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19 pages, 4451 KiB  
Article
Assessment of the Payments for Watershed Services Policy from a Perspective of Ecosystem Services: A Case Study of the Liaohe River Basin, China
by Manman Guo, Xu Lu and Qing Ma
Water 2025, 17(15), 2328; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152328 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Payments for Watershed services (PWSs) have been emerging as a critical tool for environmental governance in watershed, yet their comparative effectiveness across implementation models has remained poorly understood. Based on a comparative analysis of Eco-Compensation (EC) and Payments for Ecosystem Services (PESs) frameworks, [...] Read more.
Payments for Watershed services (PWSs) have been emerging as a critical tool for environmental governance in watershed, yet their comparative effectiveness across implementation models has remained poorly understood. Based on a comparative analysis of Eco-Compensation (EC) and Payments for Ecosystem Services (PESs) frameworks, examining both theoretical foundations and implementation practices, this study aims to quantitatively assess and compare the effectiveness of two dominant PWSs models—the EC-like model (Phase I: October 2008–April 2017) and the PESs-like model (Phase II: 2017–December 2021). Using the Liaohe River in China as a case study, utilizing ecosystem service value (ESV) as an indicator and employing the corrected unit-value transfer method, we compare the effectiveness of different PWSs models from October 2008 to December 2021. The results reveal the following: (1) Policy Efficiency: The PESs-like model demonstrated significantly greater effectiveness than the EC-like model, with annual average increases in ESV of 3.23 billion CNY (491 million USD) and 1.79 billion CNY (272 million USD). (2) Functional Drivers: Water regulation (45.1% of total ESV growth) and climate regulation (24.3%) were dominant services, with PESs-like interventions enhancing multifunctionality. (3) Stakeholder Impact: In the PESs-like model, the cities implementing inter-county direct payment showed higher growth efficiency than those without it. The operational efficiency of PWSs increases with the number of participating stakeholders, which explains why the PESs-like model demonstrates higher effectiveness than the EC-like model. Our findings offer empirical evidence and actionable policy implications for designing effective PWSs models across global watershed ecosystems. Full article
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20 pages, 1090 KiB  
Article
Reforming Water Governance: Nordic Lessons for Southern Europe
by Eleonora Santos
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7079; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157079 - 5 Aug 2025
Abstract
Water governance in Europe faces mounting challenges from climate change, demographic pressures, and aging infrastructure—especially in Southern regions increasingly affected by drought and institutional fragmentation. In contrast, Nordic countries such as Denmark and Sweden exhibit coherent, integrated governance systems with strong regulatory oversight. [...] Read more.
Water governance in Europe faces mounting challenges from climate change, demographic pressures, and aging infrastructure—especially in Southern regions increasingly affected by drought and institutional fragmentation. In contrast, Nordic countries such as Denmark and Sweden exhibit coherent, integrated governance systems with strong regulatory oversight. This study introduces the Water Governance Maturity Index (WGMI), a document-based assessment tool designed to evaluate national water governance across five dimensions: institutional capacity, operational effectiveness, environmental ambition, equity, and climate adaptation. Applying the WGMI to eight EU countries—four Nordic and four Southern—reveals a persistent North–South divide in governance maturity. Nordic countries consistently score in the “advanced” or “model” range, while Southern countries face systemic gaps in implementation, climate integration, and territorial inclusion. Based on these findings, the study offers actionable policy recommendations, including the establishment of independent regulators, strengthening of river basin coordination, mainstreaming of climate-water strategies, and expansion of affordability and participation mechanisms. By translating complex governance principles into measurable indicators, the WGMI provides a practical tool for benchmarking reform progress and supporting the EU’s broader agenda for just resilience and climate adaptation. Unlike broader frameworks like SDG 6.5.1, the WGMI’s document-based, dimension-specific approach provides granular, actionable insights for governance reform, enhancing its utility for EU and global policymakers. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainability in Urban Water Resource Management)
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29 pages, 14336 KiB  
Article
Geospatial Mudflow Risk Modeling: Integration of MCDA and RAMMS
by Ainur Mussina, Assel Abdullayeva, Victor Blagovechshenskiy, Sandugash Ranova, Zhixiong Zeng, Aidana Kamalbekova and Ulzhan Aldabergen
Water 2025, 17(15), 2316; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152316 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
This article presents a comprehensive assessment of mudflow risk in the Talgar River basin through the application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods and numerical modeling using the Rapid Mass Movement Simulation (RAMMS) environment. The first part of the study involves a spatial [...] Read more.
This article presents a comprehensive assessment of mudflow risk in the Talgar River basin through the application of Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) methods and numerical modeling using the Rapid Mass Movement Simulation (RAMMS) environment. The first part of the study involves a spatial assessment of mudflow hazard and susceptibility using GIS technologies and MCDA. The key condition for evaluating mudflow hazard is the identification of factors influencing the formation of mudflows. The susceptibility assessment was based on viewing the area as an object of spatial and functional analysis, enabling determination of its susceptibility to mudflow impacts across geomorphological zones: initiation, transformation, and accumulation. Relevant criteria were selected for analysis, each assigned weights based on expert judgment and the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The results include maps of potential mudflow hazard and susceptibility, showing areas of hazard occurrence and risk impact zones within the Talgar River basin. According to the mudflow hazard map, more than 50% of the basin area is classified as having a moderate hazard level, while 28.4% is subject to high hazard, and only 1.8% falls under the very high hazard category. The remaining areas are categorized as very low (4.1%) and low (14.7%) hazard zones. In terms of susceptibility to mudflows, 40.1% of the territory is exposed to a high level of susceptibility, 35.6% to a moderate level, and 5.5% to a very high level. The remaining areas are classified as very low (1.8%) and low (15.6%) susceptibility zones. The predictive performance was evaluated through Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves, and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of the mudflow hazard assessment is 0.86, which indicates good adaptability and relatively high accuracy, while the AUC value for assessing the susceptibility of the territory is 0.71, which means that the accuracy of assessing the susceptibility of territories to mudflows is within the acceptable level of model accuracy. To refine the spatial risk assessment, mudflow modeling was conducted under three scenarios of glacial-moraine lake outburst using the RAMMS model. For each scenario, key flow parameters—height and velocity—were identified, forming the basis for classification of zones by impact intensity. The integration of MCDA and RAMMS results produced a final mudflow risk map reflecting both the likelihood of occurrence and the extent of potential damage. The presented approach demonstrates the effectiveness of combining GIS analysis, MCDA, and physically-based modeling for comprehensive natural hazard assessment and can be applied to other mountainous regions with high mudflow activity. Full article
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21 pages, 3354 KiB  
Article
An Assessment of the Population Structure and Stock Dynamics of Megalobrama skolkovii During the Early Phase of the Fishing Ban in the Poyang Lake Basin
by Xinwen Huang, Qun Xu, Bao Zhang, Chiping Kong, Lei Fang, Xiaoping Gao, Leyi Sun, Lekang Li and Xiaoling Gong
Fishes 2025, 10(8), 378; https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes10080378 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
The ten-year fishing ban on the Yangtze River aims to restore aquatic biodiversity and rebuild fishery resources. Megalobrama skolkovii, a key species in the basin, was investigated using 2024 data to provide a preliminary assessment of its population structure, stock dynamics, and [...] Read more.
The ten-year fishing ban on the Yangtze River aims to restore aquatic biodiversity and rebuild fishery resources. Megalobrama skolkovii, a key species in the basin, was investigated using 2024 data to provide a preliminary assessment of its population structure, stock dynamics, and early recovery. Age analysis (n = 243) showed that 1–6-year-olds were dominated by fish aged 3 (35%), with few older than 4, indicating moderate structural truncation. Growth parameters modeled by the von Bertalanffy Growth Function yielded L = 61.89 cm and k = 0.25 year1, with a weight–growth inflection age of 4.4 years. Natural mortality (M = 0.48 year−1) was estimated using Pauly’s empirical formula, and total mortality (Z = 0.55 year−1) was estimated from the catch curve analysis. While fishing mortality (F) was statistically indistinguishable from zero, a plausible low-intensity fishing scenario was explored to assess potential impacts of residual activities. Length-based indicators (LBIs) showed Pmat = 46.05%, Popt = 9.51%, and Pmega = 6.88%, suggesting reproductive recovery but incomplete structural restoration. These preliminary findings reveal an asymmetrical recovery trajectory, whereby physiological improvements and enhanced recruitment have occurred, yet full structural restoration remains incomplete. This underscores the need for continued, long-term conservation and monitoring to support population resilience. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biology and Ecology)
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12 pages, 1209 KiB  
Article
Contribution to Morphometrics and Ecology of Snow Trout (Schizothorax eurycephalus) and Stone Loach (Triplophysa ferganaensis)
by Erkin Karimov, Otabek Omonov, Pieterjan Verhelst, Bakhtiyor K. Karimov, Martin Schletterer and Daniel S. Hayes
Fishes 2025, 10(8), 377; https://doi.org/10.3390/fishes10080377 - 4 Aug 2025
Abstract
The mountainous rivers of Central Asia host diverse ichthyofauna threatened by increasing anthropogenic pressures, particularly water pollution, abstraction, and hydropower development. This study provides valuable morphometric and ecological data for Schizothorax eurycephalus (snow trout) and Triplophysa ferganaensis (stone loach) in the Shakhimardan River [...] Read more.
The mountainous rivers of Central Asia host diverse ichthyofauna threatened by increasing anthropogenic pressures, particularly water pollution, abstraction, and hydropower development. This study provides valuable morphometric and ecological data for Schizothorax eurycephalus (snow trout) and Triplophysa ferganaensis (stone loach) in the Shakhimardan River basin, Uzbekistan. S. eurycephalus exhibited positive allometric growth, while T. ferganaensis showed negative near-isometric growth. The mean Fulton’s Condition Factor was 1.0 for S. eurycephalus and 0.7 for T. ferganaensis, with site-specific variations. Strong correlations among morphometric parameters, particularly length–height relationships, support non-invasive monitoring techniques. Dietary analysis revealed S. eurycephalus was predominantly herbivorous, with around 70% algae consumption. Early sexual maturity was observed in S. eurycephalus males, whereas T. ferganaensis showed no clear maturity signs, but swollen bellies suggested ongoing or recent reproductive activity. These baseline morphometric and ecological data establish a solid foundation for future ecological assessments, conservation strategies, and the design and monitoring of mitigation measures to address anthropogenic impacts in this vulnerable region. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Biology and Ecology)
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18 pages, 3354 KiB  
Article
Hydrological Modeling of the Chikugo River Basin Using SWAT: Insights into Water Balance and Seasonal Variability
by Francis Jhun Macalam, Kunyang Wang, Shin-ichi Onodera, Mitsuyo Saito, Yuko Nagano, Masatoshi Yamazaki and Yu War Nang
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7027; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157027 - 2 Aug 2025
Viewed by 212
Abstract
Integrated hydrological modeling plays a crucial role in advancing sustainable water resource management, particularly in regions facing seasonal and extreme precipitation events. However, comprehensive studies that assess hydrological variability in temperate river basins remain limited. This study addresses this gap by evaluating the [...] Read more.
Integrated hydrological modeling plays a crucial role in advancing sustainable water resource management, particularly in regions facing seasonal and extreme precipitation events. However, comprehensive studies that assess hydrological variability in temperate river basins remain limited. This study addresses this gap by evaluating the performance of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in simulating streamflow, water balance, and seasonal hydrological dynamics in the Chikugo River Basin, Kyushu Island, Japan. The basin, originating from Mount Aso and draining into the Ariake Sea, is subject to frequent typhoons and intense rainfall, making it a critical case for sustainable water governance. Using the Sequential Uncertainty Fitting Version 2 (SUFI-2) approach, we calibrated the SWAT model over the period 2007–2021. Water balance analysis revealed that baseflow plays dominant roles in basin hydrology which is essential for agricultural and domestic water needs by providing a stable groundwater contribution despite increasing precipitation and varying water demand. These findings contribute to a deeper understanding of hydrological behavior in temperate catchments and offer a scientific foundation for sustainable water allocation, planning, and climate resilience strategies. Full article
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25 pages, 5841 KiB  
Article
Creating Micro-Habitat in a Pool-Weir Fish Pass with Flexible Hydraulic Elements: Insights from Field Experiments
by Mehmet Salih Turker and Serhat Kucukali
Water 2025, 17(15), 2294; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152294 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 132
Abstract
The placement of hydraulic elements in existing pool-type fishways to make them more suitable for Cyprinid fish is an issue of increasing interest in fishway research. Hydrodynamic characteristics and fish behavior at the representative pool of the fishway with bottom orifices and notches [...] Read more.
The placement of hydraulic elements in existing pool-type fishways to make them more suitable for Cyprinid fish is an issue of increasing interest in fishway research. Hydrodynamic characteristics and fish behavior at the representative pool of the fishway with bottom orifices and notches were assessed at the Dagdelen hydropower plant in the Ceyhan River Basin, Türkiye. Three-dimensional velocity measurements were taken in the pool of the fishway using an Acoustic Doppler velocimeter. The measurements were taken with and without a brush block at two different vertical distances from the bottom, which were below and above the level of bristles tips. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis was conducted for the studied fishway. The numerical model utilized Large Eddy Simulation (LES) combined with the Darcy–Forchheimer law, wherein brush blocks were represented as homogenous porous media. Our results revealed that the relative submergence of bristles in the brush block plays a very important role in velocity and Reynolds shear stress (RSS) distributions. After the placement of the submerged brush block, flow velocity and the lateral RSS component were reduced, and a resting area was created behind the brush block below the bristles’ tips. Fish movements in the pool were recorded by underwater cameras under real-time operation conditions. The heatmap analysis, which is a 2-dimensional fish spatial presence visualization technique for a specific time period, showed that Capoeta damascina avoided the areas with high turbulent fluctuations during the tests, and 61.5% of the fish presence intensity was found to be in the low Reynolds shear regions in the pool. This provides a clear case for the real-world ecological benefits of retrofitting existing pool-weir fishways with such flexible hydraulic elements. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Hydraulics and Hydrodynamics)
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16 pages, 4272 KiB  
Article
Prediction Analysis of Integrative Quality Zones for Corydalis yanhusuo W. T. Wang Under Climate Change: A Rare Medicinal Plant Endemic to China
by Huiming Wang, Bin Huang, Lei Xu and Ting Chen
Biology 2025, 14(8), 972; https://doi.org/10.3390/biology14080972 (registering DOI) - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 176
Abstract
Corydalis yanhusuo W. T. Wang, commonly known as Yanhusuo, is an important and rare medicinal plant resource in China. Its habitat integrity is facing severe challenges due to climate change and human activities. Establishing an integrative quality zoning system for this species is [...] Read more.
Corydalis yanhusuo W. T. Wang, commonly known as Yanhusuo, is an important and rare medicinal plant resource in China. Its habitat integrity is facing severe challenges due to climate change and human activities. Establishing an integrative quality zoning system for this species is of significant practical importance for resource conservation and adaptive management. This study integrates multiple data sources, including 121 valid distribution points, 37 environmental factors, future climate scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585 pathways for the 2050s and 2090s), and measured content of tetrahydropalmatine (THP) from 22 sampling sites. A predictive framework for habitat suitability and spatial distribution of effective components was constructed using a multi-model coupling approach (MaxEnt, ArcGIS spatial analysis, and co-kriging method). The results indicate that the MaxEnt model exhibits high prediction accuracy (AUC > 0.9), with the dominant environmental factors being the precipitation of the wettest quarter (404.8~654.5 mm) and the annual average temperature (11.8~17.4 °C). Under current climatic conditions, areas of high suitability are concentrated in parts of Central and Eastern China, including the Sichuan Basin, the middle–lower Yangtze plains, and coastal areas of Shandong and Liaoning. In future climate scenarios, the center of suitable areas is predicted to shift northwestward. The content of THP is significantly correlated with the mean diurnal temperature range, temperature seasonality, and the mean temperature of the wettest quarter (p < 0.01). A comprehensive assessment identifies the Yangtze River Delta region, Central China, and parts of the Loess Plateau as the optimal integrative quality zones. This research provides a scientific basis and decision-making support for the sustainable utilization of C. yanhusuo and other rare medicinal plants in China. Full article
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26 pages, 3711 KiB  
Article
Probability Characteristics of High and Low Flows in Slovakia: A Comprehensive Hydrological Assessment
by Pavla Pekárová, Veronika Bačová Mitková and Dana Halmová
Hydrology 2025, 12(8), 199; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology12080199 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 218
Abstract
Frequency analysis is essential for designing hydraulic structures and managing water resources, as it helps assess hydrological extremes. However, changes in river basins can impact their accuracy, complicating the link between discharge and return periods. This study aims to comprehensively assess the probability [...] Read more.
Frequency analysis is essential for designing hydraulic structures and managing water resources, as it helps assess hydrological extremes. However, changes in river basins can impact their accuracy, complicating the link between discharge and return periods. This study aims to comprehensively assess the probability characteristics of long-term M-day maximum/minimum discharges in the Carpathian region of Slovakia. We analyze the long-term data from 26 gauging stations covering 90 years of observation. Slovak rivers show considerable intra-annual variability, especially between the summer–autumn (SA) and winter–spring (WS) seasons. To allow consistent comparisons, we apply a uniform methodology to estimate T-year daily maximum and minimum specific discharges over durations of 1 and 7 days for both seasons. Our findings indicate that 1-day maximum specific discharges are generally higher during the SA season compared to the WS season. The 7-day minimum specific discharges are lower during the WS season compared to the SA season. Slovakia’s diverse orographic and climatic conditions cause significant spatial variability in extreme discharges. However, the estimated T-year 7-day minimum and 1-day maximum specific discharges, based on the mean specific discharge and the altitude of the water gauge, exhibit certain nonlinear dependences. These relationships could support the indirect estimation of T-year M-day discharges in regions with similar runoff characteristics. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources and Risk Management)
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18 pages, 2015 KiB  
Article
Assessment of Potentially Toxic Element Pollution in Surface Soils of the Upper Ohře River Basin
by Veronika Zemanová, Ladislav Menšík, Edzard Hangen, Bernd Schilling, Lukáš Hlisnikovský and Eva Kunzová
Toxics 2025, 13(8), 644; https://doi.org/10.3390/toxics13080644 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 133
Abstract
The soils of river basins are often exposed to contaminants resulting from anthropogenic activities. This research identified 11 potentially toxic elements (PTEs) and assessed pollution indices, ecological risk assessments, and human health risks in the topsoil of the Upper Ohře River Basin (Czech [...] Read more.
The soils of river basins are often exposed to contaminants resulting from anthropogenic activities. This research identified 11 potentially toxic elements (PTEs) and assessed pollution indices, ecological risk assessments, and human health risks in the topsoil of the Upper Ohře River Basin (Czech Republic and Germany). Among the PTEs, As, Cd, Cu, Pb, and Zn exhibited considerable variability across the area, with contents exceeding the legislative limits of the Czech Republic, particularly at three locations near coal mining activities. Various indices indicated significant contamination in the river basin (pollution load index > 1, except at one location); however, the level of pollution varied across locations and in relation to the used indices. The ecological risk factor identified As and Cd as the primary pollutants. The potential ecological risk index indicated a strong risk, with two locations showing a highly strong ecological risk. The findings revealed no serious non-carcinogenic or carcinogenic risks to adults, while risks were confirmed for children, with As being the main contributor. This research provides basic information for managing pollution from PTEs and protecting the soils and residents of the Upper Ohře River Basin. In this region, particular attention should be paid towards As and Cd. Full article
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21 pages, 2593 KiB  
Article
Climate Change Impacts on Grey Water Footprint of Agricultural Total Nitrogen in the Yangtze River Basin Based on SSP–InVEST Coupling
by Na Li, Hongliang Wu and Feng Yan
Agronomy 2025, 15(8), 1844; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy15081844 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 206
Abstract
With climate change, the spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation are altered to a certain degree, which potentially affects the grey water footprint (GWF) of total nitrogen (TN) in agriculture, thereby threatening water security in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB), the largest river [...] Read more.
With climate change, the spatial and temporal patterns of precipitation are altered to a certain degree, which potentially affects the grey water footprint (GWF) of total nitrogen (TN) in agriculture, thereby threatening water security in the Yangtze River Basin (YRB), the largest river in China. The current study constructs an assessment framework for climate change impacts on the GWF of agricultural TN by coupling Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) with the InVEST model. The framework consists of four components: (i) data collection and processing, (ii) simulating the two critical indicators (LTN and W) in the GWF model based on the InVEST model, (iii) calculating the GWF and GWF index (GI) of TN, and (iv) calculating climate change impact index on GWF of agricultural TN (CI) under two SSPs. It is applied to the YRB, and the results show the following: (i) GWFs are 959.7 and 961.4 billion m3 under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios in 2030, respectively, which are both lower than that in 2020 (1067.1 billion m3). (ii) The GI values for TN in 2030 under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 remain at “High” grade, with the values of 0.95 and 1.03, respectively. Regionally, the water pollution level of Taihu Lake is the highest, while that of Wujiang River is the lowest. (iii) The CI values of the YRB in 2030 under SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios are 0.507 and 0.527, respectively. And the CI values of the five regions in the YRB are greater than 0, indicating that the negative effects of climate change on GWFs increase. (iv) Compared with 2020, LTN and W in YRB in 2030 under the two SSPs decrease, while the GI of TN in YRB rises from SSP1-2.6 to SSP5-8.5. The assessment framework can provide strategic recommendations for sustainable water resource management in the YRB and other regions globally under climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Agroecology Innovation: Achieving System Resilience)
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15 pages, 2006 KiB  
Article
Hydrological Responses to Territorial Spatial Change in the Xitiaoxi River Basin: A Simulation Study Using the SWAT Model Driven by China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets
by Dongyan Kong, Huiguang Chen and Kongsen Wu
Water 2025, 17(15), 2267; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152267 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 244
Abstract
The use of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model driven by China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets (CMADS) for runoff simulation research is of great significance for regional flood prevention and control. Therefore, from the perspective of production-living-ecological space, this article combined [...] Read more.
The use of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model driven by China Meteorological Assimilation Driving Datasets (CMADS) for runoff simulation research is of great significance for regional flood prevention and control. Therefore, from the perspective of production-living-ecological space, this article combined multi-source data such as DEM, soil texture and land use type, in order to construct scenarios of territorial spatial change (TSC) across distinct periods. Based on the CMADS-L40 data and the SWAT model, it simulated the runoff dynamics in the Xitiaoxi River Basin, and analyzed the hydrological response characteristics under different TSCs. The results showed that The SWAT model, driven by CMADS-L40 data, demonstrated robust performance in monthly runoff simulation. The coefficient of determination (R2), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), and the absolute value of percentage bias (|PBIAS|) during the calibration and validation period all met the accuracy requirements of the model, which validated the applicability of CMADS-L40 data and the SWAT model for runoff simulation at the watershed scale. Changes in territorial spatial patterns are closely correlated with runoff variation. Changes in agricultural production space and forest ecological space show statistically significant negative correlation with runoff change, while industrial production space change exhibits a significant positive correlation with runoff change. The expansion of production space, particularly industrial production space, leads to increased runoff, whereas the enlargement of agricultural production space and forest ecological space can reduce runoff. This article contributes to highlighting the role of land use policy in hydrological regulation, providing a scientific basis for optimizing territorial spatial planning to mitigate flood risks and protect water resources. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Natural Hazards and Disaster Risks Reduction, 2nd Edition)
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19 pages, 4896 KiB  
Article
Calculation of Connectivity Between Surface and Underground Three-Dimensional Water Systems in the Luan River Basin
by Jingyao Wang, Zhixiong Tang, Belay Z. Abate, Zhuoxun Wu and Li He
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6913; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156913 - 30 Jul 2025
Viewed by 213
Abstract
While water conservancy projects continuously enhance flood control and resource allocation capabilities, the adverse impacts on basin systems, particularly the structural disruption of surface water–groundwater continuity, have become increasingly pronounced. Therefore, establishing quantitative assessment of water system connectivity as a critical foundation for [...] Read more.
While water conservancy projects continuously enhance flood control and resource allocation capabilities, the adverse impacts on basin systems, particularly the structural disruption of surface water–groundwater continuity, have become increasingly pronounced. Therefore, establishing quantitative assessment of water system connectivity as a critical foundation for optimizing spatial water distribution, maintaining ecohydrological equilibrium, and enhancing flood–drought regulation efficacy is important. Focusing on the regulated reaches of the Panjiakou, Daheiting, and Taolinkou reservoirs in the Luan River Basin, this study established and integrated a three-dimensional assessment framework that synthesizes hydrological processes, hydraulic structural effects, and human activities as three fundamental drivers, and employed the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) to develop a quantitative connectivity evaluation system. Results indicate that water conservancy projects significantly altered basin connectivity: surface water connectivity decreased by 0.40, while groundwater connectivity experienced a minor reduction (0.25) primarily through reservoir seepage. Consequently, the integrated surface–groundwater system declined by 0.39. Critically, project scale governs surface connectivity attenuation intensity, which substantially exceeds impacts on groundwater systems. The comprehensive assessment system developed in this study provides theoretical and methodological support for diagnosing river connectivity, formulating ecological restoration strategies, and protecting basin ecosystems. Full article
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27 pages, 6584 KiB  
Article
Evaluating Geostatistical and Statistical Merging Methods for Radar–Gauge Rainfall Integration: A Multi-Method Comparative Study
by Xuan-Hien Le, Naoki Koyama, Kei Kikuchi, Yoshihisa Yamanouchi, Akiyoshi Fukaya and Tadashi Yamada
Remote Sens. 2025, 17(15), 2622; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17152622 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 315
Abstract
Accurate and spatially consistent rainfall estimation is essential for hydrological modeling and flood risk mitigation, especially in mountainous tropical regions with sparse observational networks and highly heterogeneous rainfall. This study presents a comparative analysis of six radar–gauge merging methods, including three statistical approaches—Quantile [...] Read more.
Accurate and spatially consistent rainfall estimation is essential for hydrological modeling and flood risk mitigation, especially in mountainous tropical regions with sparse observational networks and highly heterogeneous rainfall. This study presents a comparative analysis of six radar–gauge merging methods, including three statistical approaches—Quantile Adaptive Gaussian (QAG), Empirical Quantile Mapping (EQM), and radial basis function (RBF)—and three geostatistical approaches—external drift kriging (EDK), Bayesian Kriging (BAK), and Residual Kriging (REK). The evaluation was conducted over the Huong River Basin in Central Vietnam, a region characterized by steep terrain, monsoonal climate, and frequent hydrometeorological extremes. Two observational scenarios were established: Scenario S1 utilized 13 gauges for merging and 7 for independent validation, while Scenario S2 employed all 20 stations. Hourly radar and gauge data from peak rainy months were used for the evaluation. Each method was assessed using continuous metrics (RMSE, MAE, CC, NSE, and KGE), categorical metrics (POD and CSI), and spatial consistency indicators. Results indicate that all merging methods significantly improved the accuracy of rainfall estimates compared to raw radar data. Among them, RBF consistently achieved the highest accuracy, with the lowest RMSE (1.24 mm/h), highest NSE (0.954), and strongest spatial correlation (CC = 0.978) in Scenario S2. RBF also maintained high classification skills across all rainfall categories, including very heavy rain. EDK and BAK performed better with denser gauge input but required recalibration of variogram parameters. EQM and REK yielded moderate performance and had limitations near basin boundaries where gauge coverage was sparse. The results highlight trade-offs between method complexity, spatial accuracy, and robustness. While complex methods like EDK and BAK offer detailed spatial outputs, they require more calibration. Simpler methods are easier to apply across different conditions. RBF emerged as the most practical and transferable option, offering strong generalization, minimal calibration needs, and computational efficiency. These findings provide useful guidance for integrating radar and gauge data in flood-prone, data-scarce regions. Full article
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27 pages, 4973 KiB  
Article
LSTM-Based River Discharge Forecasting Using Spatially Gridded Input Data
by Kamilla Rakhymbek, Balgaisha Mukanova, Andrey Bondarovich, Dmitry Chernykh, Almas Alzhanov, Dauren Nurekenov, Anatoliy Pavlenko and Aliya Nugumanova
Data 2025, 10(8), 122; https://doi.org/10.3390/data10080122 - 27 Jul 2025
Viewed by 512
Abstract
Accurate river discharge forecasting remains a critical challenge in hydrology, particularly in data-scarce mountainous regions where in situ observations are limited. This study investigated the potential of long short-term memory (LSTM) networks to improve discharge prediction by leveraging spatially distributed reanalysis data. Using [...] Read more.
Accurate river discharge forecasting remains a critical challenge in hydrology, particularly in data-scarce mountainous regions where in situ observations are limited. This study investigated the potential of long short-term memory (LSTM) networks to improve discharge prediction by leveraging spatially distributed reanalysis data. Using the ERA5-Land dataset, we developed an LSTM model that integrates grid-based meteorological inputs and assesses their relative importance. We conducted experiments on two snow-dominated basins with contrasting physiographic characteristics, the Uba River basin in Kazakhstan and the Flathead River basin in the USA, to answer three research questions: (1) whether full-grid input outperforms reduced configurations and models trained on Caravan, (2) the impact of spatial resolution on accuracy and efficiency, and (3) the effect of partial spatial coverage on prediction reliability. Specifically, we compared the full-grid LSTM with a single-cell LSTM, a basin-average LSTM, a Caravan-trained LSTM, and coarser cell aggregations. The results demonstrate that the full-grid LSTM consistently yields the highest forecasting performance, achieving a median Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.905 for Uba and 0.93 for Middle Fork Flathead, while using coarser grids and random subsets reduces performance. Our findings highlight the critical importance of spatial input richness and provide a reproducible framework for grid selection in flood-prone basins lacking dense observation networks. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Progress in Big Earth Data)
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