Search Results (1,376)

The hydropower unit is the core of the hydropower station, and maintaining the safety and stability of the hydropower unit is the first essential priority of the operation of the hydropower station. However, the complex environment increases the probability of the failure of hydropower units. Therefore, aiming at the complex diversity of hydropower unit faults and the imbalance of fault data, this paper proposes a fault identification method based on modified fractional-order hierarchical fluctuation dispersion entropy (MFHFDE) and AdaBoost-stochastic configuration networks (AdaBoost-SCN). First, the modified hierarchical entropy and fractional-order theory are incorporated into the multiscale fluctuation dispersion entropy (MFDE) to enhance the responsiveness of MFDE to various fault signals and address its limitation of overlooking the high-frequency components of signals. Subsequently, the Euclidean distance is used to select the fractional order. Then, a novel method for evaluating the complexity of time-series signals, called MFHFDE, is presented. In addition, the AdaBoost algorithm is used to integrate stochastic configuration networks (SCN) to establish the AdaBoost-SCN strong classifier, which overcomes the problem of the weak generalization ability of SCN under the condition of an unbalanced number of signal samples. Finally, the features extracted via MFHFDE are fed into the classifier to accomplish pattern recognition. The results show that this method is more robust and effective compared with other methods in the anti-noise experiment and the feature extraction experiment. In the six kinds of imbalanced experimental data, the recognition rate reaches more than 98%. Full article

To overcome the limitations of existing maritime radar identification analysis methods, which are only applicable to sea-skimming aircraft and fail to quantitatively calculate the probability of radar correctly identifying the target under electromagnetic influence from marine geographical features (MGFs), an advanced method is proposed for calculating the radar identification probability in marine areas using 3D MGF models. The method first established the radar identification criteria in 3D space, considering radar line of sight (LOS), radar target adhesion (RTA), and radar resolutions in range, azimuth angle, and elevation angle. It then comprehensively analyzed errors from both the aircraft and MGFs. Finally, the probability of a target at a specific marine location being correctly identified by radar was calculated using the Monte Carlo method. Theoretical derivations and simulation results demonstrated that: (1) Unlike existing methods limited to sea-skimming aircraft, the proposed method is applicable to aircraft at any altitude, better aligning with current aircraft performance and requirements; (2) While existing methods provide only a binary result of “identified” or “unidentified,” the proposed method offers a probability value. For the same marine location point T_a, the proposed method yields radar identification probabilities of 0.0877 for sea-skimming aircraft and 0.5887 for high-altitude aircraft, providing more precise and intuitive decision-making support for mission planners. Full article

Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is associated with an elevated risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Despite this, few reliable biomarkers exist to identify patients at heightened risk of MACE. Growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), a stress-responsive cytokine implicated in inflammation, atherosclerosis, and thrombosis, has been broadly studied in cardiovascular disease but remains underexplored in PAD. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic utility of GDF15 for predicting 2-year MACE in PAD patients using explainable statistical and machine learning approaches. We conducted a prospective analysis of 1192 individuals (454 with PAD and 738 without PAD). At study entry, patient plasma GDF15 concentrations were measured using a validated multiplex immunoassay. The cohort was followed for two years to monitor the occurrence of MACE, defined as stroke, myocardial infarction, or death. Baseline GDF15 levels were compared between PAD and non-PAD participants using the Mann–Whitney U test. A machine learning model based on extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) was trained to predict 2-year MACE using 10-fold cross-validation, incorporating GDF15 and clinical variables including age, sex, comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, congestive heart failure, coronary artery disease, and previous stroke or transient ischemic attack), smoking history, and cardioprotective medication use. The model’s primary evaluation metric was the F1 score, a validated measurement of the harmonic mean of the precision and recall values of the prediction model. Secondary model performance metrics included precision, recall, positive likelihood ratio (LR+), and negative likelihood ratio (LR-). A prediction probability histogram and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) analysis were used to assess model discrimination and interpretability. The mean participant age was 70 ± SD 11 years, with 32% (n = 386) female representation. Median plasma GDF15 levels were significantly higher in PAD patients compared to the levels in non-PAD patients (1.29 [IQR 0.77–2.22] vs. 0.99 [IQR 0.61–1.63] pg/mL; p < 0.001). During the 2-year follow-up period, 219 individuals (18.4%) experienced MACE. The XGBoost model demonstrated strong predictive performance for 2-year MACE (F1 score = 0.83; precision = 82.0%; recall = 83.7%; LR+ = 1.88; LR− = 0.83). The prediction histogram revealed distinct stratification between those who did vs. did not experience 2-year MACE. SHAP analysis identified GDF15 as the most influential predictive feature, surpassing traditional clinical predictors such as age, cardiovascular history, and smoking status. This study highlights GDF15 as a strong prognostic biomarker for 2-year MACE in patients with PAD. When combined with clinical variables in an interpretable machine learning model, GDF15 supports the early identification of patients at high risk for systemic cardiovascular events, facilitating personalized treatment strategies including multidisciplinary specialist referrals and aggressive cardiovascular risk reduction therapy. This biomarker-guided approach offers a promising pathway for improving cardiovascular outcomes in the PAD population through precision risk stratification. Full article

The usual inputs for a causal identification task are a graph representing qualitative causal hypotheses and a joint probability distribution for some of the causal model’s variables when they are observed rather than intervened on. Alternatively, the available probabilities sometimes come from a combination of passive observations and controlled experiments. It also makes sense, however, to consider causal identification with data collected via schemes more generic than (perfect) passive observation or perfect controlled experiments. For example, observation procedures may be noisy, may disturb the variables, or may yield only coarse-grained specification of the variables’ values. In this work, we investigate identification of causal quantities when the probabilities available for inference are the probabilities of outcomes of these more generic schemes. Using process theories (aka symmetric monoidal categories), we formulate graphical causal models as second-order processes that respond to such data collection instruments. We pose the causal identification problem relative to arbitrary sets of available instruments. Perfect passive observation instruments—those that produce the usual observational probabilities used in causal inference—satisfy an abstract process-theoretic property called marginal informational completeness. This property also holds for other (sets of) instruments. The main finding is that in the case of Markovian models, as long as the available instruments satisfy this property, the probabilities they produce suffice for identification of interventional quantities, just as those produced by perfect passive observations do. This finding sharpens the distinction between the Markovianity of a causal model and that of a probability distribution, suggesting a more extensive line of investigation of causal inference within a process-theoretic framework. Full article

The Catostemma clade comprises three genera: Aguiaria, Catostemma, and Scleronema. These genera are representatives of the tribe Adansonieae, and are part of the subfamily Bombacoideae of the Malvaceae family. Taxonomic studies of these genera are scarce and limited to isolated publications of new species or regional floras. We reviewed their taxonomy, morphology, and geography, and assessed gaps in our knowledge of this group. We carried out a bibliographic survey, an analysis of herbarium collections, and collected new material in Brazilian forests. Here, we provide an identification key, nomenclatural revisions, morphological descriptions, taxonomic comments, geographic distribution maps, illustrations, and analyses of the conservation status for all species. We also discuss probable synapomorphies of the clade, to advance our understanding of phylogenetic relationships within the Adansonieae tribe of Bombacoideae. In total, we recognize 16 species: 1 Aguiaria, 12 Catostemma, and 3 Scleronema, of which 7 are endemic to Brazil, 1 to Colombia, and 1 to Venezuela. Two species are ranked as Critically Endangered (CR), and four as Data Deficient (DD). Full article

To endow a star sensor with strong robustness, low algorithm complexity, and a small database, this paper proposes an all-sky star identification algorithm based on spherical polar pattern matching. The proposed algorithm consists of three main steps. First, the guide star is rotated to be a polar star, and the polar and azimuth angles of neighboring stars are used as polar pattern elements of the guide star. Then, the relative azimuth histogram is applied to the spherical polar pattern matching, and a star pair after spherical polar pattern matching is identified through angular distance cross-verification. Finally, a reference star image is generated from the identified star pair to complete the matching process of all guide stars in the field of view. The proposed algorithm is verified by simulation experiments. The simulation results show that for a star sensor with a medium field of view (15° × 15°, 1024 × 1024 pixel) and a limiting magnitude of 6.0 Mv, the required database size is 161 KB. When false and missing star spots account for 50% of the guide stars and the star spot extraction error is 1.0 pixel, the average star identification time is 0.35 ms (@i7-4790), and the identification probability is 99.9%. However, when false and missing star spots account for 100% of the guide stars and the star spot extraction error is 5.0 pixel, the average star identification time is less than 2.0 ms, and the identification probability is 97.1%. Full article

Objectives: The aim was to present the complicated diagnostic and therapeutic process of atypical, painless keratitis caused by a cosmopolitan protozoan of the genus Acanthamoeba. Methods: This Case Report describes a medical case involving a 48-year-old woman who occasionally wears soft contact lenses and was referred to our hospital for treatment due to deteriorating visual acuity in her left eye. The diagnostic process included the isolation of amoebae from corneal scrapings and the morphological and molecular identification of the etiological agent of the infection. Results: After examination, painless atypical keratitis was diagnosed, initially considered recurrent herpetic keratitis. However, antiviral treatment did not bring about any improvement. Further observation revealed a dense, central, annular infiltrate on the periphery of the cornea. Despite treatment, the corneal infiltrate did not improve and the patient required therapeutic penetrating keratoplasty. Ultimately, the patient underwent combined surgery: corneal transplantation with cataract phacoemulsification and intraocular lens implantation. The postoperative course was uneventful. Conclusions: Acanthamoeba keratitis should be included in the differential diagnosis of keratitis, even in the absence of its characteristic feature of severe ocular pain, especially in contact lens wearers and patients who have had herpetic keratitis. Infection of the cornea with the Herpes simplex type 1 virus causes nerve degeneration, which probably translates into a painless course of Acanthamoeba castellanii infection. Full article

Microstructural, mechanical and qualitative phase identification of durable mullite-based ceramics obtained by utilization of waste clay–diatomite has been studied. Mullite-based ceramics were fabricated using waste clay–diatomite from the Baroševac open-cast coal mine, Kolubara (Serbia). The raw material consists mainly of SiO₂ (70.5 wt%) and a moderately high content of Al₂O₃ (13.8 wt%). In order to achieve the stoichiometric mullite composition (3Al₂O₃-2SiO₂), the raw material was mixed with an appropriate amount of Al(NO₃)₃·9H₂O. After preparing the precursor powder, the green compacts were sintered at 1300, 1400 and 1500 °C for 2 h. During the process, rod-shaped mullite grains were formed, measuring approximately 5 µm in length and a diameter of 500 nm (aspect ratio 10:1). The microstructure of the sample sintered at 1500 °C resulted in a well-developed, porous, nest-like morphology. According to the X-ray diffraction analysis, the sample at 1400 °C consisted of mullite, cristobalite and corundum phases, while the sample sintered at 1500 °C contained mullite (63.24 wt%) and an amorphous phase that reached 36.7 wt%. Both samples exhibited exceptional compressive strength—up to 188 MPa at 1400 °C. However, the decrease in compressive strength to 136 MPa at 1500 °C is attributed to changes in the phase composition, the disappearance of the corundum phase and alterations in the microstructure. This occurred despite an increase in bulk density to 2.36 g/cm³ (approximately 82% of theoretical density) and a complete reduction in open porosity. The residual glassy phase (36.7 wt% at 1500 °C) is probably the key factor influencing the mechanical properties at room temperature in these ceramics produced from waste clay–diatomite. However, the excellent mechanical stability of the samples sintered at 1400 and 1500 °C, achieved without binders or additives and using mined diatomaceous earth, supports further research into mullite-based insulating materials. Mullite-based materials obtained from mining waste might be successfully used in the field of energy-efficient refractory materials and thermal insulators. for high-temperature applications Full article

Background/Objective: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) often presents later in the disease course, with frequent misdiagnoses and population-level underdiagnoses. Underserved patients may have even greater diagnostic delays. We aimed to test the hypothesis in a retrospective cohort that artificial intelligence analysis of ECGs (AI-ECG) could have afforded the opportunity for earlier diagnosis of HCM in one health system. Methods: We collected all available ECGs from patients referred to an HCM Center of Excellence over 15 years, both before and after HCM diagnosis. We applied AI-ECG to each ECG in a blinded fashion to predict the probability of HCM. We calculated the time between each patient’s AI-ECG diagnosis and clinical diagnosis. We examined the sensitivity and specificity of AI-ECG for all patients, and by septal subtype and genetic test result. Results: 3499 ECGs were analyzed in 404 patients (age 56 ± 18 years, 52% female). AI-ECG correctly identified HCM in 155 patients with a sensitivity of 67%, specificity of 95%, positive predictive value of 94%, and a negative predictive value of 69%. The AUC was similar using mean probability from all ECGs for each patient (AUC 0.91 [0.88, 0.94]) or using probability from the first ECG (AUC 0.91 [0.87,0.93]). AI-ECG diagnosed 27 patients over 1 year before clinical diagnosis, and up to 16.3 years early. Black patients were more likely than White patients to have an AI-ECG diagnosis before a clinical diagnosis (p = 0.005). Conclusions: AI-ECG offers the potential for advanced HCM diagnosis. Differences in identification timing between subgroups highlight inequities in current care and show the potential of AI-ECG for the greatest benefit in underserved ethnic groups. Full article

Malawi’s Blantyre City faces escalating waste management challenges due to increased urbanization and inadequate waste collection services. This research utilized remote sensing (RS) and geographic information system (GIS) techniques to map potential illegal dump sites (PIDSs). MODIS and Sentinel-5P satellite imagery and GPS locations of dumpsites were used to extract environmental and spatial variables, including land surface temperature (LST), the enhanced vegetation index (EVI), Formaldehyde (HCHO), and distances from highways, rivers, and official dumps. An analytical hierarchical process (AHP) pairwise comparison matrix was used to assign weights for the six-factor variables. Further, fuzzy logic was applied, and weighted overlay analysis was used to generate the PIDS map. The results indicated that 10.27% of the study area has a “very high” probability of illegal dumping, while only 2% exhibited a “very low” probability. Validation with field data showed that the GIS and RS were effective, as about 89% of the illegal dumping sites were identified. Zonal statistics identified rivers as the most significant contributor to PIDS identification. The findings of this study underscore the significance of mapping PIDS in low-resource regions like Blantyre, Malawi, where inadequate waste management and illegal dumping are prevalent. Future studies should consider additional factors and account for seasonal variations. Full article

Face recognition systems often falter when deployed in uncontrolled settings, grappling with low light, unexpected occlusions, motion blur, and the degradation of sensor signals. Most contemporary algorithms chase raw accuracy yet overlook the pragmatic need for uncertainty estimation and multispectral reasoning rolled into a single framework. This study introduces HUE-Net—a Human-centric, Uncertainty-aware, Event-fused Network—designed specifically to thrive under severe environmental stress. HUE-Net marries the visible RGB band with near-infrared (NIR) imagery and high-temporal-event data through an early-fusion pipeline, proven more responsive than serial approaches. A custom hybrid backbone that couples convolutional networks with transformers keeps the model nimble enough for edge devices. Central to the architecture is the perturbed multi-branch variational module, which distills probabilistic identity embeddings while delivering calibrated confidence scores. Complementing this, an Adaptive Spectral Attention mechanism dynamically reweights each stream to amplify the most reliable facial features in real time. Unlike previous efforts that compartmentalize uncertainty handling, spectral blending, or computational thrift, HUE-Net unites all three in a lightweight package. Benchmarks on the IJB-C and N-SpectralFace datasets illustrate that the system not only secures state-of-the-art accuracy but also exhibits unmatched spectral robustness and reliable probability calibration. The results indicate that HUE-Net is well-positioned for forensic missions and humanitarian scenarios where trustworthy identification cannot be deferred. Full article

Crop diseases pose a significant threat to agricultural productivity and global food security. Timely and accurate disease identification is crucial for improving crop yield and quality. While most existing deep learning-based methods focus primarily on image datasets for disease recognition, they often overlook the complementary role of textual features in enhancing visual understanding. To address this problem, we proposed a cross-modal data fusion via a vision-language model for crop disease recognition. Our approach leverages the Zhipu.ai multi-model to generate comprehensive textual descriptions of crop leaf diseases, including global description, local lesion description, and color-texture description. These descriptions are encoded into feature vectors, while an image encoder extracts image features. A cross-attention mechanism then iteratively fuses multimodal features across multiple layers, and a classification prediction module generates classification probabilities. Extensive experiments on the Soybean Disease, AI Challenge 2018, and PlantVillage datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art image-only approaches with higher accuracy and fewer parameters. Specifically, with only 1.14M model parameters, our model achieves a 98.74%, 87.64% and 99.08% recognition accuracy on the three datasets, respectively. The results highlight the effectiveness of cross-modal learning in leveraging both visual and textual cues for precise and efficient disease recognition, offering a scalable solution for crop disease recognition. Full article

At crime scenes, apart from the detection of blood, it may be important to determine whether a person was alive at the time of blood deposition. Based on the rapid onset of fibrinolysis after death, this pathway could be considered to identify potential biomarkers for postmortem blood. Fibrinolysis is the natural process that breaks down blood clots after healing a vascular injury. One of its products, D-dimer, could be a potential biomarker for postmortem blood. SERATEC^® (SERATEC^® GmbH, Göttingen, Germany) has developed the PMB immunochromatographic assay to simultaneously detect human hemoglobin and D-dimer. The main goals of this study were to assess the possibility of using this test to detect postmortem blood, evaluate D-dimer levels in antemortem, menstrual, and postmortem blood, and assess the ability to obtain STR profiles from postmortem blood. Except for one degraded sample, all postmortem blood samples reacted positively for the presence of D-dimer using the SERATEC^® PMB test. All antemortem blood samples from living individuals showed negative results for D-dimer detection, except for one liquid sample with a weak positive result, probably due to pre-existing health conditions. Menstrual blood samples gave variable results for D-dimer. The DIMERTEST^® Latex assay was used for semi-quantitative measurement of D-dimer concentrations, with postmortem and menstrual blood yielding higher D-dimer concentrations compared to antemortem blood. Full STR profiles were developed for all postmortem samples tested except for one degraded sample, pointing to the possibility of not only detecting postmortem blood at the crime scene but also the potential identification of the victim. Full article

The increasing prevalence of extreme weather events poses significant challenges to the stability of distribution networks (DNs). To enhance the resilience of DNs against such events, a typhoon-oriented resilience framework for DNs is proposed that incorporates multiple sources of typhoon uncertainty. First, component failure probability is modeled by tracking time-sequential variations in typhoon landfall parameters, trajectory, and intensity, thereby improving the quantitative estimation of typhoon impacts. Then, the integrated component failure probability and the importance factor of bus load under disaster are combined and hierarchical analysis is performed to achieve the vulnerability identification for DNs. Next, based on the vulnerability identification results, a resilience enhancement model for DNs is constructed through the strategy of coordinating line reinforcement and energy storage configuration, and the resilience optimization scheme that takes into account the system resilience enhancement effect and economy is obtained under the optimal investment cost. Finally, analysis and verification are conducted in the IEEE 33-bus system. The results indicate that the proposed method can reduce the load loss cost of the system by 5.112 million and 0.2459 million, respectively. Full article

With the rapid advancement of digitalization and intelligence in power systems, SF₆ high-voltage circuit breakers, as the core switching devices in power grid protection systems, have become critical components in high-voltage networks of 110 kV and above due to their superior insulation performance and exceptional arc-quenching capability. Their operational status directly impacts the reliability of power system protection. Therefore, real-time condition monitoring and accurate assessment of SF₆ circuit breakers along with science-based maintenance strategies derived from evaluation results hold significant engineering value for ensuring secure and stable grid operation and preventing major failures. In recent years, the frequency of extreme weather events has been increasing, necessitating a comprehensive consideration of both internal and external factors in the operational status prediction of SF₆ high-voltage circuit breakers. To address this, we propose an operational status assessment model for SF₆ high-voltage circuit breakers based on an Integrated Attribute-Weighted Risk Model Based on the Branch–Trunk Rule (IAR-BTR), which integrates internal and environmental influences. Firstly, to tackle the issues of incomplete data and feature imbalance caused by irrelevant attributes, this study employs missing value elimination (Drop method) on the fault record database. The selected dataset is then normalized according to the input feature matrix. Secondly, conventional risk factors are extracted using traditional association rule mining techniques. To improve the accuracy of these rules, the filtering thresholds and association metrics are refined based on seasonal distribution and the importance of time periods. This allows for the identification of spatiotemporally non-stationary factors that are strongly correlated with circuit breaker failures in low-probability seasonal conditions. Finally, a quantitative weighting method is developed for analyzing branch-trunk rules to accurately assess the impact of various factors on the overall stability of the circuit breaker. The DFP-Growth algorithm is applied to enhance the computational efficiency of the model. The case study results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves exceptional accuracy (95.78%) and precision (97.22%) and significantly improves the predictive performance of SF₆ high-voltage circuit breaker operational condition assessments. Full article