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5 pages, 140 KB  
Editorial
Digital Soil Mapping for Agri-Environmental Management and Sustainability
by Zamir Libohova, Kabindra Adhikari, Subramanian Dharumarajan and Michele Duarte de Menezes
Land 2026, 15(3), 490; https://doi.org/10.3390/land15030490 - 18 Mar 2026
Abstract
This Special Issue, entitled “Digital Soil Mapping for Agri-Environmental Management and Sustainability”, gathers nine studies from around the globe that illustrate how digital soil mapping (DSM) is being applied to support agri-environmental management and sustainability. Field- and farm-scale studies are emphasized, where informed [...] Read more.
This Special Issue, entitled “Digital Soil Mapping for Agri-Environmental Management and Sustainability”, gathers nine studies from around the globe that illustrate how digital soil mapping (DSM) is being applied to support agri-environmental management and sustainability. Field- and farm-scale studies are emphasized, where informed decisions are essential for efficient day-to-day management and profitability. The articles highlight the integration of remote/proximal sensing, along with modern machine learning techniques, to produce high-resolution soil maps, soil fertility and nutrient management zoning, and to monitor salinity and soil moisture to inform irrigation and land management. Another key focus is improving sampling strategies and assessing prediction uncertainty and model interpretability. This collection sets future DSM priorities, including cost-effective sampling, robust uncertainty assessments, and reliable cost–benefit and risk assessment approaches that link map accuracy/uncertainty to management outcomes and economic performance. Full article
29 pages, 6403 KB  
Article
Integrating Machine Learning and Geospatial Analysis for Nitrate Contamination in Water Resources Management: A Case Study of Sinkholes in Winkler County, Texas
by Rapheal Udeh, Joonghyeok Heo, Jeongho Lee and Moung-Jin Lee
Water 2026, 18(6), 710; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18060710 - 18 Mar 2026
Abstract
This study used machine learning methods and spatial analysis to examine groundwater quality in Winkler County, Texas, focusing on nitrate pollution. By analyzing 85 years of groundwater data from six aquifers, the study uses advanced machine learning models Random Forest, Decision Tree, Linear [...] Read more.
This study used machine learning methods and spatial analysis to examine groundwater quality in Winkler County, Texas, focusing on nitrate pollution. By analyzing 85 years of groundwater data from six aquifers, the study uses advanced machine learning models Random Forest, Decision Tree, Linear Regression, and XGBoost to predict contamination levels and explore spatial and temporal trends. These models were chosen because of their ability to handle larger and more complex datasets and their ability to capture nonlinear relationships between water quality parameters and environmental variables. These machine learning algorithms are particularly effective at identifying patterns and interactions that may not be obvious with traditional analytical methods, and get more reliable and accurate results. Our decadal analysis specifically identified systematic fluctuations in nitrate levels, with a notable increase since the early 2000s, driven by the synergistic effects of rising temperatures and intensified agricultural land use. Climate change, pressured by rising temperatures and lessened precipitation, along with natural factors such as the formation of sinkholes, has been identified as a key driver of groundwater quality fluctuations. Elevated nitrate levels were mostly related to agricultural irrigation and excessive use of synthetic fertilizers. The machine learning model also highlights how land cover changes and human activities are contributing to groundwater quality deterioration. This research reinforces the value of integrating machine learning and spatial analysis for groundwater management. This is especially true in areas affected by sinkholes. It provides important information to reduce man-made impacts to water quality in West Texas. Full article
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23 pages, 4658 KB  
Article
LUCIDiT: A Lean Urban Comfort Intelligent Digital Twin for Quick Mean Radiant Temperature Assessment
by Michele Baia, Giacomo Pierucci and Carla Balocco
Atmosphere 2026, 17(3), 305; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17030305 - 17 Mar 2026
Abstract
The intensification of Global Warming and Urban Heat Island phenomena necessitates advanced, computationally effective tools for evaluating outdoor thermal comfort and microclimatic dynamics by means of Mean Radiant Temperature assessment. However, existing high-resolution physical models often suffer from prohibitive computational costs. This research [...] Read more.
The intensification of Global Warming and Urban Heat Island phenomena necessitates advanced, computationally effective tools for evaluating outdoor thermal comfort and microclimatic dynamics by means of Mean Radiant Temperature assessment. However, existing high-resolution physical models often suffer from prohibitive computational costs. This research proposes LUCIDiT (Lean Urban Comfort Intelligent Digital Twin), a physically based modeling framework implemented for a quick mean radiant temperature assessment inside complex urban morphologies. The method integrates a simplified balance of mutual radiative heat exchanges with recursive time-series filtering to account for the thermal inertia of different urban materials, alongside greenery heat exchange due to evapotranspiration. This architecture creates an operational urban comfort digital twin that reduces computational times by orders of magnitude for large-scale mappings, without sacrificing physical accuracy. Validation against drone-acquired thermographic data and the established Urban Multi-scale Environmental Predictor model demonstrates high reliability and coherence with the real physical phenomena and context. The application to an urban pilot site in Florence reveals that strategic interventions, such as substituting impervious surfaces with irrigated greenery and arboreal canopies, can mitigate radiant loads by up to 20 °C. Findings show that the proposed urban comfort digital twin can be a robust, scalable instrument for designing evidence-based climate adaptation strategies and quick testing mitigation scenarios to enhance urban resilience. Full article
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36 pages, 10946 KB  
Article
Predicting Tart Cherry Stem Water Potential Using UAV Multispectral Imagery and Environmental Data via Symbolic Regression
by Anderson L. S. Safre, Alfonso Torres-Rua, Kurt Wedegaertner, Brent Black, Brennan Bean, Burdette Barker and Matt Yost
Remote Sens. 2026, 18(6), 853; https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18060853 - 10 Mar 2026
Viewed by 116
Abstract
Tart cherry is an important fruit crop in Utah, where irrigation is essential due to arid conditions. Precision irrigation requires reliable indicators of plant water status, and stem water potential (Ψstem), is among the most sensitive though labor-intensive and spatially limited. [...] Read more.
Tart cherry is an important fruit crop in Utah, where irrigation is essential due to arid conditions. Precision irrigation requires reliable indicators of plant water status, and stem water potential (Ψstem), is among the most sensitive though labor-intensive and spatially limited. This study develops Ψstem estimation models using high-resolution multispectral Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) imagery combined with meteorological and soil moisture data, applying Symbolic Regression (SR). Results show a stronger correlation between optical bands and Ψstem during the pre-harvest period. Among 85 vegetation indices, the Red Chromatic Coordinate (RCC) index performed best (R2 = 0.67). Six equations were generated for different data-availability scenarios and validated using a leave-one-tree-out (modified k-fold) approach, resulting in Ψstem estimates with R2 values ranging from 0.67 to 0.80 and root mean square errors (RMSE) ranging from 0.11 to 0.08 MPa. Notably, SR was able to produce interpretable equations that enhance model transparency and transferability. Model robustness was further confirmed using an independent dataset from a different location. To our knowledge, this is the first application of SR for Ψstem estimation, offering a scalable and interpretable tool to support irrigation management in tart cherry orchards. Full article
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22 pages, 1719 KB  
Article
Treatment Reliability When Reusing Reclaimed Water for Irrigation: A Risk Assessment, Ranking and Management Methodology
by Paola Verlicchi, Vittoria Grillini, Aurora Bosi and Alessio Galletti
Water 2026, 18(5), 627; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18050627 - 6 Mar 2026
Viewed by 185
Abstract
Water reuse may pose risks to the environment and human health due to pathogens or chemical pollutants (hazards) in reclaimed water arising from treatment or distribution system failures (hazardous events). In this context, the European Regulation EU 2020/741 requires the development of a [...] Read more.
Water reuse may pose risks to the environment and human health due to pathogens or chemical pollutants (hazards) in reclaimed water arising from treatment or distribution system failures (hazardous events). In this context, the European Regulation EU 2020/741 requires the development of a Risk Management Plan (RMP) from the source to the irrigated fields. This study proposes a methodology to assess and manage the risk to guarantee a reliable treatment able to produce an effluent adequate for reuse. It combines Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) with a Risk Priority Number (RPN) approach. FMEA identifies failure modes for the treatment components (hazardous events), their consequences for the system, and the hazards for environment and human health. The RPN measures the failure risk by the product of the likelihood of occurrence L, magnitude of effects M and ease of detection D for each failure. Due to a lack of data, L, M and D are estimated through scores. Failure risks are classified as low, medium, high and very high. The last step is the revision of existing corrective actions or the adoption of new ones to reduce the risk of critical failures (highest RPN). This methodology is applied to a large wastewater treatment plant (Class A technology, according to EU 2020/741). Out of the 303 failure modes identified for the 86 components, 12 are the most critical (very high risk) and the suggested additional corrective actions reduce L and/or D and thus M. This methodology supports an RMP for similar or more complex treatment plants. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Research on Wastewater Treatment, Recycling and Reuse)
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22 pages, 2097 KB  
Article
Water Availability Without Reliability: Groundwater-Dependent Irrigation and Governance Challenges in the Arta Plain, Greece
by Dimitra Pappa, Andreas Kallioras and Dimitris Kaliampakos
Water 2026, 18(5), 623; https://doi.org/10.3390/w18050623 - 5 Mar 2026
Viewed by 245
Abstract
Despite the relative hydrological abundance of northwestern Greece, the Arta Plain exhibits persistent spatial and seasonal mismatches between irrigation demand and the effective capacity of the public network. To clarify the factors mediating between available water resources and actual irrigation coverage, this study [...] Read more.
Despite the relative hydrological abundance of northwestern Greece, the Arta Plain exhibits persistent spatial and seasonal mismatches between irrigation demand and the effective capacity of the public network. To clarify the factors mediating between available water resources and actual irrigation coverage, this study applies an integrated framework combining quantitative irrigation modelling (FAO CROPWAT 8.0) with qualitative insights from semi-structured interviews with farmers and institutional stakeholders. Annual irrigation demand was estimated at approximately 49.1 hm3. Although this volume could theoretically be met through available surface water, in practice, it is constrained by conveyance losses and infrastructure degradation. Under these conditions, meeting irrigation needs shifts toward private abstractions. The interviews indicate systematic groundwater use for the four dominant crops; as a share of modelled demand, groundwater use corresponds to approximately 41% of irrigation requirements, with higher reliance in perennial and water-intensive crops such as kiwifruit and citrus, where supply stability is critical. These findings indicate that irrigation dysfunctions in the Arta Plain do not stem from hydrological insufficiency but from structural misalignments between infrastructure, institutional organization, and prevailing practices. Addressing these inefficiencies requires coordinated interventions, including targeted infrastructure rehabilitation, adoption of precision irrigation technologies, transparent volumetric monitoring, and participatory management processes. Overall, the study provides a transparent logic for interpreting irrigation performance when monitoring data are incomplete by linking modelled demand with operational delivery constraints and evidence from primary water users. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Sustainable Water Management in Agricultural Irrigation)
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39 pages, 1243 KB  
Review
From Sensing to Intervention: A Critical Review of Agricultural Drones for Precision Agriculture, Data-Driven Decision Making, and Sustainable Intensification
by Vlad Nicolae Arsenoaia, Denis Constantin Topa, Roxana Nicoleta Ratu and Ioan Tenu
Agronomy 2026, 16(5), 564; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16050564 - 4 Mar 2026
Viewed by 429
Abstract
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly employed in precision agronomy to support high-resolution monitoring and management of crops; however, the extent to which UAV-derived data can be translated into reliable, scalable, and decision-ready applications remains inconsistent. This review addresses this gap by critically [...] Read more.
Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly employed in precision agronomy to support high-resolution monitoring and management of crops; however, the extent to which UAV-derived data can be translated into reliable, scalable, and decision-ready applications remains inconsistent. This review addresses this gap by critically synthesising the recent literature with a specific focus on the end-to-end data pipeline, from acquisition planning and pre-processing to data fusion, analytics readiness, and operational decision support. A systematic analysis of peer-reviewed studies published over the last five years was conducted to evaluate core agronomic applications, including crop health monitoring, precision irrigation, soil and field variability assessment, spraying, and yield prediction, with particular attention to indicators used, validation strategies, and reported agronomic outcomes. The findings indicate that monitoring and diagnostic applications are the most mature and consistently validated, whereas interventional uses and absolute yield prediction remain strongly context-dependent and constrained by operational, methodological, and regulatory factors. Across applications, pipeline robustness, uncertainty management, and reproducibility emerge as more critical determinants of agronomic value than sensor resolution alone. The review further identifies key barriers to scaling, including technical limitations, skills requirements, data integration challenges, and regulatory constraints, and outlines an innovation roadmap distinguishing currently deployable solutions from emerging developments over the next three to five years. Overall, this work provides a decision-oriented framework to support more transparent, validated, and sustainable integration of UAV technologies into modern agricultural systems. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Agricultural UAV Application—2nd Edition)
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19 pages, 4899 KB  
Article
Leakage Current Elimination for Safer Direct Torque-Controlled Induction Motor Drives with Transformerless Multilevel Photovoltaic Inverters
by Zouhaira Ben Mahmoud and Adel Khedher
Electricity 2026, 7(1), 19; https://doi.org/10.3390/electricity7010019 - 1 Mar 2026
Viewed by 181
Abstract
The use of photovoltaic (PV) water pumping technology offers a viable and sustainable alternative to conventional diesel-driven pumping systems. In PV-based pumping installations, the elimination of bulky transformers significantly reduces the overall system size and weight, which is particularly advantageous for rural and [...] Read more.
The use of photovoltaic (PV) water pumping technology offers a viable and sustainable alternative to conventional diesel-driven pumping systems. In PV-based pumping installations, the elimination of bulky transformers significantly reduces the overall system size and weight, which is particularly advantageous for rural and remote irrigation applications. However, removing the transformer can result in high common-mode voltage (CMV) when the induction motor is controlled using a direct torque control (DTC) scheme. This elevated CMV induces leakage currents that may damage the motor, compromise system reliability, and pose potential safety hazards. To ensure a more compact and safer PV pumping system, this paper introduces an improved DTC-based control strategy for induction motors driven by transformerless multilevel PV inverters. The proposed approach effectively suppresses leakage current by mitigating its main source, CMV, while maintaining the simple structure and dynamic performance inherent to conventional DTC. Two new look-up tables (LUTs) are developed to control the stator flux and electromagnetic torque while simultaneously eliminating leakage current. The first method, termed zero-medium vector DTC (ZMV-DTC), employs both zero and medium voltage vectors from the space vector diagram. The second, referred to as medium vector DTC (MV-DTC), utilizes only medium vectors. Numerical simulation results validate the feasibility and superior performance of the proposed algorithms in terms of leakage current suppression. Compared with a conventional DTC (C-DTC) scheme that is designed to limit the CMV, the proposed DTC algorithms achieve a much stronger reduction in the CMV, confining its amplitude to only a few volts, instead of the levels ±Vdc/6 typically produced by the C-DTC. As a result, the leakage current is effectively eliminated, ensuring safer and more reliable operation of the system. Full article
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19 pages, 4436 KB  
Article
Development of a 3D-Printed Capacitive Sensor for Soil Water Content Estimation Using Nickel-Based Conductive Paint
by Alessandro Comegna, Shawkat B. M. Hassan and Antonio Coppola
Sensors 2026, 26(5), 1494; https://doi.org/10.3390/s26051494 - 27 Feb 2026
Viewed by 191
Abstract
Understanding hydrological, agricultural, and environmental processes in soils relies on accurately measuring volumetric water content (θ), matric potential (h), and hydraulic conductivity (K). These parameters are fundamental for quantifying plant-available water, optimizing irrigation scheduling in precision agriculture, modeling watershed [...] Read more.
Understanding hydrological, agricultural, and environmental processes in soils relies on accurately measuring volumetric water content (θ), matric potential (h), and hydraulic conductivity (K). These parameters are fundamental for quantifying plant-available water, optimizing irrigation scheduling in precision agriculture, modeling watershed responses, and studying the impacts of climate change in complex ecosystems. Among these parameters, θ is truly indispensable, as it represents the primary indicator of the water status of soils and a prerequisite for interpreting the other hydraulic variables. In recent years, capacitive sensors have become one of the most widely adopted technologies for θ estimation, owing to their favorable balance between accuracy, robustness, and affordability. These sensors infer soil moisture by measuring dielectric permittivity of soils, which is strongly governed by water content, making them particularly suitable for distributed monitoring and IoT-based environmental applications. The present study aimed to develop a low-cost capacitive sensor for θ estimation. This sensor can be made using 3D printing technology combined with conductive, nickel-based paint, which (once applied on the 3D-printed guides) forms the capacitive electrode. The capacitive component operates at an operational frequency of 60 MHz. The system was subjected to a rigorous testing protocol, including calibration and validation phases under laboratory conditions using three soils of different textures. Its performance was specifically compared with the time-domain reflectometry (TDR) technique, which is widely recognized in Soil Physics and Soil Hydrology as the reference method for θ estimation due to its reliability and accuracy. These tests confirmed the effective performance of the proposed sensor, which overall exhibited good reliability within the selected validation range, corresponding to a θ range of 0 to 0.40 cm3/cm3. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Smart Agriculture)
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28 pages, 2622 KB  
Article
Simulation of Reservoir Group Outflow Using LSTM with a Knowledge-Guided Loss Function Coordinated by the MDUPLEX Algorithm
by Qiaoping Liu, Changlu Qiao and Shuo Cao
Appl. Sci. 2026, 16(4), 2125; https://doi.org/10.3390/app16042125 - 22 Feb 2026
Viewed by 208
Abstract
Global climate change and spatiotemporal heterogeneity in water resources exacerbate supply-demand imbalances. Accurate outflow simulation for joint reservoir group operations thus becomes critical for scientific water resources management. Existing data-driven models like the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) lack the robust integration of physical [...] Read more.
Global climate change and spatiotemporal heterogeneity in water resources exacerbate supply-demand imbalances. Accurate outflow simulation for joint reservoir group operations thus becomes critical for scientific water resources management. Existing data-driven models like the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) lack the robust integration of physical constraints. Traditional mechanistic methods, by contrast, lack generality and stability under complex hydrological conditions. To address this limitation, we propose MDUPLEX-KG-LSTM—a physically constrained data-driven model for reservoir outflow simulation. The model incorporates multi-round DUPLEX (MDUPLEX) data partitioning, which ensures statistical homogeneity across training, validation, and test datasets. It also features a Knowledge-Guided (KG) loss function that embeds core physical constraints: water balance, dead water level, flood season restricted water level, and inter-reservoir re-regulation mechanisms. Additionally, it adopts an LSTM network optimized via Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for enhanced predictive performance. We validate the model using daily hydrological data from 2010 to 2025 for three reservoirs in the Wujiaqu Irrigation District of Xinjiang, China. The model exhibits exceptional stability and predictive accuracy across key evaluation metrics: Nash–Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) ≥ 0.82, Pearson correlation coefficient (r) > 0.94, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) ≤ 1.50 m3/s, and Water Balance Index (WBI) ≤ 0.016. It outperforms conventional data-driven and mechanistic models in extreme flow simulation scenarios. It also eliminates unphysical negative outflow values in all predictive results. The model achieves 100% compliance with flood control standards and an irrigation guarantee rate of no less than 86%. This study advances the development of physically constrained data-driven modeling for water resources engineering. It provides reliable methodological support for the intelligent operation of reservoir groups in smart water conservancy systems. The model also balances training cost and inference efficiency effectively. It demonstrates verified scalability for reservoir groups of varying scales, fully meeting the operational deployment requirements of smart water systems. Full article
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23 pages, 6865 KB  
Article
A Comprehensive Evaluation of Evapotranspiration in Mainland Portugal Based on Climate Reanalysis Data
by João Pedro Pegas, João Filipe Santos and Maria Manuela Portela
Atmosphere 2026, 17(2), 215; https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos17020215 - 18 Feb 2026
Viewed by 287
Abstract
Gridded meteorological data sources, such as reanalysis datasets, are increasingly used to estimate evapotranspiration, a key variable for surface water-budget analyses at regional and national scales and for assessing plant water requirements for irrigation. This study, conducted over mainland Portugal for the 44-year [...] Read more.
Gridded meteorological data sources, such as reanalysis datasets, are increasingly used to estimate evapotranspiration, a key variable for surface water-budget analyses at regional and national scales and for assessing plant water requirements for irrigation. This study, conducted over mainland Portugal for the 44-year reference period from 1980 to 2023, first presents a comprehensive comparative analysis of the spatial patterns of potential (Ep) and reference (Eto) evapotranspiration at a 0.1° spatial resolution using daily data. Estimates derived from two high-resolution datasets (GLEAM and ERA5-Land) are compared with those obtained from the Thornthwaite, Hargreaves–Samani, and Penman–Monteith models. Secondly, trend analyses of Eto magnitudes on a monthly and annual basis in a gridded format were conducted. The resulting spatial distributions of Ep and Eto show higher values in milder and flatter southern Portugal and lower values in the cooler and more mountainous northern regions, in agreement with existing knowledge. The Penman–Monteith model exhibited the highest reliability, while the Thornthwaite model generally underestimated evapotranspiration across the country, and the Hargreaves–Samani model showed underestimation in coastal areas. Trend analysis of Eto indicates an overall increase in atmospheric evaporative demand over the full study period, with a more pronounced rise during the recent 22-year period (2002–2023) compared with the earlier period (1980–2001). These increases are statistically significant in August and October and may reflect a climate shift towards a progressively longer dry season. Understanding how changes in evapotranspiration affect hydrological processes—including surface water availability, river discharge, reservoir performance, and crop requirement—is critical. This study aims to contribute to addressing these emerging challenges. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue The Challenge of Weather and Climate Prediction (2nd Edition))
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18 pages, 9356 KB  
Article
Integrating Water and Soil Quality Indices for Assessing and Mapping the Sustainability Status of Agricultural Lands
by Eleonora Grilli, Gianluigi Busico, Maria Pia De Cristofaro, Micòl Mastrocicco, Simona Castaldi and Antonio Panico
Environments 2026, 13(2), 108; https://doi.org/10.3390/environments13020108 - 15 Feb 2026
Viewed by 433
Abstract
Soil quality assessment represents the essential step to achieve sustainable agriculture. This study introduces SUITED, a GIS-based approach that overcomes limitations of traditional soil quality indices by using open data, a remote sensing-derived salinity index, and a customized Water Quality Index (WQI) to [...] Read more.
Soil quality assessment represents the essential step to achieve sustainable agriculture. This study introduces SUITED, a GIS-based approach that overcomes limitations of traditional soil quality indices by using open data, a remote sensing-derived salinity index, and a customized Water Quality Index (WQI) to evaluate soil quality, irrigation water quality, and treated wastewater use. The index was constructed by combining the selected factors across different soil depths and subsequently merging them using a weighted linear combination to produce the result map. Each parameter has been classified using geometrical criteria allowing a site-specific assessment. SUITED was applied to small sub-watersheds of the Volturno and Po rivers plains (southern and northern Italy, respectively). The index maps (0–30 cm depth) show that over 90% of both areas fall into medium to very low sustainability classes. In the Volturno river plain, soil quality is primarily driven by soil type distribution and their inherent heterogeneity, while in the Po river plain, soil texture and shallow saline groundwater mainly control sustainability. Furthermore, the integration of WQI and SUITED maps provided a reliable evaluation of irrigation water impacts, supporting informed decision making for water use and drainage management. Full article
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17 pages, 4327 KB  
Article
TCN-Attention Model-Based Prediction of Reference Crop Evapotranspiration in Northern Henan Province
by Jianqin Ma, Fu Zhao, Bifeng Cui, Lei Liu, Xiuping Hao, Yan Zhao, Yu Ding and Yijian Chen
Agronomy 2026, 16(4), 435; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16040435 - 12 Feb 2026
Viewed by 346
Abstract
Accurate and reliable estimation of reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) in the North Henan Plain is crucial for agricultural water resource management, production, and food supply in China. This study aims to evaluate the performance of deep learning (DL) methods in ET [...] Read more.
Accurate and reliable estimation of reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) in the North Henan Plain is crucial for agricultural water resource management, production, and food supply in China. This study aims to evaluate the performance of deep learning (DL) methods in ET0 estimation and assess the applicability of the developed DL model beyond the training domain. This study utilized historical meteorological data from Zhengzhou City, northern Henan, spanning 2010–2024. Meteorological variables were selected through correlation analysis and maximum information coefficient (MIC). A novel DL model—the TCN-Attention model (TA)—was constructed by incorporating a self-attention mechanism into the temporal convolutional network (TCN) model. This model was compared with two classical DL models—Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and TCN. Results indicate: (1) Sunshine duration (n), relative humidity (RH), and maximum temperature (Tmax) are the three most significant features influencing summer maize evapotranspiration; (2) prediction accuracy under the same input scenarios: TA model > TCN model > LSTM model; (3) in scenarios where only temperature data is input, the TA model has the highest prediction accuracy, surpassing the H-S empirical method; and (4) for limited meteorological data, the combination of temperature and humidity was found to be most effective, showing good adaptability and accuracy at different time steps (hourly: R2 = 0.982; daily: R2 = 0.975; weekly: R2 = 0.928). This study highlights the potential of the TA model for estimating reference crop evapotranspiration in the northern Henan Plain, which may provide theoretical guidance for crop irrigation management under future climate change. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Precision and Digital Agriculture)
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25 pages, 19199 KB  
Article
Spatiotemporal Evolution of Groundwater System Sustainability in Northeast China’s Transboundary River Basins Under Agricultural Expansion and Climate Variability: Insights from GRACE Satellite Observations
by Yujia Liu, Yang Liu, Kaiwen Zhang and Changlei Dai
Hydrology 2026, 13(2), 69; https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology13020069 - 11 Feb 2026
Viewed by 589
Abstract
Groundwater is a critical strategic resource supporting agricultural production and ecological security in the transboundary river basins of Northeast China. However, intensified climate variability and rapid agricultural expansion over the past two decades have imposed increasing pressure on regional groundwater systems. In this [...] Read more.
Groundwater is a critical strategic resource supporting agricultural production and ecological security in the transboundary river basins of Northeast China. However, intensified climate variability and rapid agricultural expansion over the past two decades have imposed increasing pressure on regional groundwater systems. In this study, we integrated GRACE-derived terrestrial water storage anomalies, GLDAS land surface data, meteorological datasets, land-use information, and agricultural statistics to construct a comprehensive assessment framework consisting of groundwater storage anomalies (ΔGWS), the GRACE Groundwater Drought Index (GGDI), and sustainability indicators—REL (Reliability), RES (Resilience), VUL (Vulnerability), and SI (Sustainability Index). By integrating GRACE-derived groundwater dynamics with sustainability indicators (REL, RES, VUL, and SI), enabling a basin-scale, long-term assessment of groundwater sustainability across Northeast China’s transboundary basins, and clarifying the relative roles of climatic variability and intensive human water use. We systematically examined the spatiotemporal evolution of groundwater conditions in the Heilongjiang, Suifen, Tumen, and Yalu River basins from 2002 to 2022, and quantified the relative roles of climatic and anthropogenic drivers. The results indicate that groundwater storage exhibited pronounced seasonal fluctuations alongside a persistent downward trend, with GGDI remaining predominantly negative after 2018, reflecting the development of structural groundwater drought. The SI declined markedly from 0.32 to 0.06, and areas with extremely low sustainability accounted for more than 90% of the study region in recent years. MIC-based dependence analysis showed that sown area (MIC = 0.98) and nighttime light intensity (MIC = 0.92) were the dominant drivers of groundwater degradation, exerting far greater influence than precipitation or potential evapotranspiration. These patterns highlight that policy-driven agricultural expansion and increased irrigation demand have surpassed natural recharge capacity, becoming the fundamental cause of long-term groundwater depletion. This study underscores the urgency of promoting agricultural green transformation, optimizing crop planting structures, improving irrigation efficiency, and enhancing ecological conservation to rebuild groundwater resilience. Moreover, coordinated cross-border groundwater monitoring and management will be essential for ensuring the sustainable use of water resources in Northeast Asia’s transboundary river basins. Full article
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43 pages, 8688 KB  
Article
Accurate Medium-Term Forecasting of Farmland Evapotranspiration Using Corrected Next-Generation Numerical Weather Prediction
by Shuting Zhao, Lifeng Wu and Xianghui Lu
Agronomy 2026, 16(3), 369; https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16030369 - 2 Feb 2026
Viewed by 370
Abstract
Accurate medium-term evapotranspiration (ET) forecasting is critical for irrigation scheduling and hydrological assessments. To address biases in numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems, we developed a hybrid GWO_XGB model integrating Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) with Gray Wolf Optimizer (GWO) for bias correction. Using the [...] Read more.
Accurate medium-term evapotranspiration (ET) forecasting is critical for irrigation scheduling and hydrological assessments. To address biases in numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems, we developed a hybrid GWO_XGB model integrating Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) with Gray Wolf Optimizer (GWO) for bias correction. Using the corrected data, we evaluate four hybrid models—Support Vector Machine (SVM) and XGBoost, each optimized with either GWO or Grasshopper Optimization Algorithm (GOA)—for 1- to 10-day ET forecasts across 11 farmland stations in Europe and North America (2003–2014). The results showed that the GWO_XGB model demonstrated the best comprehensive performance (average RMSE = 0.476 mm d−1, R2 = 0.829), while the GWO_SVM model performed the weakest (average RMSE = 0.572 mm d−1, R2 = 0.761). Forecast accuracy of Rs and VPD declined with lead time, with the 1-day forecasts being most accurate (RMSE range: 2.005–3.061 MJ mm d−1). Using calibrated NWP data, the highest 1-day forecast accuracy was achieved (average RMSE = 0.715 mm d−1), with GWO_XGB remaining the best (1–3 days average RMSE = 0.667 mm d−1; 10-day cumulative forecast RMSE = 0.698 mm d−1). Overall, the GWO_XGB model combined with NWP calibration provides reliable short- to medium-term ET forecasts for agricultural water management. Full article
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