Diagnostic Accuracy and Concordance of Standardized vs. Non-Standardized Joint Physical Examination for Assessing Disease Activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Paired Comparison Using Ultrasound as Reference Standard
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Design
2.2. Population
2.3. Intervention
2.4. Data Analysis
3. Results
3.1. Sensitivity and Specificity
3.2. Predictive Values
3.3. Correction to Imperfect Reference Bias
3.4. Concordance
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Standardized Exam (SE) | Non-Standardized Exam (NSE) | |||||
Positive | Negative | Total | Positive | Negative | Total | |
Ultrasound Positive | 256 | 115 | 442 | 52 | 19 | 442 |
Ultrasound Negative | 114 | 907 | 1021 | 148 | 873 | 1021 |
Total | 370 | 278 | 1463 | 200 | 615 | 1463 |
Diagnostic Accuracy—Before and After Adjustment for Reference Standard Bias | ||||||
Parameter | Standardized Exam (%) | Non-Standardized Exam (%) | 95% CI for Difference | |||
Sensitivity | 83.9 (95% CI: 80.2–87.0) → 93.8 (adjusted) | 69.6 (95% CI: 65.2–73.7) → 77.3 (adjusted) | (0.14; 0.19) | |||
Specificity | 72.8 (95% CI: 70.0–75.5) → 75.4 (adjusted) | 74.3 (95% CI: 71.5–76.9) → 76.3 (adjusted) | (–0.03; 0.02) | |||
Statistical Comparison (SE vs. NSE) Before Adjustment for Reference Standard Bias | ||||||
|
Standardized Exam (SE) | Non-Standardized Exam (NSE) | |||||
Positive | Negative | Total | Positive | Negative | Total | |
Ultrasound Positive | 221 | 141 | 362 | 15 | 62 | 77 |
Ultrasound Negative | 73 | 177 | 250 | 84 | 646 | 730 |
Total | 294 | 318 | 612 | 99 | 708 | 1419 |
Diagnostic Accuracy—Before and After Adjustment for Reference Standard Bias | ||||||
Parameter | Standardized Exam (%) | Non-Standardized Exam (%) | 95% CI for Difference | |||
Sensitivity | 82.4 (95% CI: 78.6–85.7) → 91.9 (adjusted) | 53.7 (95% CI: 49.0–58.3) → 60.0 (adjusted) | (0.29; 0.34) | |||
Specificity | 74.4 (95% CI: 71.6–77.1) → 77.1 (adjusted) | 83.9 (95% CI: 81.5–86.1) → 85.7 (adjusted) | (–0.11; –0.05) | |||
Statistical Comparison (SE vs. NSE) Before Adjustment for Reference Standard Bias | ||||||
|
Prevalence (%) | PPV SE (95% CI) | PPV NSE (95% CI) | NPV SE (95% CI) | NPV NSE (95% CI) | Wald Test (p-Value) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 30.7% (27.3–34.4) | 28.0% (24.5–31.8) | 96.9% (95.5–97.9) | 94.5% (92.8–95.8) | 3.518 (p = 0.172) |
20 | 47.0% (43.2–50.8) | 43.8% (39.7–47.9) | 94.1% (92.2–95.5) | 89.5% (87.4–91.4) | 11.750 (p = 0.003) |
30 | 58.4% (54.2–62.4) | 55.8% (51.7–60.0) | 89.7% (87.6–91.7) | 80.1% (77.2–82.8) | 23.456 (p < 0.001) |
40 | 63.9% (60.2–67.6) | 60.9% (56.8–64.8) | 88.8% (86.4–90.8) | 81.1% (78.4–83.5) | 40.355 (p < 0.001) |
50 | 68.9% (65.3–72.4) | 66.1% (62.1–69.8) | 86.4% (83.8–88.6) | 77.4% (74.5–80.0) | 57.519 (p < 0.001) |
60 | 72.7% (69.1–76.0) | 70.0% (66.1–73.6) | 84.1% (81.4–86.4) | 74.0% (71.1–76.8) | 74.872 (p < 0.001) |
70 | 75.6% (72.2–78.8) | 73.1% (69.4–76.6) | 81.9% (79.1–84.4) | 71.0% (67.9–73.9) | 91.654 (p < 0.001) |
80 | 78.0% (74.7–81.0) | 75.7% (72.0–79.0) | 79.8% (76.9–82.5) | 68.1% (65.0–71.1) | 107.408 (p < 0.001) |
90 | 80.0% (76.7–82.9) | 77.8% (74.2–81.0) | 77.9% (74.9–80.6) | 65.5% (62.4–68.6) | 121.888 (p < 0.001) |
Prevalence (%) | PPV SE (95% CI) | PPV NSE (95% CI) | NPV SE (95% CI) | NPV NSE (95% CI) | Wald Test (p-Value) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 31.9 (28.3–35.7) | 32.7 (28.2–37.5) | 96.7 (95.2–97.7) | 92.6 (90.9–94.1) | 22.300 (p < 0.001) |
20 | 48.3 (44.4–52.3) | 49.3 (44.4–54.2) | 93.6 (91.7–95.1) | 86.2 (84.0–88.2) | 69.400 (p < 0.001) |
30 | 59.2 (55.2–63.0) | 60.1 (55.1–64.8) | 90.5 (88.2–92.3) | 80.2 (77.7–82.5) | 131.200 (p < 0.001) |
40 | 65.2 (61.3–68.9) | 66.0 (61.2–70.5) | 88.0 (85.6–90.1) | 75.8 (73.1–78.3) | 183.400 (p < 0.001) |
50 | 71.0 (67.0–74.9) | 72.1 (67.3–76.5) | 85.2 (82.3–87.8) | 72.5 (69.4–75.4) | 245.700 (p < 0.001) |
60 | 73.7 (70.1–77.1) | 74.5 (69.9–78.5) | 83.0 (80.3–85.5) | 67.6 (64.7–70.4) | 288.508 (p < 0.001) |
70 | 76.6 (73.1–79.8) | 77.3 (72.9–81.2) | 80.7 (77.9–83.3) | 64.1 (61.2–67.1) | 333.072 (p < 0.001) |
80 | 78.9 (75.5–82.0) | 79.5 (75.3–83.3) | 78.6 (75.6–81.3) | 61.1 (58.0–64.0) | 371.843 (p < 0.001) |
90 | 80.8 (77.5–83.8) | 81.4 (77.3–84.9) | 76.5 (73.5–79.3) | 58.2 (55.2–61.2) | 405.013 (p < 0.001) |
Condition | PV Type | Exam SE Before (%) | Exam SE After (%) | Exam NSE Before (%) | Exam NSE After (%) | 95% CI for Difference * (SE–NSE) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joint Tenderness | PPV | 57.2 | 88.4 | 54.0 | 72.8 | (0.12; 0.18) |
NPV | 91.3 | 96.8 | 84.9 | 89.4 | (0.10; 0.14) | |
Joint Swelling | PPV | 59.2 | 87.1 | 60.1 | 83.7 | (0.27; 0.33) |
NPV | 90.5 | 95.8 | 80.2 | 83.7 | (0.09; 0.14) |
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Medina, Y.F.; Rondón, M.A. Diagnostic Accuracy and Concordance of Standardized vs. Non-Standardized Joint Physical Examination for Assessing Disease Activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Paired Comparison Using Ultrasound as Reference Standard. J. Clin. Med. 2025, 14, 5334. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14155334
Medina YF, Rondón MA. Diagnostic Accuracy and Concordance of Standardized vs. Non-Standardized Joint Physical Examination for Assessing Disease Activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Paired Comparison Using Ultrasound as Reference Standard. Journal of Clinical Medicine. 2025; 14(15):5334. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14155334
Chicago/Turabian StyleMedina, Yimy F., and Martin A. Rondón. 2025. "Diagnostic Accuracy and Concordance of Standardized vs. Non-Standardized Joint Physical Examination for Assessing Disease Activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Paired Comparison Using Ultrasound as Reference Standard" Journal of Clinical Medicine 14, no. 15: 5334. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14155334
APA StyleMedina, Y. F., & Rondón, M. A. (2025). Diagnostic Accuracy and Concordance of Standardized vs. Non-Standardized Joint Physical Examination for Assessing Disease Activity in Rheumatoid Arthritis: A Paired Comparison Using Ultrasound as Reference Standard. Journal of Clinical Medicine, 14(15), 5334. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm14155334