Search Results (1,054)

The digital transformation of electric power systems into smart grids has significantly expanded the cybersecurity risk landscape of the energy sector. While advanced sensing, communication, automation, and data-driven control improve efficiency, flexibility, and renewable energy integration, they also introduce complex cyber–physical interdependencies and new vulnerabilities across interconnected technical and organisational domains. This study adopts a scoping review methodology in accordance with PRISMA-ScR to systematically analyse smart grid cybersecurity from an architecture-aware and resilience-oriented perspective. Peer-reviewed scientific literature and authoritative institutional sources are synthesised to examine modern smart grid architectures, key security challenges, major cyberthreats, and documented real-world cyber incidents affecting energy infrastructure up to 2025. The review systematically links architectural characteristics such as field devices, communication networks, software platforms, data pipelines, and externally operated services to specific threat mechanisms and observed attack patterns, illustrating how cyber risk propagates across interconnected grid components. The findings show that cybersecurity challenges in smart grids arise not only from technical vulnerabilities but also from architectural dependencies, software supply chains, operational constraints, and cross-sector coupling. Based on the analysis of historical incidents and emerging research, the study identifies key defensive strategies, including zero-trust architectures, advanced monitoring and anomaly detection, secure software lifecycle management, digital twins for cyber–physical testing, and cyber-resilient grid design. The review concludes that cybersecurity in smart grids should be treated as a systemic and persistent condition, requiring resilience-oriented approaches that prioritise detection, containment, recovery, and safe operation under adverse conditions. Full article

Accurately assessing collapse risks of high-elevation, concealed rock mass blocks within the steep cliffs of Bijiashan, Three Gorges Reservoir Area, is challenging. This study employed a multidimensional approach—integrating airborne Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR), the transient electromagnetic method (TEM), close-range photogrammetry, horizontal drilling, and borehole optical imaging—to characterize the rock mass structure of the WD1 cliff belt and delineate 52 individual blocks. Stability analysis incorporated stereographic projection for macro-scale assessment and employed mechanical models specific to three primary failure modes (toppling, sliding, falling). Finite element strength reduction quantified the stress–strain response of a representative block under natural and rainstorm conditions. Particle Flow Code (PFC) simulated dynamic instability of the exceptionally large block W1-37. Results indicate the WD1 rock mass is highly fractured, with base sections prone to weakness. Toppling failure dominates (90.4%). Under rainstorm conditions, the average Factor of Safety (FOS) decreased by 14.7%, and 73.1% of the blocks that were stable under natural conditions were destabilized—specifically transitioning to marginally stable or substable states—often triggering chain-reaction instability characterized by “crack propagation—base buckling”. W1-37 exhibited staged failure under rainstorm: “strain localization at fissure tips—penetration of basal cracks—overturning of the upper rock mass”. Its frontal rock reached a peak sliding velocity of 15.17 m/s, indicative of base-breaking toppling. The integrated “multi-technology survey—multi-method evaluation—multi-scale simulation” framework provides a quantitative basis for risk assessment of rock mass disasters in the Three Gorges Reservoir Area and offers a technical paradigm for similar high-steep canyon regions. Full article

Coal mine ventilation systems face coupled and systemic risks characterized by structural interconnection and disaster chain propagation. In order to accurately quantify and evaluate this overall system risk, this study presents a new method of risk assessment of the coal mine ventilation system based on fuzzy polymorphic Bayesian networks. This method effectively addresses the shortcomings of traditional assessment approaches in the probabilistic quantification of risk. A Bayesian network with 44 nodes was established from five dimensions: ventilation power, ventilation network, ventilation facilities, human and management factors, and work environment. The risk states were divided into multiple states based on the As Low As Reasonably Practicable (ALARP) metric. The probabilities of evaluation-type root nodes were calculated using fuzzy evaluation, and the subjective bias was corrected by introducing a reliability coefficient. The concept of distance compensation is proposed to flexibly calculate the probabilities of quantitative-type root nodes. Through the verification of the ventilation system of H Coal Mine in Shanxi, China, it is concluded that the high risk of the ventilation system is 18%, and the high-risk probability of the ventilation system caused by the external air leakage of the mine is the largest. The evaluation results are consistent with real-world conditions. The results can provide a reference for improving the safety of the ventilation systems. Full article

Financial crises increasingly exhibit complex, interconnected patterns that traditional risk models fail to capture. The 2008 global financial crisis, 2020 pandemic shock, and recent banking sector stress events demonstrate how systemic risks propagate through multiple channels simultaneously—e.g., network contagion, extreme co-movements, and information cascades—creating a multidimensional phenomenon that exceeds the capabilities of conventional actuarial or econometric approaches alone. This paper addresses the fundamental challenge of modeling this multidimensional systemic risk phenomenon by proposing a mathematically formalized three-tier integration framework that achieves 19.2% accuracy improvement over traditional models through the following: (1) dynamic network-copula coupling that captures 35% more tail dependencies than static approaches, (2) semantic-temporal alignment of textual signals with network evolution, and (3) economically optimized threshold calibration reducing false positives by 35% while maintaining 85% crisis detection sensitivity. Empirical validation on historical data (2000–2023) demonstrates significant improvements over traditional models: 19.2% increase in predictive accuracy (R² from 0.68 to 0.87), 2.7 months earlier crisis detection compared to Basel III credit-to-GDP indicators, and 35% reduction in false positive rates while maintaining 85% crisis detection sensitivity. Case studies of the 2008 crisis and 2020 market turbulence illustrate the model’s ability to identify subtle precursor signals through integrated analysis of network structure evolution and semantic changes in regulatory communications. These advances provide financial regulators and institutions with enhanced tools for macroprudential supervision and countercyclical capital buffer calibration, strengthening financial system resilience against multifaceted systemic risks. Full article

Current research on automotive supply networks predominantly examines single-type entities connected through one relationship type, resulting in oversimplified, single-layer network structures. This conventional approach fails to capture the complex interdependencies that exist among mineral resources, intermediate components, and finished products throughout the automotive industry. To overcome these analytical limitations, this study implements a multilayer network framework for examining global automotive supply chains spanning 2017 to 2023. The research particularly emphasizes the identification of critical risk sources through both static and dynamic analytical perspectives. The static analysis employs multilayer degree and strength centralities to illuminate the pivotal roles that countries such as China, the United States, and Germany play within these multilayer automotive supply networks. Conversely, the dynamic risk propagation model uncovers significant cascade effects; a disruption in a major upstream supplier can propagate through intermediary layers, ultimately impacting over 85% of countries in the finished automotive layer within a short temporal threshold. Furthermore, this study investigates how individual nations’ anti-risk capabilities influence the overall resilience of multilayer automotive supply networks. These insights offer valuable guidance for policymakers, enabling strategic topological modifications during disruption events and enhanced protection of the most vulnerable risk sources. Full article

Hot-fluid injection in thermal-enhanced oil recovery (thermal-EOR, TEOR) imposes temperature-driven volumetric strains that can substantially alter in situ stresses, fracture geometry, and wellbore/reservoir integrity, yet existing TEOR modeling has not fully captured coupled thermo-poroelastic (thermo-hydro-mechanical) effects on fracture aperture, fracture-tip behavior, and stress rotation within a displacement discontinuity method (DDM) framework. This study aims to examine the influence of sustained hot-fluid injection on stress redistribution, hydraulic-fracture deformation, and fracture stability in thermal-EOR by accounting for coupled thermal, hydraulic, and mechanical interactions. This study develops a fully coupled thermo-poroelastic DDM formulation in which fracture-surface normal and shear displacement discontinuities, together with fluid and heat influx, act as boundary sources to compute time-dependent stresses, pore pressure, and temperature, while internal fracture fluid flow (Poiseuille-based volume balance), heat transport (conduction–advection with rock exchange), and mixed-mode propagation criteria are included. A representative scenario considers an initially isothermal hydraulic fracture grown to 32 m, followed by 12 months of hot-fluid injection, with temperature contrasts of ΔT = 0–100 °C and reduced pumping rate. Results show that the hydraulic-fracture aperture increases under isothermal and modest heating (ΔT = 25 °C) and remains nearly stable near ΔT = 50 °C, but progressively narrows for ΔT = 75–100 °C despite continued injection, indicating potential injectivity decline driven by thermally induced compressive stresses. Hot injection also tightens fracture tips, restricting unintended propagation, and produces pronounced near-fracture stress amplification and re-orientation: minimum principal stress increases by 6 MPa for ΔT = 50 °C and 10 MPa for ΔT = 100 °C, with principal-stress rotation reaching 70–90° in regions adjacent to the fracture plane and with markedly elevated shear stresses that may promote natural-fracture activation. These findings show that temperature effects can directly influence injectivity, fracture containment, and the risk of unintended fracture or natural-fracture activation, underscoring the importance of temperature-aware geomechanical planning and injection-strategy design in field operations. Incorporating these effects into project design can help operators anticipate injectivity decline, improve fracture containment, and reduce geomechanical uncertainty during long-term hot-fluid injection. Full article

Accurate short-lead river discharge forecasting is critical for effective flood risk mitigation in small mountainous basins, where rapid hydrological responses pose significant challenges. In this study, we focus on the Fuhu Stream in Emeishan City, China, and utilize high-resolution 5-min time series of upstream precipitation, stage, and discharge to predict downstream flow. We benchmark three data-driven models—SARIMAX, XGBoost, and LSTM—using a dataset spanning from 7 June 2024 to 25 October 2024. The data were split chronologically, with observations from October 2024 reserved exclusively for testing to ensure rigorous out-of-sample evaluation. Lagged correlation analysis was employed to estimate travel times from upstream to the basin outlet and to inform the selection of time-lagged input features for model training. Results during the test period demonstrate that the LSTM model significantly outperformed both XGBoost and SARIMAX across all regression metrics: it achieved the highest coefficient of determination (R² = 0.994) and the lowest prediction errors (RMSE = 0.016, MAE = 0.011). XGBoost exhibited moderate performance, while SARIMAX showed a tendency toward mean reversion and failed to capture low-flow variability. Accuracy evaluation reveals that LSTM accurately reproduced both baseflow conditions and multiple flood peaks, whereas XGBoost and SARIMAX failed. These results highlight the advantage of sequence-learning architectures in modeling nonlinear hydrological propagation and memory effects in short-term discharge dynamics. Feature importance analysis indicates that the LSTM model was highly effective for real-time forecasting and that the WSQ/LY sites served as critical monitoring nodes for achieving reliable predictions. This research contributes to the operationalization of early warning systems and provides support for decision-making regarding downstream flood disaster prevention. Full article

With the acceleration of digital transformation, open-source software has become a fundamental component of modern smart grids and other critical infrastructures. However, the complex dependency structures of open-source ecosystems and the continuous emergence of vulnerabilities pose substantial challenges to software supply chain security. In power information networks and cyber–physical control systems, vulnerabilities in open-source components integrated into Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA), Energy Management System (EMS), and Distribution Management System (DMS) platforms and distributed energy controllers may propagate along the supply chain, threatening system security and operational stability. In such application scenarios, large language models (LLMs) often suffer from limited semantic accuracy when handling domain-specific security terminology, as well as deployment inefficiencies that hinder their practical adoption in critical infrastructure environments. To address these issues, this paper proposes KD-SecBERT, a domain-specific semantic bidirectional encoder optimized through multi-level knowledge distillation for open-source software supply chain security in smart grid applications. The proposed framework constructs a hierarchical multi-teacher ensemble that integrates general language understanding, cybersecurity-domain knowledge, and code semantic analysis, together with a lightweight student architecture based on depthwise separable convolutions and multi-head self-attention. In addition, a dynamic, multi-dimensional distillation strategy is introduced to jointly perform layer-wise representation alignment, ensemble knowledge fusion, and task-oriented optimization under a progressive curriculum learning scheme. Extensive experiments conducted on a multi-source dataset comprising National Vulnerability Database (NVD) and Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures (CVE) entries, security-related GitHub code, and Open Web Application Security Project (OWASP) test cases show that KD-SecBERT achieves an accuracy of 91.3%, a recall of 90.6%, and an F1-score of 89.2% on vulnerability classification tasks, indicating strong robustness in recognizing both common and low-frequency security semantics. These results demonstrate that KD-SecBERT provides an effective and practical solution for semantic analysis and software supply chain risk assessment in smart grids and other critical-infrastructure environments. Full article

The Campos Rupestres, ancient and nutrient-poor mountaintop ecosystems in Brazil, harbor exceptional biodiversity and endemism but face severe threats from mining and urban expansion. Native grasses (Poaceae), represented by nearly 300 documented species—many of them poorly studied—are fundamental elements of these ecosystems. They provide critical ecological services, including soil stabilization, enhancing carbon storage and nutrient cycling, regulating water availability, and resilience to disturbances. This review synthesizes current knowledge on the diversity, functions, and propagation of Campos Rupestres grasses, with emphasis on their potential in ecological restoration. Despite their ecological importance, large-scale use of native grasses remains incipient, constrained by limited knowledge of reproductive biology, low seed viability, and scarce commercial seed availability. Advances in propagation include seedling and plug production, vegetative propagation, and rescue/reintroduction strategies, which have shown promising results in post-mining restoration. However, reliance on seed collection from natural populations risks depleting already limited genetic resources, highlighting the need for ex situ production systems. Expanding research on taxonomy, ecology, and cost-effective propagation methods, alongside supportive policy and market development, is crucial for integrating native grasses as cornerstone species in restoration programs. Bridging these gaps will enhance biodiversity conservation and restoration in one of the world’s most threatened megadiverse systems. Full article

In this study, to reveal the changes in explosion pressure and flame propagation characteristic, a 12 L cylindrical explosion device was used to conduct experiments on the explosions of two-phase mixtures of paper powder and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) at varying concentrations. The findings indicate that, at a constant paper powder concentration, increasing the VOCs concentration initially causes minor fluctuations in the maximum explosion pressure (P_max), followed by an increase. At a constant VOCs concentration, as the paper powder concentration rises, the P_max also increases, while the time to reach peak explosion pressure initially decreases before increasing. Additionally, under the two-phase concentration range produced in the production process, higher concentrations of paper powder and VOCs significantly enhance flame brightness, combustion intensity, heat release rate, and flame duration. These insights provide data support for determining the alarm limit values of VOCs concentration detection, provide a scientific basis for evaluating and predicting explosion risks associated with paper powder and VOCs, offering significant practical implications for fire and explosion prevention in the printing industry. Full article

Cracking occurred in the surface coating of a screw rotor during shale gas well operations. To determine whether the coating cracks could contribute to the failure of the 42CrMo substrate, the microstructure and morphology of surface cracks and local corrosion pits were examined and analyzed using a metallographic microscope, an SEM, and an EDS. To investigate the cross-sectional morphology and elemental distribution of corrosion pits, EDS mapping was performed. The composition of the corrosion products was characterized using Raman spectroscopy and XPS. In addition, four-point bend stress corrosion tests were conducted on screw rotor specimens under simulated service conditions. The results indicate that the P and S contents in the screw rotor substrate exceeded the specified limits, whereas its tensile and impact strengths satisfied the standard requirements. The microstructure consisted of tempered sorbite and ferrite, along with a small amount of sulfide inclusions. The corrosion products on the fracture surface were primarily identified as FeOOH, Fe₃O₄, and Cr(OH)₃. All specimens failed during the four-point bend tests. The chlorine (Cl) content in the corroded regions reached up to 8.05%. These findings demonstrate that the crack resistance of the 42CrMo screw rotor was markedly reduced under the simulated service conditions of 130 °C in a saturated, oxygenated 25% CaCl₂ solution. The study concludes that stress concentration induced by sulfide inclusions in the screw rotor, together with the combined effects of chloride ions, dissolved oxygen, and applied load, promotes the initiation and propagation of stress corrosion cracking. Therefore, it is recommended to strictly control the chemical composition and inclusion content of the screw rotor material and to reduce the oxygen content of the drilling fluid, thereby mitigating the risk of corrosion-induced cracking of the rotor. Full article

The containment of misinformation diffusion on social media is a critical challenge in computational social science. However, prevailing intervention strategies predominantly rely on static topological metrics or time-agnostic learning models, thereby overlooking the profound impact of temporal–demographic heterogeneity. This oversight frequently results in a “spatio-temporal mismatch”, where limited intervention resources are misallocated to structurally central but temporarily inactive nodes, particularly during non-stationary propagation bursts driven by exogenous triggers. To bridge this gap, we propose a Spatio-Temporal Deep Reinforcement Learning (ST-DRL) framework for proactive misinformation defense. By seamlessly integrating continuous trigonometric time encoding with demographic-aware Graph Attention Networks, our model explicitly captures the coupling dynamics between group-specific circadian rhythms and event-driven transmission surges. Extensive simulations on heterogeneous networks demonstrate that ST-DRL achieves a Peak Prevalence Reduction of 93.2%, significantly outperforming static heuristics and approaching the theoretical upper bound of oracle-assisted baselines. Crucially, interpretability analysis reveals that the agent autonomously evolves a “Preemptive Strike” strategy—prioritizing the sanitization of high-risk bridge nodes, such as bots, prior to event onsets—thus establishing a new paradigm for predictive rather than reactive network governance. Full article

Endocrine-disrupting chemicals (EDCs), widespread in aquatic environments, interfere with endocrine function in organisms and threaten ecosystem stability. Rotifers, critical live feed for marine fish, shrimp, and crab larvae, link EDC-induced reproductive impairment to marine ecosystem stability and aquaculture sustainability. This PRISMA-compliant review synthesizes key findings, consequences, and gaps in EDC–rotifer reproductive toxicity research. Traditional EDCs (heavy metals, per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs), phenols, phthalate esters, polybrominated diphenyl ethers (PBDEs), and steroid hormones) and emerging EDCs (disinfection byproducts, microplastics, pharmaceutical metabolites) induce distinct reproductive harm—e.g., Hg²⁺ shows extreme toxicity (24 h LC₅₀ = 4.51 μg L⁻¹ in Brachionus plicatilis), BDE-47 damages ovaries, and microplastics cause transgenerational delays. Rotifer species and exposure duration affect sensitivity (e.g., BDE-47: 96 h LC₅₀ = 0.163 mg L⁻¹ vs. 24 h LC₅₀ > 22 mg L⁻¹ in B. plicatilis). Oxidative stress is a universal mechanism, and combined EDC exposure produces context-dependent synergistic/antagonistic effects. EDC-induced impairment reduces rotifer population density, alters structure, and propagates through food webs, threatening aquaculture and biodiversity; transgenerational toxicity (e.g., 4-nonylphenol: F₁ inhibition 28% vs. 12% in F₀) weakens resilience. This review supports EDC risk assessment, with gaps including long-term low-concentration data, transgenerational mechanisms, EDC–microbiome interactions, and emerging PFAS toxicity—priorities for future research. Full article

Coal and gas outbursts constitute a major hazard for mining safety, which is critical for the sustainable development of China’s energy industry. Rapid, accurate, and reliable pre-diction is pivotal for preventing and controlling outburst incidents. Nevertheless, the mechanisms driving coal and gas outbursts involve highly complex influencing factors. Four main geological indicators were identified by examining the attributes of these factors and their association to outburst intensity. This study developed a machine learning-based prediction model for outburst risk. Five algorithms were evaluated: K Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Back Propagation (BP), Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). Model optimization was performed via Bayesian hyperparameter (BO) tuning. Model performance was assessed by the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve; the optimized XGBoost model demonstrated strong predictive performance. To enhance model transparency and interpretability, the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) method was implemented. The SHAP analysis identified geological structure was the most important predictive feature, providing a practical decision support tool for mine executives to prevent and control outburst incidents. Full article

Background/Objectives: Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) exhibits remarkable genetic heterogeneity involving hundreds of risk genes; however, the mechanism by which these genes organize within biological networks to contribute to disease pathogenesis remains incompletely understood. This study aims to elucidate these organizational principles and identify critical network bottlenecks using a novel integrative computational framework. Methods: We analyzed 893 SFARI genes using a three-pronged computational approach: (1) a Machine Learning Dynamic Perturbation Propagation algorithm; (2) a hypergraph construction method explicitly modeling multi-gene complexes by integrating protein–protein interactions, co-expression modules, and curated pathways; and (3) Hypergraph Neural Network embeddings for gene clustering. Validation was performed using hub-independent features to address potential circularity, followed by a druggability assessment to prioritize therapeutic targets. Results: The hypergraph construction captured 3847 multi-way relationships, representing a 45% increase in biological relationships compared to pairwise networks. The perturbation algorithm achieved a 51% higher correlation with TADA genetic evidence than random walk methods. Analysis revealed a hierarchical organization where 179 hub genes exhibited a 3.22-fold increase in degree centrality and a 4.71-fold increase in perturbation scores relative to non-hub genes. Hypergraph Neural Network clustering identified five distinct gene clusters, including a “super-hub” cluster of 10 genes enriched in synaptic signaling (4.2-fold) and chromatin remodeling (3.9-fold). Validation confirmed that 8 of these 10 genes co-cluster even without topological information. Finally, we identified high-priority therapeutic targets, including ARID1A, POLR2A, and CACNB1. Conclusions: These findings establish hierarchical network organization principles in ASD, demonstrating that hub genes maintain substantially elevated perturbation states. The identification of critical network bottlenecks and pharmacologically tractable targets provides a foundation for understanding autism pathogenesis and developing precision medicine approaches. Full article