Search Results (80)

Weather radars are essential in the Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPE) but are susceptible to calibration errors. Previous work demonstrated that observations from the Ku-band Dual Polarization Radar (DPR) radar on board the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission Dual-Precipitation Radar (GPM) are suitable for ground radar calibration. Several studies volume-matched ground radar and GPM DPR Ku-band reflectivities for the absolute calibration of ground radars, by applying different constraints and filters in the volume-matching procedure. This study compares and evaluates volume-matching thresholds and data filtering schemes for the Rizoelia, Larnaca (LCA) and Nata, Pafos (PFO) radars of the Cyprus weather radar network from October 2017 till May 2023. Excluding reflectivities below and within the melting layer with a 250 m buffer yielded consistent results for both ground radars. The selected calibration schemes were combined, and the resulting offsets were compared to stable radar parameters to identify stable calibration periods. The consistency of the wet hydrological year October 2019 to September 2020 suggests that radar calibration results are prone to differences in meteorological conditions, as scarce rainfall can result in insufficient data for reliable calibration. Future work will incorporate disdrometer measurements and extend the analysis to quantitative precipitation estimation. Full article

A new quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) method for Himawari-9 (H9) and Fengyun-4B (FY4B) satellites has been developed based on cloud top brightness temperature (TBB). The 24-hour, 6-hour, and hourly rainfall estimates of H9 and FY4B have been compared with rain gauge datasets and precipitation estimation data from the GPM IMERG V07 (IMERG) and Global Precipitation Satellite (GSMaP) products, especially based on the case study of landfalling super typhoon “Doksuri” in 2023. The results indicate that the bias-corrected QPE algorithm substantially improves precipitation estimation accuracy across multiple temporal scales and intensity categories. For extreme precipitation events (≥100 mm/day), the FY4B-based estimates exhibit markedly better performance. Furthermore, in light-to-moderate rainfall (0.1–24.9 mm/day) and heavy rain to rainstorm ranges (25.0–99.9 mm/day), its retrievals are largely comparable to those from IMERG and GSMaP, demonstrating robust consistency across varying precipitation intensities. Therefore, the new QPE retrieval algorithm in this study could largely improve the accuracy and reliability of satellite precipitation estimation for extreme weather events such as typhoons. Full article

Feature detection is one of the hot topics in the weather radar research community. This study employed a convective–stratiform classification algorithm to detect features in polarimetric radar variables and Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) retrieval during a heavy precipitation event in Crossville, Tennessee, during warm-season convection. Analysis of polarimetric radar variables revealed that strong updrafts, mixed-phase precipitation, and large hailstones in the radar resolution volume during the event were driven by the existence of supercell thunderstorms. The results of feature detection highlight that the regions with convective–stratiform cores and strong–faint features in the reflectivity field are similar to those in the rainfall field, demonstrating how the algorithm more effectively detects features in both fields. The results of the estimates, accounting for uncertainty during feature detection, indicate that an offset of +2 dB overestimated convective features in the northeast in both the reflectivity and rainfall fields, while an offset of −2 dB underestimated convective features in the northwest part of both fields. The results highlight that convective cores cover a small area with high rainfall exceeding 50 mmh⁻¹, while stratiform cores cover a larger area with greater horizontal homogeneity and lower rainfall intensity. These findings are significant for nowcasting weather, numerical models, hydrological applications, and enhancing climatological computations. Full article

Quantitative precipitation estimation using polarimetric radar in attenuation-prone frequency (X-band) in tropical regions characterized by convective rain systems with high intensities is a major challenge due to strong attenuations that can lead to total signal extinction over short distances. However, some authors have addressed this issue in Benin since 2006 in the framework of the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis program. Thus, with an experimental setup consisting of an X-band polarimetric weather radar (Xport) and a network of rain gauges, investigations have started on the subject with the aim of improving rainfall estimates. Based on simulated polarimetric variables and using a Multilayer Perceptron artificial neural network, several bi-variable and tri-variable algorithms were assessed in this study. The data used in this study are of two categories: (i) simulated polarimetric variables (Rayleigh reflectivity $Z$, horizontal attenuation $A_h$, horizontal reflectivity $Z_h$, differential reflectivity $Z_{dr}$, and specific differential phase $K_{dp}$) and rainfall intensity (R) obtained from Rain Drop Size Distribution (DSD) measurements used for algorithm evaluation (training and testing); (ii) polarimetric variables measured by the Xport radar and rainfall intensity measured by rain gauges used for algorithm validation. The simulations are performed using the T-matrix code, which leverages the scattering properties of spheroidal particles. The DSD measurements taken in northwest Benin were used as input for this code. For each spectrum, the T-matrix code simulates multiple variables. The simulated data (first category) were divided into two parts: one for training and one for testing. Subsequently, the best algorithms were validated with the second category of data. The performance of the algorithms during training, testing, and validation was evaluated using metrics. The best selected algorithms are $A1:R(Z,K_{dp})$ and $A12:R(Z_{dr},K_{dp})$ (among the bi-variable); $B2:R(Z_h,Z_{dr},K_{dp})$ and $B3:R(A_h,Z_{dr},K_{dp})$ (among the tri-variable). Tri-variable algorithms outperform bi-variable algorithms. Validation with observation data (Xport measurements and rain gauge network) showed that the algorithm $B3:R(A_h,Z_{dr},K_{dp})$ performs better than $B2:R(Z_h,Z_{dr},K_{dp})$. Full article

To improve radar-based quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) methods, this study investigated the relationship between radar reflectivity (Z) and hourly rainfall intensity (R) using data from 289 precipitation events in Shanghai between September 2020 and March 2024. Two Z-R relationship models were compared in terms of their fitting performance: Z = 270.81 R^1.09 (empirically fitted relationship) and Z = 300 R^1.4 (standard relationship). The results show that the Z = 270.81 R^1.09 model outperforms the Z = 300 R^1.4 model in terms of fitting accuracy. Specifically, the Z = 270.81 R^1.09 model more effectively captures the nonlinear relationship between radar reflectivity and rainfall intensity, with a higher degree of agreement between the fitted curve and the observed data points. This model demonstrated superior performance across all 289 precipitation events. This study evaluated the performance of four machine learning approaches while incorporating five meteorological features: specific differential phase shift (KDP), echo-top height (ET), vertical liquid water content (VIL), differential reflectivity (ZDR), and correlation coefficient (CC). Nine QPE models were constructed using these inputs. The key findings are as follows: (1) For models with a single-variable input, the KAN deep learning model outperformed Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Decision Trees, Support Vector Machines, and the traditional Z-R relationship. (2) When six features were used as inputs, the accuracy of the machine learning models improved significantly, with the KAN deep learning model outperforming other machine learning methods. Compared to using only radar reflectivity, the KAN deep learning model reduced the MRE by 20.78%, MAE by 4.07%, and RMSE by 12.74%, while increasing the coefficient of determination (R²) by 18.74%. (3) The integration of multiple meteorological features and machine learning optimization significantly enhanced QPE accuracy, with the KAN deep learning model performing best under varying meteorological conditions. This approach offers a promising method for improving radar-based QPE, particularly considering seasonal, weather system, and precipitation stage differentiation. Full article

In the summer of 2023, North China experienced a rare extreme precipitation storm due to Typhoons Doksuri and Khanun, leading to significant secondary disasters and highlighting the urgent need for accurate rainfall forecasting. Satellite-based quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) products like Integrated Multi-Satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) and Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) Mission have great potential for enhancing forecasts, necessitating a quantitative evaluation before deployment. This study uses a dense rain gauge as a benchmark to assess the accuracy and capability of the latest version 7B IMERG and version 8 GSMaP satellite-based QPE products for the 2023 summer extreme precipitation in North China. These satellite-based QPE products include four satellite-only products, namely IMERG early run (IMERG_ER) and IMERG late run (IMERG_LR), GSMaP near-real-time (GSMaP_NRT), and GSMaP microwave-infrared reanalyzed (GSMaP_MVK), along with two gauge-corrected products, namely IMERG final run (IMERG_FR) and GSMaP gauge adjusted (GSMaP_Gauge). The results show that (1) GSMaP_MVK, IMERG_LR, and IMERG_FR effectively capture the space distribution of the extreme rainfall, with relatively high correlation coefficients (CCs) of approximately 0.77, 0.75, and 0.79. The IMERG_ER, GSMaP_NRT, and GSMaP_Gauge products exhibit a less accurate spatial pattern capture (CCs about 0.66, 0.73, and 0.67, respectively). Each of the six QPE products tends to underestimate rainfall (RBs < 0%). (2) The IMERG products surpass the corresponding GSMaP products in serial rainfall measurement. IMERG_LR demonstrates superior performance with the lowest root-mean-square error (RMSE) (about 0.38 mm), the highest CC (0.97), and less underestimation (RB about −6.37%). (3) The IMERG products at rainfall rates ≥ 30 mm/h, GSMaP_NRT and GSMaP_MVK products at rainfall rates ≥ 55 mm/h, and GSMaP_Gauge products at ≥ 40 mm/h showed marked limitations in event detection, with a near-zero probability of detection (POD) and a nearly 100% false alarm ratio (FAR). In this extreme precipitation event, caution is needed when using the IMERG and GSMaP products. Full article

In the context of rising temperatures and increasing humidity in Northwest China, substantial gaps remain in understanding the mechanisms of land–atmosphere cloud–precipitation coupling across the northeastern Tibetan Plateau (TP), Loess Plateau (LP), and Huangshui Valley (HV). This study addresses these gaps by investigating cloud properties and precipitation patterns utilizing the Fengyun-4 Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimation Product (FY4A-QPE) and ERA5 datasets. We specifically focus on Lanzhou, a pivotal city within the LP, and Xining, which epitomizes the HV. Our findings reveal that diurnal variations in precipitation are significantly less pronounced in the eastern regions compared to northeastern TP. This discrepancy is attributed to marked diurnal fluctuations in convective available potential energy (CAPE) and wind shear between 200 and 500 hPa. While both cities share similar wind shear patterns and moisture transport directions, Xining benefits from enhanced snowmelt and effective water retention in surrounding mountains, resulting in higher precipitation levels. Conversely, Lanzhou suffers from moisture deficits, with dry, hot winds exacerbating the situation. Notably, precipitation in Xining is strongly correlated with CAPE, influenced by diurnal variability, and intensified by valley and lake–land breezes, which drive afternoon convection. In contrast, Lanzhou’s precipitation exhibits a weak relationship with CAPE, as even elevated values fail to generate significant cloud formation due to insufficient moisture. The ongoing trends of warming and humidification may lead to improved precipitation patterns, especially in the HV, with potential ecological benefits. However, concentrated rainfall during summer afternoons and midnights raises concerns regarding extreme weather events, highlighting the susceptibility of the HV to geological hazards. This research underscores the need to further explore the uncertainties inherent in precipitation dynamics in these regions. Full article

Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) is fundamental for a large number of hydrometeorological applications, especially when addressing extreme rainfall phenomena. This paper presents a comprehensive comparison of various rainfall estimation methods, specifically those relying on weather radar data, rain gauge data, and their fusion. The study evaluates the accuracy and reliability of each method in estimating rainfall for a severe event that occurred in Tuscany, Italy. The results obtained confirm that merging radar and rain gauge data outperforms both individual approaches by reducing errors and improving the overall reliability of precipitation estimates. This study highlights the importance of data fusion in enhancing the accuracy of QPE and also supports its application in operational contexts, providing further evidence for the greater reliability of merging methods. Full article

Raindrop size distribution (DSD) has an essential effect on rainfall kinetic energy estimation (RKEE) and dual-polarization radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE); DSD is a key factor for establishing a dual-polarization radar QPE scheme and RKEE scheme, particularly in mountainous areas. To improve the understanding of seasonal DSD-based RKEE, dual-polarization radar QPE, and the impact of rainfall types and classification methods, we investigated RKEE schemes and dual-polarimetric radar QPE algorithms across seasons and rainfall types based on two classic classification methods (BR09 and BR03) and DSD data from a disdrometer in the Tianshan Mountains during 2020–2022. Two RKEE schemes were established: the rainfall kinetic energy flux–rain rate (KE_time–R) and the rainfall kinetic energy content–mass-weighted mean diameter (KE_mm–D_m). Both showed seasonal variation, whether it was stratiform rainfall or convective rainfall, under BR03 and BR09. Both schemes had excellent performance, especially the KE_mm–D_m relationship across seasons and rainfall types. In addition, four QPE schemes for dual-polarimetric radar—R(K_dp), R(Z_h), R(K_dp,Z_dr), and R(Z_h,Z_dr)—were established, and exhibited characteristics that varied with season and rainfall type. Overall, the performance of the single-parameter algorithms was inferior to that of the double-parameter algorithms, and the performance of the R(Z_h) algorithm was inferior to that of the R(K_dp) algorithm. The results of this study show that it is necessary to consider different rainfall types and seasons, as well as classification methods of rainfall types, when applying RKEE and dual-polarization radar QPE. In this process, choosing a suitable estimator—KE_time(R), KE_mm(D_m), R(K_dp), R(Z_h), R(K_dp,Z_dr), or R(Z_h,Z_dr)—is key to improving the accuracy of estimating the rainfall KE and R. Full article

In addressing the challenges of quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) using weather radar, the importance of enhancing the rainfall estimates for applications such as flash flood forecasting and hydropower generation management is recognized. This study employed dual-polarization weather radar data to refine the traditional Z–R relationship, which often needs higher accuracy in areas with complex meteorological phenomena. Utilizing tree-based machine learning algorithms, such as random forest and gradient boosting, this research analyzed polarimetric variables to capture the intricate patterns within the Z–R relationship. The results highlight machine learning’s potential to improve the precision of precipitation estimation, especially under challenging weather conditions. Integrating meteorological insights with advanced machine learning techniques is a remarkable achievement toward a more precise and adaptable precipitation estimation method. Full article

Quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) by radar observation data is a crucial aspect of meteorological forecasting operations. Accurate QPE plays a significant role in mitigating the impact of severe convective weather. Traditional QPE methods mainly employ an exponential Z–R relationship to map the radar reflectivity to precipitation intensity on a point-to-point basis. However, this isolated point-to-point transformation lacks an effective representation of convective systems. Deep learning-based methods can learn the evolution patterns of convective systems from rich historical data. However, current models often rely on 2 km-height CAPPI images, which struggle to capture the complex vertical motions within convective systems. To address this, we propose a novel QPE model: combining the classic extrapolation model ConvLSTM with Unet for an encoder-decoder module assembly. Meanwhile, we utilize three-dimensional radar echo images as inputs and introduce the convolutional block attention module (CBAM) to guide the model to focus on individual cells most likely to trigger intense precipitation, which is symmetrically built on both channel and spatial attention modules. We also employ asymmetry in training using weighted mean squared error to make the model concentrate more on heavy precipitation events which are prone to severe disasters. We conduct experiments using radar data from North China and Eastern China. For precipitation above 1 mm, the proposed model achieves 0.6769 and 0.7910 for CSI and HSS, respectively. The results indicate that compared to other methods, our model significantly enhances precipitation prediction accuracy, with a more pronounced improvement in forecasting accuracy for heavy precipitation events. Full article

Using radar to estimate and forecast precipitation as input for hydrological models has become increasingly popular in recent years because of its superior spatial and temporal simulation compared with using rain gauge data. This study used radar-based quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) to select the optimal parameter set for the MIKE URBAN hydrological model and radar-based quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF) to simulate inundation in Nam Dinh city, Vietnam. The results show the following: (1) radar has the potential to improve the modeling and provide the data needed for real-time smart control if proper bias adjustment is obtained and the risk of underestimated flows after heavy rain is minimized, and (2) the MIKE URBAN model used to calculate two simulation scenarios with rain gauge data and QPE data showed effectiveness in combining the application of radar-based precipitation for the forecasting and warning of urban floods in Nam Dinh city. The results in Scenario 2 with rainfall forecast data from radar provide better simulation results. The average relative error in Scenario 2 is 9%, while the average relative error in Scenario 1 is 15%. Using the grid radar-based precipitation forecasting as input data for the MIKE URBAN model significantly reduces the error between the observed water depth and the simulated results compared with the case using an input rain gauge measured at Nam Dinh station (the difference in inundation level of Scenario 2 using radar-based precipitation is 0.005 m, and it is 0.03 m in Scenario 1). The results obtained using the QPE and QPF radar as input for the MIKE URBAN model will be the basis for establishing an operational forecasting system for the Northern Delta and Midland Regional Hydro-Meteorological Center, Viet Nam Meteorological and Hydrological Administration. Full article

A series of typhoons and tropical storms have produced extreme precipitation events in Vietnam during the first part of the 2020 monsoon season: events of this magnitude pose significant challenges to remote sensing Quantitative Precipitation Estimation (QPE) techniques. The weather-monitoring needs of modern human activities require that these challenges be overcome. In order to address this issue, in this work, seven precipitation products were validated with high spatial and temporal detail against over 1200 rain gauges in Vietnam during six case studies tailored around the most intense events of 2020. The data sources included the Vietnamese weather radar network, IMERG Early run and Final run, the South Korean GEO-KOMPSAT-2A and Chinese FengYun-4A geostationary satellites, DPR on board the GPM-Core Observatory, and European ERA5-Land reanalysis. All products were resampled to a standardized 0.02° grid and compared at hourly scale with ground stations measurements. The results indicated that the radars product was the most capable of reproducing the information collected by the rain gauges during the selected extreme events, with a correlation coefficient of 0.70 and a coefficient of variation of 1.38. However, it exhibited some underestimation, approximately 30%, in both occurrence and intensity. Conversely, geostationary products tended to overestimate moderate rain rates (FY-4A) and areas with low precipitation (GK-2A). More complex products such as ERA5-Land and IMERG failed to capture the highest intensities typical of extreme events, while GPM-DPR showed promising results in detecting the highest rain rates, but its capability to observe isolated events was limited by its intermittent coverage. Full article

Precise knowledge of the antenna pointing direction is a key facet to ensure the accuracy of observations from scanning weather radars. The sun is an often-used reference point to aid accurate alignment of weather radar systems and is particularly useful when observed as interference during normal scanning operations. In this study, we combine two online solar interference approaches to determine the pointing accuracy of an X-band mobile weather radar system deployed for 26 months in northern England (54.517°N, 3.615°W). During the deployment, several shifts in the tilt of the radar system are diagnosed between site visits. One extended period of time (>11 months) is shown to have a changing tilt that is independent of human intervention. To verify the corrections derived from this combined approach, quantitative precipitation estimates (QPEs) from the radar system are compared to surface observations: an approach that takes advantage of the variations in the magnitude of partial beam blockage corrections required due to tilting of the radar system close to mountainous terrain. The observed improvements in QPE performance after correction support the use of the derived tilt corrections for further applications using the corrected dataset. Finally, recommendations for future deployments are made, with particular focus on higher latitudes where solar interference spikes show more seasonality than those at mid-latitudes. Full article

With the development of the Chinese Fengyun satellite series, Fengyun-2G (FY-2G) quantitative precipitation estimates (QPE) can provide real-time and high-quality precipitation data over East Asia. However, FY-2G QPE cannot offer precipitation information beyond the latitude band of 50°N due to the limitation of the observation coverage of the FY-2G-based satellite-borne sensor. To this end, a precipitation space reconstruction using the geographically weighted regression (GWR) coupled with a geographical differential analysis (GDA) (PSR2G) algorithm was developed, based on the land surface variables related to precipitation, including vegetational cover, land surface temperature, geographical location, and topographic characteristics. This study used the PSR2G-based reconstructed model to estimate the FY-2G QPE over Northeast China (the latitude band beyond 50°N) from December 2015 to November 2019 with a spatiotemporal resolution of 0.1°/month. The PSR2G-based reconstructed results were validated with the ground observations of 80 rain gauges, and also compared to the reconstructed results using random forest (RF) and GWR. The results show that the spatio-temporal pattern of PSR2G QPE is closer to ground observations than those of RF and GWR, which indicates that the PSR2G QPE is more competent to capture the spatio-temporal variation of rainfall over Northeast China than other two reconstruction methods. In addition, the reconstructed precipitation dataset using PSR2G has higher accuracy over study area than the FY-2G QPE below the band of 50°N. It suggested that PSR2G reconstruction precipitation strategies do not lose the precision of the original satellite precipitation data. Full article