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Search Results (1,131)

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20 pages, 640 KiB  
Article
Digital Innovation and Cost Stickiness in Manufacturing Enterprises: A Perspective Based on Manufacturing Servitization and Human Capital Structure
by Wei Sun and Xinlei Zhang
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7115; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157115 - 6 Aug 2025
Abstract
This paper examines the effect of digital innovation on cost stickiness in manufacturing firms, focusing on the underlying mechanisms and contextual factors. Using data from Chinese A-share listed manufacturing firms from 2012 to 2023, we find that, first, for each one-unit increase in [...] Read more.
This paper examines the effect of digital innovation on cost stickiness in manufacturing firms, focusing on the underlying mechanisms and contextual factors. Using data from Chinese A-share listed manufacturing firms from 2012 to 2023, we find that, first, for each one-unit increase in the level of digital technology, the cost stickiness index of enterprises decreases by an average of 0.4315 units, primarily through digital process innovation and digital business model innovation, whereas digital product innovation does not exhibit a statistically significant impact. Second, manufacturing servitization and the optimization of human capital structure are identified as key mediating mechanisms. Digital innovation promotes servitization by transitioning firms from product-centric to service-oriented business models, thereby reducing fixed costs and improving resource flexibility. It also optimizes human capital by increasing the proportion of high-skilled employees and reducing labor adjustment costs. Third, the effect of digital innovation on cost stickiness is found to be heterogeneous. Firms with high financing constraints benefit more from the cost-reducing effects of digital innovation due to improved resource allocation efficiency. Additionally, mid-tenure executives are more effective in leveraging digital innovation to mitigate cost stickiness, as they balance short-term performance pressures with long-term strategic investments. These findings contribute to the understanding of how digital transformation reshapes cost behavior in manufacturing and provide insights for policymakers and firms seeking to achieve sustainable development through digital innovation. Full article
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27 pages, 1617 KiB  
Article
Green Finance Reform: How to Drive a Leap in the Quality of Green Innovation in Enterprises?
by Shuying Chen, Da Gao and Linfang Tan
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 7085; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17157085 - 5 Aug 2025
Viewed by 33
Abstract
Improving green innovation quality is a critical component for speeding green transformation and generating high-quality growth. This study examines the link between the pilot zone for green finance reform and innovations (PZGFRI) policy and the quality of green innovation in Chinese A-share listed [...] Read more.
Improving green innovation quality is a critical component for speeding green transformation and generating high-quality growth. This study examines the link between the pilot zone for green finance reform and innovations (PZGFRI) policy and the quality of green innovation in Chinese A-share listed firms from 2010 to 2020. This study demonstrates that the PZGFRI may greatly enhance the quality of enterprises’ green innovation. Additionally, by promoting environmental investment and reducing financial barriers, we use the mediating effect model to confirm that the PZGFRI improves the enterprises’ quality of green innovation. Meanwhile, the heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that the PZGFRI is more successful in raising the green innovation quality in state-owned, large-sized, and heavily polluting businesses. Our study’s findings offer a strong theoretical basis for improving the PZGFRI and encouraging businesses to undergo high-quality transformation. Full article
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19 pages, 440 KiB  
Article
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Diesel vs. Electric Buses in Low-Density Areas: A Case Study City of Jastrebarsko
by Marko Šoštarić, Marijan Jakovljević, Marko Švajda and Juraj Leonard Vertlberg
World Electr. Veh. J. 2025, 16(8), 431; https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj16080431 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 178
Abstract
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis comparing the implementation of electric and diesel buses for public transport services in the low-density area of the City of Jastrebarsko in Croatia. It utilizes a multidimensional approach and incorporates direct and indirect costs, such as vehicle [...] Read more.
This paper presents a comprehensive analysis comparing the implementation of electric and diesel buses for public transport services in the low-density area of the City of Jastrebarsko in Croatia. It utilizes a multidimensional approach and incorporates direct and indirect costs, such as vehicle acquisition, operation, charging, maintenance, and environmental impact costs during the lifecycle of the buses. The results show that, despite the higher initial investment in electric buses, these vehicles offer savings, especially when coupled with significantly reduced emissions of pollutants, which decreases indirect costs. However, local contexts differ, leading to a need to revise whether or not a municipality can finance the procurement and operations of such a fleet. The paper utilizes a robust methodological framework, integrating a proposal based on real-world data and demand and combining it with predictive analytics to forecast long-term benefits. The findings of the paper support the introduction of buses as a sustainable solution for Jastrebarsko, which provides insights for public transport planners, urban planners, and policymakers, with a discussion about the specific issues regarding the introduction, procurement, and operations of buses of different propulsion in a low-density area. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Zero Emission Buses for Public Transport)
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22 pages, 405 KiB  
Article
The Impact of ESG Performance on Corporate Investment Efficiency: Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies
by Zhuo Li, Yeteng Ma, Li He and Zhili Tan
J. Risk Financial Manag. 2025, 18(8), 427; https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm18080427 - 1 Aug 2025
Viewed by 304
Abstract
Recent theoretical and empirical studies highlight that information asymmetry and owner–manager conflict of interest can distort corporate investment decisions. Building on this premise, we hypothesize that superior environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance mitigates these frictions by (H1) alleviating financing constraints and (H2) [...] Read more.
Recent theoretical and empirical studies highlight that information asymmetry and owner–manager conflict of interest can distort corporate investment decisions. Building on this premise, we hypothesize that superior environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance mitigates these frictions by (H1) alleviating financing constraints and (H2) intensifying external analyst scrutiny. To test these hypotheses, we examine all Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share non-financial firms from 2009 to 2023. Using panel fixed-effects and two-stage least squares with an industry–province–year instrument, we find that higher ESG performance significantly reduces investment inefficiency; the effect operates through both lower financing constraints and greater analyst coverage. Heterogeneity analyses reveal that the improvement is pronounced in small non-state-owned, non-high-carbon firms but absent in large state-owned high-carbon emitters. These findings enrich the literature on ESG and corporate performance and offer actionable insights for regulators and investors seeking high-quality development. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Business and Entrepreneurship)
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34 pages, 1543 KiB  
Article
Smart Money, Greener Future: AI-Enhanced English Financial Text Processing for ESG Investment Decisions
by Junying Fan, Daojuan Wang and Yuhua Zheng
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6971; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156971 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 213
Abstract
Emerging markets face growing pressures to integrate sustainable English business practices while maintaining economic growth, particularly in addressing environmental challenges and achieving carbon neutrality goals. English Financial information extraction becomes crucial for supporting green finance initiatives, Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) compliance, and [...] Read more.
Emerging markets face growing pressures to integrate sustainable English business practices while maintaining economic growth, particularly in addressing environmental challenges and achieving carbon neutrality goals. English Financial information extraction becomes crucial for supporting green finance initiatives, Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) compliance, and sustainable investment decisions in these markets. This paper presents FinATG, an AI-driven autoregressive framework for extracting sustainability-related English financial information from English texts, specifically designed to support emerging markets in their transition toward sustainable development. The framework addresses the complex challenges of processing ESG reports, green bond disclosures, carbon footprint assessments, and sustainable investment documentation prevalent in emerging economies. FinATG introduces a domain-adaptive span representation method fine-tuned on sustainability-focused English financial corpora, implements constrained decoding mechanisms based on green finance regulations, and integrates FinBERT with autoregressive generation for end-to-end extraction of environmental and governance information. While achieving competitive performance on standard benchmarks, FinATG’s primary contribution lies in its architecture, which prioritizes correctness and compliance for the high-stakes financial domain. Experimental validation demonstrates FinATG’s effectiveness with entity F1 scores of 88.5 and REL F1 scores of 80.2 on standard English datasets, while achieving superior performance (85.7–86.0 entity F1, 73.1–74.0 REL+ F1) on sustainability-focused financial datasets. The framework particularly excels in extracting carbon emission data, green investment relationships, and ESG compliance indicators, achieving average AUC and RGR scores of 0.93 and 0.89 respectively. By automating the extraction of sustainability metrics from complex English financial documents, FinATG supports emerging markets in meeting international ESG standards, facilitating green finance flows, and enhancing transparency in sustainable business practices, ultimately contributing to their sustainable development goals and climate action commitments. Full article
25 pages, 2717 KiB  
Article
A Hybrid Model for Land Value Capture in Sustainable Urban Land Management: The Case of Türkiye
by Nida Celik Simsek, Bura Adem Atasoy and Semih Uzun
Land 2025, 14(8), 1570; https://doi.org/10.3390/land14081570 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 329
Abstract
Like in many countries, the transfer of increased land value created by public actions without landowner contributions back to the public is under debate in Türkiye. Although various Land Value Capture (LVC) mechanisms are employed worldwide to finance infrastructure investments, no comprehensive system [...] Read more.
Like in many countries, the transfer of increased land value created by public actions without landowner contributions back to the public is under debate in Türkiye. Although various Land Value Capture (LVC) mechanisms are employed worldwide to finance infrastructure investments, no comprehensive system has been established in Türkiye for this purpose. In this study, an improved LVC model that integrates land value and development rights is proposed. This model, termed Hybrid Land Readjustment (hLR), is designed to ensure that land value increases triggered by public investments are returned to the public. To this end, existing Turkish value capture instruments with potential are examined. Under the proposed hLR framework, equal basic development rights are granted to cadastral parcels, parcel and building-block value maps are utilized, basic rights are adjusted according to land-value changes, and a portion of additional development rights is transferred to the public. A practical application scenario is provided to illustrate the model’s operation. The system is configured for seamless integration into Türkiye’s existing legal and planning framework, offering a sustainable mechanism for financing infrastructure and implementing zoning plans. Full article
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20 pages, 753 KiB  
Article
Has the Free Trade Zone Enhanced the Regional Economic Resilience? Evidence from China
by Henglong Zhang and Congying Tian
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6951; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156951 - 31 Jul 2025
Viewed by 247
Abstract
This study examines the impact of free trade zone (FTZ) establishment on regional economic resilience (RER) in China, using provincial-level panel data spanning from 2010 to 2022 and a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) approach. The empirical results indicate that FTZ implementation significantly enhances regional [...] Read more.
This study examines the impact of free trade zone (FTZ) establishment on regional economic resilience (RER) in China, using provincial-level panel data spanning from 2010 to 2022 and a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) approach. The empirical results indicate that FTZ implementation significantly enhances regional economic resilience by 3.46%, with the development of green finance acting as a key moderating mechanism that amplifies this positive effect. Heterogeneity analysis uncovers notable disparities across policy cohorts and geographical regions: the first wave of FTZs demonstrates the most pronounced resilience-enhancing impact, whereas later cohorts exhibit weaker or even adverse effects. Coastal regions experience substantial benefits from FTZ policies, in contrast to statistically insignificant outcomes observed in inland areas. These findings suggest that strategically expanding the FTZ network, when paired with tailored implementation mechanisms and the integration of green finance, could serve as a powerful policy tool for post-COVID economic recovery. Importantly, by strengthening economic resilience through institutional openness and green investment, this study offers valuable insights into balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability. It provides empirical evidence to support the optimization of FTZ spatial governance and institutional innovation pathways, thereby contributing to the pursuit of sustainable regional development. Full article
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27 pages, 2565 KiB  
Review
The Role of ESG in Driving Sustainable Innovation in Water Sector: From Gaps to Governance
by Gabriel Minea, Elena Simina Lakatos, Roxana Maria Druta, Alina Moldovan, Lucian Marius Lupu and Lucian Ionel Cioca
Water 2025, 17(15), 2259; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17152259 - 29 Jul 2025
Viewed by 473
Abstract
The water sector is facing a convergence of systemic challenges generated by climate change, increasing demand, and increasingly stringent regulations, which threaten its operational and strategic sustainability. In this context, the article examines how ESG (environmental, social, governance) principles are integrated into the [...] Read more.
The water sector is facing a convergence of systemic challenges generated by climate change, increasing demand, and increasingly stringent regulations, which threaten its operational and strategic sustainability. In this context, the article examines how ESG (environmental, social, governance) principles are integrated into the governance, financing, and management of water resources, with a comparative focus on Romania and the European Union. It aims to assess the extent to which ESG practices contribute to the sustainable transformation of the water sector in the face of growing environmental and socio-economic challenges. The methodology is based on a systematic analysis of policy documents, regulatory frameworks, and ESG standards applicable to the water sector at both national (Romania) and EU levels. This study also investigates investment strategies and their alignment with the EU Taxonomy for Sustainable Activities, enabling a comparative perspective on implementation, gaps and strengths. Findings reveal that while ESG principles are increasingly recognized across Europe, their implementation remains uneven (particularly in Romania) due to unclear standards, limited funding mechanisms, and fragmented policy coordination. ESG integration shows clear potential to foster innovation, improve governance transparency, and support long-term resilience in the water sector. These results underline the need for coherent, integrated policies and stronger institutional coordination to ensure consistent ESG adoption across Member States. Policymakers should prioritize the development of clear guidelines and supportive funding instruments to accelerate sustainable outcomes. The originality of our study lies in its comparative approach, offering an in-depth analysis of ESG integration in the water sector across different governance contexts. It provides valuable insights for advancing policy coherence, investment alignment, and sustainable water resource management at both national and European levels. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Water Resources Management, Policy and Governance)
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21 pages, 727 KiB  
Article
Cost-Effective Energy Retrofit Pathways for Buildings: A Case Study in Greece
by Charikleia Karakosta and Isaak Vryzidis
Energies 2025, 18(15), 4014; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18154014 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 219
Abstract
Urban areas are responsible for most of Europe’s energy demand and emissions and urgently require building retrofits to meet climate neutrality goals. This study evaluates the energy efficiency potential of three public school buildings in western Macedonia, Greece—a cold-climate region with high heating [...] Read more.
Urban areas are responsible for most of Europe’s energy demand and emissions and urgently require building retrofits to meet climate neutrality goals. This study evaluates the energy efficiency potential of three public school buildings in western Macedonia, Greece—a cold-climate region with high heating needs. The buildings, constructed between 1986 and 2003, exhibited poor insulation, outdated electromechanical systems, and inefficient lighting, resulting in high oil consumption and low energy ratings. A robust methodology is applied, combining detailed on-site energy audits, thermophysical diagnostics based on U-value calculations, and a techno-economic assessment utilizing Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and SWOT analysis. The study evaluates a series of retrofit measures, including ceiling insulation, high-efficiency lighting replacements, and boiler modernization, against both technical performance criteria and financial viability. Results indicate that ceiling insulation and lighting system upgrades yield positive economic returns, while wall and floor insulation measures remain financially unattractive without external subsidies. The findings are further validated through sensitivity analysis and policy scenario modeling, revealing how targeted investments, especially when supported by public funding schemes, can maximize energy savings and emissions reductions. The study concludes that selective implementation of cost-effective measures, supported by public grants, can achieve energy targets, improve indoor environments, and serve as a replicable model of targeted retrofits across the region, though reliance on external funding and high upfront costs pose challenges. Full article
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24 pages, 771 KiB  
Article
The Impact of Preferential Policy on Corporate Green Innovation: A Resource Dependence Perspective
by Chenshuo Li, Shihan Feng, Qingyu Yuan, Jiahui Wei, Shiqi Wang and Dongdong Huang
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6834; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156834 - 28 Jul 2025
Viewed by 532
Abstract
Government support has long been viewed as a key driver of sustainable transformation and green technological progress. However, the underlying mechanisms (“how”) through which preferential policies influence green innovation, as well as the contextual conditions (“when”) that shape their [...] Read more.
Government support has long been viewed as a key driver of sustainable transformation and green technological progress. However, the underlying mechanisms (“how”) through which preferential policies influence green innovation, as well as the contextual conditions (“when”) that shape their effectiveness, remain insufficiently understood. Drawing on resource dependence theory, this study develops a dual-mediation framework to investigate how preferential tax policies promote both the quantity and quality of green innovation—by enhancing R&D investment as an internal mechanism and alleviating financing constraints as an external mechanism. These effects are especially salient among non-state-owned enterprises, firms in resource-constrained industries, and those situated in environmentally challenged regions—contexts that entail higher dependence on external support for sustainable development. Leveraging China’s 2017 R&D tax reduction policy as a quasi-natural experiment, this study uses a sample of high-tech small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) to test the hypotheses. The findings provide robust evidence on how preferential policies contribute to corporate sustainability through green innovation and identify the conditions under which policy tools are most effective. This research offers important implications for designing targeted, sustainability-oriented innovation policies that support SMEs in transitioning toward more sustainable practices. Full article
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34 pages, 3347 KiB  
Article
The Nexus Between Tax Revenue, Economic Policy Uncertainty, and Economic Growth: Evidence from G7 Economies
by Emre Sakar, Mahmut Unsal Sasmaz and Ahmet Ozen
Sustainability 2025, 17(15), 6780; https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156780 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 297
Abstract
Economic policy uncertainty is an important macroeconomic risk factor that can have direct effects on investment decisions, growth dynamics, and public finance. In particular, its potential impact on tax revenue is critical in terms of fiscal sustainability. This study investigates the Granger-causal relationship [...] Read more.
Economic policy uncertainty is an important macroeconomic risk factor that can have direct effects on investment decisions, growth dynamics, and public finance. In particular, its potential impact on tax revenue is critical in terms of fiscal sustainability. This study investigates the Granger-causal relationship between economic policy uncertainty, total tax revenue, and economic growth in G7 economies over the 1997–2021 period, applying symmetric and asymmetric panel causality tests. The empirical findings revealed evidence of causality between economic policy uncertainty and tax revenue and between economic growth and economic policy uncertainty. In asymmetric analyses where the effects of positive and negative shocks were separated, the direction of causal relationships differed between countries. These results imply that asymmetric effects vary by country. Overall, the empirical findings suggest that enhancing transparency and predictability in tax systems could play a vital role in reducing economic policy uncertainty and thus positively affect tax revenue performance and fiscal resilience. Full article
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20 pages, 4490 KiB  
Article
Mapping Trends in Green Finance: A Bibliometric and Topic Modeling Analysis
by Orlando Joaqui-Barandica, Jesús Heredia-Carroza, Sebastian López-Estrada and Daniela-Tatiana Agheorghiesei
Int. J. Financial Stud. 2025, 13(3), 137; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs13030137 - 25 Jul 2025
Viewed by 719
Abstract
This study presents a comprehensive bibliometric and topic modeling analysis of the academic literature on green and sustainable finance. Using 1372 peer-reviewed articles indexed in the Web of Science up to 2024, we identify key publication trends, influential authors, prominent journals, and thematic [...] Read more.
This study presents a comprehensive bibliometric and topic modeling analysis of the academic literature on green and sustainable finance. Using 1372 peer-reviewed articles indexed in the Web of Science up to 2024, we identify key publication trends, influential authors, prominent journals, and thematic clusters shaping the field. The analysis reveals an exponential growth in publications since 2017 and highlights the dominance of journals such as Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment and Sustainability. Text mining techniques, including TF-IDF and Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), are applied to abstracts to extract the most relevant terms and classify articles into four latent topics. The findings suggest a growing focus on the impact of green finance on carbon emissions, energy efficiency, and firm performance, particularly in the context of China. This study offers valuable insights for researchers and policymakers by mapping the intellectual structure and identifying emerging research frontiers in the rapidly evolving field of green finance. Full article
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14 pages, 379 KiB  
Article
Overconfidence and Investment Loss Tolerance: A Large-Scale Survey Analysis of Japanese Investors
by Honoka Nabeshima, Mostafa Saidur Rahim Khan and Yoshihiko Kadoya
Risks 2025, 13(8), 142; https://doi.org/10.3390/risks13080142 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 439
Abstract
Accepting a certain degree of investment loss risk is essential for long-term portfolio management. However, overconfidence bias within financial literacy can prompt excessively risky behavior and amplify susceptibility to other cognitive biases. These tendencies can undermine investment loss tolerance beyond the baseline level [...] Read more.
Accepting a certain degree of investment loss risk is essential for long-term portfolio management. However, overconfidence bias within financial literacy can prompt excessively risky behavior and amplify susceptibility to other cognitive biases. These tendencies can undermine investment loss tolerance beyond the baseline level shaped by sociodemographic, economic, psychological, and cultural factors. This study empirically examines the association between overconfidence and investment loss tolerance, which is measured by the point at which respondents indicate they would sell their investments in a hypothetical loss scenario. Using a large-scale dataset of 161,765 active investors from one of Japan’s largest online securities firms, we conduct ordered probit and ordered logit regression analyses, controlling for a range of sociodemographic, economic, and psychological variables. Our findings reveal that overconfidence is statistically significantly and negatively associated with investment loss tolerance, indicating that overconfident investors are more prone to prematurely liquidating assets during market downturns. This behavior reflects an impulse to avoid even modest losses. The findings suggest several possible practical strategies to mitigate the detrimental effects of overconfidence on long-term investment behavior. Full article
20 pages, 1576 KiB  
Article
Human Capital and Labor Supply Decisions in Immigrant Families: An Alternative Test of the Family Investment Hypothesis
by Sarit Cohen Goldner, Chemi Gotlibovski and Nava Kahana
Economies 2025, 13(8), 211; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13080211 - 23 Jul 2025
Viewed by 222
Abstract
Immigrant households frequently face liquidity constraints upon arrival, which potentially hinders their long-term economic integration. The Family Investment Hypothesis (FIH) suggests that couples may respond to these constraints by coordinating their labor supply: one spouse works to finance the other’s investment in local [...] Read more.
Immigrant households frequently face liquidity constraints upon arrival, which potentially hinders their long-term economic integration. The Family Investment Hypothesis (FIH) suggests that couples may respond to these constraints by coordinating their labor supply: one spouse works to finance the other’s investment in local human capital. Previous studies have tested the FIH by comparing married immigrants to married natives, attributing differences in outcomes to financial constraints. However, this approach may conflate such constraints with other inherent differences between immigrants and natives. This paper introduces a novel identification strategy that compares the differences in labor market outcomes of married and single immigrants to those of their native-born counterparts, allowing for better isolation of the effects of liquidity. Applying this strategy to repeated cross-sectional data on immigrants from the Former Soviet Union who arrived in Israel during the 1990s, the analysis finds no supporting evidence for the FIH. One possible explanation for this finding is the substantial government support extended to these immigrants, which may have mitigated their financial constraints. Alternatively, the results may indicate that immigrant households do not systematically adjust their labor supply in accordance with the FIH framework. These findings highlight the importance of the institutional context in shaping household labor supply decisions. Full article
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27 pages, 2186 KiB  
Article
Oil Futures Dynamics and Energy Transition: Evidence from Macroeconomic and Energy Market Linkages
by Xiaomei Yuan, Fang-Rong Ren and Tao-Feng Wu
Energies 2025, 18(14), 3889; https://doi.org/10.3390/en18143889 - 21 Jul 2025
Viewed by 291
Abstract
Understanding the price dynamics of oil futures is crucial for advancing green finance strategies and supporting sustainable energy transitions. This study investigates the macroeconomic and energy market determinants of oil futures prices through Granger causality, cointegration analysis, and the error correction model, using [...] Read more.
Understanding the price dynamics of oil futures is crucial for advancing green finance strategies and supporting sustainable energy transitions. This study investigates the macroeconomic and energy market determinants of oil futures prices through Granger causality, cointegration analysis, and the error correction model, using daily data. It focuses on the influence of economic development levels, exchange rate fluctuations, and inter-energy price linkages. The empirical findings indicate that (1) oil futures prices exhibit strong correlations with other energy prices, macroeconomic factors, and exchange rate variables; (2) economic development significantly affects oil futures prices, while exchange rate impacts are statistically insignificant based on the daily data analyzed; (3) there exists a stable long-term equilibrium relationship between oil futures prices and variables representing economic activity, exchange rates, and energy market trends; (4) oil futures prices exhibit significant short-term dynamics while adjusting steadily toward a long-run equilibrium driven by macroeconomic and energy market fundamentals. By enhancing the accuracy of oil futures price forecasting, this study offers practical insights for managing financial risks associated with fossil energy markets and contributes to the formulation of low-carbon investment strategies. The findings provide a valuable reference for integrating energy pricing models into sustainable finance and climate-aligned portfolio decisions. Full article
(This article belongs to the Topic Energy Economics and Sustainable Development)
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