3.1. Comparison of Conventional and Organic Hop Gardens
The results were obtained over a four-year period (2020–2023) from the study area. Data were collected from an organic hop garden with the varieties Saaz and Premiant, and from a conventional hop garden with the varieties Agnus, Premiant and Sládek. A generalized linear model [
36,
37] was used in R, with the response variable being the average of CIR, GNDVI, NDRE, NDVI and SAVI values and the explanatory variables being year, variety and management (organic and conventional). The visualized boxplots displayed the average values. The results of this statistical analysis are given in
Figure 6, which displays the plots of the mean selected spectral index values in relation to year and management type.
From the boxplots in
Figure 6, it is clear at first glance that all used indices visually show better vitality of conventional hops (CON) compared to organic ones (BIO). However, due to the relatively large and overlapping dispersions of the measured values, the question remains as to what extent these differences are statistically significant. The results of the analysis of variance in R showed that statistically significant differences can be found mainly when using the CIR and GNDVI indices (in both cases in 2020 at a significance level of 0.001, in 2021 at a significance level of 0.05 and in 2022 and 2023 at significance levels of 0.05 or 0.1). The NDRE index performs a little worse, as it was unable to detect a statistically significant difference in 2022, while the NDVI and SAVI indices appear to be unsuitable in terms of detecting differences between the vitality of conventional and organic hop gardens, because they were unable to statistically demonstrate a difference in the development of hop plants in two or more out of the four monitored years, and the maximum achieved significance level was 0.05 (in 2020).
This finding confirms the results obtained by Costa et al. [
38], who compared the suitability of NDRE and NDVI indices for monitoring grapevine growth and concluded that NDRE is more sensitive than NDVI to detect grapevine vigour variability. Our measurements showed that indices focused on chlorophyll detection (CIR, GNDVI and NDRE) are more suitable for monitoring differences in hop plant vitality.
In 2020, statistically significant differences were found between conventional and organic hops using all indices except SAVI, and all chlorophyll indices showed differences at the highest significance level (0.001). In 2021, statistically significant differences were found at lower significance levels (CIR, GNDVI, SAVI—0.05; NDRE—0.1), with the NDVI index failing, similarly to the following two years, 2022 and 2023. The most complicated year to detect differences between conventionally and organically grown hop areas was 2022. At a significance level of 0.05, differences were detected only by the GNDVI index; the CIR and SAVI indices reached a significance level of 0.1 and the NDRE and NDVI indices both failed. The year 2023 was a little more favourable (CIR and NDRE reached a significance level of 0.05; GNDVI then reached 0.1), but two indices (NDVI and SAVI) failed again.
3.2. Evaluation of the Yield and Alpha Acid Content Using Spectral Indices and Other Independent Variables
Forward Stepwise Linear Regression (FSLR) was calculated, where the dependent variables were “Yield” and “content of Alpha Acids”. Independent variables were divided into two groups as “All independent variables”, which meant management (organic, conventional), variety, phenophasis and NDVI, GNDVI, CIR, SAVI and NDRE spectral indices as indirect indicators of stand condition, temperature, relative humidity and sun radiation, and only “Spectral indices” (NDVI, GNDVI, CIR, SAVI and NDRE) as indirect indicators of stand. Spectral indices were supposed to provide indications as to which spectral index is appropriate to use for predicting hop yield or alpha bitter acid content as a qualitative indicator during individual growth phases (see
Table 5 and
Table 6).
As is often discussed in the literature (e.g., [
39]), the yield or quality of production can be predicted quite reliably in selected growth stages by UAV remote sensing. The main growth stages are most often used for this purpose. For instance, for small cereals, [
40] describes a basic division into “tillering, stem elongation, flowering and spikes forming”, or ref. [
41] describes a more detailed division into “tillering, stem elongation, booting, heading, flowering, fruit development, ripening and senescence”. For hop growth, ref. [
1] used eight vegetation periods to express the whole development of hop plants. According to methodology of [
28], the classification scale of hop growth and development phases are divided into nine main growing stages. Although currently, the hop growth stages are commonly divided into nine stages, in our study, three basic growth stages for hop plant evaluation were used (elongation growth, flowering and cone development) so that they were sufficiently covered using UAV images for analysis. Vostřel et al. [
28] used the division into following growth phases: germination, leaf development, formation of lateral shoots, shoot elongation, inflorescence emergence, flowering, cone development, cone ripening and senescence (the onset of dormancy). The first two phases (germination and leaf development) cannot be observed when using remote sensing equipment. The first phase monitored by UAV “elongation growth” thus includes all levels of shoot elongation, the second phase “flowering” includes inflorescence emergence and flowering and the third phase, “cone development”, includes cone development and ripening. Senescence is irrelevant from the point of view of our evaluation because the plant is harvested as soon as possible after the cones reach ripening.
During elongation growth, large differences were found between individual varieties and management, which can be seen in
Figure 7, especially during later growth phases (June). The combination of abiotic and biotic conditions of the habitat and their distribution in individual years also played a major role. It is generally known for other crops, e.g., [
42], that different varieties may have different spectral responses. On the other hand, the same varieties in different abiotic conditions, mostly due to limited water availability, can have different spectral responses in all growth stages. In the initial phases, the significant development of hop growth occurred. The plants not only grew quickly in height but the individual shoots also lengthened laterally. Solar radiation, which enables photosynthesis and thus provides the necessary energy for growth, undoubtedly had a significant influence on the development of these lateral branches. However, as can be seen from
Table 5, each of the evaluated varieties was able to thrive differently in the given abiotic conditions from the energy provided by solar radiation. The complex of these parameters was able to predict the yield by up to 61% (details in
Table 5).
In terms of quality, the content of alpha acids in the cones is primarily evaluated. As can be seen from
Table 6, cultivation management had the greatest influence on the quality of the harvest in the initial stages of growth. In organic hop gardens, it was therefore necessary to suppress the development of fungal diseases as much as possible. Furthermore, the choice of variety and the influence of site conditions each year, such as the combination of relative humidity and air temperature, and the chlorophyll content in the leaves to enable photosynthesis (here indirectly expressed by the spectral indices CIR, GNDVI and NDRE), played a major role. It was also necessary to choose the right phenophase for prediction. All these parameters then predicted the content of alpha acids, and therefore the quality of production in the initial stages of growth by up to 87%. The most suitable spectral indices for estimating yield or alpha acids in this initial phenological phase were GNDVI and CIR as indicators of chlorophyll and NDVI as the indicator of hop stand structure, which were necessary to ensure effective photosynthesis. These indices were able to predict the content of alpha acids in the elongation phase by up to 18% (details in
Table 6).
During the flowering growth phase in July, it was possible to predict yield mainly based on the variety, as can be seen in
Table 5. However, structural parameters of the hop stand expressed by spectral indices SAVI and NDVI (prediction of up to 56%) and the site conditions of the studied year also played a major role. The complex of these parameters was able to predict yield by up to 71% in later phenological phases. Alpha acids could be predicted within the flowering phase by up to 92% using a combination of parameters: cultivation management, variety, relative humidity, chlorophyll content and stand structure expressed by the GNDVI and SAVI indices and the site conditions of the given year. The most suitable index for predicting alpha acids in the flowering growth phase was NDRE; however, only by 11% (see
Table 6).
In the cone development growth phase, yield was possible to predict by a complex of parameters, where the structural and health parameters of the hop stand expressed by the NDVI index played the most important role (prediction of up to 61%—see
Table 5). Other important parameters were the air temperature, site conditions of the given year, relative humidity, suitable phenophase for evaluation (usually later) and chlorophyll content expressed by the CIR and GNDVI indices. This complex of variables was able to predict yield by up to 80%. In the prediction of alpha acids (according to
Table 6), the most important parameters were cultivation management, variety, relative humidity, solar radiation and the structural index SAVI. This complex of variables was able to predict production quality by up to 90%. In terms of using spectral indices for quality prediction, NDRE and CIR appeared to be the most suitable as indicators of chlorophyll content and plant health. However, again, only by 13%.
Since there are not many research studies that evaluate hop growth using UAV scanning, similar crops, mainly vineyards, were chosen for comparison. Although vineyards have a different vegetation cycle expressed as BBCH, and the structure of the plants resulting from a different family, they are closest to hops in terms of shape and growth pattern. Therefore, we decided to discuss our results with studies that address either general agronomic knowledge or findings applied to vineyards. Matese et al. [
43] used NDVI to estimate vineyard yield and sugar content in berries. In their research, they concluded that in some years, NDVI was more related to sugar content, i.e., production quality, than to yield, which is the opposite behaviour at a given location than in other years. Likewise, our results confirmed that it is necessary to assess a complex of variables, including indirect ones. The authors of the study also concluded that the relationship between NDVI and sugar content can be considered an indirect consequence of the dependence of sugar content on yield.
Opposite results, where high NDVI is associated with high yield in vineyards, were found by Carrillo et al. [
44] and Urretavizcaya et al. [
45]. Ferro et al. [
46] used NDVI, GNDVI, NDRE and MSAVI for their assessment of vineyard vigour, yield and the quality of grapes, and scanned the vineyards in three terms: BBCH 75 (pea size berries), 81 (beginning of ripening) and 89 (full ripening). They found that grape quality in the sense of measuring total soluble solids correlated best with the GNDVI index, with the highest negative Pearson correlation coefficients at the first scan date and then decreasing (from −0.760 to −0.662). In our study, where we calculated FSLR for the main growth phases and determined the significance of spectral indices for detecting quality and yield, we concluded that for estimating quality (in terms of alpha acid content) in the first phase, it is appropriate to use GNDVI. In later growth phases, the most important spectral indices are NDRE and CIR. These results are partly consistent with those of Ferro et al. [
46]. Although the quality of hop and grapevine production was compared, and the FSLR values for hops are relatively low (multiple R from 0.18 for GNDVI to 0.33 for NDRE). As can be seen from
Table 4, while GNDVI is based on the ratios of the Green and NIR bands, both the NDRE and CIR indices work with the Red Edge spectral band. As stated by Xu et al. [
47], the Red Edge band in the wavelength range of 670–760 nm is characterized by a greater sensitivity to changes in plant tissue and indicates various physical and chemical parameters of vegetation, such as chlorophyll a and b content, leaf cell structure and hydric status. The variability of the hop stand in later stages can be more and longer influenced by biotic and abiotic factors and, therefore, the Red Edge indices appear to be more sensitive to capturing these changes. For yield estimation, the influence of GNDVI is significant in the early stages as an index capable of capturing the chlorophyll content in the leaf tissue and corresponds to the ability of photosynthesis quality and viability of the hop stand. In later stages, structural indices are important because they can better reflect plant vitality expressed by plant volume.
The chemical nature of the quality parameters of grapevines and hops is completely different. In the case of grapevines, the content of water-soluble carbohydrates, phenolic substances, organic acids and their esters is decisive for the taste and sensory profile of the final product. In contrast, the content of alpha acids is mainly evaluated in hops. These accumulate in the granular trichomes of the hop cone during a relatively short period of July–August (September). Alpha acids are very slightly soluble in water. In the beer production process, alpha acids are isomerized to iso-alpha acids, which have a distinctly bitter taste. Iso-alpha acids are much more soluble in water than their precursors [
48].
Even though the chemical nature of the qualitative parameters of both types of plants is different, common elements that can be used to support the results of our study can be found. The crucial point is that for both types of vegetation, the canopy was scanned using a UAV. The derived indices consider the overall condition of the vegetation in terms of chlorophyll content, health, vitality and structure. There may therefore be a direct or indirect correlation between the quality and, for example, the chlorophyll content in the leaves. The ability of plants to adequately convert solar energy into chemical energy during photosynthesis is often assessed. The main photosynthetic organ of plants is the leaves, which means that more than 90% of the dry matter yield of plants comes from photosynthesis in the leaves, as Makino [
49] and Wang et al. [
50] state in their studies.
Another important point for discussion is the interpretation of the indices used. For example, Caruso et al. [
51] related LAI (Leaf Area Index) and chlorophyll concentration in leaves to NDVI obtained from the vine canopy. They found that the spatial resolution of the pixels used to assess the canopy is important. While satellite-derived NDVI is more influenced by LAI, where geometric canopy characteristics were considered, NDVI derived from UAV measurements takes into account leaf pigment content. Therefore, it makes sense to use spectral indices directly focused on the chlorophyll content in leaves (e.g., GNDVI, CIR and NDRE) in UAV images, as we addressed in our study.
In the study of Ferro et al. [
46], it was also considered which of the selected indices derived from UAV images are the most useful for predicting yield. Each of these indices was significant in a different growth phase; however, the highest Pearson correlation coefficient was achieved by GNDVI in the last measurement date. In terms of measurement in all growth phases, it appeared to be the best predictor of NDVI (correlation values from 0.786 to 0.806). In our study, NDVI also appeared to be the best predictor of yield, being able to best predict yield in all growth phases examined.
3.3. Evaluation of the Development of Hop Varieties and Spectral Indices in Connection with the Meteorological Conditions
As the FSLR analysis shows, the meteorological and microclimatic conditions of the site undoubtedly played a significant role in the resulting quality or volume of production. Each of the four years evaluated (2020 to 2023) had specific conditions. This statement for hop gardens agrees with Costa et al. [
38] in the vineyard research. They concluded that although all management practices were implemented before fruit development, it was found that each cultivar had its own genetic predisposition for vigour level.
In the case of the varieties we monitored, the Saaz aroma variety was obtained by clonal selection in the original hop stands in the Žatec hop-growing region. It is currently grown in three clones, 31, 72 and 114. It is most often used as hops in premium Czech lagers. It contains 2.5–3.5% alpha acids and its yield potential is 1–2 t/ha. The Sládek variety is of hybrid origin, with the Northern Brewer and Saaz varieties in its pedigree. It contains 5–9% alpha acids. The yield potential is 2.0–2.5 t/ha. Premiant was bred by selection from hybrid progeny after crossing the Saaz variety inbred line. It contains 5–9% alpha acids. The yield potential is 2.0–2.5 t/ha. Northern Brewer, Fuggle, Sládek and Bor hops are in the genetic base of Agnus. It is a bitter variety with a 10–13% alpha acid content and a yield potential of 2.0–2.5 t/ha.
The year 2020, with the second highest sum of precipitation and the second coldest year in the monitored period, showed a relatively high oscillation of values at the beginning of growth. In the initial stages of growth, the NDVI index showed a relatively rapid onset of varieties in the organic hop garden. The large development of plants was relatively quickly replaced by a decrease in values at the turn of May and June. Further development was very noticeably influenced by a relatively significant sum of precipitation in June (73.6 mm) at the end of the elongation growth, and conversely by very low natural precipitation (12.6 mm) with relatively low temperatures in July (20.1 °C), during flowering, replaced by relatively high temperatures (21.2 °C) and higher rainfall (78.4 mm) in August, during ripening. The development of the weather was significantly reflected in the values of both structural indices (NDVI, SAVI) and indices detecting chlorophyll content (GNDVI, CIR and NDRE). Differences between hop gardens in organic and conventional management were found. While all varieties prospered well in the conventional regime, organic varieties were significantly damaged by the development of fungal diseases from the beginning of June.
As mentioned by Dušek et al. [
52], downy mildew (
Pseudoperonospora humuli) threatens the health of hops throughout the entire vegetation period, especially during periods of frequent rains. While in a conventional system its infection pressure is eliminated by the application of fungicides, in organic farming, the options are limited. Significant year-to-year differences in the yields of hops grown in organic farming are mainly caused by the varying intensity of the pathogen’s infection pressure.
Varieties in conventional management showed different, rather average yields and alpha bitter acid content this year (Sládek: 2.45 t/ha, 5.8% of weight; Premiant: 2.61 t/ha, 7.0%; Agnus: 1.82 t/ha, 10.7%). The Agnus variety had the highest yield and the highest quality production in comparison with other years. Organic varieties showed a rather below-average yield with average alpha bitter acid values (Saaz: 0.27 t/ha, 3.3%, Premiant: 0.74 t/ha, 7.0%), which ultimately agrees with the curves in
Figure 7.
The year 2021 was the year with the highest rainfall in all main growth phases of all evaluated years. On average, temperatures for the studied period were the lowest (17.65 °C); however, this was no longer the case when individual main growth phases were evaluated. In June, during the late elongation phase, the average air temperature was the highest (20.7 °C) with high rainfall (sum for June: 76 mm). Although the experimental hop gardens were irrigated with drip irrigation, natural rainfall created specific conditions, both in terms of reduced radiation due to clouds, and by reducing air temperatures or increasing relative humidity in the vicinity of the hop gardens. In the initial phases of growth (elongation), the values of all indices fluctuated until mid-June. Then, apparently due to the heavy rainfall (76 mm) and high temperatures (20.7 °C) at the end of the elongation phase, there was a significant increase in the index values of all varieties. However, the same trend as the previous year was observed: organic varieties had significantly lower values for all indices compared to varieties in conventional management. In terms of yield, these conditions were most suitable for the Sládek variety (2.88 t/ha). The Premiant and Agnus varieties had average yields (2.51 and 1.43 t/ha). However, in terms of alpha bitter acid content, the values were significantly above average (Premiant: 7.6%, Sládek: 7.4%), with the exception of the Agnus variety (10.4%). Organic varieties achieved the highest yield and also the highest quality in the monitored years (Saaz: 1.09 t/ha, 3.7%; Premiant: 0.93 t/ha, 8.7%). The development of values for individual indices and varieties may not directly correlate with the resulting yield and quality of cones; however, according to the FSLR analysis, there was a relatively high probability of a relative estimate according to the phenological phases, the property of the variety and the type of index.
The year 2022 was the driest year, generally with the highest air temperatures (138.6 mm sum, 19.4 °C in average). However, the distribution of precipitation was relatively even during the individual growth phases. This led to relatively low values of all monitored indices. This year, the organic variant Saaz had the lowest values of all indices and at the same time achieved the lowest yield and alpha bitter acid content (0.18 t/ha, 2.2%). There was also a clear trend of values and production results for the conventional variety, Premiant, which also showed the lowest values this dry year, both in spectral indices and in terms of yield and quality (0.99 t/ha, 6.3%).
The year 2023 was average for both precipitation and temperature (66.7 mm, 20.4 °C). However, May, i.e., the initial growth phase, was very poor in precipitation (7.2 mm). The trend of spectral indices also showed the evenness of all curves. The organic variety Premiant (1.81 t/ha) and the conventional Agnus and Premiant (1.94 and 3.83 t/ha) achieved a high yield this year, which corresponded in the later growth phases with the SAVI and NDVI index. However, the alpha bitter acid content was average to low (see
Table 1).
In terms of the prosperity of individual varieties, Agnus is one of the varieties that can tolerate weather fluctuations very well in individual years, which is documented by a balanced content of alpha acids throughout all monitored years. Its yield potential is at the level of 2.0–2.5 t/ha. In terms of average daily temperatures and rainfall distribution, the least favourable year for hops was 2022 (a dry and warm year). This had a negative impact on the Saaz organic variety with a low yield and low alpha acid content this year. On the other hand, the course of weather conditions in 2021 was exceptionally favourable for hops. The effects of the tropical periods in June were eliminated by sufficient rainfall until harvest. This year, a record 8,306 tons of hops were harvested in the Czech Republic with an average yield of 1.67 t/ha [
53]. Favourable conditions were reflected in all varieties in terms of a high content of alpha acids, as also documented in our study.
We are convinced that our research has once again confirmed the importance of UAV imaging for assessing the development of agricultural crops, this time in hop stands. This method is also sufficiently accurate, detailed and flexible in this case.
The literature often addresses the relationship between yield, stand quality and spectral indices, e.g., [
54]. As in our study, the vegetation indices NDVI, GNDVI, modifications of SAVI (OSAVI, MSAVI) and NDRE are often used with good accuracy. Each of these indices has its own role in prediction, which results from the spectral bands used in its calculation equation. For example, NDVI is often used for yield prediction [
46,
55]. GNDVI is usually used for prediction of sugar content, total soluble solids or general quality parameters, e.g., [
56]. As mentioned above, there is not much knowledge about the use of spectral indices for hop evaluation, so we were inspired by already-proven solutions in vineyards, where this group of indices is very often used.
Due to the lack of remote sensing information from hop cultivation, we compared the results obtained by us with the results obtained from the evaluation of vineyards, which are probably most similar to hop plantations (similar stand architecture, cultivated in rows, mainly only the upper part of a large volume of plants is scanned). The results obtained from our evaluation of spectral indices regarding the structure (architecture) of hop stands and their vitality, health and chlorophyll content have been shown to be very similar to those of vineyards and are discussed in detail in individual subsections. This could indicate a certain universality of data obtained from UAV imaging for assessing different types of vegetation. However, further research will be needed to confirm this assumption.