Search Results (37)

While rainfall occurs for several reasons, climate change and urbanization influence its frequency and geographical disparities. Although recent research suggests that urbanization may lead to increased rainfall, insights into how urbanization can trigger rainfall remain limited. We selected the Dallas–Fort Worth (DFW) metroplex, which has minimal orographic and coastal influences, to analyze the urban impact on rainfall. DFW was divided into 256 equal grids (10 km × 10 km) and grouped into four clusters using K-means clustering based on the urbanization ratio. Using Multi-Sensor Precipitation Estimator data (with a spatial resolution of 4 km), we examined rainfall exceeding the 95th percentile (i.e., extreme rainfall) on low synoptic days to highlight localized effects. The urban heat island (UHI) effect was estimated based on the average temperature difference between the urban core and the other three non-urban clusters. Multiple rainfall events were monitored on an hourly basis. Potential linkages between urbanization, the UHI, extreme rainfall, wind speed, wind direction, convective inhibition, and convective available potential energy were evaluated. An intense UHI within the DFW area triggered a tornado, resulting in maximum rainfall in the urban core area under high wind speeds and a dominant wind direction. Our findings further clarify the role of urbanization in generating extreme rainfall events, which is essential for developing better policies for urban planning in response to intensifying extreme events due to climate change. Full article

Satellite remote sensing complements rain gauges and ground radars as the primary sources of precipitation data. While significant advancements have been made in spaceborne precipitation estimation since the 1960s, the emergence of multi-sensor precipitation estimation (MPE) in the early 1990s revolutionized global precipitation data generation by integrating infrared and microwave observations. Among others, Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) plays a crucial role in providing invaluable data sources for MPE by utilizing passive microwave sensors and geostationary infrared sensors. MPE represents the current state-of-the-art approach for generating high-quality, high-resolution global satellite precipitation products (SPPs), employing various methods such as cloud motion analysis, probability matching, adjustment ratios, regression techniques, neural networks, and weighted averaging. International collaborations, such as the International Precipitation Working Group and the Precipitation Virtual Constellation, have significantly contributed to enhancing our understanding of the uncertainties associated with MPEs and their corresponding SPPs. It has been observed that SPPs exhibit higher reliability over tropical oceans compared to mid- and high-latitudes, particularly during cold seasons or in regions with complex terrains. To further advance MPE research, future efforts should focus on improving accuracy for extremely low- and high-precipitation events, solid precipitation measurements, as well as orographic precipitation estimation. Full article

The integrated multi-satellite retrievals for the global precipitation measurement (IMERG) data, which is the latest generation of multi-satellite fusion inversion precipitation product provided by the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission, has been widely applied in hydrological research and applications. However, the quality of IMERG data needs to be validated, as this technology is essentially an indirect way to obtain precipitation information. This study evaluated the performance of IMERG final run (version 6.0) products from 2001 to 2020, using three sets of gauge-derived precipitation data obtained from the Integrated Surface Database, China Meteorological Administration, and U.S. Climate Reference Network. The results showed a basic consistency in the spatial pattern of annual precipitation total between IMERG data and gauge observations. The highest and lowest correlations between IMERG data and gauge observations were obtained in North Asia (0.373, p < 0.05) and Europe (0.308, p < 0.05), respectively. IMERG data could capture the bimodal structure of diurnal precipitation in South Asia but overestimates a small variation in North Asia. The disparity was attributed to the frequency overestimation but intensity underestimation in satellite inversion, since small raindrops may evaporate before arriving at the ground but can be identified by remote sensors. IMERG data also showed similar patterns of interannual precipitation variability to gauge observation, while overestimating the proportion of annual precipitation hours by 2.5% in North America, and 2.0% in North Asia. These findings deepen our understanding of the capabilities of the IMERG product to estimate precipitation at the hourly scale, and can be further applied to improve satellite precipitation retrieval. Full article

In this study, we explored the efficacy of random forest algorithms in downscaling CHIRPS (Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data) precipitation data to predict Argane stand traits. Nonparametric regression integrated original CHIRPS data with environmental variables, demonstrating enhanced accuracy aligned with ground rain gauge observations after residual correction. Furthermore, we explored the performance of range machine learning algorithms, encompassing XGBoost, GBDT, RF, DT, SVR, LR and ANN, in predicting the Leaf Area Index (LAI) and crop yield of Argane trees using condition index-based drought indices such as PCI, VCI, TCI and ETCI derived from multi-sensor satellites. The results demonstrated the superiority of XGBoost in estimating these parameters, with drought indices used as input. XGBoost-based crop yield achieved a higher R² value of 0.94 and a lower RMSE of 6.25 kg/ha. Similarly, the XGBoost-based LAI model showed the highest level of accuracy, with an R² of 0.62 and an RMSE of 0.67. The XGBoost model demonstrated superior performance in predicting the crop yield and LAI estimation of Argania sinosa, followed by GBDT, RF and ANN. Additionally, the study employed the Combined Drought Index (CDI) to monitor agricultural and meteorological drought over two decades, by combining four key parameters, PCI, VCI, TCI and ETCI, validating its accuracy through comparison with other drought indices. CDI exhibited positive correlations with VHI, SPI and crop yield, with a particularly strong and statistically significant correlation observed with VHI (r = 0.83). Therefore, CDI was recommended as an effective method and index for assessing and monitoring drought across Argane forest stands area. The findings demonstrated the potential of advanced machine learning models for improving precipitation data resolution and enhancing agricultural drought monitoring, contributing to better land and hydrological management. Full article

Drought can have significant impacts on forests, with long periods of water scarcity leading to water stress in trees and possible damages to their eco-physiological functions. Satellite-based remote sensing offers a valuable tool for monitoring and assessing drought conditions over large and remote forested regions. The objective of this study is to evaluate the hydrological consistency in the context of drought of precipitation, soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and land surface temperature observations against in situ measurements in a number of well-monitored sites in New Zealand. Results showed that drought indicators were better captured from soil moisture observations compared to precipitation satellite observations. Nevertheless, we found statistically significant causality relationships between the multi-sensor satellite observations (median p-values ranging from 0.001 to 0.019), with spatial resolution appearing to be an important aspect for the adequate estimation of drought characteristics. Understanding the limitations and capabilities of satellite observations is crucial for improving the accuracy of forest drought monitoring, which, in turn, will aid in sustainable forest management and the development of mitigation and adaptation strategies in the face of changing climate conditions. Full article

Drought is an extremely dangerous natural hazard that causes water crises, crop yield reduction, and ecosystem fires. Researchers have developed many drought indices based on ground-based climate data and various remote sensing data. Ground-based drought indices are more accurate but limited in coverage; while the remote sensing drought indices cover larger areas but have poor accuracy. Applying data-driven models to fuse multi-source remote sensing data for reproducing composite drought index may help fill this gap and better monitor drought in terms of spatial resolution. Machine learning methods can effectively analyze the hierarchical and non-linear relationships between the independent and dependent variables, resulting in better performance compared with traditional linear regression models. In this study, seven drought impact factors from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite sensor, Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM), and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) were used to reproduce the standard precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) for Shandong province, China, from 2002 to 2020. Three machine learning methods, namely bias-corrected random forest (BRF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and support vector machines (SVM) were applied as regression models. Then, the best model was used to construct the spatial distribution of SPEI. The results show that the BRF outperforms XGBoost and SVM in SPEI estimation. The BRF model can effectively monitor drought conditions in areas without ground observation data. The BRF model provides comprehensive drought information by producing a spatial distribution of SPEI, which provides reliability for the BRF model to be applied in drought monitoring. Full article

Accurate accounting of spatiotemporal variability of precipitation is essential for understanding the changing climate. Among the available precipitation estimates, the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) is an international satellite network providing advanced global precipitation estimates. The integrated multi-satellite retrievals for GPM (IMERG) algorithm combines information from the GPM satellite constellation to estimate precipitation and yields a better performance in detecting precipitation events and spatial resolution. Here, we used twenty years (2001–2020) of IMERG Final data over the entire Nepal to analyze the spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation. This study evaluates the dynamic characteristics of the precipitation amounts, intensities, frequencies, and other relevant data across Nepal, using four IMERG datasets: (i) microwave only, (ii) infrared only, (iii) multi satellites gauge uncalibrated, and (iv) multi satellites gauge calibrated. A total of 28 precipitation indices was computed: threshold-based counts, consecutive days, precipitation amounts and extremes, precipitation intensity, percentile-based extremities, proportion-based indices, and additional seasonal indices. Results show that all four IMERG datasets are promising in capturing spatial details. The frequency of wet days corresponds with ground-based precipitation. Still, most indices, including consecutive wet days, annual and monsoon precipitation, and days when precipitation equaled or exceeded 20 and 50 mm, were substantially underestimated. In addition, the microwave-only dataset highly underestimated the precipitation amount. Notably, a substantial proportion of false alarms is a problem for all four IMERG datasets. Moreover, our results demonstrate that the IMERG uncalibrated dataset tends to overestimate precipitation during heavy precipitation events. These advantages and shortcomings of IMERG datasets over the rugged terrain of Nepal can provide useful feedback for sensor and algorithm developers to overcome limitations and improve retrieval algorithms. The study findings are helpful to the broader data users and practitioners for effective water decision applications. Full article

Although rain gauges provide valuable point-based precipitation observations, gauge data is globally sparse, necessitating interpolation between often-distant measurement locations. Interpolated gauge data is subject to uncertainty just as other precipitation data sources. Previous studies have focused either on the effect of decreasing gauge density on interpolated gauge estimate performance or on the ability of gauge data to accurately assess satellite multi-sensor precipitation data as a function of gauge density. No previous work has directly compared the performance of interpolated gauge estimates and satellite precipitation data as a function of gauge density to identify the gauge density at which satellite precipitation data and interpolated estimates have similar accuracy. This study seeks to provide insight into interpolated gauge product accuracy at low gage densities using a Monte Carlo interpolation scheme at locations across the continental U.S. and Brazil. We hypothesize that the error in interpolated precipitation estimates increases drastically at low rain gauge densities and at high distances to the nearest gauge. Results show that the multisatellite precipitation product, IMERG, has comparable performance in precipitation detection to interpolated gauge data at very low gauge densities (i.e., less than 2 gauges/10,000 km²) and that IMERG often outperforms interpolated data when the distance to the nearest gauge used during interpolation is greater than 80–100 km. However, there does not appear to be a consistent relationship between this performance ‘break point’ and the geographical variables of elevation, distance to coast, and annual precipitation. Full article

Precipitation monitoring is important for earth system modeling and environmental management. Low spatial representativeness limits gauge measurements of rainfall and low spatial resolution limits satellite-derived rainfall. SM2RAIN-based products, which exploit the inversion of the water balance equation to derive rainfall from soil moisture (SM) observations, can be an alternative. However, the quality of SM data limits the accuracy of rainfall. The goal of this work was to improve the accuracy of rainfall estimation through merging multiple soil moisture (SM) datasets. This study proposed an integration framework, which consists of multiple machine learning methods, to use satellite and ground-based soil moisture observations to derive a precipitation product. First, three machine learning (ML) methods (random forest (RF), long short-term memory (LSTM), and convolutional neural network (CNN)) were used, respectively to generate three SM datasets (RF-SM, LSTM-SM, and CNN-SM) by merging satellite (SMOS, SMAP, and ASCAT) and ground-based SM observations. Then, these SM datasets were merged using the Bayesian model averaging method and validated by wireless sensor network (WSN) observations. Finally, the merged SM data were used to produce a rainfall dataset (SM2R) using SM2RAIN. The SM2R dataset was validated using automatic meteorological station (AMS) rainfall observations recorded throughout the Upper Heihe River Basin (China) during 2014–2015 and compared with other rainfall datasets. Our results revealed that the quality of the SM2R data outperforms that of GPM-SM2RAIN, Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS), ERA5-Land (ERA5) and multi-source weighted-ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP). Triple-collocation analysis revealed that SM2R outperformed China Meteorological Data and the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset. Ultimately, the SM2R rainfall product was considered successful with acceptably low spatiotemporal errors (RMSE = 3.5 mm, R = 0.59, and bias = −1.6 mm). Full article

Extreme precipitation events have increasingly happened at global and regional scales as the global climate has changed in recent decades. Accurate quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) plays an important role in the warning of extreme precipitation events. With hourly rain gauge observations as a reference, this study compares the performance of Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission (IMERG) and Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation (GSMaP) quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) products over Northern China in 2021. The Probability of Detection (POD), Relative Bias (RB), Root-Mean-Squared Error (RMSE), and Fractional Standard Error (FSE) are among the assessment metrics, as are the Probability of Detection (POD), False Alarm Ratio (FAR), and Critical Success Index (CSI). We examined the spatial distribution of cumulative precipitation and the temporal distribution of hourly average precipitation for three severe precipitation occurrences using these assessment metrics. The IMERG products capture strong precipitation centers that are compatible with the gauge observations, especially in extreme precipitation events in areas with relatively flat terrain and low-altitude (≤1000 m). Both IMERG (National Aeronautics and Space Administration, NASA) and GSMaP (Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, JAXA) satellite-based QPE products have precipitation peaks in advance (2–4 h) and generally underestimate (overestimate) precipitation when the actual precipitation is heavy (light). The satellite-based QPE products generally overestimate the heavy rainfall caused by non-typhoons and underestimate the heavy rainfall caused by typhoons. The GSMaP products may have the capacity to detect short-term rainstorm events. The accuracy of satellite-based QPE products may be influenced by precipitation intensity, sensors, terrain, and other variables. Therefore, in accordance with our recommendations, more ground rainfall stations should be used to collect actual precipitation data in regions with high levels of spatial heterogeneity and complex topography. The data programmers should strengthen the weights computation retrieval technique and fully utilize infrared (IR)-based data. Furthermore, this study is expected to give helpful feedback to the algorithm developers of IMERG and GSMaP products, as well as those researchers into the use of IMERG and GSMaP satellite-based QPE products in applications. Full article

The weather and climate over the coastal regions have received increasing attention because of substantial population growth, the rising sea level, and extreme weather. Satellite remote sensing provides global precipitation estimates (including coastal land/ocean). While these datasets have been extensively evaluated over land, they have rarely been assessed over coastal ocean. As precipitation radars cover both coastal land and ocean, we used the Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor System (MRMS) gauge-corrected precipitation product from 2018 to 2020 to evaluate three widely used satellite-based precipitation products over the U.S. coastal land versus the ocean (and the water over the Great Lakes). These products included the Integrated Multi-satellite Retrievals for GPM (IMERG), Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks (PERSIANN), and Climate Prediction Center Morphing technique (CMORPH). The MRMS data showed a precipitation climatology difference between the coastal land and the ocean that was higher in the winter and lower in the summer and autumn. IMERG and CMORPH performed best over land and water, respectively, while PERSIANN was the most consistent in its performance over land versus water. Heavy precipitation was overestimated by the three products, with larger overestimates over water than over land. These results were not affected by the MRMS uncertainties due to the gauge correction or by the use of different versions. Full article

The integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM (IMERG) Version V05B and V06B precipitation products from the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission are validated against ground-based observations from the Kwajalein Polarimetric S-band Weather Radar (KPOL) deployed at Kwajalein Atoll in the central Pacific Ocean. Such a validation is particularly important as comprehensive surface measurements over the oceans are practically infeasible, which hampers the identification of possible errors, and improvement of future versions of IMERG and other satellite-based retrieval algorithms. The V05B and V06B IMERG products are validated at their native 0.1°, 30 min resolution from 2014 to 2018 based on both volumetric and categorical metrics. This validation study indicates that precipitation rates from both IMERG V05B and V06B are underestimated with respect to radar surface estimates, but the underestimation is much reduced from V05B to V06B. IMERG V06B outperforms V05B with reduced systematic bias and improved precipitation detectability. The IMERG performance is further traced back to its individual sensors and morphing-based algorithms. The overall underestimation in V05B is mainly driven by the negative relative biases from morphing-based algorithms which are largely corrected in V06B. Imagers perform generally better than sounders because of the usage of low-frequency channels in imagers which can better detect emission signals by the hydrometeors. Among imagers, the GPM Microwave Imager (GMI) and Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer Version 2 (AMSR2) are the best, followed by Special Sensor Microwave Imager/Sounder (SSMIS). Among sounders, the Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS) is the best, followed by Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) and the Sounder for Atmospheric Profiling of Humidity in the Intertropics by Radiometry (SAPHIR) for V06B. Among all categories, morph-only and IR + morph only perform better than SAPHIR. SAPHIR shows the worst performance among all categories, likely due to its limited channel selection. It is envisaged that these results will improve our understanding of IMERG performance over oceans and aid in the improvement of future versions of IMERG. Full article

Sea surface salinity (SSS) is one of the Essential Climate Variables (ECVs), defined by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS). Salinity is modified by river discharge, land run-off, precipitation, and evaporation, and it is advected by oceanic currents. In turn, ocean circulation, the water cycle, and biogeochemistry are deeply impacted by salinity variations. The Mediterranean Sea represents a hot spot for the variability of salinity. Despite the ever-increasing number of moorings and floating buoys, in situ SSS estimates have low coverage, hindering the monitoring of SSS patterns. Conversely, satellite sensors provide SSS surface data at high spatial and temporal resolution, complementing the sparseness of in situ datasets. Here, we describe a multidimensional optimal interpolation algorithm, specifically configured to provide a new daily SSS dataset at 1/16° grid resolution, covering the entire Mediterranean Sea (Med L4 SSS). The main improvements in this regional algorithm are: the ingestion of satellite SSS estimates from multiple satellite missions (NASA’s Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP), ESA’s Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) satellites), and a new background (first guess), specifically built to improve coastal reconstructions. The multi-sensor Med L4 SSS fields have been validated against independent in situ SSS samples, collected between 2010–2020. They have also been compared with global weekly Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS) and Barcelona Expert Centre (BEC) regional products, showing an improved performance. Power spectral density analyses demonstrated that the Med L4 SSS field achieves the highest effective spatial resolution, among all the datasets analysed. Even if the time series is relatively short, a clear interannual trend is found, leading to a marked salinification, mostly occurring in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea. Full article

Radar quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) is one of the primary tasks of weather radars. The QPE quality was substantially improved after polarimetric upgrade of the radars. This study provides an overview of existing polarimetric methodologies for rain and snow estimation and their operational implementation. The variability of drop size distributions (DSDs) is a primary factor affecting the quality of rainfall estimation and its impact on the performance of various radar rainfall relations at S, C, and X microwave frequency bands is one of the focuses of this review. The radar rainfall estimation algorithms based on the use of specific attenuation A and specific differential phase K_DP are the most efficient. Their brief description is presented and possible ways for their further optimization are discussed. Polarimetric techniques for the vertical profile of reflectivity (VPR) correction at longer distances from the radar are also summarized. Radar quantification of snow is particularly challenging and it is demonstrated that polarimetric methods for snow measurements show good promise. Finally, the article presents a summary of the latest operational radar QPE products available in the US by integration of the information from the WSR-88D radars via the Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) platform. Full article

The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-R (GOES-R) series provides new opportunities for continuous observation of precipitation at large scales with a high resolution. An operational quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) product has been produced based on multi-channel measurements from the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) aboard the GOES-16 (formerly known as GOES-R). This paper presents a comprehensive evaluation of this GOES-16 QPE product against a ground reference QPE product from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor (MRMS) system over the continental United States (CONUS) during the warm seasons of 2018 and 2019. For the first time, the accuracy of GOES-16 QPE product was quantified using the gauge-corrected MRMS (GC-MRMS) QPE product, and a number of evaluation metrics were applied to adequately resolve the associated errors. The results indicated that precipitation occurrence and intensity estimated by the GOES-16 QPE agreed with GC-MRMS fairly well over the eastern United States (e.g., the probability of detection was close to 1.0, and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient was 0.80 during September 2019), while the discrepancies were noticeable over the western United States (e.g., the Pearson’s correlation coefficient was 0.64 for the same month). The performance of GOES-16 QPE was downgraded over the western United States, in part due to the limitations of the GOES-16 rainfall retrieval algorithm over complex terrains, and in part because of the poor radar coverage analyzed by the MRMS system. In addition, it was found that the GOES-16 QPE product significantly overestimated rainfall induced by the mesoscale convective systems in the midwestern United States, which must be addressed in the future development of GOES satellite rainfall retrieval algorithms. Full article