Search Results (20)

The Jinghe River flows through the gully area of the Loess Plateau, where soil erosion is relatively severe. With the intensification of human activities, quantitatively evaluating the impact of land use/cover change (LUCC) on runoff is of paramount importance. This study is based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) models, and quantitatively analyzes the effect of LUCC on runoff in the Jinghe River Basin (JRB) through land use data from 2000 to 2020 and predicted scenarios for 2030 that encourage development, farmland protection, and ecological protection. The results show that reductions in farmland, grassland, and forest areas promote runoff, while increases in construction land similarly contribute to greater runoff. In all 2030 scenarios, the JRB is dominated by farmland and grassland. The mean annual runoff of LUCC under the three simulated prediction scenarios shows an increasing trend compared to LUCC in 2020, and the distribution of mean annual runoff depth is roughly the same. In addition, there is a strong interconnection between land use types and runoff in their dynamic relationship. Within the LUCC scenario, the decrease in farmland and forest land, along with the growth of construction land area promote runoff, while grassland plays a suppressive role in runoff. The results can offer a scientific foundation for improving soil erosion as well as optimizing land use patterns in the JRB. Full article

The impacts of climate change and human activities on water resources are a complex and integrated process and a key factor for effective water resource management in semi-arid regions, especially in relation to the Jinghe River basin (JRB), a major tributary of the Yellow River basin. The Sen’s slope estimator and the Mann–Kendall test (M–K test) are implemented to examine the spatial and temporal trends of the hydrological factors, while the elasticity coefficient method based on Budyko’s theory of hydrothermal coupling is employed to quantify the degree of runoff response to the various influencing factors, from 1971 to 2020. The results reveal that the runoff at Pingliang (PL), Jingchuan (JC), and Yangjiaping (YJP) hydrological stations shows an obvious and gradual decreasing trend during the study period, with a sudden change in about 1986, while precipitation shows a fluctuating and increasing trend alongside a potential evapotranspiration-induced fluctuating and decreasing trend. Compared to the previous period, a change of −29%, in relative terms, in the runoff at the YJP hydrological station is observed. The interaction of human activities and climate change in the watershed contributes to the sharp decrease in runoff, with precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and human activities accounting for −14.3%, −15.1%, and 70.6% of the causes of the change in runoff, respectively. Human activities (e.g., construction of water conservancy projects), precipitation, and potential evapotranspiration are the main factors contributing to the change in runoff. Full article

Water quality safety in the water source constitutes a crucial guarantee for public health and the ecological environment. This study undertakes a comprehensive assessment of the water quality conditions within the Jing River Basin of the Loess Plateau, emphasizing the spatial and temporal characteristics, as well as the determinants influencing surface water quality in the Shaanxi section. We utilized data from seven monitoring stations collected between 2016 and 2022, employing an enhanced comprehensive Water Quality Index (WQI) method, redundancy analysis (RDA), and Spearman’s correlation analysis. The results show that the average annual WQI value of the water quality of the Shaanxi section of the Jing River increased from 68.01 in 2016 to 76.18 in 2022, and the river’s water quality has gradually improved, with a significant improvement beginning in 2018, and a series of water quality management policies implemented by Shaanxi Province is the primary reason for the improvement. The river’s water quality has deteriorated slightly in recent years, necessitating stricter supervision of the coal mining industry in the upper section. The river has an average WQI value of 73.70 and is rated as ‘good’. The main pollution indicators influencing the river’s water quality are COD_Mn, COD, BOD₅, NH₃-N, and TP. From the upstream to the downstream, the water quality of the river shows a pattern of increasing and then decreasing, among which S4 (Linjing Bridge in Taiping Town) and S5 (Jinghe Bridge) have the best water quality. The downstream part (S6, S7) of the Jing River near the Weihe River has poor water quality, which is mostly caused by nonpoint source contamination from livestock and poultry rearing, agricultural activities, and sewage discharge. Redundancy analysis revealed that the spatial scale of the 2500 m buffer zone best explained water quality changes, and the amount of bare land and arable land in land use categories was the key influencing factor of river water quality. Full article

This study focuses on the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes in watersheds and proposes an integrated approach combining a weather generator with a multi-site conditional generative adversarial network (McGAN) model. The weather generator incorporates ensemble GCM predictions to generate regional average synthetic weather series, while McGAN transforms these regional averages into spatially consistent multi-site data. By addressing the spatial consistency problem in generating multi-site synthetic weather series, this approach tackles a key challenge in site-scale climate change impact assessment. Applied to the Jinghe River Basin in west-central China, the approach generated synthetic daily temperature and precipitation data for four stations under different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-26, SSP2-45, SSP3-70, SSP5-85) up to 2100. These data were then used with a long short-term memory (LSTM) network, trained on historical data, to simulate daily river flow from 2021 to 2100. The results show that (1) the approach effectively addresses the spatial correlation problem in multi-site weather data generation; (2) future climate change is likely to increase river flow, particularly under high-emission scenarios; and (3) while the frequency of extreme events may increase, proactive climate policies can mitigate flood and drought risks. This approach offers a new tool for hydrologic–climatic impact assessment in climate change studies. Full article

The sustainable development of arid regions is significantly constrained by the availability of water resources, which play a crucial role in this context. It is necessary to deeply investigate and analyze the hydrochemical characteristics and major ion sources. This study, which was based on data from 183 water samples collected from the Jinghe River Basin, provided a comprehensive analysis of the river water hydrochemistry. The results show that the average TDSs (total dissolved solids) was measured at 49.8 mg·L⁻¹. HCO₃⁻ (82.4%) and Ca²⁺ (77.1%) were the ions present in the highest abundances. The river water was classified as the HCO₃⁻-Ca²⁺ hydrochemical type. The Gibbs diagrams indicated that the ion composition was primarily influenced by rock weathering. Additionally, the Na-normalized molar ratio diagrams suggested that the chemical composition was primarily governed by the weathering and dissolution of silicate rocks, while the carbonate rock dissolution played a lesser role. This study demonstrates a critical aspect of water resources quality evaluation, which is of great significance for the sustainable development, utilization and environmental protection of regional water resources. Full article

Understanding the propagation characteristics and driving factors from meteorological drought to hydrological drought is essential for alleviating drought and for early warning systems regarding drought. This study focused on the Weihe River basin (WRB) and its two subregions (the Jinghe River (JRB) and the middle reaches of the Weihe River (MWRB)), utilizing the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Runoff Index (SRI) to characterize meteorological and hydrological drought, respectively. Based on Copula theory and conditional probability, a quantification model for the propagation time (PT) of meteorological–hydrological drought was constructed. The dynamic characteristics of PT on annual and seasonal scales were explored. Additionally, the influences of different seasonal meteorological factors and underlying surface factors on the dynamic changes in PT were analyzed. The main conclusions were as follows: (1) The PT of meteorological–hydrological drought was characterized by faster propagation during the hot months (June–September) and slower propagation during the cold months (December to March of the following year); (2) Under the same level of hydrological drought, as the level of meteorological drought increases, the PT of the drought shortens. The propagation thresholds of meteorological to hydrological drought in the WRB, the JRB, and the MWRB are −0.69, −0.81, and −0.78, respectively. (3) In the dynamic changes in PT, the WRB showed a non-significant decrease; however, both the JRB and the MWRB exhibited a significant increase in PT across different drought levels. (4) The influence of the water and heat status during spring, summer, and winter on PT was more pronounced, while in autumn, the impact of the basin’s water storage and discharge status was more significant in the JRB and the MWRB. Full article

Earlier, hydrological simulation calibration and validation relied on flow observations at hydrological stations, but multisource observations changed the basin hydrological simulation from single-flow validation to multivariate validation, including evaporation, soil water, and runoff. This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) distributed hydrological model to simulate and investigate hydrological processes in the Jinghe River Basin in China. After a single-station, single-variable calibration using flow observation data at the Zhangjiashan Hydrological Station, multisource data were used to validate actual evaporation, soil water, and runoff. Using the flow station data from Zhangjiashan station for parameter calibration and validation, the simulated values of R², NSE, and KGE were all above 0.64, the PBIAS was within 20%, and the values of all the metrics in the calibration period were better than those in the validation period. The results show that the model performed satisfactorily, proving its regional applicability. Qingyang, Yangjiaping, and Zhangjiazhan stations had R², NSE, and KGE values above 0.57 and PBIAS within 25% during regional calibration, considering spatial variability. Additionally, simulation accuracy downstream increased. R², NSE, and KGE were above 0.50, and PBIAS was within 25% throughout validation, except for Qingyang, where the validation period was better than the calibration period. The Zhangjiashan station monthly runoff simulation improved after regional calibration. Runoff validation performed highest in the multivariate validation of evaporation–soil water–runoff, followed by actual evaporation and soil water content in China. The evaluation results for each hydrological variable improved after additional manual calibration. Multivariate verification based on multisource data improved the hydrological simulation at the basin scale. Full article

In the context of global warming and intensified human activities, the quantitative assessment of the combined effects of land use/cover change (LUCC) and climate change on the hydrological cycle is crucial. This study was based on the simulation results of future climate and LUCC in the Jinghe River Basin (JRB) using the GFDL–ESM2M and CA–Markov combined with the SWAT models to simulate the runoff changes under different scenarios. The results revealed that the future annual precipitation and average temperature in the JRB are on the increase, and the future LUCC changes are mainly reflected in the increase in forest and urban lands and decrease in farmlands. Changes in runoff in the JRB are dominated by precipitation, and the frequency of extreme events increases with the increase in the concentration of CO₂ emissions. Under four climate scenarios, the contribution of future climate change to runoff changes in the JRB is −8.06%, −27.30%, −8.12%, and +1.10%, respectively, whereas the influence of future LUCC changes is smaller, ranging from 1.14–1.64%. In response to the future risk of increasing water-resources stress in the JRB, the results of this study can provide a scientific basis for ecological protection and water-resources management and development. Full article

Aerosols impact vegetation productivity by increasing diffuse radiation and changing temperature and humidity conditions. In this study, climate simulations of the Jinghe River Basin in 2020 based on aerosol and aerosol−free scenarios were carried out using the control variable method and the aerosol optical depth parameter as the external input data of Weather Report Forecast (WRF)−solar. These two output results were used as input data for the Carnegie Ames Stanford Approach (CASA) model to calculate the impact of aerosols on vegetation productivity. The results showed that WRF−solar accurately simulated changes in meteorological factors such as temperature, rainfall, solar radiation, and relative humidity in the Jinghe River Basin, with a correlation coefficient above 0.85. Aerosols significantly change the ratio of diffuse to direct radiation, act as a cooling function to reduce temperature, and affect rainfall by interacting with clouds. The scenario simulation results showed that under the influence of aerosols, the total solar radiation was reduced by 224.98 MJ/m², accounting for 3.44% of the total annual radiation. Correspondingly, the average net primary productivity of vegetation in the Jinghe River Basin in 2020 decreased by 26.64 gC/m², which was not conducive to vegetation photosynthesis and carbon fixation in the basin. Full article

Revealing the impact of future climate change on the characteristics and evolutionary patterns of meteorological and hydrological droughts and exploring the joint distribution characteristics of their drought characteristics are essential for drought early warning in the basin. In this study, we considered the Jinghe River Basin in the Loess Plateau as the research object. The standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized runoff index (SRI) series were used to represent meteorological drought and hydrological drought with monthly runoff generated by the SWAT model. In addition, the evolution laws of the JRB in the future based on Copula functions are discussed. The results showed that: (1) the meteorological drought and hydrological drought of the JRB displayed complex periodic change trends of drought and flood succession, and the evolution laws of meteorological drought and hydrological drought under different spatiotemporal scales and different scenario differ significantly. (2) In terms of the spatial range, the JRB meteorological and hydrological drought duration and severity gradually increased along with the increase in the time scale. (3) Based on the joint distribution model of the Copula function, the future meteorological drought situation in the JRB will be alleviated when compared with the historical period on the seasonal scale, but the hydrological drought situation is more serious. The findings can help policy-makers explore the correlation between meteorological drought and hydrological drought in the background of future climate change, as well as the early warning of hydrological drought. Full article

Understanding the hydrological surface condition changes, climate change and their combined impacts on flood runoff are critical for comprehending the hydrology under environmental changes and for solving future flood management challenges. This study was designed to examine the relative contributions of the hydrological surface condition changes and climate change in the flood runoff of a 45,421-km² watershed in the Loess Plateau region. Statistical analytical methods, including Kendall’s trend test, the Theisen median trend analysis, and cumulative anomaly method, were used to detect trends in the relationship between the climatic variables, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), land use/cover change (LUCC) data, and observed flood runoff. A grid-cell distributed rainfall–runoff model was used to detect the quantitative hydrologic responses to the climatic variability and land-use change. We found that climatic variables were not statistically significantly different (p > 0.05) over the study period. From 1985 to 2013, the cropland area continued to decrease, while the forest land, pastures, and residential areas increased in the Jinghe River Basin. Affected by LUCC and climate change, the peak discharges and flood volumes decreased by 8–22% and 5–67%, respectively. This study can provide a reference for future land-use planning and flood runoff control policy formulation and for revision in the study area. Full article

Using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, Moderate-resolution image spectroradiometer (MODIS) data of the Weihe River Basin from 2001 to 2021 were acquired, four ecological indicators, namely, greenness, wetness, heat, and dryness, were extracted, and the remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) was constructed through principal component analysis. In addition, the geographic detectors and a multi-scale geographic weighted regression model (MGWR) were used to identify the main driving factors of RSEI changes and capture the differences in spatial changes from different perspectives using multiple indicators. The results show that (1) the quality of the eco-environment in the Weihe River basin improved as a whole from 2001 to 2021, and the RSEI increased from 0.376 to 0.414. In terms of the RSEI grade, the medium RSEI and high RSEI areas increased significantly and the growth rate increased significantly, reaching 26.42% and 27.70%, respectively. (2) Spatially, the quality of the eco-environment in the Weihe River Basin exhibited a spatial distribution pattern that was high in the south and low in the north, among which the quality of the eco-environment in the Weihe River Basin in northern Shaanxi and northwestern Ningxia and Gansu was relatively low. In addition, during the study period, the RSEI of the Qinling Mountains in the southern part of the Weihe River Basin and the Jinghe River and Luohe River areas improved significantly. The urban area on the Guanzhong Plain in the Weihe River Basin experienced rapid economic growth, and urban expansion led to a significant decrease in the quality of the eco-environment. (3) The eco-environment quality in the Weihe River Basin is the result of the interaction of natural, anthropogenic, and landscape pattern factors. All of the interactions between the influencing factors had a stronger influence than those of the individual factors. There were significant differences between the individual drivers and the spatial variation in RSEI, suggesting that different factors dominate the variation in RSEI in different regions, and zonal management is crucial to achieving sustainable management of RSEI. The study shows that to improve the eco-environment quality of the Weihe River Basin, it is necessary to further strengthen ecological protection projects, reasonably allocate landscape elements, and strengthen the resistance and resilience of the ecosystem. Full article

Under the influence of climate change, the hydrological processes of glaciers have undergone significant changes, a fact which is seriously affecting agricultural production in the downstream region of the Tianshan Mountains, China. In order to explore the intrinsic relationship between climate change and hydrological elements, we proposed an “evaluation-driving-prediction” system to study it. First, we constructed a glacier-enhanced soil and water assessment tool model (GE-SWAT) and used a two-stage calibration method to optimize the model parameters. Next, a scenario analysis was used to evaluate the driving factors of historical runoff changes. Finally, we projected future runoff changes using bias-corrected regional climate model (RCM) outputs. The results of the case study on the Jinghe River Basin in the Tianshan Mountains show that from 1963 to 2016, total runoff increased by 13.3%, 17.7% of which was due to increasing precipitation and 1.8% of which was negated by rising temperatures. The glacier runoff increased by 14.5%, mainly due to the rising temperatures. A 3.4% reduction in snowmelt was caused by a lower snowfall/precipitation ratio, which significantly reduced the snowfall from June to August. The RCM projection indicated that the warming and humidification phenomenon in the study area will continue at least through to the mid-21st century. A consistent increase in glacier runoff and total runoff is projected, but the contribution rate of the glacier runoff will have little to no change under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios. Our research demonstrates the simulation performance of the GE-SWAT model in a basin with moderate glacier cover. This method is shown to be efficient in quantifying the impact of climate change on glacier hydrological processes and predicting future streamflow changes, providing a good research reference for similar regions. Full article

Climate variation and underlying surface dynamics have caused a significant change in the trend of evapotranspiration (ET) in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) over the last two decades. Combined with the measured rainfall, runoff and gravity recovery and climate experiment (GRACE) product, five global ET products were firstly merged using a linear weighting method. Linear slope, “two-step” multiple regression, partial differential, and residual methods were then employed to explore the quantitative impacts of precipitation (PCPN), temperature (Temp), sunshine duration (SD), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), wind speed (WS), leaf area index (LAI), and the residual factors (e.g., microtopography changes, irrigation, etc.) on the ET trend in the YRB. The results show that: (1) The ET estimates were improved by merging five global ET products using the linear weighting method. The sensitivities of climatic factors and LAI on the ET trend can be separately calculated using proposed “two-step” statistical regression method; (2) the overall ET trend in the entire study area during 2000–2018 was 3.82 mm/yr, and the highest ET trend was observed in the Toudaoguai-Longmen subregion. ET trend was dominantly driven by vegetation greening, with an impact of 2.47 mm/yr and a relative impact rate of 51.16%. The results indicated that the relative impact rate of the residual factors (e.g., microtopography, irrigation, etc.) on the ET trend is up to 28.17%. The PCPN and VPD had increasing roles on the ET trend, with impacts of 0.45 mm/yr and 0.05 mm/yr, respectively, whereas the Temp, SD, and WS had decreasing impacts of –0.19 mm/yr, –0.15 mm/yr, and –0.17 mm/yr, respectively. (3) The spatial pattern of impact of specific influencing factor on the ET trend was determined by the spatial pattern of change trend slope of this factor and sensitivity of ET to this factor. ET trends of the source area and the Qingtongxia–Toudaoguai were dominated by the climatic factors, while the residual factors dominated the ET trend in the Tangnaihai–Qingtongxia area. The vegetation restoration was the dominant factor causing the increase in the ET in the middle reaches of the YRB, and the impact rates of the LAI were ranked as follows: Yanhe Rive > Wudinghe River > Fenhe River > Jinghe River > Beiluohe River > Qinhe River > Kuyehe River > Yiluohe River. Full article

The supply and demand of ecosystem services and their mutual feedback are important for the formulation of basin ecological environmental policies. Simulation of the spatial flow of ecosystem services can clarify the division of areas and can support policy development. This paper takes the Jinghe Basin in the Loess Plateau of China as the case-study area to simulate the spatial flow of soil conservation service on different scales. The results showed that (1) soil erosion situations in Jinghe Basin improved overall, with a trend of first aggravating and then recovering between 2005 and 2015; (2) the amount of annual soil conservation in the basin accounted for more than 75% of the potential soil erosion and showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing; and (3) using digital elevation model (DEM) data and ArcGIS software, the experiment divided the basin into sub-basins (58 in total) and hydrological response units (HRUs) (e.g., 2181 HRUs in sub-basin #1), which were used to quantify the spatial flow direction and the corresponding amount of soil conservation service on the “HRU—river-sub-basin” scale. The divided supply and demand helped quantify the spatial flow pattern of soil conservation services from HRU to the sub-basin. Full article