The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks in Booms and Busts

A special issue of Economies (ISSN 2227-7099).

Deadline for manuscript submissions: 31 May 2025 | Viewed by 2526

Special Issue Editor


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Special Issue Information

Dear Colleagues,

In the last few decades, we have witnessed notable growth in the interconnectedness of global markets as trade relations within the global financial system have expanded. However, a variety of crises, including those related to the economy, politics, war, and health, have intensified market volatility, and impeded the process of capital allocation. Therefore, we should be incorporating unexpected changes in market attitude, bubble bursts, or the propagation of negative expectations, into market-based uncertainty. Sudden political changes that might influence the economy are referred to as economic policy uncertainty, while truly exogenous economic uncertainty comes from factors beyond political systems or the financial markets. Uncertainty shocks are propagated largely through financial markets, in which uncertainty frequently spikes throughout recessions and declines during booms. Limited investment, decreased hiring activity and overall employment, lower firm-level and aggregate productivity, higher borrowing rates, increased stock market volatility, and augmented household savings are among the negative effects of increasing uncertainty.

There are several topics that this Special Issue will cover, including, but not limited to:

  • Exploring the impact of economic uncertainty on commodities and financial markets;
  • Investigating the financial markets’ reactions to political uncertainty;
  • Exploring the association between economic uncertainty and investor attention;
  • Assessing the connections between market uncertainty and international trade;
  • Advanced quantitative methods for measuring news-based economic policy uncertainty;
  • Examining the impact of economic policy uncertainty on company performance;
  • Analyzing the effect of economic policy uncertainty on default risk;
  • Researching the relationship between geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty;
  • Inspecting the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the systemic risk of banks.

Prof. Dr. Ştefan Cristian Gherghina
Guest Editor

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Keywords

  • economic uncertainty
  • political uncertainty
  • geopolitical uncertainty
  • news-based uncertainty
  • financial markets
  • commodity markets
  • macroeconomic shocks
  • systemic risk
  • investor attention

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Published Papers (2 papers)

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Research

17 pages, 3649 KiB  
Article
Financial Development and Climate Change: A Detailed Bibliometric Investigation
by Gabriela Badareu, Marius Dalian Doran, Mihai Alexandru Firu, Sergiu Mihail Olaru and Nicoleta Mihaela Doran
Economies 2024, 12(11), 288; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12110288 - 28 Oct 2024
Viewed by 677
Abstract
This paper presents a detailed bibliometric analysis of the interaction between financial development and climate change, with the main aim of elucidating the current state of research in this area, identifying existing gaps, and guiding future researchers interested in this rapidly expanding field. [...] Read more.
This paper presents a detailed bibliometric analysis of the interaction between financial development and climate change, with the main aim of elucidating the current state of research in this area, identifying existing gaps, and guiding future researchers interested in this rapidly expanding field. The study used VOSviewer software version 1.6.18 to analyze the bibliometric data, facilitating the mapping of co-author networks, institutional collaborations, and the identification of main research directions. Through this tool, 730 papers from the Web of Science database covering the period 2010–2024 were extracted and analyzed. The study highlights the authors and institutions that have made significant contributions to the investigation of the relationship between financial development and climate change. The identification of key contributors and international collaborative networks provides a solid foundation for future research and policy initiatives. In addition, the study identifies the most prolific journals and assesses the quality and impact of the research. This allows for a deeper understanding of current research directions and potential future developments. The study not only clarifies the current state of research but also opens up new opportunities for investigating innovative and sustainable solutions aimed at improving the quality of life and protecting the environment. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks in Booms and Busts)
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18 pages, 321 KiB  
Article
Intangible and Tangible Investments and Future Earnings Volatility
by Taoufik Elkemali
Economies 2024, 12(6), 132; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies12060132 - 27 May 2024
Cited by 2 | Viewed by 1150
Abstract
This study delves into the impact of intangible and tangible investments on future earnings volatility within the European financial market context. Drawing from International Accounting Standards (IAS) 16 and 38, we examine the intricate relationship between fixed assets, expenses, and the uncertainty surrounding [...] Read more.
This study delves into the impact of intangible and tangible investments on future earnings volatility within the European financial market context. Drawing from International Accounting Standards (IAS) 16 and 38, we examine the intricate relationship between fixed assets, expenses, and the uncertainty surrounding forthcoming earnings. Our analysis reveals that intangible assets, often associated with heightened uncertainty and risk, contribute to increased earnings volatility compared to capital expenditures. Furthermore, we find that capitalizing intangible assets serves to alleviate uncertainty, resulting in lower earnings volatility compared to expensing them. Our exploration of industries’ effects further reinforce these findings, with the effect of intangible and tangible investments on earnings volatility being more pronounced in high-tech industries than in low-tech industries. Additionally, our robustness test, utilizing goodwill as a proxy for intangible assets and property, plant, and equipment as a proxy for tangible assets, yields consistent results, further bolstering our findings. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Effects of Uncertainty Shocks in Booms and Busts)
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