Strategic Modeling of Hybrid Smart Micro Energy Communities: A Decision-Oriented Approach
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Brief Description
2.2. Parameters Characterization
2.3. Input Parameters and Assumptions
2.4. Optimization Procedure and Analyses
3. Case Study
3.1. System Description
3.2. Energy Balancing
3.2.1. Procedures
3.2.2. Demand Scenarios
3.3. Techno-Economic Assessment
3.3.1. Procedures of System Sizing and Optimization
3.3.2. Assumptions and Economic Metrics (LCOE, NPV, IRR, Payback)
- Support to a more sustainable region: Up to 85% coverage of solar/battery costs (€2500 per installation);
- Next Generation EU Funds: 40–60% financing for innovative hydro-solar projects;
- Tax benefits:
- Total of 6% VAT (vs. 23%) on renewable equipment (valid in June 2025);
- Municipal tax deductions for solar installations;
- Administrative simplification:
- Greater than 3-month licensing for projects <1 MW;
- Environmental assessment exemption for retrofits.
4. Results and Discussion
4.1. Analysis of Scenarios
4.2. Comparisons Across Scenarios
4.3. Summary of KPI and Discussion
4.4. Model Validation
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| Acronyms | |
| EF | Emission Factor |
| EU | European Union |
| IRR | Internal Rate of Return |
| IIRR | Investment Internal Rate of Return |
| LCOE | Levelized Cost of Energy |
| NPV | Net Present Value |
| O&M | Operation and Maintenance |
| OPEX | Operational Expenditure |
| PB | Payback Period |
| PR | Performance Ratio |
| PV | Photovoltaic |
| SoC | State of Charge |
| UPAC | Production Units for Self-Consumption |
| VAWT | Vertical Axis Wind Turbine |
| List of variables | |
| A | Swept area of the turbine (m2) |
| Cbat | Battery capacity (kWh) |
| Cp | Power coefficient (typically ~0.3–0.4) |
| Ct | Cost in year t |
| Ct | Cost in year t |
| Echarge/Edischarge | Energy charged/discharged (kWh) |
| Egenerated | is the annual energy produced by the hybrid system (kWh) |
| EPV | Daily energy output (kWh) |
| Et | Energy produced in year t |
| g | Gravitational acceleration (9.81 m/s2) |
| Gtilted | Daily global tilted irradiation (kWh/m2) |
| H | Net head (m) |
| IRR | Internal rate of return |
| I | Investment cost per year |
| M | Maintenance cost per year |
| n | Project lifetime (years) |
| N | lifespan of the project (years) |
| O | Operational cost per year |
| P | Hydraulic power output (W) |
| PPV | Installed PV capacity (kW) |
| PR | Performance ratio (typically 0.75 |
| PW | Installed W capacity (kW) |
| Pwind | Instantaneous wind power output (W) |
| Q | Flow rate (m3/s) |
| r | Discount rate |
| Rt | Revenue in year t |
| SoCt | Battery state of charge at time t |
| v | Wind speed (m/s) |
| η | Overall system efficiency (dimensionless) |
| η | System efficiency (electrical/mechanical losses) |
| ηdischarge | Charge/discharge efficiencies |
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| Scenarios | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surface per house (m2) | 2.78 | 8.12 | 17.00 | 14.99 |
| PV Surface (4.5 m2/KW) | 2.78 | 64.96 | 34.00 | 29.97 |
| P PV (KW) | 0.62 | 14.44 | 12.03 | 6.66 |
| P Wind (KW) | 0.72 | 9.87 | 1.98 | 1.71 |
| Q Micro-H (m3/s) | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| Flood flow in River (m3/s) | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 |
| Production (kWh) | 29,021 | 57,342 | 44,182 | 37,466 |
| Consumption (kWh) | 6098 | 48,782 | 28,411 | 22,422 |
| Buy (kWh) | 832 | 7041 | 2404 | 1773 |
| Sell (kWh) | 23,725 | 15,130 | 17,883 | 16,654 |
| Balance (kWh) | 22,924 | 8559 | 15,771 | 15,044 |
| Charge (kWh) | 266 | 4472 | 2679 | 1458 |
| Discharge (kWh) | 251 | 4423 | 2638 | 1429 |
| Losses of Ch,Dis (kWh) | 26 | 445 | 266 | 144 |
| Check (P-C+B-S) (kWh) | 30 | 470 | 291 | 163 |
| NPV (€) | 15,060 | 35,359 | 38,860 | 36,065 |
| PB (Years) | 6.6 | 8.7 | 7.0 | 6.3 |
| IRR | 14% | 9% | 13% | 15% |
| LCOE (€/kW) | 0.036 | 0.090 | 0.070 | 0.063 |
| CO2 produced (kg) | −89,584 | −9364 | −45,843 | −48,952 |
| CO2 Earned (kg) | 115,500 | 216,689 | 166,591 | 144,245 |
| Scenario | Consumption (kWh/yr) | Total Production (kWh/yr) | Total Energy Supplied (kWh/yr) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOMER Adapted | HySMEC | HOMER Adapted | HySMEC | ||
| Scenario 1 | 6.099 | 25,505 | 29,000 | 26,508 | 29,832 |
| Scenario 2 | 48,776 | 52,492 | 57,341 | 59,094 | 64,382 |
| Scenario 3 | 28,513 | 41,729 | 44,182 | 46,428 | 62,065 |
| Scenario 4 | 22,468 | 34,537 | 37,466 | 39,272 | 39,239 |
| Tech/ Economic/ Environ | Scenario 1 | Scenario 2 | Scenario 3 | Scenario 4 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOMER Adapted | HySMEC | HOMER Adapted | HySMEC | HOMER Adapted | HySMEC | HOMER Adapted | HySMEC | |
| Solar PV Capacity (kW) | 0.62 | 0.62 | 14.44 | 14.44 | 12.03 | 12.03 | 6.66 | 6.66 |
| Wind Turbine Capacity (kW) | 1 | 0.72 | 10 | 9.87 | 2 | 1.98 | 2 | 1.71 |
| Grid Purchase (kWh/yr) | 1003 | 832 | 6602 | 7041 | 4699 | 17,883 | 4709 | 1773 |
| Grid Sell (kWh/yr) | 20,352 | 23,725 | 8274 | 15,130 | 16,609 | 2404 | 15,969 | 16,654 |
| Battery Charge (kWh/yr) | 86.6 | 266 | 6493 | 4472 | 2573 | 2679 | 885 | 1458 |
| Battery Disch. (kWh/yr) | 80.3 | 251 | 9181 | 445 | 2435 | 2638 | 833 | 1429 |
| NPV (€) | 6103 | 15,060 | 89,080 | 35,359 | 45,947 | 38,860 | 35,045 | 36,065 |
| LCOE (€/kWh) | 0.019 | 0.036 | 0.180 | 0.09 | 0.106 | 0.07 | 0.095 | 0.063 |
| IRR (%) | −1 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| Payback Period (yr) | - | 6.65 | 10.5 | 8.7 | 8.75 | 7.03 | 8.9 | 6.3 |
| CO2 earned (ton) | 108 | 115 | 223 | 209 | 177 | 145 | 147 | 144 |
| CO2 total produced (ton) | −75 | −90 | 101 | −2 | −30 | −24 | −34 | −49 |
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Share and Cite
Ramos, H.M.; Erdfarb, A.; Demircan, I.; Koca, K.; McNabola, A.; Coronado-Hernández, O.E.; Pérez-Sánchez, M. Strategic Modeling of Hybrid Smart Micro Energy Communities: A Decision-Oriented Approach. Urban Sci. 2026, 10, 107. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10020107
Ramos HM, Erdfarb A, Demircan I, Koca K, McNabola A, Coronado-Hernández OE, Pérez-Sánchez M. Strategic Modeling of Hybrid Smart Micro Energy Communities: A Decision-Oriented Approach. Urban Science. 2026; 10(2):107. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10020107
Chicago/Turabian StyleRamos, Helena M., Alex Erdfarb, Isil Demircan, Kemal Koca, Aonghus McNabola, Oscar E. Coronado-Hernández, and Modesto Pérez-Sánchez. 2026. "Strategic Modeling of Hybrid Smart Micro Energy Communities: A Decision-Oriented Approach" Urban Science 10, no. 2: 107. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10020107
APA StyleRamos, H. M., Erdfarb, A., Demircan, I., Koca, K., McNabola, A., Coronado-Hernández, O. E., & Pérez-Sánchez, M. (2026). Strategic Modeling of Hybrid Smart Micro Energy Communities: A Decision-Oriented Approach. Urban Science, 10(2), 107. https://doi.org/10.3390/urbansci10020107

