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Electricity, Volume 6, Issue 4 (December 2025) – 3 articles

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30 pages, 4177 KB  
Article
Techno-Economic Analysis of Peer-to-Peer Energy Trading Considering Different Distributed Energy Resources Characteristics
by Morsy Nour, Mona Zedan, Gaber Shabib, Loai Nasrat and Al-Attar Ali
Electricity 2025, 6(4), 57; https://doi.org/10.3390/electricity6040057 - 4 Oct 2025
Viewed by 223
Abstract
Peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading has emerged as a novel approach to enhancing the coordination and utilization of distributed energy resources (DERs) within modern power distribution networks. This study presents a techno-economic analysis of different DER characteristics, focusing on the integration of photovoltaic [...] Read more.
Peer-to-peer (P2P) energy trading has emerged as a novel approach to enhancing the coordination and utilization of distributed energy resources (DERs) within modern power distribution networks. This study presents a techno-economic analysis of different DER characteristics, focusing on the integration of photovoltaic (PV) systems and energy storage systems (ESS) within a community-based P2P energy trading framework in Aswan, Egypt, under a time-of-use (ToU) electricity tariff. Eight distinct cases are evaluated to assess the impact of different DER characteristics on P2P energy trading performance and an unbalanced low-voltage (LV) distribution network by varying the PV capacity, ESS capacity, and ESS charging power. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to comprehensively examine the effects of different DER characteristics on P2P energy trading and the associated impacts on an unbalanced distribution network. The findings demonstrate that integrating PV and ESS can substantially reduce operational costs—by 37.19% to 68.22% across the analyzed cases—while enabling more effective energy exchanges among peers and with the distribution system operator (DSO). Moreover, DER integration reduced grid energy imports by 30.09% to 63.21% and improved self-sufficiency, with 30.10% to 63.21% of energy demand covered by community DERs. However, the analysis also reveals that specific DER characteristics—particularly those with low PV capacity (1.5 kWp) and high ESS charging rates (e.g., ESS 13.5 kWh with 2.5 kW inverter)—can significantly increase transformer and line loading, reaching up to 19.90% and 58.91%, respectively, in Case 2. These setups also lead to voltage quality issues, such as increased voltage unbalance factors (VUFs), peaking at 1.261%, and notable phase voltage deviations, with the minimum Vb dropping to 0.972 pu and maximum Vb reaching 1.083 pu. These findings highlight the importance of optimal DER sizing and characteristics to balance economic benefits with technical constraints in P2P energy trading frameworks. Full article
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33 pages, 2784 KB  
Article
A Cooperative Game Theory Approach to Encourage Electric Energy Supply Reliability Levels and Demand-Side Flexibility
by Gintvilė Šimkonienė
Electricity 2025, 6(4), 56; https://doi.org/10.3390/electricity6040056 - 3 Oct 2025
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Abstract
Electrical energy supply services are characterised by unpredictable risks that affect both distribution network operators (DSOs) and electricity consumers. This paper presents an innovative cooperative game theory (GT) framework to enhance electric energy supply reliability and demand-side flexibility by aligning the interest of [...] Read more.
Electrical energy supply services are characterised by unpredictable risks that affect both distribution network operators (DSOs) and electricity consumers. This paper presents an innovative cooperative game theory (GT) framework to enhance electric energy supply reliability and demand-side flexibility by aligning the interest of DSOs and consumers. The research investigates the performance of the proposed GT model under different distribution network (DN) topologies and fault intensities, explicitly considering outage durations and restoration times. A cooperation mechanism based on penalty compensation is introduced to simulate realistic interactions between DSOs and consumers. Simulation results confirm that adaptive cooperation under this framework yields significant reliability improvements of up to 70% in some DN configurations. The GT-based approach supports informed investment decisions, improved stakeholder satisfaction, and reduced risk of service disruptions. Findings suggest that integrated GT planning mechanisms can lead to more resilient and consumer-centred electricity distribution systems. Full article
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19 pages, 2183 KB  
Article
A Hierarchical RNN-LSTM Model for Multi-Class Outage Prediction and Operational Optimization in Microgrids
by Nouman Liaqat, Muhammad Zubair, Aashir Waleed, Muhammad Irfan Abid and Muhammad Shahid
Electricity 2025, 6(4), 55; https://doi.org/10.3390/electricity6040055 - 1 Oct 2025
Viewed by 344
Abstract
Microgrids are becoming an innovative piece of modern energy systems as they provide locally sourced and resilient energy opportunities and enable efficient energy sourcing. However, microgrid operations can be greatly affected by sudden environmental changes, deviating demand, and unexpected outages. In particular, extreme [...] Read more.
Microgrids are becoming an innovative piece of modern energy systems as they provide locally sourced and resilient energy opportunities and enable efficient energy sourcing. However, microgrid operations can be greatly affected by sudden environmental changes, deviating demand, and unexpected outages. In particular, extreme climatic events expose the vulnerability of microgrid infrastructure and resilience, often leading to increased risk of system-wide outages. Thus, successful microgrid operation relies on timely and accurate outage predictions. This research proposes a data-driven machine learning framework for the optimized operation of a microgrid and predictive outage detection using a Recurrent Neural Network–Long Short-Term Memory (RNN-LSTM) architecture that reflects inherent temporal modeling methods. A time-aware embedding and masking strategy is employed to handle categorical and sparse temporal features, while mutual information-based feature selection ensures only the most relevant and interpretable inputs are retained for prediction. Moreover, the model addresses the challenges of experiencing rapid power fluctuations by looking at long-term learning dependency aspects within historical and real-time data observation streams. Two datasets are utilized: a locally developed real-time dataset collected from a 5 MW microgrid of Maple Cement Factory in Mianwali and a 15-year national power outage dataset obtained from Kaggle. Both datasets went through intensive preprocessing, normalization, and tokenization to transform raw readings into machine-readable sequences. The suggested approach attained an accuracy of 86.52% on the real-time dataset and 84.19% on the Kaggle dataset, outperforming conventional models in detecting sequential outage patterns. It also achieved a precision of 86%, a recall of 86.20%, and an F1-score of 86.12%, surpassing the performance of other models such as CNN, XGBoost, SVM, and various static classifiers. In contrast to these traditional approaches, the RNN-LSTM’s ability to leverage temporal context makes it a more effective and intelligent choice for real-time outage prediction and microgrid optimization. Full article
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