Search Results (90)

This study aims to mitigate slope-collapse hazards that threaten life and property at the Lujiawan resettlement site in Wanbi Town, Dayao County, Yunnan Province, within the Guanyinyan hydropower reservoir. It integrates centimeter-level point-cloud data collected by a DJI Matrice 350 RTK equipped with a Zenmuse L2 airborne LiDAR (Light Detection And Ranging) sensor with detailed structural-joint survey data. First, qualitative structural interpretation is conducted with stereographic projection. Next, safety factors are quantified using the limit-equilibrium method, establishing a dual qualitative–quantitative diagnostic framework. This framework delineates six hazardous rock zones (WY1–WY6), dominated by toppling and free-fall failure modes, and evaluates their stability under combined rainfall infiltration, seismic loading, and ambient conditions. Subsequently, six-degree-of-freedom Monte Carlo simulations incorporating realistic three-dimensional terrain and block geometry are performed in RAMMS::ROCKFALL (Rapid Mass Movements Simulation—Rockfall). The resulting spatial patterns of rockfall velocity, kinetic energy, and rebound height elucidate their evolution coupled with slope height, surface morphology, and block shape. Results show peak velocities ranging from 20 to 42 m s⁻¹ and maximum kinetic energies between 0.16 and 1.4 MJ. Most rockfall trajectories terminate within 0–80 m of the cliff base. All six identified hazardous rock masses pose varying levels of threat to residential structures at the slope foot, highlighting substantial spatial variability in hazard distribution. Drawing on the preceding diagnostic results and dynamic simulations, we recommend a three-tier “zonal defense with in situ energy dissipation” scheme: (i) install 500–2000 kJ flexible barriers along the crest and upper slope to rapidly attenuate rockfall energy; (ii) place guiding or deflection structures at mid-slope to steer blocks and dissipate momentum; and (iii) deploy high-capacity flexible nets combined with a catchment basin at the slope foot to intercept residual blocks. This staged arrangement maximizes energy attenuation and overall risk reduction. This study shows that integrating high-resolution 3D point clouds with rigid-body contact dynamics overcomes the spatial discontinuities of conventional surveys. The approach substantially improves the accuracy and efficiency of hazardous rock stability assessments and rockfall trajectory predictions, offering a quantifiable, reproducible mitigation framework for long slopes, large rock volumes, and densely fractured cliff faces. Full article

Between 14 and 16 June 2023, an extratropical cyclone affected the south-southeastern coast of Brazil, causing significant damage and loss of life. In the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Civil Defense authorities reported at least 16 fatalities. Although numerical models can simulate the general characteristics of extratropical cyclones, they often struggle to accurately represent the intensity and timing of strong winds and heavy precipitation. One approach to improving such simulations is the use of convective-permitting models (CPMs), in which convection is explicitly resolved. In this context, the main objective of this study is to assess the performance of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model in CP mode, nested in the ERA5 reanalysis, in representing both the synoptic and mesoscale structures of the cyclone, as well as its associated strong winds and precipitation. The WRF-CP successfully simulated the cyclone’s track, though with some discrepancies in the cyclone location during the first 12 h. Comparisons with radar-based precipitation estimates indicated that the WRF-CP captured the location of the observed precipitation bands. During the cyclone’s occlusion phase—when precipitation was particularly intense—hourly simulated precipitation and 10 m wind (speed, zonal, and meridional components) were evaluated against observations from meteorological stations. WRF-CP demonstrated strong skill in simulating both the timing and intensity of precipitation, with correlation coefficients exceeding 0.4 and biases below 0.5 mm h⁻¹. Some limitations were observed in the simulation of 10 m wind speed, which tended to be overestimated. However, the model performed well in simulating the wind components, particularly the zonal component, as indicated by predominantly high correlation values (most above 0.4), suggesting a good representation of wind direction, which is a function of the zonal and meridional components. Overall, the simulation highlights the potential of WRF-CP for studying extreme weather events, including the small-scale structures embedded within synoptic-scale cyclones responsible for producing adverse weather. Full article

Moisture transports play a key role in maintaining the hydrometeorological cycle and forming its climate variability over the Tibetan Plateau (TP), also known as the “Asian water tower”. This study focuses on understanding the interannual variability mode characteristics of moisture transport in the TP in boreal summer, using satellite-based analysis and reanalysis data from 1983 to 2022 with a combined empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. We identified the first two primary interannual modes of TP summer water vapor fluxes, which are primarily characterized by zonal and meridional dipole patterns, respectively. The zonal pattern of the TP water vapor flux dominates the TP and East Asian summer rainfall variability, while the meridional pattern of the TP water vapor flux tends to be a result of the South Asian summer rainfall and its circulation anomalies. The tropical Indo-Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variations, such as El Niño and Indian Ocean SST modes, have significantly delayed relationships with the interannual variability modes of the summer water vapor fluxes over the TP, indicating a significant modulation effect of the low-latitude oceanic variability on the interannual variations in TP summer moisture transport. These results deepen our understanding of the relationship between TP moisture transport and summer monsoonal rainfall variability, as well as the influence of the tropical oceans. Full article

Radar observations of tropospheric and lower-stratospheric winds and density-normalized momentum flux made in northern Germany with two 53.5 MHz VHF MST radars over a period of one week in August 1986 are presented. One MST radar was a permanent installation, the SOUSY VHF Harz radar, located in the Harz Mountains, and the other temporarily installed about 27 km away from the Harz. The latter radar, the SOUSY VHF Lindau radar, was operated with a limited number of antennas and much-reduced power, making it effectively a tropospheric radar. Unusually, this small radar was successfully operated in Doppler beam steering (DBS) mode to measure winds and density-normalized momentum fluxes after correcting for biases in the beam look directions resulting from its small antenna aperture. We compared the winds and density-normalized upward fluxes in horizontal momentum measured using these two radars. The mean winds show good agreement between the two radars and with winds from radiosondes launched from Essen and Hannover. Density-normalized zonal momentum fluxes are similar in form between the two radars, but do show an offset when calculated over the entire observational period. Because of the agreement in form, the zonal mean flow accelerations calculated from them are similar, and so these results are consistent between the radars even though the topography is quite different. Although the observations were made many years ago, the results we present here are still of interest, because comparisons of closely spaced wind profiling radar observations are still relatively rare, radar measurements of tropospheric and stratospheric momentum fluxes are sparse, and the successful operation of a very small DBS radar operating in the lower VHF band is of particular interest from a technical perspective. Full article

In this paper, the concept of a fault-tolerant multiport converter is proposed for a shipboard zonal DC system. The traditional zonal shipboard system offers a resilient power supply capability at the expense of increased cost and size. To solve this problem, the fault-tolerant multiport active bridge converter is proposed for shared energy storage between DC buses. When a short-circuit fault occurs on one bus, the energy storage can maintain uninterrupted power supply to the remaining healthy bus. With consideration of both normal operation and a fault-tolerant mode, the power transfer capability and ZVS region are analyzed. The proposed converter is compared with a traditional two-converter zonal system and multiport converter in terms of cost, volume, and efficiency. The performance of the proposed FT-MAB converter is tested through experimental verifications with the aim of validating the resilience of the power supply. The proposed FT-MAB converter achieves fault tolerance through topological reconfiguration, isolating the faulty port after the occurrence of a short-circuit fault and providing uninterrupted power supply to the healthy bus. Full article

Variations in stratospheric atmospheric circulation significantly impact tropospheric weather and climate. Understanding these variations not only aids in better prediction of tropospheric weather and climate but also provides guidance for the development and flight trajectories of stratospheric aircraft. Our understanding of the stratosphere has made remarkable progress over the past 100 years. However, we still lack a comprehensive perspective on large-scale patterns in stratospheric circulation, as the stratosphere is a typical complex system. To address this gap, we employed the eigen microstate approach (EMA) to revisit the characteristics of zonal wind from 70–10 hPa from 1980 to 2022, based on ERA5 reanalysis data. Our analysis focused on the three leading modes, corresponding to variations in the strength of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and the stratospheric atmospheric circulations in the Arctic and Antarctic, respectively. After filtering out high-frequency components from the temporal evolutions of these modes, a significant 11-year cycle was observed in the Antarctic stratospheric atmospheric circulation mode, potentially linked to the 11-year solar cycle. In contrast, the Arctic stratospheric atmospheric circulation mode showed a 5–6-year cycle without evidence of an 11-year periodicity. This difference is likely due to the timing of polar vortex breakdowns: the Antarctic polar vortex breaks up later, experiencing its greatest variability in late spring and early summer, making it more susceptible to solar radiation effects, unlike the Arctic polar vortex, which peaks in winter and early spring. The fourth mode exhibits characteristics of a Southern Hemisphere dipole and shows a significant correlation with the Antarctic stratospheric atmospheric circulation mode, leading it by about two months. We designed a linear prediction model that successfully demonstrated its predictive capability for the Antarctic polar vortex. Full article

We introduce a novel Rayleigh Doppler lidar (RDLD) system that utilizes a high-power single-frequency laser with over 60 W average output power, achieved through fiber solid-state cascade amplification. This lidar represents a significant advancement by addressing common challenges such as mode hopping and multi-longitudinal mode issues. Designed for atmospheric wind and temperature profiling, the system operates effectively between altitudes of 30 km and 70 km. Key performance metrics include wind speed and temperature measurement errors below 7 m/s and 3 K, respectively, at 60 km, based on 30 min temporal and 1 km spatial resolutions. Observation data align closely with ECMWF reanalysis data, showing high correlation coefficients of 0.98, 0.91, and 0.94 for zonal wind, meridional wind, and temperature, respectively. Continuous observations also reveal detailed wind field variations caused by gravity waves, demonstrating the system’s high resolution and reliability. These results highlight the RDLD system’s potential for advancing meteorological monitoring, atmospheric dynamics studies, and environmental safety applications. Full article

The impact of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) and Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) on the dynamics of major sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs) observed in the winters of 2018, 2019, and 2021 is investigated. Using data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, we analyze the daily mean variability of critical atmospheric parameters at the 10 hPa level, including zonal mean polar cap temperature, zonal mean zonal wind, and the amplitudes of planetary waves 1 and 2. The results reveal dramatic increases in polar cap temperature and significant wind reversals during the SSW events, particularly in 2018. The analysis of planetary wave (PW) amplitudes demonstrates intensified wave activity coinciding with the onset of SSWs, underscoring the pivotal role of PWs in these stratospheric disruptions. Further examination of outgoing long-wave radiation (OLR) anomalies highlights the influence of QBO phases on tropical convection patterns. During westerly QBO (w-QBO) phases, enhanced convective activity is observed in the western Pacific, whereas the easterly QBO (e-QBO) phase shifts convection patterns to the maritime continent and central Pacific. This modulation by QBO phases influences the MJO’s role during SSWs, affecting tropical and extra-tropical weather patterns. The day-altitude variability of upward heat flux reveals distinct spatiotemporal patterns, with pronounced warming in the polar regions and mixed heat flux patterns in low latitudes. The differences observed between the SSWs of 2017–2018 and 2018–2019 are likely related to the varying QBO phases, emphasizing the complexity of heat flux dynamics during these events. The northern annular mode (NAM) index analysis shows varied responses to SSWs, with stronger negative anomalies observed during the e-QBO phase compared to the w-QBO phases. This variability highlights the significant role of the QBO in shaping the stratospheric and tropospheric responses to SSWs, impacting surface weather patterns and the persistence of stratospheric anomalies. Overall, the study demonstrates the intricate interactions between stratospheric dynamics, QBO, and MJO during major SSW events, providing insights into the broader implications of these atmospheric phenomena on global weather patterns. Full article

The zonal detached-eddy simulation (ZDES) method divides the flow field into different computational modes, offering flexibility in the simulation of complex flows. The transonic shock buffet on the upper surface of the OAT15A supercritical airfoil is numerically simulated by ZDES based on the k-ω SST model. The results show that the error in the low-frequency characteristics of the transonic shock buffet predicted by ZDES compared to experiments is within 3%. Its predictions of pressure fluctuations and averaged velocity agree better with the experimental data. Overall, ZDES is effective in predicting the periodic oscillations of shock waves along the streamwise direction, flow separation induced by shock wave motion, and the small-scale vortex structures in the wake region. Full article

A Zonal Detached Eddy Simulation (ZDES) based on the SST turbulence model is implemented to the numerical investigation of the trailing edge stall of a LS-0417 airfoil, which includes multiple DES modes for different classifications of flow separation and adopts the subgrid scale definition of ${\Delta }_{\omega }$. The entire stall process under a series of AOA is simulated according to the experiment condition. The performance of URANS and ZDES in the prediction of the stall flow field are compared. The results reveal that the stall point obtained through ZDES is consistent with the experiment; the deviation of the predicted maximum lift coefficient from the measured result is only 0.8%, while the maximum lift is overpredicted by both RANS and URANS. The high frequency fluctuations are observed in the time history of the lift in ZDES result during stall. With the increase in the AOA, a mild development of separation and a gradual decrease in leading edge peak suction are manifested in the ZDES result. The alternate shedding of shear layers and the interference between the leading edge and trailing edge vortices are illustrated through ZDES near the stall point; the corresponding turbulent fluctuations with high intensity are captured in the separation region, which indicates the essential difference in the prediction of stall process between URANS and ZDES. Full article

The anomalous zonal wind moves southward during the ENSO mature phase in boreal winter. Previous studies suggest that it may be caused by the nonlinear interaction of annual cycles or the influence of background mean state changes. In this research, the ECHAM4.6 atmospheric model is used to confirm the mechanism of the anomalous zonal wind southward shifting. The annual cycle of solar radiation and SST are removed in the sensitivity experiments to avoid the interaction between the ENSO and annual cycle. The results show that the north–south asymmetry mode of the ENSO anomalous wind field is not the result of a nonlinear interaction between ENSO and the annual cycle. The mean v-winds in winter motivate the southward shifting of the ENSO anomalous wind field through advection. Full article

In some areas where access to water is difficult, such as arid regions, it is a feasible measure to acquire water from the air. In this context, a system for water harvesting from the air was designed and manufactured. In order to find the optimal operation parameters of the system, the humidity–enthalpy diagram and the dehumidifier computation software (V2.0, Win7) were adopted for the optimization work. The air treatment process of the system was analyzed and calculated by using the professional software provided by the dehumidifier company. Operation modes of ‘powerful mode’ and ‘economic mode’ were defined in the computation work, which are represented by the water production amount and efficiency (water production per power consumption), respectively. According to computation analysis, the relationships between the main performance indicators and the system design/operation parameters were obtained. By considering the heating power limitation of the system, the wheel dehumidifier rotation speed of 8 rph (revolutions per hour), zonal area ratio of A_p/A_r = 2, and the optimal airflow ratios in different relative humidity (RH) environments, together with the outlet air parameter settings of the surface cooler, were finally defined. Full article

Along with the familiar Rossby–Haurwitz waves, two-dimensional flows on the surface of a rotating sphere in the regime of zonostrophic turbulence harbor another class of waves known as zonons. Zonons are wave packets produced by energetic large-scale Rossby–Haurwitz wave modes ‘enslaving’ other wave modes. They propagate westward with the phase speed of the enslaving modes. Zonons can be visualized as enslaving modes’ ‘ringing’ in the enslaved ones with the frequencies of the former, the property that renders zonons non-dispersive. Zonons reside in high-shear regions confined between the opposing zonal jets yet they are mainly attached to westward jets and sustained by the ensuing barotropic instability. They exchange energy with the mean flow while preserving their identity in a fully turbulent environment, a feature characteristic of solitary waves. The goal of this study is to deepen our understanding of zonons’ physics using direct numerical simulations, a weakly non-linear theory, and asymptotic analysis, and ascertain that zonons are indeed isomorphic to solitary waves in the Korteweg–de Vries framework. Having this isomorphism established, the analysis is extended to eddies detected in the atmospheres of Jupiter and Saturn based upon the observed mean zonal velocity profiles and earlier findings that circulations on both planets obey the regime of zonostrophic macroturbulence. Not only the analysis confirms that many eddies and eddy trains on both giant planets indeed possess properties of zonons, but the theory also correctly predicts latitudinal bands that confine zonal trajectories of the eddies. Full article

Observational analyses reveal that a dominant mode in the South Asian Monsoon region in boreal summer is a westward-propagating synoptic-scale disturbance with a typical wavelength of 4000 km that is coupled with moistening and precipitation processes. The disturbances exhibit an eastward tilt during their development before reaching their maximum activity center. A 2.5-layer model that extends a classic 2-level quasi-geostrophic model by including a prognostic lower-tropospheric moisture tendency equation and an interactive planetary boundary layer was constructed. The eigenvalue analysis of this model shows that the most unstable mode has a preferred zonal wavelength of 4000 km, a westward phase speed of 6 m s⁻¹, an eastward tilt vertical structure, and a westward shift of maximum moisture/precipitation center relative to the lower-tropospheric vorticity center, all of which agree with the observations. Sensitivity experiments show that the moisture–vortex instability determines, to a large extent, the growth rate, while the baroclinic instability helps set up the preferred zonal scale. Ekman-pumping-induced vertical moisture advection prompts an in-phase component of perturbation moisture relative to the low-level cyclonic center, allowing the generation of available potential energy and perturbation growth, regardless of whether or not a low-level mean westerly is presented. In contrast to a previous study, the growth rate is reversely proportional to the convective adjustment time. The current work sheds light on understanding the moisture–vortex and the baroclinic instability in a monsoonal environment with a pronounced easterly vertical shear. Full article

We investigate the stochastic dynamics of the prey–predator model of the Low-to-High confinement mode (L-H) transition in magnetically confined fusion plasmas. By considering stochastic noise in the turbulence and zonal flows as well as constant and time-varying input power Q, we perform multiple stochastic simulations of over a million trajectories using GPU computing. Due to stochastic noise, some trajectories undergo the L-H transition while others do not, leading to a mixture of H-mode and dithering at a given time and/or input power. One of the consequences of this is that H-mode characteristics appear at a smaller input power $Q<Q_c$ (where $Q_c$ is the critical value for the L-H transition in the deterministic system) as a secondary peak of a probability density function (PDF) while dithering characteristics persists beyond the power threshold for $Q>Q_c$ as a second peak. The coexisting H-mode and dithering near $Q=Q_c$ leads to a prominent bimodal PDF with a gradual L-H transition rather than a sudden transition at $Q=Q_c$ and uncertainty in the input power. Also, a time-dependent input power leads to increased variability (dispersion) in stochastic trajectories and a more prominent bimodal PDF. We provide an interpretation of the results using information geometry to elucidate self-regulation between zonal flows, turbulence, and information causality rate to unravel causal relations involved in the L-H transition. Full article