Ability of Surface Electrocardiography in Predicting Ventricular Arrhythmias in Dogs with Secondary Atrial Fibrillation
Simple Summary
Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Animals
2.2. Routine ECG and 24 h Holter Monitoring
2.3. Statistical Analysis
- Sensitivity (Se): The probability of a positive ECG result (≥1 VPCs) when the Holter identified severe VAs. Specifically, for the purpose of this study, VAs were classified as severe based on two criteria: (1) the presence of more than 100 VPCs and (2) a Lown–Wolf grade ≥ 4.
- Specificity (Sp): The probability of a negative ECG result (VPCs = 0) when the Holter did not detect severe VAs.
- Prevalence: The proportion of dogs with severe VAs detected by Holter, according to each criterion.
- Positive Predictive Value (PPV): The probability that severe VAs are present when the ECG test is positive:PPV = (Se × Prevalence)/[(Se × Prevalence) + ((1 − Sp) × (1 − Prevalence))]
- Negative Predictive Value (NPV): The probability that severe VAs are absent when the ECG test is negative:NPV = (Sp × (1 − Prevalence))/[((1 − Se) × Prevalence) + (Sp × (1 − Prevalence))]
- Accuracy: The overall probability that a dog is correctly classified:Accuracy = (Se × Prevalence) + (Sp × (1 − Prevalence))
3. Results
3.1. Animals
3.2. Electrocardiographic Data
4. Discussion
5. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Institutional Review Board Statement
Informed Consent Statement
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
References
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| Variable | All Dogs | VPCs on ECG | p-Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | |||
| N. of dogs (%) | 35 | 13 (37) | 22 (63) | - |
| Breed: CB, PB (%) | 11 (31), 24 (69) | 5 (38), 8 (62) | 6 (27), 16 (73) | 0.76 |
| Sex: M, F (%) | 24 (69), 11 (31) | 7 (54), 6 (46) | 17 (77), 5 (23) | 0.29 |
| Age (y) | 9.7 ± 3.2 | 10.2 ± 3.0 | 9.4 ± 3.4 | 0.50 |
| Weight (kg) | 31.7 ± 17.5 | 33.4 ± 16.5 | 30.8 ± 18.3 | 0.68 |
| HD: MMVD, DCM, CHD (%) | 23 (66), 9 (26), 3 (8) | 10 (77), 3 (23), 0 (0) | 13 (59), 6 (27), 3 (14) | >0.30 |
| ACVIM stage: B2, C + D (%) | 6 (17), 29 (83) | 2 (15), 11 (85) | 4 (18), 18 (82) | 0.99 |
| Breed | Sex | Age (Year) | BW (kg) | Cardiac Disease | ACVIM Stage | Number of VPCs/ECG | Lown–Wolf Grade/ECG | Number of VPCs/Holter | Lown–Wolf Grade/Holter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corso | IF | 9 | 72 | MMVD | C | 1 | 1 | 3381 | 5 |
| Crossbred | SF | 9 | 29 | MMVD | C | 1 | 1 | 3580 | 4 |
| German Shepherd | SF | 13 | 41.5 | MMVD | B2 | 1 | 1 | 2606 | 4 |
| Crossbred | IM | 15 | 27.5 | MMVD | C | 1 | 1 | 3388 | 4 |
| Crossbred | SF | 12 | 11.2 | MMVD | D | 1 | 1 | 206 | 5 |
| Dogue de Bordeaux | IF | 3 | 52.5 | DCM | C | 5 | 1 | 12,151 | 4 |
| Doberman Pinscher | IM | 10 | 33.8 | DCM | D | 1 | 1 | 3436 | 4 |
| Weimaraner | CM | 12 | 31.5 | MMVD | C | 4 | 2 | 1417 | 4 |
| Appenzeller Sennehund | IM | 11 | 24.5 | MMVD | C | 9 | 2 | 8926 | 5 |
| Giant Schnauzer | SF | 12 | 31.1 | MMVD | B2 | 9 | 2 | 34,531 | 4 |
| Golden Retriever | IM | 7 | 30 | MMVD | C | 1 | 1 | 5572 | 5 |
| Crossbred | CM | 9 | 41 | DCM | C | 10 | 2 | 12,099 | 5 |
| Crossbred | CM | 11 | 8.2 | MMVD | C | 10 | 4 | 2640 | 5 |
| Breed | Sex | Age (Year) | BW (kg) | Cardiac Disease | ACVIM Stage | Number of VPCs/Holter | Lown–Wolf Class/Holter |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dogue de Bordeaux | CM | 7 | 56.5 | DCM | B2 | 72 | 5 |
| Leonberger | IM | 6 | 62 | DCM | C | 1733 | 4 |
| Golden Retriever | IM | 11 | 34.5 | MMVD | C | 1024 | 5 |
| Italian Spinone | CM | 14 | 18.5 | MMVD | C | 4 | 1 |
| Corso | IM | 8 | 73 | DCM | C | 9 | 1 |
| Miniature Pinscher | SF | 9 | 3.4 | MMVD | C | 93 | 4 |
| American Staffordshire Terrier | SF | 9 | 22.5 | MD | C | 329 | 5 |
| German Shepherd | IM | 7 | 33 | MMVD | C | 86 | 2 |
| Weimaraner | SF | 11 | 29 | MMVD | C | 41 | 2 |
| Crossbred | CM | 10 | 29.3 | DCM | C | 719 | 4 |
| Crossbred | CM | 11 | 15.4 | MMVD | C | 2000 | 5 |
| Crossbred | SF | 9 | 46.1 | MMVD | C | 939 | 4 |
| Crossbred | CM | 13 | 30 | MMVD | C | 585 | 4 |
| Pinscher | IM | 11 | 5.9 | MMVD | C | 3 | 4 |
| Dachshund | IM | 9 | 7.5 | MMVD | C | 33 | 1 |
| German Shepherd | IF | 11 | 34 | MMVD | C | 1283 | 4 |
| Crossbred | CM | 13 | 16.5 | MMVD | C | 8638 | 4 |
| American Bulldog | IM | 7 | 46 | DCM | C | 15 | 2 |
| Crossbred | CM | 14 | 8.2 | MMVD | C | 355 | 3 |
| Weimaraner | IM | 2 | 35 | TD | B2 | 24 | 4 |
| Rottweiler | IM | 2 | 37.2 | TD | B2 | 324 | 5 |
| Golden Retriever | IM | 14 | 34 | DCM | B2 | 32 | 1 |
| VA Severity | Number of Dogs (%) | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | AUC (95% CI) | PPV (95% CI) | NPV (95% CI) | Accuracy (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >100 VPCs on Holter | 24/35 (69%) | 54.2 (32.8–74.5) | 100 (71.5–100) | 0.77 (0.60–0.89) | 100 (75.3–100) | 50 (39.3–60.7) | 68.6 (51.7–83.1) |
| Lown–Wolf grade ≥ 4 | 27/35 (77%) | 48.1 (28.7–68.1) | 100 (63.1–100) | 0.74 (0.57–0.87) | 100 (75.3–100) | 36.4 (28.4–45.1) | 60 (42.1–76.1) |
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Romito, G.; Mazzoldi, C.; Valente, C.; Poser, H.; Arcuri, G.; Contiero, B.; Guglielmini, C. Ability of Surface Electrocardiography in Predicting Ventricular Arrhythmias in Dogs with Secondary Atrial Fibrillation. Animals 2025, 15, 3057. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani15203057
Romito G, Mazzoldi C, Valente C, Poser H, Arcuri G, Contiero B, Guglielmini C. Ability of Surface Electrocardiography in Predicting Ventricular Arrhythmias in Dogs with Secondary Atrial Fibrillation. Animals. 2025; 15(20):3057. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani15203057
Chicago/Turabian StyleRomito, Giovanni, Chiara Mazzoldi, Carlotta Valente, Helen Poser, Giulia Arcuri, Barbara Contiero, and Carlo Guglielmini. 2025. "Ability of Surface Electrocardiography in Predicting Ventricular Arrhythmias in Dogs with Secondary Atrial Fibrillation" Animals 15, no. 20: 3057. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani15203057
APA StyleRomito, G., Mazzoldi, C., Valente, C., Poser, H., Arcuri, G., Contiero, B., & Guglielmini, C. (2025). Ability of Surface Electrocardiography in Predicting Ventricular Arrhythmias in Dogs with Secondary Atrial Fibrillation. Animals, 15(20), 3057. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani15203057

