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Technological Singularity: What Do We Really Know?

Department of Computer Photonics and Videomatics, ITMO University, 197101 Saint Petersburg, Russia
SingularityNET, 1083 HN Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Information 2018, 9(4), 82;
Received: 27 February 2018 / Revised: 25 March 2018 / Accepted: 3 April 2018 / Published: 8 April 2018
(This article belongs to the Special Issue AI AND THE SINGULARITY: A FALLACY OR A GREAT OPPORTUNITY?)
PDF [204 KB, uploaded 3 May 2018]


The concept of the technological singularity is frequently reified. Futurist forecasts inferred from this imprecise reification are then criticized, and the reified ideas are incorporated in the core concept. In this paper, I try to disentangle the facts related to the technological singularity from more speculative beliefs about the possibility of creating artificial general intelligence. I use the theory of metasystem transitions and the concept of universal evolution to analyze some misconceptions about the technological singularity. While it may be neither purely technological, nor truly singular, we can predict that the next transition will take place, and that the emerged metasystem will demonstrate exponential growth in complexity with a doubling time of less than half a year, exceeding the complexity of the existing cybernetic systems in few decades. View Full-Text
Keywords: technological singularity; metasystem transitions; artificial general intelligence technological singularity; metasystem transitions; artificial general intelligence
This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited (CC BY 4.0).

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Potapov, A. Technological Singularity: What Do We Really Know? Information 2018, 9, 82.

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