Search Results (160)

Spatiotemporal traffic flow prediction is a fundamental task in intelligent transportation systems and is crucial for promoting efficient and sustainable urban mobility, especially under increasingly complex and rapidly evolving traffic conditions. To overcome the challenges of modeling high-order spatial dependencies and heterogeneous temporal patterns, this study develops a novel Hierarchical Spatiotemporal Graph–Hypergraph Network (HSTGHN). For spatial representation learning, a hypergraph neural module is employed to capture high-order interactions across the road network, while a hypernode mechanism is designed to characterize complex correlations among multiple road segments. Furthermore, an adaptive adjacency matrix is constructed in a data-driven manner and enriched with prior knowledge of bidirectional traffic flows, thereby enhancing the robustness and accuracy of graph structural representations. For temporal modeling, HSTGHN integrates the complementary strengths of Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Transformers: GRUs effectively capture local sequential dependencies, whereas Transformers excel at modeling global dynamic patterns. This joint mechanism enables comprehensive learning of both short-term and long-term temporal dependencies. Extensive experiments on multiple benchmark datasets demonstrate that HSTGHN consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in terms of prediction accuracy and stability, with particularly significant improvements in long-term forecasting and highly dynamic traffic scenarios. These improvements provide more reliable decision support for intelligent transportation systems, contributing to enhanced traffic efficiency, reduced congestion, and ultimately more sustainable urban mobility. Full article

Origin–destination (OD) flow prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems, yet existing diffusion-based models face two critical limitations. First, they inadequately exploit spatial semantics, focusing primarily on temporal dependencies or topological correlations while neglecting urban functional heterogeneity encoded in Points of Interest (POIs). Second, static embedding fusion cannot dynamically capture semantic importance variations during denoising—particularly during traffic surges in POI-dense areas. To address these gaps, we propose the Cross-Attention Diffusion Model (CADM), a semantically conditioned framework for short-term OD flow forecasting. CADM integrates POI embeddings as spatial semantic priors and employs cross-attention to enable semantic-guided denoising, facilitating dynamic spatiotemporal feature fusion. This design adaptively reweights regional representations throughout reverse diffusion, enhancing the model’s capacity to capture complex mobility patterns. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that CADM achieves balanced performance across multiple metrics. At the 30 min horizon, CADM attains the lowest RMSE of 5.77, outperforming iTransformer by 1.9%, while maintaining competitive performance at the 15 min horizon. Ablation studies confirm that removing POI features increases prediction errors by 15–20%, validating the critical role of semantic conditioning. These findings advance semantic-aware generative modeling for spatiotemporal prediction and provide practical insights for intelligent transportation systems, particularly for newly established transportation hubs or functional zone reconfigurations where semantic understanding is essential. Full article

Airport traffic flow prediction is a basic requirement for air traffic management. Building an effective airport traffic flow prediction model helps reveal how traffic demand evolves over time and supports short-term planning. At the same time, a large amount of air traffic data supports using deep learning to learn traffic patterns with stable and accurate performance. In practice, airports need forecasts at short time intervals and need to know the departure flow and its uncertainty 1–2 h in advance. To meet this need, we treat airport departure flow prediction as a multi-step probabilistic forecasting problem on a multi-airport dataset that is organized by airport and time. Scheduled departure counts, recent taxi-out time statistics (P50/P90 over 30- and 60-minute windows), and calendar variables are put on the same time scale and standardized separately for each airport. Based on these data, we propose an end-to-end multi-step forecasting method built on PatchTST. The method uses patch partitioning and a Transformer encoder to extract temporal features from the past 48 h of multivariate history and directly outputs the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentile forecasts of departure flow for each 10 min step in the next 120 min. In this way, the model provides both point forecasts and prediction intervals. Experiments were conducted on 80 airports with the highest departure volumes, using April–July for training, August for validation, September for testing, and October for robustness evaluation. The results show that at a 10 min interval, the model achieves an MAE of 0.411 and an RMSE of 0.713 on the test set. The error increases smoothly with the forecast horizon and remains stable within the 60–120 min range. When the forecasts are aggregated to 1 h intervals in time or aggregated by airport clusters in space, the point forecast errors decrease further, and the average empirical coverage is 0.78 and the width of the percentile-based intervals is 1.29, which can meet the risk-awareness requirements of tactical operations management. The proposed method is relatively simple and also provides a unified modeling framework for later including external factors such as weather, runway configuration, and operational procedures, and for applications across different airports and years. Full article

The information and communication technology revolution has provided researchers with new opportunities to enhance traffic prediction methods. Accurate long-term traffic forecasts are essential for sustainable infrastructure planning, supporting proactive maintenance and efficient resource allocation. They also enable environmental impact assessments and help reduce carbon footprints through optimized traffic flow, minimized idling, and better planning for low-emission infrastructure. Most traffic prediction studies focus on short-term urban traffic, but there remains a gap in methods for long-term planning of rural highways, which pose significant challenges for intelligent transportation systems. This paper assesses and compares six prediction models for long-term daily traffic volume prediction, including two traditional time series methods (ARIMA and SARIMA) and four artificial neural networks (ANNs): three feedforward networks trained with Bayesian Regularization (BR), Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG), and Levenberg–Marquardt (LM), along with a nonlinear autoregressive (NAR) network. Applying mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) as the performance metric, the results showed that all models effectively captured the data’s nonlinearity, though their accuracy varied significantly. The NAR model proved to be the most accurate, with a minimum average MAPE of 2%. The Bayesian Regularization (BR) algorithm achieved superior performance (average MAPE: 4.50%) among the feedforward ANNs. Notably, the ARIMA, SARIMA, and ANN-LM models exhibited similar performance. Accordingly, the NAR model is recommended as the optimal choice for long-term traffic prediction. Implementing these models with optimal design will enhance long-term traffic volume forecasting, supporting sustainable transportation and improving intelligent highway operation systems. Full article

Forecasting traffic flow is essential for optimizing resource allocation and improving urban traffic management efficiency. Despite significant advances in deep learning-based approaches, existing models still face challenges in effectively capturing dynamic spatio-temporal dependencies due to the limited representation of node transmission capabilities and distance-sensitive interactions in road networks. This limitation restricts the ability to capture temporal dynamics in spatial dependencies within traffic flow. To address this challenge, this study proposes a Transfer-aware Spatio-Temporal Graph Attention Network with Long-Short Term Memory and Transformer module (TAGAT-LSTM-trans). The model constructs a transfer probability matrix to represent each node’s ability to transmit traffic characteristics and introduces a distance decay matrix to replace the traditional adjacency matrix, thereby offering a more accurate representation of spatial dependencies between nodes. The proposed model integrates a Graph Attention Network (GAT) to construct a TA-GAT module for capturing spatial features, while a gating network dynamically aggregates information across adjacent time steps. Temporal dependencies are modelled using LSTM and a Transformer encoder, with fully connected layers ensuring accurate forecasts. Experiments on real-world highway datasets show that TAGAT-LSTM-trans outperforms baseline models in spatio-temporal dependency modelling and traffic flow forecasting accuracy, validating the effectiveness of incorporating transmission awareness and distance decay mechanisms for dynamic traffic forecasting. Full article

Short-term traffic flow prediction is a critical component of efficient management in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), providing real-time travel guidance for commuters and supporting informed decision-making by transportation authorities. To address the current challenges of insufficient prediction accuracy and excessive reliance on time-series features, we propose a spatio-temporal feature-integrated short-term traffic flow prediction model named KAN-CNN-BiLSTM. In this model, traffic flow data from the target road segment and its two adjacent segments are jointly fed into the model to fully leverage spatio-temporal features for prediction. Subsequently, a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) extracts spatial features from the combined traffic flow data. To overcome the limitation of traditional LSTMs, which can only process unidirectional time series, we introduce a bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) with symmetric time series extraction capability. This enables simultaneous capture of historical and future traffic flow dependencies. Finally, we replace the conventional fully connected network with a Kolmogorov–Arnold network (KAN) to enhance the representation of complex nonlinear features. Experimental results using traffic flow data from the UK Highways Agency website demonstrate that the KAN-CNN-BiLSTM model outperforms existing mainstream methods, achieving superior prediction accuracy and minimal error. The model’s MAE, RMSE, MAPE, and R² values are 27.4696, 40.3923, 8.65%, and 0.9615, respectively. Full article

Accurate traffic flow prediction is vital for intelligent transportation systems, yet strong spatiotemporal coupling and multi-scale dynamics make modelling difficult. Existing methods often rely on static adjacency and short input windows, limiting adaptation to time-varying spatial relations and long-term patterns. To address these issues, we propose the Pre-trained Trend-aware Dynamic Graph Convolutional Network (PT-TDGCN), a two-stage framework. In the pre-training stage, a Transformer-based masked autoencoder learns segment-level temporal representations from historical sequences. In the prediction stage, three designs are integrated: (1) dynamic graph learning parameterized by tensor decomposition; (2) convolutional trend-aware attention that adds 1D convolutions to capture local trends while preserving global context; and (3) spatial graph convolution combined with lightweight fusion projection for aligning pre-trained, spatial, and temporal representations. Extensive experiments on four real-world datasets demonstrated that PT-TDGCN consistently outperformed 14 baseline models, achieving superior predictive accuracy and robustness. Full article

With the development of cities, traffic congestion has become a common problem, which seriously affects the efficiency of motorway transport. This study proposed an improved ML-YOLO video data extraction model based on You Only Look Once (YOLOv8n) combined with the Deep Simple Online and real-time tracking (DeepSORT) algorithm, to classify the obtained Traffic Performance Index (TPI) into different congestion levels by extracting traffic flow parameters in real-time and combining with the K-means clustering algorithm. The Long Short-Term Memory Dropout (LSTM-Dropout) model and the emergency lane opening model were used to implement the road congestion warning successfully. The practicality and stability of the model were also verified by calculating the relative error between the predicted traffic flow parameters and the extracted parameters through the LSTM time series model. According to the model results, emergency lanes are opened when the motorway traffic TPI exceeds 0.17 and closed when below 0.17. This study provided a reasonable theoretical basis for motorway traffic managers to decide whether or not to open the emergency lane, effectively relieved motorway road congestion, improved efficiency of road traffic, and had important practical value and significance in reality. Full article

The transportation industry and transportation infrastructure are undergoing a profound transformation due to advances in the development of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms that are not just a concept of the future but a reality. Advanced algorithms, predictive systems, and intelligent automation contribute to optimizing logistics, reducing costs, increasing safety, and reducing traffic congestion. AI is also used to optimize routes by analyzing multiple variables, such as distance, traffic, time constraints, and user preferences, to generate optimal routes between departure and destination points. Route planning systems can be integrated with real-time data on traffic, planned or unforeseen events, and other conditions that may affect the trip. AI algorithms can use this data to adapt routes and estimated arrival times based on changes in traffic or other conditions. The purpose of this article is to develop a model for predicting traffic flows at intersections based on historical and real-time data. The focus is on the genetic algorithm used to optimize a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) encoder–decoder. Specifically, the research aims to determine how well the proposed model performs when the data is optimized using the genetic algorithm. The results obtained for the proposed GA-LSTM show an average TTS reduction of −18.7%, a maximum improvement of −27.3%, an RMSE of 0.003587, and an MSE of 0.00348 compared to traditional models used in real time for traffic management. Finally, the performance of GA-LSTM was compared with the results reported in the literature to demonstrate the usefulness of the proposed algorithm. Full article

Accurate traffic flow prediction is pivotal for intelligent transportation systems; yet, existing spatial-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) struggle to jointly capture the long-term structural stability, short-term dynamics, and multi-scale temporal patterns of road networks. To address these shortcomings, we propose FISTGCN, a Frequency-Aware Interactive Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network. FISTGCN enriches raw traffic flow features with learnable spatial and temporal embeddings, thereby providing comprehensive spatial-temporal representations for subsequent modeling. Specifically, it utilizes an interactive dynamic graph convolutional block that generates a time-evolving fused adjacency matrix by combining adaptive and dynamic adjacency matrices. It then applies dual sparse graph convolutions with cross-scale interactions to capture multi-scale spatial dependencies. The gated spectral block projects the input features into the frequency domain and adaptively separates low- and high-frequency components using a learnable threshold. It then employs learnable filters to extract features from different frequency bands and adopts a gating mechanism to adaptively fuse low- and high-frequency information, thereby dynamically highlighting short-term fluctuations or long-term trends. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that FISTGCN delivers state-of-the-art predictive accuracy while maintaining competitive computational efficiency. Full article

In urban intelligent transportation systems, the real-time acquisition of network-wide traffic states is constrained by limited sensor density and high deployment costs. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a learnable Detection Point Selection Module (DPSM), which adaptively determines the most informative observation points through an end-to-end attention mechanism to support full-map traffic state estimation. Distinct from conventional fixed deployment strategies, DPSM provides an adaptive detector configuration that, under the same number of loop sensors, achieves significantly higher estimation accuracy by intelligently optimizing their placement. Specifically, the module takes normalized spatial and temporal information as input and generates an attention-based distribution to identify critical traffic flow readings, which are subsequently fed into various backbone prediction models, including fully connected networks, convolutional neural networks, and long short-term memory networks. Experiments on the real-world NGSIM-US101 dataset demonstrate that three variants—DPSM-NN, DPSM-CNN, and DPSM-LSTM—consistently outperform their corresponding baselines, with notable robustness under sparse observation scenarios. These results highlight the advantage of adaptive detector placement in maximizing the utility of limited sensors, effectively mitigating information loss from sparse deployments and offering a cost-efficient, scalable solution for urban traffic monitoring and control. Full article

Traffic flow forecasting plays a significant role in intelligent transportation systems (ITSs) and is instructive for traffic planning, management and control. Increasingly complex traffic conditions pose further challenges to the traffic flow forecasting. While improving the accuracy of model forecasting, the parameter effectiveness of the model is also an issue that cannot be ignored. In addition, existing traffic prediction models have failed to organically integrate data with well-designed model architectures. Therefore, to address the above two issues, we propose the STAE-BiSSSM model as a solution. STAE-BiSSSM consists of Spatio-Temporal Adaptive Embedding (STAE) and Bidirectional Selective State Space Model (BiSSSM), where STAE aims to process features to obtain richer spatio-temporal feature representations. BiSSSM is a novel structural design serving as an alternative to Transformer, capable of extracting patterns of traffic flow changes from both the forward and backward directions of time series with much fewer parameters. Comparative tests between baseline models and STAE-BiSSSM on five real-world datasets illustrates the advance performance of STAE-BiSSSM. This is especially so on METRLA and PeMSBAY datasets, compared with the SOTA model STAEformer. In the short-term forecasting task (horizon: 15 min), MAE, RMSE and MAPE of STAE-BiSSSM decrease by 1.89%/13.74%, 3.72%/16.19% and 1.46%/17.39%, respectively. In the long-term forecasting task (horizon: 60 min), MAE, RMSE and MAPE of STAE-BiSSSM decrease by 3.59%/13.83%, 7.26%/16.36% and 2.16%/15.65%, respectively. Full article

The accelerating pace of urbanization has significantly complicated traffic management systems, leading to mounting challenges, such as persistent congestion, increased travel delays, and heightened environmental impacts. In response to these challenges, this study presents a novel deep learning framework designed to enhance short-term traffic flow prediction and support intelligent transportation systems within the context of smart cities. The proposed model integrates Gated Recurrent Units (GRUs) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, augmented by an attention mechanism that dynamically emphasizes relevant temporal patterns. The model was rigorously evaluated using the publicly available datasets and demonstrated substantial improvements over current state-of-the-art methods. Specifically, the proposed framework achieves a 3.75% reduction in the Mean Absolute Error (MAE), a 2.00% reduction in the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and a 4.17% reduction in the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) compared to the baseline models. The enhanced predictive accuracy and computational efficiency offer significant benefits for intelligent traffic control, dynamic route planning, and proactive congestion management, thereby contributing to the development of more sustainable and efficient urban mobility systems. Full article

The integration of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) has revolutionised civil engineering, enhancing predictive accuracy, decision-making, and sustainability across domains such as structural health monitoring, geotechnical analysis, transportation systems, water management, and sustainable construction. This paper presents a detailed review of peer-reviewed publications from the past decade, employing bibliometric mapping and critical evaluation to analyse methodological advances, practical applications, and limitations. A novel taxonomy is introduced, classifying AI/ML approaches by civil engineering domain, learning paradigm, and adoption maturity to guide future development. Key applications include pavement condition assessment, slope stability prediction, traffic flow forecasting, smart water management, and flood forecasting, leveraging techniques such as Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Support Vector Machines (SVMs), and hybrid physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). The review highlights challenges, including limited high-quality datasets, absence of AI provisions in design codes, integration barriers with IoT-based infrastructure, and computational complexity. While explainable AI tools like SHAP and LIME improve interpretability, their practical feasibility in safety-critical contexts remains constrained. Ethical considerations, including bias in training datasets and regulatory compliance, are also addressed. Promising directions include federated learning for data privacy, transfer learning for data-scarce regions, digital twins, and adherence to FAIR data principles. This study underscores AI as a complementary tool, not a replacement, for traditional methods, fostering a data-driven, resilient, and sustainable built environment through interdisciplinary collaboration and transparent, explainable systems. Full article

The rapid growth in the number of motor vehicles has exacerbated traffic congestion. The occurrence of congestion not only poses significant challenges for traffic management authorities but also severely impacts residents’ travel and daily routines. Against this backdrop, predicting traffic flow can provide crucial insights for anticipating changing traffic patterns. Therefore, this paper proposes a novel hybrid deep learning architecture (CNN-LSTM-GRU) for highway traffic flow prediction that integrates spatiotemporal and meteorological dimensions. Our approach constructs a multidimensional feature matrix encompassing temporal sequences, spatial correlations, and weather conditions. Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) are employed to capture spatial patterns, while Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) networks jointly model temporal dependencies. Through systematic hyperparameter tuning and step-length optimization, we validate the model using real-world traffic data from a provincial highway network. The experimental evaluation analyzes the following two critical dimensions: (1) holiday vs. non-holiday traffic patterns, and (2) the impact of weather data integration. Comparative analysis reveals that our hybrid model demonstrates superior prediction accuracy over standalone LSTM, GRU, and their CNN-based counterparts (CNN-LSTM, CNN-GRU). Full article