Search Results (507)

This study focuses on the impact of wastewater discharges from the Besòs treatment plant on the coastal water quality of Barcelona, particularly under adverse weather conditions. A simplified mathematical model was developed to predict, in real time, the concentration of bacterial indicators (Enterococci and E. coli) along nearby beaches. This model aims to quickly detect contamination events and trigger alerts to evacuate swimming areas before water quality tests are completed. The simulator uses meteorological data—such as wind direction and speed, rainfall intensity, and solar irradiance, among others—to anticipate pollution levels without requiring immediate water sampling. The model was tested against real-world scenarios and validated with historical meteorological and bacteriological data collected over six years. The results show that bacterial pollution occurs mainly during intense rainfall events combined with specific wind conditions, particularly when winds blow from the southeast (SE) or east–southeast (ESE) at moderate to high speeds. These wind patterns carry under-treated wastewater toward the coast. Conversely, winds from the north or northwest tend to disperse the contaminants offshore, posing little to no risk to swimmers. This study confirms that pollution events are relatively rare—about two per year—but pose significant health risks when they do occur. The simulator proved reliable, accurately predicting contamination episodes without producing false alarms. Minor variables such as water temperature or suspended solids showed limited influence, with wind and sunlight being the most critical factors. The model’s rapid response capability allows public authorities to take swift action, significantly reducing the risk to beachgoers. This system enhances current water quality monitoring by offering a predictive, cost-effective, and preventive tool for beach management in urban coastal environments. Full article

In response to the challenges of electric mobility in off-grid contexts, this study introduces a novel and pragmatic solution: an intelligent, embedded EV charging system capable of anticipating energy availability using external weather forecasts. An embedded Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme was implemented on an ESP32 microcontroller, incorporating real-time solar and wind forecasts transmitted via LoRa. Unlike conventional approaches that are often centralized or resource-intensive, the proposed architecture enables localized, forecast-aware decision making, while respecting physical constraints (SOC, power limits, system stability) within the limits of embedded hardware. The proposed system was fully validated through functional simulations (data acquisition, processing, display, and physical actuation). Results confirm the feasibility of real-time, stable, and proactive energy management, laying the foundation for smart, resilient, and autonomous renewable-based EV charging stations tailored to remote areas and decentralized microgrids. Full article

Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices is a crucial research area. Both wholesale and retail sectors highly value improved forecast accuracy. Renewable energy sources have grown more influential and effective in the US power market. However, current forecasting models have shortcomings, including inadequate consideration of renewable energy impacts and insufficient feature selection. Many studies lack reproducibility, clear presentation of input features, and proper integration of renewable resources. This study addresses these gaps by incorporating a comprehensive set of input features, while these features are engineered to capture complex market dynamics. The model’s unique aspect is its inclusion of renewable-related inputs, such as temperature data for solar energy effects and wind speed for wind energy impacts on US electricity prices. The research also employs data preprocessing techniques like windowing, cleaning, normalization, and feature engineering to enhance input data quality and relevance. We developed four advanced hybrid deep learning models to improve electricity price prediction accuracy and reliability. Our approach combines variational mode decomposition (VMD) with four deep learning (DL) architectures: dense neural networks (DNNs), convolutional neural networks (CNNs), long short-term memory (LSTM) networks, and bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) networks. This integration aims to capture complex patterns and time-dependent relationships in electricity price data. Among these, the VMD-BiLSTM model consistently outperformed the others across all window implementations. Using 24 input features, this model achieved a remarkably low mean absolute error of 0.2733 when forecasting prices in the MISO market. Our research advances electricity price forecasting, particularly for the US energy market. These hybrid deep neural network models provide valuable tools and insights for market participants, energy traders, and policymakers. Full article

Under the constraints of the “dual carbon” goals, accurately depicting the full life cycle carbon footprint of green hydrogen and its derivatives and quantifying the potential for emission reduction is a prerequisite for hydrogen energy policy and investment decisions. This paper constructs a unified life cycle model, covering the entire process from “wind and solar power generation–electrolysis of water to producing hydrogen-synthesis of methanol/ammonia-terminal transportation”, and includes the manufacturing stage of key front-end equipment and the negative carbon effect of CO₂ capture within a single system boundary, and also presents an empirical analysis. The results show that the full life cycle carbon emissions of wind power hydrogen production and photovoltaic hydrogen production are 1.43 kgCO₂/kgH₂ and 3.17 kgCO₂/kgH₂, respectively, both lower than the 4.9 kg threshold for renewable hydrogen in China. Green hydrogen synthesis of methanol achieves a net negative emission of −0.83 kgCO₂/kgCH₃OH, and the emission of green hydrogen synthesis of ammonia is 0.57 kgCO₂/kgNH₃. At the same time, it is predicted that green hydrogen, green ammonia, and green methanol can contribute approximately 1766, 66.62, and 30 million tons of CO₂ emission reduction, respectively, by 2060, providing a quantitative basis for the large-scale layout and policy formulation of the hydrogen energy industry. Full article

This study proposes an integrated framework for the optimal sizing of off-grid hybrid energy systems, combining photovoltaic panels, wind turbines, battery storage, a diesel generator, and an inverter. The methodology uniquely integrates long-term meteorological forecasting through a hybrid approach based on the Discrete Wavelet Transform and Long Short-Term Memory networks, together with metaheuristic optimization techniques (Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithm), to minimize the system’s total annual cost. A case study was conducted in Guanambi, Brazil, using ten years (2012–2021) of hourly data on wind speed, solar irradiance, and ambient temperature. Forecasting results show that the hybrid Discrete Wavelet Transform–Long Short-Term Memory model outperforms the conventional Long Short-Term Memory approach, reducing error metrics and improving predictive accuracy. In the optimization stage, Particle Swarm Optimization consistently achieved lower costs and more stable convergence compared to the Genetic Algorithm. The optimal configuration comprised 450 photovoltaic panels, 10 wind turbines, 66 lithium iron phosphate battery, and 1 diesel generator, yielding a total annual cost of $105,381.17, a cost of energy of $0.1243/kWh, and minimal diesel dependence ($8825.89 annually). The proposed framework demonstrates robustness, economic viability, and applicability for providing sustainable and reliable electricity in isolated regions with high renewable energy potential. Full article

The growth environment of corps requires necessary improvements by Chinese solar greenhouses with Pad–Fan Cooling (PFC) systems for reducing their high temperatures in summer. Although computational fluid dynamics (CFD) could dynamically display the changes in humidity, temperature, and wind speed in solar greenhouses, its computational efficiency and accuracy are relatively low. In addition, the use of PFC systems can cool down solar greenhouses in summer, but they will also cause excessive humidity inside the greenhouses, thereby reducing the production efficiency of crops. Most existing studies only verify the effectiveness of a single machine learning (such as ARMA or ARIMA) or deep learning model (such as LSTM or TCN), lacking systematic comparison of different models. In the current study, two machine learning algorithms and three deep learning algorithms were used for their ability to predict a PFC system’s cooling effect, including on humidity, temperature, and wind speed, which were examined using Auto Regression Moving Average (ARMA), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Time Convolutional Network (TCN), and Glavnoe Razvedivatelnoe Upravlenie (GRU), respectively. These results show that deep learning algorithms are significantly more effective than traditional machine learning algorithms in capturing the complex nonlinear relationships and spatiotemporal changes inside solar greenhouses. The LSTM model achieves R² values of 0.918 for temperature, 0.896 for humidity, and 0.849 for wind speed on the test set. TCN showed strong performance in identifying high-frequency fluctuations and extreme nonlinear features, particularly in wind speed prediction (test set R² = 0.861). However, it exhibited limitations in modeling certain temperature dynamics (e.g., T6 test set R² = 0.242) and humidity evaporation processes (e.g., T7 training set R² = −0.856). GRU delivered excellent performance, achieving a favorable balance between accuracy and efficiency. It attained the highest prediction accuracy for temperature (test set R² = 0.925) and humidity (test set R² = 0.901), and performed only slightly worse than TCN in wind speed prediction. In summary, deep learning models, particularly GRU, offer more reliable methodological support for greenhouse microclimate prediction, thereby facilitating the precise regulation of cooling systems and scientifically informed crop management. Full article

Climate change in Antarctica has profound global implications, influencing sea level rise, atmospheric circulation, and the Earth’s energy balance. This study presents a data-driven baseline analysis of meteorological observations from a British Antarctic Survey automatic weather station (2020–2024). Temporal and seasonal analyses reveal strong insolation-driven variability in temperature, snow depth, and solar radiation, reflecting the extreme polar day–night cycle. Correlation analysis highlights solar radiation, upwelling longwave flux, and snow depth as the most reliable predictors of near-surface temperature, while humidity, pressure, and wind speed contribute minimally. A linear regression baseline and a Random Forest model are evaluated for temperature prediction, with the ensemble approach demonstrating superior accuracy. Although the short data span limits long-term trend attribution, the findings underscore the potential of lightweight, reproducible pipelines for site-specific climate monitoring. All analysis codes are openly available in github, enabling transparency and future methodological extensions to advanced, non-linear models and multi-site datasets. Full article

This study proposes a hierarchical two-layer control framework aimed at advancing the sustainability of renewable-integrated microgrids. The framework combines droop-based primary control, PI-based voltage and current regulation, and a supervisory Model Predictive Control (MPC) layer to enhance dynamic power sharing and system stability in renewable-integrated microgrids. The proposed method addresses the limitations of conventional control techniques by coordinating real and reactive power flow through an adaptive droop formulation and refining voltage/current regulation with inner-loop PI controllers. A discrete-time MPC algorithm is introduced to optimize power setpoints under future disturbance forecasts, accounting for state-of-charge limits, DC-link voltage constraints, and renewable generation variability. The effectiveness of the proposed strategy is demonstrated on a small hybrid microgrid system that serve a small community of buildings with a solar PV, wind generation, and a battery storage system under variable load and environmental profiles. Initial uncontrolled scenarios reveal significant imbalances in resource coordination and voltage deviation. Upon applying the proposed control, active and reactive power are equitably shared among DG units, while voltage and frequency remain tightly regulated, even during abrupt load transitions. The proposed control approach enhances renewable energy integration, leading to reduced reliance on fossil-fuel-based resources. This contributes to environmental sustainability by lowering greenhouse gas emissions and supporting the transition to a cleaner energy future. Simulation results confirm the superiority of the proposed control strategy in maintaining grid stability, minimizing overcharging/overdischarging of batteries, and ensuring waveform quality. Full article

Antarctic research stations require reliable low-carbon power under extreme conditions. This study compiles a synchronized PV-meteorological time-series data set on Horseshoe Island (Antarctica) at 30 s, 1 min, and 5 min resolutions and compares four PV module types (monocrystalline, polycrystalline, flexible mono, and semitransparent) under controlled field operation. Model development adopts an interpretable, multi-objective framework: a modified SPEA-2 searches rule sets on the Pareto front that jointly optimize precision and recall, yielding transparent, physically plausible decision rules for operational use. For context, benchmark machine-learning models (e.g., kNN, SVM) are evaluated on the same splits. Performance is reported with precision, recall, and complementary metrics (F1, balanced accuracy, and MCC), emphasizing class-wise behavior and robustness. Results show that the proposed rule-based approach attains competitive predictive performance while retaining interpretability and stability across panel types and sampling intervals. Contributions are threefold: (i) a high-resolution field data set coupling PV output with solar radiation, temperature, wind, and humidity in polar conditions; (ii) a Pareto-front, explainable rule-extraction methodology tailored to small-power PV; and (iii) a comparative assessment against standard ML baselines using multiple, class-aware metrics. The resulting XAI models achieved 92.3% precision and 89.7% recall. The findings inform the design and operation of PV systems for harsh, high-latitude environments. Full article

This article proposes an Energy Management System (EMS) for smart microgrids with a decentralized multi-agent system (MAS) based on a bio-inspired T-Cell optimization algorithm. The proposed system allows real-time control and dynamic balancing of loads while addressing the challenges of intermittent renewable energy sources like solar and wind. The system operates within the tertiary control layer; the optimal set points are computed by the T-Cell algorithm across energy sources and storage units. The set points are implemented and validated in real-time by the OPAL-RT simulation platform. The system contains a real-time feedback loop, which continuously monitors voltage levels and system performance, allowing the system to readjust in case of anomalies or power imbalances. Contrary to classical methods like Model Predictive Control (MPC) or Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), the T-Cell algorithm demonstrates greater robustness to uncertainty and better adaptability to dynamic operating conditions. The MAS is implemented over the JADE platform, enabling decentralized coordination, autonomous response to disturbances, and continuous system optimization to ensure stability and reduce reliance on the main grid. The results demonstrate the system’s effectiveness in maintaining the voltages within acceptable limits of regulation (±5%), reducing reliance on the main grid, and optimizing the integration of renewable sources. The real-time closed-loop solution provides a scalable and reliable microgrid energy management solution under real-world constraints. Full article

Coastal regions are among the areas most affected by climate change, facing rising sea levels, frequent flooding, and accelerated erosion that place renewable energy infrastructures under serious threat. Solar farms, which are often built along shorelines to maximize sunlight, are particularly vulnerable to salt-induced corrosion, storm surges, and wind damage. These challenges call for monitoring solutions that are not only accurate but also scalable and privacy-preserving. To address this need, Q-MobiGraphNet, a quantum-inspired multimodal classification framework, is proposed for federated coastal vulnerability analysis and solar infrastructure assessment. The framework integrates IoT sensor telemetry, UAV imagery, and geospatial metadata through a Multimodal Feature Harmonization Suite (MFHS), which reduces heterogeneity and ensures consistency across diverse data sources. A quantum sinusoidal encoding layer enriches feature representations, while lightweight MobileNet-based convolution and graph convolutional reasoning capture both local patterns and structural dependencies. For interpretability, the Q-SHAPE module extends Shapley value analysis with quantum-weighted sampling, and a Hybrid Jellyfish–Sailfish Optimization (HJFSO) strategy enables efficient hyperparameter tuning in federated environments. Extensive experiments on datasets from Norwegian coastal solar farms show that Q-MobiGraphNet achieves 98.6% accuracy, and 97.2% F1-score, and 90.8% Prediction Agreement Consistency (PAC), outperforming state-of-the-art multimodal fusion models. With only 16.2 M parameters and an inference time of 46 ms, the framework is lightweight enough for real-time deployment. By combining accuracy, interpretability, and fairness across distributed clients, Q-MobiGraphNet offers actionable insights to enhance the resilience of coastal renewable energy systems. Full article

Accurate estimation of daily reference evapotranspiration (ET_o) is crucial for sustainable water resource management and irrigation scheduling, especially in water-scarce regions like Arizona. The standardized Penman–Monteith (PM) method is costly and requires specialized instruments and expertise, making it generally impractical for commercial growers. This study developed 35 ET_o models to predict daily ET_o across Coolidge, Maricopa, and Queen Creek in Pinal County, Arizona. Seven input combinations of daily meteorological variables were used for training and testing five machine learning (ML) models: Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Random Forest (RF), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), and Support Vector Machine (SVM). Four statistical indicators, coefficient of determination (R²), the normalized root-mean-squared error (RMSE_n), mean absolute error (MAE), and simulation error (S_e), were used to evaluate the ML models’ performance in comparison with the FAO-56 PM standardized method. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was used to interpret each meteorological variable’s contribution to the model predictions. Overall, the 35 ET_o-developed models showed an excellent to fair performance in predicting daily ET_o over the three weather stations. Employing ANN10, RF10, XGBoost10, CatBoost10, and SVM10, incorporating all ten meteorological variables, yielded the highest accuracies during training and testing periods (0.994 ≤ R² ≤ 1.0, 0.729 ≤ RMSE_n ≤ 3.662, 0.030 ≤ MAE ≤ 0.181 mm·day⁻¹, and 0.833 ≤ S_e ≤ 2.295). Excluding meteorological variables caused a gradual decline in ET-developed models’ performance across the stations. However, 3-variable models using only maximum, minimum, and average temperatures (T_max, T_min, and T_ave) predicted ET_o well across the three stations during testing (17.655 ≤ RMSE_n ≤ 13.469 and S_e ≤ 15.45%). Results highlighted that T_max, solar radiation (R_s), and wind speed at 2 m height (U₂) are the most influential factors affecting ET_o at the central Arizona sites, followed by extraterrestrial solar radiation (R_a) and T_ave. In contrast, humidity-related variables (RH_min, RH_max, and RH_ave), along with T_min and precipitation (P_r), had minimal impact on the model’s predictions. The results are informative for assisting growers and policymakers in developing effective water management strategies, especially for arid regions like central Arizona. Full article

Hydraulic turbine governor servomotors in wind solar hydro complementary energy systems face significant fatigue failure challenges due to high-frequency regulation. This study develops an intelligent fatigue monitoring and prediction system based on strain sensors, specifically designed for the frequent regulation requirements of complementary systems. A multi-point monitoring network was constructed using resistive strain sensors, integrated with temperature and vibration sensors for multimodal data fusion. Field validation was conducted at an 18.56 MW hydroelectric unit, covering guide vane opening ranges from 13% to 63%, with system response time <1 ms and a signal-to-noise ratio of 65 dB. A simulation model combining sensor measurements with finite element simulation was established through fine-mesh modeling to identify critical fatigue locations. The finite element analysis results show excellent agreement with experimental measurements (error < 8%), validating the simulation model approach. The fork head was identified as the critical component with a stress concentration factor of 3.4, maximum stress of 51.7 MPa, and predicted fatigue life of 1.2 × 10⁶ cycles (12–16 years). The cylindrical pin shows a maximum shear stress of 36.1 MPa, with fatigue life of 3.8 × 10⁶ cycles (16–20 years). Monte Carlo reliability analysis indicates a system reliability of 51.2% over 20 years. This work provides an effective technical solution for the predictive maintenance and digital operation of wind solar hydro complementary systems. Full article

Accurate prediction of photovoltaic and wind power generation is essential for maintaining stable energy supply in integrated energy systems. However, the strong stochasticity and complex fluctuations in these energy sources pose significant challenges to forecasting. Traditional methods often fail to handle the non-stationary characteristics of the generation series effectively. To address this, we propose a novel hybrid prediction framework that integrates variational mode decomposition, the Pearson correlation coefficient, and a benchmark prediction model. Experimental results demonstrate the outstanding performance of the proposed method, achieving an R² value exceeding 0.995 along with minimal MAE and RMSE. The approach effectively mitigates hysteresis issues during prediction. Furthermore, the model shows strong adaptability; even when substituting different benchmark models, it maintains an R² above 0.99. When applied in a building heating system, accurate predictions help reduce indoor temperature fluctuations, enhance energy supply stability, and lower energy consumption, highlighting its practical value for improving energy efficiency and operational reliability. Full article

ClimateHub, the National Collaboration Programme (NCP) in Greece aims at delivering innovative services to national authorities regulating the energy sector by developing climate-based tools and services building on the C3S experience. As a service provider, ClimateHub fills the knowledge and service gap on climate information at time scales exceeding the typical weather forecast. Through a co-design approach, ClimateHub has identified three applications where public authorities have virtually no access to climate-related impacts on the renewable energy sources (RES) sector at seasonal and decadal time scales, (a) energy demand, (b) solar power and (c) wind power. This study addresses the performance of ECWMF SEAS5 seasonal and the CMCC-CM2-SR5 decadal prediction systems over Greece, for near-surface temperature. Full article