Search Results (63)

Urban coastal areas are increasingly vulnerable to compound flooding due to the convergence of extreme rainfall, storm surges, and infrastructure aging, especially in high-density settings. This study proposes and empirically validates a multi-scale strategy for enhancing urban flood resilience in the Macau Peninsula, a densely built coastal city with complex flood exposure patterns. Building on a previously developed network-based resilience assessment framework, the study integrates hydrodynamic simulation and complex network analysis to evaluate the effectiveness of targeted interventions, including segmented storm surge defense barriers, drainage infrastructure upgrades, and spatially optimized low-impact development (LID) measures. The Macau Peninsula was partitioned into multiple shoreline defense zones, each guided by context-specific design principles and functional zoning. Based on our previously developed flood simulation framework covering extreme rainfall, storm surge, and compound events in high-density coastal zones, this study validates resilience strategies that achieve significant reductions in inundation extent, water depth, and recession time. Additionally, the network-based resilience index showed marked improvement in system connectivity and recovery efficiency, particularly under compound hazard conditions. The findings highlight the value of integrating spatial planning, ecological infrastructure, and systemic modeling to inform adaptive flood resilience strategies in compact coastal cities. The framework developed offers transferable insights for other urban regions confronting escalating hydrometeorological risks under climate change. Full article

The Bekasi River Basin is highly vulnerable to severe and recurrent flooding, as evidenced by significant infrastructure and environmental damage during major events. This study investigates the catastrophic floods of 2016, 2020, 2022, and 2025 by implementing the Rainfall-Runoff-Inundation (RRI) model to simulate key hydrological processes. After validation using historical water level data, the model performed effectively, achieving the highest coefficient of determination (R² = 0.75) and lowest root mean square error (RMSE = 0.66) at Cileungsi Station. In contrast, the lowest R² = 0.02, and the highest RMSE = 3.74 at Pondok Gede Permai (PGP) Station. The results reveal a concerning trend of worsening 5-year flood events, with the 2025 flood reaching a peak inundation depth exceeding 3 m and affecting an area of 2.97 km², caused by a rainfall threshold of more than 180 mm/day. Furthermore, the model shows a rapid hydrological response, with a time lag of approximately 7 h or less between peak rainfall and flood onset across three monitoring stations. Analysis indicates these severe floods were primarily triggered by heavy rainfall combined with significant land cover changes. The findings provide valuable insights for flood prediction and mitigation strategies in this vulnerable region. Full article

Floods are among the most frequent and destructive natural hazards worldwide, with increasingly severe socioeconomic consequences due to rapid urbanization, land use changes, and climate variability. While the combination of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) with models such as HEC-RAS has been extensively explored for flood risk management, many existing studies remain limited to one-dimensional (1D) models or use coarse-resolution terrain data, often underestimating flood risk and failing to produce critical multivariate flood characteristics in densely built urban areas. This study applies a two-dimensional (2D) hydraulic modeling framework in HEC-RAS combined with GIS-based spatial analysis, using a high-resolution (1 × 1 m) LiDAR-derived Digital Terrain Model (DTM) and a hybrid mesh refined between 2 × 2 m and 8 × 8 m, with the main contributions represented by the specific application context and methodological choices. A key methodological aspect is the direct integration of synthetic hydrographs with defined exceedance probabilities (10%, 1%, and 0.1%) into the 2D model, thereby reducing the need for extensive hydrological simulations and defining a data-driven approach for resource-constrained environments. The primary novelty is the application of this high-resolution urban modeling framework to a Romanian urban–peri-urban setting, where detailed hydrological observations are scarce. Unlike previous studies in Romania, this approach applies detailed channel and floodplain discretization at high spatial resolution, explicitly incorporating anthropogenic features like buildings and detailed land use roughness for the accurate representation of local hydraulic dynamics. The resulting outputs (inundation extents, depths, and velocities) support risk assessment and spatial planning in the Ungheni locality (Iași County, Romania), providing a practical, transferable workflow adapted to data-scarce regions. Scenario results quantify vulnerability: for the 0.1% exceedance probability scenario (with a calibration accuracy of ±15–30 min deviation for peak flow timing), the flood risk may affect 882 buildings, 42 land parcels, and 13.5 km of infrastructure. This framework contributes to evidence-based decision-making for climate adaptation and disaster risk reduction strategies, improving urban resilience. Full article

Rapid urbanization and frequent extreme events have made urban flooding a growing threat to residents. This issue is acute in old urban districts, where extremely limited land resources, outdated standards and poor infrastructure have led to inadequate drainage and uneven pipe settlement, heightening flood risk. This study applies InfoWorks ICM Ultimate (version 21.0.284) to simulate flooding in a typical old urban district for six return periods. A risk assessment was carried out, flood causes were analyzed, and mitigation strategies were evaluated to reduce inundation and cost. Results show that all combined schemes outperform single-measure solutions. Among them, the green roof combined with pipe optimization scheme eliminated high-risk and medium-risk areas, while reducing low-risk areas by over 78.23%. It also lowered the ponding depth at key waterlogging points by 70%, significantly improving the flood risk profile. The permeable pavement combined with pipe optimization scheme achieved similar results, reducing low-risk areas by 77.42% and completely eliminating ponding at key locations, although at a 50.8% higher cost. This study underscores the unique contribution of cost-considered gray-green infrastructure retrofitting in old urban areas characterized by land scarcity and aging pipeline networks. It provides a quantitative basis and optimization strategies for refined modeling and multi-strategy management of urban waterlogging in such regions, offering valuable references for other cities facing similar challenges. The findings hold significant implications for urban flood control planning and hydrological research, serving as an important resource for urban planners engaged in flood risk management and researchers in urban hydrology and stormwater management. Full article

Floods are among the most devastating natural disasters; predicting their depth and extent remains a global challenge. Machine Learning (ML) models have demonstrated improved accuracy over traditional probabilistic flood mapping approaches. While previous studies have developed ML-based models for specific local regions, this study aims to establish a methodology for estimating flood depth on a global scale using ML algorithms and freely available datasets—a challenging yet critical task. To support model generalization, 45 catchments from diverse geographic regions were selected based on elevation, land use, land cover, and soil type variations. The datasets were meticulously preprocessed, ensuring normality, eliminating outliers, and scaling. These preprocessed data were then split into subgroups: 75% for training and 25% for testing, with six additional unseen catchments from the USA reserved for validation. A sensitivity analysis was performed across several ML models (ANN, CNN, RNN, LSTM, Random Forest, XGBoost), leading to the selection of the Random Forest (RF) algorithm for both flood inundation classification and flood depth regression models. Three regression models were assessed for flood depth prediction. The pixel-based regression model achieved an R² of 91% for training and 69% for testing. Introducing a pixel clustering regression model improved the testing R² to 75%, with an overall validation (for unseen catchments) R² of 64%. The catchment-based clustering regression model yielded the most robust performance, with an R² of 83% for testing and 82% for validation. The developed ML model demonstrates breakthrough computational efficiency, generating complete flood depth predictions in just 6 min—a 225× speed improvement (90–95% time reduction) over conventional HEC-RAS 6.3 simulations. This rapid processing enables the practical implementation of flood early warning systems. Despite the dramatic speed gains, the solution maintains high predictive accuracy, evidenced by statistically robust 95% confidence intervals and strong spatial agreement with HEC-RAS benchmark maps. These findings highlight the critical role of the spatial variability of dependencies in enhancing model accuracy, representing a meaningful approach forward in scalable modeling frameworks with potential for global generalization of flood depth. Full article

The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events pose significant challenges to mountain communities, particularly in terms of flash flood risks. This study presents a framework for stress testing and evaluating flood resilience in mountain communities through the integration of high-resolution InfoWorks ICM two-dimensional hydrodynamic modeling and systematic resilience assessment. The framework makes three key innovations: (1) multi-scale temporal stress scenarios combining short-duration extreme events (1–2 h) with long-duration persistent events (24 h) and historical extremes; (2) integrated infrastructure–drainage stress analysis that explicitly models roads’ dual role as critical infrastructure and emergency drainage channels; and (3) dynamic resilience quantification under multiple stressors across 15 systematically designed stress conditions. Using Western Beijing as a case study, the model is validated, achieving Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency values exceeding 0.9, demonstrating its robust capability in simulating complex mountainous terrain flood processes. Through systematic analysis of fifteen rainfall scenarios designed based on Chicago rainfall patterns and historical events (including the July 2023 Haihe River basin flood), encompassing various intensities (30–200 mm/h), durations (1 h, 2 h, 24 h), and return periods (10, 50, 100 years), the key findings include the following: (1) A rainfall intensity of 60 mm/h represents a crucial threshold for system performance, beyond which significant impacts on community infrastructure emerge, with built-up areas experiencing inundation depths of 0.27–0.4 m that exceed safe passage limits. (2) Road networks become primary drainage channels during intense precipitation, with velocities exceeding 5 m/s in village roads and exceeding 5 m/s in country road sections, creating significant hazard potential. (3) Four major risk spots were identified with distinct waterlogging patterns, characterized by maximum depths ranging from 0.8 to 2.0 m and recovery periods varying from 2 to 12 hours depending on the topographic confluence effects and drainage efficiency. (4) The system demonstrates strong recovery capability, achieving >90% recovery within 3–6 hours for short-duration events, while showing vulnerability to extreme scenarios, with performance declining to 0.75–0.80, highlighting the coupling effects between water depth and flow velocity in steep terrain. This research provides quantitative insights for flood risk management and for enhancing community resilience in mountainous regions, offering valuable guidance for infrastructure improvement, emergency response optimization, and sustainable community development. This study primarily focuses on physical resilience aspects, with socioeconomic and institutional dimensions representing important directions for future research. Full article

With global warming and accelerated urbanization, urban flooding became one of the top ten international natural disasters in 2024. In order to accurately and efficiently simulate the impact of upstream river water transport on downstream river inundation under heavy rainfall scenarios, this study proposes a river inundation water depth calculation model based on a deep ensemble learning approach. The model integrates flood inundation data from hydrodynamic models with machine learning techniques, introducing a matrix-based deep ensemble learning method. The results demonstrate superior prediction accuracy, with an RMSE of 0.04 and R² of 0.95. Validation using typical rainfall data from 6 July 2022 shows that the model achieves a prediction error of less than 0.15 m across 99.8% of the domain, outperforming standalone models. These findings confirm that the deep ensemble model effectively captures the complex relationships between rainfall, terrain, and flow dynamics, providing reliable water depth predictions in data-scarce regions through multi-coupling modeling based on river characteristics. Full article

Flood hazards have increasingly threatened the East Kazakhstan region in recent decades due to climate change and growing anthropogenic pressures, leading to more frequent and severe flooding events. This article considers an approach to modeling and forecasting river runoff using the example of the small Kurchum River in the East Kazakhstan region. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the numerical performance of the flood hazard model by comparing simulated flood extents with observed flood data. Two types of data were used as initial data: topographic data (digital elevation models and topographic maps) and hydrological data, including streamflow time series from stream gauges (hourly time steps) and lateral inflows along the river course. Spatially distributed rainfall forcing was not applied. To build the model, we used the software packages of HEC-RAS version 5.0.5 and MIKE version 11. Using retrospective data for 3 years (2019–2021), modeling was performed, the calculated boundaries of possible flooding were obtained, and the highest risk zones were identified. A dynamic map of depth changes in the river system is presented, showing the process of flood wave propagation, the dynamics of depth changes, and the expansion of the flood zone. Temporal flood inundation mapping and performance metrics were evaluated for each individual flood event (2019, 2020, and 2021). The simulation outcomes closely correlate with actual flood events. The assessment showed that the model data coincide with the real ones by 91.89% (2019), 89.09% (2020), and 95.91% (2021). The obtained results allow for a clarification of potential flood zones and can be used in planning measures to reduce flood risks. This study demonstrates the importance of an integrated approach to modeling, combining various software packages and data sources. Full article

The flood risk of urban buildings has been continuously increasing, owing to the increasing frequency and severity of floods. There is an urgent need to implement precise mitigation strategies to address the unique characteristics of urban residential structures. In this study, an indicator system consisting of 17 indicators in four dimensions (extent of hazard, degree of exposure, vulnerability, and response ability) was developed for the flood risk of residential buildings. The assessment was conducted in Katsushika Ward, Tokyo, and the ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS(AHP)—Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) method was integrated with Geographic Information System(GIS) technology. The spatial distribution of residential flood risk exhibits marked heterogeneity, with ‘extremely high’ and ‘high’ risk areas concentrated in northwestern and southwestern riverine zones. These regions exhibit dense populations, substantial assets, deep immersion depths, prolonged inundation durations, high proportions of wooden houses, and narrow roads impeding rescue operations. The mitigation priorities are the following: Enhance flood-resistant building heights and quality in riverside areas, strengthen vacant house management, widen rescue access routes, promote mid-/high-rise buildings, and optimize subsidies for tenants and single-person households to minimize losses. Full article

Climate changes have increased heavy rainfall, intensifying flood damage, especially along small streams with steep slopes, fast flows, and narrow widths. In Korea, nearly half of flood-related casualties occur in these regions, underscoring the need for effective flood early warning systems. However, predicting flood depths is challenging due to the complex channels and rapid flood wave propagation in small streams. This study developed a flood early warning framework (FEWF) tailored for small streams in Korea, optimizing rainfall–discharge nomographs using hydro-informatic data from four streams. The FEWF integrates a four-parameter logistic model with real-time updates with a nomograph using a robust constrained nonlinear optimization algorithm. A simplified two-level early warning system (attention and severe) is based on field-verified thresholds. Discharge predictions estimate the water depth in unmeasured cross-sections using the Manning formula, with real-time data updates allowing for the dynamic identification of the flood depth. The framework was validated during the 2022 flood event, where no inundation or bank failures were observed. By improving flood prediction and adaptive management, this framework can significantly enhance disaster response and reduce casualties in vulnerable small stream areas. Full article

Urban flooding, driven by extreme rainfall events and urbanization, poses substantial risks to urban safety and infrastructure. This study employed a neighborhood-scale InfoWorks ICM model to analyze the full-process impacts of urban flooding under six rainfall return periods in Haining, China. The results reveal distinct non-linear responses from the 3-year to 50-year rainfall return period: (1) the surface runoff volume increases by 64.3%, with peak timing advancing by about one minute; (2) the overflow nodes rise from 37.35% to 63.24%, with durations over 30 min increasing by 78.6%; (3) the inundation areas expand by 164.9%, with maximum depths increasing by 0.31 m, showing significant regional disparities; and (4) high-risk zones, such as Haining People’s Square and Railway Station, require targeted interventions due to severe surface overflow and inundation. This comprehensive analysis emphasizes the need for tailored and phased flood prevention measures that address each stage of urban flooding. It provides a strong framework to guide urban planning and enhance resilience against rainfall-induced urban flooding. Full article

Floods have significant impacts on economic development and cause the loss of both lives and property, posing a serious threat to social stability. Effectively identifying the evolution patterns of floods could enhance the role of flood monitoring in disaster prevention and mitigation. Firstly, in this study, we utilized low-cost multi-source multi-temporal remote sensing to construct an HIS-NSCT fusion model based on SAR and optical remote sensing in order to obtain the best fusion image. Secondly, we constructed a regional growth model to accurately identify floods. Finally, we extracted and analyzed the extent, depth, and area of the farmland submerged by the flood. The results indicated that the HIS-NSCT fusion model maintained the spatial characteristics and spectral information of the remote sensing images well, as determined through subjective and objective multi-index evaluations. Moreover, the regional growth model could preserve the detailed features of water body edges, eliminate misclassifications caused by terrain shadows, and enable the effective extraction of water bodies. Based on multi-temporal remote sensing fusion images of Poyang Lake, and incorporating precipitation, elevation, cultivated land, and other data, the accurate identification of the flood inundation range, inundation depth, and inundated cultivated land area can be achieved. This study provides data and technical support for regional flood identification, flood control, and disaster relief decision-making, among other aspects. Full article

In this research, a numerical model for simulating dam break floods was developed utilizing ArcGIS 10.8, 3ds Max 2021, and Flow-3D v11.2 software, with the aim of accurately representing the dam break disaster at Tianchi Lake in Changbai Mountain. The study involved the construction of a Triangulated Irregular Network (TIN) terrain surface and the application of 3ds Max 2021 to enhance the precision of the three-dimensional terrain data, thereby optimizing the depiction of the region’s topography. The finite volume method, along with multi-block grid technology, was employed to model the dam break scenario at Tianchi Lake. To evaluate the severity of the dam break disaster, the research integrated land use classifications within the study area with the simulated flood depths resulting from the dam break, applying the natural breaks method for hazard level classification. The findings indicated that the computational fluid dynamics (CFD) numerical model developed in this study significantly enhanced both the efficiency and accuracy of the simulations. Furthermore, the disaster assessment methodology that incorporated land use types facilitated the generation of inundation maps and disaster zoning maps across two scenarios, thereby effectively assessing the impacts of the disaster under varying conditions. Full article

The glaciers in the High Mountain Asia (HMA) region are highly vulnerable to global warming, posing significant threats to downstream populations and infrastructure through glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs). The monitoring and early warnings of these events are challenging due to sparse observations in these remote regions. To explore reproducing the evolution of GLOFs with sparse observations in situ, this study focuses on the outburst event and corresponding GLOFs in August 2018 caused by the Kyagar Glacier lake, a typical glacier lake of the HMA in the Karakoram, which is known for its frequent outburst events, using a combination of multi-satellite remote sensing data (Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2) and the HEC-RAS hydrodynamic model. The water depth of the glacier lake and downstream was extracted from satellite data adapted by the Floodwater Depth Elevation Tool (FwDET) as a baseline to compare them with simulations. The elevation-water volume curve was obtained by extrapolation and was applied to calculate the water surface elevation (WSE). The inundation of the downstream of the lake outburst was obtained through flood modeling by incorporating a load elevation-water volume curve and the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) into the hydrodynamic model HEC-RAS. The results showed that the Kyagar glacial lake outburst was rapid and destructive, accompanied by strong currents at the end of each downstream storage ladder. A series of meteorological evaluation indicators showed that HEC-RAS reproduced the medium and low streamflow rates well. This study demonstrated the value of integrating remote sensing and hydrodynamic modeling into GLOF assessments in data-scarce regions, providing insights for disaster risk management and mitigation. Full article

Demak is highly vulnerable to flooding from both fluvial and coastal storms, facing increasing pressures on its sustainability and resilience due to multiple compounding flood hazards. This study assesses the inundation hazards in Demak coastal areas by modeling the impacts of compound flooding. We modeled eight scenarios incorporating long-term forces, such as sea level rise (SLR) and land subsidence (LS), as well as immediate forces, like storm surges, wind waves, and river discharge. Our findings reveal that immediate forces primarily increase inundation depth, while long-term forces expand the inundation area. Combined effects from storm tides and other factors resulted in a 10–20% increase in flood extent compared to individual forces. Fluvial flooding mostly impacts areas near river outlets, but the combination of river discharge and storm tides produces flood extents similar to those caused by SLR. Land subsidence emerged as the primary driver of coastal flooding, while other factors, adding just 25% to area increase, significantly impacted inundation depth. These findings underscore the effectiveness of mangroves in mitigating floods in low-lying areas against immediate forces. However, the resilience and sustainability of the Demak region are challenged by SLR, LS, and the need to integrate these factors into a comprehensive flood mitigation strategy. Full article