pipes. This article analyzes the optimization methods of magnetic grinding process parameters for the inner surface of aircraft engine bent pipes, such as the multiple regression prediction method, the response surface method, and the grey relational analysis method. It is pointed out that the current optimization methods for magnetic grinding technology on the inner surface of aircraft engine bent pipes do not consider the nonlinear characteristics between various grinding process parameters, resulting in defects such as low precision and efficiency of magnetic particle grinding technology. An optimization approach was proposed to accurately predict the optimal magnetic grinding process parameters for the inner surface of aircraft engine bent pipes, establish a nonlinear mapping relationship that reflects the roughness of the inner surface of the bent pipe and the main process parameters, optimize the BP neural network model based on the genetic algorithm, design magnetic grinding experiments on the inner surface of aircraft engine bend pipes, and explore the magnetic grinding process that is beneficial for improving the accuracy and efficiency of magnetic grinding on the inner surface of aircraft engine bend pipes. It can achieve efficient and accurate prediction of magnetic grinding of the inner surface of aircraft engine bend pipes. It provides a basis for the manufacturing and maintenance of high-precision aircraft engine bend pipes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Manufacturing Processes and Systems)
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26 pages, 2360 KB  
Systematic Review
Evaluating the Clinical Success of Clear Aligners for Rotational Tooth Movements in Adult Patients: A Systematic Review
by Giulia Benedetti, Nicolò Sicca, Gaia Lopponi, Claudia Dettori, Alessio Verdecchia and Enrico Spinas
Dent. J. 2025, 13(10), 440; https://doi.org/10.3390/dj13100440 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 1031
Abstract
Objectives: Despite the widespread adoption of clear aligner therapy (CAT), its effectiveness in managing rotations remains debated. This systematic review aims to evaluate rotational accuracy in adults and the influence of treatment variables—such as attachments, interproximal reduction (IPR), and staging. Methods: Following [...] Read more.
Objectives: Despite the widespread adoption of clear aligner therapy (CAT), its effectiveness in managing rotations remains debated. This systematic review aims to evaluate rotational accuracy in adults and the influence of treatment variables—such as attachments, interproximal reduction (IPR), and staging. Methods: Following PRISMA guidelines, seven databases and two grey literature sources were searched up to July 2025. Eligible studies assessed rotational accuracy in patients treated exclusively with clear aligners, using 3D digital model superimposition. Primary outcomes included percent accuracy, lack of correction (LC), or mean absolute error (MAE). Risk of bias (RoB 2, ROBINS-I) and certainty of evidence (GRADE) were assessed. Results: Twelve studies (one RCT, eleven non-randomized) were included, showing wide heterogeneity in aligner systems, tooth types, outcome measures, and adjunctive strategies. Reported accuracy ranged from 36% to 85%, averaging around 65%. LC values varied from 0.7° to 4.5°, and mean MAE was about 2.3°. Incisors and molars showed higher predictability, whereas maxillary canines and premolars remained the least reliable. Attachments and IPR were widely used, but their effectiveness was inconsistent. Staging protocols were generally set at 2°/aligner and most studies adopted 7–14-day wear schedules. Nearly all investigations showed moderate-to-serious risk of bias, and certainty of evidence was rated low to moderate. Conclusions: CAT shows limited yet improving predictability in rotational movements, with performance strongly influenced by tooth morphology and staging. Attachments, IPR, and overcorrections may contribute but lack consistent validation. Given the low certainty and high risk of bias of current evidence, these findings should be interpreted cautiously. Well-designed RCTs with standardized protocols are required to develop reliable clinical guidelines. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Oral Health Management and Disease Treatment)
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23 pages, 1759 KB  
Article
The Prediction of Tea Production Using Dynamic Rolling Update Grey Model: A Case Study of China
by Suwen Xie, Wai Kuan Wong, Hui Shan Lee and Kee Seng Kuang
Mathematics 2025, 13(19), 3056; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13193056 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 350
Abstract
China is one of the world’s largest tea-producing countries, and its fluctuations in production affect the international market and domestic economic stability. Existing research often uses limited predictive models at the local scale and lacks systematic national analysis. This study evaluated five models—autoregressive [...] Read more.
China is one of the world’s largest tea-producing countries, and its fluctuations in production affect the international market and domestic economic stability. Existing research often uses limited predictive models at the local scale and lacks systematic national analysis. This study evaluated five models—autoregressive integrated moving average model (ARIMA), grey model (GM (1,1)), Markov chain grey model (Markov-GM (1,1)), particle swarm optimization Markov chain grey model (PSO-Markov-GM), and dynamic rolling update grey model (DRUGM (1,1))—using three stages of annual tea production data from China (2004–2023). The results indicate that DRUGM (1,1) has the lowest prediction error, demonstrating superior ability to capture production trends. The dynamic update mechanism of this model enhances its adaptability, providing an efficient and scalable framework for predicting the production level of tea and other crops. Accurate predictions are crucial for improving agricultural planning, optimizing resource allocation, and providing information for trade policy design. This study provides practical tools for sustainable agricultural decision-making, helping to strengthen rural economic stability and resilient food systems. Full article
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19 pages, 3960 KB  
Article
Optimization of Hot Stamping Parameters for Aluminum Alloy Crash Beams Using Neural Networks and Genetic Algorithms
by Ruijia Qu, Zhiqiang Zhang, Mingwen Ren, Hongjie Jia and Tongxin Lv
Metals 2025, 15(9), 1047; https://doi.org/10.3390/met15091047 - 19 Sep 2025
Viewed by 2506
Abstract
The hot stamping process of aluminum alloys involves multiple parameters, including blank holder force, stamping speed, die temperature, and friction coefficient. Traditional methods often fail to capture the nonlinear interactions among these parameters. This study proposes an optimization framework that integrates BP neural [...] Read more.
The hot stamping process of aluminum alloys involves multiple parameters, including blank holder force, stamping speed, die temperature, and friction coefficient. Traditional methods often fail to capture the nonlinear interactions among these parameters. This study proposes an optimization framework that integrates BP neural networks with genetic algorithms (GA), while six bio-inspired algorithms—Grey Wolf Optimization (GWO), Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA), Crested Porcupine Optimizer (CPO), Grey lag Goose Optimization (GOOSE), Dung Beetle Optimizer (DBO), and Parrot Optimizer (PO)—were employed to optimize the network hyperparameters. Comparative results show that all optimized models outperformed the baseline BP model (R2 = 0.702, RMSE = 0.106, MAPE = 20.8%). The PO-BP achieved the best performance, raising R2 by 27.3% and reducing MAPE by 27.1%. Furthermore, combining GA with the PO-BP model yielded optimized process parameters, reducing the maximum thinning rate to 17.0% with only a 1.16% error compared with experiments. Overall, the proposed framework significantly improves prediction accuracy and forming quality, offering an efficient solution for rapid process optimization in intelligent manufacturing of aluminum alloy automotive parts. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Forming and Processing Technologies of Lightweight Metal Materials)
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21 pages, 4834 KB  
Article
A Displacement Monitoring Model for High-Arch Dams Based on SHAP-Driven Ensemble Learning Optimized by the Gray Wolf Algorithm
by Shasha Li, Kai Jiang, Shunqun Yang, Zuxiu Lan, Yining Qi and Huaizhi Su
Water 2025, 17(18), 2766; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17182766 - 18 Sep 2025
Viewed by 433
Abstract
Displacement monitoring data is essential for assessing the structural safety of high-arch dams. Existing models, predominantly based on single-model architectures, often lack the ability to effectively integrate multiple algorithms, leading to limited predictive performance and poor interpretability. This study proposes an ensemble learning [...] Read more.
Displacement monitoring data is essential for assessing the structural safety of high-arch dams. Existing models, predominantly based on single-model architectures, often lack the ability to effectively integrate multiple algorithms, leading to limited predictive performance and poor interpretability. This study proposes an ensemble learning framework for dam displacement prediction, combining Hydraulic–Seasonal–Temporal model (HST), Random Forest (RF), and Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BiGRU) models as base learners. A stacking strategy is employed to enhance predictive accuracy, and the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) is used for hyperparameter optimization. To improve model transparency, the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) algorithm is applied for interpretability analysis. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed ensemble model outperforms individual models, achieving a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.2241 and a Coefficient of Determination (R2) of 0.9993 on the test set. The SHAP analysis further elucidates the contribution of key variables, providing valuable insights into the displacement prediction process and offering a robust technical foundation for arch dam safety monitoring and early risk warning. Full article
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21 pages, 2533 KB  
Article
A New Mesoscopic Parameter Inverse Analysis Method of Hydraulic Concrete Based on the SVR-HGWO Intelligent Algorithm
by Qingshuai Zhu, Yuling Wang and Xing Li
Materials 2025, 18(18), 4274; https://doi.org/10.3390/ma18184274 - 12 Sep 2025
Viewed by 292
Abstract
Accurate identification of mesoscopic parameters is critical for understanding the cracking and failure mechanisms of hydraulic concrete and for improving the reliability of numerical simulations. Traditional trial-and-error methods for parameter calibration are inefficient and often lack robustness. To address this issue, this study [...] Read more.
Accurate identification of mesoscopic parameters is critical for understanding the cracking and failure mechanisms of hydraulic concrete and for improving the reliability of numerical simulations. Traditional trial-and-error methods for parameter calibration are inefficient and often lack robustness. To address this issue, this study proposes a novel inversion method combining Support Vector Regression (SVR) with a Hybrid Grey Wolf Optimization (HGWO) algorithm. First, a mesoscopic simulation dataset of three-point bending (TPB) tests was constructed using 3D numerical models with varying mesoscopic parameters. Then, an SVR-based surrogate model was trained to learn the nonlinear mapping between mesoscopic parameters and load–CMOD (Crack Mouth Opening Displacement) curves. The HGWO algorithm was employed to optimize the SVR hyperparameters (penalty factor C and kernel coefficient g) and subsequently used to invert the mesoscopic parameters by minimizing the discrepancy between experimental and predicted CMOD values. The proposed method was validated through inversion of the mortar parameters of a tertiary hydraulic concrete beam. The results demonstrate that the HGWO-SVR model achieves high prediction accuracy (R2 = 0.944, MAE = 1.220, MAPE = 0.041) and significantly improves computational efficiency compared to traditional methods. The simulation based on the inversed parameters yields load–CMOD curves that agree well with experimental results. This approach provides a promising and efficient tool for mesoscopic parameter identification of heterogeneous materials in hydraulic structures. Full article
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23 pages, 2131 KB  
Article
Energy-Efficient Optimization of Jaw-Type Blowout Preventer Activation Using Combined Experimental Design and Metaheuristic Algorithms
by Milan Marković, Borivoj Novaković, Mića Đurđev, Saša Jovanović, Eleonora Desnica, Marko Blažić and Jasna Tolmač
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4852; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184852 - 12 Sep 2025
Viewed by 447
Abstract
This paper presents the optimization of the power required to activate a jaw-type blowout preventer (BOP) in the oil industry using an axial piston pump. Experimental and numerical methods were combined to analyze the effects of pressure, flow rate, volumetric efficiency, and clearance [...] Read more.
This paper presents the optimization of the power required to activate a jaw-type blowout preventer (BOP) in the oil industry using an axial piston pump. Experimental and numerical methods were combined to analyze the effects of pressure, flow rate, volumetric efficiency, and clearance leakage on energy consumption. Taguchi methodology with an orthogonal array and the “smaller-is-better” criterion was used in the experiments, while regression analysis provided a predictive model. Optimization was performed using the Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) in Python 3.13. The results show that pressure and flow rate significantly affect power consumption, while higher volumetric efficiency leads to notable energy savings. The optimal configuration reduced the power demand to 5.0001 kW. Based on this, reliability models were created to assess deviations from optimal conditions. The study demonstrates the effectiveness of combining statistical and optimization techniques for improving safety systems in the oil industry. The key contribution of this study lies in the integration of experimental Taguchi-based modeling with Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO) metaheuristic techniques to optimize the energy-efficient activation of jaw-type blowout preventers, representing a novel methodological approach in the field of hydraulic safety systems in the oil industry. Full article
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