Search Results (16)

Changes in habitat suitability are critical indicators of the ecological impacts of climate change. Syndiclis Hook. f., a rare and endangered genus endemic to montane limestone and cloud forest ecosystems in China, holds considerable ecological and economic value. However, knowledge of its current distribution and the key environmental factors influencing its habitat suitability remains limited. In this study, we employed the MaxEnt model, integrated with geographic information systems (ArcGIS), to predict the potential distribution of Syndiclis under current and future climate scenarios, identify dominant bioclimatic drivers, and assess temporal and spatial shifts in habitat patterns. We also analyzed spatial displacement of habitat centroids to explore potential migration pathways. The model demonstrated excellent performance (AUC = 0.988), with current suitable habitats primarily located in Hainan, Taiwan, Southeastern Yunnan, and along the Yunnan–Guangxi border. Temperature seasonality (bio7) emerged as the most important predictor (67.00%), followed by precipitation of the driest quarter (bio17, 14.90%), while soil factors played a relatively minor role. Under future climate projections, Hainan and Taiwan are expected to serve as stable climatic refugia, whereas the overall suitable habitat area is projected to decline significantly. Combined with topographic constraints, population decline, and limited dispersal ability, these changes elevate the risk of extinction for Syndiclis in the wild. Landscape pattern analysis revealed increased habitat fragmentation under warming conditions, with only 4.08% of suitable areas currently under effective protection. We recommend prioritizing conservation efforts in regions with habitat contraction (e.g., Guangxi and Yunnan) and stable refugia (e.g., Hainan and Taiwan). Conservation strategies should integrate targeted in situ and ex situ actions, guided by dominant environmental variables and projected migration routes, to ensure the long-term persistence of Syndiclis populations and support evidence-based conservation planning. Full article

The relict tree Cercidiphyllum japonicum, a Tertiary paleoendemic with significant ecological and timber value, prefers warm–cool humid climates and acidic soils. Using MaxEnt and ArcGIS, we modeled its distribution under current and future climate scenarios (SSP, Shared Socioeconomic Pathways). High-suitability areas (>0.6 probability) under current conditions are mainly concentrated in the Sichuan Basin and the Yellow–Yangtze transition zones. By 2050, projections show northwestward expansions (14.32–18.76% increase in area) and eastward movement toward Central China under both SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. However, by 2090, habitat loss could exceed 22% under SSP5-8.5. The main environmental drivers of its distribution are minimum coldest-month temperature (bio6, 38.7%), annual precipitation (bio12, 29.1%), and temperature range (bio7, 18.5%). Precipitation seasonality and thermal extremes are expected to become more significant constraints in the future. Conservation strategies should focus on the following: (1) protecting refugia in the Daba–Wushan mountains, (2) facilitating assisted migration to northwestern high-latitude regions, and (3) preserving microclimates. This study offers a framework for evidence-based conservation of paleoendemic species under climate change. Full article

The smoke tree (Cotinus coggygria Scop.) is a woody species mainly distributed in the Mediterranean region and East Asia, known for its high ecological and ornamental value. Investigation of changes in suitable habitats under different conditions can provide valuable insights with implications for predicting the distribution of C. coggygria. In this study, we employed a MaxEnt model to simulate the current, historical, and future suitable habitat of C. coggygria using distribution records and environmental variables. The results indicated that climatic variables had a much stronger impact on the suitable habitat of this species compared with soil and topographic variables, and bio11 (mean temperature of the coldest quarter) and bio12 (annual precipitation) played particularly important roles in determining the suitable habitat. The core distribution of C. coggygria exhibited an East Asian–Tethyan disjunction. During the glacial period (Last Glacial Maximum), C. coggygria in Europe was concentrated in the glacial refugia in southern Europe; its range was substantially smaller during the glacial period than during interglacial periods (mid-Holocene). In contrast, C. coggygria in East Asia survived in regions similar to those of the interglacial period. Future climate change led to a gradual northward expansion of suitable habitats for C. coggygria, and the area of suitable habitat was substantially larger in Europe than in East Asia. There were significant differences among the four climate scenarios in Europe, with minimal variation in East Asia. Our findings provide valuable insights into the contrasting effects of climate change on European and East Asian populations of C. coggygria, which enhances our understanding of Eurasian species with discontinuous distributions. Full article

Changes in species’ habitats provide important insights into the effects of climate change. Woonyoungia septentrionalis, a critically endangered species endemic to karst ecosystems, has a highly restricted distribution and is a key biological resource. Despite its ecological importance, the factors influencing its habitat suitability and distribution remain poorly understood. This study employed ecological niche modeling to predict the potential distribution of Woonyoungia septentrionalis across China and analyzed shifts in centroid location to explore migration pathways under current and future climate scenarios. The model exhibited high predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.988), indicating its robustness in assessing habitat suitability. Under current climatic conditions, Woonyoungia septentrionalis is predominantly found in the Guizhou–Guangxi border region, southeastern Yunnan, eastern Sichuan, southeastern Tibet, and parts of Chongqing, Hunan, and Hubei. Among these, the Guizhou-Guangxi border represents the primary suitable habitat. Temperature factors, particularly bio6 (minimum temperature of the coldest month) and bio7 (annual temperature range), were the most significant determinants of habitat suitability, contributing 43.29% and 12.65%, respectively. Soil cation exchange capacity (CEC) accounted for 15.82%, while precipitation had a relatively minor impact. Under future climate scenarios, suitable habitats for Woonyoungia septentrionalis are projected to shrink and shift toward higher altitudes and latitudes, increasing the risk of extinction due to the “mountain trap” effect, where migration is constrained by limited habitat at higher elevations. Stable habitats, particularly in Libo (Guizhou) and Huanjiang (Guangxi), are identified as critical refugia. We recommend prioritizing shrinking and stable habitats in Guizhou, Guangxi, and Yunnan for in situ conservation. Ex situ conservation efforts should focus on areas identified based on key environmental factors and predicted migration pathways to ensure the species’ long-term survival. This study provides both theoretical and practical guidance for the conservation of this species and its vulnerable habitat. Full article

The mountain forests of the Northwestern Caucasus represent unique refugia for the native biodiversity of flora and fauna. Endemic species are also preserved among soil invertebrates, including the group of earthworms, which are important ecosystem engineers. This study assesses the spatial distribution of the endemic anecic species of earthworms Dendrobaena nassonovi nassonovi Kulagin, 1889 in deciduous, coniferous–deciduous, small-leaved, and conifer forests of the Northwestern Caucasus (a total of 1028 geographical points were surveyed, of which the species was found in 185 points) based on our own field data by modeling the current potential areas using the Maxent software. The D. n. nassonovi potential area maps show a high probability of the species inhabiting mid- and high-mountain forests of the Northwestern Caucasus and being confined to mixed coniferous–deciduous and beech forests. The optimum soil and climatic parameters, as well as a lack of large-scale business operations in the mid- and high-mountain forests, make it possible for these ecosystems to remain suitable refugia, in particular for the endemic anecic species of Caucasus earthworms D. n. nassonovi. Full article

Relatively little is known about whole-plant fungal communities (mycobiome) and associated soil nematodes, especially with respect to woody plant seedlings and disturbance caused by forest harvesting. In a growth chamber experiment, we tested simulated clear-cut soil conditions on shoot biomass, total soil nematode density, and the shoot and root mycobiome of Douglas-fir, Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco, seedlings. Soil treatments included unamended bare soil and soil amended with root segments of kinnikinnick, Arctostaphylos uva-ursi (L.) Spreng., pinegrass, Calamagrostis rubescens Buckley, or P. menziesii seedlings. We used next-generation Illumina sequencing and the PIPITS pipeline to obtain fungal taxa used for mycobiome community richness and Jaccard-based taxonomic normalized stochasticity ratio to assess mycobiome community assembly stochasticity. Total nematode density, measured from Baermann funnel extractions, increased in soils supplemented with A. uva-ursi or C. rubescens root segments. Root mycobiomes were more stochastic in the A. uva-ursi than P. menziesii or the bare conditions, whereas the shoot mycobiome was more stochastic in the C. rubescens treatment than in the P. menziesii treatment. Our results suggest that refugia plants impact the phyto-biome, in this case plant-associated nematodes and the stochasticity of root and shoot mycobiome community assembly, while not showing noticeable impacts on above-ground plant growth. Full article

Forest management activities often include fuels reduction through mechanized thinning followed by prescribed fire to remove slash. Management prescriptions may include the retention of logs for wildlife habitat and microsites for enhanced tree regeneration. We examined aboveground microclimate and belowground soil temperature and volumetric water content (VWC) dynamics beneath and adjacent to logs at 10, 20, and 30 cm depths in a mixed conifer forest. We assessed the soil variables over 7 years during pre-treatment, post-thinning, and post-fire using a Before–After/Control–Impact experimental design. We found that thinning and burning caused large increases in solar radiation and mean and maximum wind speeds, but only small changes in air temperature and humidity. The treatments increased the soil temperatures beneath the logs by up to 2.7 °C during spring, summer, and fall; the soil VWC increased from 0.05 to 0.08 m³/m³ year-round at 20 and 30 cm depths. Microsites 1–2 m away from the logs also showed soil temperature increases of up to 3.6 °C in spring, summer, and fall, while the measurements of the soil VWC produced variable results (moderate increases and decreases). The increased VWC in late winter/spring likely resulted from reduced plant transpiration and greater snow amounts reaching the ground without being intercepted by the forest canopy. Log retention on thinned and burned sites provided microsites with increased soil temperature and moisture in the top 30 cm, which can enhance soil ecosystem processes and provide refugia for invertebrate and vertebrate wildlife. Full article

OCBIL theory addresses the ecology, evolution, and conservation of biodiversity and cultural diversity on old climatically buffered infertile landscapes, which are especially prominent in southwest Australia and the Greater Cape Region of South Africa. Here, as a contribution to general theory on endemism, a few case studies are briefly discussed to ascertain the relevance of hypotheses in OCBIL theory to understanding narrow endemism in Mediterranean climate regions. Two new conservation management hypotheses are also introduced—minimising disturbance of OCBILS and conserving cross-culturally to achieve best outcomes. Case studies of endemics in southwest Australia (e.g., Eucalyptus caesia, Anigozanthos, Cephalotaceae, Daspypogonaceae) and South Africa (Moraea, Conophytum) and more limited evidence for the Mediterranean Region conform to OCBIL theory predictions. Narrow endemics, concentrated in OCBILs, have diverse origins that embrace major hypotheses of OCBIL theory such as prolonged persistence and diversification in refugia, limited dispersal, coping with inbreeding in small disjunct population systems (the James Effect), special adaptations to nutrient-deficient soils, and special vulnerabilities (e.g., to soil disturbance and removal). Minimising disturbance to OCBILs is recommended as the primary conservation strategy. OCBIL theory has a potentially significant role to play in advancing understanding of narrow endemism of plants in Mediterranean climate regions and elsewhere. Full article

Karst dolines, as geomorphologically diverse natural landforms, usually exhibit more or less steep microclimatic gradients that provide a mosaic of diverse microhabitat conditions, resulting in a high diversity of soil biota with numerous rare endemic and/or relict species occupying these habitats. In this study, we investigated the spatial patterns of Collembola abundance, species richness, community structure and distribution of functional groups at topographically and microclimatically different sites across three open (unforested) karst dolines in a north-south direction in the Slovak Karst, Slovakia. We also assessed the refugial capacity of dolines for collembolan communities. The Friedman ANOVA test confirmed the significant differences in soil mean temperatures between the sites of all the dolines selected. The diverse soil microclimatic conditions within the dolines supported higher Collembola diversity (species numbers, diversity indices) compared with sites on the karst plateau and showed a potential to facilitate the persistence of some species that are absent or very rare in the surrounding landscape. In dolines with circular morphology and comparable size, the topography and soil microclimate had a stronger effect on community composition and structure than soil organic carbon. Shallow solution dolines provided microhabitats for various functional groups of soil Collembola in relation to the microclimatic character of the individual sites. It was observed that such landforms can also function as microclimatic refugia for cold-adapted species through the accumulation of colder air and the buffering of the local microclimate against the ambient mesoclimate, thus underlying the necessity of adequate attention in terms of the conservation of the karst natural phenomena. Full article

Agroforestry integrates woody perennials with arable crops, livestock, or fodder in the same piece of land, promoting the more efficient utilization of resources as compared to monocropping via the structural and functional diversification of components. This integration of trees provides various soil-related ecological services such as fertility enhancements and improvements in soil physical, biological, and chemical properties, along with food, wood, and fodder. By providing a particular habitat, refugia for epigenic organisms, microclimate heterogeneity, buffering action, soil moisture, and humidity, agroforestry can enhance biodiversity more than monocropping. Various studies confirmed the internal restoration potential of agroforestry. Agroforestry reduces runoff, intercepts rainfall, and binds soil particles together, helping in erosion control. This trade-off between various non-cash ecological services and crop production is not a serious constraint in the integration of trees on the farmland and also provides other important co-benefits for practitioners. Tree-based systems increase livelihoods, yields, and resilience in agriculture, thereby ensuring nutrition and food security. Agroforestry can be a cost-effective and climate-smart farming practice, which will help to cope with the climate-related extremities of dryland areas cultivated by smallholders through diversifying food, improving and protecting soil, and reducing wind erosion. This review highlighted the role of agroforestry in soil improvements, microclimate amelioration, and improvements in productivity through agroforestry, particularly in semi-arid and degraded areas under careful consideration of management practices. Full article

In the cold deserts of the McMurdo Dry Valleys (MDV) the suitability of soil for microbial life is determined by both contemporary processes and legacy effects. Climatic changes and accompanying glacial activity have caused local extinctions and lasting geochemical changes to parts of these soil ecosystems over several million years, while areas of refugia may have escaped these disturbances and existed under relatively stable conditions. This study describes the impact of historical glacial and lacustrine disturbance events on microbial communities across the MDV to investigate how this divergent disturbance history influenced the structuring of microbial communities across this otherwise very stable ecosystem. Soil bacterial communities from 17 sites representing either putative refugia or sites disturbed during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) (22-17 kya) were characterized using 16 S metabarcoding. Regardless of geographic distance, several putative refugia sites at elevations above 600 m displayed highly similar microbial communities. At a regional scale, community composition was found to be influenced by elevation and geographic proximity more so than soil geochemical properties. These results suggest that despite the extreme conditions, diverse microbial communities exist in these putative refugia that have presumably remained undisturbed at least through the LGM. We suggest that similarities in microbial communities can be interpreted as evidence for historical climate legacies on an ecosystem-wide scale. Full article

Total and diazotrophic bacteria were assessed in the rhizosphere soils of native and encroaching legumes growing in the Succulent Karoo Biome (SKB), South Africa. These were Calobota sericea, Lessertia diffusa, Vachellia karroo, and Wiborgia monoptera, of Fabaceae family near Springbok (Northern Cape Province) and neighboring refugia of the Fynbos biome for C. sericea for comparison purposes. Metabarcoding approach using 16S rRNA gene revealed Actinobacteria (26.7%), Proteobacteria (23.6%), Planctomycetes, and Acidobacteria (10%), while the nifH gene revealed Proteobacteria (70.3%) and Cyanobacteria (29.5%) of the total sequences recovered as the dominant phyla. Some of the diazotrophs measured were assigned to families; Phyllobacteriaceae (39%) and Nostocaceae (24.4%) (all legumes), Rhodospirillaceae (7.9%), Bradyrhizobiaceae (4.6%) and Methylobacteriaceae (3%) (C. sericea, V. karroo, W. monoptera), Rhizobiaceae (4.2%; C. sericea, L. diffusa, V. Karroo), Microchaetaceae (4%; W. monoptera, V. karroo), Scytonemataceae (3.1%; L. diffusa, W. monoptera), and Pseudomonadaceae (2.7%; V. karroo) of the total sequences recovered. These families have the potential to fix the atmospheric nitrogen. While some diazotrophs were specific or shared across several legumes, a member of Mesorhizobium species was common in all rhizosphere soils considered. V. karroo had statistically significantly higher Alpha and distinct Beta-diversity values, than other legumes, supporting its influence on soil microbes. Overall, this work showed diverse bacteria that support plant life in harsh environments such as the SKB, and shows how they are influenced by legumes. Full article

The community patterns of Collembola (Hexapoda) were studied at two sites along a microclimatically inversed scree slope in a deep karst valley in the Western Carpathians, Slovakia, in warm and cold periods of the year, respectively. Significantly lower average temperatures in the scree profile were noted at the gorge bottom in both periods, meaning that the site in the lower part of the scree, near the bank of creek, was considerably colder and wetter compared to the warmer and drier site at upper part of the scree slope. Relatively high diversity of Collembola was observed at two fieldwork scree sites, where cold-adapted species, considered climatic relicts, showed considerable abundance. The gorge bottom, with a cold and wet microclimate and high carbon content even in the deeper MSS horizons, provided suitable environmental conditions for numerous psychrophilic and subterranean species. Ecological groups such as trogloxenes and subtroglophiles showed decreasing trends of abundance with depth, in contrast to eutroglophiles and a troglobiont showing an opposite distributional pattern at scree sites in both periods. Our study documented that in terms of soil and subterranean mesofauna, colluvial screes of deep karst gorges represent (1) a transition zone between the surface and the deep subterranean environment, and (2) important climate change refugia. Full article

Droughts and insect outbreaks are primary disturbance processes linking climate change to tree mortality in western North America. Refugia from these disturbances—locations where impacts are less severe relative to the surrounding landscape—may be priorities for conservation, restoration, and monitoring. In this study, hypotheses concerning physical and biological processes supporting refugia were investigated by modelling the landscape controls on disturbance refugia that were identified using remotely sensed vegetation indicators. Refugia were identified at 30-m resolution using anomalies of Landsat-derived Normalized Difference Moisture Index in lodgepole and whitebark pine forests in southern Oregon, USA, in 2001 (a single-year drought with no insect outbreak) and 2009 (during a multi-year drought and severe outbreak of mountain pine beetle). Landscape controls on refugia (topographic, soil, and forest characteristics) were modeled using boosted regression trees. Landscape characteristics better explained and predicted refugia locations in 2009, when forest impacts were greater, than in 2001. Refugia in lodgepole and whitebark pine forests were generally associated with topographically shaded slopes, convergent environments such as valleys, areas of relatively low soil bulk density, and in thinner forest stands. In whitebark pine forest, refugia were associated with riparian areas along headwater streams. Spatial patterns in evapotranspiration, snowmelt dynamics, soil water storage, and drought-tolerance and insect-resistance abilities may help create refugia from drought and mountain pine beetle. Identification of the landscape characteristics supporting refugia can help forest managers target conservation resources in an era of climate-change exacerbation of droughts and insect outbreaks. Full article

The spatial patterns resulting from large fires include refugial habitats that support surviving legacies and promote ecosystem recovery. To better understand the diverse ecological functions of refugia on burn mosaics, we used remotely sensed data to quantify neighborhood patterns of areas relatively unchanged following the 2011 Las Conchas fire. Spatial patterns of refugia measured within 10-ha moving windows varied across a gradient from areas of high density, clustered in space, to sparsely populated neighborhoods that occurred in the background matrix. The scaling of these patterns was related to the underlying structure of topography measured by slope, aspect and potential soil wetness, and spatially varying climate. Using a nonmetric multidimensional scaling analysis of species cover data collected post-Las Conchas, we found that trees and forest associates were present across the refugial gradient, but communities also exhibited a range of species compositions and potential functions. Spatial patterns of refugia quantified for three previous burns (La Mesa 1977, Dome 1996, Cerro Grande 2000) were dynamic between fire events, but most refugia persisted through at least two fires. Efforts to maintain burn heterogeneity and its ecological functions can begin with identifying where refugia are likely to occur, using terrain-based microclimate models, burn severity models and available field data. Full article