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Search Results (537)

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Keywords = uncertainty of source and load

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16 pages, 2037 KB  
Article
Risk Assessment of New Distribution Network Dispatching Operations Considering Multiple Uncertain Factors
by Lianrong Pan, Xiao Yang, Shangbing Yuan, Jiaan Li and Haowen Xue
Electronics 2025, 14(20), 4012; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14204012 (registering DOI) - 13 Oct 2025
Abstract
In traditional scheduling operations, dispatchers mainly rely on SCADA/EMS systems or personal experience. However, with access to a large number of new energy sources, the scale of the distribution network continues to expand, and its topology becomes increasingly complex, leading to potential security [...] Read more.
In traditional scheduling operations, dispatchers mainly rely on SCADA/EMS systems or personal experience. However, with access to a large number of new energy sources, the scale of the distribution network continues to expand, and its topology becomes increasingly complex, leading to potential security risks in scheduling operations. Therefore, it is very important to carry out risk assessments before scheduling operations. In this paper, risk theory is introduced into the field of distribution network scheduling operations, and a new risk assessment method is proposed considering various uncertain factors in the distribution network. In order to comprehensively analyze the influence of uncertainty factors in the operational process of a new distribution network, the output probability models of wind power, photovoltaic power, and load are first constructed in this study. Then, the improved Latin hypercube sampling method is used to extract the operating state of the distribution network system from the probability model, and the node voltage over-limit and line power flow overload are used as indicators to measure the severity of the consequences so as to establish a quantitative scheduling operation risk assessment system and analyze its framework in detail. Finally, simulation analysis is carried out in the improved IEEE-RTS79 test system: taking 15–25 lines from the operation state to the maintenance state as an example, this paper analyzes the influence of different locations and capacities of wind and solar access on the scheduling operation risk of distribution networks. The results can provide a reference for dispatchers to prevent risks before operation. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Digital Intelligence Technology and Applications, 2nd Edition)
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20 pages, 1016 KB  
Article
Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch of Integrated Energy Systems for Electricity, Gas, and Heat Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning
by Xiaojuan Lu, Yaohui Zhang, Duojin Fan, Jiawei Wei and Xiaoying Yu
Sustainability 2025, 17(20), 9040; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17209040 (registering DOI) - 13 Oct 2025
Abstract
Under the background of “dual-carbon”, the development of energy internet is an inevitable trend for China’s low-carbon energy transition. This paper proposes a hydrogen-coupled electrothermal integrated energy system (HCEH-IES) operation mode and optimizes the source-side structure of the system from the level of [...] Read more.
Under the background of “dual-carbon”, the development of energy internet is an inevitable trend for China’s low-carbon energy transition. This paper proposes a hydrogen-coupled electrothermal integrated energy system (HCEH-IES) operation mode and optimizes the source-side structure of the system from the level of carbon trading policy combined with low-carbon technology, taps the carbon reduction potential, and improves the renewable energy consumption rate and system decarbonization level; in addition, for the operation optimization problem of this electric–gas–heat integrated energy system, a flexible energy system based on electric–gas–heat is proposed. Furthermore, to address the operation optimization problem of the HCEH-IES, a deep reinforcement learning method based on Soft Actor–Critic (SAC) is proposed. This method can adaptively learn control strategies through interactions between the intelligent agent and the energy system, enabling continuous action control of the multi-energy flow system while solving the uncertainties associated with source-load fluctuations from wind power, photovoltaics, and multi-energy loads. Finally, historical data are used to train the intelligent body and compare the scheduling strategies obtained by SAC and DDPG algorithms. The results show that the SAC-based algorithm has better economics, is close to the CPLEX day-ahead optimal scheduling method, and is more suitable for solving the dynamic optimal scheduling problem of integrated energy systems in real scenarios. Full article
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31 pages, 1677 KB  
Review
A Taxonomy of Robust Control Techniques for Hybrid AC/DC Microgrids: A Review
by Pooya Parvizi, Alireza Mohammadi Amidi, Mohammad Reza Zangeneh, Jordi-Roger Riba and Milad Jalilian
Eng 2025, 6(10), 267; https://doi.org/10.3390/eng6100267 - 6 Oct 2025
Viewed by 506
Abstract
Hybrid AC/DC microgrids have emerged as a promising solution for integrating diverse renewable energy sources, enhancing efficiency, and strengthening resilience in modern power systems. However, existing control schemes exhibit critical shortcomings that limit their practical effectiveness. Traditional linear controllers, designed around nominal operating [...] Read more.
Hybrid AC/DC microgrids have emerged as a promising solution for integrating diverse renewable energy sources, enhancing efficiency, and strengthening resilience in modern power systems. However, existing control schemes exhibit critical shortcomings that limit their practical effectiveness. Traditional linear controllers, designed around nominal operating points, often fail to maintain stability under large load and generation fluctuations. Optimization-based methods are highly sensitive to model inaccuracies and parameter uncertainties, reducing their reliability in dynamic environments. Intelligent approaches, such as fuzzy logic and ML-based controllers, provide adaptability but suffer from high computational demands, limited interpretability, and challenges in real-time deployment. These limitations highlight the need for robust control strategies that can guarantee reliable operation despite disturbances, uncertainties, and varying operating conditions. Numerical performance indices demonstrate that the reviewed robust control strategies outperform conventional linear, optimization-based, and intelligent controllers in terms of system stability, voltage and current regulation, and dynamic response. This paper provides a comprehensive review of recent robust control strategies for hybrid AC/DC microgrids, systematically categorizing classical model-based, intelligent, and adaptive approaches. Key research gaps are identified, including the lack of unified benchmarking, limited experimental validation, and challenges in integrating decentralized frameworks. Unlike prior surveys that broadly cover microgrid types, this work focuses exclusively on hybrid AC/DC systems, emphasizing hierarchical control architectures and outlining future directions for scalable and certifiable robust controllers. Also, comparative results demonstrate that state of the art robust controllers—including H∞-based, sliding mode, and hybrid intelligent controllers—can achieve performance improvements for metrics such as voltage overshoot, frequency settling time, and THD compared to conventional PID and droop controllers. By synthesizing recent advancements and identifying critical research gaps, this work lays the groundwork for developing robust control strategies capable of ensuring stability and adaptability in future hybrid AC/DC microgrids. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Electrical and Electronic Engineering)
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18 pages, 1425 KB  
Article
Exploring DC Power Quality Measurement and Characterization Techniques
by Yara Daaboul, Daniela Istrate, Yann Le Bihan, Ludovic Bertin and Xavier Yang
Sensors 2025, 25(19), 6043; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25196043 - 1 Oct 2025
Viewed by 265
Abstract
Within the modernizing energy infrastructure of today, the integration of renewable energy sources and direct current (DC)-powered technologies calls for the re-examination of traditional alternative current (AC) networks. Low-voltage DC (LVDC) grids offer an attractive way forward in reducing conversion losses and simplifying [...] Read more.
Within the modernizing energy infrastructure of today, the integration of renewable energy sources and direct current (DC)-powered technologies calls for the re-examination of traditional alternative current (AC) networks. Low-voltage DC (LVDC) grids offer an attractive way forward in reducing conversion losses and simplifying local power management. However, ensuring reliable operation depends on a thorough understanding of DC distortions—phenomena generated by power converters, source instability, and varying loads. Two complementary traceable measurement chains are presented in this article with the purpose of measuring the steady-state DC component and the amplitude and frequency of the distortions around the DC bus with low uncertainties. One chain is optimized for laboratory environments, with high effectiveness in a controlled setup, and the other one is designed as a flexible and easily transportable solution, ensuring efficient and accurate assessments of DC distortions for field applications. In addition to our hardware solutions fully characterized by the uncertainty budget, we present the measurement method used for assessing DC distortions after evaluating the limitations of conventional AC techniques. Both arrangements are set to measure voltages of up to 1000 V, currents of up to 30 A, and frequency components of up to 150–500 kHz, with an uncertainty varying from 0.01% to less than 1%. This level of accuracy in the measurements will allow us to draw reliable conclusions regarding the dynamic behavior of future LVDC grids. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Intelligent Sensors)
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25 pages, 3408 KB  
Article
A Dual-Layer Optimal Operation of Multi-Energy Complementary System Considering the Minimum Inertia Constraint
by Houjian Zhan, Yiming Qin, Xiaoping Xiong, Huanxing Qi, Jiaqiu Hu, Jian Tang and Xiaokun Han
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5202; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195202 - 30 Sep 2025
Viewed by 241
Abstract
The large-scale utilization of wind and solar energy is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality targets. However, as extensive wind and solar power generation is integrated via power electronic devices, the inertia level of power systems continues to decline. This leads to a significant [...] Read more.
The large-scale utilization of wind and solar energy is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality targets. However, as extensive wind and solar power generation is integrated via power electronic devices, the inertia level of power systems continues to decline. This leads to a significant reduction in the system’s frequency regulation capability, posing a serious threat to frequency stability. Optimizing the system is an essential measure to ensure its safe and stable operation. Traditional optimization approaches, which separately optimize transmission and distribution systems, may fail to adequately account for the variability and uncertainty of renewable energy sources, as well as the impact of inertia changes on system stability. Therefore, this paper proposes a two-layer optimization method aimed at simultaneously optimizing the operation of transmission and distribution systems while satisfying minimum inertia constraints. The upper-layer model comprehensively optimizes the operational costs of wind, solar, and thermal power systems under the minimum inertia requirement constraint. It considers the operational costs of energy storage, virtual inertia costs, and renewable energy curtailment costs to determine the total thermal power generation, energy storage charge/discharge power, and the proportion of renewable energy grid connection. The lower-layer model optimizes the spatiotemporal distribution of energy storage units within the distribution network, aiming to minimize total network losses and further reduce system operational costs. Through simulation analysis and computational verification using typical daily scenarios, this model enhances the disturbance resilience of the transmission network layer while reducing power losses in the distribution network layer. Building upon this optimization strategy, the model employs multi-scenario stochastic optimization to simulate the variability of wind, solar, and load, addressing uncertainties and correlations within the system. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed model not only effectively increases the integration rate of new energy sources but also enables timely responses to real-time system demands and fluctuations. Full article
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28 pages, 3341 KB  
Article
Research on Dynamic Energy Management Optimization of Park Integrated Energy System Based on Deep Reinforcement Learning
by Xinjian Jiang, Lei Zhang, Fuwang Li, Zhiru Li, Zhijian Ling and Zhenghui Zhao
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5172; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195172 - 29 Sep 2025
Viewed by 287
Abstract
Under the background of energy transition, the Integrated Energy System (IES) of the park has become a key carrier for enhancing the consumption capacity of renewable energy due to its multi-energy complementary characteristics. However, the high proportion of wind and solar resource access [...] Read more.
Under the background of energy transition, the Integrated Energy System (IES) of the park has become a key carrier for enhancing the consumption capacity of renewable energy due to its multi-energy complementary characteristics. However, the high proportion of wind and solar resource access and the fluctuation of diverse loads have led to the system facing dual uncertainty challenges, and traditional optimization methods are difficult to adapt to the dynamic and complex dispatching requirements. To this end, this paper proposes a new dynamic energy management method based on Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) and constructs an IES hybrid integer nonlinear programming model including wind power, photovoltaic, combined heat and power generation, and storage of electric heat energy, with the goal of minimizing the operating cost of the system. By expressing the dispatching process as a Markov decision process, a state space covering wind and solar output, multiple loads and energy storage states is defined, a continuous action space for unit output and energy storage control is constructed, and a reward function integrating economic cost and the penalty for renewable energy consumption is designed. The Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) and Deep Q-Network (DQN) algorithms were adopted to achieve policy optimization. This study is based on simulation rather than experimental validation, which aligns with the exploratory scope of this research. The simulation results show that the DDPG algorithm achieves an average weekly operating cost of 532,424 yuan in the continuous action space scheduling, which is 8.6% lower than that of the DQN algorithm, and the standard deviation of the cost is reduced by 19.5%, indicating better robustness. Under the fluctuation of 10% to 30% on the source-load side, the DQN algorithm still maintains a cost fluctuation of less than 4.5%, highlighting the strong adaptability of DRL to uncertain environments. Therefore, this method has significant theoretical and practical value for promoting the intelligent transformation of the energy system. Full article
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21 pages, 5486 KB  
Article
Research on Mobile Energy Storage Configuration and Path Planning Strategy Under Dual Source-Load Uncertainty in Typhoon Disasters
by Bingchao Zhang, Chunyang Gong, Songli Fan, Jian Wang, Tianyuan Yu and Zhixin Wang
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5169; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195169 - 28 Sep 2025
Viewed by 307
Abstract
In recent years, frequent typhoon-induced disasters have significantly increased the risk of power grid outages, posing severe challenges to the secure and stable operation of distribution grids with high penetration of distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems. Furthermore, during post-disaster recovery, the dual uncertainties of [...] Read more.
In recent years, frequent typhoon-induced disasters have significantly increased the risk of power grid outages, posing severe challenges to the secure and stable operation of distribution grids with high penetration of distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems. Furthermore, during post-disaster recovery, the dual uncertainties of distributed PV output and the charging/discharging behavior of flexible resources such as electric vehicles (EVs) complicate the configuration and scheduling of mobile energy storage systems (MESS). To address these challenges, this paper proposes a two-stage robust optimization framework for dynamic recovery of distribution grids: Firstly, a multi-stage decision framework is developed, incorporating MESS site selection, network reconfiguration, and resource scheduling. Secondly, a spatiotemporal coupling model is designed to integrate the dynamic dispatch behavior of MESS with the temporal and spatial evolution of disaster scenarios, enabling dynamic path planning. Finally, a nested column-and-constraint generation (NC&CG) algorithm is employed to address the uncertainties in PV output intervals and EV demand fluctuations. Simulations on the IEEE 33-node system demonstrate that the proposed method improves grid resilience and economic efficiency while reducing operational risks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Control Technologies for Wind and Photovoltaic Power Generation)
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19 pages, 1853 KB  
Article
Osprey Optimization Algorithm-Optimized Kriging-RBF Method for Radial Deformation Reliability Analysis of Compressor Blade Angle Crack
by Qiong Zhang, Shuguang Zhang and Xuyan He
Aerospace 2025, 12(10), 867; https://doi.org/10.3390/aerospace12100867 - 26 Sep 2025
Viewed by 195
Abstract
Angle crack defects significantly affect compressor blade radial deformation characteristics, posing critical challenges for reliability assessment under operational uncertainties. This study proposes a novel osprey optimization algorithm (OOA)-optimized Kriging and radial basis function (RBF) method (OOA-KR) for the efficient reliability evaluation of blade [...] Read more.
Angle crack defects significantly affect compressor blade radial deformation characteristics, posing critical challenges for reliability assessment under operational uncertainties. This study proposes a novel osprey optimization algorithm (OOA)-optimized Kriging and radial basis function (RBF) method (OOA-KR) for the efficient reliability evaluation of blade radial clearance with angle crack defects. The approach integrates Kriging’s uncertainty quantification capabilities with RBF neural networks’ nonlinear mapping strengths through an adaptive weighting scheme optimized by OOA. Multiple uncertainty sources including crack geometry, operational temperature, and loading conditions are systematically considered. A comprehensive finite element model incorporating crack size variations and multi-physics coupling effects generates training data for surrogate model construction. Comparative studies demonstrate superior prediction accuracy with RMSE = 0.568 and R2 = 0.8842, significantly outperforming conventional methods while maintaining computational efficiency. Reliability assessment achieves 97.6% precision through Monte Carlo simulation. Sensitivity analysis reveals rotational speed as the most influential factor (S = 0.42), followed by temperature and loading parameters. The proposed OOA-KR method provides an effective tool for blade design optimization and reliability-based maintenance strategies. Full article
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22 pages, 2195 KB  
Article
Capacity Optimization of Integrated Energy System for Hydrogen-Containing Parks Under Strong Perturbation Multi-Objective Control
by Qiang Wang, Jiahao Wang and Yaoduo Ya
Energies 2025, 18(19), 5101; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18195101 - 25 Sep 2025
Viewed by 271
Abstract
To address the issue of significant perturbations caused by the limited flexibility of clean energy grid integration, along with the combined effects of electric vehicle charging demand and the uncertainty of high-penetration intermittent energy in the integrated energy system (IES), a capacity optimization [...] Read more.
To address the issue of significant perturbations caused by the limited flexibility of clean energy grid integration, along with the combined effects of electric vehicle charging demand and the uncertainty of high-penetration intermittent energy in the integrated energy system (IES), a capacity optimization method for the IES subsystem of a hydrogen-containing chemical park, accounting for strong perturbations, is proposed in the context of the park’s energy usage. Firstly, a typical scenario involving source-load disturbances is characterized using Latin hypercube sampling and Euclidean distance reduction techniques. An energy management strategy for subsystem coordination is then developed. Building on this, a capacity optimization model is established, with the objective of minimizing daily integrated costs, carbon emissions, and system load variance. The Pareto optimal solution set is derived using a non-dominated genetic algorithm, and the optimal allocation case is selected through a combination of ideal solution similarity ranking and a subjective–objective weighting method. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach effectively balances economic efficiency, carbon reduction, and system stability while managing strong perturbations. When compared to relying solely on external hydrogen procurement, the integration of hydrogen storage in chemical production can offset high investment costs and deliver substantial environmental benefits. Full article
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24 pages, 4126 KB  
Article
Adaptive Energy Management for Smart Microgrids Using a Bio-Inspired T-Cell Algorithm and Multi-Agent System with Real-Time OPAL-RT Validation
by Yassir El Bakkali, Nissrine Krami, Youssef Rochdi, Achraf Boukaibat, Mohamed Laamim and Abdelilah Rochd
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(19), 10358; https://doi.org/10.3390/app151910358 - 24 Sep 2025
Viewed by 347
Abstract
This article proposes an Energy Management System (EMS) for smart microgrids with a decentralized multi-agent system (MAS) based on a bio-inspired T-Cell optimization algorithm. The proposed system allows real-time control and dynamic balancing of loads while addressing the challenges of intermittent renewable energy [...] Read more.
This article proposes an Energy Management System (EMS) for smart microgrids with a decentralized multi-agent system (MAS) based on a bio-inspired T-Cell optimization algorithm. The proposed system allows real-time control and dynamic balancing of loads while addressing the challenges of intermittent renewable energy sources like solar and wind. The system operates within the tertiary control layer; the optimal set points are computed by the T-Cell algorithm across energy sources and storage units. The set points are implemented and validated in real-time by the OPAL-RT simulation platform. The system contains a real-time feedback loop, which continuously monitors voltage levels and system performance, allowing the system to readjust in case of anomalies or power imbalances. Contrary to classical methods like Model Predictive Control (MPC) or Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), the T-Cell algorithm demonstrates greater robustness to uncertainty and better adaptability to dynamic operating conditions. The MAS is implemented over the JADE platform, enabling decentralized coordination, autonomous response to disturbances, and continuous system optimization to ensure stability and reduce reliance on the main grid. The results demonstrate the system’s effectiveness in maintaining the voltages within acceptable limits of regulation (±5%), reducing reliance on the main grid, and optimizing the integration of renewable sources. The real-time closed-loop solution provides a scalable and reliable microgrid energy management solution under real-world constraints. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Energy Science and Technology)
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20 pages, 2181 KB  
Article
Optimal Unit Scheduling Considering Multi-Scenario Source–Load Uncertainty and Frequency Security
by Xiaodong Yang, Yue Chang, Lun Cheng, Yujing Su and Tao Wang
Algorithms 2025, 18(10), 595; https://doi.org/10.3390/a18100595 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 218
Abstract
In response to the significant challenges posed by the volatility and low-inertia characteristics of new energy outputs to the safe operation of power systems, a day-ahead scheduling model for generating units that takes into account source–load uncertainty and frequency security is proposed. To [...] Read more.
In response to the significant challenges posed by the volatility and low-inertia characteristics of new energy outputs to the safe operation of power systems, a day-ahead scheduling model for generating units that takes into account source–load uncertainty and frequency security is proposed. To address source–load uncertainty, kernel density estimation and copula theory are employed to model the correlation between wind and solar energy and generate a set of typical daily scenarios. Considering the low-inertia characteristic, frequency security constraints are incorporated into the scheduling model, and an optimization model for generating units that takes into account multi-scenario uncertainty is constructed. By solving the expected value of the objective function, economic and safe scheduling of the system under uncertain environments is achieved. An experimental analysis and case studies verify the advantages and feasibility of the proposed model through a comparison of scheduling costs and frequency security. Full article
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20 pages, 4285 KB  
Article
Multi-Stage Stochastic MILP Framework for Renewable Microgrid Dispatch Under High Renewable Penetration: Optimizing Variability and Uncertainty Management
by Olubayo Babatunde, Kunle Fasesin, Adebayo Dosa, Desmond Ighravwe, John Ogbemhe and Oludolapo Olanrewaju
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(19), 10303; https://doi.org/10.3390/app151910303 - 23 Sep 2025
Viewed by 301
Abstract
The research develops a multi-stage stochastic Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model for managing dispatch schedules in microgrids with significant renewable energy integration. The primary objective is to optimize the integration of renewable energy sources with energy storage systems and grid power, concurrently aiming [...] Read more.
The research develops a multi-stage stochastic Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model for managing dispatch schedules in microgrids with significant renewable energy integration. The primary objective is to optimize the integration of renewable energy sources with energy storage systems and grid power, concurrently aiming to reduce operational costs and address uncertainties associated with renewable energy resources. The model effectively captures the variability inherent in renewable sources through the use of scenarios and implements a multi-stage MILP formulation that incorporates storage and load constraints. The methodology employs stochastic optimization techniques to regulate fluctuations in renewable generation by analyzing diverse energy availability scenarios. The optimization process is designed to minimize grid power consumption while maximizing the utilization of renewable energy via storage and load constraints that guarantee a balanced energy supply. The model achieves optimal operational costs by producing results that amount to 46,600 USD while successfully controlling renewable energy variability. The research demonstrates two main achievements by integrating high renewable penetration levels and providing valuable insights into how energy storage systems and grid independence lower costs. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Renewable Energy and Power Systems)
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16 pages, 2850 KB  
Article
Prioritizing BESS Selection to Improve System Contingency Responses: Results of a Case Study Conducted Using the SRP Power System
by Venkata Nagarjuna Anudeep Kandrathi, Dhaval Dalal, Anamitra Pal, Philip Augustin and Matthew Rhodes
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4950; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184950 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 463
Abstract
Battery energy storage systems (BESSs) have become integral components of grid modernization because of their ability to provide system stabilization in the presence of high levels of renewable generation. Specifically, the dynamic response capabilities of BESSs can be a valuable tool in ensuring [...] Read more.
Battery energy storage systems (BESSs) have become integral components of grid modernization because of their ability to provide system stabilization in the presence of high levels of renewable generation. Specifically, the dynamic response capabilities of BESSs can be a valuable tool in ensuring reliability and security of the grid during contingencies. This paper explores the utilization of BESSs in improving the contingency response of the SRP power system by providing selection criteria that enable a viable and cost-effective solution from a planning perspective. In particular, this study focuses on optimal BESS selection from a list of actual queued projects to enhance system stability by maintaining voltage and mitigating fault impacts. Additionally, the work involves generating both normal and abnormal operational scenarios for varying loads and renewable generation profiles of the system to capture diverse sources of uncertainty. A comprehensive reliability planning approach is adopted to identify the worst-case scenarios and ensure network robustness by optimizing BESS operations under these conditions. The results obtained by applying the proposed methodology to a 2500+-bus real-world system of SRP indicates that with as few as four strategically selected BESS units, the system is able to effectively mitigate more than 90% of under-voltage violations and approximately 75% of over-voltage violations. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section F1: Electrical Power System)
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26 pages, 10731 KB  
Article
Two-Stage Optimization Research of Power System with Wind Power Considering Energy Storage Peak Regulation and Frequency Regulation Function
by Juan Li and Hongxu Zhang
Energies 2025, 18(18), 4947; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18184947 - 17 Sep 2025
Viewed by 375
Abstract
Addressing the problems of wind power’s anti-peak regulation characteristics, increasing system peak regulation difficulty, and wind power uncertainty causing frequency deviation leading to power imbalance, this paper considers the peak shaving and valley filling function and frequency regulation characteristics of energy storage, establishing [...] Read more.
Addressing the problems of wind power’s anti-peak regulation characteristics, increasing system peak regulation difficulty, and wind power uncertainty causing frequency deviation leading to power imbalance, this paper considers the peak shaving and valley filling function and frequency regulation characteristics of energy storage, establishing a day-ahead and intraday coordinated two-stage optimization scheduling model for research. Stage 1 establishes a deterministic wind power prediction model based on time series Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), adopts dynamic peak-valley identification method to divide energy storage operation periods, designs energy storage peak regulation working interval and reserves frequency regulation capacity, and establishes a day-ahead 24 h optimization model with minimum cost as the objective to determine the basic output of each power source and the charging and discharging plan of energy storage participating in peak regulation. Stage 2 still takes the minimum cost as the objective, based on the output of each power source determined in Stage 1, adopts Monte Carlo scenario generation and improved scenario reduction technology to model wind power uncertainty. On one hand, it considers how energy storage improves wind power system inertia support to ensure the initial rate of change of frequency meets requirements. On the other hand, considering energy storage reserve capacity responding to frequency deviation, it introduces dynamic power flow theory, where wind, thermal, load, and storage resources share unbalanced power proportionally based on their frequency characteristic coefficients, establishing an intraday real-time scheduling scheme that satisfies the initial rate of change of frequency and steady-state frequency deviation constraints. The study employs improved chaotic mapping and an adaptive weight Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm to solve the two-stage optimization model and finally takes the improved IEEE 14-node system as an example to verify the proposed scheme through simulation. Results demonstrate that the proposed method improves the system net load peak-valley difference by 35.9%, controls frequency deviation within ±0.2 Hz range, and reduces generation cost by 7.2%. The proposed optimization scheduling model has high engineering application value. Full article
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33 pages, 5806 KB  
Article
High-Resolution Flow and Nutrient Modeling Under Climate Change in the Flat, Urbanized and Intensively Cultivated Adige River Lowland Basin (Italy) Using SWAT
by Daniele Pedretti, Corrado A. S. Camera, Nico Dalla Libera, Sara Pasini, Ylenia Gelmini and Andrea Braidot
Hydrology 2025, 12(9), 239; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12090239 - 16 Sep 2025
Viewed by 684
Abstract
This study describes the challenges and solutions encountered when developing a high-resolution, process-based hydrological model of the Adige River Lowland Basin (ARLB), a flat, intensively managed agricultural region in northeastern Italy. The model was based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) [...] Read more.
This study describes the challenges and solutions encountered when developing a high-resolution, process-based hydrological model of the Adige River Lowland Basin (ARLB), a flat, intensively managed agricultural region in northeastern Italy. The model was based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and simulates streamflow and nutrient dynamics. Using detailed local hydrological, agricultural, and point-source data, the model robustly reproduces current conditions and projects future scenarios under climate change. Streamflow calibration demonstrated strong performance (NSE up to 0.76), with simulated monthly average discharge (192 m3/s) closely matching observed values (218 m3/s) and capturing intra- and inter-annual variability. Nutrient simulations also aligned well with observations. Total nitrogen (TN) concentrations averaged 1.08 mg/L versus 1.09 mg/L observed. Spatial TN loads were satisfactorily predicted across the subbasins, without additional nutrient calibration to prevent overfitting. Spatial analysis revealed that point sources, notably wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) along the main river, contribute approximately 65% of the total nitrogen loads, while diffuse agricultural runoff (though secondary in load magnitude) is concentrated in the northern subbasins and is sensitive to climate variability. Climate change projections under 2 °C and 3 °C warming scenarios indicate increases in TN loadings by about 150 and 300 t/y, respectively. Phosphorus loadings exhibited weaker and more variable responses to warming than TN, reflecting model and scenario uncertainties. Overall, this work demonstrates the capability of the proposed modeling approach, based on high-resolution spatio-temporal variables, to model complex lowland hydrology and nutrient fluxes. The model can be used as a decision-support tool for regional nutrient management and climate adaptation strategies. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydrological and Hydrodynamic Processes and Modelling)
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