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16 pages, 647 KiB  
Article
Geographic Scale Matters in Analyzing the Effects of the Built Environment on Choice of Travel Modes: A Case Study of Grocery Shopping Trips in Salt Lake County, USA
by Ensheng Dong, Felix Haifeng Liao and Hejun Kang
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 307; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080307 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Compared to commuting, grocery shopping trips, despite their profound implications for mixed land use and transportation planning, have received limited attention in travel behavior research. Drawing upon a travel diary survey conducted in a fast-growing metropolitan region of the United States, i.e., Salt [...] Read more.
Compared to commuting, grocery shopping trips, despite their profound implications for mixed land use and transportation planning, have received limited attention in travel behavior research. Drawing upon a travel diary survey conducted in a fast-growing metropolitan region of the United States, i.e., Salt Lake County, UT, this research investigated a variety of influential factors affecting mode choices associated with grocery shopping. We analyze how built environment (BE) characteristics, measured at seven spatial scales or different ways of aggregating spatial data—including straight-line buffers, network buffers, and census units—affect travel mode decisions. Key predictors of choosing walking, biking, or transit over driving include age, household size, vehicle ownership, income, land use mix, street density, and distance to the central business district (CBD). Notably, the influence of BE factors on mode choice is sensitive to different spatial aggregation methods and locations of origins and destinations. The straight-line buffer was a good indicator for the influence of store sales amount on mode choices; the network buffer was more suitable for the household built environment factors, whereas the measurement at the census block and block group levels was more effective for store-area characteristics. These findings underscore the importance of considering both the spatial analysis method and the location (home vs. store) when modeling non-work travel. A multi-scalar approach can enhance the accuracy of travel demand models and inform more effective land use and transportation planning strategies. Full article
23 pages, 313 KiB  
Article
Changing Lifestyles in Highly Urbanized Regions of Russia: Short- and Longer-Term Effects of COVID Restrictions
by Irina D. Turgel and Olga A. Chernova
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 306; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080306 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
The restrictions on business and social activity during the COVID-19 pandemic have led to significant changes in consumption patterns worldwide. Such changes are causing structural shifts in the markets of goods and services, thus affecting regional resilience. In this article, we aim to [...] Read more.
The restrictions on business and social activity during the COVID-19 pandemic have led to significant changes in consumption patterns worldwide. Such changes are causing structural shifts in the markets of goods and services, thus affecting regional resilience. In this article, we aim to assess the changing structure of the consumption of goods and services in highly urbanized Russian regions under the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and to analyze its effects on the lifestyle of the population. According to our results, some Russian regions demonstrate a return to previous consumption levels, while others exhibit the emergence of new dynamics. The conclusion is made that COVID restrictions have invoked a paradigm shift in consumer behavior toward investment in self-development, safety, and comfort. This observation should be taken into account when developing strategies for the recovery growth of regional economies. Full article
26 pages, 2459 KiB  
Article
Urban Agriculture for Post-Disaster Food Security: Quantifying the Contributions of Community Gardens
by Yanxin Liu, Victoria Chanse and Fabricio Chicca
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 305; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080305 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Wellington, New Zealand, is highly vulnerable to disaster-induced food security crises due to its geography and geological characteristics, which can disrupt transportation and isolate the city following disasters. Urban agriculture (UA) has been proposed as a potential alternative food source for post-disaster scenarios. [...] Read more.
Wellington, New Zealand, is highly vulnerable to disaster-induced food security crises due to its geography and geological characteristics, which can disrupt transportation and isolate the city following disasters. Urban agriculture (UA) has been proposed as a potential alternative food source for post-disaster scenarios. This study examined the potential of urban agriculture for enhancing post-disaster food security by calculating vegetable self-sufficiency rates. Specifically, it evaluated the capacity of current Wellington’s community gardens to meet post-disaster vegetable demand in terms of both weight and nutrient content. Data collection employed mixed methods with questionnaires, on-site observations and mapping, and collecting high-resolution aerial imagery. Garden yields were estimated using self-reported data supported by literature benchmarks, while cultivated areas were quantified through on-site mapping and aerial imagery analysis. Six post-disaster food demand scenarios were used based on different target populations to develop an understanding of the range of potential produce yields. Weight-based results show that community gardens currently supply only 0.42% of the vegetable demand for residents living within a five-minute walk. This rate increased to 2.07% when specifically targeting only vulnerable populations, and up to 10.41% when focusing on gardeners’ own households. However, at the city-wide level, the current capacity of community gardens to provide enough produce to feed people remained limited. Nutrient-based self-sufficiency was lower than weight-based results; however, nutrient intake is particularly critical for vulnerable populations after disasters, underscoring the greater challenge of ensuring adequate nutrition through current urban food production. Beyond self-sufficiency, this study also addressed the role of UA in promoting food diversity and acceptability, as well as its social and psychological benefits based on the questionnaires and on-site observations. The findings indicate that community gardens contribute meaningfully to post-disaster food security for gardeners and nearby residents, particularly for vulnerable groups with elevated nutritional needs. Despite the current limited capacity of community gardens to provide enough produce to feed residents, findings suggest that Wellington could enhance post-disaster food self-reliance by diversifying UA types and optimizing land-use to increase food production during and after a disaster. Realizing this potential will require strategic interventions, including supportive policies, a conducive social environment, and diversification—such as the including private yards—all aimed at improving food access, availability, and nutritional quality during crises. The primary limitation of this study is the lack of comprehensive data on urban agriculture in Wellington and the wider New Zealand context. Addressing this data gap should be a key focus for future research to enable more robust assessments and evidence-based planning. Full article
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23 pages, 5826 KiB  
Article
Re-Habiting the Rooftops in Ciutat Vella (Barcelona): Co-Designed Low-Cost Solutions for a Social, Technical and Environmental Improvement
by Marta Domènech-Rodríguez, Oriol París-Viviana and Còssima Cornadó
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 304; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080304 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
This research addresses urban inequality by focusing on the rehabilitation of communal rooftops in Ciutat Vella, Barcelona, the city’s historic district, where residential vulnerability is concentrated in a particularly dense heritage urban environment with a shortage of outdoor spaces. Using participatory methodologies, this [...] Read more.
This research addresses urban inequality by focusing on the rehabilitation of communal rooftops in Ciutat Vella, Barcelona, the city’s historic district, where residential vulnerability is concentrated in a particularly dense heritage urban environment with a shortage of outdoor spaces. Using participatory methodologies, this research develops low-cost, removable, and recyclable prototypes aimed at improving social interaction, technical performance, and environmental conditions. The focus is on vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly. The approach integrates a bottom–up process and scalable solutions presented as a Toolkit of micro-projects. These micro-projects are designed to improve issues related to health, safety, durability, accessibility, energy savings, and acoustics. In addition, several possible material solutions for micro-projects are examined in terms of sustainability and cost. These plug-in interventions are designed for adaptability and replication throughout similar urban contexts and can significantly improve the quality of life for people, especially the elderly, in dense historic environments. Full article
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19 pages, 2441 KiB  
Article
Simulation and Statistical Validation Method for Evaluating Daylighting Performance in Hot Climates
by Nivin Sherif, Ahmed Yehia and Walaa S. E. Ismaeel
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 303; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080303 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
This study investigates the influence of façade-design parameters on daylighting performance in hot arid climates, with a particular focus on Egypt. A total of nine façade configurations of a residential building were modeled and simulated using Autodesk Revit and Insight 360, varying three [...] Read more.
This study investigates the influence of façade-design parameters on daylighting performance in hot arid climates, with a particular focus on Egypt. A total of nine façade configurations of a residential building were modeled and simulated using Autodesk Revit and Insight 360, varying three critical variables: glazing type (clear, blue, and dark), Window-to-Wall Ratio (WWR) of 15%, 50%, 75%, and indoor wall finish (light, moderate, dark) colors. These were compared to the Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) daylighting quality thresholds. The results revealed that clear glazing paired with high WWR (75%) achieved the highest Spatial Daylight Autonomy (sDA), reaching up to 92% in living spaces. However, this also led to elevated Annual Sunlight Exposure (ASE), with peak values of 53%, exceeding the LEED discomfort threshold of 10%. Blue and dark glazing types successfully reduced ASE to as low as 0–13%, yet often resulted in underlit spaces, especially in private rooms such as bedrooms and bathrooms, with sDA values falling below 20%. A 50% WWR emerged as the optimal balance, providing consistent daylight distribution while maintaining ASE within acceptable limits (≤33%). Similarly, moderate color wall finishes delivered the most balanced lighting performance, enhancing sDA by up to 30% while controlling reflective glare. Statistical analysis using Pearson correlation revealed a strong positive relationship between sDA and ASE (r = 0.84) in highly glazed, clear glass scenarios. Sensitivity analysis further indicated that low WWR configurations of 15% were highly influenced by glazing and finishing types, leading to variability in daylight metrics reaching ±40%. The study concludes that moderate glazing (blue), medium WWR (50%), and moderate color indoor finishes provide the most robust daylighting performance across diverse room types. These findings support an evidence-based approach to façade design, promoting visual comfort, daylight quality, and sustainable building practices. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Application of Smart Technologies in Buildings)
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31 pages, 5558 KiB  
Article
Canals, Contaminants, and Connections: Exploring the Urban Exposome in a Tropical River System
by Alan D. Ziegler, Theodora H. Y. Lee, Khajornkiat Srinuansom, Teppitag Boonta, Jongkon Promya and Richard D. Webster
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 302; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080302 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
Emerging and persistent contaminants (EPCs) were detected at high concentrations in Chiang Mai’s Mae Kha Canal, identifying urban waterways as important sources of pollution in the Ping River system in northern Thailand. Maximum levels of metformin (20,000 ng/L), fexofenadine (15,900 ng/L), gabapentin (12,300 [...] Read more.
Emerging and persistent contaminants (EPCs) were detected at high concentrations in Chiang Mai’s Mae Kha Canal, identifying urban waterways as important sources of pollution in the Ping River system in northern Thailand. Maximum levels of metformin (20,000 ng/L), fexofenadine (15,900 ng/L), gabapentin (12,300 ng/L), sucralose (38,000 ng/L), and acesulfame (23,000 ng/L) point to inadequately treated wastewater as a plausible contributor. Downstream enrichment patterns relative to upstream sites highlight the cumulative impact of urban runoff. Five compounds—acesulfame, gemfibrozil, fexofenadine, TBEP, and caffeine—consistently emerged as reliable tracers of urban wastewater, forming a distinct chemical fingerprint of the riverine exposome. Median EPC concentrations were highest in Mae Kha, lower in other urban canals, and declined with distance from the city, reflecting spatial gradients in urban density and pollution intensity. Although most detected concentrations fell below predicted no-effect thresholds, ibuprofen frequently approached or exceeded ecotoxicological benchmarks and may represent a compound of ecological concern. Non-targeted analysis revealed a broader “chemical cocktail” of unregulated substances—illustrating a witches’ brew of pollution that likely escapes standard monitoring efforts. These findings demonstrate the utility of wide-scope surveillance for identifying key compounds, contamination hotspots, and spatial gradients in mixed-use watersheds. They also highlight the need for integrated, long-term monitoring strategies that address diffuse, compound mixtures to safeguard freshwater ecosystems in rapidly urbanizing regions. Full article
38 pages, 2159 KiB  
Review
Leveraging Big Data and AI for Sustainable Urban Mobility Solutions
by Oluwaleke Yusuf, Adil Rasheed and Frank Lindseth
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 301; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080301 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
Urban population growth is intensifying pressure on mobility systems, with road transportation contributing to environmental and sustainability challenges. Policymakers must navigate complex uncertainties in addressing rising mobility demand while pursuing sustainability goals. Advanced technologies offer promise, but their real-world effectiveness in urban contexts [...] Read more.
Urban population growth is intensifying pressure on mobility systems, with road transportation contributing to environmental and sustainability challenges. Policymakers must navigate complex uncertainties in addressing rising mobility demand while pursuing sustainability goals. Advanced technologies offer promise, but their real-world effectiveness in urban contexts remains underexplored. This meta-review comprised three complementary studies: a broad analysis of sustainable mobility with Norwegian case studies, and systematic literature reviews on digital twins and Big Data/AI applications in urban mobility, covering the period of 2019–2024. Using structured criteria, we synthesised findings from 72 relevant articles to identify major trends, limitations, and opportunities. The findings show that mobility policies often prioritise technocentric solutions that unintentionally hinder sustainability goals. Digital twins show potential for traffic simulation, urban planning, and public engagement, while machine learning techniques support traffic forecasting and multimodal integration. However, persistent challenges include data interoperability, model validation, and insufficient stakeholder engagement. We identify a hierarchy of mobility modes where public transit and active mobility outperform private vehicles in sustainability and user satisfaction. Integrating electrification and automation and sharing models with data-informed governance can enhance urban liveability. We propose actionable pathways leveraging Big Data and AI, outlining the roles of various stakeholders in advancing sustainable urban mobility futures. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Urbanization, Regional Planning and Development)
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19 pages, 1654 KiB  
Article
New Weighting System for the Ordered Weighted Average Operator and Its Application in the Balanced Expansion of Urban Infrastructures
by Matheus Pereira Libório, Petr Ekel, Marcos Flávio Silveira Vasconcelos D’Angelo, Chris Brunsdon, Alexandre Magno Alves Diniz, Sandro Laudares and Angélica C. G. dos Santos
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 300; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080300 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 193
Abstract
Urban infrastructure, such as water supply networks, sewage systems, and electricity networks, is essential for the functioning of cities and, consequently, for the well-being of citizens. Despite its essentiality, the distribution of infrastructure in urban areas is not homogeneous, especially in cities in [...] Read more.
Urban infrastructure, such as water supply networks, sewage systems, and electricity networks, is essential for the functioning of cities and, consequently, for the well-being of citizens. Despite its essentiality, the distribution of infrastructure in urban areas is not homogeneous, especially in cities in developing countries. Socially vulnerable areas often face significant deficiencies in sewage and road paving, exacerbating urban inequalities. In this regard, urban planners must consider the multiple elements of urban infrastructure and assess the compensation levels between them to reduce inequality effectively. In particular, the complexity of the problem necessitates considering the multidimensionality and heterogeneity of urban infrastructure. This complexity qualifies the operational framework of composite indicators as the natural solution to the problem. This study develops a new weighting system for the balanced expansion of urban infrastructures through composite indicators constructed by the Ordered Weighted Average operator. Implementing these weighting systems provides an opportunity to analyze urban infrastructure from different perspectives, offering transparency regarding the weaknesses and strengths of each perspective. This prevents unreliable representations from being used in decision-making and provides a solid basis for allocating investments in urban infrastructure. In particular, the study suggests that adopting weighting systems that prioritize intermediate values and avoid extreme values can lead to better resource allocation, helping to identify areas with deficient infrastructure and promoting more equitable urban development. Full article
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30 pages, 4409 KiB  
Article
Accident Impact Prediction Based on a Deep Convolutional and Recurrent Neural Network Model
by Pouyan Sajadi, Mahya Qorbani, Sobhan Moosavi and Erfan Hassannayebi
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 299; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080299 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 260
Abstract
Traffic accidents pose a significant threat to public safety, resulting in numerous fatalities, injuries, and a substantial economic burden each year. The development of predictive models capable of the real-time forecasting of post-accident impact using readily available data can play a crucial role [...] Read more.
Traffic accidents pose a significant threat to public safety, resulting in numerous fatalities, injuries, and a substantial economic burden each year. The development of predictive models capable of the real-time forecasting of post-accident impact using readily available data can play a crucial role in preventing adverse outcomes and enhancing overall safety. However, existing accident predictive models encounter two main challenges: first, a reliance on either costly or non-real-time data, and second, the absence of a comprehensive metric to measure post-accident impact accurately. To address these limitations, this study proposes a deep neural network model known as the cascade model. It leverages readily available real-world data from Los Angeles County to predict post-accident impacts. The model consists of two components: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The LSTM model captures temporal patterns, while the CNN extracts patterns from the sparse accident dataset. Furthermore, an external traffic congestion dataset is incorporated to derive a new feature called the “accident impact” factor, which quantifies the influence of an accident on surrounding traffic flow. Extensive experiments were conducted to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed hybrid machine learning method in predicting the post-accident impact compared to state-of-the-art baselines. The results reveal a higher precision in predicting minimal impacts (i.e., cases with no reported accidents) and a higher recall in predicting more significant impacts (i.e., cases with reported accidents). Full article
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24 pages, 650 KiB  
Article
Investigating Users’ Acceptance of Autonomous Buses by Examining Their Willingness to Use and Willingness to Pay: The Case of the City of Trikala, Greece
by Spyros Niavis, Nikolaos Gavanas, Konstantina Anastasiadou and Paschalis Arvanitidis
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 298; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080298 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 243
Abstract
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have emerged as a promising sustainable urban mobility solution, expected to lead to enhanced road safety, smoother traffic flows, less traffic congestion, improved accessibility, better energy utilization and environmental performance, as well as more efficient passenger and freight transportation, in [...] Read more.
Autonomous vehicles (AVs) have emerged as a promising sustainable urban mobility solution, expected to lead to enhanced road safety, smoother traffic flows, less traffic congestion, improved accessibility, better energy utilization and environmental performance, as well as more efficient passenger and freight transportation, in terms of time and cost, due to better fleet management and platooning. However, challenges also arise, mostly related to data privacy, security and cyber-security, high acquisition and infrastructure costs, accident liability, even possible increased traffic congestion and air pollution due to induced travel demand. This paper presents the results of a survey conducted among 654 residents who experienced an autonomous bus (AB) service in the city of Trikala, Greece, in order to assess their willingness to use (WTU) and willingness to pay (WTP) for ABs, through testing a range of factors based on a literature review. Results useful to policy-makers were extracted, such as that the intention to use ABs was mostly shaped by psychological factors (e.g., users’ perceptions of usefulness and safety, and trust in the service provider), while WTU seemed to be positively affected by previous experience in using ABs. In contrast, sociodemographic factors were found to have very little effect on the intention to use ABs, while apart from personal utility, users’ perceptions of how autonomous driving will improve the overall life standards in the study area also mattered. Full article
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16 pages, 1833 KiB  
Article
Prediction of Waste Generation Using Machine Learning: A Regional Study in Korea
by Jae-Sang Lee and Dong-Chul Shin
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 297; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080297 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 209
Abstract
Accurate forecasting of household waste generation is essential for sustainable urban planning and the development of data-driven environmental policies. Conventional statistical models, while simple and interpretable, often fail to capture the nonlinear and multidimensional relationships inherent in waste production patterns. This study proposes [...] Read more.
Accurate forecasting of household waste generation is essential for sustainable urban planning and the development of data-driven environmental policies. Conventional statistical models, while simple and interpretable, often fail to capture the nonlinear and multidimensional relationships inherent in waste production patterns. This study proposes a machine learning-based regression framework utilizing Random Forest and XGBoost algorithms to predict annual household waste generation across four metropolitan regions in South Korea Seoul, Gyeonggi, Incheon, and Jeju over the period from 2000 to 2023. Independent variables include demographic indicators (total population, working-age population, elderly population), economic indicators (Gross Regional Domestic Product), and regional identifiers encoded using One-Hot Encoding. A derived feature, elderly ratio, was introduced to reflect population aging. Model performance was evaluated using R2, RMSE, and MAE, with artificial noise added to simulate uncertainty. Random Forest demonstrated superior generalization and robustness to data irregularities, especially in data-scarce regions like Jeju. SHAP-based interpretability analysis revealed total population and GRDP as the most influential features. The findings underscore the importance of incorporating economic indicators in waste forecasting models, as demographic variables alone were insufficient for explaining waste dynamics. This approach provides valuable insights for policymakers and supports the development of adaptive, region-specific strategies for waste reduction and infrastructure investment. Full article
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18 pages, 1327 KiB  
Article
The Shifting Geography of Innovation in the Era of COVID-19: Exploring Small Business Innovation and Technology Awards in the U.S.
by Bradley Bereitschaft
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 296; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080296 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 229
Abstract
This research examines the shifting geography of small firm innovation in the U.S. by tracking the location of small business innovation research (SBIR) and small business technology transfer (STTR) awardees between 2010 and 2024. The SBIR and STTR are “seed fund” awards coordinated [...] Read more.
This research examines the shifting geography of small firm innovation in the U.S. by tracking the location of small business innovation research (SBIR) and small business technology transfer (STTR) awardees between 2010 and 2024. The SBIR and STTR are “seed fund” awards coordinated by the Small Business Administration (SBA) and funded through 11 U.S. federal agencies. Of particular interest is whether the number of individual SBA awards, awarded firms, and/or funding amounts are (1) becoming increasingly concentrated within regional innovation hubs and (2) exhibiting a shift toward or away from urban centers and other walkable, transit-accessible urban neighborhoods, particularly since 2020 and the COVID-19 pandemic. While the rise of remote work and pandemic-related fears may have reduced the desirability of urban spaces for both living and working, there remain significant benefits to spatial agglomeration that may be especially crucial for startups and other small firms in the knowledge- or information-intensive industries. The results suggest that innovative activity of smaller firms has indeed trended toward more centralized, denser, and walkable urban areas in recent years while also remaining fairly concentrated within major metropolitan innovation hubs. The pandemic appears to have resulted in a measurable, though potentially short-lived, cessation of these trends. Full article
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26 pages, 3356 KiB  
Article
Integrating Urban Factors as Predictors of Last-Mile Demand Patterns: A Spatial Analysis in Thessaloniki
by Dimos Touloumidis, Michael Madas, Panagiotis Kanellopoulos and Georgia Ayfantopoulou
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 293; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080293 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 210
Abstract
While the explosive growth in e-commerce stresses urban logistics systems, city planners lack of fine-grained data in order to anticipate and manage the resulting freight flows. Using a three-stage analytical approach combining descriptive zonal statistics, hotspot analysis and different regression modeling from univariate [...] Read more.
While the explosive growth in e-commerce stresses urban logistics systems, city planners lack of fine-grained data in order to anticipate and manage the resulting freight flows. Using a three-stage analytical approach combining descriptive zonal statistics, hotspot analysis and different regression modeling from univariate to geographically weighted regression, this study integrates one year of parcel deliveries from a leading courier with open spatial layers of land-use zoning, census population, mobile-signal activity and household income to model last-mile demand across different land use types. A baseline linear regression shows that residential population alone accounts for roughly 30% of the variance in annual parcel volumes (2.5–3.0 deliveries per resident) while adding daytime workforce and income increases the prediction accuracy to 39%. In a similar approach where coefficients vary geographically with Geographically Weighted Regression to capture the local heterogeneity achieves a significant raise of the overall R2 to 0.54 and surpassing 0.70 in residential and institutional districts. Hot-spot analysis reveals a highly fragmented pattern where fewer than 5% of blocks generate more than 8.5% of all deliveries with no apparent correlation to the broaden land-use classes. Commercial and administrative areas exhibit the greatest intensity (1149 deliveries per ha) yet remain the hardest to explain (global R2 = 0.21) underscoring the importance of additional variables such as retail mix, street-network design and tourism flows. Through this approach, the calibrated models can be used to predict city-wide last-mile demand using only public inputs and offers a transferable, privacy-preserving template for evidence-based freight planning. By pinpointing the location and the land uses where demand concentrates, it supports targeted interventions such as micro-depots, locker allocation and dynamic curb-space management towards more sustainable and resilient urban-logistics networks. Full article
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17 pages, 3289 KiB  
Article
Significant Attribution of Urbanization to Triggering Extreme Rainfall in the Urban Core—A Case of Dallas–Fort Worth in North Texas
by Junaid Ahmad, Jessica A. Eisma and Muhammad Sajjad
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 295; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080295 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 305
Abstract
While rainfall occurs for several reasons, climate change and urbanization influence its frequency and geographical disparities. Although recent research suggests that urbanization may lead to increased rainfall, insights into how urbanization can trigger rainfall remain limited. We selected the Dallas–Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex, [...] Read more.
While rainfall occurs for several reasons, climate change and urbanization influence its frequency and geographical disparities. Although recent research suggests that urbanization may lead to increased rainfall, insights into how urbanization can trigger rainfall remain limited. We selected the Dallas–Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex, which has minimal orographic and coastal influences, to analyze the urban impact on rainfall. DFW was divided into 256 equal grids (10 km × 10 km) and grouped into four clusters using K-means clustering based on the urbanization ratio. Using Multi-Sensor Precipitation Estimator data (with a spatial resolution of 4 km), we examined rainfall exceeding the 95th percentile (i.e., extreme rainfall) on low synoptic days to highlight localized effects. The urban heat island (UHI) effect was estimated based on the average temperature difference between the urban core and the other three non-urban clusters. Multiple rainfall events were monitored on an hourly basis. Potential linkages between urbanization, the UHI, extreme rainfall, wind speed, wind direction, convective inhibition, and convective available potential energy were evaluated. An intense UHI within the DFW area triggered a tornado, resulting in maximum rainfall in the urban core area under high wind speeds and a dominant wind direction. Our findings further clarify the role of urbanization in generating extreme rainfall events, which is essential for developing better policies for urban planning in response to intensifying extreme events due to climate change. Full article
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21 pages, 2355 KiB  
Article
Analysis of Residents’ Understanding of Encroachment Risk to Water Infrastructure in Makause Informal Settlement in the City of Ekurhuleni
by Mpondomise Nkosinathi Ndawo, Dennis Dzansi and Stephen Loh Tangwe
Urban Sci. 2025, 9(8), 294; https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci9080294 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 296
Abstract
This study investigates the encroachment risk in the Makause informal settlement by analysing resident survey data to identify key contributing factors and build predictive models. Encroachment threatens the water infrastructure through damage, contamination, and service disruptions, highlighting the need for informed, community-based planning. [...] Read more.
This study investigates the encroachment risk in the Makause informal settlement by analysing resident survey data to identify key contributing factors and build predictive models. Encroachment threatens the water infrastructure through damage, contamination, and service disruptions, highlighting the need for informed, community-based planning. The data was collected from 105 residents, with responses (“Yes,” “No,” “Unsure”) analysed using descriptive statistics and a one-way ANOVA to identify significant differences across categories. The ReliefF algorithm was used to rank the importance of features predicting the encroachment risk. These inputs were then used to train, validate, and test an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. The Artificial Neural Network demonstrated a high predictive accuracy, achieving correlation coefficients above 95% and low mean squared errors. The ANOVA identified statistically significant mean differences for selected variables, while ReliefF helped determine the most influential predictors. A high agreement level (p > 0.900) between predicted and actual responses confirmed the model’s validity. This research introduces an innovative, data-driven framework that integrates machine learning and a statistical analysis to support municipalities and utility providers in engaging informal communities to protect infrastructure. While this study is limited to Makause and may be affected by a self-reported bias, it demonstrates the potential of Artificial Neural Networks and ReliefF in enhancing the risk analysis and infrastructure management in informal settlements. Full article
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