Search Results (240)

In North Carolina (NC), roughly 1 in 4 residents rely on private wells for drinking water. Given the potential for flooding to impact well water quality, which poses serious health hazards to well users, accurate near real-time precipitation estimates are vital for guiding outreach and mitigation efforts. GPM IMERG precipitation data provides a solution for this need. Previous studies have shown that IMERG version 06 performs well throughout NC for capturing event totals. This study investigates changes in precipitation performance from IMERG version 06 to version 07 in NC and surrounding regions. There was significant improvement pertaining to errors quantifying the magnitude of precipitation events; the mean error in event precipitation decreased 75–85%, bias decreased 65–80%, and the root mean square error decreased 15–30% for Early, Late, and Final products as compared to event totals from in situ precipitation gauges. V07 shows improved performance during events in colder conditions, in mountainous regions, and with higher, prolonged intensities. During Hurricane Florence (September 2018), v07 improved precipitation estimates in regions with higher rainfall totals. These findings demonstrate the potential of the IMERG v07 Early and Late data products for the creation of accurate and timely flood models in emergency response applications. Full article

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of the microphysical structures of Meiyu heavy rainfall (near-surface rainfall intensity > 8 mm/h) across different life stages in the Yangtze-Huaihe River Valley (YHRV). We classified the heavy rainfall events into three life stages of developing, mature, and dissipating using ERA5 reanalysis and IMERG precipitation estimates, and examined vertical microphysical structures using Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) data from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) satellite during the Meiyu period from 2014 to 2023. The results showed that convective heavy rainfall during the mature stage exhibits peak radar reflectivity and surface rainfall rates, with the largest near-surface mass weighted diameter (D_m ≈ 1.8 mm) and the smallest droplet concentration (dBN_w ≈ 38). Downdrafts in the dissipating stage preferentially remove large ice particles, whereas sustained moisture influx stabilizes droplet concentrations. Stratiform heavy rainfall, characterized by weak updrafts, displays narrower particle size distributions. During dissipation, particle breakups dominate, reducing D_m while increasing dBN_w. The analysis of the relationship between microphysical parameters and rainfall rate revealed that convective heavy rainfall shows synchronized growth of D_m and dBN_w during the developing stage, with D_m peaking at about 2.1 mm near 70 mm/h before stabilizing in the mature stage, followed by small-particle dominance in the dissipating stage. In contrast, stratiform rainfall exhibits a “small size, high concentration” regime, where the rainfall rate correlates primarily with increasing dBN_w. Additionally, convective heavy rainfall demonstrates about 22% higher precipitation efficiency than stratiform systems, while stratiform rainfall shows a 25% efficiency surge during the dissipation stage compared to other stages. Full article

In recent years, satellite products have played an increasingly significant role in monitoring and estimating global extreme weather events, owing to their advantages of an excellent spatiotemporal continuity and broad coverage. This study systematically evaluates the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for the GPM Late Run (IMERG-L) product for regional precipitation events based on the observations in Zhejiang Province from 2001 to 2020. In this study, seven typical precipitation indices with seven accuracy evaluation indexes are applied to analyze the performance of IMERG-L from multiple perspectives in terms of the precipitation intensity, frequency and spatial distribution dimensions. The results show that IMERG-L is capable of capturing the spatial distribution trends, especially in the frequency-based precipitation indices (CWD, R10mm and R20mm), which can depict the regional wetness and precipitation pattern. However, the product suffers from a systematic overestimation in capturing heavy precipitation and an extreme precipitation intensity, with a high false alarm rate and unstable accuracy, especially in heavy rainfall and above class events, where the Probability of Detection (POD) drops significantly, showing an obvious reduction in the recognition capability and risk of misclassification. Specifically, IMERG-L failed to reproduce the observed eastward-increasing trends in the annual maximum precipitation for both one-day (RX1day) and five-day (RX5day) durations, demonstrating its limitations in accurately capturing extreme precipitation patterns across Zhejiang Province. Overall, furthering the optimization and improvement of IMERG-L in reducing the intensity-dependent biases in heavy rainfall detection, increasing spatial inhomogeneity in trend representations and improving the false alarm suppression for extreme events are needed for the accurate monitoring and quantitative estimation of high-intensity extreme precipitation events. Full article

Soil moisture content (SMC) is a critical parameter for agricultural productivity, particularly in semi-arid regions, where irrigation practices are extensively used to offset water deficits and ensure decent yields. Yet, the socio-economic and remote context of these regions prevents sufficiently dense SMC monitoring in space and time to support farmers in their work to avoid unsustainable irrigation practices and preserve water resource availability. In this context, our study addresses the challenge of high spatial resolution (i.e., 20 m) SMC estimation by integrating remote sensing datasets in machine learning models. For this purpose, a dataset made of 166 soil samples’ SMC along with corresponding SMC, precipitation, and radar signal derived from Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG), and Sentinel-1 (S1), respectively, was used to assess four machine learning models’ (Decision Tree—DT, Random Forest—RF, Gradient Boosting—GB, Extreme Gradient Boosting—XGB) reliability for SMC mapping. First, each model was trained/validated using only the coarse spatial resolution (i.e., 10 km) SMAP SMC and IMERG precipitation estimates as independent features, and, second, S1 information (i.e., 20 m) derived from single scenes and/or composite images was added as independent features to highlight the benefit of information (i.e., S1 information) for SMC mapping at high spatial resolution (i.e., 20 m). Results show that integrating S1 information from both single scenes and composite images to SMAP SMC and IMERG precipitation data significantly improves model reliability, as R² increased by 12% to 16%, while RMSE decreased by 10% to 18%, depending on the considered model (i.e., RF, XGB, DT, GB). Overall, all models provided reliable SMC estimates at 20 m spatial resolution, with the GB model performing the best (R² = 0.86, RMSE = 2.55%). Full article

Remotely sensed data, including rainfall estimates and digital elevation models (DEMs), are increasingly available at various temporal and spatial scales, offering new opportunities for rainfall regionalization in regions with limited ground-based observations. We evaluate the efficacy of NASA’s Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) rainfall estimates and SRTM-derived elevation data as alternative spatial covariates for regionalizing average and extreme rainfall patterns across Greece. Using the Bilinear Surface Smoothing (BSS) framework, we assess and compare the regionalization of average daily rainfall and average annual maximum rainfall across multiple timescales (0.5 h to 48 h) by leveraging both IMERG-derived estimates and the elevation data as covariates. Additionally, the BSS framework is herein extended to provide Bayesian credible intervals for the final estimates, using the posterior variance estimate and the equivalent degrees of freedom determined through the Generalized Cross Validation error minimization procedure. Elevation-based models outperformed IMERG, particularly for indices of extreme rainfall, capturing the differential effects of orography. The exploration of the orographic effect based on the BSS framework revealed that the average annual rainfall maxima at small timescales exhibit a negative relation to elevation, which becomes positive and more significant with increasing timescale. However, IMERG proved valuable for regionalizing average daily rainfall, demonstrating its utility as a complementary tool. The results also underscore the role of temporal scale in regionalization efficiency of extreme rainfall, with higher accuracy observed at longer timescales (24 h and 48 h) and greater uncertainty at finer scales. Full article

Using multi-source precipitation datasets including NASA GPM (IMERG), GPCP, ECMWF ERA5, and station precipitation data from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), along with ERA5 reanalysis fields for atmospheric circulation analysis, this study investigates the extreme precipitation events during the “Dragon-Boat Precipitation” period from 20 May to 21 June over South China in 2022 using the synoptic diagnostic method. The results indicate that the total precipitation during this period significantly exceeded the climatological average, with multiple large-scale extreme rainfall events characterized by high intensity, extensive coverage, and prolonged duration. The spatial distribution of precipitation exhibited a north-more-south-less pattern, with the maximum rainfall center located in the Nanling Mountains, particularly in the Shaoguan–Qingyuan–Heyuan region of Guangdong Province, where peak precipitation exceeded 1100 mm, and the mean precipitation was approximately 1.7 times the climatology from the GPM data. The average daily precipitation throughout the period was 17.5 mm/day, which was 6 mm/day higher than the climatological mean, while the heaviest rainfall on 13 June reached 39 mm/day above the average, exceeding two standard deviations. The extreme precipitation during the “Dragon-Boat Precipitation” period in 2022 was associated with an anomalous deep East Asian trough, an intensified South Asian High, a stronger-than-usual Western Pacific Subtropical High, an enhanced South Asian monsoon and South China Sea monsoon, and the dominance of a strong Southwesterly Low-Level Jet (SLLJ) over South China. Two major moisture transport pathways were established: one from the Bay of Bengal to South China and another from the South China Sea, with the latter contributing a little higher amount of water vapor transport than the former. The widespread extreme precipitation on 13 June 2022 was triggered by the anomalous atmospheric circulation conditions. In the upper levels, South China was located at the northwestern periphery of the slightly stronger-than-normal Western Pacific Subtropical High, intersecting with the base of a deep trough associated with an anomalous intense Northeast China Cold Vortex (NCCV). At lower levels, the region was positioned along a shear line formed by anomalous southwesterly and northerly winds, where exceptionally strong southwesterly moisture transport, significant moisture convergence, and intense vertical updraft led to the widespread extreme rainfall event on that day. Full article

A new quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) method for Himawari-9 (H9) and Fengyun-4B (FY4B) satellites has been developed based on cloud top brightness temperature (TBB). The 24-hour, 6-hour, and hourly rainfall estimates of H9 and FY4B have been compared with rain gauge datasets and precipitation estimation data from the GPM IMERG V07 (IMERG) and Global Precipitation Satellite (GSMaP) products, especially based on the case study of landfalling super typhoon “Doksuri” in 2023. The results indicate that the bias-corrected QPE algorithm substantially improves precipitation estimation accuracy across multiple temporal scales and intensity categories. For extreme precipitation events (≥100 mm/day), the FY4B-based estimates exhibit markedly better performance. Furthermore, in light-to-moderate rainfall (0.1–24.9 mm/day) and heavy rain to rainstorm ranges (25.0–99.9 mm/day), its retrievals are largely comparable to those from IMERG and GSMaP, demonstrating robust consistency across varying precipitation intensities. Therefore, the new QPE retrieval algorithm in this study could largely improve the accuracy and reliability of satellite precipitation estimation for extreme weather events such as typhoons. Full article

Satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) have become a crucial source of quantitative global precipitation data. Geostationary Orbit (GEO) satellites provide high spatiotemporal resolution but tend to have lower accuracy, while Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites provide more precise precipitation estimates but suffer from lower temporal resolution due to their limited observation frequency. This study proposes an efficient algorithm for integrating and enhancing precipitation estimates from multiple satellite observations. The target domain includes the Full Disk (FD) and the extended East Asia (EA) regions, both of which are observable by GEO satellites, such as Himawari-8, serving as the GEO platform in this study. The algorithm involves four steps: pre-data preparation, LEO morphing, adjustment, and final merging. It produces Early and Late composite products with 10-min temporal and up to 2 km spatial resolution and significantly reduces latency compared to IMERG. Specifically, the Early and Late products can be generated with approximate latencies of 90 min and 270 min, respectively—much faster than Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG)’s Early (4-h) and Late (14-h) products. A key feature of the proposed method is the use of accuracy-based weighting derived from radar-based validation, enabling dynamic merging that reflects the reliability of each satellite observation. Statistical validation using Global Telecommunication System (GTS) precipitation data confirmed the positive impact of the proposed bias correction and merging method. In particular, the Late product achieved accuracy comparable to or higher than that of IMERG Early and IMERG Late, despite its significantly shorter latency. However, its accuracy was still lower than that of IMERG Final, which benefits from additional gauge-based correction but is released with a delay of several months. Full article

In subtropical regions, typhoons and tropical storms can generate massive rainstorms resulting in thousands of landslides, often termed as Multiple-Occurrence of Regional Landslide Events (MORLE). Understanding the hazards, their location, and their triggering mechanism can help to mitigate exposure and potential impacts. Extreme rainfall events and earthquakes frequently trigger destructive landslides that cause extensive economic loss, numerous fatalities, and significant damage to natural resources. However, inventories of rainfall-induced landslides suggest that they occur frequently under climate change. This study proposed a semi-automated time series algorithm that integrates Sentinel-2 and Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurements (GPM-IMERG) data to detect rainfall-induced landslides. Pixel-wise NDVI time series data are analyzed to detect change points, which are typically associated with vegetation loss due to landslides. These NDVI abrupt changes are further correlated with the extreme rainfall events in the GPM-IMERG dataset, within a defined time window, to detect RIL. The algorithm is tested and evaluated eight previously published landslide inventories, including both those manually mapped and those derived from high-resolution satellite data. The landslide detection yielded an overall F1-score of 0.82 and a mean producer accuracy of 87%, demonstrating a substantial improvement when utilizing moderate-resolution satellite data. This study highlights the combination of using optical images and rainfall time series data to detect landslides in remote areas that are often inaccessible to field monitoring. Full article

Satellite and reanalysis-based precipitation products have played a crucial role in addressing the challenges associated with limited ground-based observational data. These products are widely utilized in hydrometeorological research, particularly in data-scarce regions like the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP). This study proposed an ensemble streamflow simulation method using remote sensing precipitation data as input. By employing a 1D Convolutional Neural Networks (1D CNN), streamflow simulations from multiple models are integrated and a Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretability analysis was conducted to examine the contributions of individual models on ensemble streamflow simulation. The method is demonstrated using GPM IMERG (Global Precipitation Measurement Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals) remote sensing precipitation data for streamflow estimation in the upstream region of the Ganzi gauging station in the Yalong River basin of QTP for the period from 2010 to 2019. Streamflow simulations were carried out using models with diverse structures, including the physically based BTOPMC (Block-wise use of TOPMODEL) and two machine learning models, i.e., Random Forest (RF) and Long Short-Term Memory Neural Networks (LSTM). Furthermore, ensemble simulations were compared: the Simple Average Method (SAM), Weighted Average Method (WAM), and the proposed 1D CNN method. The results revealed that, for the hydrological simulation of each individual models, the Kling–Gupta Efficiency (KGE) values during the validation period were 0.66 for BTOPMC, 0.71 for RF, and 0.74 for LSTM. Among the ensemble approaches, the validation period KGE values for SAM, WAM, and the 1D CNN-based nonlinear method were 0.74, 0.73, and 0.82, respectively, indicating that the nonlinear 1D CNN approach achieved the highest accuracy. The SHAP-based interpretability analysis further demonstrated that RF made the most significant contribution to the ensemble simulation, while LSTM contributed the least. These findings highlight that the proposed 1D CNN ensemble simulation framework has great potential to improve streamflow estimations using remote sensing precipitation data as input and may provide new insight into how deep learning methods advance the application of remote sensing in hydrological research. Full article

This paper discusses a study that examined the severity of droughts and their changes in the Dobrogea region in southeastern Romania between 2001 and 2021 and develops a high-resolution (1 km) Composite Drought Index (CDI) dataset. To explore the effectiveness of the index, we carried out a correlation analysis between the CDI, the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), which shows a strong positive relationship among these indices. Analysis of the CDI time series reveals an increase in drought frequency for the study period, due to high temperature and below-normal rainfall. Most parts of the region were affected by moderate, severe, or extreme droughts, except for the years 2002–2005 and 2013. The worst drought events were in 2011, 2012, and 2020, when the region was under severe land surface temperature stress, with values up to 39.13 °C. The central and northern areas of the region had the longest period of drought, at 22 months, which started in 2018 and culminated in 2020 when extreme drought covered over 70% of the region. Another major event was in 2015 when 95% of the region experienced severe drought. These results show the potential of the CDI as one of the significant indices in the assessment of drought and provide useful insights into drought monitoring in the future. More than that, we consider that the GPM IMERG satellite product can be used in the implementation of Drought Management Plans in Dobrogea in order to calculate drought indices derived from remote sensing data. Full article

One of the main differences between regional climate model and convection-permitting model simulations is not just how well topographic characteristics are represented, but also how deep convection is treated. The convection process frequently occurs within hours, thus a sub-daily scale becomes appropriate to evaluate these changes. To do this, a series of simulations has been carried out at different spatial resolutions (0.11$°$ and 0.025$°$) using the COSMO-CLM (CCLM) climate model forced by the ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) between 2011 and 2020 over a domain covering northwestern Türkiye. Hourly precipitation and heavy precipitation simulated by both models were compared with the observations by Turkish State Meteorological Service (TSMS) stations and Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG). Subsequently, we aimed to identify the reasons behind these differences by computing several atmospheric stability parameters and conducting event-scale analysis using atmospheric sounding data. CCLM12 displays notable discrepancies in the timing of the diurnal cycle, exhibiting a premature shift of several hours when compared to the TSMS. CCLM2.5 offers an accurate representation of the peak times, considering all hours and especially those occurring during the wet hours of the warm season. Despite this, there is a tendency for peak intensities to be overestimated. In both seasons, intensity and extreme precipitation are highly underestimated by CCLM12 compared to IMERG. In terms of statistical metrics, the CCLM2.5 model performs better than the CCLM12 model under extreme precipitation conditions. The comparison between CCLM12 and CCLM2.5 at 12:00 UTC reveals differences in atmospheric conditions, with CCLM12 being wetter and colder in the lower troposphere but warmer at higher altitudes, overestimating low-level clouds and producing lower TTI and KI values. These conditions can promote faster air saturation in CCLM12, resulting in lower LCL and CCL, which foster the development of low-level clouds and frequent low-intensity precipitation. In contrast, the simulation of higher TTI and KI values and a steeper lapse rate in CCLM2.5 enables air parcels to enhance instability, reach the LFC more rapidly, increase EL, and finally promote deeper convection, as evidenced by higher CAPE values and intense low-frequency precipitation. Full article

Global precipitation products (GPPs) are vital in weather forecasting, efficient water management, and monitoring floods and droughts. However, the precision of these datasets varies considerably across different climatic regions and topographic conditions. Therefore, the accuracy assessment of the precipitation dataset is crucial at the local scale before its application. The current study initially compared the performance of recently modified and upgraded precipitation datasets, including Climate Research Unit Time-Series (CRU TS v4.08), fifth-generation ERA5-Land (ERA-5), Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) final run (IMERG v07B), and Multi-Source Weighted-Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP v2.8), against ground observations on the provincial basis across Pakistan from 2003 to 2020. Later, the study area was categorized into four regions based on the elevation to observe the impact of elevation gradients on GPPs’ skills. The monthly and seasonal precipitation estimations of each product were validated against in situ observations using statistical matrices, including the correlation coefficient (CC), root mean square error (RMSE), percent of bias (PBias), and Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). The results reveal that IMERG7 consistently outperformed across all the provinces, with the highest CC and lowest RMSE values. Meanwhile, the KGE (0.69) and PBias (−0.65%) elucidated, comparatively, the best performance of MSWEP2.8 in Sindh province. Additionally, all the datasets demonstrated their best agreement with the reference data toward the southern part (0–500 m elevation) of Pakistan, while their performance notably declined in the northern high-elevation glaciated mountain regions (above 3000 m elevation), with considerable overestimations. The superior performance of IMERG7 in all the elevation-based regions was also revealed in the current study. According to the monthly and seasonal scale evaluation, all the precipitation products except ERA-5 showed good precipitation estimation ability on a monthly scale, followed by the winter season, pre-monsoon season, and monsoon season, while during the post-monsoon season, all the datasets showed weak agreement with the observed data. Overall, IMERG7 exhibited comparatively superior performance, followed by MSWEP2.8 at a monthly scale, winter season, and pre-monsoon season, while MSWEP2.8 outperformed during the monsoon season. CRU TS showed a moderate association with the ground observations, whereas ERA-5 performed poorly across all the time scales. In the current scenario, this study recommends IMERG7 and MSWEP2.8 for hydrological and climate studies in this region. Additionally, this study emphasizes the need for further research and experiments to minimize bias in high-elevation regions at different time scales to make GPPs more reliable for future studies. Full article

Satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) are essential for climate monitoring, especially in regions with sparse observational data. This study compares the performance of the latest version (V07B) and its predecessor (V06B) of the Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) across South America and the adjacent oceans. It focuses on evaluating their accuracy under different precipitation regimes in Brazil using 22 years of IMERG Final data (2000–2021), aggregated into seasonal totals (summer, autumn, winter, and spring). The observations used for the evaluation were organized into 0.1° × 0.1° grid points to match IMERG’s spatial resolution. The analysis was restricted to grid points containing at least one rain gauge, and in cases where multiple gauges were present within a grid point the average value was used. The evaluation metrics included the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and categorical indices. The results reveal that while both versions effectively capture major precipitation systems such as the mesoscale convective system (MCS), South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ), and Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), significant discrepancies emerge in high-rainfall areas, particularly over oceans and tropical zones. Over the continent, however, these discrepancies are reduced due to the correction of observations in the final version of IMERG. A comprehensive analysis of the RMSE across Brazil, both as a whole and within the five analyzed regions, without differentiating precipitation classes, demonstrates that version V07B effectively reduces errors compared to version V06B. The analysis of statistical indices across Brazil’s five regions highlights distinct performance patterns between IMERG versions V06B and V07B, driven by regional and seasonal precipitation characteristics. V07B demonstrates a superior performance, particularly in regions with intense rainfall (R1, R2, and R5), showing a reduced RMSE and improved categorical indices. These advancements are linked to V07B’s reduced overestimation in cold-top cloud regions, although both versions consistently overestimate at rain/no-rain thresholds and for light rainfall. However, in regions prone to underestimation, such as the interior of the Northeastern region (R3) during winter, and the northeastern coast (R4) during winter and spring, V07B exacerbates these issues, highlighting challenges in accurately estimating precipitation from warm-top cloud systems. This study concludes that while V07B exhibits notable advancements, further enhancements are needed to improve accuracy in underperforming regions, specifically those influenced by warm-cloud precipitation systems. Full article

The integrated multi-satellite retrievals for the global precipitation measurement (IMERG) data, which is the latest generation of multi-satellite fusion inversion precipitation product provided by the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, has been widely applied in hydrological research and applications. However, the quality of IMERG data needs to be validated, as this technology is essentially an indirect way to obtain precipitation information. This study evaluated the performance of IMERG final run (version 6.0) products from 2001 to 2020, using three sets of gauge-derived precipitation data obtained from the Integrated Surface Database, China Meteorological Administration, and U.S. Climate Reference Network. The results showed a basic consistency in the spatial pattern of annual precipitation total between IMERG data and gauge observations. The highest and lowest correlations between IMERG data and gauge observations were obtained in North Asia (0.373, p < 0.05) and Europe (0.308, p < 0.05), respectively. IMERG data could capture the bimodal structure of diurnal precipitation in South Asia but overestimates a small variation in North Asia. The disparity was attributed to the frequency overestimation but intensity underestimation in satellite inversion, since small raindrops may evaporate before arriving at the ground but can be identified by remote sensors. IMERG data also showed similar patterns of interannual precipitation variability to gauge observation, while overestimating the proportion of annual precipitation hours by 2.5% in North America, and 2.0% in North Asia. These findings deepen our understanding of the capabilities of the IMERG product to estimate precipitation at the hourly scale, and can be further applied to improve satellite precipitation retrieval. Full article