Search Results (56)

Serving as critical sustainable transportation infrastructure, inland waterways provide dual socioeconomic and ecological value by (1) facilitating high-efficiency freight logistics through cost-effective bulk cargo transport while stimulating regional economic growth, and (2) delivering essential ecosystem services including flood regulation, water resource preservation, and biodiversity conservation. This study establishes a stakeholder-centered risk assessment framework to enhance decision-making of waterway engineering projects and promote the sustainable development of Inland Waterway Transport. We propose a three-layer approach: (1) identifying key stakeholders in the decision-making stage of waterway engineering projects through multi-dimensional criteria; (2) listing and classifying decision-making risks from the perspectives of managers, users, and other stakeholders; (3) applying the Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) to prioritize key risks and proposing a risk assessment model based on fuzzy reasoning theory to evaluate decision-making risks under uncertain conditions. This framework was applied to the Yangtze River Trunk Line Wuhan–Anqing Waterway Regulation Project. The results show that the risk ranking is managers, users, and other stakeholders, among which the risk of engineering freight demand is particularly prominent. This suggests that we need to pay attention to optimizing material transportation and operational organization, promote the development of large-scale ships, and realize the diversification of ship types and transportation organizations. This study combines fuzzy reasoning with stakeholder theory, providing a replicable tool for the Waterway Management Authority to address the complex sustainability challenges in global waterway development projects. Full article

Surface water systems face unprecedented stress due to climate variability, urbanization, land-use change, and growing water demand—prompting a shift from traditional hydrological modeling to intelligent, adaptive systems. This review critically explores the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in surface flow management, encompassing applications in streamflow forecasting, sediment transport, flood prediction, water quality monitoring, and infrastructure operations such as dam and irrigation control. Drawing from over two decades of interdisciplinary literature, this study synthesizes recent advances in machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), the Internet of Things (IoT), remote sensing, and hybrid AI–physics models. Unlike earlier reviews focusing on single aspects, this paper presents a systems-level perspective that links AI technologies to their operational, ethical, and governance dimensions. It highlights key AI techniques—including Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), Transformer models, and Reinforcement Learning—and discusses their strengths, limitations, and implementation challenges, particularly in data-scarce and climate-uncertain regions. Novel insights are provided on Explainable AI (XAI), algorithmic bias, cybersecurity risks, and institutional readiness, positioning this paper as a roadmap for equitable and resilient AI adoption. By combining methodological analysis, conceptual frameworks, and future directions, this review offers a comprehensive guide for researchers, engineers, and policy-makers navigating the next generation of intelligent surface flow management. Full article

The balance between water supply and demand is essential for industrial growth, affecting economic, social, and environmental sustainability. Our research employs a Gaussian process regression for demand prediction. Additionally, it takes into account water limits and policy thresholds when determining the supply, thereby defining a range of uncertainty for both the industrial demand and the supply. A pattern recognition method matches this trade-off range, identifying three patterns to support water management. The study focuses on the analysis of industrial water supply and demand dynamics under uncertain conditions in nine cities (Baiyin, Dingxi, Gannan, Lanzhou, Linxia, Pingliang, Qingyang, Tianshui, and Wuwei) in Gansu Province of China’s Yellow River Basin in 2030. The results of the study show that industrial water use in Baiyin, Linxia, Dingxi, and Tianshui cities falls into Pattern I, providing water resources to support industrial development. Industrial water use in Wuwei, Pingliang, Qingyang, and Gannan cities represents Pattern II, which maintains a balance between supply and demand while allowing flexibility in water demand. Finally, the industrial water use in Lanzhou city is characterized by Pattern III, which requires optimization through structural, technological, and management improvements to mitigate the negative impacts of water scarcity on the sustainable development of the economy and society. The results of the research can be used as a reference for policy making in water resources planning and management in the basin. Full article

In this study, a low-carbon freight routing problem for time-sensitive goods is investigated in the context of water–rail–road multimodal transportation. To enhance the on-time transportation of time-sensitive goods, hard time windows are employed to regulate both pickup and delivery services at the start and end of their transportation. The uncertainty of both the demand for time-sensitive goods and the capacity of the transportation network are modeled using L-R triangular fuzzy numbers in the routing process to make the advanced routing more feasible in the actual transportation. Based on the carbon tax policy, a fuzzy linear optimization model is established to address the proposed problem, and an equivalent chance-constrained programming formulation is then obtained to make the solution to the problem attainable. A numerical experiment is carried out to verify the feasibility of incorporating the carbon tax policy, uncertainty, and water–rail–road multimodal transportation to optimize the low-carbon freight routing problem for time-sensitive goods. Furthermore, a multi-objective optimization is used to reveal that lowering the transportation costs, reducing the carbon emissions, and avoiding the risk are in conflict with each in the routing. We also analyze the sensitivity of the optimization results concerning the confidence level of the chance constraints and the uncertainty degree of the uncertain demand and capacity. Based on the numerical experiment, we draw several conclusions to help the shipper, receiver, and multimodal transportation operator to organize efficient water–rail–road multimodal transportation for time-sensitive goods. Full article

Developing operation strategies for district cooling systems with chilled water storage is challenging due to uncertain fluctuations of cooling demand in actual operations. To address this issue, this paper developed an adaptive operation strategy and performed its validations by modeling and simulating a commercial cooling system in Shanghai using OpenModelica. Firstly, the originally designed operation strategy of the cooling system was evaluated by simulation but was found unable to meet the statistically averaged ideal cooling requirements due to the early exhaustion of stored chilled water at about 5:30 PM. Then, to build foundations for adaptive operation strategy development, a newly designed operation strategy was established by increasing the operation time of base load chillers in the valley and flat electricity price periods. The new strategy proved numerically sustainable in satisfying the ideal cooling demand. Moreover, to realize the strategy’s adaptability to actual cooling load fluctuations, an adaptive operation strategy was developed by tracking the target stored chilled water mass curve that was calculated by implementing the newly designed strategy. The simulation results verify that the adaptive operation strategy enables good adaptability to representative cooling load fluctuation cases by automatically and periodically adjusting the operation status of base load chillers. The adaptive operation strategy was then further widely numerically tested in hundreds of simulation cases with different cooling load variations. The time-lagging problem resulting in strategy failures was found in numerical tests and was addressed by slightly modifying the adaptive strategy. Results indicate that the adaptive operation strategy enables adaptability to deal with cooling demand fluctuations as well as allowing low cooling supply economic costs and power grid-friendly characteristics. This study provides theoretical support to strategy design and validations for district cooling system operations. Full article

Utilizing groundwater offers a promising solution to alleviate water stress in Ethiopia, providing a dependable and sustainable water source, particularly in regions with limited or unreliable surface water availability. However, effective decision-making regarding well drilling and placement is essential to maximize groundwater resource potential, enhancing agricultural productivity, reducing hunger, and bolstering food security in Ethiopia. This study concentrates on the development of two-stage stochastic mixed integer programming (SMIP) models to optimize well placement for sustainable agricultural irrigation, considering uncertain demand scenarios. Additionally, a deterministic mixed integer programming model is formulated for comparison with the two-stage SMIP. Experiments are conducted to explore various demand scenario distributions, revealing that the optimized total cost for the two-stage SMIP generally exceeds that of a deterministic setting, aligning with the two-stage SMIP’s focus on long-term benefits. Moreover, slight differences are observed in well layouts under different assumption scenarios. The study also examines the impact of selected parameters, such as fixed construction costs, per-meter drilling costs, and demand scenarios. The out-of-sample performance shows that the stochastic model is more flexible and resilient, with 11% and 4% lower costs than deterministic cases 1 and 3, respectively. This flexibility provides a more robust long-term strategy for well placement and resource allocation in groundwater management. Full article

Water distribution systems (WDSs) need electric power supply to operate their pumps. Long-lasting power outages (blackouts) can disrupt the availability of water for citizens. If the water supply is limited by constrained pumping capacities caused by the blackout, water demand reduction could help preserve this limited supply, while increased water withdrawal, i.e., stockpiling, could deplete it. This study investigates the effects and subsequent uncertainty of demand response, especially stockpiling, on WDSs in a blackout. Therefore, we (i) model residential water demand reduction, regular water demand, and water stockpiling in a blackout, (ii) simulate the effect of the demand response on the WDS of Darmstadt, Germany, and (iii) investigate uncertainty resulting from the demand response and initial states of the WDS at time of the onset of the blackout. The findings indicate that the demand response and initial tank levels are the main sources of uncertainty and that demand-side management bears the potential to improve water service availability during a blackout. Full article

For the design of water distribution networks (WDNs), a multitude of factors must be considered to achieve a resilient and robust system, given the long lifespan of these systems. Designers face challenges such as climate and demographic changes, fluctuating water demand, policy shifts, and evolving stakeholder preferences. Traditional models, including both deterministic and various stochastic approaches, often encounter difficulties when dealing with the profound uncertainties present in these variables. As a result, they frequently fail to predict long-term performance accurately. The recent literature has indicated a shift towards non-deterministic methods that embrace these uncertainties, especially through scenario generation techniques. In this paper, we delve into these alternative methodologies, specifically focusing on scenario generation techniques that effectively incorporate deep uncertainties into the design process of WDNs. We aim to identify, categorize, and analyze these methodologies, highlighting their strengths, limitations, and areas for improvement. Finally, we also suggest new research directions for scenario-based planning in WDNs to improve their adaptability and resilience against uncertain futures. Full article

Most existing approaches to ensuring water quality in water distribution systems (WDSs) are deterministic, i.e., they do not consider uncertainties, although they may have significant impacts on the water quality. It is well recognized that water demand represents a predominant uncertainty in a WDS. In addition, water age is often used as an important parameter to describe the water quality in a WDS and can be influenced by water demand and control elements such as pressure-reducing valves (PRVs). Therefore, the aim of this study is to carry out a probabilistic analysis of the impact of demand uncertainty on the water age in the distribution network. Based on the solution of deterministic optimization to minimize the water age, Monte Carlo simulation will be carried out by sampling the uncertain demand to evaluate the stochastic distribution of water age, as well as other operating variables like pressure and flow. As a result, the probability of violating the constraints of such variables can be determined, with the reliability of the operating strategy (e.g., the settings of the PRVs) given by deterministic optimization provided. In cases of low reliability, it is necessary to modify the operating strategy in order to decrease the probability of constraint violation. For this purpose, a chance-constrained optimization problem is formulated, and its benefits for ensuring the user-defined reliability are studied. A benchmark network is used to verify the proposed approach. Full article

The efficient operation of multi-reservoirs is highly beneficial for securing supply for prevailing demand and ecological flow. This study proposes a monthly hedging rule-based aggregation–decomposition model for optimizing a parallel reservoir system. The proposed model, which is an aggregated hedging rule for ecological flow (AHRE), uses external optimization to determine the total release of the reservoir system based on improved hedging rules—the optimization model aims to minimize water demand and ecological flow deficits. Additionally, inner optimization distributes the release to individual reservoirs to maintain equal reservoir storage rates. To verify the effectiveness of the AHRE, a standard operation policy and transformed hedging rules were selected for comparison. Three parallel reservoirs in the Naesung Stream Basin in South Korea were selected as a study area. The results of this study demonstrate that the AHRE is better than the other two methods in terms of supplying water in line with demand and ecological flow. In addition, the AHRE showed relatively stable operation results with small water-level fluctuations, owing to the application of improved hedging rules and a decomposition method. The results indicate that the AHRE has the capacity to improve downstream river ecosystems while maintaining human water use and provide a superior response to uncertain droughts. Full article

Water shortages are serious in northwest China due to the level of social and economic development, engineering, resource shortages, and other factors being restricted, so the conflict between supply and demand for water resources is prominent in different regions and different water use sectors. Therefore, Pingliang City was selected as the research object in this study. The membership function was introduced, and an interactive algorithm to correct model parameters based on the fairness constraint was derived. An uncertain multi-objective fuzzy programming model was also established. The results show that the optimal allocation of water will be 38,051.9~40,740 × 10⁴ m³ and 39,938.4~41,317.5 × 10⁴ m³ under a normal year (p = 50%) and a dry year (p = 75%) in 2025, respectively, and the corresponding water shortage rates will be 4.2% and 6.7%. In 2035, the optimal water allocation will be 45,644.1~49,245.9 × 10⁴ m³ and 46,442.4~50,044.2 × 10⁴ m³ and the water shortage rates will be 7.0% and 7.0%, respectively. The proportion of groundwater supply will decrease by 8.8% and 13.8% in 2025 and 2035 after the optimal allocation, the proportion of surface water supply will increase by 9.6% and 12.2%, and the proportion of reclaimed water will increase by −0.78% and 2.1%, respectively. The results can provide a technical reference for the development and utilization of water resources in other cities and similar areas in semi-arid regions. Full article

Power load prediction is fundamental for ensuring the reliability of power grid operation and the accuracy of power demand forecasting. However, the uncertainties stemming from power generation, such as wind speed and water flow, along with variations in electricity demand, present new challenges to existing power load prediction methods. In this paper, we propose an improved Convolutional Neural Network–Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-BILSTM) model for analyzing power load in systems affected by uncertain power conditions. Initially, we delineate the uncertainty characteristics inherent in real-world power systems and establish a data-driven power load model based on fluctuations in power source loads. Building upon this foundation, we design the CNN-BILSTM model, which comprises a convolutional neural network (CNN) module for extracting features from power data, along with a forward Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) module and a reverse LSTM module. The two LSTM modules account for factors influencing forward and reverse power load timings in the entire power load data, thus enhancing model performance and data utilization efficiency. We further conduct comparative experiments to evaluate the effectiveness of the proposed CNN-BILSTM model. The experimental results demonstrate that CNN-BILSTM can effectively and more accurately predict power loads within power systems characterized by uncertain power generation and electricity demand. Consequently, it exhibits promising prospects for industrial applications. Full article

Improvements in the welfare of animals in the intensive production industries are increasingly being demanded by the public. Scientific methods of welfare improvement have been developed and are beginning to be used on farms, including those provided by precision livestock farming. The number of welfare challenges that animals are facing in the livestock production industries is growing rapidly, and farmers are a key component in attempts to improve welfare because their livelihood is at stake. The challenges include climate change, which not only exposes animals to heat stress but also potentially reduces forage and water availability for livestock production systems. Heat-stressed animals have reduced welfare, and it is important to farmers that they convert feed to products for human consumption less efficiently, their immune system is compromised, and both the quality of the products and the animals’ reproduction are adversely affected. Livestock farmers are also facing escalating feed and fertiliser costs, both of which may jeopardise feed availability for the animals. The availability of skilled labour to work in livestock industries is increasingly limited, with rural migration to cities and the succession of older farmers uncertain. In future, high-energy and protein feeds are unlikely to be available in large quantities when required for the expanding human population. It is expected that livestock farming will increasingly be confined to marginal land offering low-quality pasture, which will favour ruminant livestock, at the expense of pigs and poultry unable to readily digest coarse fibre in plants. Farmers also face disease challenges to their animals’ welfare, as the development of antibiotic resistance in microbes has heralded an era when we can no longer rely on antibiotics to control disease or improve the feed conversion efficiency of livestock. Farmers can use medicinal plants, pro-, pre- and synbiotics and good husbandry to help maintain a high standard of health in their animals. Loss of biodiversity in livestock breeds reduces the availability of less productive genotypes that survive better on nutrient-poor diets than animals selected for high productivity. Farmers have a range of options to help address these challenges, including changing to less intensive diets, diversification from livestock farming to other enterprises, such as cereal and pseudocereal crops, silvopastoral systems and using less highly selected breeds. These options may not always produce good animal welfare, but they will help to give farm animals a better life. Full article

This study discusses the planning of a regional-scale water–food nexus (WFN) system using an inexact fuzzy chance constraint programming (IFCCP) method. The IFCCP approach can handle uncertainties expressed as interval and fuzzy parameters, as well as the preferences of decision makers. An inexact fuzzy chance constraint programming-based water–food nexus (IFCCP-WFN) model has been developed for the City of Jinan with the consideration of various restrictions related to water and land availability, as well as food and vegetable demands. Solutions for the planting areas for different crops in different periods have been generated under the different preferences of decision makers. The water resource availability would be the priority factor affecting the WFN system under demanding conditions, in which wheat cultivation would be dominated by this factor under fuzzy confidence levels of 0.2 and 0.5, and the planting area of corn would be determined by this factor under high fuzzy confidence levels (e.g., 0.8). In addition, the reliability of irrigation would decrease with increasing fuzzy confidence levels under demanding conditions, limiting the planting areas for crops and leading to a decreasing trend of the system benefit. Adequate water resources would be available for irrigation under optimistic conditions, implying no significant contributions to the planting schemes. Nevertheless, increasing food loss rates would result in more planting areas to satisfy food requirements and thus a greater system benefit under advantageous conditions. Compared with the developed IFCCP-WFN model, the interval-linear-programming-based water–food nexus (ILP-WFN) model can merely reflect the lower and upper bounds of uncertain parameters and neglects the inherent distributional information within the fuzzy parameters. Thus, the ILP-WFN model is unable to reveal the inherent impacts of the fuzzy parameters on the resulting planting strategies. Full article

The frequency and severity of natural or human-induced disaster events, such as floods, earthquakes, hurricanes, fires, pandemics, hazardous material spills, groundwater contamination, structural failures, explosions, etc., as well as their impacts, have greatly increased in recent decades due to population growth and extensive urbanization, among other factors. The World Bank estimates that the total cost of cities’ and communities’ vulnerability to these types of disasters could reach more than USD 300 billion per year by 2030. However, it has been argued that investment to improve the quality and resilience of engineered physical assets that are the backbone of modern societies, such as critical infrastructure, industrial facilities, and buildings, could significantly contribute to more sustainable and prosperous societies. Engineered assets are key to the delivery of essential services, such as transport, food, water, electricity supply, health and safety, etc. Some of these physical assets are integrated into asset systems and national or regional networks, with life cycles of several decades or even centuries. It is, therefore, of great importance that strategies and life cycle decisions, such as those related to short- and long-term capital investment planning, maintenance strategies, operational plans, and asset disposal, lead to the maximization of the value derived from these assets. Moreover, it is essential that the achievement of these goals is sustainable over time. Organizations dealing with engineering assets, both public and private, must, therefore, integrate sustainability and resilience concerns into everyday operations, using budgets that are often restricted, while also meeting demanding performance requirements in risky and uncertain environments. This Special Issue collates a selection of papers reporting the latest research and case studies regarding the trends and emerging strategies used to address these challenges, with contributions discussing how asset management principles and techniques can help to push the boundaries of sophistication and innovation to improve the life cycle management of engineered assets to ensure more sustainable and resilient cities and societies. Full article