2. Construction of the Comprehensive Benefit Evaluation Framework
This section focuses on the construction of an indicator system for evaluating the comprehensive benefits of wind–fishery integration projects. Drawing on theories of integrated marine space use, Multi-Use Platforms (MUPs), and the DPSIR framework, wind–fishery integration projects are characterized by multiple functions, including energy production, fishery production, and ecosystem management. Their performance, therefore, exhibits clear multi-dimensional and systemic features [
54,
55,
56,
57]. Accordingly, it is necessary to develop an evaluation indicator system that captures economic, social, and ecological benefits in an integrated manner, providing a theoretical foundation and data support for subsequent quantitative analysis.
2.1. Principles for Indicator Selection
To ensure the scientific validity, rationality, and operability of the evaluation results, the construction of the comprehensive benefit evaluation indicator system follows four main principles.
First, the indicator system is grounded in sustainable development theory and research on the multi-use of ocean space, adopting a systems perspective to comprehensively capture the multi-dimensional performance of wind–fishery integration projects and to avoid biased or partial evaluation results [
58,
59].
Second, the principle of industrial relevance emphasizes that wind–fishery integration represents a hybrid development model combining offshore wind power and modern fisheries. Its operational mechanisms, benefit structures, and constraints differ from those of single-industry projects. Indicator selection should therefore reflect key characteristics such as energy–fishery synergy, spatial sharing, and functional integration [
58,
60].
Third, the principle of data availability acknowledges that wind–fishery integration projects in China are still at an early stage, with incomplete and unsystematic statistical data. Indicator design should balance theoretical soundness with practical data conditions, prioritizing indicators that can be obtained from official statistics, government reports, or publicly available information from demonstration projects, thereby ensuring the feasibility of implementation [
61].
Finally, the principles of comparability and operability require that indicators be clearly defined, standardized, and suitable for horizontal comparison across regions and projects. This facilitates evaluation, ranking, and interpretation of results [
59,
60].
2.2. Development of the Comprehensive Benefit Evaluation Indicator System
The comprehensive benefits of wind–fishery integration (WFI) reflect regional performance in coordinating renewable energy and fishery resource use, covering economic, ecological, and social dimensions, and serve as a key basis for assessing sustainability. Previous studies often focus on single industries or dimensions, such as offshore wind power or marine ranching [
62,
63,
64,
65,
66]. To overcome this limitation, this study adopts the DPSIR framework as the theoretical foundation [
63,
64], widely applied in sustainability assessment and ecosystem management [
64,
65]. In DPSIR, “driving forces” denote socio-economic motivations, “pressures” represent human-induced environmental burdens, “state” indicates ecosystem condition, “impacts” capture economic, social, and ecological outcomes, and “responses” refer to policy and management feedback mechanisms, as illustrated in
Figure 4.
The DPSIR framework, originally designed for macro-level environmental assessments, may produce imbalanced indicators and data gaps when directly applied to wind–fishery integration (WFI) [
63,
65]. To address this, the study integrates DPSIR’s causal logic with a three-dimensional structure covering ecological, economic, and social aspects. This dual-layer approach supports the construction of a comprehensive benefit evaluation system tailored to WFI, balancing theoretical coherence with empirical feasibility.
Based on these theoretical foundations and the principles of system integrity and operability, the construction of the evaluation indicator system followed a structured screening process. First, a preliminary pool of over 30 indicators was identified through a comprehensive review of existing studies on offshore wind power, marine ranching, and integrated marine space use. Second, indicators were screened according to their relevance to wind–fishery integration characteristics, availability of data, and comparability across regions; indicators with unclear definitions, insufficient data support, or redundancy were removed, resulting in a refined set of 15 indicators. Finally, the remaining indicators were organized within the integrated DPSIR framework and aggregated into three criteria-level dimensions—ecological, economic, and social benefits—forming the comprehensive evaluation indicator system presented in
Table 2.
- (1)
Ecological benefits. Ecological benefits capture the contributions of wind–fishery integration projects to environmental restoration, carbon mitigation, and marine ecosystem health [
66,
67,
68,
69]. Carbon sequestration from wind–fishery integration reflects the combined effects of clean energy generation and ecosystem carbon sinks and serves as a key indicator of ecological performance [
68]. Stock enhancement and release volume represent project impacts on fishery resource recovery and ecological compensation [
67]. The biodiversity index and seawater quality compliance rate evaluate ecosystem structure and environmental quality [
68,
69], while the number of newly implemented projects indicates regional progress in promoting integrated eco-friendly marine use models [
69].
- (2)
Economic benefits. Economic benefits assess the industrial performance and economic contribution of wind–fishery integration projects [
67,
68]. Marine aquaculture output value and offshore wind power output value measure direct economic returns and reflect the foundation of regional economic growth [
67]. The cost–benefit ratio evaluates resource allocation efficiency and investment returns [
68]. Carbon trading revenue represents the market realization of ecological benefits [
69], while the gross output value of the regional marine industry reflects the broader driving effect of integrated development on the marine economy [
68].
- (3)
Social benefits. Social benefits reflect the impacts of wind–fishery integration on social welfare, public participation, and innovation capacity [
69,
70]. The growth rate of per capita disposable income indicates income effects, while the number of marine educations–related public activities measures public awareness and engagement [
70]. R&D investment represents support for technological innovation and industrial upgrading [
69]. The coverage rate of multi-stakeholder participation captures collaborative governance, and total marine industry employment reflects regional job creation effects [
70]. It should be noted that indicators C11 and C15 may theoretically be considered neutral indicators, but based on the observed data in this study, they currently fall within the range of positive contribution. Therefore, they are treated as positive indicators in the evaluation.
2.3. Data Sources
The data used in this study are mainly derived from publicly available sources, including national and provincial statistical yearbooks, official statistics released by energy and fishery authorities, local government work reports, publicly disclosed information from wind–fishery integration demonstration projects, and relevant industry reports. The data cover the period in which wind–fishery integration projects in China have entered the demonstration and operation stages, allowing the evaluation to reflect recent development conditions.
As wind–fishery integration projects in China are still at an early stage, comprehensive long-term project-level data are limited. Therefore, projects are treated as representative cases of regional development models, and provincial and regional statistical data are used as proxies for project operating conditions and overall performance, enabling cross-regional comparison.
Indicators with different units are normalized to ensure comparability. For a small number of missing values, reasonable estimation is conducted based on regional statistics and publicly available project information, and the associated limitations are considered in the analysis.
3. Construction of the Comprehensive Benefit Evaluation Model
Based on the comprehensive benefit evaluation indicator system established above, this section introduces the methods and technical procedures adopted in this study, addressing how the evaluation is conducted. Given that wind–fishery integration projects involve multiple objectives, dimensions, and indicators, with substantial differences in units, attributes, and relative importance, a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) approach is employed to construct the comprehensive evaluation model.
Specifically, the evaluation process includes data preprocessing, indicator weighting, comprehensive benefit assessment, and robustness testing, forming a systematic and operational framework with stable evaluation results.
3.1. Data Preprocessing
As the evaluation indicators differ in units, magnitudes, and directional attributes (positive or negative), direct aggregation may lead to biased results. Therefore, before the comprehensive evaluation, the original data are normalized and directionally adjusted to improve comparability among indicators [
71,
72].
According to their attributes, indicators are classified as positive or negative. Positive indicators indicate higher comprehensive benefits with larger values, such as wind power generation output and mariculture output, whereas negative indicators indicate better performance with smaller values, such as pollution intensity or resource consumption indicators [
71].
Negative indicators are transformed into positive ones using the following formula:
where
denotes the original value of the
indicator for the
evaluation object, and
represents the value after directional transformation.
To eliminate the effects of differences in units and magnitudes across indicators, the min–max normalization method is applied to the transformed data, as expressed by the following formula:
where
denotes the normalized value of the indicator, ranging from 0 to 1. Through normalization, all indicators are placed on a common scale and can be consistently used in subsequent weight calculation and comprehensive evaluation.
It should be noted that some indicators may theoretically be classified as neutral, neither strictly positive nor strictly negative. For example, the growth rate of per capita disposable income (C11) and total employment in the marine industry (C15) could have an optimal range, beyond which further increases may produce negative effects. However, based on the actual data observed for the provinces selected in this study, these indicators remain within the range of positive contribution to the overall evaluation. Therefore, in this study, C11 and C15 are treated as positive indicators and processed using the same normalization method as other positive indicators.
3.2. Determination of Indicator Weights
The appropriate determination of indicator weights is essential to ensure the scientific validity and reliability of the comprehensive evaluation results. Given the technical complexity and cross-industry nature of wind–fishery integration projects, reliance on a single weighting method may introduce either subjective or objective bias. Therefore, this study combines the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the entropy weight method to determine indicator weights from both subjective judgment and objective data perspectives.
The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) systematizes expert knowledge and decision preferences by constructing pairwise comparison matrices and is suitable for indicator systems with clear hierarchical structures but limited data-driven weighting capacity [
73,
74,
75]. Based on the hierarchical structure of “target–criterion–indicator”, experts from the fields of marine economy, offshore wind power, and fishery management were invited to conduct pairwise comparisons of indicator importance to construct judgment matrices. Subjective weights were then derived from the maximum eigenvectors of the matrices. To ensure the rationality and consistency of expert judgments, consistency tests were conducted using the Consistency Index (CI) and Consistency Ratio (CR). A judgment matrix is considered acceptable when the CR value is less than 0.1, indicating satisfactory consistency.
The entropy weight method is grounded in information theory and determines objective weights based on the degree of dispersion of indicator data. Indicators with greater variability contain more information and are therefore assigned higher weights [
76,
77]. The calculation involves the following steps:
- (1)
Entropy value calculation:
- (2)
Determination of objective weights:
- (3)
To integrate the advantages of AHP and the entropy weight method, a linear weighting approach is adopted to combine the AHP-based subjective weights and entropy-based objective weights , yielding a composite weight:
where
and
represent the subjective and objective weights of the
indicator, respectively, and
is the weighting coefficient. Considering the balance between expert judgment and data objectivity,
is set to 0.5 in this study.
3.3. Comprehensive Benefit Evaluation Based on TOPSIS
After determining the indicator weights, the TOPSIS (Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution) method is applied to evaluate and rank the comprehensive benefits of wind–fishery integration projects. TOPSIS assesses overall performance by measuring the distances between each evaluation object and the positive ideal solution as well as the negative ideal solution. Owing to its clear logic and intuitive results, this method has been widely used in studies on energy, environmental assessment, and sustainable development [
78,
79,
80].
The main computational steps are as follows:
- (1)
Construction of the weighted normalized decision matrix:
- (2)
Determination of the positive and negative ideal solutions:
- (3)
Calculation of Euclidean distances:
- (4)
Calculation of the relative closeness:
where
and
denote the distances between the
evaluation object and the positive and negative ideal solutions, respectively. The relative closeness
ranges from 0 to 1, with larger values indicating a higher level of comprehensive benefits.
3.4. Robustness Analysis
To further examine the robustness of the comprehensive evaluation results, sensitivity analysis is conducted after applying the combined AHP–entropy weighting and the TOPSIS evaluation [
81,
82]. The robust tests are implemented through the following approaches.
- (1)
Weight perturbation analysis: While keeping the sum of indicator weights equal to one, the composite weights are perturbed within a ±10% range, and the comprehensive evaluation results are recalculated to assess the sensitivity of the ranking to weight variations.
- (2)
Indicator exclusion analysis: Individual indicators are removed one at a time, and the TOPSIS evaluation is repeated to compare changes in project rankings under different indicator combinations, thereby examining the dependence of the results on specific indicators.
- (3)
Robustness assessment: By comparing rankings before and after weight perturbations and indicator exclusion, the evaluation model is considered robust if the overall ranking structure remains relatively stable and no significant rank reversals occur, indicating a high level of reliability of the results.
4. Results
Based on the AHP–entropy combined weighting and TOPSIS evaluation model, this chapter presents and interprets the empirical results of the comprehensive benefits of wind–fishery integration projects in Shandong, Guangdong, and Fujian provinces during 2022–2024. The analysis focuses on four key aspects: weight distribution, comprehensive benefit ranking, inter-provincial differences, and model robustness, aiming to reveal the current status and regional characteristics of wind–fishery integration in China’s coastal areas, providing data support and decision-making references for sustainable industry development.
4.1. Weight Distribution of Evaluation Indicators
Before presenting the combined weights, the AHP subjective weights were derived from a panel of 12 experts specializing in marine economics, offshore wind energy, fisheries management, and marine environmental protection. All experts completed a structured questionnaire, and 100% of the responses were valid. Pairwise comparison matrices were constructed based on their evaluations, and individual judgments were aggregated using the geometric mean method, followed by consistency checks to ensure reliability (CR < 0.1).
The combined weights of the 15 evaluation indicators are shown in
Table 3, integrating expert judgment with objective data to reflect each indicator’s relative importance in the comprehensive evaluation system. At the indicator level, the top three weights are wind power generation value (C7), regional marine industry GDP (C10), and wind–fishery carbon sequestration (C1), while the lowest weight is the number of new wind–fishery integration projects (C5), due to the early stage of development and high initial investment in China.
From a methodological perspective, the entropy weight method emphasizes the dispersion of indicator data. The low variability of new project numbers during the sample period limited its objective weight, highlighting the advantage of the combined weighting approach in avoiding overemphasis on any single indicator.
This weight distribution aligns with the industrial characteristics of wind–fishery integration. As a typical offshore Multi-Use Platform (MUP), its core value lies in synergizing energy and fishery outputs, which explains why wind power generation (C7) and regional marine industry GDP (C10) hold the top two weights, emphasizing industrial scale and economic driving effects. Wind–fishery carbon sequestration (C1) ranks third, reflecting the ecological contribution and alignment with China’s dual-carbon goals and global sustainable ocean development trends. The low weight of new project numbers (C5) reflects the limited number of early-stage projects across the three provinces and their low data variability, resulting in minimal information contribution to the evaluation.
As shown in
Table 4, the combined weights of the three criteria-level dimensions follow the order: economic benefits > ecological benefits > social benefits, which reflects the developmental characteristics of wind–fishery integration during the initial demonstration stage.
In the early stage of industry development, verifying economic feasibility and expanding industrial scale are the primary goals. Therefore, economic benefits (including direct output and industry-driven effects) are assigned the highest weight, consistent with the research conclusion that “economic output is the core evaluation dimension for emerging marine industries in their initial stage”. Ecological benefits rank second, indicating that ecological sustainability is a key constraint for wind–fishery integration development, aligning with Marine Spatial Planning (MSP) and ecosystem-oriented management principles. Social benefits have relatively lower weight, as effects such as employment promotion and public awareness are derivative outcomes of industrial development and often lag economic and ecological effects in the early stage. However, this does not diminish their long-term value—as the industry matures, the importance of social benefits will gradually increase.
It is noteworthy that the weight distribution among the three dimensions is relatively balanced (the difference between the highest and lowest weight is only 0.087), reflecting the systematic nature of the evaluation framework, as shown in
Table 4. This prevents the bias of single-dimension evaluation and effectively addresses the multi-objective requirements of wind–fishery integration, which must consider energy security, food security, and ecological protection simultaneously.
4.2. Comprehensive Evaluation Results
When interpreting the TOPSIS-based provincial ranking, it should be noted that the ordering reflects differences in the comprehensive performance of wind–fishery integration under distinct resource endowments and policy contexts, rather than a purely ordinal comparison. The ranking, therefore, provides a comparative lens to examine how different development pathways and platform configurations translate into economic, ecological, and social benefits, which supports the evaluation of wind–fishery integration platform designs across regions.
Table 5 presents the TOPSIS composite scores and rankings for the three provinces from 2022 to 2024: (1) Shandong ranks first with scores increasing from 0.615 in 2022 to 0.685 in 2024; (2) Guangdong ranks second, with scores rising steadily from 0.489 to 0.532, showing stable growth; (3) Fujian ranks third, with scores improving from 0.436 to 0.487, representing the fastest growth among the three provinces.
In terms of temporal evolution, as shown in
Table 6, the average annual growth rates of comprehensive benefits are 5.61% for Fujian, 5.30% for Shandong, and 4.28% for Guangdong. Fujian’s high growth rate is attributed to its lower initial base and accelerated benefit realization from recent pilot projects; Shandong maintains strong growth despite a high initial base, reflecting robust sustainability in industry development; Guangdong’s steady growth is closely linked to its mature policy framework and orderly industrial layout. It should be noted that Shandong’s comprehensive score slightly dropped to 0.468 in 2023, likely due to adjustments in marine industry statistical calibers or temporary impacts during offshore wind farm operation periods, but rebounded in 2024, indicating an overall stable development trend.
The dimension-specific scores for the three provinces, as shown in
Table 7, further reveal the composition of comprehensive benefits: (1) Economic dimension: Shandong holds a clear advantage, with scores rising from 0.856 in 2022 to 0.923 in 2024, well above Guangdong and Fujian; (2) Ecological dimension: Guangdong slightly leads, with scores increasing from 0.587 to 0.642, followed closely by Fujian and Shandong, with the gap among the three provinces gradually narrowing; (3) Social dimension: Guangdong also leads, while Shandong and Fujian lag behind, though the lag diminishes year by year.
This dimension-specific performance indicates that Shandong’s overall advantage is strongly driven by the economic dimension, Guangdong’s core competitiveness lies in the coordinated development of ecological and social dimensions, and Fujian shows a “balanced three-dimensional but overall lower-level” pattern. This pattern is closely related to the provinces’ resource endowments and development strategies.
From a results-oriented perspective, this ranking reflects how different provincial development patterns of wind–fishery integration translate into distinct combinations of economic, ecological, and social performance, rather than a simple ordinal comparison among regions.
4.3. Comprehensive Evaluation Results
As shown in
Table 6 and
Table 7, inter-provincial differences in the comprehensive benefits of wind–fishery integration mainly manifest in three aspects:
- (1)
Overall gap: In 2024, Shandong’s comprehensive score was 36.5% higher than Fujian’s and 28.8% higher than Guangdong’s.
- (2)
Differentiation by advantage dimension: Shandong’s economic dimension score is more than twice that of Guangdong and Fujian, while Guangdong’s ecological and social dimension scores exceed Shandong by 13.4–15.7% and Fujian by 16.1–23.1%.
- (3)
Growth trends: Fujian shows the fastest growth, Guangdong the most stable growth, and Shandong maintains a high growth rate of 5.30% despite a high base.
The ranking of key contributing indicators (
Table 8) further reveals the sources of these differences:
- (1)
Shandong Province: The top three contributing indicators are all economic (wind power output value, aquaculture output value, and regional marine industry GDP), highlighting the dominant role of industrial scale in driving comprehensive benefits.
- (2)
Guangdong Province: The top three indicators cover both ecological (wind–fishery carbon sequestration) and economic (carbon trading revenue, regional marine industry GDP) dimensions, reflecting an “ecology–economy synergy” pattern.
- (3)
Fujian Province: The top three indicators combine economic (wind power output value, carbon trading revenue) and ecological (biodiversity index) metrics, but their overall contribution is lower than in Shandong and Guangdong.
Shandong Province’s economic advantage stems from its strong industrial base. As China’s top province in offshore wind capacity and aquaculture output, Shandong Province has a complete industrial chain from wind power equipment to aquaculture processing. In 2024, its offshore wind power output value reached USD 34.1 billion, accounting for over 40% of the total for the three provinces, and aquaculture output was 7.8 million Mg, driving high economic benefit scores.
Guangdong Province leads in ecological and social dimensions, linked to its high-end industrial positioning. As a national blue carbon pilot, it generated USD 49 million in carbon trading revenue in 2024, the highest among the three provinces. Guangdong Province also maintains high R&D intensity (USD 9.1 billion) and broad multi-stakeholder participation (68%), supporting technological innovation and public engagement, thus boosting social benefits.
Fujian Province shows balanced but weaker performance due to a moderate resource endowment. Its offshore wind and aquaculture scale falls between Shandong Province and Guangdong Province, and the lack of national pilot policies and large industrial clusters limits economic output and ecological-social benefit realization.
Policy support is a key driver. Shandong Province’s renewable energy and marine economy plan explicitly backs large-scale wind–fishery integration via land, tax, and other incentives, stimulating industrial expansion. Guangdong Province integrates wind–fishery projects into blue carbon planning, prioritizing carbon projects, providing ecological compensation and subsidies, and promoting ecological benefit marketization. Fujian Province’s policies are general and lack targeted measures, leading to slower benefit growth.
Overall, inter-provincial differences result from the combined effects of resource endowment, industrial scale, and institutional tools, reflecting clear regional path dependence.
4.4. Sensitivity Analysis and Robustness Test
To verify the reliability of the evaluation results, a sensitivity analysis was conducted through weight perturbation, as shown in
Table 9. Four scenarios were designed: favoring entropy weight (α = 0.4), favoring AHP subjective weight (α = 0.6), increasing ecological dimension weight by 10%, and increasing economic dimension weight by 10%.
The results indicate that the provincial ranking of comprehensive benefits remains stable under all scenarios: Shandong first, Guangdong second, Fujian third. Score fluctuations underweight perturbations (α = 0.4, α = 0.6) or a 10% increase in ecological/economic weights were minimal (<3%), and overall rankings were unaffected. This demonstrates the high robustness of the evaluation model, attributed to the combined weighting approach balancing subjective and objective information. Inter-provincial differences stem from intrinsic factors, such as resource endowment and industrial scale, rather than weight settings, ensuring the reliability of the findings for policy guidance.
5. Discussion
Building on the comprehensive evaluation results presented in
Section 4, this discussion focuses on interpreting the empirical findings of wind–fishery integration (WFI) from a result-driven perspective, explicitly linking the observed patterns to existing literature and practical development contexts. The discussion is organized around key quantitative outcomes, including indicator weight distribution, provincial ranking differences, and dimension-specific performance.
5.1. Interpretation of Indicator Weights in the Context of Early-Stage WFI Development
The weight analysis (
Table 3 and
Table 4) shows that economic benefit indicators dominate the comprehensive evaluation, with wind power generation value (C7, weight = 0.088) and regional marine industry GDP (C10, weight = 0.085) ranking first and second, respectively. This result provides quantitative evidence that economic feasibility remains the primary concern in the early stage of WFI development, consistent with studies on offshore wind power and emerging marine industries, which emphasize scale expansion and cost recovery as initial priorities.
Ecological indicators, particularly wind–fishery carbon sequestration (C1, weight = 0.084), also receive relatively high weights, ranking third overall. Compared with conventional offshore wind evaluations that focus mainly on energy output, this finding highlights the added ecological value embedded in the WFI model, supporting recent literature on multi-use platforms (MUPs) that integrate renewable energy production with ecosystem services. In contrast, the low weight of newly added WFI projects (C5, weight = 0.048) reflects limited variability across provinces during 2022–2024, indicating that project quantity has not yet become a decisive driver of comprehensive benefits at this development stage.
At the dimensional level, economic benefits account for the highest combined weight (0.396), followed by ecological (0.342) and social benefits (0.309). This relatively balanced distribution, with a maximum difference of only 0.087, suggests that the evaluation framework avoids single-dimension bias, aligning with marine spatial planning and ecosystem-based management principles that require simultaneous consideration of energy security, food security, and environmental protection.
5.2. Provincial Ranking Differences and Their Underlying Mechanisms
The TOPSIS results (
Table 5) indicate a stable provincial ranking during 2022–2024, with Shandong consistently ranking first, followed by Guangdong and Fujian. Shandong’s comprehensive score increased from 0.615 in 2022 to 0.685 in 2024, reflecting its strong industrial foundation in offshore wind power and marine aquaculture. This finding is consistent with regional studies showing that provinces with mature industrial chains tend to achieve higher economic spillover effects in integrated marine projects.
Guangdong ranks second, with scores rising steadily from 0.489 to 0.532. Although its overall score is lower than Shandong’s, Guangdong demonstrates clear advantages in ecological and social dimensions, which distinguish it from purely scale-driven development models reported in previous offshore wind literature. Fujian ranks third but records the highest average annual growth rate (5.61%), indicating strong development momentum despite a lower initial base, a pattern commonly observed in pilot-oriented or emerging regions.
5.3. Dimension-Specific Performance and Comparison with Existing Studies
The dimension-specific results (
Table 7) further clarify the sources of inter-provincial differences. Shandong’s economic dimension score exceeded 0.92 in 2024, more than twice that of Guangdong and Fujian, confirming that its overall advantage is predominantly economic-scale-driven. This supports earlier findings that industrial agglomeration and output intensity are decisive factors in the early performance of offshore renewable projects.
By contrast, Guangdong leads in both ecological and social dimensions, with ecological scores increasing from 0.587 to 0.642 and social scores from 0.568 to 0.605. This coordinated performance aligns with recent studies emphasizing institutional innovation, blue carbon mechanisms, and stakeholder participation as key drivers of sustainable marine development, rather than sheer output expansion. Fujian exhibits a relatively balanced but lower-level three-dimensional structure, suggesting a transitional development pathway constrained by moderate resource endowment and limited policy targeting.
5.4. Robustness of Results and Implications for Result Interpretation
The sensitivity analysis (
Table 9) shows that provincial rankings remain unchanged under all weight perturbation scenarios, with score fluctuations below 3%. This robustness indicates that the observed inter-provincial differences are not artifacts of weighting schemes but stem from intrinsic factors such as industrial scale, resource endowment, and policy orientation, reinforcing the credibility of the empirical results and their suitability for comparative policy analysis.
6. Conclusions
6.1. Research Contributions and Novelty
Based on the research objectives and analytical framework outlined above, this study contributes to sustainable marine spatial governance and multi-use offshore platforms in several ways.
First, regarding research focus, the study examines the emerging and early-stage field of offshore wind–fishery integration, using representative Chinese provinces with operational pilot projects. This complements existing literature and expands the application of multi-use marine space and sustainable marine economy research.
Second, methodologically, the study integrates AHP, entropy weighting, and TOPSIS to build a multi-criteria decision-making framework for evaluating the comprehensive benefits of wind–fishery integration. This provides a practical approach for quantitative analysis under limited data conditions.
Third, in terms of research approach, the study adopts a “case study—multi-source data integration—comprehensive evaluation” pathway, reducing reliance on large-sample datasets and offering a replicable framework for early-stage empirical studies.
Fourth, at the practical and policy level, the study proposes targeted, forward-looking policy recommendations based on evaluation results and national and local policy contexts, supporting government decision-making, corporate investment, and industrial planning, thereby enhancing the real-world relevance of the findings.
6.2. Main Conclusions
The results indicate that, at the current development stage, economic benefits play a dominant role in shaping the comprehensive performance of wind–fishery integration, as reflected by the highest dimension weight (0.396), compared with ecological (0.342) and social (0.309) dimensions. This finding suggests that industrial scale, output value, and related economic indicators remain the primary drivers of overall benefits during the early and expansion phases of integration projects. However, the contribution of ecological and social dimensions is non-negligible and shows a gradual upward trend, indicating a transition toward more balanced and sustainable development.
Significant inter-provincial heterogeneity is observed in both performance levels and structural compositions. Provinces with a strong industrial foundation exhibit clear advantages in economic benefits, while regions emphasizing blue carbon mechanisms, technological innovation, and stakeholder participation demonstrate comparatively higher ecological and social scores. The observed differences are not merely reflected in absolute scores but also in the internal configuration of benefit dimensions, revealing distinct development pathways shaped by resource endowment, industrial structure, and policy orientation.
From a dynamic perspective, all sampled provinces show growth in comprehensive benefits during 2022–2024, with annual growth rates ranging from 4.28% to 5.61%. Regions with a relatively lower initial base exhibit faster growth, while provinces with higher baseline performance maintain stable upward trajectories, indicating both catch-up effects and sustained development capacity. Sensitivity analysis further confirms the robustness of the evaluation results, as provincial rankings and relative performance patterns remain largely stable under alternative weighting scenarios, enhancing the credibility of the conclusions.
Overall, this study contributes to existing research by quantitatively revealing the multi-dimensional benefit structure and dynamic evolution of wind–fishery integration projects, moving beyond single-dimensional assessments and providing empirical evidence on how economic dominance, ecological enhancement, and social engagement interact during different stages of integrated marine development.
6.3. Policy Implications
The evaluation results provide several targeted policy implications. First, given the current dominance of economic benefits, policy design should acknowledge the stage-specific characteristics of wind–fishery integration. In the early and expansion phases, ensuring economic feasibility through industrial scale optimization, infrastructure support, and market-oriented mechanisms is essential for sustaining investment incentives and project viability.
Second, the observed advantages of certain provinces in ecological and social dimensions highlight the importance of differentiated policy pathways. Regions with strong ecological performance demonstrate that integrating wind–fishery projects into blue carbon schemes, ecological compensation mechanisms, and environmental governance frameworks can effectively enhance non-economic benefits. Therefore, a uniform policy approach may be inefficient, and region-specific strategies aligned with local resource endowments and development objectives are recommended.
Third, the stable growth trends and robustness of evaluation results suggest that policy instruments should focus on structural optimization rather than short-term performance ranking. Encouraging technological innovation, improving stakeholder participation mechanisms, and strengthening cross-sectoral coordination can facilitate the gradual convergence of economic, ecological, and social benefits, supporting the long-term sustainability of wind–fishery integration.
6.4. Limitations and Future Research Directions
This study has several limitations. The analysis is limited to a small number of provinces and a short time span, which may affect generalizability. In addition, some ecological and social indicators are represented by proxy variables due to data constraints, and dynamic feedback mechanisms are not fully captured. Future research may extend the spatial and temporal scope, incorporate dynamic modeling approaches, and integrate micro-level project data to further examine long-term development mechanisms.